In today’s briefing:
- Surprise National Assembly Moves: 2nd Commercial Act Amendments & Yellow Envelope Law
- Gemini Space Station, Inc. (GEMI): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a High Profile Crypto-Platform
- Global FX: The weak dollar view passes a flow test
- Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29
- Mediobanca’s Failed Banca Generali Bid and Implications for BMPS’ Hostile Offer
- Wave Of Director Acquisitions as Local Rally Takes a Breather
- HDFC Bank Limited: Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials
- China Vanke – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2025 Results – Lucror Analytics

Surprise National Assembly Moves: 2nd Commercial Act Amendments & Yellow Envelope Law
- Major governance shake-up: >KRW 2T companies face mandatory cumulative voting, giving minorities real board influence, while audit committee split votes expand from 1 to 2+, boosting independence.
- Trade sweet spot is holdcos and brokers with high treasury stock and retail float. Bloated buybacks may drive cancellations, sparking quick momentum trades in messy-governance names.
- Today, holdcos and brokers with 10%+ treasury stock and >₩500bn market cap are leading pops, driving action and attracting fast-money flows.
Gemini Space Station, Inc. (GEMI): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a High Profile Crypto-Platform
- The company that describes its mission is to unlock the next era of financial, creative, and personal freedom filed for an IPO on August 15th.
- As of June 30, 2025, they serve approximately 523,000 MTUs and approximately 10,000 institutions in over 60 countries, with over $18 billion of assets on their platform.
- Their total revenue was $98.1 million and $142.2 million and their net loss was $319.7 million and $158.5 million in 2023 and 2024, respectively.
Global FX: The weak dollar view passes a flow test
- Dollar undervaluation has closed in the past three months, but institutional Fed credibility news has not had a durable effect on the price.
- Concerns about exceptionalism in US equity market strength potentially pushing the dollar higher are countered by better growth not being US exclusive and the impact of inflation on currency.
- Despite large inflows into US equities in June, the dollar fell substantially, raising questions about the relationship between flows and dollar strength.
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Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29
- A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 25 – August 29. .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.
- OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: Alphabet, S&P 500 INDEX , Tesla , China Mobile (941 HK) , Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , ASX 200 INDEX , CSI 300 Index , HSI INDEX.
- OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: Meta (META US) , Softbank Group (9984 JP).
Mediobanca’s Failed Banca Generali Bid and Implications for BMPS’ Hostile Offer
- Mediobanca trades as a cheap option on a BMPS bump: limited downside, positive skew, and convergence momentum after Generali defence failed. Positioning risk/reward is asymmetric into the September deadline.
- With BMPS paper implying little premium, spread tightness reflects embedded expectations of a bump. Investors effectively hold optionality: upside on improved terms, downside cushioned by franchise value and sector consolidation.
- Regulatory overhang looks contained: ECB signed off, Rome aligned. Focus shifts to September 8 acceptance deadline, where pressure builds on BMPS to sweeten terms and avoid a messy partial outcome.
Wave Of Director Acquisitions as Local Rally Takes a Breather
- Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a net outflow of S$53 million from August 15-21.
- ISOTeam secured S$22.5 million in new contracts, boosting its order book to S$181.1 million for 24 months.
- Q & M Dental Group raised S$130 million from a Multicurrency Debt Issuance Programme for organic expansion and M&A.
HDFC Bank Limited: Record Ownership and Dominance Among EM Financials
- ChatGPT said: HDFC Bank is now held by 71% of active EM funds — an all-time high, with steady inflows and just one exit in six months.
- Aggressive Growth funds show strongest conviction, with multiple holders above a 7% weight.
- Post-Merger, HDFC has widened its lead over ICICI and regional peers, cementing its role as EM managers’ core financials exposure.
China Vanke – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2025 Results – Lucror Analytics
- China Vanke’s H1/25 results remained weak, mainly due to operating losses at its property development segment.
- The property development gross margin continued to contract, as the company continued to deliver projects with high land costs.
- Earnings were also impacted by impairment charges amid persistent industry weakness, as well as fair value losses from asset disposals.
