Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Spending on Customers Precedes Customer Spending and more

• We expect Alibaba to report CY1Q24 top-line, non-GAAP EBITA and non-GAAP net income in-line, (14.2%) and (7.4%) vs. consensus. We cut non-GAAP EBITA by 10% and kept topline unchanged;
• BABA is prioritizing growth of both AliCloud and cross-border ecommerce (AliExpress), which will weaken profitability in the near-term but is the right thing to do. 
• BABA is transforming itself into Chinese Microsoft with hopes of e-commerce mainly pinned on overseas. We maintain BUY and US$ 85 TP, implying 9.5x CY24 P/E.

• Fast Retail missed analyst estimates for Q2 sales and operating profit. Revenue growth slowed to 5% YoY
• Full year operating profit guidance maintained at Y450 billion, just slightly below the street 
• The stock is trading at 27x EV/EBIT, in-line with historical averages, but still expensive in absolute terms and versus global peers

• Despite YTD strengths in share price, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK) is still cheap at 5.7x PER and 0.9x P/B.
• VLCC is forecast to stay undersupplied in FY24 and FY25, supporting the rates and CSET’s profitability. YTD, the VLCC rates have recovered by 19.5%.
• LNG transportation generated 19% of FY23 earnings. With 40 more vessels on order, compared with a current fleet of 43, there is immense upside from this segment.

• Builders FirstSource focuses on value-added and specialty products
• Maintains industry-leading gross margins of 35%
• Expands reach and solidifies position through strategic acquisitions and strong customer base

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There has been a lot going on under M&C Saatchi’s operational bonnet, so delivering FY23 results a shade above market forecasts is a good result, especially given the difficult market backdrop. Earlier issues regarding outstanding put option liabilities are in retreat, with minority interests in FY23 down to 13% from 25% in FY22, and most remaining liabilities are expected to be settled in FY24. The focus is now firmly on optimising the operational structure. There has already been good progress, simplifying and achieving greater coherence on a regional-first approach, with better alignment to how clients (and potential clients) want to utilise the group’s global capabilities. The incoming CEO, Zaid Al-Qassab, who starts in May, should be taking on the group’s navigation in less stormy waters.

• Sixt is focused on increasing its market share and expanding into key markets such as Germany and Europe
• The company’s strategy includes focusing on premium vehicles, strong relationships with OEMs, and utilizing franchise operations for global expansion
• The Sixt family’s involvement and significant ownership stake indicate a commitment to the company’s success and continuity in leadership

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• ADF Group reported Q4 & FY24 financial results this morning that beat our expectations across the board.
• For Q4, revenue came in at $88.4M (+72% YoY) vs. our estimate of $77.1M and EBITDA came in at $15.5M (+164% YoY) vs. our estimate of $13.6M.
• FY24 marked another stellar year for ADF as it benefits from infrastructure spending across North America and the automation capex program at its Terrebonne facility.

• Chesnara has announced its 2023 results.
• Positive returns from equity markets and gains from acquisitions in the first half were somewhat offset by adverse changes to operating assumptions in the second.
• Economic Value profit of £59.1m marked a good turnaround from a loss of £85.1m in 2022.

• WIA Gold is an ASX-listed gold exploration junior with a JORC compliant Resource of 1.3m ozs at its Kokoseb project in Namibia
• WIA controls tenements adjacent to Osino Resources’ Eureka project and is in close proximity to Osino’s merger with Dundee Precious Metals (DPM)
• The company recently raised A$11m to accelerate exploration at its projects in Namibia and Cote d’Ivoire, with plans for production at Kokoseb in less than 4 years, potentially resulting in a quick return on investment for WIA shareholders through collaboration with DPM.

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• Market gaining confidence in DSGR’s management and growth strategy for potential multiple expansion
• Strong acquisition pipeline and track record of successful integrations positioning DSGR for long-term success
• DSGR offers an attractive investment opportunity with potential for significant upside due to recent developments and discounted valuation

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.