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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Paramount Bed Holdings Co Lt, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Paramount Bed (7817 JP): All-Time Revenue and Profit in FY23; Further Upside Potential Remains
  • Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882.CH) – There Is Still Investment Value that Cannot Be Ignored


Paramount Bed (7817 JP): All-Time Revenue and Profit in FY23; Further Upside Potential Remains

By Tina Banerjee

  • Paramount Bed Holdings Co Lt (7817 JP) reported all-time high revenue and profit in FY23, driven by increased demand and price revision effect. The company has announced dividend of ¥59/share.
  • For FY24, Paramount expects revenue growth of 6% to ¥105B, driven by expanding recurring revenue. Operating and net profits are expected to increase 4% and 6%, YoY, respectively, in FY24.
  • Through business expansion and new product launches, the company is on track to achieve mid-term target of revenue of ¥120B and operating income of ¥17B in FY27.

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882.CH) – There Is Still Investment Value that Cannot Be Ignored

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • 2023 would be a low point in performance for Kingmed, with negative YoY growth. But this year is a good time to bottom-fish because non-COVID conventional testing business would rebound.
  • Many people think the implementation of DRGs policy would be a big catalyst for future growth of ICL industry, but we’re actually skeptical since the reality could be quite different.
  • The different business models of Kingmed and Dian lead to different valuation outlook. Since the current duopoly pattern is difficult to change, we recommend investors focus only on top two ICLs.

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Most Read: Kenedix Office Investment Co, Kenedix Retail REIT, Koolearn, Pang Rim Co Ltd, UMP Healthcare, Toyo Construction, HFR Inc, Intouch Holdings, Auckland Intl Airport, Abacus Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Kenedix Office/Resi/Commercial Three-Way Merger – Size Matters and Index Flows Do Too
  • Kenedix Merger: Office, Residential, Retail & Index Implications
  • HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): One Change or Two?
  • 5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down – Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | UMP Healthcare: An Undervalued Gem in Hong Kong’s Healthcare Market
  • Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO
  • KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: HFR (230240) To Replace BH (090460)
  • StubWorld: Intouch Not As Attractive As At First Glance
  • Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block
  • Abacus Property (ABP AU): Abacus Storage King De-Stapling to Unlock Value


Kenedix Office/Resi/Commercial Three-Way Merger – Size Matters and Index Flows Do Too

By Travis Lundy


Kenedix Merger: Office, Residential, Retail & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas

  • Kenedix Office Investment Co, Kenedix Residential Investment and Kenedix Retail REIT have announced a three-way absorption merger to create Kenedix Realty Investment Corporation.
  • The increased size and liquidity of the merged entity will put the stock on the radar of active investors and there could be a re-rating higher.
  • There will be some passive flows into the merged entity at the time of merger implementation and this will help the stock outperform its peers.

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): One Change or Two?

By Brian Freitas

  • We expect one change to the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in September – though there could be a second change as well.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 2.13% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$2.01bn in case there are two index changes. Turnover will be lower if there is only one change.
  • Short interest on some of the potential changes is over 15% of float and there could be big moves on the stocks post announcement of the changes.

5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down – Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?

By Douglas Kim

  • There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today. They included Pang Rim, Dongil Industries, Manho Rope & Wire, Taihan Textile, and Dongil Metal.
  • The share price decline of these five stocks are similar to the crash in eight stocks in Korea in April which were related to CFD derivatives related margin call selling. 
  • Domestic securities firms in Korea have been trying to significantly reduce their exposure to CFD related trading and in this process, these sharp drops could be caused by this selling.

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | UMP Healthcare: An Undervalued Gem in Hong Kong’s Healthcare Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome UMP Healthcare’s  Chief Investment & Project Officer, Patrick Cheung. 

In the upcoming webinar, Patrick will share a short company presentation after which, he will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Sameer Taneja. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The webinar will be hosted on Monday, 19 June 2023, 17:00 SGT/HKT.

About UMP Healthcare

Founded in 1990, UMP Healthcare is a medical group listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (stock code 722.HK) and is one of the leading comprehensive healthcare service platforms in the Hong Kong market. We have been committed “To provide comprehensive, diversified and coordinated care for everyone” by creating a network of high-quality and effective medical services for patients, payers, providers and partners.

Along with providing healthcare services that address a wide range of individual needs, UMP closely works with more than 2,000 local and international businesses and insurance organizations to establish and administer corporate healthcare benefit programs for members. The medical service network spans over 1,000 self-owned and affiliated institutions across Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China, offering services such as family medicine, specialist consultation, dental care, diagnostic imaging and laboratory testing, preventive medicine and health examination, physical therapy, day surgery, and endoscopy, among others. In 2022, the annual volume of outpatient visits under UMP exceeded 1.1 million.


Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, YFO (WK1 Limited) filed an amendment to its Large Shareholder Filing saying it had increased its stake from 27.19% to 28.51%. GK Yamauchi No10 Family Office bought 1.32%.
  • Almost immediately, Toyo Construction (1890 JP) said YFO had likely conducted an illegal act according to US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 14e-5. This is likely hogwash.
  • YFO is upping its stake for a zero premium tender and Toyo is fighting old battles. And the stock chugs higher.

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: HFR (230240) To Replace BH (090460)

By Brian Freitas

  • Following Bh Co Ltd (090460 KS) moving from the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Market, the stock will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index and replaced with HFR Inc (230240 KS).
  • The change will be implemented at the close on 19 June and passive trackers will need to trade over 1x ADV on both stocks.
  • We had HFR Inc (230240 KS) as a potential replacement candidate and there could be pre-positions built up on the stock.

StubWorld: Intouch Not As Attractive As At First Glance

By David Blennerhassett

  • Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) is coming up cheap versus Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB). Yet the longer-term view suggests otherwise. 
  • Preceding my comments on Intouch are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold of at least 20%.

Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

By Sumeet Singh

  • Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
  • Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.

Abacus Property (ABP AU): Abacus Storage King De-Stapling to Unlock Value

By Arun George

  • Abacus Property (ABP AU) has proposed the de-stapling of Abacus Storage King (ASK), the self-storage assets, along with the proposed A$225.0 million equity raising in ASK.
  • A key logic of the de-stapling is the potential unlocking of the large, implied discount to NTA in the commercial portfolio. The EGM on the de-stapling proposal is in July.
  • The equity raise is a key headwind to the rerating. Our SoTP valuation is A$3.10 per unit, which is a 20% upside to the last close price.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: 5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down – Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • 5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down – Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?
  • Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO
  • StubWorld: Intouch Not As Attractive As At First Glance
  • Abacus Property (ABP AU): Abacus Storage King De-Stapling to Unlock Value
  • CPSE / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in June
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One ‘It Depends’


5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down – Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?

By Douglas Kim

  • There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today. They included Pang Rim, Dongil Industries, Manho Rope & Wire, Taihan Textile, and Dongil Metal.
  • The share price decline of these five stocks are similar to the crash in eight stocks in Korea in April which were related to CFD derivatives related margin call selling. 
  • Domestic securities firms in Korea have been trying to significantly reduce their exposure to CFD related trading and in this process, these sharp drops could be caused by this selling.

Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, YFO (WK1 Limited) filed an amendment to its Large Shareholder Filing saying it had increased its stake from 27.19% to 28.51%. GK Yamauchi No10 Family Office bought 1.32%.
  • Almost immediately, Toyo Construction (1890 JP) said YFO had likely conducted an illegal act according to US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 14e-5. This is likely hogwash.
  • YFO is upping its stake for a zero premium tender and Toyo is fighting old battles. And the stock chugs higher.

StubWorld: Intouch Not As Attractive As At First Glance

By David Blennerhassett

  • Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) is coming up cheap versus Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB). Yet the longer-term view suggests otherwise. 
  • Preceding my comments on Intouch are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold of at least 20%.

Abacus Property (ABP AU): Abacus Storage King De-Stapling to Unlock Value

By Arun George

  • Abacus Property (ABP AU) has proposed the de-stapling of Abacus Storage King (ASK), the self-storage assets, along with the proposed A$225.0 million equity raising in ASK.
  • A key logic of the de-stapling is the potential unlocking of the large, implied discount to NTA in the commercial portfolio. The EGM on the de-stapling proposal is in July.
  • The equity raise is a key headwind to the rerating. Our SoTP valuation is A$3.10 per unit, which is a 20% upside to the last close price.

CPSE / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in June

By Brian Freitas

  • The CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) will have its quarterly rebalancing at the close on 29 June.
  • There are no constituent changes for the indices in June but there will be capping and float changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on many stocks.
  • Both indices have performed well over the recent past and active investors can take advantage of the passive flows to increase or decrease existing positions.

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One ‘It Depends’

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July. We expect the changes to be announced 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.
  • We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
  • One way turnover is estimated at 3.45% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 3,675m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 Ahead of FOMC; Buy Ideas Within Manufacturing/Industrials


Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 Ahead of FOMC; Buy Ideas Within Manufacturing/Industrials

By Joe Jasper

  • The S&P 500 has marginally surpassed the 4300-4325 area which we have anticipated would cap upside for 2023. 
  • As noted in our 6/6/23 Compass, we are vigilant at these levels given we expect inflation to remain elevated, but we cannot be bearishif the SPX is above 4165-4200
  • Breadth has continued to improve within the Russell 2000, and the $IWM is approaching our first target of $190 following the breakout above $180. Also see breadth improving within SPX.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd, Sunac China Holdings, Vedanta Resources


Morning Views Asia: NagaCorp Ltd, Sunac China Holdings, Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block
  • SBFC Finance Pre-IPO – Has Grown Fast While Maintaining Asset Quality
  • Tata Technologies Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Middling


Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

By Sumeet Singh

  • Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
  • Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.

SBFC Finance Pre-IPO – Has Grown Fast While Maintaining Asset Quality

By Ethan Aw

  • SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN) is looking to raise up to US$145m in its upcoming India IPO. 
  • SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold. 
  • Even through COVID-19, it had managed to more than double its AUM through its branch expansion efforts. However, its NIM declined over the track record period and profitability growth slowed. 

Tata Technologies Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Middling

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)  (TT) is looking to raise around US$600m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers. 
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Japan Consumer Staples Update: Inflation Looks a Blessing in Disguise for Those with Pricing Power and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Consumer Staples Update: Inflation Looks a Blessing in Disguise for Those with Pricing Power
  • Chiba Bank – Less Yield Curve Control Issue With Near Zero JGBs
  • ASP Isotopes – Initiation of Coverage Report – Isotope Market Overview
  • Paramount Bed (7817 JP): All-Time Revenue and Profit in FY23; Further Upside Potential Remains
  • PT Metrodata Electronics (MTDL IJ) – Enabling Digitalization Across Sectors
  • Takuma (6031) | AVI to Turn Waste into Wealth
  • Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle
  • China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials
  • SPY: Moderate Gains In Store?
  • Vietnamese Banks Screener; Adding MBBank to Our Core Pick Techcombank


Japan Consumer Staples Update: Inflation Looks a Blessing in Disguise for Those with Pricing Power

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Japan’s inflation hit a 41-year high at 4.3% in January, but gradually slowed down in the following months, reaching 3.3%, 3.2%, and 3.5% in February, March, and April 2023, respectively.
  • Although Fuel, Electricity, and Water prices declined, other items excluding fresh vegetables, maintained inflation at a similar pace, suggesting that cost-push inflation continues to impact the overall economic environment.
  • This insight examines the recent quarterly performance of Yakult, Nissin, and Seven & I, our top picks in the Japan Consumer Staples Sector Smartkarma Original.

Chiba Bank – Less Yield Curve Control Issue With Near Zero JGBs

By Daniel Tabbush

  • If there is no relief on yield curve control (YCC) anytime soon, seek banks with low JGBs
  • Chiba Bank is one of few banks in Japan where JGBs are nearly a rounding error vs assets
  • A pure play on an improving Japan, focused next door to Tokyo, with falling NPLs

ASP Isotopes – Initiation of Coverage Report – Isotope Market Overview

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on ASP Isotopes and we look to provide a detailed account of the various assets owned by the company and the drivers that will be responsible for the company’s growth in the coming years.
  • ASP Isotopes’ proprietary isotope enrichment technology should enable the company to produce many of these isotopes, as shown in the diagram below.
  • When combined with the company’s second manufacturing plant, scheduled to start production during 2H 2023, ASP Isotopes should generate substantial free cash flow during 2024.

Paramount Bed (7817 JP): All-Time Revenue and Profit in FY23; Further Upside Potential Remains

By Tina Banerjee

  • Paramount Bed Holdings Co Lt (7817 JP) reported all-time high revenue and profit in FY23, driven by increased demand and price revision effect. The company has announced dividend of ¥59/share.
  • For FY24, Paramount expects revenue growth of 6% to ¥105B, driven by expanding recurring revenue. Operating and net profits are expected to increase 4% and 6%, YoY, respectively, in FY24.
  • Through business expansion and new product launches, the company is on track to achieve mid-term target of revenue of ¥120B and operating income of ¥17B in FY27.

PT Metrodata Electronics (MTDL IJ) – Enabling Digitalization Across Sectors

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Metrodata Electronics released a mixed set of 1Q2023 results, as its ICT distribution slowed as consumers held back from new purchases but this was offset by stronger Solutions&Consulting revenues.
  • Solutions&Consulting saw strong growth from financial services, with the ongoing boost from BIFAST plus there was strong growth from telcos and the government segment, as it focuses on digitalisation. 
  • Metrodata Electronics management remains optimistic for 2023, with an expected recovery in distribution revenues in 2H2023 with the guidance of 8% growth for both revenue and net profits for FY2023. 

Takuma (6031) | AVI to Turn Waste into Wealth

By Mark Chadwick

  • Takuma presents an undervalued investment opportunity with strong financials, and a robust balance sheet. The focus on environmental solutions position it to capitalize on the demand for carbon neutrality.
  • The recent involvement of AVI Japan as activist investors adds an exciting catalyst to Takuma’s investment case. We expect AVI to work with management to unlock further value.
  • Takuma’s management is targeting enhanced profitability by transitioning from a more volatile EPC model to a recurring revenue-driven approach centred on O&M. Attractive valuations underpin our bullish view.

Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Our aggregate analysis of the 1Q23 earnings season showed a more balanced beat/miss ratio than 4Q22 likely due to already-downgraded forecasts presenting a lower expectations hurdle.
  • Semiconductor’s inventory situation overall appeared to get worse in 1Q23… Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies. Margins fell to the last cycle lows.
  • Hardware showed small signs of overall inventory improvement. Margins fell further but remained pretty high relative to the previous cycle.

China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK) (CRSC) has achieved good share price performance YTD, but we think there is more room to go for the rest of the year.
  • We like its steady domestic growth, exposure to overseas recovery, strong order backlog, and net cash position. 1Q23 new contracts reached Rmb13.7bn, an impressive 35.8% YoY growth.
  • Unlike the highly-geared infrastructure construction peers, CRSC’s net cash equals 52% of the share price. On such basis, its P/B of 0.7x relative to ROE of 9-10% is inexpensive.

SPY: Moderate Gains In Store?

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • The SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.
  • However, a broad-based analysis suggests that the S&R 500 and the SPDR S &P 500ETF Trust are potentially undervalued.
  • The S&P 500’s (SP500) year-to-date surge might have surprised many, as the talk of the town at the turn of the year was geared toward a sustained market drawdown until an interest rate pivot occurred.

Vietnamese Banks Screener; Adding MBBank to Our Core Pick Techcombank

By Victor Galliano

  • We maintain Techcombank as our top pick in the Vietnamese banks, given its attractive valuations, solid pre and post provision returns and its fortress balance sheet
  • We add MBBank to the buy list with its attractive valuations, premium ROE and sound balance sheet metrics; we are neutral on Vietcombank
  • VP Bank remains one to watch; its NPL ratio has worsened further to March 2023 and it is the negative outlier of the peer group on credit quality

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Daily Brief ESG: SM Entertainment: EXO’s Contract Controversy and Repeated Working Condition Issues and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • SM Entertainment: EXO’s Contract Controversy and Repeated Working Condition Issues


SM Entertainment: EXO’s Contract Controversy and Repeated Working Condition Issues

By Jungmin(Charlotte) Hong

  • EXO’s Chen, Baekhyun, and Xiumin filed a complaint to the Fair Trade Commission (FTC) on June 4 against SM Entertainment for “abuse of superior bargaining position.”
  • SM Entertainment repeatedly faced sanctions by the FTC for disputes, including controversy and conflicts with another boy band ‘Dong Bang Shin Ki’ (TVXQ) 
  • The risk to their working conditions continues to increase, with SM Entertainment’s corporate risk currently standing at 4.2, reaching an extreme level.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan |Hawkish Fed Pause; SPX Falters; NUGGET: The Japan Renewables(+Nuclear) Opportunity and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan |Hawkish Fed Pause; SPX Falters; NUGGET: The Japan Renewables(+Nuclear) Opportunity
  • Carnage in the Swedish Housing Market
  • Korea’s Large Banks & Hanwah Ocean – Credit Reversals or Overhang?
  • China TMT Update June 15 – 1810.HK/700HK/LI: India Issues Xiaomi Show Cause Notice


Ohayo Japan |Hawkish Fed Pause; SPX Falters; NUGGET: The Japan Renewables(+Nuclear) Opportunity

By Mark Chadwick

  • OVERSEAS.  Hawkish Fed Pause is Powell telegraphs +50bps hikes this year; SPX flat with most Sectors in the Red; PPI comfort as shows inflation declining; NVIDIA on the roll Again
  • JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.3% vs Cash;  Positive earning revisions driving NKY;  Investors Cheer Toyotas revamped EV strategy + votes back in board; Oasis tgts Tsuruha board; Slow Uniqlo China momentum
  • NUGGET. The Japan Renewables(+Nuclear) Opportunity. Japan is lagging in it’s Renewables ramp. The government’s 2030 GHG reduction commitment presents signifcant opportunities.

Carnage in the Swedish Housing Market

By Andreas Steno

  • Along with the rest of Europe Swedish Real Estate has been hit hard. Most of the loans being 3m to 5y variable rates have been especially painful for Swedish households.  
  • However optimism is returning to the market as consumers seem to have forgotten that a credit contraction follows pivot hopes 
  • The cure is simple for the Riksbank: Lower rate. Good luck with that in the current inflationary environment 

Korea’s Large Banks & Hanwah Ocean – Credit Reversals or Overhang?

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Daewoo Shipping & Marine Engineering early in May 2023 agreed to takeover by Hanwah Group
  • Hanwah Ocean, the re-named entity, reported financial stress for years, a lumpy NPL for banks
  • C&P CIQ data suggests that all four major Korean banks are creditors to Hanwah Ocean

China TMT Update June 15 – 1810.HK/700HK/LI: India Issues Xiaomi Show Cause Notice

By Shawn Yang

  • 1810.HK: India Enforcement Directorate issues Xiaomi show cause notice (-)
  • 700HK: Tencent launched “White Night Aurora” on June 13th (+)
  • LI: Li Auto ‘s weekly delivery reaches 8.4k units (+)

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Daily Brief Macro: Is There A ‘Stealth’ QE At The Fed?! and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Is There A ‘Stealth’ QE At The Fed?!
  • Fed Watch: 7 Charts on How Assets Perform when the Fed Pauses


Is There A ‘Stealth’ QE At The Fed?!

By Michael J. Howell

  • Global Liquidity is a crucial driver of investment markets, and US Fed liquidity refuses to slow down despite fears that policy interest rates will stay high
  • The key turning-point was last year’s British gilt crisis. This was reinforced by the SVB and CSFB banking problem and prompted US banks’ reserves to start rising
  • This US ‘Stealth’ QE will be underscored by greater Treasury bill issuance, which historically has led the Global Liquidity by six months

Fed Watch: 7 Charts on How Assets Perform when the Fed Pauses

By Andreas Steno

  • Markets are currently pricing a 97.6% probability of a pause (or rather a skip) from the Fed today.
  • Basically everything performs in the immediate aftermath of a pause
  • The USD does not weaken on average as everyone and their mother anticipates

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