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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Symbio Pharmaceuticals, Novartis , Astellas Pharma, IDEXX Laboratories, LogicMark , Shionogi & Co, Tsumura & Co, Charm Care Corp, Dyadic International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP): Full-year FY12/24 flash update
  • Novartis: Spinning Off Sandoz—Will a Focused Strategy Pay Off?
  • Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): 9MFY25 Result- Strategic Brands Strong; Margins Expand; Guidance Raised
  • IDEXX Laboratories: Executing International Expansion To Capitalize On Its Competitive Edge Across Global Veterinary Markets!
  • LGMK: New Products, New Distribution Channels, New Agreements
  • Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): 9MFY25 Revenue Flat; Insomnia Drug Launched; NDA Submission in Japan
  • Tsumura & Co (4540 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Charm Care Corp (6062 JP): 1H FY06/25 flash update
  • DYAI: Looking Toward Product Revenues


Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP): Full-year FY12/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales decreased by 56.1% YoY to JPY2.5bn, with a gross profit of JPY1.9bn and a gross margin of 76.4%.
  • Operating loss increased to JPY3.9bn in FY12/24, with SG&A expenses at JPY5.8bn, including R&D expenses of JPY3.4bn.
  • FY12/25 forecast: Sales at JPY1.9bn, operating loss at JPY4.3bn, with total SG&A expenses projected at JPY5.6bn.

Novartis: Spinning Off Sandoz—Will a Focused Strategy Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • Novartis reported strong financial results for both the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, marking one of the most robust performances in its history.
  • The company recorded a 16% increase in sales in the fourth quarter and a 29% rise in core operating income, both in constant currency.
  • For the full year, sales grew 12%, while core operating income expanded by 22%, with an operating margin reaching 38.7%.

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): 9MFY25 Result- Strategic Brands Strong; Margins Expand; Guidance Raised

By Tina Banerjee

  • Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) reported a 22% YoY (6% from favourable Fx rates) revenue growth to ¥1,453B in 9MFY25. The U.S. market continue to be key, contributing 46% of revenue.
  • Operating profit rose 44% YoY to ¥297.5B, with operating margin expanding 310bps to 20.5%. Core profit increased 35% YoY to ¥223B, with margins improving 150bps to 15.4% in 9MFY25.
  • Guidance revised upward, with revenue now expected at ¥1,900B on robust XTANDI performance and favorable forex movement.

IDEXX Laboratories: Executing International Expansion To Capitalize On Its Competitive Edge Across Global Veterinary Markets!

By Baptista Research

  • IDEXX Laboratories, a global leader in veterinary diagnostics, software, and water quality products, closed out 2024 with a solid performance, surpassing expectations and setting a strong foundation for 2025.
  • The company reported a 6% organic revenue increase in Q4 2024, driven by a 7% rise in its core Companion Animal Group (CAG) Diagnostic recurring revenues.
  • Operating profits grew 7% as reported, and 8% on a comparable basis, supported by favorable gross margin gains.

LGMK: New Products, New Distribution Channels, New Agreements

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Zacks Small-Cap Research Note for LogicMark, Inc. (LGMK)

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): 9MFY25 Revenue Flat; Insomnia Drug Launched; NDA Submission in Japan

By Tina Banerjee

  • Shionogi & Co (4507 JP) reported 1% YoY revenue decline during 9MFY25 as domestic sales of prescription drugs decreased 38% YoY.
  • Quviviq, a DORA treatment for insomnia was launched in December 2024. Shionogi acquired exclusive distribution rights for Quviviq in Japan and it is expected to be a significant revenue contributor.
  • Shionogi submitted NDA in Japan for zuranolone, a treatment in development for major depressive disorder (MDD). Approval is expected in H1FY26.

Tsumura & Co (4540 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue reached JPY136.8bn, with a 20.6% YoY increase in domestic business and flat growth in China business.
  • Operating profit rose 69.1% YoY to JPY32.4bn, driven by revenue growth and a decline in cost ratios.
  • The company revised its full-year forecast, lowering revenue but raising profit forecasts due to lower expenses and yen depreciation.

Charm Care Corp (6062 JP): 1H FY06/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY06/25, revenue increased by 7.9% YoY, operating profit grew 11.7% YoY, maintaining high occupancy rates.
  • As of end-Q2, 104 assisted-living facilities operated with 7,086 rooms, maintaining high occupancy despite increased resident departures.
  • Good Partners’ revenue and profit were strong; Charm Senior Living’s referral business contributed to occupancy growth at facilities.

DYAI: Looking Toward Product Revenues

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Dyadic has developed C1, its proprietary fungal expression system that can produce a variety of recombinant proteins.
  • C1 has been commercialized in industrial applications and is in development for production of pharmaceutical grade proteins.
  • C1 exhibits potential to economically produce recombinant proteins, biologic vaccines, virus like particles, antibodies, Fc-fusion, enzymes, AAVs and other biopharmaceuticals.

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Daily Brief Financials: Shin Kong Financial Holding, Bank Mandiri Persero, Japan Hotel Reit Investment, Jaccs Co Ltd, Sun Frontier Fudousan, Aruhi Corp, Japan Investment Adviser Co, Aon and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Shin Kong (2888 TT) / Taishin (2887 TT) – Waiting on the FSC
  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Well-Set for 2025 Returns
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-Feb-2025): KKR & Gaw negotiating $660M sale of Hyatt Regency Tokyo.
  • Jaccs Co Ltd (8584 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Sun Frontier Fudousan (8934 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Aruhi Corp (7198 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Japan Investment Adviser Co (7172 JP): Full-year FY12/24 flash update
  • Aon: What’s Next After the Willis Towers Watson Merger Fallout?


Shin Kong (2888 TT) / Taishin (2887 TT) – Waiting on the FSC

By Travis Lundy

  • The TFTC approved in early January, The TFTC said market power would be limited and competition unrestricted. Another CNA article suggested the two FHCs were completing employee placement plans.
  • Apparently, as of a month ago, only the Shin Kong Bank employee settlement plan had not been completed but the FSC has rules about that. Consideration likely proceeds.
  • There are specific rules about how these things are dealt with. In the meantime, the spread – still wide – is narrowing.

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Well-Set for 2025 Returns

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Mandiri saw a slower finish to the year despite strong loan growth and solid CASA growth, as expenses rose in 4Q2024 and slower recoveries impacted non-interest income.  
  • Strong loan growth was driven by corporate and commercial lending with diverse sector exposure, as it continues to exploit wholesale relationships rather than increase risk, supported by CASA growth.
  • The recent correction looks overdone given the outlook for 2024 looks positive, with loans expected to follow deposit growth in 2025, with credit costs under control. Valuations below historic levels.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-Feb-2025): KKR & Gaw negotiating $660M sale of Hyatt Regency Tokyo.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • KKR and Gaw are in talks for a $660M sale of Hyatt Regency Tokyo to Japan Hotel REIT, potentially reshaping the hospitality market.
  • Singapore worker housing rents have surged by 10.8% in the second half of 2024, attributed to a significant increase in labor influx.
  • Despite falling rent trends in APAC office markets, Australia and Japan have shown resistance, according to Knight Frank’s report.

Jaccs Co Ltd (8584 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Operating revenue increased by JPY4.3bn YoY, driven by deferred installment income, despite a decline in transaction volume.
  • Consolidated operating expenses rose JPY8.4bn YoY due to higher bad-debt expenses and finance costs amid interest rate hikes.
  • Overseas business saw a segment loss of JPY2.5bn, with increased bad debt expenses and declining transaction volumes in Vietnam and Indonesia.

Sun Frontier Fudousan (8934 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue and profit declined YoY due to the absence of large property sales and hotel sales in FY03/24.
  • The company expects to achieve its full-year forecast, with significant property sales concentrated in Q4 FY03/25.
  • Hotel operation business saw a significant YoY increase in revenue and profit due to rising occupancy rates and ADR.

Aruhi Corp (7198 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Operating revenue increased to JPY16.5bn, driven by origination-related, recurring, and assets and other revenue growth.
  • Operating expenses rose to JPY14.2bn due to finance costs, personnel, and commission expenses, despite cost-cutting measures.
  • Pre-tax profit reached JPY2.3bn, with a 14.0% margin, as revenue and profit rose year-over-year.

Japan Investment Adviser Co (7172 JP): Full-year FY12/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • FY12/24 revenue increased 42.7% YoY, with operating profit up 120.5% and recurring profit up 217.2%.
  • Operating Lease business revenue rose 47.5% YoY, contributing 90.8% of total revenue, with equity sales at JPY113.1bn.
  • FY12/25 forecast includes revenue of JPY36.9bn, operating profit of JPY18.1bn, and a 50% dividend payout ratio.

Aon: What’s Next After the Willis Towers Watson Merger Fallout?

By Baptista Research

  • Aon plc’s performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects a period of strategic execution and financial growth.
  • The company reported a 6% organic revenue growth for the full year and a notable 17% total revenue increase, driven significantly by its successful 3×3 Plan.
  • Operating income saw a robust 17% rise, contributing to a 10% increase in adjusted earnings per share.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Hyundai Motor, CP ALL PCL, Ganesha Ecosphere, Cato Corp Class A, Destination Xl Group, Kent R O Systems, Tyson Foods Inc Cl A, Arata Corp, United Arrows, Autoliv Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch
  • CP ALL (CPALL TB) – Caught in a Force Seven Gale
  • Ganesha Ecosphere Limited: Q3 FY25 Quarterly Update
  • Cato Corp -Cl A (CATO) – Thursday, Nov 7, 2024
  • Destination Xl Group Inc (DXLG) – Thursday, Nov 7, 2024
  • Kent R O Systems Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Tyson Foods: Prepared Foods Segment Growth & Other Major Drivers
  • Arata Corp (2733 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • United Arrows (7606 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Autoliv Inc.: Is Its Rising Presence In Asian Markets Helping Them Achieve A Material Amount Of Growth?


Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

By Sanghyun Park

  • Korea’s first ATS goes live on March 4, starting with 10 tickers based on liquidity and market cap, expanding to 800 over time. First 10 revealed next week.
  • KRX vs ATS arbitrage will be key, with execution speed differences causing price dislocations, especially for KOSPI 200 stocks. Lower ATS fees may shift institutional flow, increasing arb opportunities.
  • On top of that, lack of market makers could widen bid-ask spreads, creating opportunities for spread scalpers to profit.

CP ALL (CPALL TB) – Caught in a Force Seven Gale

By Angus Mackintosh

  • CP ALL (CPALL TB) has seen a rout in its share price as investors worry that it may be drawn into investing in Seven & I Holdings.
  • Indications suggest that if it was to invest, the stake would be much smaller than previously reported and it would likely come with some beneficial concessions.
  • CP ALL (CPALL TB) continues to see a strong recovery in both sales and profitability, with a positive outlook for FY2025, whilst valuations have been compressed to attractive levels.

Ganesha Ecosphere Limited: Q3 FY25 Quarterly Update

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Ganesha Ecosphere (GNPL IN)’s Q3 FY25 revenue surged 39.6% YoY to ₹397.8 crores, with production volume up 22.3% YoY, and capacity expansions underway.
  • Strong revenue growth and capacity expansions enhance GEL’s market position amid rising global demand for sustainable PET recycling.
  • Investors gain confidence in GEL’s strategic shift towards high-value recycled products and international market expansion, promising long-term sustainability.

Cato Corp -Cl A (CATO) – Thursday, Nov 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Cato Corporation is a value play for investors due to its strong history of profitability and loyal customer base
  • The company has faced challenges in recent years but has potential for a rebound once economic conditions improve
  • Cato’s focus on delivering value and fashion-forward styles to a specific demographic positions it for long-term success and a solid return on investment

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Destination Xl Group Inc (DXLG) – Thursday, Nov 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • DXL Brands specializes in clothing for Big and Tall Men, offering a niche selection of clothing items designed specifically for this population.
  • Despite not using AI technology, the company has shown steady growth and financial stability with a decrease in net debt and consistent EV.
  • Customers appreciate the in-store experience, including assistance from stylists and a sense of community, making DXL Brands a reliable option for Big and Tall Men seeking stylish clothing options.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Kent R O Systems Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Kent R O Systems (6592700Z IN)  (KROS) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are Motilal and JM Fin.
  • KROS was established in 2007. The brand ‘Kent’ is a leader in the water purifier market in India, recognized for being a pioneer in introducing reverse osmosis (RO) technology.
  • Kent’s water purifiers hold the NSF/ANSI 58 certification, an American national standard for point-of-use reverse osmosis systems, as per Technopak Report.

Tyson Foods: Prepared Foods Segment Growth & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Tyson Foods started fiscal 2025 with a solid performance across multiple segments, particularly in Chicken, marking the best first-quarter adjusted operating income within the past eight years.
  • The company’s diversified multi-protein portfolio has been fundamental to balancing challenges faced in the Beef segment, where improved results surpassed expectations despite ongoing pressures from cattle cycle dynamics.
  • Notably, International operations also reported substantial profitability improvements, contributing to the overall performance.

Arata Corp (2733 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • ARATA’s cumulative Q3 FY03/25 sales reached JPY754.5bn (+4.9% YoY), with operating profit at JPY13.1bn (+4.4% YoY).
  • Gross profit was JPY74.5bn (+5.5% YoY), with SG&A expenses rising 5.9% YoY to JPY61.4bn, impacting operating profit.
  • Sales growth was notable in Health & Beauty (+5.3% YoY) and Pet categories (+6.5% YoY), with strong channel performance in DIY centers (+7.4% YoY).

United Arrows (7606 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Consolidated revenue grew 13.3% YoY, driven by parent revenue growth and proactive inventory strategies, enhancing merchandising.
  • Operating profit rose 38.1% YoY, with SG&A expenses increasing 10.9% YoY due to personnel and advertising costs.
  • Revenue from existing stores increased 12.2% YoY, with customer count up 10.3% YoY and average spend up 1.8% YoY.

Autoliv Inc.: Is Its Rising Presence In Asian Markets Helping Them Achieve A Material Amount Of Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Autoliv, Inc. recently concluded its earnings presentation for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, showcasing a record-breaking quarter in terms of operating profit, margins, and earnings per share.
  • Despite facing several market-related challenges, including a 5% year-over-year decrease in sales for the fourth quarter primarily due to adverse currency translations and regional light vehicle production (LVP) mix issues, Autoliv demonstrated resilience through cost management, operational efficiency, and strategic customer agreements.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Most Read: Indusind Bank, Barito Renewables Energy, Hexaware Technologies, Shin Kong Financial Holding, PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, Bharat Petroleum Corp, Britannia Industries, Englewood Lab, China National Building Material, Hyundai Motor and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February
  • Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ): Global Index Inclusion Likely This Month
  • Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn
  • Shin Kong (2888 TT) / Taishin (2887 TT) – Waiting on the FSC
  • PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi (CUAN IJ): Free Float to Determine Global Index Inclusion
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index
  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes
  • A Partial Tender Offer of Englewood Lab by Cosmecca Korea
  • CNBM (3323 HK): A Closer Look At Proration
  • Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

By Brian Freitas

  • Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
  • The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
  • Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 13 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in February.

Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ): Global Index Inclusion Likely This Month

By Brian Freitas

  • Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ) stock has gone through a series of gyrations as index inclusion was announced and then retracted due to the concentrated holding of the stock.
  • With pre-IPO PE/VC investors selling some stock, the increase in float could result in the inclusion of Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ) in a global index later this month.
  • The inclusion of the stock in the index will require passive trackers to buy just over 400m shares of the stock. That is over 14x ADV and will be impactful.

Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn

By Brian Freitas

  • In November 2020, HT Global IT Solutions acquired all the shares it did not own in Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) and delisted the stock from the NSE and BSE.
  • Now, Carlyle Group is looking to raise INR 87.5bn by selling stock at a price range of INR 674-708/share, valuing Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) at US$4.8bn.
  • The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and September, though the impact will be limited.

Shin Kong (2888 TT) / Taishin (2887 TT) – Waiting on the FSC

By Travis Lundy

  • The TFTC approved in early January, The TFTC said market power would be limited and competition unrestricted. Another CNA article suggested the two FHCs were completing employee placement plans.
  • Apparently, as of a month ago, only the Shin Kong Bank employee settlement plan had not been completed but the FSC has rules about that. Consideration likely proceeds.
  • There are specific rules about how these things are dealt with. In the meantime, the spread – still wide – is narrowing.

PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi (CUAN IJ): Free Float to Determine Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • Low free float market cap has kept PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ) out of a major global index so far.
  • An increase in float recently to just above 15% could result in the inclusion of the stock in the index in February and that will trigger large passive buying.
  • There is positioning in the stock, and the future stock path will depend on whether it is added to the index or not.

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we are presenting our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and four changes for NIFTY 100. We expect the results to be announced in the next few days.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

By Brian Freitas


A Partial Tender Offer of Englewood Lab by Cosmecca Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • On 6 February, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) launched a partial tender offer on Englewood Lab (950140 KS).
  • Cosmecca Korea announced that it plans to purchase 11% (2.185 million) of Englewood Lab’s outstanding shares at the tender offer price of 10,000 won. 
  • It appears that this partial tender offer is an attempt by Cosmecca Korea to increase its stake in Englewood Lab even further, capitalizing on the lower share price.

CNBM (3323 HK): A Closer Look At Proration

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 6th December, China National Building Material (3323 HK) (CNBM), China’s leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.
  • As this elevates CNBM’s parent’s stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, independent H-shareholder will vote on a whitewash waiver on the 19th February. 
  • Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. It is likely to be higher. The question is whether to buy, and/or borrow, and tender; or simply short outright.

Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

By Sanghyun Park

  • Korea’s first ATS goes live on March 4, starting with 10 tickers based on liquidity and market cap, expanding to 800 over time. First 10 revealed next week.
  • KRX vs ATS arbitrage will be key, with execution speed differences causing price dislocations, especially for KOSPI 200 stocks. Lower ATS fees may shift institutional flow, increasing arb opportunities.
  • On top of that, lack of market makers could widen bid-ask spreads, creating opportunities for spread scalpers to profit.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): Aristocrat Leisure and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): Aristocrat Leisure, Transurban, Santos


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): Aristocrat Leisure, Transurban, Santos

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 31st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Transurban, Santos.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Markets Juggle Earnings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Markets Juggle Earnings, AI Trends, and Fed Signals
  • Singapore Market Roundup (06-Feb-2025): Singtel poised for strong ebit growth in FY2025 – CGSI
  • Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher
  • Thematic Report: How Is International Trade Changing in the Coming Decade?
  • What’s the Best-Performing Major Asset Class This Year? Hint-Its Yellow and Shiny!
  • SA Listed Property Review – January 2025
  • Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies (January 2025)


Ohayo Japan | Markets Juggle Earnings, AI Trends, and Fed Signals

By Mark Chadwick

  • Amazon’s Weak Guidance Hits Shares – Despite beating Q4 estimates, Amazon issued softer Q1 guidance, mirroring cloud concerns that also weighed on Microsoft and Google.
  • Fed in Focus Amid Jobless Data – Weekly jobless claims rose to 219,000, slightly above estimates, fuelling speculation on the Federal Reserve’s next move ahead of Friday’s jobs report.
  • BOJ Hawkish Shift Strengthens Yen – BOJ’s Tamura signalled a rate hike to 1% in FY25, sparking sharp yen gains as USD/JPY fell below 152.

Singapore Market Roundup (06-Feb-2025): Singtel poised for strong ebit growth in FY2025 – CGSI

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • Singtel’s FY2025 ebit growth guidance may rise to mid-to-high teens from successful cost cuts, according to CGSI.
  • IG predicts OCBC will reach $19 and UOB will hit $39.90 in share price.
  • SGX reports record revenue and profit in first half, with 1HFY2025 adjusted net profit up 27.3% and increased revenue across all segments. CEO Loh addresses succession concerns.

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

By Andrew Jackson

  • Coherent, SMCI, Entegris all posting solid gains, while Skyworks priced in its poor outlook for its Apple biz.
  • Monolithic as much as +19% post market setting a better tone for power/analog semi related. Renesas +12.6% yesterday also.
  • Tokyo Electron numbers mixed but positive overall and any weakness at the open a good chance for dip buying.

Thematic Report: How Is International Trade Changing in the Coming Decade?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Trade is transitioning from a globalization-driven model to a more regionalized structure, influenced by geopolitical tensions, national security concerns, and supply chain diversification.
  • North America is consolidating its trade networks, China is deepening ties with the Global South, and Europe is prioritizing strategic trade partnerships, signaling a restructuring of global trade corridors
  • India’s trade with the US is projected to more than double and trade with the EU, ASEAN, and Africa are forecast to increase by around 80% over the next decade.

What’s the Best-Performing Major Asset Class This Year? Hint-Its Yellow and Shiny!

By Rikki Malik

  • Gold continues to make new highs to little, if any fanfare
  • Traditional drivers of gold like lower real rates and a weaker dollar yet to come into play
  • What does this mean for the precious metals mining sector and is it time to buy?

SA Listed Property Review – January 2025

By Garreth Elston

  • The SA listed property index fell -2.89% in January, reversing December’s gain.  
  • There were only eleven listed property companies up out of forty-five.  The majority of large SA REITs disappointed.
  • Despite being thousands of miles from the world’s touchpoints South Africa’s markets cannot escape global uncertainty and its negative impact.

Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies (January 2025)

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • The YTD FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies has been soft due to elections,sluggish government capital expenditure and less replacement demand. However,Jan2025 saw a modest uptick in wholesale volume.
  • Domestic volumes for Eicher Motors (EIM IN),Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN),and Ashok Leyland (AL IN) grew by 21%, 2%,and 3% YoY, respectively,while Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) declined by 2%.
  • According to industry reports and management interviews, the commercial vehicle industry is expected to remain largely flat in FY2025 and hopes for a positive growth in FY2026.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sino-Ocean
  • In the US, the ISM services index declined to 52.8 (54.0 e / 54.0 revised p) in January. This was driven by decreases in the new orders and prices paid components, albeit the employment component edged up to 52.3 (51.3 revised p). Separately, the January (final) S&P services PMI fell to 52.9 (56.8 p), with the composite PMI dropping to 52.7 (55.4 p).
  • Meanwhile, the trade deficit expanded to USD 98.4 bn (USD 96.8 bn e / USD 78.9 bn revised p), the second largest deficit on record. Exports decreased 2.6% m-o-m to USD 267 bn, while imports jumped 3.5% to a record high of USD 365 bn due to import front-loading ahead of expected new tariffs.

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Daily Brief ECM: Whirlpool of India OFS Early Look – Another Large Selldown by Parent and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Whirlpool of India OFS Early Look – Another Large Selldown by Parent
  • HMH Holding Inc. (HMHW): Drilling and Service Provider on Deck for IPO in Near Future
  • Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO Preview
  • Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) – US$2bn IPO Lockup Expiry with Most Investors Still in the Money
  • Euro Pratik Sales Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD): Obesity Related Biotech Seeking $85m After Setting Terms for IPO
  • Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION): Biotech Guiding to High-End Pricing; Expecting Strong Outcome


Whirlpool of India OFS Early Look – Another Large Selldown by Parent

By Akshat Shah

  • Whirlpool Corp (WHR US) is looking to raise about INR 46bn (US$530m) from selling a stake of about 31% in Whirlpool of India Limited (WHIRL).
  • In an announcement released on Jan 30, 2025, the firm mentioned its ultimate parent’s intention to sell down its interest in WHIRL from 51% to 20% by mid-to-late 2025.
  • In this note, we talk about the past deal performance and other deal dynamics.

HMH Holding Inc. (HMHW): Drilling and Service Provider on Deck for IPO in Near Future

By IPO Boutique

  • Drilling equipment and service provider updated the terms for its IPO in late January. 
  • They had total revenue of $577.2 million and $614.8 million and net income of $10.2 million and $44.9 million in the first three quarters of 2023 and 2024, respectively.
  • The Houston based company would be following three previous energy IPOs: Flowco Holdings (FLOC US) , Venture Global LNG (VG US) and Infinity Natural Resources (INR US)

Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Guming Holdings (1364 HK) (Good Me) is getting ready to complete its IPO on the Hong Kong Exchange in February.
  • At the high end of the IPO price range, the listing will raise about HK$1.58 billion (US$220 million).  
  • Guming is a ready-to-drink beverage company specializing in freshly made tea beverages.

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) – US$2bn IPO Lockup Expiry with Most Investors Still in the Money

By Sumeet Singh

  • BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN) (FirstCry) raised around US$500m in its August 2024 India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
  • In India, FirstCry sells Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products through its online platform, company-owned modern stores, franchisee-owned modern stores and general trade retail distribution.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Euro Pratik Sales Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Euro Pratik Sales Ltd (7778885Z IN) (EPS) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are Axis, Dam Capital.
  • The company operates in the decorative wall panel and decorative laminates industry as a prominent seller and marketer of Decorative Wall Panels and Decorative Laminates. 
  • According to the Technopak Report, has established itself as one of the largest organized Wall Panel brands, with a market share of 15.87% by revenue.

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN) (DKCIL) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are JM Fin, Citi, HSBC, JPM, MS, Motilal.
  • DKCIL is an R&D with innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to the hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains.
  • According to the F&S Report, the company is one of the major producers in the development, commercialization, and application of specialty chemicals in India.

Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD): Obesity Related Biotech Seeking $85m After Setting Terms for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • The company set terms for an IPO on Thursday seeking up to $85m if the offering prices at the middle of the ($16-$18) range. 
  • Aardvark Therapeutics develops novel, small-molecule therapeutics to activate innate homeostatic pathways for the treatment of metabolic diseases.
  • Their lead product candidate is an oral gut-restricted small-molecule agonist of certain TAS2Rs expressed in the gut lumen and have initiated a Phase 3 trial for hyperphagia associated with PWS.

Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION): Biotech Guiding to High-End Pricing; Expecting Strong Outcome

By IPO Boutique

  • The current price guidance is pointing to the high-end of the prevailing $16-$18 range with allocations expected to be “cut-back”.
  • This biotech is extremely well-backed with RA Capital entering the IPO as the company’s largest shareholder (29.2% pre-IPO stake).
  • Clinical-Stage biopharmaceutical company on a mission to revolutionize the current treatment paradigm for cystic fibrosis (“CF”) patients is set to go public on Friday. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2025) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2025)
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index
  • WellNeo Sugar (2117) To Buy Toyo Sugar (2107) – Too Cheap, No Synergies Paid, but Too Small
  • A Partial Tender Offer of Englewood Lab by Cosmecca Korea
  • Making a Call on when Samsung’s Financial Arms Will Drop Their Value-Up Announcements
  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes
  • Crooz Sells Online Mall Business to Korea’s Nugu
  • Ecopro Materials Block Deal Timing Closing In: Breaking Down the Situation
  • CPPTL Real Estate Trust Liquidation: Potential 28-45% Upside Amid Portfolio Sale
  • Paragon 28 Acquisition by Zimmer Biomet: Evaluating the Free CVR Opportunity and Growth Potential


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2025)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Quiddity’s “Who is Ready” series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP) and Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP) continue to be in our watchlist of pre-event candidates for TOPIX Inclusions.
  • Separately, the TOPIX Liquidity factor removal event will take place in April 2025 and there could be some positive index flows for Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) during this event.

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we are presenting our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and four changes for NIFTY 100. We expect the results to be announced in the next few days.

WellNeo Sugar (2117) To Buy Toyo Sugar (2107) – Too Cheap, No Synergies Paid, but Too Small

By Travis Lundy

  • WellNeo Sugar (2117) today announced a deal to buy Toyo Sugar Refining (2107 JP) at a 27% premium. This is a small ¥11bn deal where insiders own 45%. 
  • Normally I wouldn’t even talk about a deal this small but this one has something going for it. Two things actually. 
  • And readers will have to read all the way down to the conclusions to find out the key one, but the setup is that it is too cheap.

A Partial Tender Offer of Englewood Lab by Cosmecca Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • On 6 February, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) launched a partial tender offer on Englewood Lab (950140 KS).
  • Cosmecca Korea announced that it plans to purchase 11% (2.185 million) of Englewood Lab’s outstanding shares at the tender offer price of 10,000 won. 
  • It appears that this partial tender offer is an attempt by Cosmecca Korea to increase its stake in Englewood Lab even further, capitalizing on the lower share price.

Making a Call on when Samsung’s Financial Arms Will Drop Their Value-Up Announcements

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung Life’s value-up disclosure: we should expect it with Q4 earnings on the 20th—every local desk and media outlet is eyeing that date.
  • Unlike Samsung Life, Samsung Securities is tight-lipped. Earnings are set for Feb 14, but expect the value-up announcement after Feb 20, likely before early March and AGM season.
  • Tomorrow’s unlikely for Samsung Card’s value-up disclosure. It’s holding off until the card fee recalculation is finalized—likely after February or before mid-March, ahead of AGM season.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Secure; Tight Among the Deletes

By Brian Freitas


Crooz Sells Online Mall Business to Korea’s Nugu

By Michael Causton

  • Crooz’s Shop-list.com used to be one of the fastest growing online fashion malls in Japan but, just before Covid, it hit a wall and hasn’t recovered since. 
  • Now it will be merged with Korean fashion mall, Nugu, and its real value as a database of young female consumers will become clear. 
  • This should help Nugu grow to GTVs of ¥100 billion from Japan alone but will leave Crooz as a small bit player in digital services.

Ecopro Materials Block Deal Timing Closing In: Breaking Down the Situation

By Sanghyun Park

  • Yoon Kwan’s appeal won’t change much—it’s just stalling. His tax uncertainty is now priced in, so the reason to delay selling his EcoPro M stake is quickly fading.
  • The BRV block deal won’t follow the new pre-disclosure rule, as Yoon’s likely to classify BRV as a financial investor, so no one-month heads-up.
  • The deal’s likely in 2-3 weeks; volume will spike 2-3 days before. Once we catch the signals, it’s time to position for the EcoPro M block trade.

CPPTL Real Estate Trust Liquidation: Potential 28-45% Upside Amid Portfolio Sale

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • CPPTL, a real estate trust, is liquidating 121 JC Penney-leased properties, potentially offering 28%-45% upside by 2025.
  • Major shareholders, primarily former JC Penney creditors, own 70% of CPPTL shares, indicating potential eagerness to exit.
  • CPPTL properties are marketed with Newmark; initial offers expected by February 26, targeting 7%-8% cap rates.

Paragon 28 Acquisition by Zimmer Biomet: Evaluating the Free CVR Opportunity and Growth Potential

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Paragon 28 is being acquired by Zimmer Biomet for $13/share in cash plus a non-transferable CVR tied to 2026 revenue.
  • The CVR pays up to $1/share if Paragon’s revenue reaches $361m, requiring a 19% CAGR over two years.
  • The merger is supported by management and faces minimal regulatory hurdles, with DaCosta incentivized to achieve CVR targets.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Yamaha Corp (7951) BIG Buyback May Be Followed By More Later and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Yamaha Corp (7951) BIG Buyback May Be Followed By More Later
  • Jack Henry: VMS King – [Business Breakdowns, EP.205]
  • ASML CEO: EUV Technology, Microchips and Long-term Mindset
  • Tokyo Electron (TEL):  Maintains Its FY25 Guidance and Provides a Cautious 2025 Outlook
  • The Beat Ideas: Aarti Drugs Revival
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): A Good Start in 1Q25; D9500 Launched After About 1H25; China Subsidy.
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Feb-2025): Chinese cloud giants support DeepSeek as AI revolutionizes cloud.
  • Mercari (4385) | Profitability on the Rise with More Levers to Pull
  • QCOM: Moderate Growth, Average Valuations – Nothing to Get Excited About
  • Ramkrishna Forgings Q3 FY25 Earnings: A Mixed Bag with a Promising Outlook


Yamaha Corp (7951) BIG Buyback May Be Followed By More Later

By Travis Lundy


Jack Henry: VMS King – [Business Breakdowns, EP.205]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Jack Henry is a best in class operator within the vertical market software space
  • They sell operating system software for small and mid-sized banks
  • Jack Henry focuses on organic growth and their core product

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


ASML CEO: EUV Technology, Microchips and Long-term Mindset

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • ASML produces lithography systems for printing electronic circuits on chips
  • ASML is the only company in the world producing EUV lithography printers
  • EUV lithography involves generating light with a very small wavelength and requires complex technology and optics, with challenges in light generation and guiding the light to print circuits on wafers

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Tokyo Electron (TEL):  Maintains Its FY25 Guidance and Provides a Cautious 2025 Outlook

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Cautious 2025 outlook: SEAJ and other Japanese SPE firms have toned down 2025 expectations. TEL mentions a flat total end-demand.
  • In 2024, spending was concentrated in leading edge (AI) and China. In 2025, Intel and Samsung Logic Capex declines, China should decline. The bright spots are TSMC and HBM Capex.
  • Consensus expectations are low, but rightly so. The stock is at average PEx. Neutral territory.

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Drugs Revival

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Received US FDA Approval for both Tarapur & Baddi Facility & moving to regulated market.
  • Increase in revenues & margins with the US FDA approvals & Many products are backward integration or import substitution which is expected to boost demand
  • US entry to allow product & bottomline expansion and would also focus on increasing market presence from semi-regulated markets along with regulated markets

MediaTek (2454.TT): A Good Start in 1Q25; D9500 Launched After About 1H25; China Subsidy.

By Patrick Liao

  • The upcoming 1Q25 could be relatively flat or slightly higher than 4Q24, which represents a better start than usual due to seasonal effects.  
  • The Dimistry 8400/9400 models have been successful sellers, and a new Dimistry 9500 is expected to be launched after the first half of 2025. (link)
  • The China electronic household subsidy program, including smartphone, has resulted in over 8 million sales in shipments within 4 days on Jan 25.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Feb-2025): Chinese cloud giants support DeepSeek as AI revolutionizes cloud.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Top Chinese cloud platforms are supporting DeepSeek as AI changes the landscape of cloud intelligence.
  • Meta and Google are pushing forward with smart glasses development, overcoming obstacles in the Asian supply chain.
  • SiPh progress is exceeding TSMC’s expectations, heating up the optical communication CPO market earlier than anticipated.

Mercari (4385) | Profitability on the Rise with More Levers to Pull

By Mark Chadwick

  • Record Margins: Q2 OP surged 82% YoY to ¥7.1b, with Japan profitability up and losses narrowing in Fintech and the US.
  • US Breakeven Play: Aggressive cost-cutting led to 12ppt margin improvement; if growth stalls, a sale or exit could boost margins by 200bps.
  • Fintech Upside: Losses peaked last year, with 16ppt OPM improvement; breaking even could add 400bps to group margins.

QCOM: Moderate Growth, Average Valuations – Nothing to Get Excited About

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Pretty good Dec-24 quarter (1Q25), ~10% above expectations. Decent Mar-25 (2Q25) guidance, ~5% above expectations. The stock is down after hours, because?
  • FY25, I estimate Mobile revenues up ~10% YoY, Auto ~30%, IoT ~20%. QCOM said that Licensing revenues will be flat. Total revenue growth ~12% YoY, I expect similar for FY26.
  • Conclusion: nothing exciting, management reiterates big non-mobile revenue targets by 2029 (US$22bn) but downside from Apple Modem ending in 2027. In the meantime the stock is properly valued.

Ramkrishna Forgings Q3 FY25 Earnings: A Mixed Bag with a Promising Outlook

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF IN) reported Q3 FY25 revenue growth of 8% and volume up 13.9%, alongside new capacity expansions and Rs. 697 crore in new orders.
  • These robust results and strategic capacity boosts underscore RKFL’s resilience, positioning it for sustainable growth amid raw material and market headwinds.
  • Investors should see the mixed Q3 performance as a sign of proactive investments that could translate into significant long-term value.

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