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Equity Bottom-Up Archives | Page 53 of 222 | Smartkarma

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Running Out Of Puff? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Running Out Of Puff?
  • Mega Caps Thrive But Other Tech Firms Are Punished for Lack of AI-Linked Earnings Potential
  • The Beat Ideas: Kama Holdings- A Growing Player at Deep Discount
  • Asics (7936) | Raising the Bar
  • Midea Real Estate (3990 HK):  Divesting Property Development Business (Cash Option At 57% Premium)
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jun-2024): Konrad Young pushes Taiwan-UK collab in quantum tech
  • 4Q Follow-Up – Torex Semiconductor (6616 JP)
  • China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Still Warrants a Look
  • Nu Ride (NRDE) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024
  • Lincoln National Corp (LNC) – Monday, Mar 25, 2024


StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Running Out Of Puff?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Trading comfortably through the Partial Offer terms, Sun Corp (6736 JP) may still do nothing with its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) holding towards narrowing the NAV discount.
  • Preceding my comments on Sun Corp are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Mega Caps Thrive But Other Tech Firms Are Punished for Lack of AI-Linked Earnings Potential

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Mega cap stocks like Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft surpass lofty market expectations, in the latest earnings season leading to continued rallies. 
  • Profits from AI innovations are accumulating predominantly at the bottom of the supply chain, benefiting large hardware and cloud service providers. 
  • Smaller tech companies, including Salesforce, MongoDB, and Dell, have experienced sharp corrections due to lofty expectations and their limited capacity to generate significant AI revenue.

The Beat Ideas: Kama Holdings- A Growing Player at Deep Discount

By Sudarshan Bhandari


Asics (7936) | Raising the Bar

By Mark Chadwick

  • Asics has demonstrated impressive growth in gross profit margins, as evidenced by 4.3ppt YoY improvement in Q1 to 54.5%
  • Asics has been successful in growing market share and enhancing its brand strength
  • For FY2024, we now forecast a 10% YoY increase in sales to ¥628 billion and a 46% rise in OP to ¥79 billion (prev: ¥ 71b)

Midea Real Estate (3990 HK):  Divesting Property Development Business (Cash Option At 57% Premium)

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK) announced last night a proposal for distribution in specie of the property development business to shareholders.
  • The proposal allows shareholders to select between receiving pro rata shares in the PrivateCo, or the cash alternative at HKD5.90 per share, a 57% premium to last close at HKD3.75. 
  • I believe this is a good deal for minority shareholders.  The company (ex. property development business) will continue to be listed on the HKSE after the distribution. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jun-2024): Konrad Young pushes Taiwan-UK collab in quantum tech

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Former TSMC R&D director Konrad Young advocates for a partnership between Taiwan and the UK in quantum technology.
  • Chinese car brands attract young Thai consumers with innovative smart cockpit features, winning over the market.
  • Xiaomi implements strategic changes in India after a decade of entering the market, adapting to new trends and demands.

4Q Follow-Up – Torex Semiconductor (6616 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • While current underlying demand has yet to show signs of a strong recovery, progress has been made in inventory adjustments in the distribution supply chain, and TOREX expects a recovery in sales from the 2H of 2024, and the top priority for this term is strengthening sales expansion initiatives.
  • Regarding the initial FY25/3 consolidated OP forecast, in addition to a contribution of ¥1,150mn from the +8.7% YoY increase in net sales, the decrease of ¥2,370mn in inventory write-downs in manufacturing cost of sales will drive a strong recovery in OP.
  • Although capex is set to decline -31.9% YoY to ¥3,600mn (mainly for equipment being installed in the new Phenitec Kagoshima Fab clean room), having peaked out last term, depreciation will increase +27.7% YoY to ¥3,000mn as the new clean room has started operations. 

China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Still Warrants a Look

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Gas Holdings (384 HK)‘s FY24 result is distorted by non-recurring items and provisions. Adjusted net profit, however, has declined by only 4.3%, and is only 2.6% below consensus. 
  • FY25 guidance looks positive as a 6% increase in dollar margin and a 5% increase in gas volume are expected. The Apr-May operating figures support such projections.
  • China Gas maintained its DPS despite a drop in reported profit, showcasing its confidence. Assuming the same dividend in FY25 and FY26, it will sit on a yield of 7%. 

Nu Ride (NRDE) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Nu Ride is a SPAC with $2.5 per share in cash and $1 billion in net operating losses
  • Company has $2.9 per share of net cash and $2.0 per share of perpetual preferred held by Foxconn
  • Ongoing litigation actions against Foxconn and former executives could result in potential increase in net cash value to $4.5 per share

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Lincoln National Corp (LNC) – Monday, Mar 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • LNC is poised for growth in the U.S. life insurance market due to improving fundamentals, positive earnings per share revisions, and an attractive valuation
  • Despite past challenges with capital and credibility, management has successfully addressed issues and reshaped the business, leading to a clear roadmap for future growth
  • With potential catalysts on the horizon, LNC has significant upside potential and the possibility of a shift in investor sentiment in the near future.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount
  • Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy’s Dilemma, Logic to Biotech’s Stock Price,YSB’s Risk
  • China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook
  • Everest Group (EG) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024
  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – The Company Is Now In Trouble
  • Aclaris Therapeutics Inc (ACRS) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024
  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Less New Stores with Higher Volumes


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.1% Premium, After Sharp Drop, Will Be Interesting to See If Spread Will Remain Within the Recent ~15-25% Range
  • ASE: +7.4% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread Given Recent Trading Range
  • ChipMOS: -2.4% Discount Repesents Extreme Low of End of Range; Can Consider Going Long the Spread

Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With more foreign countries being granted visa-free visits to China, Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) will benefit from more transfer traffic via Hong Kong.
  • Recovery is decent with passenger traffic rising 37.5% in 5M24. CX’s capacity already returned to 80% of pre-pandemic in 2Q24, and this will reach 100% in 1Q25. 
  • YTD, CX is still a laggard relative to many global airlines. Its P/B valuation is not stretched at 0.8x, given ROE of 11% over the next 3 years.  

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy’s Dilemma, Logic to Biotech’s Stock Price,YSB’s Risk

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Retail pharmacies experienced performance decline in April and May. Due to negative policies, retail pharmacies will experience industry clearance. Therefore, we do not recommend investors to bottom-fish related stocks now.
  • There is a logic to biotech’s performance from 2023 to present.The clearer the path of sustainable development, the better the stock price performance. They can be divided into three types.
  • YSB faces big risks and the outlook is not optimistic. If the final valuation of the Company is lower than China Resources Pharmaceutical and Shanghai Pharmaceuticals, we wouldn’t be too surprised.

China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook

By Ming Lu

  • Kuaishou and Bilibili’s GMV surged YoY during “June 18” sales.
  • World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King, will formally start on June 27.
  • GAC Honda Automobile Ltd planned to dismiss 1700 employees, about 14% of total.

Everest Group (EG) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Everest Group has sustainable and improving 15-20% ROEs
  • Stock trades at a valuation of 1.2x book and 6x P/E
  • Poised for future success with accelerating casualty pricing, stable property-cat rates, and potential for hitting 90 combined ratio target

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – The Company Is Now In Trouble

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Acotec’s 2023 performance was unsatisfactory. Core products suffered weak growth. Positive trend of continuing to optimize revenue structure was broken. Sales of latecomers’ competing products would expand rapidly in 2024/2025. 
  • Revenue proportion in overseas markets was still below 5% in 2023. If no highlights in Acotec’s cooperation with Boston Scientific in 2024, this collaboration could be considered a failure.
  • Due to VBP, margin could further decline. If it’s just the current situation, then Acotec is not as good as Zylox-Tonbridge. So, its valuation should also be lower than Zylox-Tonbridge.

Aclaris Therapeutics Inc (ACRS) – Sunday, Mar 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • ACRC is a biotech pharma micro-cap company trading below its net cash value
  • Downsized workforce after a failed phase 2 trial, CEO and CMO left prompting strategic evaluation
  • Activist investors involved, potential for monetization of stakes to benefit shareholders.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Less New Stores with Higher Volumes

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) is back on track with its handset business, with stronger volume growth driven by more affordable models from Infinix and Techno brands.
  • The company’s buildout of its electrical retailer Erablue, a JV with Mobile World, is gaining momentum and should become a significant growth driver along with Grand Lucky supermarket.
  • Erajaya will slow its store buildout this year as it focuses on productivity ny it still expected to add 200 new stores over in Indonesia. Valuation is attractive.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Will Apple Intelligence Drive IPhone Maker past USD 4 Trillion in Market Cap? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Will Apple Intelligence Drive IPhone Maker past USD 4 Trillion in Market Cap?
  • Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.
  • Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24
  • Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Expands | Domestic Solid Too | (June 2024)
  • European Airlines – Fare Softening Suggests Elevated Earnings Risk with Self-Help Stories Crucial
  • Lufthansa – ITA Airways Financial Sustainability Questions Without Lufthansa Partnership/Steering


Will Apple Intelligence Drive IPhone Maker past USD 4 Trillion in Market Cap?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Never a pioneer, instead a perfectionist in delivering mind bending experience. That’s what Apple has stood for traditionally. Can it repeat the act in the Gen AI era? 
  • Siri to have advanced language comprehension and Writing Tools to deliver useful features to drive convenience and productivity. 
  • Private Cloud Compute ensures user data remains encrypted and secure. Reflects Apple’s commitment to privacy amidst growing concerns surrounding data misuse.

Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.

By Patrick Liao

  • We presume Silergy is likely to see demand recovery or inventory rebuilding starting from 2Q24.
  • Silergy’s wafer demand is projected to increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 onwards.  
  • Silergy’s primary focus remains on China, Taiwan, and Korea, but the US market is promising for potential growth.  

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ.

By Patrick Liao

  • United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) 3Q24 outlook could be showing a slightly upside quarter over quarter and the gross margin is approaching to ~30%.
  • We estimate that UMC’s overall utilization in 3Q24 will be around 65-70%, with 12” at 70-75% and 8” at 60%.
  • UMC is benefiting from Novatek shipping OLED DDIC to Apple (AAPL US) in 3Q24.

Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24

By Patrick Liao

  • We expect Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) to achieve approximately a 5% QoQ growth in revenue and relatively flat gross margin (GM) QoQ in 3Q24.
  • Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) and HLMC are capable of producing DDICs at 40nm and below.
  • Novatek is experiencing a decline in demand for 55nm Touch with Display Driver (TDDI) in 3Q24.

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Expands | Domestic Solid Too | (June 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Growth of outbound Chinese travel demand strong in May as HK, Macau slow
  • Domestic travel demand also showed solid growth in May and early June
  • Trip.com appears reasonably cheap now that it’s dipped below US$50, BUY

European Airlines – Fare Softening Suggests Elevated Earnings Risk with Self-Help Stories Crucial

By Neil Glynn

  • Forward looking fare data suggests pricing further weakening for the European flag carriers on long haul in particular.
  • We expect Lufthansa to miss EBIT guidance by 30% in 2024 while we also cut Air France-KLM 2024 EBIT by 15%.
  • IAG stands out as most resilient, with BA seemingly outperforming peer pricing on the Transatlantic.

Lufthansa – ITA Airways Financial Sustainability Questions Without Lufthansa Partnership/Steering

By Neil Glynn

  • As Lufthansa nears European Commission approval for its investment in ITA Airways, as widely reported this week, we highlight our analysis of the Italian carrier.
  • In a strong year for the global industry, heavy 2023 losses prompt questions over ITA’s financial sustainability with Lufthansa support.
  • We highlight that ITA’s problems are in revenue generation rather than operational efficiency.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Edelweiss: Co-Lending Led Credit Business Is Now Gaining Momentum and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Edelweiss: Co-Lending Led Credit Business Is Now Gaining Momentum
  • MMG Rights Issue – Prospectus Issued
  • MMA Offshore Ltd – Increased Scheme Offer of $2.70/Share; Trading Update
  • Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024
  • IQVIA Deep Dive
  • Volkswagen Ag (VWAPY) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024
  • Games Workshop Group – FY24 profit estimates beaten
  • Migalo Holdings (5535 JP) – Full-Year FY2024/3 Earnings Review
  • Rent.com.au Ltd – Additional capital raised, RentPay customers up 64%
  • Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024


Edelweiss: Co-Lending Led Credit Business Is Now Gaining Momentum

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Edelweiss reported a strong Q4FY24 led by robust performance across businesses. The asset management business continues to be the lead performer. Insurance businesses are also growing at an industry-leading pace.
  • Most notably, the credit business seems to be gaining momentum now, led by co-lending. MSME co-lending disbursements tripled while housing finance (HFC) co-lending disbursements doubled in FY24. 
  • To unlock value and reduce debt at the corporate level, Edelweiss is planning a minority stake sale in the Alternative Asset Management business.

MMG Rights Issue – Prospectus Issued

By Rikki Malik

  • The stock price has corrected to the anticipated level and rebounded
  • Dates announced for acceptance and payment for the rights issue
  • There may be more weakness once the rights shares start  trading

MMA Offshore Ltd – Increased Scheme Offer of $2.70/Share; Trading Update

By MA Moelis Australia

  • Cyan MMA Holdings Pty Ltd (Cyan) has increased its scheme consideration to $2.70 cash per share, up from $2.60 per share and has designated the offer as best and final.
  • A supplementary Scheme Booklet is expected to be released 21 June; scheme voting is for 1 July.
  • MMA Offshore Ltd (MRM) recently released a 2H24 trading update, noting earnings visibility and performance across the current half has continued to improve.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Burford Capital is a leading provider of litigation finance with a market capitalization of $2.5bn and strong revenue and profit figures
  • The company, led by innovative founders, has received positive assessments from customers, ex-employees, law firms, and peers
  • Burford has a proven track record of competitive advantage in revenue, market share, innovation, customer service, and underwriting skill, with potential for improved returns on capital and vast growth opportunities.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


IQVIA Deep Dive

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Back in 2016, IMS Health and Quintiles went through a merger of equals to form “QuintilesIMS” which was later renamed to be “IQVIA” in 2017.
  • “I” and “Q” stand for IMS Health and Quintiles respectively and “VIA” means “by way of”.
  • Since IMS and Quintiles both used to be separate public companies, let me discuss these two businesses separately at first before getting into the details of their post-merger status.

Volkswagen Ag (VWAPY) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Volkswagen’s US ADRs (VWAPY) have underperformed in the past 5 years, despite a 3% increase with dividends
  • Company’s growth guidance and margins are weaker compared to peers, leading to undervaluation of stock
  • Trading at low multiples of forward earnings and free cash flow, recent free cash flow guidance for 2024 was unimpressive; preferred shares receive extra dividends but no voting rights

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Games Workshop Group – FY24 profit estimates beaten

By Edison Investment Research

Games Workshop Group’s FY24 trading update provided a nice surprise on the revenue side, broadly equally split between core and licensing, and an even nicer surprise for PBT, suggesting an improvement in gross margin. We have upgraded our FY24 estimates to be consistent with the indicated figures and marginally increase our estimates for FY25, which reverts to a 52-week period accounting period.


Migalo Holdings (5535 JP) – Full-Year FY2024/3 Earnings Review

By Sessa Investment Research

  • On May 9, 2024, Migalo Holdings Inc. (hereafter, the Company) announced its full- year FY2024/3 earnings results.
  • Sales rose 14.5% YoY to ¥42,672 mn, and operating profit fell 14.4% YoY to ¥2,500 mn, largely in line with the Company’s full-year forecast calling for sales to rise 12.7% YoY to ¥42,000 mn and operating profit to drop 14.4% YoY to ¥2,500 mn.
  • The Company will pay a year-end dividend of ¥45 per share, including a commemorative dividend of ¥5 per share to celebrate the 20th anniversary of the founding of its predecessor, Property Agent, Inc.

Rent.com.au Ltd – Additional capital raised, RentPay customers up 64%

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update report on purpose-led proptech Rent.com.au (ASX:RNT) following its fully-underwritten entitlement offer to raise $2.5m at $0.02/share, with one quoted option for every two shares issued.
  • Separately and on June 3, RNT provided a trading update in which it announced that RentPay’s customers at the end of May were up 64% to 9,271.
  • We have incorporated the capital raise in our forecasts, but having already modelled an additional $2.5m raise in H2 FY25, the impact to our forecasts is only due at the EPS line.

Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • BCG is the leading online classified group in the Baltics with 14 portals across three countries
  • Management team focused on improving monetization for high revenue growth
  • Expected significant value per share growth with exposure to high-growth Baltic markets and plans to increase take-rates, presenting an intriguing opportunity for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Strong FY24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Strong FY24, 6.7x PE, Cash ~23% of Mkt Cap and >8% Dividend Yield
  • Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Every Coin Has Two Sides
  • Additional Points Add to Our Recent Bearish View on Takeda.
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing
  • CMCDI Update: Warning Shot Fired At AGM Despite Kan’s Successful Re-Election
  • Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Volume and ASP Growth Achieved in 3QFY24; Sees Higher Global Demand Ahead
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.
  • MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value
  • Perfect Corp.
  • Sharkninja (SN) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024


Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Strong FY24, 6.7x PE, Cash ~23% of Mkt Cap and >8% Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported revenues up 37% YoY and profits up 29% YoY (lower than our expectation of 39% profit growth) due to a slightly weaker-than-expected Q4.
  • Dividends for H2 were 7.4 cents/share (overall FY24:12.9 cents), implying an 8.1% dividend yield. Net cash on the balance sheet was 143 mn HKD (23% of market cap).
  • Trading at 6.7x PE FY24 (March end) and with an excellent execution track record, we believe that the company will be able to post more robust numbers in FY25. 

Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Every Coin Has Two Sides

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Despite missing market consensus, Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK)‘s FY24 result still have silver linings. Its resumption of dividends with a 70% payout ratio is welcoming.
  • Tax credit in 2H23 has distorted comparison. At pre-tax level, 2H24 profit has gone up by 29.5%. Cost management is solid, generating a 0.9pp FY24 operating margin expansion. 
  • While overall 1Q25 sales have dropped, mainland China sales surged 83.9%. The macro environment should have bottomed and government efforts to attract tourists will pay off.  

Additional Points Add to Our Recent Bearish View on Takeda.

By Avien Pillay

  • Production problems of Vyvanse generics seem to be largely resolved with nine of the ten suppliers back in stock.
  • Safety concerns with Takeda’s approved psoriasis competitor does raise further concerns as they are both TYK-2 inhibitors.
  • The company’s $900 m big restructure and cited areas for margin improvement are not “convincing” and lack detail.   

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.
  • From the company’s perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.
  • An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan’s products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.

CMCDI Update: Warning Shot Fired At AGM Despite Kan’s Successful Re-Election

By Alec Tseung

  • While Elizabeth Kan barely survived the AGM vote, ASM has effectively mobilized minority shareholders.
  • Lazard (owns 15% of CMCDI) probably voted alongside ASM (owns 9%). Other than China Merchants Group and Victor Chu, almost no “outside shareholders” voted in favor of Kan, .
  • The next battleground is a vote in November when CMCDI needs to renew its investment management agreement. Intense behind-the-scene negotiations are expected, given the bargaining power ASM now demonstrated.

Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Volume and ASP Growth Achieved in 3QFY24; Sees Higher Global Demand Ahead

By Tina Banerjee

  • Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK) achieved 16% QoQ revenue growth in 3QFY24, on 13% sequential volume increase and higher ASP. 3QFY24 operational loss reduced to RM34M from RM59M in 2QFY24.
  • Considering the current demand and supply condition, Top Glove expects the ASP to further increase. The company aims to recover its EBITDA margin to pre-pandemic levels of 15% by FY26.
  • With rising import alert and expected tariff increase on Chinese manufacturers, the US demand may shift from China to Malaysia. Top Glove is poised to benefit from potential trade diversion.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.
  • Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.
  • Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan’s carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.

MIXI Inc. (2121 JP) – At an Inflection Point to Generate Shareholder Value

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Approaching a transformational phase – MIXI Inc. is a digital content company generating earnings from its ‘MONSTER STRIKE’ mobile gaming franchise.
  • Operating in a mature domestic gaming market, the company has successfully diversified into lifestyle and sports, but to date has experienced limited earnings contribution.
  • We believe this is about to change, driven by the new monetization strategy for the ‘FamilyAlbum’ video and photo- sharing service app in FY3/25. 

Perfect Corp.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Perfect Corp. provides an AI and machine learning based B2B SaaS platform for virtual try on and marketing of beauty and fashion products as well as six mobile apps sold B2C for makeup suggestions, try-on, tutorials, photo and video editing and most recently, Gen AI creation and editing.
  • It is expanding its offering to new verticals and has strong IP as well as the largest database for AI training in the industry.
  • It has a dominant market share and serves almost all the major beauty brands worldwide.

Sharkninja (SN) – Thursday, Mar 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SharkNinja is a newly listed company with popular consumer brands Shark and Ninja
  • Despite challenges in brand-building and international markets, the company achieved a 15% operating margin in 2023
  • Analysts project an annualized return of 18-20% based on current earnings yield and expected organic earnings growth

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: How Netflix bring Asian Content to the Global Audience with Minyoung Kim and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • How Netflix bring Asian Content to the Global Audience with Minyoung Kim
  • Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing
  • Recent Sell-Off in Tanker Stocks Provides an Opportunity in Cosco Shipping Energy – 1138.HK
  • West China Cement (2233 HK):  African Cement Play At 4x 2024E PE
  • Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.
  • Exor CEO John Elkann: Family Ownership, Football and Ferrari
  • Japanese Regional Banks – Adding a Smaller Cap to Our Key Positive Picks
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)
  • Iron Mountain (IRM) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024


How Netflix bring Asian Content to the Global Audience with Minyoung Kim

By Analyse Asia with Bernard Leong

  • Understanding the audience is the number one rule in content creation and building relationships is important globally
  • Min Yong Kim started her career in food and nutrition but transitioned to the entertainment industry, eventually joining Netflix
  • Lessons learned include the importance of knowing your audience and the shift in thinking about content from traditional media to digital platforms

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Episode 72: Apple Intelligence and Closed Loop Private Computing

By The Circuit

  • Apple announced Apple intelligence, integrating AI in a feature-centric way for on-device use
  • The approach focused on useful features rather than spotlighting AI technology
  • Apple’s implementation of AI on iPhone 15 Pro and newer devices showcases their focus on personal intelligence and user-centric design

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Recent Sell-Off in Tanker Stocks Provides an Opportunity in Cosco Shipping Energy – 1138.HK

By Rikki Malik

  • All the business fundamentals continue to trend in the right direction
  • The sector has sold off with the general commodity sell-off
  • Investors not giving the benefit of the doubt to future oil demand

West China Cement (2233 HK):  African Cement Play At 4x 2024E PE

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • West China Cement (2233 HK) is a cement company based in Western China.  Sales volume in Africa in 2023 was 2.6 million tons, up 117% from 1.2 million tons in 2022. 
  • The company has 2 million tons of cement capacity in Mozambique, 1.5 million tons in Congo, and 1.3 million tons in Ethiopia. 
  • The company is trading at 4x 2024E PE.  I believe the risk reward is quite high here. 

Money Forward (3994) | Looking Forward to Q2

By Mark Chadwick

  • Money Forward’s share price has declined by around 16% since reporting Q1 results.
  • The company will report Q2 results in early July. We expect continued solid momentum
  • We believe the stock price has around 30% upside potential to our target price of ¥6,600

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.
  • CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.
  • Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Exor CEO John Elkann: Family Ownership, Football and Ferrari

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Practice of committing to ownership, governance, and leadership alignment with companies similar to other respected examples like Berkshire Hathaway and the Walnbergs in Sweden
  • Focus on long-term thinking, staying current through innovation, and renewing oneself to ensure enduring success in business
  • Importance of family ownership, stability, and long-term thinking in combination with the benefits of being a public company; John Elkann’s background and path to leadership within the family-owned company.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Japanese Regional Banks – Adding a Smaller Cap to Our Key Positive Picks

By Victor Galliano

  • We update twelve Japanese regional banks, and add two new names, to target beneficiaries of the improving interest rate outlook; also banks with attractive credit quality, capital adequacy and valuations
  • We identify the value of equity holdings for disposal among these banks; the lack of near-term easing prospects at the US Fed should support JGB yields and domestic bank valuations
  • We add smaller cap Juroku Financial to our buy list of Tokyo Kiraboshi Financial, Gunma Bank and higher risk option Suruga Bank

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022
  • But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably…
  • We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs

Iron Mountain (IRM) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Short recommendation for IRM due to reliance on core document storage business and highly leveraged balance sheet
  • Weak cash flow generation and recurring addbacks in adjusted metrics make stock appear more expensive than it is
  • Concerns about terminal value and ability to meet cash needs raise doubts about long-term viability of the business

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24
  • Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; ‘Boring’ DRAM Could Now Hot Up
  • Micron’s HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..
  • Morepen Laboratories (MORE IN): Strong Performance in FY24; Positive Momentum to Sustain
  • COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?
  • Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024
  • 3M Company: Global Market Dynamics and Restructuring Initiatives! – Major Drivers
  • Pathward Financial Inc (CASH) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024
  • Coherent Corp: Expansion and Diversification in Telecom and Datacom Optics & Other Major Drivers
  • Kuok Khoon Hong and George Yeo boost Wilmar stakes


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jun-2024): Taiwan wafer industry in 2Q24

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan’s wafer foundry industry set to expand in Q2 2024 with potential government and financial support.
  • London Tech Week 2024 showcases AI, semiconductors, deep tech, startups, and global tech partnerships.
  • Quanta sees profits double despite workforce reduction, while Intel invests in Luxshare in China to boost market presence.

Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; ‘Boring’ DRAM Could Now Hot Up

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Computex showed how Micron has successfully leap-frogged SK Hynix and Samsung in HBM DRAM for AI Servers.
  • Now, older ‘boring’ DRAM prices could surge as HBM DRAM production is voraciously consuming memory fab capacity.
  • Why Nanya Tech shares could surge higher — A DRAM memory trade for those who don’t want to chase steep 52-week highs in Micron and SK Hynix.

Micron’s HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..

By William Keating

  • HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to “multiple” billions in 2025
  • Micron expects to become FCF positive in the second half of their fiscal 2024 and to have a record revenue year in their fiscal 2025. 
  • Micron’s is doing custom work on their HBM solutions. Customers are signing LTAs with defined pricing. This could easily spread to Micron’s non-HBM products also. 

Morepen Laboratories (MORE IN): Strong Performance in FY24; Positive Momentum to Sustain

By Tina Banerjee

  • In FY24, Morepen Laboratories (MORE IN) achieved revenue, EBITDA, and PAT growth of 20%, 101% and 150%, YoY, respectively, driven by medical devices and API businesses.
  • Business has stabilized in FY24 and Morepen is seeing fresh buying of medical devices. With expanding capacity, glucometer and BP monitor are expected to maintain ~30% growth momentum.
  • Morepen aims to expand API product portfolio and geographic reach, while maintaining global leadership positioning in six key widely used API products.

COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Cofco Joycome (1610 HK) is in a good position to benefit from the hog cycle upturn. China’s anti-dumping investigation into imported pork from the EU may also disrupt supply.
  • Its average hog price has increased by 12.7% YTD and by 1.6% YoY for 5M24. Market hog price further surged by 10.4% in the week of 12-Jun from end-May.
  • Its P/B of 0.78x is inexpensive at 1SD below the 5-year average. Its peers like Muyuan Foodstuff (002714 CH) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498 CH) are also interesting. 

Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) – Wednesday, Mar 20, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Globalfoundries Inc. is an American semiconductor foundry spun out of Advanced Micro Devices in 2009.
  • The company operates four fabs in the US, Germany, and Singapore, making it the only scaled pure-play outside of China and Taiwan.
  • In 2018, Globalfoundries shifted its focus to producing lagging-edge, feature-rich semiconductors after halting investment in leading-edge chip development.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


3M Company: Global Market Dynamics and Restructuring Initiatives! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the first quarter of 2024, 3M reported significant achievements and detailed the financial impacts of strategic decisions, including the successful spin-off of its Health Care business, now known as Solventum.
  • The separation into two distinct entities is designed to enhance focused growth and improve capital allocation tailored to different market dynamics, thereby representing a strategic realignment to boost shareholder value.
  • This quarter also saw the company addressing its legal challenges with settlements in the Public Water Suppliers and Combat Arms litigation, resulting in predictable future cash flows related to these issues.

Pathward Financial Inc (CASH) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Pathward Financial, Inc. is a BaaS company that partners with prepaid card issuers to provide prepaid card services to consumers and businesses
  • Prepaid cards are used for various purposes such as fintech apps, payroll, gift cards, or rebates, with Pathward acting as the banking sponsor for these programs
  • Pathward earns revenue through collecting deposits, investing in higher-yielding assets, and earning revenue from payments such as interchange fees, with impressive financial metrics including an adjusted NIM of 4.5% and ROTE of 30%

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Coherent Corp: Expansion and Diversification in Telecom and Datacom Optics & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Coherent Corp. reported a solid third-quarter performance for Fiscal Year 2024, signaling strong underlying business dynamics despite some operational hitches.
  • The company emphasized a noteworthy sequential revenue increase of almost 7% and an almost 50% rise in non-GAAP EPS which marked significant growth.
  • Operating cash flow stood robust at $117 million, with a substantial portion directed towards capital investments and debt repayment.

Kuok Khoon Hong and George Yeo boost Wilmar stakes

By Geoff Howie

  • Kuok Khoon Hong and George Yeo boost Wilmar stakes Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks in the five trading sessions up to Jun 13, with S$3.6 million of net institutional outflow, as 23 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$88.8 million.
  • Stamford Land Corp executive chairman Ow Chio Kiat increased his total interest from 45.86 to 45.88 per cent, acquiring 246,800 shares at S$0.40 a share between Jun 6 and 11.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: The Beat Ideas- Archean Chemical: The Bromine Leader of India and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas- Archean Chemical: The Bromine Leader of India
  • Chiba Bank – Short Term Borrowing Surges, Just at the Wrong Time
  • Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Increasingly Esoteric
  • Closing Lufax
  • Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – June 2024
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan
  • Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928)
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.
  • Avant Group Corporation (TSE:3836)
  • Xero’s Price Hikes


The Beat Ideas- Archean Chemical: The Bromine Leader of India

By Sudarshan Bhandari


Chiba Bank – Short Term Borrowing Surges, Just at the Wrong Time

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Short term borrowing rose 2.3x in the past four quarters, alongside rising interest rates
  • During this time, long term borrowings were actually down, so no locking in of low rates
  • As such, Chiba is not fully, or hardly benefiting from BOJ policy changes, with NIM down

Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Increasingly Esoteric

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Prodia (PRDA IJ) suffered from a seasonal downturn in 1Q2024 as Lebaran slowed its testing volumes from corporates, with opex related to Prodia Digital impacting margins in the quarter.
  • The company’s testing mix is shifting in a meaningful way towards esoteric testing, which commands significantly higher margins plus it is building out its genomic testing, which yields higher returns.
  • Investment in Prodia Digital should slow in the coming quarters, helping to improve margins. with new outlets driving revenues. Valuations are unjustifiably low with 2Q2024 numbers likely to be positive.

Closing Lufax

By Turtles all the way down

  • It has come to my attention that Lufax management has recently altered the terms of their convertible debt: Based on the terms and conditions of the Ping An Convertible Promissory Notes, as a result of the Special Dividend, the Conversion Price will be adjusted from US$12.
  • Based on the terms and conditions of the Ping An Convertible Promissory Notes, as a result of the Special Dividend, the Conversion Price will be adjusted from US$12.76 per Share as at the date of this circular to US$2.32 per Share upon settlement of the Special Dividend, and thus, upon full conversion, the Ping An Convertible Promissory Notes can be converted into a maximum number of 421,077,586 Shares (the “Conversion Shares”).
  • The Company considers that the adjustment formula is in line with market practice for anti-dilution provisions in convertible securities.

Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – June 2024

By Sameer Taneja


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 3nm Shortage & Upcoming Price Hikes; Samsung Unveils AI Catch-Up Plan

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s 3nm Shortage: Capacity Filled Until 2026 Amid Surging Demand; Strategic Price Hikes Coming Soon
  • Top Gainers/Losers: Taiwan Tech Rallies Alongside TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, ARM Strength
  • Samsung Unveils Pathway to Catch Up With TSMC in the AI Foundry Race

Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928)

By Hurdle Rate

  • Miroku Jyoho Service (TSE:9928) , which offers on-premises, hybrid (IaaS) and cloud accounting software to Japanese enterprises of various sizes.
  • Our purchase is centred around the business achieving further transition to the cloud, allowing for substantial margin improvement through the accumulation of high gross margin SaaS revenue.
  • This transition has impacted firm profitability in the short term due to the shift in revenue recognition as quoted below by the company

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.
  • Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.
  • Microsoft & Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.

Avant Group Corporation (TSE:3836)

By Hurdle Rate

  • Avant was founded in 1997 by the current CEO Tetsuji Morikawa and is a Japanese holding company of financial and non-financial software which have the collective goal of assisting its clientele to increase corporate value.
  • This includes ‘Diva’ as Japan’s foremost (43% market share) consolidated accounting software and board meetings platform in addition to ‘Avant’, a management system for corporate value enhancement through consolidation of information (Avant Cruise) , charting (Avant Chart) , and corporate value enhancement (Avant Compass).
  • Lastly, there is ‘Zeal’ which includes several non-financial platforms that help organise and integrate (with Avant Cruise) from external sources. And interestingly, Avant also owns and operates Internet Disclosure Co, which runs Kaijinet, a site I have frequently visited over the years.

Xero’s Price Hikes

By Hurdle Rate

  • This is the first blog post on the Hurdle Rate website, a series of blog posts which I intend to cover specific topics rather than unit trust investments.
  • From time to time I may consider company deep dives, but predominately I want to make these posts more specific in nature around the global landscape in professional and financial services.
  • Today’s post is going to talk about the recent bombshell that is Xero’s price hikes, a controversial topic here in Australia for the accounting industry, and a perfect start to the blogroll given my background and focus.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun16)-WuXi Get A “Reprieve”, Vaccine Company in Trouble, Insurance Surplus
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.
  • 4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100
  • China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent
  • China CRSC (3969 HK): Well Worth the Premium
  • Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments
  • Sun Corporation (6736) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024
  • Ascentage Pharma (6855.HK) Signs $1.3B Deal with Takeda – Finally on the Right Path
  • TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

By Patrick Liao

  • The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.
  • TSMC’s CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.
  • TSMC’s stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun16)-WuXi Get A “Reprieve”, Vaccine Company in Trouble, Insurance Surplus

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to increasing competition/price reduction/overcapacity issue, outlook of domestic vaccine companies isn’t optimistic, which has been reflected in 24Q1 results. However, there’s also a “special one” that deserves investors’ attention.
  • The status of medical insurance funds is improving rather than deteriorating, but we’re currently in the first half of the decade with the highest pressure on medical insurance.
  • As the H.R.8333 proposal faced obstacles in the process of being included in NDAA, WuXi AppTec/WuXi Bio’s shares once rebounded.We remain conservative as situation is not as simple as imagined.

MediaTek (2454.TT): 2Q24 Guidance Is Achievable; to Take Advantage of the AI PC Replacement Trend.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s 3Q24 is expected to experience a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 5%.  
  • MediaTek is currently developing new processors based on Arm architecture and natively supporting the Microsoft Windows operating system.
  • It is believed that MediaTek will tape out with TSMC 3nm technology, targeting the 1H25 market.

4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100

By Andrei Zakharov

  • 4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. 
  • In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.
  • The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.

China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

By Ming Lu

  • European Commission will impose provisional tariffs on imported Chinese battery electric vehicles.
  • Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 117% YoY in 1Q24 and by 112% YoY in the first five months of 2024.
  • Ant Group will pay RMB1 billion to sponsor content creators on AliPay.

China CRSC (3969 HK): Well Worth the Premium

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK)‘s latest order backlog is estimated to be Rmb173.7bn, enough to cover FY24F revenue by 4.4x.
  • Gross margin has sustained expansion, reaching a record high of 27.8% in 1Q24. Higher R&D expenses will benefit its medium-term earnings.
  • Net cash equals 59% of the share price, allowing it to maintain over 50% payout and potentially higher going forward. Operating cash flow has also turned around to positive.

Unpacking NVIDIA’s NVentures; When a Doctor Gets Clinical On Early Stage Investments

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • NVIDIA deploys a three-pronged strategy to support the rapidly growing AI ecosystem. First, Corporate Investments. Second, NVentures. Third, NVIDIA Inception.
  • NVentures supports innovators who are deeply relevant to NVIDIA. NVentures aims to produce solid financial returns while growing the ecosystem.
  • NVIDIA participated in 35 deals in 2023 (6x more than in 2022). It has been more active than firm like Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

Sun Corporation (6736) – Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sun Corporation is trading at 40% of its net asset value and has valuable SaaS business with Cellebrite
  • Activist investor involvement may unlock trapped value in the company
  • Cellebrite is a top digital forensics platform serving law enforcement agencies, making Sun Corp a promising investment choice in the Japanese market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Ascentage Pharma (6855.HK) Signs $1.3B Deal with Takeda – Finally on the Right Path

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Ascentage was originally in an extremely difficult situation, but the cooperation with Takeda turned things around. Ascentage has obtained urgently needed cash flow to solve the survival problem.
  • At this stage, it’s possible for Ascentage to hit about 50% market value of HCM.  Investors are interested to know if APG-2575 would also be out-licensed, which however is not easy.
  • Ascentage’s current strength isn’t sufficient to self-build sales system. While this deal is a good start, if Ascentage still chooses to do commercialization on its own, it’s time to sell. 

TechChain Insights: Q&A with TSMC Supplier Kinik; Diamond Capex Implies Industry Strength Visibility

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We conducted a Q&A with Kinik, who is a key supplier to companies including TSMC, UMC, and Micron.
  • Kinik is dramatically expanding its diamond disk capacity; these products are critical to the production of wafers for advanced semiconductor nodes.
  • We believe Kinik has high visibility into future industry demand. Gross margins are likely to expand in the coming years as advanced diamond products become increasingly important to wafer production.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced
  • NextEra Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – A Blend of Stability and Growth in Renewable Energy! – Major Drivers
  • Bausch + Lomb Corporation: Strategic Product Integration and Sales Force Realignment! – Major Drivers
  • Brown-Forman Corporation: How They Are Leveraging Pricing Strategies to Drive Revenue! – Major Drivers
  • Campbell Soup Company: Supply Chain Enhancements and Cost Management! – Major Drivers
  • Dollar Tree Inc.: E-commerce & Digital Experience Optimization & Other Major Drivers
  • Donaldson Company Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion in Life Sciences Sector & Other Major Drivers
  • Five Below Inc.: How The Management Is Enhancing Margins Through Strategic Cost Management? – Major Drivers
  • Guidewire Software Inc.: A Tale Of Strategic Focus on Modernization and Generative AI! – Major Drivers
  • Littelfuse Inc.: Will Its Increased Design Win Momentum Last? – Major Drivers


Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced

By Tina Banerjee

  • Medipal Holdings (7459 JP) reported FY24 result, with revenue and net profit beating and operating profit missing guidance. FY24 revenue increased 6% YoY, driven by growth across all business segments.
  • The company is anticipating an upturn in revenue and operating profit in FY25. However, FY25 net profit is expected to fall due to the absence of extraordinary income.
  • The company has announced a share buy-back plan to purchase up to 2.5M shares for ¥5B from May 15, 2024 to August 30, 2024.  

NextEra Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – A Blend of Stability and Growth in Renewable Energy! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • A combination of strong demand growth, portfolio diversification, and strategic expansion has helped NextEra Energy post solid financial results for the first quarter of 2024.
  • The company reported an 8.3% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share, driven largely by the performance of its Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) and Energy Resources segments.
  • FPL’s earnings per share increased $0.04 year-over-year, the primary driver being a growth of approximately 11.5% in the company’s regulatory capital year-over-year.

Bausch + Lomb Corporation: Strategic Product Integration and Sales Force Realignment! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • At Bausch + Lomb, the results for the first quarter of 2024 denote a significant advancement, manifesting a 20% constant currency revenue growth, accelerated by the robust performance across its various business units and geographical regions.
  • This demonstrates a diversified growth model that is not heavily reliant on a single product line or market.
  • The company’s strategic initiatives to invigorate its operational efficiency, innovation, and product launches are turning fruitful, enhancing its financial and market position.

Brown-Forman Corporation: How They Are Leveraging Pricing Strategies to Drive Revenue! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Reviewing the fiscal results and the quarter’s activities of Brown-Forman Corporation presents a detailed picture of the company’s financial health and strategic directions, both of which are vital for current and potential investors.
  • Fiscal year 2024 proved challenging due to highly dynamic market conditions influenced by persistent macroeconomic factors such as inflation and high interest rates impacting consumer and distributor behavior.
  • Nevertheless, the company sought to capitalize on evolving trends towards premiumization and launched new products that align with consumer tastes and preferences, like Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Apple and super premium whiskey varieties.

Campbell Soup Company: Supply Chain Enhancements and Cost Management! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Campbell Soup Company has reported a robust set of results for its fiscal third quarter of 2024, indicating both strengths and challenges within its operations.
  • This mixed performance is worth examining for investors considering the merits and risks of investing in the company.
  • A key positive highlight from the quarter is the integration and contribution of Sovos Brands, which the company acquired on March 12.

Dollar Tree Inc.: E-commerce & Digital Experience Optimization & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dollar Tree’s financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 reflected a mixed performance amid operational challenges and strategic undertakings.
  • In terms of expansion, Dollar Tree highlighted their proactive steps toward aggressive growth, including acquisition opportunities such as purchasing stores from the $0.99 only bankruptcy.
  • Furthermore, the consolidation of its Family Dollar stores indicated a strategic reshaping, aiming at focusing resources on more profitable ventures while delving into a formal review of strategic alternatives for the Family Dollar business.

Donaldson Company Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion in Life Sciences Sector & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Donaldson Company’s third quarter fiscal 2024 results illuminate a company adeptly navigating its competitive landscape and growth avenues, albeit with nuances across different segments and geographies that invite a more tempered enthusiasm.
  • The reported 6% increase in total sales to a record $928 million and a 22% increase in EPS to a record $0.92, alongside an operating margin at a more than decade-high, succinctly encapsulate the firm’s short-term operational success.
  • In Mobile Solutions, notable volume growth driven by the aftermarket business has surpassed pricing gains, which points to robust market performance and potentially sustainable revenue streams from recurrent business.

Five Below Inc.: How The Management Is Enhancing Margins Through Strategic Cost Management? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Five Below reported mixed financial outcomes in the first quarter of 2024, encountering challenges reflected in a total sales growth of 12% paired with a comparable sales decrease of 2.3%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.60, aligning with the lower spectrum of the company’s expectations.
  • This performance highlights particular strengths and vulnerabilities in Five Below’s operational and strategic positioning within the retail sector.

Guidewire Software Inc.: A Tale Of Strategic Focus on Modernization and Generative AI! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Guidewire recently disclosed its results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, which exhibited a strong operational performance and positive strategic developments.
  • The company, which provides insurance software, expressed confidence in its cloud-based offerings and reported significant progress in both customer traction and financial metrics.
  • During this quarter, Guidewire saw substantial customer adoption, evidenced by the closure of eight InsuranceSuite Cloud deals, bringing the year-to-date tally to 24—an increase of 33% year-over-year.

Littelfuse Inc.: Will Its Increased Design Win Momentum Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Littelfuse, a global leader in circuit protection, reported its first quarter 2024 results which reflect a balanced narrative of progressing through challenges while capitalizing on long-term growth opportunities.
  • The company continues to execute its strategies amid an evolving macroeconomic context, emphasizing diversification and operational efficiency which has been pivotal in navigating high inflation and uncertain market conditions.
  • Littelfuse reported a drop in revenue by 12% year-over-year, attributing much of this decline to ongoing inventory adjustments across its channels and weaker end-market demands particularly noted in the Electronics and Industrial segments.

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