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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan M&A/Activism] Toyota Industries (6201) Deal Could Be Announced Near-Term and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Toyota Industries (6201) Deal Could Be Announced Near-Term
  • Toyota Industries (6201 JP): A Potential Privatisation Sooner than Expected
  • [Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good
  • Telcoware: Tender Offer To Take the Company Private
  • Xanadu Mines (XAM AU) Inks Deal With Bastion After Zijin Tarries
  • Svenska Handelsbanken: Arbitraging Brought to Book
  • Elevation Oncology’s Strategic Review: Potential Liquidation or Sale Offers 60% Upside Opportunity at $0.28/share
  • Weekly Update (MCK, LBTYA, SNRE, AMRZ)
  • StubWorld: Toyota Industries/Motors, GMO Internet


[Japan M&A/Activism] Toyota Industries (6201) Deal Could Be Announced Near-Term

By Travis Lundy

  • Friday 25 April, Toyota Industries (6201 JP) released earnings for last year, guidance for this year and a Bloomberg scoop suggested Toyota Motors chairman Akio TOYODA would launch an MBO.
  • In some ways surprising, but activists/”noisy shareholders” and TSE guidance on dual listings caused pressure, and Toyota Motors was trying to walk the good governance walk.
  • I discussed the situation here on Day 1, and here a few days later. Long-only shareholders sold. Today, Kyodo had a follow-up article. Then Nikkei. Looks more solid now. 

Toyota Industries (6201 JP): A Potential Privatisation Sooner than Expected

By Arun George

  • Kyodo news agency reported that Toyota Industries (6201 JP) plans to accept a tender offer by Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Toyota Chairman Akio Toyoda, potentially in May or June.
  • The Nikkei reported that Toyota plans to borrow JPY3 trillion to fund the acquisition. These articles provide more clarity on price, composition of the offeror, financing structure, and timeline. 
  • These articles increase the probability of a tender offer around JPY18,515 (JPY6 trillion market cap). At the last close, the gross spread was 12.1%.

[Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good

By Travis Lundy

  • On 9 May Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) delayed earnings by 30 minutes. Shares popped. Then earnings were released, no deal, and shares crashed. Now they are rebounding.
  • But they remain volatile and subject to dips like the one this AM -5% at one point. Fears may be due to the idea that first smoke here was Dec-2024.
  • 5 months later, no deal yet. Bids were due pre-earnings but with tariffs and writedowns, one wonders if bidders were waiting for results.

Telcoware: Tender Offer To Take the Company Private

By Douglas Kim

  • Telcoware announced that the largest shareholder and CEO of the company (Keum Han-Tae) will be undertaking a tender offer of 2.332 million shares (25.24%) to take the company private.
  • Tender offer price is 13,000 won per share. Tender offer period is from 19 May to 10 June. 
  • Telcoware has 4.08 million treasury shares, accounting for 44.1% of outstanding shares. 

Xanadu Mines (XAM AU) Inks Deal With Bastion After Zijin Tarries

By David Blennerhassett

  • Xanadu (XAM AU), a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, has entered a deal with Bastion, two weeks after an agreement with JV partner and major shareholder Zijin Mining (601899 CH) lapsed.
  • Bastion, which comprises Singapore-based Baroo and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren, are offering A$0.08/share in cash. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted. 
  • The off-market Offer is contingent on a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. CAAF (11.85%) is supportive. No word on how Zijin (19.8% stakeholder, before dilution) will play this. 

Svenska Handelsbanken: Arbitraging Brought to Book

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Handelsbanken B shares trade at a ~55% premium to A shares despite lower voting rights, liquidity, and index status — a rare and statistically extreme dislocation.
  • Regression and post-2020 cointegration confirm mean-reverting behavior, supporting a relative value trade favoring SHB A over SHB B.
  • Structural constraints on arbitrage and asymmetric flow dynamics may delay convergence, but the pricing gap remains fundamentally unjustified and actionable.

Elevation Oncology’s Strategic Review: Potential Liquidation or Sale Offers 60% Upside Opportunity at $0.28/share

By Special Situation Investments

  • Elevation Oncology’s market cap is $16.5m, trading at a 50% discount to its mid-year cash guidance of $30m-$35m.
  • The company has no debt, $0.5m in payables, $3.7m in accrued expenses, and guided mid-year cash of $30m+.
  • Potential upside of 30%-60% is based on liquidation or buyout scenarios, considering working capital liabilities and cash burn.

Weekly Update (MCK, LBTYA, SNRE, AMRZ)

By Richard Howe

  • Before I dig into my regular update, I want to share one chart that caught my eye this week.

  • Colin King did a nice job modeling out Lionsgate RemainCo Stub / Starz valuation from last May to now.

  • Interesting to see that at one point it was trading at a negative $1 price.


StubWorld: Toyota Industries/Motors, GMO Internet

By David Blennerhassett

  • Given recent – and ongoing developments – with Toyota Industries (6201 JP) and GMO Internet (4784 JP), I’m revisiting my NAVs.
  • Preceding my comments on the Toyota Group and GMO, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yanlord Land
  • On Friday, Moody’s downgraded the US sovereign rating to Aa1 (stable) from Aaa (negative). The downgrade reflects the increase in US government debt and interest payment ratios for more than a decade to levels significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns, according to the agency.
  • Moody’s does not believe that current fiscal proposals under consideration will lead to material multi-year reductions in spending and deficits.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Nvidia (NVDA.US): Jensen Delivers Keynote Speech at COMPUTEX Today; Confirm Offshore HQ Location and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Nvidia (NVDA.US): Jensen Delivers Keynote Speech at COMPUTEX Today; Confirm Offshore HQ Location
  • Nvidia’s Jensen at Computex: 3 Big Announcements, and Smaller Ones
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Rebounds Back to Recent Highs; ChipMOS Premium at Extreme
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: COMPUTEX 2025 Kicks Off — Nvidia CEO Unveils Taiwan AI Supercomputer Investment
  • No More High N.A. EUV (ASML Next Gen)? Not Accurate. High N.A. Will Come, but Slowly: 2028-29
  • JSW Energy: Balancing Strong Growth Aspirations with Elevated Leverage Add Ticke
  • Aarti Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Volume Recovery Drives Sequential Growth
  • Georgia Capital — Strong portfolio at a substantial discount
  • Koninklijke KPN NV – What’s News in Amsterdam
  • EDSA: Advancing EB06 for the Treatment of Vitiligo


Nvidia (NVDA.US): Jensen Delivers Keynote Speech at COMPUTEX Today; Confirm Offshore HQ Location

By Patrick Liao

  • NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) CEO Jensen Huang visited Taiwan to attend the COMPUTEX Taipei International Computer Exhibition.  
  • Meanwhile, NVIDIA continues expanding its workforce, recently opening over a thousand job vacancies globally.  
  • Throughout his speech, Huang repeatedly mentioned Taiwan. He opened with “Hello Taiwan,” noting that both of his parents were present in the audience, highlighting his personal connection to Taiwan.  

Nvidia’s Jensen at Computex: 3 Big Announcements, and Smaller Ones

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Nvidia will provide IP blocks to other semiconductor designers (hyperscalers Amazon, Google, their design partners Alchip, Mediatek) so that they can integrate their own CPU or ASIC into Nvidia’s systems.    
  • A small size RTX-Pro-Server for Enterprise to run their own AI models, AI agents. That’s “on-premise” AI. AI Data Platform, a tool to structure and train AI data and models.  
  • Mediatek is promoted to the title of “great partner”. Lots of mentions of Hon Hai / Foxconn, TSMC. No mention of Broadcom.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Rebounds Back to Recent Highs; ChipMOS Premium at Extreme

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +19.2% Premium; Rebounded from Previous Lows, Consider Shorting ADR Spread at 20% or Higher
  • ASE: +6.0% Premium; Near Level to Go Short the ADR Spread
  • ChipMOS: +3.4% Premium; Good Level to Short the ADR Spread

Taiwan Tech Weekly: COMPUTEX 2025 Kicks Off — Nvidia CEO Unveils Taiwan AI Supercomputer Investment

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • COMPUTEX 2025 Kicks Off — Nvidia CEO unveils Taiwan AI Supercomputer investment plan with Hon Hai, TSMC as key partners.
  • Nvidia Opens Up Ecosystem with new “NVLink Fusion” — A strategic move to cement long-term platform dominance.
  • PC Monitor — Asus Results Warn of Coming Slowdown; PCs’ Next Edge AI Shift 

No More High N.A. EUV (ASML Next Gen)? Not Accurate. High N.A. Will Come, but Slowly: 2028-29

By Nicolas Baratte

  • There’s been an avalanche of biased or disingenuous comments along the lines of “Samsung, TSMC won’t use High N.A. EUV” or “too expensive, too difficult”. 
  • Samsung will use High NA in 4F² DRAM by 2028; TSMC in some but not all A14 processes by 2028. 
  • We should really think about High NA as optionality value for ASML (share price), rather than a catalyst.

JSW Energy: Balancing Strong Growth Aspirations with Elevated Leverage Add Ticke

By Rahul Jain

  • Unveiled a Rs1.3 lakh crore capex program is planned over FY26–FY30 to reach 30 GW total capacity and 40 GWh energy storage by FY30.
  • Reported a 16% year-on-year increase in Q4 FY25 net profit to ₹408 crore, with revenue rising 16% to ₹3,189 crore.
  •   Trades at ~46x P/E—above Adani Power (~17x) and Tata Power (~33x).

Aarti Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Volume Recovery Drives Sequential Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Aarti Industries (ARTO IN) posted a solid 9% QoQ revenue growth, driven by higher volumes in the energy sector.
  • The company is navigating external volatility, including US tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, while maintaining growth through volume recovery and diversification.
  • The solid volume uptick in key sectors positions Aarti for continued growth in FY26, despite margin pressures.

Georgia Capital — Strong portfolio at a substantial discount

By Edison Investment Research

Georgia Capital (GCAP) delivered a solid NAV total return of 11.2% in Q125 in local currency terms (9.8% in GBP), continuing its strong 15.1% growth per annum since end-2018. Q125 NAV growth was driven primarily by Lion Finance Group’s stock performance (BGEO, formerly Bank of Georgia), which contributed 6.9pp to NAV performance. The strength of GCAP’s private portfolio continues to be reflected in robust earnings growth and sustained dividend flows. The group has reiterated its guidance to receive GEL180m in recurring dividends in 2025 (flat vs 2023 and 2024, which was sufficient to cover 169% of GCAP’s share buybacks over the last two years). Given the persistent wide discount to NAV (currently 37% to end-March NAV), GCAP remains focused on accretive share repurchases, reinforcing its commitment to disciplined capital allocation.


Koninklijke KPN NV – What’s News in Amsterdam

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • AkzoNobel | believed to be close to a final deal with JSW Paints on Akzo Nobel India • KPN | VodafoneZiggo investigating possible sale of transmission towers • InPost | poor delivery quality in to-door segment damaging to e-commerce growth • Just Eat TakeAway.com (“JET”) | Prosus launches recommended cash offer • Corporate agenda | week 21 – 24

EDSA: Advancing EB06 for the Treatment of Vitiligo

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On May 14, 2025, Edesa Biotech, Inc. (EDSA) announced financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 that ended March 31, 2025 and provided a business update.
  • The company has initiated outreach to potential investigators along with manufacturing-related activities to support U.S. regulatory approval for a Phase 2 study of EB06 in the treatment of vitiligo.
  • Manufacturing of EB06 is likely to be finished in the second half of 2025 such that the company can submit the manufacturing data to the FDA as part of the Investigational New Drug (IND) application.

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Daily Brief Macro: Market Intel from a Commodity Trader & China Analyst and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Market Intel from a Commodity Trader & China Analyst
  • Top 100 Korean Firms with Highest Treasury Shares as % of Market Cap (Tender Offer and M&A Targets)
  • Gold for the 21st Century Episode 8 | Steve Lowe, Former Managing Director at Scotiabank
  • EA Inflation Steady In Spring 2025
  • Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 19 May
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 19 May
  • Champion Iron Presentation, Iron Ore Cost Curve, and The Case For Green Steel
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/20] Henry Hub Tumbles on Soaring Supply and Subdued Demand Signals
  • Indian Tire Majors Launch ‘iSPEED’ To Empower 2 Lakh Rubber Smallholders
  • Philippine Politics: No Knockout, No Closure in Midterm Elections


Market Intel from a Commodity Trader & China Analyst

By Money of Mine

  • Discussion shifts towards the market consensus on China, highlighting a cyclical stabilization within a structural slowdown.
  • China’s credit cycle, green shoots in the economy, and property market are discussed.
  • Speaker shares insights on the Chinese real estate sector, mentioning a contraction and the need for new areas of investment.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Top 100 Korean Firms with Highest Treasury Shares as % of Market Cap (Tender Offer and M&A Targets)

By Douglas Kim

  • We provide an analysis of the top 100 companies with the highest percentage of treasury shares as a percentage of market cap. 
  • These 100 companies are prime targets of tender offers and M&As. Many of these companies have low PBR ratios.
  • Number five in this list is Telcoware (078000 KS) which just announced a tender offer by the CEO who is trying to take the company private. 

Gold for the 21st Century Episode 8 | Steve Lowe, Former Managing Director at Scotiabank

By SmarterMarkets™

  • Steve Lowe, former managing director at Scotiabank, discusses his experience leading the iconic Scotia metals business
  • Scotiabank’s success in the gold market was attributed to its broad scope and involvement in the physical business
  • Focus on client service and cooperation among regions contributed to Scotiabank’s success in the gold market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


EA Inflation Steady In Spring 2025

By Phil Rush

  • Signals about underlying inflationary pressures remain the most interesting aspect of another unrevised euro area print of 2.2% in April, with the core at 2.75%.
  • The median impulse was also steady at about a 2% annualised pace as national moves offset. Other statistical measures and wage growth remain stuck above the target.
  • We expect the ECB to cut again in June, alongside forecasts that will be lowered due to Euro appreciation. The tight labour market should discourage cutting to a loose setting.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 19 May

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils demand could see earlier-than-usual seasonal slowdown in face of weak lube consumption and improving supply.
  • Asia’s lube demand falls at end-Q1 2025 from year-earlier levels.
  • Demand weakness shows signs of extending into Q2 2025 as uncertainty about US tariffs compounds signs of slowing economic growth.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 19 May

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices hold firm versus feedstock/gasoil prices.
  • Asia’s Group II light-grade prices slip vs feedstock/gasoil prices faster than heavy grades and faster than Group I light grades.
  • Supply-demand fundamentals likely to improve for light and heavy grades in coming weeks as plant maintenance draws to a close and demand slows.

Champion Iron Presentation, Iron Ore Cost Curve, and The Case For Green Steel

By Sameer Taneja

  • We summarize our gleanings from the Champion Iron (CIA AU) presentation, which captures the cost curve and other interesting details on the DRI market. 
  • After declining below 100 USD/ton for 2 weeks, iron ore prices have slowly inched up towards 100 USD/ton, maintaining their level at the high end of the cost curve. 
  • A 100 USD/ton level bodes well for the cash flows of the larger low-cost players like Vale (VALE US), Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/20] Henry Hub Tumbles on Soaring Supply and Subdued Demand Signals

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 16/May, U.S. natural gas prices dropped by 12.2% on the back of mild weather, rising output, and lower LNG export flows.
  • For the week ending 09/May, the EIA reported that U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 110 Bcf, moderately lower than analyst expectations of a 111 Bcf build.
  • Henry Hub OI PCR remained unchanged at 0.92 on 16/May compared to 09/May. Call OI increased by 3.5% WoW, while put OI grew by 3.3%.

Indian Tire Majors Launch ‘iSPEED’ To Empower 2 Lakh Rubber Smallholders

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • US$16.9 mn initiative to enhance productivity and quality in Northeast  
  • Stress on sheet-making infrastructure to fetch better price for farmers  
  • INROAD creates over 136,000 new smallholders in the Northeast  

Philippine Politics: No Knockout, No Closure in Midterm Elections

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • While Duterte-allied candidates secured a strong showing in the Senate elections, they lack sufficient numbers to form a veto block against Sara’s impeachment. 
  • Despite the Senate setback, Marcos can still govern viably from his allies’ substantial lower house majority and by forming new coalitions with a revitalised liberal, non-aligned bloc.  
  • Even as policy will largely be unaffected by the elections, intra-elite politicking will continue to shape political dynamics in the run-up to the 2028 presidential election.  

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Most Read: Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Shibaura Electronics, BYD, Sankyo Co Ltd, Toyota Industries, NetEase , Midea Group, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., GMO Internet and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • CATL (3750 HK) H-Share IPO: Fast Entry to Global Indices Is Touch & Go
  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Overbids Minebea’s Overbid of YAGEO’s Overbid of Minebea’s Overbid – The Endgame
  • HSTECH Index Rebalance: BYD (1211 HK) To Replace China Literature (772 HK) As Trade Hits US$6bn
  • [Japan Buybacks] ¥7.3trln of Buybacks Announced In the Last Month – Data on Each, Plus History
  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Toyota Industries (6201) Deal Could Be Announced Near-Term
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance: Why Did Pop Mart (9992 HK) Miss?
  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) & ZTO Express (2057 HK) Added; Inching Towards a 100
  • Toyota Industries (6201 JP): A Potential Privatisation Sooner than Expected
  • [Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good
  • GMO Internet Placement: Extremely Overvalued at the Moment


CATL (3750 HK) H-Share IPO: Fast Entry to Global Indices Is Touch & Go

By Brian Freitas

  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH) could raise up to US$5.1bn in its H-share listing if the Offer Size Adjustment Option and the Overallotment Option are both exercised.
  • There is a huge allocation to cornerstone investors that is locked up for 6 months. That significantly reduces float and the probability of Fast Entry inclusion to global indexes.
  • CATL (3750 HK) will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from the open of trading on 16 June following the end of the Price Stabilisation period.

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Overbids Minebea’s Overbid of YAGEO’s Overbid of Minebea’s Overbid – The Endgame

By Travis Lundy

  • Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has now strongly overbid Minebea’s weak overbid of Yageo’s strong overbid of Minebea’s weak overbid of Yageo’s initial hostile offer for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)
  • We are now 40% higher than the initial bid and the best bid is approaching the top end of Valuation Agent’s top-of-DCF-range prices. There may be a bit more. Maybe.
  • The question now is only whether Minebea responds. If it does, there is a little juice left, but if not, that’s it. It should get done.

HSTECH Index Rebalance: BYD (1211 HK) To Replace China Literature (772 HK) As Trade Hits US$6bn

By Brian Freitas


[Japan Buybacks] ¥7.3trln of Buybacks Announced In the Last Month – Data on Each, Plus History

By Travis Lundy

  • Buybacks are a central part of Corporate Japan’s effort to improve corporate/capital governance. Lots of cross-holders want/need to sell. Lots of companies want to reduce excess equity.
  • This earnings season has seen a LOT of new buybacks announced. ¥7.3trln in the last month and that doesn’t even include the biggest buybacks extant by March-end companies.
  • We are experimenting with new ways of displaying data/analytics for buybacks in Japan. To that end, we have a new tool. We hope users find it useful. We invite feedback.

[Japan M&A/Activism] Toyota Industries (6201) Deal Could Be Announced Near-Term

By Travis Lundy

  • Friday 25 April, Toyota Industries (6201 JP) released earnings for last year, guidance for this year and a Bloomberg scoop suggested Toyota Motors chairman Akio TOYODA would launch an MBO.
  • In some ways surprising, but activists/”noisy shareholders” and TSE guidance on dual listings caused pressure, and Toyota Motors was trying to walk the good governance walk.
  • I discussed the situation here on Day 1, and here a few days later. Long-only shareholders sold. Today, Kyodo had a follow-up article. Then Nikkei. Looks more solid now. 

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Why Did Pop Mart (9992 HK) Miss?

By Brian Freitas


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) & ZTO Express (2057 HK) Added; Inching Towards a 100

By Brian Freitas


Toyota Industries (6201 JP): A Potential Privatisation Sooner than Expected

By Arun George

  • Kyodo news agency reported that Toyota Industries (6201 JP) plans to accept a tender offer by Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Toyota Chairman Akio Toyoda, potentially in May or June.
  • The Nikkei reported that Toyota plans to borrow JPY3 trillion to fund the acquisition. These articles provide more clarity on price, composition of the offeror, financing structure, and timeline. 
  • These articles increase the probability of a tender offer around JPY18,515 (JPY6 trillion market cap). At the last close, the gross spread was 12.1%.

[Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good

By Travis Lundy

  • On 9 May Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) delayed earnings by 30 minutes. Shares popped. Then earnings were released, no deal, and shares crashed. Now they are rebounding.
  • But they remain volatile and subject to dips like the one this AM -5% at one point. Fears may be due to the idea that first smoke here was Dec-2024.
  • 5 months later, no deal yet. Bids were due pre-earnings but with tariffs and writedowns, one wonders if bidders were waiting for results.

GMO Internet Placement: Extremely Overvalued at the Moment

By Nicholas Tan

  • GMO Internet Group (9449 JP)  is looking to sell its 33.4% stake in its subsidiary GMO Internet (4784 JP)  to meet free-float requirements.
  • Shares are very overvalued at the moment and should be worth a mere fraction of its current trading value.
  • We have looked at the company’s deal dynamics in our earlier notes. In this note, we discuss the firm’s outlook as well as valuation.

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Daily Brief Utilities: JSW Energy Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • JSW Energy: Balancing Strong Growth Aspirations with Elevated Leverage Add Ticke


JSW Energy: Balancing Strong Growth Aspirations with Elevated Leverage Add Ticke

By Rahul Jain

  • Unveiled a Rs1.3 lakh crore capex program is planned over FY26–FY30 to reach 30 GW total capacity and 40 GWh energy storage by FY30.
  • Reported a 16% year-on-year increase in Q4 FY25 net profit to ₹408 crore, with revenue rising 16% to ₹3,189 crore.
  •   Trades at ~46x P/E—above Adani Power (~17x) and Tata Power (~33x).

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: CRH , Xanadu Mines, Gold, Base Oil, Aarti Industries, Iron Ore, Natural Gas, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Crude Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index May25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Still Possible
  • Xanadu Mines (XAM AU) Inks Deal With Bastion After Zijin Tarries
  • Gold for the 21st Century Episode 8 | Steve Lowe, Former Managing Director at Scotiabank
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 19 May
  • Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 19 May
  • Aarti Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Volume Recovery Drives Sequential Growth
  • Champion Iron Presentation, Iron Ore Cost Curve, and The Case For Green Steel
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/20] Henry Hub Tumbles on Soaring Supply and Subdued Demand Signals
  • Indian Tire Majors Launch ‘iSPEED’ To Empower 2 Lakh Rubber Smallholders
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/20] WTI Logs Second Weekly Gain on U.S.-China Trade Truce


[Quiddity Index May25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Still Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • The S&P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • We expect two regular changes in June 2025. There are also multiple live spin-off and M&A events which may trigger intra-review index changes near-term. Check the Leaderboards for those.

Xanadu Mines (XAM AU) Inks Deal With Bastion After Zijin Tarries

By David Blennerhassett

  • Xanadu (XAM AU), a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, has entered a deal with Bastion, two weeks after an agreement with JV partner and major shareholder Zijin Mining (601899 CH) lapsed.
  • Bastion, which comprises Singapore-based Baroo and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren, are offering A$0.08/share in cash. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted. 
  • The off-market Offer is contingent on a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. CAAF (11.85%) is supportive. No word on how Zijin (19.8% stakeholder, before dilution) will play this. 

Gold for the 21st Century Episode 8 | Steve Lowe, Former Managing Director at Scotiabank

By SmarterMarkets™

  • Steve Lowe, former managing director at Scotiabank, discusses his experience leading the iconic Scotia metals business
  • Scotiabank’s success in the gold market was attributed to its broad scope and involvement in the physical business
  • Focus on client service and cooperation among regions contributed to Scotiabank’s success in the gold market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 19 May

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices hold firm versus feedstock/gasoil prices.
  • Asia’s Group II light-grade prices slip vs feedstock/gasoil prices faster than heavy grades and faster than Group I light grades.
  • Supply-demand fundamentals likely to improve for light and heavy grades in coming weeks as plant maintenance draws to a close and demand slows.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 19 May

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils demand could see earlier-than-usual seasonal slowdown in face of weak lube consumption and improving supply.
  • Asia’s lube demand falls at end-Q1 2025 from year-earlier levels.
  • Demand weakness shows signs of extending into Q2 2025 as uncertainty about US tariffs compounds signs of slowing economic growth.

Aarti Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Volume Recovery Drives Sequential Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Aarti Industries (ARTO IN) posted a solid 9% QoQ revenue growth, driven by higher volumes in the energy sector.
  • The company is navigating external volatility, including US tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, while maintaining growth through volume recovery and diversification.
  • The solid volume uptick in key sectors positions Aarti for continued growth in FY26, despite margin pressures.

Champion Iron Presentation, Iron Ore Cost Curve, and The Case For Green Steel

By Sameer Taneja

  • We summarize our gleanings from the Champion Iron (CIA AU) presentation, which captures the cost curve and other interesting details on the DRI market. 
  • After declining below 100 USD/ton for 2 weeks, iron ore prices have slowly inched up towards 100 USD/ton, maintaining their level at the high end of the cost curve. 
  • A 100 USD/ton level bodes well for the cash flows of the larger low-cost players like Vale (VALE US), Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/20] Henry Hub Tumbles on Soaring Supply and Subdued Demand Signals

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 16/May, U.S. natural gas prices dropped by 12.2% on the back of mild weather, rising output, and lower LNG export flows.
  • For the week ending 09/May, the EIA reported that U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 110 Bcf, moderately lower than analyst expectations of a 111 Bcf build.
  • Henry Hub OI PCR remained unchanged at 0.92 on 16/May compared to 09/May. Call OI increased by 3.5% WoW, while put OI grew by 3.3%.

Indian Tire Majors Launch ‘iSPEED’ To Empower 2 Lakh Rubber Smallholders

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • US$16.9 mn initiative to enhance productivity and quality in Northeast  
  • Stress on sheet-making infrastructure to fetch better price for farmers  
  • INROAD creates over 136,000 new smallholders in the Northeast  

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/20] WTI Logs Second Weekly Gain on U.S.-China Trade Truce

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 1.6% for the week ending 16/May, aided by easing U.S.-China trade tensions and geopolitical tensions. Gains were capped by rising U.S. inventories and oversupply concerns.
  • The U.S. rig count fell by two to 576. The oil rig count fell by one to 473, while gas rigs also fell by one to 100.
  • WTI OI PCR grew to 0.82 on 16/May compared to 0.81 on 09/May. Call OI dropped by 27.4% WoW, while put OI fell by 26.7%.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Telcoware, Contemporary Amperex Technology, NVIDIA Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, ASML Holding NV, MNTN, Koninklijke KPN and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Telcoware: Tender Offer To Take the Company Private
  • CATL H Share Listing (3750 HK) IPO: Trading Debut
  • Nvidia (NVDA.US): Jensen Delivers Keynote Speech at COMPUTEX Today; Confirm Offshore HQ Location
  • Nvidia’s Jensen at Computex: 3 Big Announcements, and Smaller Ones
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Rebounds Back to Recent Highs; ChipMOS Premium at Extreme
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: COMPUTEX 2025 Kicks Off — Nvidia CEO Unveils Taiwan AI Supercomputer Investment
  • No More High N.A. EUV (ASML Next Gen)? Not Accurate. High N.A. Will Come, but Slowly: 2028-29
  • MNTN Inc. (MNTN) – “Netflix of Marketing” IPO; Solid Deal Dynamics in a Highly Competitive Industry
  • Koninklijke KPN NV – What’s News in Amsterdam


Telcoware: Tender Offer To Take the Company Private

By Douglas Kim

  • Telcoware announced that the largest shareholder and CEO of the company (Keum Han-Tae) will be undertaking a tender offer of 2.332 million shares (25.24%) to take the company private.
  • Tender offer price is 13,000 won per share. Tender offer period is from 19 May to 10 June. 
  • Telcoware has 4.08 million treasury shares, accounting for 44.1% of outstanding shares. 

CATL H Share Listing (3750 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George

  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) priced its H Share at HK$263 to raise HK$35,657.2 million (US$4.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
  • The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 6.6% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to Midea Group (300 HK)‘s AH discount of 4.7%.
  • CATL had the highest oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.

Nvidia (NVDA.US): Jensen Delivers Keynote Speech at COMPUTEX Today; Confirm Offshore HQ Location

By Patrick Liao

  • NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) CEO Jensen Huang visited Taiwan to attend the COMPUTEX Taipei International Computer Exhibition.  
  • Meanwhile, NVIDIA continues expanding its workforce, recently opening over a thousand job vacancies globally.  
  • Throughout his speech, Huang repeatedly mentioned Taiwan. He opened with “Hello Taiwan,” noting that both of his parents were present in the audience, highlighting his personal connection to Taiwan.  

Nvidia’s Jensen at Computex: 3 Big Announcements, and Smaller Ones

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Nvidia will provide IP blocks to other semiconductor designers (hyperscalers Amazon, Google, their design partners Alchip, Mediatek) so that they can integrate their own CPU or ASIC into Nvidia’s systems.    
  • A small size RTX-Pro-Server for Enterprise to run their own AI models, AI agents. That’s “on-premise” AI. AI Data Platform, a tool to structure and train AI data and models.  
  • Mediatek is promoted to the title of “great partner”. Lots of mentions of Hon Hai / Foxconn, TSMC. No mention of Broadcom.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Rebounds Back to Recent Highs; ChipMOS Premium at Extreme

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +19.2% Premium; Rebounded from Previous Lows, Consider Shorting ADR Spread at 20% or Higher
  • ASE: +6.0% Premium; Near Level to Go Short the ADR Spread
  • ChipMOS: +3.4% Premium; Good Level to Short the ADR Spread

Taiwan Tech Weekly: COMPUTEX 2025 Kicks Off — Nvidia CEO Unveils Taiwan AI Supercomputer Investment

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • COMPUTEX 2025 Kicks Off — Nvidia CEO unveils Taiwan AI Supercomputer investment plan with Hon Hai, TSMC as key partners.
  • Nvidia Opens Up Ecosystem with new “NVLink Fusion” — A strategic move to cement long-term platform dominance.
  • PC Monitor — Asus Results Warn of Coming Slowdown; PCs’ Next Edge AI Shift 

No More High N.A. EUV (ASML Next Gen)? Not Accurate. High N.A. Will Come, but Slowly: 2028-29

By Nicolas Baratte

  • There’s been an avalanche of biased or disingenuous comments along the lines of “Samsung, TSMC won’t use High N.A. EUV” or “too expensive, too difficult”. 
  • Samsung will use High NA in 4F² DRAM by 2028; TSMC in some but not all A14 processes by 2028. 
  • We should really think about High NA as optionality value for ASML (share price), rather than a catalyst.

MNTN Inc. (MNTN) – “Netflix of Marketing” IPO; Solid Deal Dynamics in a Highly Competitive Industry

By IPO Boutique

  • Their self-serve software platform enables marketers to precisely target audiences through their MNTN Matched technology and then directly attribute each view to a purchase or other action.
  • Detractors of this IPO may point to the lack of profitability of a company founded in 2009 as well as the immense competition in the space.
  • The company does have a grand vision and a solid core of backers with a manageable deal size.  Furthermore, 19 of the last 25 quarters have produced positive adjusted EBITDA. 

Koninklijke KPN NV – What’s News in Amsterdam

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • AkzoNobel | believed to be close to a final deal with JSW Paints on Akzo Nobel India • KPN | VodafoneZiggo investigating possible sale of transmission towers • InPost | poor delivery quality in to-door segment damaging to e-commerce growth • Just Eat TakeAway.com (“JET”) | Prosus launches recommended cash offer • Corporate agenda | week 21 – 24

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Daily Brief Industrials: Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Yang Ming Marine Transport, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), New Horizon Aircraft and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good
  • TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade
  • CATL A/H Trading – Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List
  • HOVR: Is liftoff on the horizon? Initiating coverage of an early-stage eVTOL manufacturer.


[Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good

By Travis Lundy

  • On 9 May Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) delayed earnings by 30 minutes. Shares popped. Then earnings were released, no deal, and shares crashed. Now they are rebounding.
  • But they remain volatile and subject to dips like the one this AM -5% at one point. Fears may be due to the idea that first smoke here was Dec-2024.
  • 5 months later, no deal yet. Bids were due pre-earnings but with tariffs and writedowns, one wonders if bidders were waiting for results.

TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 10 changes for the TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index in May. The Yuanta Taiwan Value High Dividend ETF (00940 TT) has an AUM of US$4.4bn.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and there are 12 stocks with over 4 days of ADV to trade. The rebalance commenced yesterday and will end on Friday.
  • An equal weighted basket of inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of deletions over the last month. That could continue near-term as the ETF continues to rebalance their portfolio.

CATL A/H Trading – Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

By Sumeet Singh

  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing.
  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

HOVR: Is liftoff on the horizon? Initiating coverage of an early-stage eVTOL manufacturer.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Horizon Aircraft (NASDAQ: HOVR) is an early-stage aerospace OEM that is developing a hybrid electric vertical takeoff and landing (“eVTOL”) aircraft for the regional air mobility market.
  • The company’s fan-in-wing design is unique in the eVTOL market and will allow its vehicles to take off and land vertically like a helicopter but fly horizontally like a standard fixed-wing aircraft once airborne.
  • The aircraft will be capable of traveling further, faster, and more efficiently than any other pure eVTOL aircraft currently in development.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Yang Ming Marine Transport, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), New Horizon Aircraft and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good
  • TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade
  • CATL A/H Trading – Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List
  • HOVR: Is liftoff on the horizon? Initiating coverage of an early-stage eVTOL manufacturer.


[Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Deal Still Looks Mighty Good

By Travis Lundy

  • On 9 May Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) delayed earnings by 30 minutes. Shares popped. Then earnings were released, no deal, and shares crashed. Now they are rebounding.
  • But they remain volatile and subject to dips like the one this AM -5% at one point. Fears may be due to the idea that first smoke here was Dec-2024.
  • 5 months later, no deal yet. Bids were due pre-earnings but with tariffs and writedowns, one wonders if bidders were waiting for results.

TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 10 changes for the TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index in May. The Yuanta Taiwan Value High Dividend ETF (00940 TT) has an AUM of US$4.4bn.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and there are 12 stocks with over 4 days of ADV to trade. The rebalance commenced yesterday and will end on Friday.
  • An equal weighted basket of inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of deletions over the last month. That could continue near-term as the ETF continues to rebalance their portfolio.

CATL A/H Trading – Strong Demand, Upsized, Included in Short-Sell List

By Sumeet Singh

  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing.
  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

HOVR: Is liftoff on the horizon? Initiating coverage of an early-stage eVTOL manufacturer.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Horizon Aircraft (NASDAQ: HOVR) is an early-stage aerospace OEM that is developing a hybrid electric vertical takeoff and landing (“eVTOL”) aircraft for the regional air mobility market.
  • The company’s fan-in-wing design is unique in the eVTOL market and will allow its vehicles to take off and land vertically like a helicopter but fly horizontally like a standard fixed-wing aircraft once airborne.
  • The aircraft will be capable of traveling further, faster, and more efficiently than any other pure eVTOL aircraft currently in development.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
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