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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Agile Property Holdings, Vedanta Resources, XPeng and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Chinese Property Weekly – 20 January 2023 – Lucror Analytics
  • Chinese Property Weekly – 20 January 2023 – Lucror Analytics
  • Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023
  • Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023
  • Xpeng: Surprise Price Cut Weighs on Sentiment, but Share Price Likely Bottomed

Chinese Property Weekly – 20 January 2023 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Chinese Property Weekly focuses on providing updates in the Chinese real-estate sector, including recent regulatory and company developments, top and bottom performers, rating actions, as well as a list of bond maturities in the next 30 days.


Chinese Property Weekly – 20 January 2023 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Chinese Property Weekly focuses on providing updates in the Chinese real-estate sector, including recent regulatory and company developments, top and bottom performers, rating actions, as well as a list of bond maturities in the next 30 days.


Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  3. Sunac China Holdings
  4. Evergrande
  5. Central China Real Estate

and more…


Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  3. Sunac China Holdings
  4. Evergrande
  5. Central China Real Estate

and more…


Xpeng: Surprise Price Cut Weighs on Sentiment, but Share Price Likely Bottomed

By Victoria Li

  • Xpeng announced price cuts on existing G3i, P5 and P7, which surprised the market on negative side, potentially indicating weaker demand and profitability
  • Recent management changes has also hurt sentiment with the new CEO from a ‘traditional’ car background
  • Xpeng’s share price has bottomed in our view and we expect a 2H’23 recovery with improving fundamentals

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Daily Brief South Korea: LG Chem Ltd, DGB Financial Group, LG Energy Solution, Osstem Implant and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event
  • KOSPI 200 Ad Hoc Rebalance for Meritz Securities: DGB Financial Will Be Added
  • ECM Weekly (20th Jan 23) – HK Brokers, Wuxi, IQIYI, Anycol, Adani, WM Mot, LG Ene, AIn, Oasis, Perta
  • KCGI Formally Goes Activist on Osstem Implant

Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • At this point, one constituent change is expected, and LG Chem is expected to replace KT&G.
  • The return of the equal-weighted long/short basket trade for the constituent changes in the past two years was recorded from 2.3% to 3.8%.
  • Both LG Chem and KT&G are expected to have a significant rebalancing flow impact. It can be an event that brings a juicy day trading return.

KOSPI 200 Ad Hoc Rebalance for Meritz Securities: DGB Financial Will Be Added

By Sanghyun Park

  • With JB Financial Group gone for Meritz Fire, the next one in line will enter KOSPI 200 in place of Meritz Securities. And the lucky one is DGB Financial.
  • DGB can expect an inflow of 8.23x ADTV and will face a 2.8x ADTV in one day on March 31.
  • Given the size of the preemptive flow that JB Financial is currently attracting, we should prepare for DBG to start receiving a similar level of price impact earlier than usual.

ECM Weekly (20th Jan 23) – HK Brokers, Wuxi, IQIYI, Anycol, Adani, WM Mot, LG Ene, AIn, Oasis, Perta

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • Things are starting to pickup on the IPO front with the first somewhat sizeable US ADR filing done this week.
  • Placements deal flow continued to stay strong this week, even as the performance didn’t.

KCGI Formally Goes Activist on Osstem Implant

By Douglas Kim

  • On 20 January, KCGI private equity fund formally started its corporate governance activist campaign on Osstem Implant (048260 KS).
  • KCGI officially going activist on the company, its strong fundamentals and deep discount valuations suggest that Osstem Implant’s price is likely to outperform KOSPI by a wide margin in 2023.
  • KCGI has demanded Kyoo-Ok Choi (Chairman of Osstem Implant) to resign.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Golden Energy & Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Golden Energy (GER SP): Long-Stop Date Extended as the Offer Looks Increasingly Light

Golden Energy (GER SP): Long-Stop Date Extended as the Offer Looks Increasingly Light

By Arun George

  • The long-stop date for the satisfaction of the offer conditions has been extended from 9 April to 9 August, to help Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) obtain shareholder approval.
  • An alternative explanation is that the Widjaja family’s offer for Golden Energy & Resources (GER SP) is increasingly looking unattractive in light of Stanmore Coal (SMR AU)’s share price rally. 
  • The offer remains light and we think that there is a good chance that the Widjaja family will raise its offer (likely a bump to the delisting price) to succeed.  

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Daily Brief Thailand: CP ALL PCL and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB) – A King for All Seasons

CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB) – A King for All Seasons

By Angus Mackintosh

  • CP ALL is a unique and high-quality proxy for the recovery in domestic consumer demand plus increasing tourist arrivals, which should soon see a further boost from China.
  • We would expect a strong finish to the year with an even stronger pickup in 2023 across convenience stores, Lotus supermarkets and hypermarkets, as well as Siam Makro cash-and-carry. 
  • CP ALL is a top growth pick in Thailand, with EPS expected to grow by +35% and 25% for FY2023E and FY2024E, with ongoing expansion and economic recovery.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Carly Holdings, Ipg Photonics and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Carly Holdings Limited – Q2 Shows Vehicle Finance = Growth
  • IPG Photonics: Major Drivers

Carly Holdings Limited – Q2 Shows Vehicle Finance = Growth

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Carly Holdings Limited (ASX:CL8) operates a vehicle subscription business, which it launched in March 2019, leveraging the existing DriveMyCar operations and technology.
  • Car subscription allows business and retail customers to pay a single monthly fee to access a car for 30 days or more and is an alternative to purchasing or financing a vehicle.
  • Carly has attracted larger automotive industry businesses as shareholders, with a model that facilitates sales volumes of new vehicles and delivers a new recurring revenue stream for automotive manufacturers and dealers. 

IPG Photonics: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • IPG Photonics delivered a mixed result in the last quarter, as it failed to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues but managed an earnings beat.
  • Sales in high-power cutting applications suffered from a decline in general industrial demand in China and Europe.
  • As this business required extra investment and was noncore to IPG, the management announced they would sell it to Lumentum.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Golden Energy & Resources, Acrow Formwork And Construct, HEICO Corp, Transdigm Group, United Parcel Service Cl B and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Golden Energy (GER SP): Long-Stop Date Extended as the Offer Looks Increasingly Light
  • Building Products Sector Building on Solid Foundations
  • Heico Corporation: Major Drivers
  • TransDigm Group: Key Drivers
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Acquisition of Bomi Group & Other Drivers

Golden Energy (GER SP): Long-Stop Date Extended as the Offer Looks Increasingly Light

By Arun George

  • The long-stop date for the satisfaction of the offer conditions has been extended from 9 April to 9 August, to help Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) obtain shareholder approval.
  • An alternative explanation is that the Widjaja family’s offer for Golden Energy & Resources (GER SP) is increasingly looking unattractive in light of Stanmore Coal (SMR AU)’s share price rally. 
  • The offer remains light and we think that there is a good chance that the Widjaja family will raise its offer (likely a bump to the delisting price) to succeed.  

Building Products Sector Building on Solid Foundations

By Ord Minnett

  • Acrow Formwork and Construction Services (‘ACF’) and Big River Industries (‘BRI’) are key players within the Australian Building Products and Distribution markets.
  • Acrow focuses upon Formwork, Industrial Services and Scaffolding; and Big River specialises in the manufacturing of timber veneer, plywood and formply, and distribution of building supplies.
  • Both businesses have undergone significant strategic pivots over the past 4-5 years and are now reaping the rewards.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Heico Corporation: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Heico had another successful quarter and managed an all-around beat driven by record performance within the Flight Support Group.
  • The Flight Support Group’s operating income and net sales have increased sequentially.
  • Heico’s ETG Group finalized the acquisition of TRAD Tests & Radiations, a pioneer in the extremely specialized field of radiation engineering.

TransDigm Group: Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • TransDigm managed to deliver yet another all-around beat in the recent result.
  • Their value generation process heavily relies on their capital structure and allocations and has worked well in the post Covid environment.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Acquisition of Bomi Group & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Despite the world economy slowing down in the third quarter, particularly outside the U.S., UPS managed an all-around beat.
  • The execution of their customer-first, people-led, innovation-driven strategy has fundamentally improved many parts of their business, resulting in stronger operating margins.
  • In addition, they finished the first phase of their smart package, smart facility implementation, enabling RFID label technology in 101 buildings.

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Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief India: Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, Vedanta Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Sun Pharmaceutical Ind (SUNP IN): Acquisition Adds Late-Stage Biopharma Product in Derma Franchise
  • Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023

Sun Pharmaceutical Ind (SUNP IN): Acquisition Adds Late-Stage Biopharma Product in Derma Franchise

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN) is acquiring the U.S.-based late-stage biotechnology company, Concert Pharmaceuticals (CNCE US) for $576M in equity value. The transaction is expected to be completed in 1Q23.
  • Concert has completed the evaluation of the efficacy and safety of its lead candidate, deuruxolitinib in adult patients with moderate to severe Alopecia Areata in its phase 3 clinical program.
  • With the disease affecting up to ~1.5M people in the U.S., Alopecia represents potential blockbuster opportunity. Sun Pharma plans to file NDA for deuruxolitinib to the FDA in 1H23.

Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  3. Sunac China Holdings
  4. Evergrande
  5. Central China Real Estate

and more…


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: LG Chem Ltd, Vedanta Resources, Auteco Minerals, Pan American Silver and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event
  • Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023
  • Auteco Minerals (AUT) – Exploration Upside
  • Pan American Silver – Proxy advisors support Yamana vote

Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • At this point, one constituent change is expected, and LG Chem is expected to replace KT&G.
  • The return of the equal-weighted long/short basket trade for the constituent changes in the past two years was recorded from 2.3% to 3.8%.
  • Both LG Chem and KT&G are expected to have a significant rebalancing flow impact. It can be an event that brings a juicy day trading return.

Weekly Wrap – 20 Jan 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  3. Sunac China Holdings
  4. Evergrande
  5. Central China Real Estate

and more…


Auteco Minerals (AUT) – Exploration Upside

By Argonaut

  • Pickle Crow represents a medium to long-term development proposition with potential for exploration results that shift the paradigm along the journey.
  • We model one of many potential development pathways as a starting point for valuation.
  • With a decent lead-time to first gold, exploration results will be the main share-price driver near-term.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Pan American Silver – Proxy advisors support Yamana vote

By Edison Investment Research

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has reported preliminary operational results for FY22. Consolidated silver and gold production of 18.5Moz and 552.5koz were within the earlier guidance ranges (previously revised for silver). PAAS continues to progress its recently announced plan of arrangement to buy all non-Canadian assets of Yamana Gold. Shareholder votes for both companies are scheduled for 31 January, while the leading proxy advisors ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended PAAS shareholders to vote in favor of the proposed share issue to acquire all outstanding Yamana shares. We put our forecasts and valuation of PAAS under review pending upcoming shareholder approvals of the deal, which we believe could be an important catalyst for the stock.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Industrials: Golden Energy & Resources, Acrow Formwork And Construct, HEICO Corp, Transdigm Group, United Parcel Service Cl B and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Golden Energy (GER SP): Long-Stop Date Extended as the Offer Looks Increasingly Light
  • Building Products Sector Building on Solid Foundations
  • Heico Corporation: Major Drivers
  • TransDigm Group: Key Drivers
  • United Parcel Service (UPS): Acquisition of Bomi Group & Other Drivers

Golden Energy (GER SP): Long-Stop Date Extended as the Offer Looks Increasingly Light

By Arun George

  • The long-stop date for the satisfaction of the offer conditions has been extended from 9 April to 9 August, to help Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) obtain shareholder approval.
  • An alternative explanation is that the Widjaja family’s offer for Golden Energy & Resources (GER SP) is increasingly looking unattractive in light of Stanmore Coal (SMR AU)’s share price rally. 
  • The offer remains light and we think that there is a good chance that the Widjaja family will raise its offer (likely a bump to the delisting price) to succeed.  

Building Products Sector Building on Solid Foundations

By Ord Minnett

  • Acrow Formwork and Construction Services (‘ACF’) and Big River Industries (‘BRI’) are key players within the Australian Building Products and Distribution markets.
  • Acrow focuses upon Formwork, Industrial Services and Scaffolding; and Big River specialises in the manufacturing of timber veneer, plywood and formply, and distribution of building supplies.
  • Both businesses have undergone significant strategic pivots over the past 4-5 years and are now reaping the rewards.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Heico Corporation: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Heico had another successful quarter and managed an all-around beat driven by record performance within the Flight Support Group.
  • The Flight Support Group’s operating income and net sales have increased sequentially.
  • Heico’s ETG Group finalized the acquisition of TRAD Tests & Radiations, a pioneer in the extremely specialized field of radiation engineering.

TransDigm Group: Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • TransDigm managed to deliver yet another all-around beat in the recent result.
  • Their value generation process heavily relies on their capital structure and allocations and has worked well in the post Covid environment.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Acquisition of Bomi Group & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Despite the world economy slowing down in the third quarter, particularly outside the U.S., UPS managed an all-around beat.
  • The execution of their customer-first, people-led, innovation-driven strategy has fundamentally improved many parts of their business, resulting in stronger operating margins.
  • In addition, they finished the first phase of their smart package, smart facility implementation, enabling RFID label technology in 101 buildings.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Consumer: LG Energy Solution, CP ALL PCL, XPeng, Ford Motor Co, Netflix Inc, 4imprint and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (20th Jan 23) – HK Brokers, Wuxi, IQIYI, Anycol, Adani, WM Mot, LG Ene, AIn, Oasis, Perta
  • CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB) – A King for All Seasons
  • Xpeng: Surprise Price Cut Weighs on Sentiment, but Share Price Likely Bottomed
  • Ford: Why We’re Bullish For A Change (Rating Upgrade)
  • Netflix 4Q22: Priced for Perfection
  • 4imprint Group – Strong finish to FY22 prompts further upgrade

ECM Weekly (20th Jan 23) – HK Brokers, Wuxi, IQIYI, Anycol, Adani, WM Mot, LG Ene, AIn, Oasis, Perta

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • Things are starting to pickup on the IPO front with the first somewhat sizeable US ADR filing done this week.
  • Placements deal flow continued to stay strong this week, even as the performance didn’t.

CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB) – A King for All Seasons

By Angus Mackintosh

  • CP ALL is a unique and high-quality proxy for the recovery in domestic consumer demand plus increasing tourist arrivals, which should soon see a further boost from China.
  • We would expect a strong finish to the year with an even stronger pickup in 2023 across convenience stores, Lotus supermarkets and hypermarkets, as well as Siam Makro cash-and-carry. 
  • CP ALL is a top growth pick in Thailand, with EPS expected to grow by +35% and 25% for FY2023E and FY2024E, with ongoing expansion and economic recovery.

Xpeng: Surprise Price Cut Weighs on Sentiment, but Share Price Likely Bottomed

By Victoria Li

  • Xpeng announced price cuts on existing G3i, P5 and P7, which surprised the market on negative side, potentially indicating weaker demand and profitability
  • Recent management changes has also hurt sentiment with the new CEO from a ‘traditional’ car background
  • Xpeng’s share price has bottomed in our view and we expect a 2H’23 recovery with improving fundamentals

Ford: Why We’re Bullish For A Change (Rating Upgrade)

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Softening macroeconomic circumstances in the Eurozone and cooling inflation in the U.S. could reignite demand.
  • China’s reopening might smooth supply chains.
  • Ford Motor Company’s EU market share is expanding, and its product-driven approach has sustained customer loyalty in North America.

Netflix 4Q22: Priced for Perfection

By Aaron Gabin

  • Netflix is now up 50% from its lows on hope that advertising and paid sharing drive a revenue reacceleration and multiple rerating. Part B has happened.
  • Advertising uptake will be slow. But consensus has 55M incremental ad-subs (20% of the total) and $8B in revenue assumed in 2025! 
  • Netflix intends on keeping content spending flat for the next few years, raising the importance of its hit rate – which has not been Netflix’s forte.

4imprint Group – Strong finish to FY22 prompts further upgrade

By Edison Investment Research

4imprint’s update shows the group continuing to trade strongly through Q422 and we again upgrade estimates. FY22 revenue will be $1.14bn, or 3% ahead of our earlier modelling, and 45% ahead of the prior year. An 8.8% adjusted operating margin compares with our earlier assumption of 8.2%. We edge our revenue forecasts up by 3% for FY23 and FY24, but assume some modest settling back in margin to reflect additional operating costs to support the increased scale of the business. As before, we suggest management may propose an FY22 special dividend, given net cash of $86.7m at the year-end.


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  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
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