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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Rexel SA, SPIE SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Rexel Eyes a Residential Comeback: Europe’s Hidden Catalyst for a Market Revival!
  • SPIE’s Power Play: Strategic Acquisitions Are Fuelling Margin Explosion & Market Strength!


Rexel Eyes a Residential Comeback: Europe’s Hidden Catalyst for a Market Revival!

By Baptista Research

  • Rexel’s performance in the first half of 2025 illustrates a balanced navigation through diverse market conditions, characterized by firm growth in its North American operations and challenged, but resilient outcomes in Europe.
  • The company’s strategy, underscored by strong cash generation, continued adaptation to digital trends, and targeted mergers and acquisitions, has facilitated steady performance amidst mixed macroeconomic signals.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

SPIE’s Power Play: Strategic Acquisitions Are Fuelling Margin Explosion & Market Strength!

By Baptista Research

  • SPIE’s latest financial results showcase several notable aspects of its operational and strategic positioning within the industrial services sector, with both positive and negative elements to consider from an investment perspective.
  • From a positive standpoint, SPIE reported a revenue increase of 5.8% in the first half of 2025, amounting to EUR 4,979 million.
  • This growth was driven by a robust 2.4% organic growth rate and a substantial contribution from acquisitions, notably increasing their footprint in markets such as Poland, Switzerland, and the Netherlands.

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Daily Brief Financials: Hang Seng Bank, Intercontinental Exchange and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (12 Oct) – Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Toyota Industries, Infomedia, Tekscend
  • Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor
  • Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)’s $2 Billion Bet On Polymarket: Is Wall Street Ready For The Prediction Market Revolution!


Weekly Deals Digest (12 Oct) – Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Toyota Industries, Infomedia, Tekscend

By Arun George


Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor

By David Blennerhassett

  • As with large, clean liquid deals in Asia-Pac, expect Hang Seng (11 HK)‘s annualised spreads to widen (i.e. gross spread remains static) as investors hit their full quota early on. 
  • The question is whether Soft99 (4464 JP)‘s MBO Bidco raises the price to  ¥3,200 saying “let’s split the difference”, and that would make some people happy. It’s doubtful they will.
  • Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK) has benefited a little from the HK$500mn buyback programme announced last October. But a HK$11bn run up in market cap YTD? This looks stretched to me.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)’s $2 Billion Bet On Polymarket: Is Wall Street Ready For The Prediction Market Revolution!

By Baptista Research

  • Intercontinental Exchange, the parent of the New York Stock Exchange, has confirmed a $2 billion investment in Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction platform that lets users speculate on outcomes across politics, sports, finance, and pop culture.
  • The investment, announced on October 7, 2025, values Polymarket at approximately $8 billion pre-investment and marks a decisive move by ICE into decentralized finance (DeFi).
  • ICE will fund the deal entirely in cash, with no expected material impact on its 2025 earnings or capital return plans.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Rexel SA, SPIE SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Rexel Eyes a Residential Comeback: Europe’s Hidden Catalyst for a Market Revival!
  • SPIE’s Power Play: Strategic Acquisitions Are Fuelling Margin Explosion & Market Strength!


Rexel Eyes a Residential Comeback: Europe’s Hidden Catalyst for a Market Revival!

By Baptista Research

  • Rexel’s performance in the first half of 2025 illustrates a balanced navigation through diverse market conditions, characterized by firm growth in its North American operations and challenged, but resilient outcomes in Europe.
  • The company’s strategy, underscored by strong cash generation, continued adaptation to digital trends, and targeted mergers and acquisitions, has facilitated steady performance amidst mixed macroeconomic signals.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

SPIE’s Power Play: Strategic Acquisitions Are Fuelling Margin Explosion & Market Strength!

By Baptista Research

  • SPIE’s latest financial results showcase several notable aspects of its operational and strategic positioning within the industrial services sector, with both positive and negative elements to consider from an investment perspective.
  • From a positive standpoint, SPIE reported a revenue increase of 5.8% in the first half of 2025, amounting to EUR 4,979 million.
  • This growth was driven by a robust 2.4% organic growth rate and a substantial contribution from acquisitions, notably increasing their footprint in markets such as Poland, Switzerland, and the Netherlands.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Alibaba, Hanon Systems, Fast Retailing, Renault SA, Ford Motor Co, Dongfeng Motor, Mandom Corp and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba Drops 8%: What Friday’s U.S. Sell-Off Means for Hong Kong Stocks
  • Hanon Systems Rights Deal Suddenly Heating Up for CJ CGV–Style Arb as Hahn & Co Confirms Sitting Out
  • Primer: Fast Retailing (9983 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Renault’s Global Revival: The Electrified, Efficient, & Partner-Driven Comeback Story!
  • Ford’s Worst Nightmare: Novelis Plant Fire Sparks Massive Production Fears!
  • China’s State-Owned Auto Giants Turn to Huawei in Smart Car Race
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Mandom, Pacific Smiles, Robex Res., Infomedia, Pacific Ind., ReNew Energy


Alibaba Drops 8%: What Friday’s U.S. Sell-Off Means for Hong Kong Stocks

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: Friday’s sell-off occurred after the Hong Kong market closed, but several Hong Kong–listed companies were caught up in the rout through their U.S.-listed ADRs.
  • This Insight details the impact on 15 prominent Hang Seng Index constituents — including Alibaba, Tencent, and HSBC. Implied volatility in U.S.-traded options on these ADRs moved sharply in response.
  • Why Read: Understand what to expect when the Hong Kong market reopens after the weekend — both in terms of price performance and implied volatility.

Hanon Systems Rights Deal Suddenly Heating Up for CJ CGV–Style Arb as Hahn & Co Confirms Sitting Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hahn & Co, holding 21.63% of Hanon, won’t join the rights issue, raising the odds of a CJ CGV–style stock rights dump hitting the market.
  • Hanon’s rights float mirrors CJ CGV (~17% post-ESOP), with Hahn & Co likely to sell, limited local demand, and potential follow-on selling pressure.
  • Hanon’s 50% rights at 15% discount offer smaller float than CJ CGV, but larger deal size and weak EV sentiment create a potential CJ CGV–style arb, with SSF tradability.

Primer: Fast Retailing (9983 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Global Apparel Leader with Strong Growth Momentum: Fast Retailing is a dominant force in the global apparel industry, primarily through its flagship UNIQLO brand. The company has demonstrated a consistent track-record of robust, double-digit growth in revenue and profits, driven by the successful international expansion of UNIQLO, particularly in North America and Europe. The company forecasts continued strong growth, projecting a 10.3% revenue increase for FY2026.
  • Unique Business Model Focused on Quality and Innovation: Unlike typical fast-fashion players that chase fleeting trends, Fast Retailing‘s ‘LifeWear’ philosophy emphasizes high-quality, functional, and durable basics. This is supported by a vertically integrated SPA (Specialty-Store Retailer of Private Label Apparel) model, which controls the entire process from design to sale, and a strong focus on material innovation and technology to enhance operational efficiency.
  • Strategic Challenges and Key Risks Remain: Despite its success, the company faces significant risks. It has a heavy reliance on Asian markets, particularly Greater China, making it vulnerable to regional economic and geopolitical instability. The global apparel market is intensely competitive, and the company must contend with formidable rivals like Inditex (Zara) and H&M, as well as navigate supply chain complexities and potential controversies regarding labor practices.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Renault’s Global Revival: The Electrified, Efficient, & Partner-Driven Comeback Story!

By Baptista Research

  • The recent earnings report from Renault Group reflected a mixed performance marked by several strategic and financial dynamics.
  • The introduction of François Provost as the new CEO was a noteworthy event, suggesting a leadership transition focused on continuity, strategic maneuverability, and performance standards.
  • On the financial front, Renault Group’s revenues rose to €27.6 billion, marking a 3.6% increase at constant exchange rates compared to the previous year.

Ford’s Worst Nightmare: Novelis Plant Fire Sparks Massive Production Fears!

By Baptista Research

  • A recent fire at Novelis’ Oswego, New York, aluminum rolling mill has sent shockwaves through the U.S. auto manufacturing sector, with Ford Motor Co. standing out as one of the most directly affected.
  • Novelis, the largest supplier of aluminum sheet to the U.S. auto industry, experienced a substantial disruption that forced the plant to temporarily halt production.
  • Ford, which sources aluminum from this plant for several of its core vehicles, including the high-volume F-Series pickup trucks, is facing heightened supply chain risk as a result.

China’s State-Owned Auto Giants Turn to Huawei in Smart Car Race

By Caixin Global

  • Another of China’s major state-owned automakers is expanding its collaboration with Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd., as legacy carmakers increasingly turn to the tech giant for an edge in the smart vehicle race.
  • Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd. Chairman Yang Qing on Monday met with Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei, stating that Dongfeng will pursue comprehensive cooperation with Huawei in areas such as corporate management, product design, smart technologies and marketing, according to a Sept. 23 company statement.
  • Several of Dongfeng’s brands, including Voyah, eπ and M-Hero, have already integrated Huawei’s systems into their vehicles.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Mandom, Pacific Smiles, Robex Res., Infomedia, Pacific Ind., ReNew Energy

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Advanced Micro Devices, Gitlab , Info Edge India, Itron Inc, NVIDIA Corp, Qualcomm Inc, STMicroelectronics NV and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • AMD’s OpenAI Alliance—Is This The Biggest Threat NVIDIA Will Face?
  • GitLab Acquisition Hints Resurface— Alphabet-Backed DevOps Firm Could Be Up For Sale!
  • Info Edge Q2 Preview: Non-IT Gains Help Maintain Overall Growth Momentum
  • Itron’s $325 Million Urbint Deal Could Reshape The Grid Forever—A Battle For Utility Supremacy!
  • NVIDIA’s Web Of AI Deals Is Fueling The Boom—And A Potential Collapse?
  • Qualcomm Just Bought Arduino—Here’s Why It Could Be A $1 Trillion Play!
  • STMicroelectronics: An Insight Into Its Automotive Market & Product Strategy!


AMD’s OpenAI Alliance—Is This The Biggest Threat NVIDIA Will Face?

By Baptista Research

  • In recent weeks, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has intensified its AI ambitions through a deepening strategic partnership with OpenAI, solidifying its presence in a highly competitive and capital-intensive space.
  • AMD has begun supplying its MI300 and MI350 series accelerators to OpenAI, which has emerged as one of the largest and most influential customers of AMD’s Instinct GPU platform.
  • The collaboration isn’t limited to hardware—OpenAI is actively assisting AMD in optimizing its ROCm software stack, significantly narrowing the gap with Nvidia’s CUDA.

GitLab Acquisition Hints Resurface— Alphabet-Backed DevOps Firm Could Be Up For Sale!

By Baptista Research

  • GitLab has reentered the takeover rumor mill after a noticeable dip in its share price, reigniting chatter across trading floors and financial media alike.
  • The latest speculation was stirred by a Betavile “uncooked” alert circulated on October 7, 2025, hinting that the DevSecOps platform may once again be attracting acquisition interest.
  • This follows a July 2024 report that GitLab was exploring a potential sale after drawing interest from industry players including cloud monitoring giant Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG).

Info Edge Q2 Preview: Non-IT Gains Help Maintain Overall Growth Momentum

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Info Edge delivered 12.1% year-on-year growth in Q2 FY26 billings to INR 729 crore, led by steady momentum in Non-IT hiring and healthy traction in 99acres and Jeevansathi.
  • The mix shift toward Non-IT and consumer-facing platforms signals a stronger, more balanced growth profile, cushioning the business from the ongoing IT hiring slowdown.
  • With diversified revenue streams, disciplined cost control, and early benefits from AI integration, Info Edge appears positioned for sustained growth and gradual margin expansion ahead.

Itron’s $325 Million Urbint Deal Could Reshape The Grid Forever—A Battle For Utility Supremacy!

By Baptista Research

  • Itron has struck headlines once again, this time by signing a definitive agreement to acquire Urbint for approximately $325 million, to be funded from cash on hand.
  • The closing is expected in Q4 2025.
  • This move follows a strong Q2 2025 delivered by Itron—with revenue of $607 million, record margins, and free cash flow of $91 million—though the company modestly trimmed its full year revenue midpoint while raising its EPS outlook.

NVIDIA’s Web Of AI Deals Is Fueling The Boom—And A Potential Collapse?

By Baptista Research

  • Two weeks ago, Nvidia announced a potential $100 billion investment in OpenAI to fund one of the largest data center buildouts in tech history, a move immediately questioned for its circular structure.
  • Just days later, OpenAI inked a similarly structured deal with AMD, pledging tens of billions for chip purchases while simultaneously becoming one of AMD’s largest shareholders.
  • These deals, while bold and futuristic, have sparked concern that the AI sector’s rapid trillion-dollar expansion is not entirely organic but propped up by a dense web of interlinked investments between a handful of players.

Qualcomm Just Bought Arduino—Here’s Why It Could Be A $1 Trillion Play!

By Baptista Research

  • Qualcomm has made headlines once again with its latest strategic move: the acquisition of Arduino, the opensource hardware pioneer boasting a 33 million-strong developer base.
  • While financial terms remain undisclosed, the implications of this deal are significant.
  • The acquisition aligns with Qualcomm’s push into automation, robotics, and the broader AI-enabled device ecosystem.

STMicroelectronics: An Insight Into Its Automotive Market & Product Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • STMicroelectronics reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing mixed performance across its various segments.
  • Revenues for the quarter were $2.77 billion, slightly above the midpoint of its outlook, with Personal Electronics and Industrial sectors showing stronger-than-anticipated performance.
  • On the downside, Automotive revenues were slightly below expectations due to specific customer dynamics.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.12) – 11th National VBP, Future BD Trend, Hengrui Is Facing Headwinds


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.12) – 11th National VBP, Future BD Trend, Hengrui Is Facing Headwinds

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The 11th national VBP has optimized the selection of price difference control “anchor points”, which is an important signal, implying that future VBP will follow the general direction of “anti-involution”.
  • As long as there’s no significant difference in pipeline data, buyers are more concerned about the speed of R&D progress and may not necessarily dwell on potential advantages and disadvantages.
  • Hengrui’s innovative drug revenue was slightly lower-than-expected. The Company’s 2025 employee stock ownership plan has lowered the compound growth target for innovative drugs from 30% to 25%.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 10th): Tencent, Hang Seng Bank, Cloud Factory


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.3bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 10th): Tencent, Hang Seng Bank, Cloud Factory

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 10th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Cloud Factory (2512 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).

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Daily Brief ESG: The Key Is when the Next Move Will Come that Steers Away from Increasing Cash on Hand and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • The Key Is when the Next Move Will Come that Steers Away from Increasing Cash on Hand


The Key Is when the Next Move Will Come that Steers Away from Increasing Cash on Hand

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Even as more companies shifted to cash flow-focused management, their cash reserves remained stubbornly high, and few announced cash allocation policies. Finally, cash reserves began to decline—driven by TSE’s request.
  • ROE and P/B of companies that disclosed in response to TSE’s request haven’t improved. Consequently, the strategic intent behind share buybacks appears weak and isn’t being well received by investors.
  • The decision to veer away from increasing cash reserves is the first step. How long will it take before the next move emerges to improve capital profitability and generate value?

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Daily Brief ECM: Excellent Demand for LG Electronics India IPO and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Excellent Demand for LG Electronics India IPO
  • Canara HSBC Life Insurance IPO – Improving AUM but Dependent on Bancassurance Channels
  • ImmuneOnco(1541 HK): No Near Term Triggers, Commercialization Still Far Away, Placement Unattractive


Excellent Demand for LG Electronics India IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • There has an excellent demand for the LG Electronics India (LGEI) IPO among the institutional investors which sets the stage for a positive rally once it starts trading.
  • LGEI raised 4.43 trillion rupees in subscription funds during the general subscription period from 7 to 9 October. This amount is approximately 40 times the initial public offering (IPO) target.
  • Our base case valuation is target price of 1,514 INR which is 33% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.

Canara HSBC Life Insurance IPO – Improving AUM but Dependent on Bancassurance Channels

By Akshat Shah

  • Canara HSBC Life Insurance (2908709Z IJ) (CHLI) is looking to raise US$284m from its upcoming India IPO, which is an entire secondary share sale.
  • CHLI is a private life insurer in India,  promoted by Canara Bank and HSBC Insurance (Asia-Pacific) Holdings Limited, a member of the HSBC group. 
  • It offers a comprehensive range of life insurance products tailored for both individual and group (i.e., companies, businesses or organizations) customers.

ImmuneOnco(1541 HK): No Near Term Triggers, Commercialization Still Far Away, Placement Unattractive

By Tina Banerjee

  • ImmuneOnco Biopharmaceuticals (Shanghai) (IOB HK) announced the placement of 24.2M shares for subscription at HK$14.5 per share.
  • The company intends to use most of the net proceeds for further research and development of drug candidates IMM01, IMM2510 and IMM27M.
  • The current market price of the stock makes the placement offer unattractive. Concerns remain with no drugs commercialized yet and the only possible commercialization expected to happen not before 2027.

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Daily Brief South Korea: SIMMTECH Co Ltd, Samsung Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Hunting Trades in Korea Semis Materials & Equip ETF Ahead of the Dec Rebalance
  • Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (10 to 24 October 2025)


Hunting Trades in Korea Semis Materials & Equip ETF Ahead of the Dec Rebalance

By Sanghyun Park

  • Next rebalance is Dec 12; Simmtech (222800 KS) looks set to replace Philoptics, with a KRW 0.8T market cap gap making it a high-conviction front-runner.
  • Dongjin Semicam and Daeduck clear market cap but face keyword-score risk; PSK Holdings vs S&S Tech is tight — final screening will decide, so front-running carries caution.
  • December rebalance AUM doubled; Simmtech and Philoptics could see ~1x DTV passive flows, likely triggering an even stronger passive price impact than last cycle.

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (10 to 24 October 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the top 10 stock picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the next two weeks (10 to 24 October 2025).
  • Top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Samsung Electronics, Samsung Life Insurance, LG CNS, SK Hynix, KT&G, Naver, Samsung C&T, LG Uplus, Hyundai Elevator, and SK Inc. 
  • The semiconductor sector was a big winner in the past two weeks. Some of the best performing stocks in this period include SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and Hanmi Semiconductor. 

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