Category

China

Daily Brief China: Renesola Ltd Adr, Hang Seng Index, Iron Ore, Greentown China and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Shah Capital’s $2.00/Share Buyout of Emeren Group Faces Market Skepticism Amid Operational Challenges and Competing Bid
  • Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Dec 01 – 05): Narrow Range, Low Vols and Weaker Put Flow
  • Iron Ore Rally Stretches Thin as Technicals Flash Pullback Risk
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Shah Capital’s $2.00/Share Buyout of Emeren Group Faces Market Skepticism Amid Operational Challenges and Competing Bid

By Special Situation Investments

  • Emeren Group’s largest shareholder, Shah Capital, plans to take the company private at $2.00/share, with a 13% spread.
  • Shah Capital owns 36% of SOL, requiring $65m for the buyout, with no financing concerns reported.
  • A competing bid from EEW Renewables was declined due to concerns about financing and track record credibility.

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Dec 01 – 05): Narrow Range, Low Vols and Weaker Put Flow

By John Ley

  • Quiet trade across Hong Kong Single Stock this week with HSI’s weekly range near the lows of the year.
  • Implied vols were mixed and are still clinging to the lowest levels of the year.
  • Options activity lower week over week, led by declines in Put trading.

Iron Ore Rally Stretches Thin as Technicals Flash Pullback Risk

By Umang Agrawal

  • Simandou’s arrival and softer mill output signal a clear shift toward weaker near-term demand, even as some investors position for policy surprises.
  • Technical signals point to stretched momentum, with the broader setup now tilting toward elevated odds of a near-term mean-reversion pullback.
  • The 65–62 spread climbed sharply this week, while the 62–58 spread moved lower, marking a notable divergence across grade differentials.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China
  • UST yields rose 2-4 bps yesterday, led by the front end, following the strong jobless claims data. The yield on the 2Y UST jumped 4 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST climbed 3 bps to 4.10%. Fed-dated OIS were steady, and continued to price in a 92% probability of a rate cut next Wednesday.
  • Equities edged up slightly towards record high levels. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,857 and 23,505, respectively.

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Daily Brief China: Dongfeng Motor, ANE Cayman Inc, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics, Tuhu Car , Futu Holdings Ltd, Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Dongfeng (489 HK): Revisiting VOYAH’s Spin-Off Valuation
  • ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?
  • Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical A/H Listing-Strong Track Record but Has Been Suffering Lately
  • Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth
  • 2026 High Conviction Idea – FUTU US – 3Q25 Beat and Bottom-Of-Range Valuation Creates Strong Upside
  • Guangdong Tianyu IPO Trading: Weak Insti and Retail Demand


Dongfeng (489 HK): Revisiting VOYAH’s Spin-Off Valuation

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 22nd August 2025, SOE-backed Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) announced a privatisation; together with a concurrent listing of its EV arm, VOYAH. The two proposals are interconditional.
  • In its October application proof, VOYAH turned a profit in 7M25.  The market was implying a price-to-trailing-sales of 1.5x for VOYAH, versus the basket average of 2.1x. It’s now ~1.2x.
  • Key PRC reg approvals (Mofcom/NDRC/SAFE) remain outstanding. Meanwhile, a basket of peers are down 21% since the dual proposals were announced. And their average price-to-trailing-sales are down to 1.7x. 

ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?

By Arun George

  • The consortium has decided NOT to exercise its right to increase the ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares. 
  • The positive read-across is that it signals the consortium’s confidence that the vote will pass, as reflected in the quick decision not to lift the cap (deadline was 12 December). 
  • The negative readacross is that shareholders requesting the scrip option likely exceeded the 7.5% upper threshold, and the consortium is hoping that these shareholders will instead take the mix option.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical A/H Listing-Strong Track Record but Has Been Suffering Lately

By Sumeet Singh

  • Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) (SMBE), a provider of medical devices, is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming H-share IPO
  • SMBE is a diversified global medical device enterprise with its products spanning In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD), patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, along with an emerging business portfolio.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Tuhu sets up operations in Malaysia, its first overseas expansion outside of Greater China.
  • We think Tuhu can dominate the market within 3-4 years, as there are no local establishments that can match its infrastructure, know-how, and capital base. 
  • Fair value of HKD23 implies 22x FY26 PE – average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.

2026 High Conviction Idea – FUTU US – 3Q25 Beat and Bottom-Of-Range Valuation Creates Strong Upside

By Raj S, CA, CFA

  • FUTU’s risk-reward is asymmetric:  Structurally low valuation, active consensus upgrades and a near-term catalyst (HK crypto VATP license), which can boost further upgrades (2026e) sets up a compelling long entry.
  • HK-VATP enables FUTU to expand its crypto related revenues, product offerings and margins, and remove third-party dependency. With crypto <2% assets, this new earnings leg is entirely absent from consensus.
  • FUTU’s pullback to ~15.6x FY2 P/E puts it at the bottom of a ~15x-25x – reasonable valuation band. With upgrades and catalysts ahead, it stands as a strong rerating candidate.

Guangdong Tianyu IPO Trading: Weak Insti and Retail Demand

By Nicholas Tan

  • Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor (2223725D CH) raised around US$224m in its HK IPO.
  • It was founded in 2009, and is the largest domestic PRC SiC epitaxal wafer manufacturer both in terms of revenue and sales volume, as of 2024.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief China: Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), JD Industrials, CMOC Group , Unisound AI Technology, Mandi, 3SBio Inc, Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus
  • JD Industrials IPO – Valuation Cut Means Its Priced to Go
  • China A50 ETF Rebalance: Two Sets of Changes
  • JD Industrials IPO (7618 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders
  • Mandi Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • JD Industrials (7618 HK) IPO: Only Attractive if Priced Cheaply
  • JD Industrial IPO: Structural Efficiency, Asset Light Model, Upscaling Paves Way for Growth
  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) Placement – The Placing Price Indicates Decent Upside Potential in Valuation
  • Sinopharm Group (1099 HK) – Downgrade to a Sell


FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

By Brian Freitas


JD Industrials IPO – Valuation Cut Means Its Priced to Go

By Sumeet Singh

  • JD Industrials (7618 HK) is now looking to raise up to US$421m, in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.
  • We looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

China A50 ETF Rebalance: Two Sets of Changes

By Brian Freitas


JD Industrials IPO (7618 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Unisound AI Technology, a Beijing-based AI solution provider focusing on the sales of conversational AI products and solutions, completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share in June.
  • The company raised HK$251M in its Hong Kong IPO, including additional net proceeds from the over-allotment shares issued upon the full exercise of the over-allotment option.
  • The stock peaked at HK$879.00 in September and fell ~41% over the next two months. The company’s early IPO lockup will expire on December 29, 2025.

Mandi Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mandi (MANDI HK) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai.
  • Mandi is a leading specialized consumer pharmaceuticals company in China, primarily focused on skin health (including hair health) and weight management.
  • The company was spun off from 3SBio (1530.HK) to operate as a distinct entity. 

JD Industrials (7618 HK) IPO: Only Attractive if Priced Cheaply

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Although JD Industrials (7618 HK) is China’s largest MRO player, its maximum IPO price of HK$15.5 implies a rich FY26 PER of 28.2x.
  • The stock’s highest justified valuation is a 20% premium to the sector average FY26F PER, implying only 8% upside from the IPO price, providing a limited safety margin.
  • We think it will only be attractive to price below the mid-point of the IPO range, that is, HK$14.10.

JD Industrial IPO: Structural Efficiency, Asset Light Model, Upscaling Paves Way for Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • JD Industrial launched its Hongkong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$3.3B. The company plans to sell 211.2M shares at a price band of HK$ 12.7-HK$ 15.5 per share.
  • Proceeds to be used to enhance industrial supply chain capabilities, for business expansion across geographies, for potential strategic investments or acquisitions and for general corporate purposes and working capital needs.
  • Topline growth momentum expected to remain strong in the near term alongside strengthening margins. We feel JD Industrial issue is fairly priced and investors can surely subscribe to the offer.

3SBio Inc (1530 HK) Placement – The Placing Price Indicates Decent Upside Potential in Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Mandi’s valuation logic is drifting away from the main line of 3SBio.Mandi is “good asset but not core asset” within 3SBio system, so it’s difficult to drive up overall valuation. 
  • Innovative drug R&D will be the main driver for future valuation growth in “post-Mandi era”. The Placing can be regarded as the continuous development of 3SBio after Mandi spin-off .
  • 3SBio is undervalued. Valuation would be higher than Sino Biopharm and may also surpass Akeso, Hengrui in the future if its SSGJ-707 can deliver good clinical data in future trials.

Sinopharm Group (1099 HK) – Downgrade to a Sell

By Avien Pillay

  • We expected growth to improve, however, on the contrary growth has slowed, and there seem to be limited short to medium term positive catalysts.
  • Pricing pressure is still a problem, and competition is intense especially in the fragmented medical device market.
  • Given the relatively low growth outlook, and the fact that Sinopharm is largely a distribution model, we see limited opportunity for the company to re-rate from the current level.

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Daily Brief China: Xiaomi, ANE Cayman Inc, PC Partner, Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharm, 3SBio Inc, Iron Ore, Hang Seng Index, Mao Geping Cosmetics, Shanghai Bao Pharmaceuticals, Mandi and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)
  • ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Q&A With The FA
  • PC Partner: Delisting in HK on 14 January 2026, Only on SGX Going Forward
  • Quiddity ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25 Results: ~US$1.5bn Combined One-Way Flow; Multiple Surprises
  • 3SBio (1530 HK) Placement: 3SBio’s Pipeline Strength, An Indirect Stake in Mandi Makes It Attractive
  • Policy Whispers Offer Relief, but Structural Damage Points to Iron Ore Headwinds
  • Macro Monthly (December): Seasonal Strength, Vol Selling Edges and a Notable Nifty Setup
  • Mao Geping IPO Lockup – US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors
  • Shanghai Bao Pharmaceuticals IPO: Niche Drug Candidates Entail Long-Term Growth Prospect
  • Pre-IPO Mandi Inc. – The Business Model, the Concerns and the Valuation


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

By Brian Freitas

  • The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today’s closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
  • The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while Alibaba (9988 HK) is the biggest capping sell.

ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Q&A With The FA

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 28th October, ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK), a road freight transportation play, announced a Scheme from Centurium Partners, a pre-IPO investor, Temasek, and Singapore-based asset manager True Light.
  • The consortium offered HK$12.18/share, a 48.54% premium to undisturbed. A special dividend was bolted on. All pre-cons, including SAMR’s approval, have been satisfied. Scheme Doc dispatch expected on/before 31st December.
  • I had a number of questions concerning the transaction, and yesterday pinned down a one-on-one with the FA to the Offeror.

PC Partner: Delisting in HK on 14 January 2026, Only on SGX Going Forward

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • PC Partner (1263 HK) announced it was completing its delisting from HK and moving to Singapore
  • The move to Singapore was a “life or death” situation for the company, as staying in HK precluded it from having access to Nvidia’s latest chips
  • 2026 will be a crucial year to determine PC Partner’s future outlook

Quiddity ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25 Results: ~US$1.5bn Combined One-Way Flow; Multiple Surprises

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The June 2025 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be eight changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index.
  • The ChiNext and ChiNext 50 index rebal events could trigger US$1.1bn and US$379mn in one-way flows respectively.

3SBio (1530 HK) Placement: 3SBio’s Pipeline Strength, An Indirect Stake in Mandi Makes It Attractive

By Tina Banerjee

  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) announced the placement of 105.2M shares for subscription at HK$29.62 per share.
  • The company intends to use 80% of the net proceeds for R&D-related expenditures on innovative drug candidates and the rest 20% for working capital and other general corporate purpose.
  • The placement provides an indirect way of subscribing to Mandi shares. We reiterate our bullish stance on 3SBio with a 25-30% upside scope in the near term.

Policy Whispers Offer Relief, but Structural Damage Points to Iron Ore Headwinds

By Umang Agrawal

  • Vanke’s surprise bond delay sent markets into a tailspin, reviving fears of deeper systemic risk given its size and reputation.
  • Manufacturing softness and rising port inventories indicate weakening hot metal production, signalling renewed downside risks for iron ore. 
  • Any near-term support from stimulus chatter is likely outweighed by fading demand fundamentals and persistent sector-wide confidence erosion.

Macro Monthly (December): Seasonal Strength, Vol Selling Edges and a Notable Nifty Setup

By John Ley

  • December seasonals across major markets show a generally positive profile, but the path is uneven, with most gains clustering in the final days of the month.
  • Several markets offer appealing vol selling setups, particularly those with consistently positive December vol premiums and elevated implied levels relative to past outcomes.
  • Nifty vol appears attractively priced, but its tendency not to monetize in December requires traders to think differently about how they extract value.

Mao Geping IPO Lockup – US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors

By Sumeet Singh

  • Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK) raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
  • Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, the firm offers a wide range of Color cosmetics and Skincare products.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Shanghai Bao Pharmaceuticals IPO: Niche Drug Candidates Entail Long-Term Growth Prospect

By Tina Banerjee

  • Shanghai Bao Pharmaceuticals has launched HK IPO to raise ~$128M by offering~38M H shares at HK$26.38 per share. Subscriptions will close on December 5, with expected listing on December 10.
  • The company intends to use the IPO proceeds for R&D and commercialization of core products, advancement of other existing pipeline assets, enhance and scale up manufacturing capabilities.           
  • Core products of Bao Pharmaceutical are differentiated and niche, thereby limiting competition threat. These products have demonstrated superior efficacy and safety in clinical trials and targets sizable patient population.

Pre-IPO Mandi Inc. – The Business Model, the Concerns and the Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Mandi’s business is quite focused. In the short-term, Minoxidil will continue to be the main performance driver for Mandi. The performance contribution of Winlevi and Mandi’s semaglutide would be uncertain. 
  • The concern here is the declining growth rate due to VBP and increasing competition. Based on our forecast, growth of the next three years would be maintained at 15-20% YoY.
  • An aggressive valuation range for Mandi is RMB34-43 billion. However, due to VBP/increasing competition, a relatively conservative P/S range is 10-20x. If based on 2025 forecast, valuation is RMB17.2-34.3 billion.

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Daily Brief China: XD Inc., Innovent Biologics Inc, 3SBio Inc, Beijing Enlight Media, Zhenxing Biopharmaceutical & Chemicl, Suzhou Novosense Microelectron, Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec, Citic Securities (H), Geely Auto, China Vanke and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • KWEB Index Rebalance: 5 Adds & A Delete
  • 2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged
  • 3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal
  • Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow
  • Quiddity CSI 1000 Dec25 Results: 88% Hit Rate; 100 ADDs/DELs; ~US$2.5bn One-Way
  • Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Strong Growth but Lacks Margin Stability
  • Quiddity STAR 50/100 Dec25 Results: 19/20 Changes Correctly Predicted; ~US$2bn Combined One-Way Flow
  • Hong Kong December 2025 Monthly Covered Call Report
  • Geely (175 HK): In November, Deliveries Still Strongly Up by 24%
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


KWEB Index Rebalance: 5 Adds & A Delete

By Brian Freitas


2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The growth of Innovent’s product revenue is always commendable. Based on strong growth momentum, product revenue in 2025 would be above RMB10 billion. Adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 2025 is expected.
  • Innovent’s peak sales would reach the level of RMB20 billion in 2027. RMB100 billion is the valuation bottom line in the short term. In mid-to-long term, the highlight is IBI363.
  • Current valuation has basically priced in favorable factors for fundamentals for the next three years.Investors can wait patiently for a pullback and buy the stock at a more cost-effective valuation.

3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal

By Nicholas Tan

  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) is looking to raise around US$400m from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a small one, representing 2.9 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 3.9% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The December 2025 index review results for China’s CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be 11 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
  • The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$5.3bn and US$4.2bn in one-way flows respectively.

Quiddity CSI 1000 Dec25 Results: 88% Hit Rate; 100 ADDs/DELs; ~US$2.5bn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The December 2025 index review results for China’s CSI 1000 index were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be 100 ADDs/DELs for CSI 1000 in the December 2025 rebalance.
  • The CSI 1000 index rebal event could trigger US$2.5bn in one-way flow.

Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Strong Growth but Lacks Margin Stability

By Sumeet Singh

  • Suzhou Novosense Microelectron (688052 CH), an analog chips producer, aims to raise around US$285m in its H-share listing.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in terms of revenue from analog chips in 2024, SNM ranked fifth among Chinese analog chip companies in the Chinese analog chip market.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Dec25 Results: 19/20 Changes Correctly Predicted; ~US$2bn Combined One-Way Flow

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The December 2025 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be two changes for the STAR 50 index and eight changes for the STAR 100 index.
  • We expect one-way flows of approximately US$1.4bn and US$516mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events, respectively.

Hong Kong December 2025 Monthly Covered Call Report

By Nicholas Pezolano

  • Top Hong Kong Stock Exchange listed covered call candidates for the month of December.
  • The top 10 provide an average ~6.9% premium with a potential ~8.4% upside P&L if exercised.
  • Investors with a neutral 1-month view on the underlying can seek to generate income.

Geely (175 HK): In November, Deliveries Still Strongly Up by 24%

By Ming Lu

  • Geely’s deliveries grew by 24% YoY in November, reaching 65% of BYD.
  • PHEV continued to accelerate and export deliveries rose strongly by 22% in November.
  • We expect Geely’s stock price will rise by 20% in the next twelve months.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Genting Berhad, Meituan
  • UST yields climbed 1-3 bps on Friday, albeit there were no material catalysts as the market returned after Thanksgiving. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.49%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.01%. Equities climbed on thin trading in a shortened postholiday session. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 0.5% and 0.7% to 6,849 and 23,366, respectively.
  • China’s November official manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.2 (49.4 e / 49.0 p), albeit remaining in contraction territory for the eighth straight month. The non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (50.0 e / 50.1 p), with the composite PMI declining to 49.7 (50.0 p).

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Daily Brief China: Kuang-Chi Technologies , Dawning Information Industry C, ANE Cayman Inc, Meituan, Taste Gourmet, JD Industrial Technology , Mandi, Wuhu Conch Profiles And Science Co., and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • CSI300 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes & US$7.77bn Trade
  • SSE50 Index Rebalance: 4 Changes a Side & US$2.2bn Trade
  • ANE (9956 HK): Precondition Satisfied
  • ANE (9956 HK): Pre-Cons Satisfied. Possible Payment Early March
  • Meituan (3690 HK): 3Q25, Discount Campaign Not Ended After Authorities Warned Twice
  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) H1 FY26 Earnings: 6.8x PE with 8.6% Yield, Cash Now 31% of Market Cap
  • Pre-IPO JD Industrials (PHIP Updates) – Business Model, Peer Comparison, Forecast and Valuation
  • Mandi Inc Pre IPO: Hair Will Help Carry Weight to Future Growth, Pipeline Key
  • Primer: Wuhu Conch Profiles And Science Co., (000619 CH) – Nov 2025


CSI300 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes & US$7.77bn Trade

By Brian Freitas


SSE50 Index Rebalance: 4 Changes a Side & US$2.2bn Trade

By Brian Freitas


ANE (9956 HK): Precondition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • The precondition for the consortium’s privatisation offer for ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) has been satisfied. The right to increase the share alternative cap was also satisfied. 
  • The consortium has until 12 December to decide whether to increase the share cap. The option helps the consortium gain support from shareholders who would not accept the cash offer. 
  • The scheme vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. 

ANE (9956 HK): Pre-Cons Satisfied. Possible Payment Early March

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 28th October, ANE Cayman (9956 HK), a road freight transportation play, announced an Offer from Centurium Partners, a pre-IPO investor, Temasek, and Singapore-based asset manager True Light.
  • The consortium offered HK$12.18/share (best & final) via a Scheme, a 48.54% premium to undisturbed. A scrip alternative (mix & match) was also afforded. Plus a special dividend bolted on.
  • Pre-Cons included SAMR signing off. With JPM as the FA, I previously concluded, given JPM’s recent track record, the reg process should be straightforward. Those pre-cons have now been satisfied.

Meituan (3690 HK): 3Q25, Discount Campaign Not Ended After Authorities Warned Twice

By Ming Lu

  • Meituan (MT)’s revenue growth rate plummeted to 2% YoY in 3Q25.
  • The discount campaign has not actually ended after the authorities warned twice.
  • We expect that MT’s price has a downside of 30% in the next twelve months.

Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) H1 FY26 Earnings: 6.8x PE with 8.6% Yield, Cash Now 31% of Market Cap

By Sameer Taneja

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported H1 FY26 results of Revenues/Pat 11.8% YoY/17.8%YoY. Profits were in line with our expectations as the company reined in costs and showed slight margin improvements. 
  • Cash continues to pile on the balance sheet, with 242 mn HKD of net cash representing >30% of market capitalization. The company paid an 8-cent semi-annual dividend.
  • The stock trades at a 6.8x PE for FY26e, has an 8.6% dividend yield, and plans to grow at a CAGR of at least 15%.

Pre-IPO JD Industrials (PHIP Updates) – Business Model, Peer Comparison, Forecast and Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • JD Industrials’ business model integrates the advantageous resources of JD Group and follows “self-operated heavy asset” route.The operation model is to rely on JD Logistics network to achieve efficient performance.
  • The platform’s openness of JD Industrials is relatively limited. The entry and listing thresholds for merchants are higher than that of peers, which limits the rapid expansion of product richness.
  • P/S is more appropriate because net profit fluctuates greatly and is more suitable for growth-oriented supply chain companies.JD Industrials’ valuation could be higher than ZKH but lower than Ww Grainger.   

Mandi Inc Pre IPO: Hair Will Help Carry Weight to Future Growth, Pipeline Key

By Tina Banerjee

  • Mandi has filed for a Hongkong IPO. The company which at present operates as a subsidiary of 3SBio Inc will be spun off and separately listed.
  • Mandi intends to use the IPO proceeds for funding product expansion, enhance early-stage R&D capabilities, invest in sales and marketing initiatives and, for working capital and general corporate purposes.
  • Minoxidil will be the main growth catalyst for now cashing on its leadership position while accelerating the development and commercialization of the pipeline assets will be key for future growth.

Primer: Wuhu Conch Profiles And Science Co., (000619 CH) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Wuhu Conch Profiles and Science Co., Ltd. is a leading manufacturer of plastic profiles and other building materials in China, facing a challenging domestic construction market. The company has diversified its product portfolio to include energy-saving and environmentally friendly materials, which presents a potential growth avenue.
  • The financial performance has been under pressure, with the company reporting net losses in recent years. This is largely attributable to the downturn in the Chinese real estate sector, which is a key end-market for its products.
  • Despite the current headwinds, the company’s strong brand recognition, extensive distribution network, and focus on technological innovation provide a solid foundation for future recovery and growth as the construction market stabilizes and demand for higher-value, specialized products increases.

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Daily Brief China: Zijin Gold, Beijing Wkw Automotive Parts, China Boqi Environmental Hol, Anhui Xinhua Media Co Ltd A, Hexing Electrical Co Ltd, Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology, Hang Seng Index and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong: IPO SPOTLIGHT – OVERVIEW 2025
  • Primer: Beijing Wkw Automotive Parts (002662 CH) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: China Boqi Environmental Hol (2377 HK) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Anhui Xinhua Media Co Ltd A (601801 CH) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Hexing Electrical Co Ltd (603556 CH) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology (002912 CH) – Nov 2025
  • Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Nov 24 – 28): Broad Decline in Implied Vol


Hong Kong: IPO SPOTLIGHT – OVERVIEW 2025

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong is the top global destination for IPOs in 2025, with over HK $280 billion raised so far.  Large scale A+H dual listings have surged this year.
  • Technology and healthcare sectors have dominated IPOs with the materials sector also floating several large listings.  With nearly 300 listings in the pipeline, 2026 should be another banner year.
  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK) , Chery Automobile (9973 HK) and Mixue Group (2097 HK) were the largest IPOs of the year while PegBio (2565 HK) has had the best return.

Primer: Beijing Wkw Automotive Parts (002662 CH) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Exceptional Profitability Growth Amidst Revenue Contraction: The company has demonstrated a remarkable ability to grow net income and EPS, with a 3-year CAGR exceeding 51%, despite a concurrent decline in revenues. This suggests a successful strategic shift towards higher-margin products, significant operational efficiencies, or divestiture of underperforming assets.
  • Strategic Positioning for the New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Transition: Beijing WKW is actively investing in and expanding its product lines to include components for electric vehicles (EVs). This forward-looking strategy positions the company to capitalize on the rapid growth of the NEV market in China, which is the largest and fastest-growing in the world.
  • Attractive Shareholder Returns and Valuation: The company exhibits strong value and dividend characteristics, underscored by high Smartkarma scores in these categories. A consistent dividend yield, which stood at 1.86% in the most recent fiscal year, combined with a reasonable valuation, presents an attractive proposition for value-oriented investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: China Boqi Environmental Hol (2377 HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Leading Market Position with Diversifying Business: China Boqi is a leading independent flue gas treatment provider in China, primarily serving the coal-fired power sector. The company is strategically diversifying into adjacent environmental sectors, including water treatment, hazardous and solid waste treatment, and dual-carbon energy-saving businesses, to capture broader market opportunities driven by China’s stringent environmental policies.
  • Attractive Valuation and Strong Dividend Yield: The company trades at a significant discount to the broader market, with a P/E ratio of approximately 3.75x and a P/B ratio of 0.28x. This is complemented by a consistent and growing dividend, yielding approximately 4.8%, making it an attractive proposition for value and income-oriented investors.
  • Regulatory Tailwinds vs. Transitional Risks: China’s national commitment to environmental protection and carbon neutrality provides a strong, long-term tailwind for the industry. However, the company faces risks associated with its legacy dependence on the coal power industry, intense market competition, and the execution of its diversification strategy into new, competitive fields.

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Primer: Anhui Xinhua Media Co Ltd A (601801 CH) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant state-owned enterprise in Anhui province with an extensive distribution network, particularly for educational materials, which provides a stable revenue base.
  • Diversification into digital education, supply chain management, and other cultural segments offers new avenues for growth beyond traditional publishing.
  • The company operates within a highly regulated industry, which creates significant barriers to entry for new competitors but also exposes it to policy risks and censorship.

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Primer: Hexing Electrical Co Ltd (603556 CH) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Hexing Electrical is a prominent China-based manufacturer of smart meters and power distribution solutions, capitalizing on the global trend of grid modernization and smart city development.
  • The company has demonstrated a robust financial track record, characterized by strong revenue and net income growth, expanding margins, and significant operating and free cash flow generation over the past three years.
  • Positioned to benefit from sustained global demand for Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) and renewable energy integration, Hexing’s growth is propelled by government mandates for energy efficiency and investments in smart grid infrastructure worldwide.

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Primer: Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology (002912 CH) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology is a specialized provider of network security and data analytics solutions, primarily serving government and enterprise clients in China.
  • The company has demonstrated a strong financial turnaround, with significant growth in revenue, net income, and cash flow in 2023 and 2024 following a substantial loss in 2022. However, its long-term growth record remains inconsistent.
  • Valuation appears elevated with high P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, suggesting the market has priced in high expectations for future growth, which is subject to risks from intense competition and technological shifts.

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Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Nov 24 – 28): Broad Decline in Implied Vol

By John Ley

  • HSI recovered from last week’s sharp drop, helped by stronger breadth and steady but slower activity ahead of the U.S. holiday.
  • Implied vols were broadly lower against the back drop of quiet market action.
  • Materials sector names, with high implied percentiles and recent vol declines, may offer useful starting points for short vol candidates.

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Daily Brief China: Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor, Kingsoft Corp, Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index, Ping An Bank Co Ltd A, InxMed, China Yuhua Education, DiDi Global, Health And Happiness (H&H) and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Guangdong Tianyu Pre-IPO: Expensive and Poor Track Record
  • Tencent/Netease: Zero Approval in November Despite Game Approvals at New High
  • CSI 300 (SHSZ300) Tactical Outlook After Nov. 28 Rebalance Announcement
  • GEM Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas
  • Primer: InxMed (IXM HK) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: China Yuhua Education (6169 HK) – Nov 2025
  • Didi Global Q325 Results | China Solid, But International Goes From Bad to Worse | How to Fix?
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Guangdong Tianyu Pre-IPO: Expensive and Poor Track Record

By Nicholas Tan

  • Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor (2223725D CH) is looking to raise up to US$224m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It was founded in 2009, and is the largest domestic PRC SiC epitaxal wafer manufacturer both in terms of revenue and sales volume, as of 2024
  • In this note, we provide updates on the firm’s past performance and valuation.

Tencent/Netease: Zero Approval in November Despite Game Approvals at New High

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the November batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to above the pre-tightening level.
  • Of the companies that we are monitoring, while market leader Tencent and Netease didn’t obtained approval, Kingsoft and Bilibili obtained approval for one game each.

CSI 300 (SHSZ300) Tactical Outlook After Nov. 28 Rebalance Announcement

By Nico Rosti

  • On November 28th China Securities Index Co (CSI) announced the changes to the CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX): 11 companies added and 11 deleted.
  • The complete list of additions and deletions is available here (or see the attachment at the end of this insight for your convenience).
  • We analyze our probabilistic models to forecast short-term market directions for the CSI 300 Index, as passive flows between here and December 12 may affect the index volatility and trend.

GEM Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas

By Victor Galliano

  • Our GEM bank top picks for 1H 2026 are Banrisul, Bradesco and Ping An Bank for very attractive fundamental valuations with healthy dividends and earnings growth potential
  • We also have buy recommendations on China Construction Bank (CCB) and Hana Financial, both of which are deep value plays relative to their returns, combined with sound balance sheets
  • Kotak Mahindra bank is our only sell recommendation for its premium valuation, even among Indian banks, relative to its underwhelming ROE prospects

Primer: InxMed (IXM HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • InxMed is a clinical-stage biotechnology company with a strategic focus on overcoming cancer drug resistance and metastasis, primarily targeting the Chinese market.
  • The company’s lead asset, Ifebemtinib (a FAK inhibitor), is being developed as a cornerstone of combination therapies across a range of solid tumors, a strategy that could unlock significant value where monotherapies have previously failed.
  • While the pipeline holds promise, InxMed faces substantial risks typical of a clinical-stage biotech, including the inherent uncertainty of clinical trial outcomes, a competitive landscape for its targeted pathways (FAK and FAP), and the financial risks associated with drug development.

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Primer: China Yuhua Education (6169 HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • China Yuhua Education is a prominent private education provider in China, focusing on higher education and secondary education. The company has faced significant headwinds due to regulatory changes in the Chinese education sector but has shown resilience by adapting its business model.
  • The company’s financial performance has been impacted by the deconsolidation of its K-9 assets in 2021, a direct consequence of the new regulations. However, recent results indicate a recovery, with revenue and adjusted net profit showing growth.
  • The future outlook for China Yuhua Education is cautiously optimistic. While regulatory risks remain a significant concern, the company’s focus on higher and vocational education, which are more supported by government policies, could provide a pathway for sustainable growth.

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Didi Global Q325 Results | China Solid, But International Goes From Bad to Worse | How to Fix?

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Didi’s China business showed solid Y/Y growth, but International worsened dramatically
  • Spending on Sales & Marketing (including incentives) was up CNY 1.7 bn Y/Y, or +55%
  • Should it seek an IPO soon, Didi will have to show a path to profits for International segment

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Health and Happiness (H&H)
  • China’s industrial profits fell 5.5% y-o-y in October, reversing from the sharp double-digit growth in September and August. Industrial profits grew 1.9% in 10M/25, decelerating from 3.2% in 9M.
  • Profits from the high-tech sector remained robust at 8.0% in 10M, with profits from smart unmanned aircraft and smart in-vehicle equipment registering triple-digit growth.

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Daily Brief China: Iron Ore, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, Vobile Group, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Iron Ore Upside Persists, but Easing Fundamentals and Risk Reduction Cap Enthusiasm
  • Chow Tai Fook(1929 HK): Dark Clouds Are Looming; Valuation Multiple Could Decline
  • Primer: Vobile Group (3738 HK) – Nov 2025
  • Xiao Noodles (XNC HK) IPO: Volume Growth Play Make This Noodles Joint Savoury Enough


Iron Ore Upside Persists, but Easing Fundamentals and Risk Reduction Cap Enthusiasm

By Umang Agrawal

  • Iron ore futures hit a three-week high as shipments fell by 8.3% WoW, but blast furnace shutdowns signal weak demand and limit further upside.
  • Managed money participants reduced net long exposure across all futures and options expiries, reflecting a more cautious market stance.
  • The DCE-SGX spread has retreated from the upper Bollinger band and slipped below the 9-day MA, indicating softening momentum. 

Chow Tai Fook(1929 HK): Dark Clouds Are Looming; Valuation Multiple Could Decline

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • In this insight, we discuss about various aspects of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) ‘s H1 FY2026 financial performance. It discusses about divergent performance by region and product.
  • Details in this note include why dark clouds are looming over the stock price of this counter and why the valuation multiple could decline.
  • Finally, we conclude discuss on valuation and how this will impact the stock price.

Primer: Vobile Group (3738 HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Vobile Group is a global leader in SaaS solutions for digital content asset protection and monetization, poised for growth driven by the proliferation of online video and the increasing need for intellectual property protection.
  • The company is strategically focused on leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI) to enhance its service offerings and is expanding its footprint in the rapidly growing Chinese market, which now accounts for a significant portion of its revenue.
  • Recent financial performance indicates strong top-line growth and improving profitability, with a notable surge in net profit and expanding gross margins, though the company currently does not pay a dividend.

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Xiao Noodles (XNC HK) IPO: Volume Growth Play Make This Noodles Joint Savoury Enough

By Tina Banerjee

  • Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (XNC HK) launched its Hongkong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$686M. The company plans to sell 97.4M shares at HK$5.64-$7.04 per share.
  • Xiao Noodles are a Chinese noodle restaurants operator in China. They operate the Xiao Noodles brand in the Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong SAR.
  • The growth outlook quite justifies the incremental valuation. We think Xiao Noodles issue is attractively priced and investors can surely look to have a share in this secular growth story.

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Daily Brief China: Ingdan, Haier Smart Home , Busy Ming Group, Suzhou Novosense Microelectron, JD Industrial Technology , Artificial Intelligent Interconnection Technology, Vanke Property Overseas, InxMed and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Ingdan (400 HK) Reloads Comtech’s Spin-Off and Listing
  • Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) – Steady Execution to Win the Race
  • Busy Ming IPO Update: Cash-Generating Machine With Improving Gross Margins, IPO Is on the Horizon
  • Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Growth Has Been Strong but Margins Weak
  • JD Industrials Pre-IPO – Updated Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Artificial Intelligent Interconnection Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Primer: Vanke Property Overseas (1036 HK) – Nov 2025
  • Pre-IPO InxMed – The Pipeline and the Outlook


Ingdan (400 HK) Reloads Comtech’s Spin-Off and Listing

By David Blennerhassett

  • Technology platform play Ingdan (400 HK) is moving ahead, again, with the spin-off and listing of 72.42%-held Shenzhen Comtech in the PRC. 
  • The listing – should it go ahead, as the previous attempt was abandoned – is expected to involve the issuance of new shares. Ingdan will maintain a stake in Comtech. 
  • Comtech accounted for 95% of Ingdan’s revs in the 1H25. Expect the market to heavily discount Ingdan’s stub ops, and Ingdan’s NAV post spin-off. 

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) – Steady Execution to Win the Race

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • Solid Q3 and 9M FY25 Financial Delivery: Despite challenging market conditions in China, Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) delivered solid third-quarter results reinforcing company’s strategic positioning and operational execution.
  • Operational Efficiency and Mix Upgrade: The company continued to benefit from digitalised manufacturing, supply-chain optimisation, and higher contribution from high-end segments, supporting EBITDA and net profit resilience despite macro softness
  • Strategic Focus Driving Sustainable Growth:Emphasis on Smart Home ecosystem expansion, global penetration, and disciplined capital allocation reinforce its competitive positioning and sets the foundation for sustained earnings momentum into FY26.

Busy Ming IPO Update: Cash-Generating Machine With Improving Gross Margins, IPO Is on the Horizon

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Busy Ming Group, a founder-led food and beverage chain retailer in China with strong presence in third- and lower-tier cities, filed the updated Application Proof in October.
  • In the six months ended Jun-25, the company’s revenue was ~RMB28,124m, representing a year-over-year growth of ~87%. LTM net profit was ~RMB2,025m.
  • Busy Ming Group enjoys superior growth profile coupled with improving gross profit margins. The company ended Aug-25 with RMB3,393m net cash on the balance sheet.  

Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Growth Has Been Strong but Margins Weak

By Sumeet Singh

  • Suzhou Novosense Microelectron (688052 CH), an analog chips producer, aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share listing.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in terms of revenue from analog chips in 2024, SNM ranked fifth among Chinese analog chip companies in the Chinese analog chip market.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

JD Industrials Pre-IPO – Updated Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • JD Industrial Technology is now looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.
  • We have looked at the company background and refiling updates in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the refiling updates.

Artificial Intelligent Interconnection Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Artificial Intelligent Interconnection Technology (AII HK)  (AIIT) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by CITIC and CCB International.
  • Artificial Intelligent Interconnection Technology (AIIT) is a provider of AI technology, products, and spatial intelligence solutions in China, with a particular strength in high-precision AI-based urban traffic management.
  • Its solutions combine hardware, software, and scenario-derived datasets to deliver full-stack AI systems that improve traffic efficiency, safety, and the management of public spaces.

Primer: Vanke Property Overseas (1036 HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Vanke Property Overseas serves as the international asset management and property development arm for its parent, China Vanke, focusing on prime global cities but facing significant headwinds from the broader Chinese real estate crisis.
  • The company’s financial performance shows a concerning trend, with a sharp decline into a net loss in the latest reported year despite revenue growth, alongside collapsing margins and a reduced dividend, reflecting severe market pressures.
  • Valuation appears distressed, with a very low price-to-book ratio; however, high uncertainty in the Chinese and Hong Kong property markets, coupled with negative profitability and growth trends, suggests significant risks for investors.

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Pre-IPO InxMed – The Pipeline and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • FAK inhibitors’ R&D is not smooth.The breakthrough in FAK clinical protocol lies in the possibility of finding new application scenarios, such as the potential for combination with various anticancer drugs.
  • If ifebemtinib can be successfully approved for 2-3 core indications (e.g. PROC, NSCLC) and enter medical insurance smoothly, its sales peak in the China market may reach RMB2-3 billion.
  • Post-Money valuation after Series C Financing was USD306 million. The issuance valuation of InxMed may be given a certain premium on top of Series C valuation, such as US$350-500 million.

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