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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth
  • Comfortdelgro (CD): Growth Evident and Cheap
  • Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium
  • NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.
  • Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1H25, Revenue Up by 14% with “Other Brands” Up by 61%
  • Labubu Carries Pop Mart Stock to All-Time High
  • CNRE (600111.SH) – H1 FY25 Beat, Downstream Expansion; Valuations Look Stretched
  • Guinea Value’s Jingshu Zhang on $EDU
  • DUG Technology — Significant boost to order intake in H225
  • Topps Tiles — Laying the groundwork for higher growth


Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth

By Mark Chadwick

  • Metaplanet launches international equity raise of up to 555m shares, potentially almost doubling share count, targeting approximately ¥130b in proceeds subject to pricing and demand.
  • Proceeds earmarked primarily for Bitcoin purchases, potentially adding 4,800–26,800 BTC to treasury holdings, accelerating NAV growth and reinforcing positioning as a Bitcoin balance sheet company.
  • Suspension of 20th–22nd series stock acquisition rights through September ensures offering stability and clears path for subsequent preferred share issuance capacity.

Comfortdelgro (CD): Growth Evident and Cheap

By Henry Soediarko

  • Public transport and taxi segments in Singapore provide much-needed stability for the group, not much downside surprise is expected. Now 54% of its revenue is generated overseas. 
  • Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) subsidiary, Vicom Ltd (VCM SP) is in charge of the OBU upgrade in Singapore, providing some high-margin incremental operating profit.
  • It trades at 14x PE, and its share price is almost at historical low, creating another reason to build positions on this.  

Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium

By Rahul Jain

  • Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) is at the center of a takeover battle between MinebeaMitsumi and Taiwan’s YAGEO.
  • Minebea has bid ¥6,200/share with 23% locked in and management support, while YAGEO counters at ¥7,130/share, pending FEFTA clearance.
  • Financial investors may wait for FEFTA clarity and lean YAGEO for price, while risk‑averse or aligned holders favor Minebea’s certainty.

NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 2Q26 (Jul-25) revenue growth 56% YoY, despite a sharp decline in China revenue (-24% YoY). No H20 revenues from China. H20 charges normalize, margins improve, Net Income 5% above Consensus. 
  • 3Q26 revenue growth stable at 54% YoY, not including any H20 revenues from China. Upside from H20 at $2-5bn, max revenue growth 68% YoY. 3Q guidance ~3% above Consensus.   
  • The stock is not expensive. Trading at its average 47x trailing PEx, 33x forward. Very little risk to Consensus expectations over FY26-28. 

Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1H25, Revenue Up by 14% with “Other Brands” Up by 61%

By Ming Lu

  • Anta Sports acquired Jack Wolfskin in April 2025 so that “other brands” revenues surged by 61% YoY in 1H25.
  • The margin pressure came from e-commerce promotion and product function development.
  • We conclude an upside of 18% and a price target of HK$120. Buy.

Labubu Carries Pop Mart Stock to All-Time High

By Caixin Global

  • Shares of Pop Mart International Group Ltd. hit an all-time high after the Chinese toymaker posted strong half-year earnings, fueled by frenzied demand for its Labubu plushies in the U.S. and other overseas markets.
  • The Hong Kong-listed company’s profit soared 385.6% year-on-year to nearly 4.7 billion yuan ($654.9 million) in the first half of 2025, while revenue jumped 204.4% to almost 13.9 billion yuan, according to a stock exchange filing on Tuesday.
  • Notably, Pop Mart’s revenue from the Americas skyrocketed more than twelvefold from the first half of 2024, while sales in Europe and other regions excluding Asia-Pacific jumped more than eightfold.

CNRE (600111.SH) – H1 FY25 Beat, Downstream Expansion; Valuations Look Stretched

By Rahul Jain

  • CNRE (600111.SH) posted record H1 FY25 profits with strong production and margin gains.
  • The company is ramping alloy, magnet, and separation capacity into 2026 to lift downstream integration.
  • Shares have surged over 200% in 12 months, leaving valuations stretched and bubble-like.

Guinea Value’s Jingshu Zhang on $EDU

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • New Oriental is an education service company based in China that has seen significant growth and success since its founding in 1993.
  • The company faced challenges in 2021 due to policy changes in China, but has since recovered and is deemed undervalued by Xu Zhong Xu.
  • Xu Zhong Xu, a knowledgeable investor with background in the education industry, provides insights on the company’s history, growth trajectory, and potential for continued success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


DUG Technology — Significant boost to order intake in H225

By Edison Investment Research

DUG Technology’s FY25 results confirmed that order intake stepped up in H225, with intake of $45.7m 131% higher half-on-half, resulting in a record order book of $52m at the end of the year. While revenue came in marginally below our forecasts, EBITDA was stronger, with the margin down only 0.7pp y-o-y despite investment in international expansion during FY25. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the better-than-expected order intake, lifting revenue by 1.2% in FY26 and FY27 and EBITDA by 11.9% and 10.8% respectively.


Topps Tiles — Laying the groundwork for higher growth

By Edison Investment Research

Topps Tiles’ (TPT’s) diversification into larger addressable markets with more trading brands means it is well-placed to service more products to more customers in more sectors, and with greater efficiency given the associated investment in operations. There has been good progress with the Mission 365 growth initiatives, albeit these were somewhat masked by a tough trading environment in FY24. Our multiple valuation methods confirm similar upside to the current share price, to at least 111p/share, even at the conservative end of management’s financial goals.


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Daily Brief Macro: CX Daily: Controversial Li Auto Video Levels Spotlight on ‘Customized’ Crash Testing and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • CX Daily: Controversial Li Auto Video Levels Spotlight on ‘Customized’ Crash Testing
  • Seasonal Surge Lifts Vietnam’s Rubber Exports In June Amid Price Strain


CX Daily: Controversial Li Auto Video Levels Spotlight on ‘Customized’ Crash Testing

By Caixin Global

  • Autos / In Depth: Controversial Li Auto video levels spotlight on ‘customized’ crash testing
  • AI /Exclusive: NetEase executive explains how AI agents could build a future of virtual teachers
  • E-commerce /: Pinduoduo’s growth slows as competition, tariffs hit Temu expansion

Seasonal Surge Lifts Vietnam’s Rubber Exports In June Amid Price Strain

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Exports to Indonesia surge 154% MoM in June  
  • China drives monthly rubber trade rebound  
  • Typhoon Kajiki disrupts supply and pushes up prices  

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Daily Brief Australia: PointsBet Holdings , DUG Technology Ltd, Paladin Energy, Pointerra Ltd, Provaris Energy and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr’s Dyslexic Bump. Mixi’s Now Holding 42.38%
  • DUG Technology — Significant boost to order intake in H225
  • Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN, TSX: PDN) – FY2025 Reset Year Positions for Growth
  • Pointerra Ltd – FY25 as expected, FY26 the focus
  • Pointerra RaaS Interview Transcript 28 August 2025
  • Provaris Energy Ltd – Funding in place so we look towards project definition


PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr’s Dyslexic Bump. Mixi’s Now Holding 42.38%

By David Blennerhassett

  • Betr Entertainment (BBT AU) has bumped scrip terms to 4.375 betr shares per PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) share, equivalent to A$1.31/share, based on betr’s last traded price. 
  • True to form with betr, there’s a typo in its latest announcement stating a 4.735 ratio. betr just issued a Bidder’s Statement with the correct info.
  • Apologies: in my last note I mentioned Mixi Inc (2121 JP) had bumped to A$1.30/share. However, that was predicated on Mixi securing 90%, which won’t happen if betr doesn’t tender.

DUG Technology — Significant boost to order intake in H225

By Edison Investment Research

DUG Technology’s FY25 results confirmed that order intake stepped up in H225, with intake of $45.7m 131% higher half-on-half, resulting in a record order book of $52m at the end of the year. While revenue came in marginally below our forecasts, EBITDA was stronger, with the margin down only 0.7pp y-o-y despite investment in international expansion during FY25. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the better-than-expected order intake, lifting revenue by 1.2% in FY26 and FY27 and EBITDA by 11.9% and 10.8% respectively.


Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN, TSX: PDN) – FY2025 Reset Year Positions for Growth

By Rahul Jain

  • FY2025 results marked Paladin’s return to production with solid revenues but a net loss driven by ramp‑up costs and one‑offs.
  • Forecasts were revised lower to reflect a slower ramp and stickier costs, though profitability is expected from FY2026.
  • Valuation looks stretched on earnings multiples but increasingly attractive on an EV/EBITDA basis as uranium prices rise.

Pointerra Ltd – FY25 as expected, FY26 the focus

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Pointerra Ltd (ASX:3DP) provides a powerful cloud-based solution (Pointerra3D) for managing, visualising, analysing, using and sharing massive 3D point clouds and geo-spatial datasets.
  • Pointerra3D is a proprietary digital twin Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform which delivers predictive digital insights and definitive answers to complex physical asset management questions.
  • Pointerra has reported FY25 revenue of $11.0m, up 45% on the previous corresponding period (pcp) and largely in-line with our forecast.

Pointerra RaaS Interview Transcript 28 August 2025

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group interviewed Pointerra CEO Ian Olson post the company’s results.
  • This is a full transcript.

Provaris Energy Ltd – Funding in place so we look towards project definition

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Provaris Energy Ltd (PV1.ASX) represents an unique investment opportunity as a leveraged play on the growing shift to alternative energy and carbon reduction, particularly in Europe, but applicable on a global basis.
  • Having announced a successful $1m raising through a placement (ASX:PV1 – Funding to Accelerate H2 and CO2 Commercialisation), the company is well placed to progress both of its compressed hydrogen and liquid CO2 (LCO2) projects through 2025.
  • The next 6-12 months should see two hydrogen supply, offtake and shipping agreements become unconditional, completion of the construction, testing and certification of its proprietary hydrogen ‘storage tank’ design and its CO2 FEED evaluation in partnership with Yinson.

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Daily Brief South Korea: HD Hyundai Heavy Industries , Korean Air Lines and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • HHI–Mipo Merger Swap: Deal Mechanics & Spread Play Opportunities
  • A Merger Between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo
  • Korean Air: A Major Rights Offering Capital Raise Likely In Next 1-2 Years


HHI–Mipo Merger Swap: Deal Mechanics & Spread Play Opportunities

By Sanghyun Park

  • HHI–Mipo merger spread looks minimal, but today’s MASGA-driven pop signals momentum flows—likely to mean-revert toward appraisal rights once the theme dissipates.
  • Froth lifted prices past fundamentals—once it unwinds, HHI–Mipo could diverge from swap ratio, creating the spread window where traders can get paid.
  • This isn’t classic merger arb—it’s about fading a policy-fueled pop, riding the snapback toward appraisal baseline, with flow-driven swings creating short-term tactical arb setups.

A Merger Between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo

By Douglas Kim

  • It was announced today that HD Hyundai Heavy Industries will merge with HD Hyundai Mipo. The merger ratio between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo is 1:0.4059146. 
  • HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS) will own a 66.29% stake in the merged entity.
  • HD KSOE is proceeding with this merger of its two major subsidiaries ahead of the full-scale launch of the MASGA (“Make America Shipbuilding Great Again”) project.

Korean Air: A Major Rights Offering Capital Raise Likely In Next 1-2 Years

By Douglas Kim

  • We believe a major rights offering capital raise is likely for Korean Air Lines (003490 KS) in the next 1-2 years.
  • On 25 August, Korean Air announced a 70 trillion won investment plan in the United States. This plan is likely to have been pressured heavily by the Korean government. 
  • A big problem with this plan is Korean Air does not produce enough cash flow and its balance sheet is not strong enough to invest such huge amounts of capital. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: Comfortdelgro Corp, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Acer Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Comfortdelgro (CD): Growth Evident and Cheap
  • Seasonal Surge Lifts Vietnam’s Rubber Exports In June Amid Price Strain
  • kopi-C with Winking Studios – How Winking Studios is driving business growth through joy and entertainment


Comfortdelgro (CD): Growth Evident and Cheap

By Henry Soediarko

  • Public transport and taxi segments in Singapore provide much-needed stability for the group, not much downside surprise is expected. Now 54% of its revenue is generated overseas. 
  • Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) subsidiary, Vicom Ltd (VCM SP) is in charge of the OBU upgrade in Singapore, providing some high-margin incremental operating profit.
  • It trades at 14x PE, and its share price is almost at historical low, creating another reason to build positions on this.  

Seasonal Surge Lifts Vietnam’s Rubber Exports In June Amid Price Strain

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Exports to Indonesia surge 154% MoM in June  
  • China drives monthly rubber trade rebound  
  • Typhoon Kajiki disrupts supply and pushes up prices  

kopi-C with Winking Studios – How Winking Studios is driving business growth through joy and entertainment

By Geoff Howie

  • Winking Studios reported a 27.3% year-on-year revenue growth to US$19.4 million in the first half of 2025.
  • The acquisition of Shanghai Mineloader contributed US$4.1 million in revenue, boosting Winking Studios’ overall performance.
  • Winking Studios maintains a strong balance sheet with US$27.1 million in cash, zero debt, and US$49.4 million in indicative bookings.

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Most Read: Sanrio, Fast Retailing, SK Telecom, Shibaura Electronics, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries , PointsBet Holdings , Mixue Group, Metaplanet and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: Turning OVERSOLD, Potential BUY Ahead of Sep-25 Rebalance
  • SKT Foreign Room Play Heating up — Entry Could Come Sooner than Expected with Today’s Fine Out
  • Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval
  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold
  • HHI–Mipo Merger Swap: Deal Mechanics & Spread Play Opportunities
  • A Merger Between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo
  • PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr’s Dyslexic Bump. Mixi’s Now Holding 42.38%
  • MIXUE IPO Lockup – US$480m Cornerstone Lockup Release
  • Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.
  • BayCurrent Consulting‘s PAF will double, Fast Retailing‘s CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from Sony Corp (6758 JP)
  • Sanrio (8136 JP)‘s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: Turning OVERSOLD, Potential BUY Ahead of Sep-25 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • In his recent insight, Brian Freitas stated that Fast Retailing (9983 JP)‘s CPAF will stay the same at the September 25 Nikkei 225 Index rebalance.
  • The stock is turning oversold—not yet extreme, but notable. Historically, this short-term downtrend pattern often reversed after two weeks of declines; we are now in the second consecutive week lower.
  • Monitor the 47150 support level: the stock is trading at 47810 at the moment of writing, if it goes at or below 47150 it will start to be clearly oversold.

SKT Foreign Room Play Heating up — Entry Could Come Sooner than Expected with Today’s Fine Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • SKT foreign room rising ahead of PIPC sanction decision today; fine confirmation could trigger ESG fund exits.
  • Large ESG money still in SKT; post-sanction exits could push foreign room past 25% sooner than expected — a key factor for trading setup.
  • Nov review momentum could hit early; post-fine, a foreign room surge toward 25% signals our entry, with the pullback setting up the SKT Nov inclusion trade.

Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval

By Arun George

  • A day before the close of Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)’s offer, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has strategically stated that it expects to receive FEFTA approval by 10 September. 
  • Minebea had tried to convince shareholders that its lower offer provides an opportunity to monetise their shares quickly and with certainty. This line of reasoning is no longer credible. 
  • As Minebea will not increase its offer or extend the closing date, Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)‘s Board will have to recommend Yageo’s offer.  

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold

By Travis Lundy

  • Last weekend then post-close Monday, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) raised its TOB Price for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) to ¥7,130 – a full 15% through Minebea’s proposed ¥6,200/share terms.
  • Minebea was playing chicken with the result, closing its tender on 28 August, before Japan’s Foreign Direct Investment approval (FEFTA approval) was cleared, expected 1 Sep or later.
  • Today post-close, YAGEO announced it had concluded discussions with METI, would make all required regulatory submissions today, and expects to obtain approval “no later than 10 September”

HHI–Mipo Merger Swap: Deal Mechanics & Spread Play Opportunities

By Sanghyun Park

  • HHI–Mipo merger spread looks minimal, but today’s MASGA-driven pop signals momentum flows—likely to mean-revert toward appraisal rights once the theme dissipates.
  • Froth lifted prices past fundamentals—once it unwinds, HHI–Mipo could diverge from swap ratio, creating the spread window where traders can get paid.
  • This isn’t classic merger arb—it’s about fading a policy-fueled pop, riding the snapback toward appraisal baseline, with flow-driven swings creating short-term tactical arb setups.

A Merger Between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo

By Douglas Kim

  • It was announced today that HD Hyundai Heavy Industries will merge with HD Hyundai Mipo. The merger ratio between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo is 1:0.4059146. 
  • HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS) will own a 66.29% stake in the merged entity.
  • HD KSOE is proceeding with this merger of its two major subsidiaries ahead of the full-scale launch of the MASGA (“Make America Shipbuilding Great Again”) project.

PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr’s Dyslexic Bump. Mixi’s Now Holding 42.38%

By David Blennerhassett

  • Betr Entertainment (BBT AU) has bumped scrip terms to 4.375 betr shares per PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) share, equivalent to A$1.31/share, based on betr’s last traded price. 
  • True to form with betr, there’s a typo in its latest announcement stating a 4.735 ratio. betr just issued a Bidder’s Statement with the correct info.
  • Apologies: in my last note I mentioned Mixi Inc (2121 JP) had bumped to A$1.30/share. However, that was predicated on Mixi securing 90%, which won’t happen if betr doesn’t tender.

MIXUE IPO Lockup – US$480m Cornerstone Lockup Release

By Sumeet Singh

  • Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
  • MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance

By Nicholas Tan

  • Metaplanet (3350 JP) is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a relatively small one, representing 4.4 days of the stock’s three month ADV, despite being 23.7% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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Daily Brief Japan: Shibaura Electronics, Metaplanet, Toyota Motor, Tsubakimoto Kogyo, Medical Data Vision and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval
  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold
  • Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth
  • Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance
  • Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium
  • Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts
  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP) – Q1 FY2026/3 off to a Strong Start
  • Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd (3902 JP): Research Update


Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval

By Arun George

  • A day before the close of Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)’s offer, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has strategically stated that it expects to receive FEFTA approval by 10 September. 
  • Minebea had tried to convince shareholders that its lower offer provides an opportunity to monetise their shares quickly and with certainty. This line of reasoning is no longer credible. 
  • As Minebea will not increase its offer or extend the closing date, Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)‘s Board will have to recommend Yageo’s offer.  

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold

By Travis Lundy

  • Last weekend then post-close Monday, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) raised its TOB Price for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) to ¥7,130 – a full 15% through Minebea’s proposed ¥6,200/share terms.
  • Minebea was playing chicken with the result, closing its tender on 28 August, before Japan’s Foreign Direct Investment approval (FEFTA approval) was cleared, expected 1 Sep or later.
  • Today post-close, YAGEO announced it had concluded discussions with METI, would make all required regulatory submissions today, and expects to obtain approval “no later than 10 September”

Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth

By Mark Chadwick

  • Metaplanet launches international equity raise of up to 555m shares, potentially almost doubling share count, targeting approximately ¥130b in proceeds subject to pricing and demand.
  • Proceeds earmarked primarily for Bitcoin purchases, potentially adding 4,800–26,800 BTC to treasury holdings, accelerating NAV growth and reinforcing positioning as a Bitcoin balance sheet company.
  • Suspension of 20th–22nd series stock acquisition rights through September ensures offering stability and clears path for subsequent preferred share issuance capacity.

Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance

By Nicholas Tan

  • Metaplanet (3350 JP) is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a relatively small one, representing 4.4 days of the stock’s three month ADV, despite being 23.7% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium

By Rahul Jain

  • Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) is at the center of a takeover battle between MinebeaMitsumi and Taiwan’s YAGEO.
  • Minebea has bid ¥6,200/share with 23% locked in and management support, while YAGEO counters at ¥7,130/share, pending FEFTA clearance.
  • Financial investors may wait for FEFTA clarity and lean YAGEO for price, while risk‑averse or aligned holders favor Minebea’s certainty.

Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: After three consecutive up weeks, Toyota (7203 JP) / Toyota ADR (TM US) now screens as overbought, with quantitative models signaling a high probability of a trend reversal.
  • Trade Idea: Elevated implied volatility (82–83rd percentile) makes short call strategies attractive. Selling near-term calls captures rich premium while aligning with downside risk.
  • Why Read: This Insight highlights a timely opportunity where technical overbought signals and historically rich IV converge — ideal for investors seeking a tactical setup.

Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP) – Q1 FY2026/3 off to a Strong Start

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) announced Q1 FY2026/3 result on July 25, 2025.
  • The Company delivered a strong start to FY2026, posting double-digit sales growth and significant profit increase, supported by substantial order backlog.
  • This marked a notable YoY rebound, as Q1 FY2025/3 temporarily declined due to reactionary effects from FY2024/3. 

Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd (3902 JP): Research Update

By Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

  • FY25 1H results summary Medical Data Vision [MDV] reported FY25 1H (Dec year-end) results with sales coming in largely in line with the firm’s guidance while reporting an operating loss in Q2, on higher costs [COGS and personnel] incurred to boost sales in 2H.
  • MDV produced 1H gross profit [GP] of ¥2,126mil (+3.2% YoY) and an operating loss of -¥5mil (vs FY24 1H OP of ¥26mil) on sales of ¥3,034mil (+9.1% YoY).
  • The topline increase was achieved thanks to improved sales in the Data Utilisation segment.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Medco Energi, Criterium Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Flow rate of up to 8 mmcf/d at South East MGH. Reducing FY25 capex guidance


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Medco Energi, Yuexiu Property, Xiaomi Corp, Nissan Motor
  • The UST curve twisted steeper yesterday, as front-end yields declined on the back of a solid auction for 2Y notes. That said, long-dated yields ended higher, amid concerns over the US central bank’s independence after President Donald Trump moved to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook. The yield on the 2Y UST fell 4 bps to 3.68%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 1 bp at 4.26%.
  • Equities climbed, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both up 0.4% at 6,466 and 21,544, respectively

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Flow rate of up to 8 mmcf/d at South East MGH. Reducing FY25 capex guidance

By Auctus Advisors

  • • The SEM-01 well at South East MGH flowed 7–8 mmcf/d on test on 40/54” and 48/64” choke sizes.
  • Further choke expansion was constrained by surface facility limitations.
  • This follows the MGH-20 well at North MGH, which flowed at 2.8 mmcf/d on test.

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Daily Brief China: Akeso Biopharma Inc, Laopu Gold, Xiaomi, Anta Sports Products, Pop Mart, Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited, Aux Electric, China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech, Beijing Sinotau International Pharmaceutical Technology, New Oriental Education & Techn and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Akeso Inc Placement – Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small
  • Laopu Gold Placement – Relatively Small Deal, past One Did Well
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics
  • Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1H25, Revenue Up by 14% with “Other Brands” Up by 61%
  • Labubu Carries Pop Mart Stock to All-Time High
  • Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading – Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record
  • AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • CNRE (600111.SH) – H1 FY25 Beat, Downstream Expansion; Valuations Look Stretched
  • Pre-IPO Beijing Sinotau International Pharmaceutical Technology – The Pipeline and the Outlook
  • Guinea Value’s Jingshu Zhang on $EDU


Akeso Inc Placement – Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$460m from a mix of primary placement and selldown by its founders.
  • Past deals in the name have been mixed, but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Laopu Gold Placement – Relatively Small Deal, past One Did Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • What seems to be the controlling shareholder of Laopu Gold (6181 HK), aims to raise around US$250m via selling 1.6% of the company.
  • The shares have done very well since its listing and the previous deal in the name did well too.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Xiaomi (1810 HK) reported 2Q25 results on 19 Aug, beating expectations. This Insight analyzes price reactions in Hong Kong and two overseas markets.
  • Highlights: Implied volatility dropped sharply post-earnings, both across the term structure and skew.
  • Why it matters: With Xiaomi’s implied volatility now at historically cheap levels, investors may find opportunities in long-volatility strategies ahead of the next earnings in November.

Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1H25, Revenue Up by 14% with “Other Brands” Up by 61%

By Ming Lu

  • Anta Sports acquired Jack Wolfskin in April 2025 so that “other brands” revenues surged by 61% YoY in 1H25.
  • The margin pressure came from e-commerce promotion and product function development.
  • We conclude an upside of 18% and a price target of HK$120. Buy.

Labubu Carries Pop Mart Stock to All-Time High

By Caixin Global

  • Shares of Pop Mart International Group Ltd. hit an all-time high after the Chinese toymaker posted strong half-year earnings, fueled by frenzied demand for its Labubu plushies in the U.S. and other overseas markets.
  • The Hong Kong-listed company’s profit soared 385.6% year-on-year to nearly 4.7 billion yuan ($654.9 million) in the first half of 2025, while revenue jumped 204.4% to almost 13.9 billion yuan, according to a stock exchange filing on Tuesday.
  • Notably, Pop Mart’s revenue from the Americas skyrocketed more than twelvefold from the first half of 2024, while sales in Europe and other regions excluding Asia-Pacific jumped more than eightfold.

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading – Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

By Sumeet Singh

  • Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027
  • We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Aux Electric (2580 HK) has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m.
  • The company’s low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time; however, margins lag behind large air conditioner peers.
  • We think AUX should be compared against Hisense due to their higher dependence on ODM sales and believe AUX’s IPO is valued attractively compared to Hisense.

CNRE (600111.SH) – H1 FY25 Beat, Downstream Expansion; Valuations Look Stretched

By Rahul Jain

  • CNRE (600111.SH) posted record H1 FY25 profits with strong production and margin gains.
  • The company is ramping alloy, magnet, and separation capacity into 2026 to lift downstream integration.
  • Shares have surged over 200% in 12 months, leaving valuations stretched and bubble-like.

Pre-IPO Beijing Sinotau International Pharmaceutical Technology – The Pipeline and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The mature and complete upstream to downstream industrial chain of nuclear medicine has high barriers. It is unknown whether the entire nuclear drug market can reach the scale of ADC.
  • There’re uncertainties in commercialization of Sinotau’s pipeline, which faces the pressure of lowering price, NRDL negotiation, challenge from generic drugs. Uneven distribution of nuclear resources constrains the application of products.
  • Short-Term performance mainly relies on the commercialization breakthrough of XTR008 and XTR005. Our forecast is revenue could reach RMB300-500 million in 2026. Pre-IPO valuation of RMB5.188 billion is not cheap.

Guinea Value’s Jingshu Zhang on $EDU

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • New Oriental is an education service company based in China that has seen significant growth and success since its founding in 1993.
  • The company faced challenges in 2021 due to policy changes in China, but has since recovered and is deemed undervalued by Xu Zhong Xu.
  • Xu Zhong Xu, a knowledgeable investor with background in the education industry, provides insights on the company’s history, growth trajectory, and potential for continued success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Netskope, Gevo, Soluna Holdings , Tuya Inc, APA , Unit Corp, Atlassian , Choice Hotels Intl and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.
  • Netskope, Inc. (NTSK): Peeking at the IPO Propsectus of the Next Cybersecurity Firm
  • Netskope IPO Valuation Analysis: Multiple In Excess of the Security Software Market Is Well Deserved
  • Gevo, Inc: Transformation Underway; Opportunity in Future Undersupplied US Jet Fuel Market
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc: Two New Sites Push Generation Past 1 GW
  • Tuya, Inc: 2Q25 Growth Continues in a Challenging Environment
  • APA Corporation Partners with TotalEnergies—Will This Offshore Alliance Be a Game-Changer?
  • Unit Corp – Updating Projections After a Strong Q2
  • Atlassian Corporation: Their Enterprise Go-To-Market Strategy Is Driving Our Optimism!
  • Choice Hotels International: Enhanced Effective Royalty Rates & Partnership Revenue Expansion…


NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 2Q26 (Jul-25) revenue growth 56% YoY, despite a sharp decline in China revenue (-24% YoY). No H20 revenues from China. H20 charges normalize, margins improve, Net Income 5% above Consensus. 
  • 3Q26 revenue growth stable at 54% YoY, not including any H20 revenues from China. Upside from H20 at $2-5bn, max revenue growth 68% YoY. 3Q guidance ~3% above Consensus.   
  • The stock is not expensive. Trading at its average 47x trailing PEx, 33x forward. Very little risk to Consensus expectations over FY26-28. 

Netskope, Inc. (NTSK): Peeking at the IPO Propsectus of the Next Cybersecurity Firm

By IPO Boutique

  • The company built a unified, cloud-native platform to solve the challenge of securing and accelerating the digital interactions of enterprises filed for its IPO on August 22nd. 
  • . As of July 31, 2025, they had 4,317 customers, a 21% year-over-year increase from 3,571 customers as of July 31, 2024.
  • The company’s revenue jumped 30.7% from the 1H of 2025 versus 1H of 2024. 

Netskope IPO Valuation Analysis: Multiple In Excess of the Security Software Market Is Well Deserved

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Netskope Inc., a high growth provider of enterprise network security platform called Netskope One platform, is expected to IPO in September.
  • The amount the cybersecurity company is planning to raise is not yet disclosed, but it’s likely to exceed $800M.  
  • Netskope’s growth profile at scale looks strong coupled with leadership position, large TAM and the company’s FCF-breakeven. Thus, a premium multiple is deserved.  

Gevo, Inc: Transformation Underway; Opportunity in Future Undersupplied US Jet Fuel Market

By Water Tower Research

  • Gevo is focused on making cost-effective, scalable, drop- in fuels and chemicals.
  • These include low-carbon ethanol, synthetic aviation fuel (SAF), renewable natural gas (RNG), and other products.
  • Gevo’s strategy is to have profitable and scalable carbon-abating operations that transform output, like corn, and ethanol from rural communities into products that satisfy significant global demand, like SAF. 

Soluna Holdings, Inc: Two New Sites Push Generation Past 1 GW

By Water Tower Research

  • Soluna recently announced it has passed the major milestone of 1 GW of clean energy generation.
  • The company is accelerating its mission to make clean computing the standard for AI and Bitcoin by expanding its data center platform with a 2.8-GW power pipeline.
  • Soluna has reached a 1-GW milestone with the launch of two new projects in Texas: Project Fei and Project Gladys. 

Tuya, Inc: 2Q25 Growth Continues in a Challenging Environment

By Water Tower Research

  • Tuya reported another solid quarter in a challenging environment, with revenue of $80.1 million, up 9% Y/Y. Gross margin increased Y/Y by 40 bps to 48.4%, while PaaS revenue increased 7% Y/Y to $58.1 million.
  • Cash and equivalents decreased to $1,006 million due to a cash dividend and the company has no debt.
  • Management had noted that the rollercoaster of 1Q25 could continue, and it seems to have done just that.

APA Corporation Partners with TotalEnergies—Will This Offshore Alliance Be a Game-Changer?

By Baptista Research

  • The second quarter of 2025 was notable for APA Corporation, reflecting significant operational and financial strides.
  • The company reported consolidated net income of $603 million, with an adjusted net income at $313 million, indicating strong financial health.
  • The quarter’s performance benefited from asset sales in New Mexico and effective trading operations, and the company noted a marked improvement in operational efficiency across its portfolio.

Unit Corp – Updating Projections After a Strong Q2

By Richard Howe

  • Last week, I spoke to the CFO of Unit Corp and wanted to share a brief update (full notes from my call below).

  • The big surprise this quarter was that production GREW (+16% y/y in the quarter). I’ve become used to seeing 10% to 15% annual declines, and while management had guided that production would start to flatten out given increased drilling activity, it was still very nice to see.

  • The company is in the process of drilling 2 net new wells this year and results have been quite strong.

Atlassian Corporation: Their Enterprise Go-To-Market Strategy Is Driving Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Atlassian reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • The company achieved over $5.2 billion in revenue and generated more than $1.4 billion in free cash flow, maintaining a balanced Rule of 40+ performance.
  • The company’s customer base grew to over 300,000, with a significant increase in deals over $1 million in annual contract value, indicating a robust enterprise sales performance.

Choice Hotels International: Enhanced Effective Royalty Rates & Partnership Revenue Expansion…

By Baptista Research

  • Choice Hotels International reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, reflecting both strategic advancements and noticeable challenges.
  • The company reported significant achievements, with adjusted EBITDA hitting $165 million, marking a year-over-year increase.
  • This was driven by a more than 2% net increase in global rooms, including a 3% rise in more revenue-intensive rooms.

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