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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Technical Analysis: “Lockout Rally” Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • “Lockout Rally” Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal


“Lockout Rally” Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

By Joe Jasper

  • We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.
  • After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: Rubber Future SGX TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Weather Portends Both Hope and Concern in Southeast Asia in Dec


Weather Portends Both Hope and Concern in Southeast Asia in Dec

By Vinod Nedumudy

Highlights

  • ENSO Conditions to be Neutral to Negative, But Not Falling to La Nina

  • Session at COP30 Focuses on Smallholders in Climate Action

  •  Integrating Climate Resilience into Production Systems Not Optional

    Dr. S. Abhilash, Director, Advanced Centre for Atmospheric Radar Research, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Kochi, India, warns the Indonesia and Malaysia regions of above normal rainfall in December that can impact rubber supply as well.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Steadfast (SDF AU): Suitors Circle As Share Price Languishes After Internal Complaint and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Steadfast (SDF AU): Suitors Circle As Share Price Languishes After Internal Complaint
  • Fresh Intel: Kosdaq Stimulus Drop Date & Key Targets
  • Shah Capital’s $2.00/Share Buyout of Emeren Group Faces Market Skepticism Amid Operational Challenges and Competing Bid
  • Inocsa Secures 98% of Catalana Occidente; Squeeze-Out Now in Play


Steadfast (SDF AU): Suitors Circle As Share Price Languishes After Internal Complaint

By David Blennerhassett

  • First, EQT, then CVC joined, in a A$45/share NBIO for AUB (AUB AU), an insurance “matchmaker”: CVC Joins EQT In Pursuit Of AUB Group (AUB AU). Talks ceased this week. 
  • Reportedly, AUB’s larger insurance rival, Steadfast (SDF AU), is now attracting PE interest, such as Blackstone.
  • Steadfast is down ~25% from its recent high following a workplace complaint towards CEO/MD/founder Robert Kelly – now concluded on “a confidential basis”, with Kelly resuming his roles. 

Fresh Intel: Kosdaq Stimulus Drop Date & Key Targets

By Sanghyun Park

  • Fresh intel hit at lunch. Official rollout is penciled for the 11th or 12th, sourced straight from a key gov’t operator and pushed to Hankyung.
  • The package basically boils down to two levers: juiced tax perks for retail in Kosdaq venture funds and a structural bump-up in pension-fund allocation.
  • Street sees this as constructive: tax tweaks to pull retail, pension weight-ups to juice flows, and focus on 300bn+ Kosdaq names that beat Q3 consensus 10%+.

Shah Capital’s $2.00/Share Buyout of Emeren Group Faces Market Skepticism Amid Operational Challenges and Competing Bid

By Special Situation Investments

  • Emeren Group’s largest shareholder, Shah Capital, plans to take the company private at $2.00/share, with a 13% spread.
  • Shah Capital owns 36% of SOL, requiring $65m for the buyout, with no financing concerns reported.
  • A competing bid from EEW Renewables was declined due to concerns about financing and track record credibility.

Inocsa Secures 98% of Catalana Occidente; Squeeze-Out Now in Play

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Inocsa secures ~98% of Grupo Catalana Occidente Sa (GCO SM) after 94.27% acceptance, completing the take-private process and removing any remaining deal risk.
  • With Spain’s 90/90 thresholds exceeded, a squeeze-out at €49.75 is now available, leaving minimal optionality for remaining minorities.
  • GCO trades just below terms as liquidity evaporates; the spread has closed and the trade moves to passive cash settlement mid-December.

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Daily Brief United States: Gold, AT&T, Ferrovial, Southwest Airlines Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Why The Mining Boom is Just Beginning (Hedley Widdup)
  • AT&T CEO: Connecting the Future, Embracing AI and Driving Cultural Change
  • Positioned for the Upgrade: Ferrovial’s Path Into the Nasdaq-100
  • Business History: The Secret of Southwest’s Success


Why The Mining Boom is Just Beginning (Hedley Widdup)

By Money of Mine

  • Central banks have been buying gold since after the GFC to diversify from US Dollars, underpinning the market with tightness
  • Gold bull markets have been influenced by periods of conflict and economic stability, with central banks playing a significant role in influencing the price
  • The second gold bull market starting around 2000 saw the gold industry aggressively buying back their hedges, pushing the price up alongside central bank buying and market forces

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


AT&T CEO: Connecting the Future, Embracing AI and Driving Cultural Change

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Deregulation of communication technologies is leading to intermodal competition and a reordering of assets in the industry.
  • Telecom sector is lagging behind big tech stocks, but AI-driven growth in data usage presents a unique opportunity for growth.
  • AT&T’s decision to divest its content business was necessary to focus on its core business of connectivity and meet customer demands for a high-quality product.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Positioned for the Upgrade: Ferrovial’s Path Into the Nasdaq-100

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Ferrovial sits in a strong position for Nasdaq-100 second-round inclusion, with several incumbents likely to drop below rank 125.
  • Inclusion could trigger ~$315M passive inflows and broaden U.S. investor ownership.
  • Fundamentals already reflect a U.S.-centric infra operator, supported by JFK NTO and toll-road ramp-ups through 2027.

Business History: The Secret of Southwest’s Success

By Behind the Money

  • Southwest Airlines was founded in 1966 by Herb Kelleher and Rollin King in San Antonio, Texas based on the idea of creating a triangle route between Dallas, San Antonio, and Houston.
  • Southwest Airlines was able to avoid federal regulation by operating solely within the state of Texas and establishing a profitable business model with consistent profitability.
  • Southwest Airlines revolutionized the airline industry by offering affordable and convenient flights within Texas, challenging the traditional business model of major airlines and achieving long-term success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): RW-11-25: Should I Invest in Private Equity? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • RW-11-25: Should I Invest in Private Equity?
  • Singapore Market Roundup (05-Dec-2025): Analysts boost confidence in DFI’s retail outlook
  • Exencial Industry Tidings 05/12/2025
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 05/12/2025
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam


RW-11-25: Should I Invest in Private Equity?

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • A lot of ink has been spilled on the pros and cons of investing in “private” assets.
  • With the recent introduction of private equity investments for retail investors in my home country of Germany, I’ve been repeatedly approached by friends and family about my opinion on these products.
  • In Germany, two neo-brokers, LIQID and Trade Republic, recently introduced private equity (PE) investments for retail investors starting from as little as €1 per trade (in the case of Trade Republic), while marketing returns between 12% and 14% annually with low volatility.

Singapore Market Roundup (05-Dec-2025): Analysts boost confidence in DFI’s retail outlook

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • Analysts gain confidence in DFI’s retail outlook after first investor day.
  • DBS downgrades Sheng Siong to ‘hold’ after share price gains from SG60 vouchers.
  • Tickrs Financial rates Nanofilm as ‘buy’ with a target price of 75 cents.

Exencial Industry Tidings 05/12/2025

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • India urges Russia to approve remaining 32 seafood processing units for exports
  • GSK plans to double India revenue to Rs.80 billion within next 5 years
  • Washing soap production falls by 1.7% in October 20 25

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 05/12/2025

By Auctus Advisors

  • AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in Sicily – ADX has increased its aggregated prospective gas resource estimates for its Sicily Channel permit from 103–369–772 bcf to 188–484–1,265 bcf (P90–P50–P10 cases).
  • The new mean prospective resource of 619 bcf reflects the increased upside potential for the permit.
  • Individual prospect sizes range between 37–111 bcf (P50 case), with four prospects each estimated at 60–68 bcf (P50).

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam

By The IDEA!

  • Ahold Delhaize | Carrefour firmly denies possible exit from Belgium Carrefour has firmly denied any intention to exit Belgium after media reports suggested its local operations were under review.
  • With roughly 700 stores, the company maintains one of the largest retail networks in the country.
  • However, its Belgian revenues – estimated at EUR 4.0–4.5bn – lag far behind peers that operate far fewer outlets. 

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Daily Brief ECM: 2026 (“Year of the Horse”) Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • 2026 (“Year of the Horse”) Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea
  • Milestone Gears Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet


2026 (“Year of the Horse”) Major IPOs Pipeline in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • This is our 11th “Annual Edition of the Major Korean IPOs Pipeline Preview” at Smartkarma.
  • This insight features 40 of the biggest potential IPOs in Korea in 2026.
  • Some of the largest potential IPOs in Korea in 2026 include CJ Olive Young, DN Solutions, Dunamu, Goodai Global, K Bank, Kurly, Musinsa, SK On, SK Ecoplant, and Sono International.

Milestone Gears Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Milestone Gears Ltd (1049966D IN) (MGL) is looking to raise about US$124m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, JM Fin and Motilal Oswal.
  • MGL is a manufacturer of high-precision, complex engineered transmission components that have applications across multiple sectors, including tractors, construction equipment, electric vehicles, locomotives, windmills and other heavy industries.
  • According to 1Lattice, between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2025, MGL had supplied products to over 50 customers, including all the top nine OEMs in the Indian tractor sector.

Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd (1560389D IN) (SML) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, Avendus and ICICI.
  • SML is a designer and supplier of critical, control-intensive electronic control units to major vehicle and industrial equipment manufacturers in India, the United States, and Europe.
  • SML held an approximate 30% market share of the domestic ISG ECU market, in terms of volume and are amongst the top four players for FY25, as per CRISIL.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China
  • UST yields rose 2-4 bps yesterday, led by the front end, following the strong jobless claims data. The yield on the 2Y UST jumped 4 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST climbed 3 bps to 4.10%. Fed-dated OIS were steady, and continued to price in a 92% probability of a rate cut next Wednesday.
  • Equities edged up slightly towards record high levels. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,857 and 23,505, respectively.

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Daily Brief India: Milestone Gears Ltd, Wakefit Innovations, Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Milestone Gears Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Wakefit Innovations IPO: Blending Digital DNA With Offline Ambition
  • Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Primer: Wakefit Innovations (1684049D IN) – Dec 2025


Milestone Gears Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Milestone Gears Ltd (1049966D IN) (MGL) is looking to raise about US$124m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, JM Fin and Motilal Oswal.
  • MGL is a manufacturer of high-precision, complex engineered transmission components that have applications across multiple sectors, including tractors, construction equipment, electric vehicles, locomotives, windmills and other heavy industries.
  • According to 1Lattice, between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2025, MGL had supplied products to over 50 customers, including all the top nine OEMs in the Indian tractor sector.

Wakefit Innovations IPO: Blending Digital DNA With Offline Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Wakefit Innovations’ INR 1,288.89 crore IPO signaling the pivot of India’s largest D2C home brand toward institutional funding for accelerated omnichannel expansion.
  • The fund utilization is heavily skewed towards offline growth and brand building, confirming a strategic shift from pure-play digital to a capital-intensive, integrated retail model.
  • While the model mitigates supply chain risk through vertical integration, we must weigh the past profitability volatility and strategic roadmap for capturing India’s rapidly formalizing home and furnishings sector.

Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Sedemac Mechatronics Ltd (1560389D IN) (SML) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, Avendus and ICICI.
  • SML is a designer and supplier of critical, control-intensive electronic control units to major vehicle and industrial equipment manufacturers in India, the United States, and Europe.
  • SML held an approximate 30% market share of the domestic ISG ECU market, in terms of volume and are amongst the top four players for FY25, as per CRISIL.

Primer: Wakefit Innovations (1684049D IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Wakefit Innovations is a leading direct-to-consumer (DTC) brand in India’s home and sleep solutions market, rapidly expanding its omnichannel presence. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, driven by diversification from its core mattress business into furniture and home furnishings.
  • Despite impressive top-line growth, the company has faced challenges in achieving consistent profitability, with losses widening in some fiscal years. The upcoming IPO is crucial for funding its ambitious offline expansion and marketing initiatives.
  • The company’s vertically integrated business model provides a competitive advantage in terms of cost and quality control. However, it faces significant competition from both established players and other online-first brands in a fragmented market.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief China: Renesola Ltd Adr, Hang Seng Index, Iron Ore, Greentown China and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Shah Capital’s $2.00/Share Buyout of Emeren Group Faces Market Skepticism Amid Operational Challenges and Competing Bid
  • Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Dec 01 – 05): Narrow Range, Low Vols and Weaker Put Flow
  • Iron Ore Rally Stretches Thin as Technicals Flash Pullback Risk
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Shah Capital’s $2.00/Share Buyout of Emeren Group Faces Market Skepticism Amid Operational Challenges and Competing Bid

By Special Situation Investments

  • Emeren Group’s largest shareholder, Shah Capital, plans to take the company private at $2.00/share, with a 13% spread.
  • Shah Capital owns 36% of SOL, requiring $65m for the buyout, with no financing concerns reported.
  • A competing bid from EEW Renewables was declined due to concerns about financing and track record credibility.

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Dec 01 – 05): Narrow Range, Low Vols and Weaker Put Flow

By John Ley

  • Quiet trade across Hong Kong Single Stock this week with HSI’s weekly range near the lows of the year.
  • Implied vols were mixed and are still clinging to the lowest levels of the year.
  • Options activity lower week over week, led by declines in Put trading.

Iron Ore Rally Stretches Thin as Technicals Flash Pullback Risk

By Umang Agrawal

  • Simandou’s arrival and softer mill output signal a clear shift toward weaker near-term demand, even as some investors position for policy surprises.
  • Technical signals point to stretched momentum, with the broader setup now tilting toward elevated odds of a near-term mean-reversion pullback.
  • The 65–62 spread climbed sharply this week, while the 62–58 spread moved lower, marking a notable divergence across grade differentials.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China
  • UST yields rose 2-4 bps yesterday, led by the front end, following the strong jobless claims data. The yield on the 2Y UST jumped 4 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST climbed 3 bps to 4.10%. Fed-dated OIS were steady, and continued to price in a 92% probability of a rate cut next Wednesday.
  • Equities edged up slightly towards record high levels. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,857 and 23,505, respectively.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: AT&T CEO: Connecting the Future and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • AT&T CEO: Connecting the Future, Embracing AI and Driving Cultural Change
  • Business History: The Secret of Southwest’s Success
  • Wakefit Innovations IPO: Blending Digital DNA With Offline Ambition
  • Halyk Bank — 7% NIM likely to be sustained into 2026
  • Primer: Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Wakefit Innovations (1684049D IN) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC IJ) – Dec 2025
  • Halyk Bank — 7% NIM likely to be sustained into 2026
  • Kazatomprom: Major Rate Hike Hits Valuation of Uranium Market Leader
  • Primer: Indoritel Makmur Internasional (DNET IJ) – Dec 2025


AT&T CEO: Connecting the Future, Embracing AI and Driving Cultural Change

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Deregulation of communication technologies is leading to intermodal competition and a reordering of assets in the industry.
  • Telecom sector is lagging behind big tech stocks, but AI-driven growth in data usage presents a unique opportunity for growth.
  • AT&T’s decision to divest its content business was necessary to focus on its core business of connectivity and meet customer demands for a high-quality product.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Business History: The Secret of Southwest’s Success

By Behind the Money

  • Southwest Airlines was founded in 1966 by Herb Kelleher and Rollin King in San Antonio, Texas based on the idea of creating a triangle route between Dallas, San Antonio, and Houston.
  • Southwest Airlines was able to avoid federal regulation by operating solely within the state of Texas and establishing a profitable business model with consistent profitability.
  • Southwest Airlines revolutionized the airline industry by offering affordable and convenient flights within Texas, challenging the traditional business model of major airlines and achieving long-term success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Wakefit Innovations IPO: Blending Digital DNA With Offline Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Wakefit Innovations’ INR 1,288.89 crore IPO signaling the pivot of India’s largest D2C home brand toward institutional funding for accelerated omnichannel expansion.
  • The fund utilization is heavily skewed towards offline growth and brand building, confirming a strategic shift from pure-play digital to a capital-intensive, integrated retail model.
  • While the model mitigates supply chain risk through vertical integration, we must weigh the past profitability volatility and strategic roadmap for capturing India’s rapidly formalizing home and furnishings sector.

Halyk Bank — 7% NIM likely to be sustained into 2026

By Edison Investment Research

Halyk Bank reported a 13.8% y-o-y increase in net interest income in Q325 with a sustained high net interest margin (NIM) of 7.1% versus 7.3% in Q324 and robust loan book growth of 19.7% y-o-y (8.2% ytd). Combined with good cost discipline (the cost-to-income ratio (CIR) was 16.3% in Q325 vs 16.1% in Q324), this allowed the company to maintain an ROE above 30% (34.3% in Q325 on an annualised basis). Halyk preserved a strong capital base with a CET-1, Tier-1 and total capital ratio of 17.4% at end-September 2025 (with an indicative FY26e target of 17–19%) and local capital ratios of 18.3% versus the regulatory requirement for total capital (k2) of 12.0%. We believe this provides the bank with a solid balance sheet to continue delivering attractive dividends (its payout from FY24 earnings of KZT50.64 per share represents a c 16% yield based on the current share price). We note that Halyk’s majority shareholder (ALMEX Holding Group) recently sold a 7.6% stake at a price per common share and global depository receipt (GDR) of KZT298.66 and $23.0, respectively, to improve the liquidity of Halyk’s shares and broaden the shareholder register. It retained a majority stake and declared full commitment to the bank’s long-term success.


Primer: Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Wintermar is strategically positioned to capitalize on the offshore support vessel (OSV) industry upcycle, driven by rising charter rates and increased offshore exploration activity, particularly in Southeast Asia.
  • The company is actively modernizing its fleet, focusing on higher-tier vessels like Platform Supply Vessels (PSVs) and Heavy Load Barges (HLBs) to improve margins and meet growing demand for deepwater projects and offshore wind farm construction.
  • Strong financial performance is evident, with significant growth in revenue and net income, a strengthened balance sheet with a net cash position, and the reinstatement of dividends, signaling confidence in sustained profitability.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Wakefit Innovations (1684049D IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Wakefit Innovations is a leading direct-to-consumer (DTC) brand in India’s home and sleep solutions market, rapidly expanding its omnichannel presence. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, driven by diversification from its core mattress business into furniture and home furnishings.
  • Despite impressive top-line growth, the company has faced challenges in achieving consistent profitability, with losses widening in some fiscal years. The upcoming IPO is crucial for funding its ambitious offline expansion and marketing initiatives.
  • The company’s vertically integrated business model provides a competitive advantage in terms of cost and quality control. However, it faces significant competition from both established players and other online-first brands in a fragmented market.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC IJ) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Leader with Strong Growth: Impack Pratama is a clear leader in the Indonesian plastic building materials sector, holding an estimated 90% market share in polycarbonate roofing and 70% in uPVC roofing. This dominance is translating into exceptional financial performance, with 3-year CAGRs for revenue and net income at 20.30% and 36.94%, respectively.
  • Favorable Industry Tailwinds: The Indonesian construction market is poised for steady growth, driven by government infrastructure spending, urbanization, and a rising middle class. Projections indicate a market expansion of 5.48% to 7.50% annually, creating a robust demand environment for IMPC’s products.
  • Premium Valuation Reflects Quality, But Poses Risk: The company’s strong performance and market position command a high valuation, with a P/E ratio of 37.2x. While justified by its growth trajectory, this premium makes the stock susceptible to shifts in market sentiment and earnings disappointments. The low dividend yield and inconsistent payout history may also deter income-focused investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Halyk Bank — 7% NIM likely to be sustained into 2026

By Edison Investment Research

Halyk Bank reported a 13.8% y-o-y increase in net interest income in Q325 with a sustained high net interest margin (NIM) of 7.1% versus 7.3% in Q324 and robust loan book growth of 19.7% y-o-y (8.2% ytd). Combined with good cost discipline (the cost-to-income ratio (CIR) was 16.3% in Q325 vs 16.1% in Q324), this allowed the company to maintain an ROE above 30% (34.3% in Q325 on an annualised basis). Halyk preserved a strong capital base with a CET-1, Tier-1 and total capital ratio of 17.4% at end-September 2025 (with an indicative FY26e target of 17–19%) and local capital ratios of 18.3% versus the regulatory requirement for total capital (k2) of 12.0%. We believe this provides the bank with a solid balance sheet to continue delivering attractive dividends (its payout from FY24 earnings of KZT50.64 per share represents a c 16% yield based on the current share price). We note that Halyk’s majority shareholder (ALMEX Holding Group) recently sold a 7.6% stake at a price per common share and global depository receipt (GDR) of KZT298.66 and $23.0, respectively, to improve the liquidity of Halyk’s shares and broaden the shareholder register. It retained a majority stake and declared full commitment to the bank’s long-term success.


Kazatomprom: Major Rate Hike Hits Valuation of Uranium Market Leader

By Graeme Cunningham

  • Operations remain strong with volume rising and revenue up on the continued rise in uranium prices in Q3/25, although the metal has cooled in Q4/25 
  • Domestic macro remains a drag on the valuation, with the NBK hiking its base rate 1.5% in October 2025 to combat rising inflation, boosting our discount rate significantly   
  • After over a 40% rise since June 2025 our valuation is now about -20% below the current price, although the P/B still looks low, especially versus Cameco’s surging multiple

Primer: Indoritel Makmur Internasional (DNET IJ) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Indoritel Makmur Internasional (DNET) is a strategic investment holding company providing unique exposure to Indonesia’s burgeoning consumer and digital economy through its significant stakes in market-leading enterprises.
  • The company’s core holdings include PT Indomarco Prismatama (Indomaret), the nation’s largest convenience store network, and PT Mega Akses Persada (FiberStar), a key player in the fiber optic infrastructure sector.
  • While top-line growth is robust, driven by the expansion of its portfolio companies, profitability and free cash flow remain volatile due to intense competition in the retail sector and high capital expenditure requirements for fiber network expansion.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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