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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Macromill, Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, E Mart Inc, American Eagle Outfitters, Casey’s General Stores and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Macromill (3978 JP) – Five Major Investors Have 50+%; CVC Extends and Will Need to Bump Or Walk
  • Will the Timing of the BOJ ETF Exit Be Revealed in December?
  • A Potential JV Between E Mart and Alibaba’s Korean Operations Could Value the JV at About $4 Billion
  • American Eagle Outfitters: Solid Customer Acquisition & Retention Strategies Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers
  • Casey’S General Stores (CASY) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024


Macromill (3978 JP) – Five Major Investors Have 50+%; CVC Extends and Will Need to Bump Or Walk

By Travis Lundy

  • Three pre-existing Large Shareholders have not sold down. Two new 5+% shareholders have appeared since Tender Launch. Together, their reports give them 51.7% of shares out.
  • That provides them with a significantly strong implied negotiating hand. Given the midpoint of the Target Company’s Advisor’s DCF Range, I expect a bump. 
  • Today the Bidder extended for 10 more days. They didn’t have the shares to close. I expect they won’t unless they bump a lot. 

Will the Timing of the BOJ ETF Exit Be Revealed in December?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The actual ratio of tradable shares, excluding ETFs held by BoJ, is low, as a result, the number of Japanese equities available for investment by large institutional investors is limited.
  • ETFs owned by BoJ may be treated as being in favor of company-proposed proposals and against shareholder-proposed proposals, thus BOJ-owned ETFs are hindering the improvement of corporate governance.
  • It is good that BoJ has begun to consider an exit from ETFs, but with several variables and unknowns, it is not easy for investors to predict the timing.

A Potential JV Between E Mart and Alibaba’s Korean Operations Could Value the JV at About $4 Billion

By Douglas Kim

  • On 26 December, Reuters mentioned that E Mart could announce a major JV announcement with Alibaba Group Holding’s Korean operations that could value the JV at about $4 billion.
  • The official launch of the JV is expected to take place sometime in 1H 2025. Gmarket and AliExpress Korea will become subsidiaries of this JV.
  • Although this is not a done deal, this potential JV between Gmarket and AliExpress Korea is likely to have a positive impact on E Mart Inc (139480 KS). 

American Eagle Outfitters: Solid Customer Acquisition & Retention Strategies Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • American Eagle Outfitters reported a strong third quarter for 2024, supported by their strategic initiatives, particularly their “Powering Profitable Growth” strategy.
  • The company experienced a 3% increase in comparable sales, building on a 5% growth the previous year, and delivered an adjusted operating income at the high end of their guidance.
  • Key highlights of the quarter include progress on brand amplification, with American Eagle maintaining its position as the #1 brand in denim for the 15-to-25 age group and experiencing its sixth consecutive quarter of comparable sales growth.

Casey’S General Stores (CASY) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Casey’s General Stores (CASY) is well-run and has a history of growth through organic and inorganic means
  • Continued store growth, margin expansion, and sound capital allocation have led to success for CASY
  • CASY is positioned for further growth in a favorable industry, with potential for a low-to-mid-teens IRR over the next five years

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: NetEase , Tata Technologies, Mks Instruments, Credo Technology Group Holding, InnoScience Suzhou Technology, Paysafe Ltd, Wex Inc, UL Solutions Inc, Elastic NV, Toyota Motor and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease
  • Thematic Building Block | India’s Semiconductor Push
  • MKS Instruments: Expansion & Diversification in Photonics & Lithography Propelling Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • Credo Technology Group: Its Efforts Towards Advanced Electrical Connectors (AECs) Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • InnoScience Technology (2577 HK): Low IPO Free Float Delays Global Index Inclusion
  • Paysafe Ltd (PSFE) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024
  • WEX Inc.: Here Are 7 Key Factors That Will Shape Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • UL Solutions Inc.: Strategic Accretive Acquisitions As A Primary Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers
  • Elastic N.V.: An Analysis Of Its Sales Execution & Customer Acquisition Strategy! – Major Drivers
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Dec-2024): Taiwan warns budget cuts imperil tech subsidies.


Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the December batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. There have been 47% more games approved in 2024 compared to 2023.
  • Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease got one approval.

Thematic Building Block | India’s Semiconductor Push

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • This insight explores the semiconductor industry’s fundamental building blocks, focusing on India’s role and target segments within the value chain.
  • The Indian government has committed INR 76,000 crore to establish a self-reliant semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem.
  • Key investments are being made in semiconductor manufacturing, focusing on design, assembly, testing, and packaging capabilities.

MKS Instruments: Expansion & Diversification in Photonics & Lithography Propelling Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MKS Instruments, Inc. reported a robust third quarter for 2024, with performance largely surpassing expectations.
  • The company achieved revenue of $896 million, marking a 1% sequential increase, driven predominantly by gains in semiconductor and electronics and packaging markets.
  • This growth was reflected in a gross margin of 48.2%, which was higher than anticipated due to favorable product mix and operational leverage.

Credo Technology Group: Its Efforts Towards Advanced Electrical Connectors (AECs) Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. reported strong financial and operational performance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • The company recorded a revenue of $72 million, indicating a sequential increase of 21% and an impressive 64% year-over-year growth.
  • The robust revenue figures were largely driven by vibrant demand across its three core product lines: Active Electrical Cables (AECs), optical Digital Signal Processors (DSPs), and line card retimers.

InnoScience Technology (2577 HK): Low IPO Free Float Delays Global Index Inclusion

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) is anticipated to debut at the HKEX on 30 December 2024 with a valuation between $3.5bn – $3.9bn.
  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) is forecasted to fail the fcap threshold in the first place for both global indices due to small size offering and lock-ups.
  • The security is expected to be added in China all-world or small-cap at the September 2025 review following the 6-month lock-up expiry.

Paysafe Ltd (PSFE) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Paysafe is undergoing a turnaround after a significant decrease in value since its post-IPO high
  • The company generates cash and benefits from growth opportunities in the igaming sector
  • Despite high leverage and a substantial PE shareholder overhang, the stock has potential for significant upside if the turnaround is successful

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


WEX Inc.: Here Are 7 Key Factors That Will Shape Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • WEX Inc., a provider of corporate payment solutions, reported financial results for the third quarter of 2024, showing a mixed performance with certain areas of strength and others facing challenges.
  • The company experienced a 2% increase in total revenue year-over-year, reaching $665 million, while adjusted net income per diluted share rose by 7% to $4.35.
  • However, this performance fell short of internal expectations, primarily due to issues within the Mobility segment, stemming from macroeconomic factors like declining fuel prices and certain operational challenges.

UL Solutions Inc.: Strategic Accretive Acquisitions As A Primary Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • UL Solutions delivered robust financial performance in the third quarter of 2024, with revenue and key financial metrics showcasing both strengths and areas for potential improvement.
  • The company reported revenue of $731 million, representing an 8.1% increase, and maintaining an organic growth of 9.3%.
  • This growth was driven significantly by the Industrial and Consumer segments, reporting organic growth rates of 11.7% and 9.2%, respectively.

Elastic N.V.: An Analysis Of Its Sales Execution & Customer Acquisition Strategy! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Elastic N.V. reported robust financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, showcasing notable progress in revenue growth and sales execution after a challenging first quarter.
  • The company’s total revenue reached $365 million, marking an 18% year-over-year increase.
  • Elastic Cloud, a significant component of its subscription services, experienced a 25% growth, highlighting customer preference for cloud-based solutions.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Dec-2024): Taiwan warns budget cuts imperil tech subsidies.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Taiwan government concerned about reducing foreign tech R&D subsidies due to budget cuts, jeopardizing innovation in the industry.
  • Japan commits significant investment of $638 million into Rapidus chip mass production, aiming to strengthen its position in the semiconductor market.
  • South Korea proposing creation of KSMC based on TSMC’s model to boost semiconductor production capabilities, following global trends in the industry.

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Daily Brief Financials: Shin Kong Financial Holding, PCB Bancorp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Shin Kong/Taishin Merger – Proceeding Apace
  • Pcb Bancorp (PCB) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024


Shin Kong/Taishin Merger – Proceeding Apace

By Travis Lundy

  • Once shareholders of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) agreed to the merger two months ago, that meant an FSC submission would come shortly.
  • It came on 3rd December. Normally it takes two months, but can be extended. It appears the TFTC submission (which is considered wholly separately) was made as early as September.
  • This should get approved within the timeframe or not long afterwards. There is one known “document” missing from the application as of submission, but it shouldn’t be a problem.

Pcb Bancorp (PCB) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • PCB Bank serves the Korean American community with a diverse loan portfolio including commercial real estate, business loans, and residential mortgages
  • Currently experiencing lower returns due to low net interest margin and increased expenses
  • High insider ownership, healthy dividends, and discounted stock price indicate potential undervaluation with a 27% upside, but key risk is deterioration of loan portfolio leading to credit losses

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Strides Pharma Science , Ono Pharmaceutical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO
  • Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Struggle Continues with Opdivo; Competition and Price Cuts Loom Large


Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • OneSource is riding the surging demand for GLP-1 drugs, a market projected to reach $30 Billion by 2030, with its expertise in Drug-Device Combination (DDC) solutions.
  • OneSource is projected to achieve revenue of $350-$400 million over the next 3-4 years from $145 million in 2024 , with an impressive EBITDA margin approaching 40% from 25% in 2024.
  • OneSource is expected to receive Listing Approval from the Stock Exchanges during Q4 FY25

Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Struggle Continues with Opdivo; Competition and Price Cuts Loom Large

By Tina Banerjee

  • Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP) is reporting decelerating revenue from its flagship drug, Opdivo. During H1FY25, domestic revenue from Opdivo decreased 17% YoY to ¥62.6B.
  • Opdivo will start to lose patent protection starting from 2028. Prolific commercialization of these new drugs will remain crucial for Ono riding the patent cliff successfully.
  • Ono shares plunged 36% over the last one year to trade at attractive valuation. In absence of any near-term growth catalyst, the shares are not expected to see much upside.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 20th):SCD and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 20th):SCD, SKC, Yuhan


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 20th):SCD, SKC, Yuhan

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.5bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in SCD (000250 KS) , SKC (011790 KS) , Yuhan (000100 KS).

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Singapore Market Roundup (25-Dec-2024): DBS positive on Seatrium after FPU win; monitoring probe. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Singapore Market Roundup (25-Dec-2024): DBS positive on Seatrium after FPU win; monitoring probe.
  • Thematic Report: Is India Shifting from Essentials to Experiences in Consumer Spending?


Singapore Market Roundup (25-Dec-2024): DBS positive on Seatrium after FPU win; monitoring probe.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • DBS remains optimistic on Seatrium after securing FPU contract despite ongoing investigation.
  • Maybank Securities shows positivity towards SingPost following firing of three executives.
  • Both companies are confident in their respective prospects moving forward, exhibiting strong faith in their decisions.

Thematic Report: Is India Shifting from Essentials to Experiences in Consumer Spending?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Over the last decade, Indian consumer spending has shifted from essentials like food and housing toward services like healthcare and education, reflecting rising incomes and evolving priorities.
  • Although food and beverages remain the largest spending category, their share decreased from 30.5% to 28.2% in the last decade.
  • Within the food and beverage category, there is a growing preference for protein-rich foods and packaged foods while spending on staples like bread and cereals has decreased.

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Daily Brief ECM: Pre-IPO Duality Biotherapeutics – Has the Potential to Surpass RemeGen and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Pre-IPO Duality Biotherapeutics – Has the Potential to Surpass RemeGen


Pre-IPO Duality Biotherapeutics – Has the Potential to Surpass RemeGen

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Founder Zhu Zhongyuan is a key figure in biotech landscape.So, when Duality first started its entrepreneurial financing, the process was smooth and the starting point of Duality was not low.
  • The R&D progress of Duality’s pipelines is slower than competing candidates, so they would be in a passive position after market launch. So, Duality’s valuation would be lower than Kelun Bio.
  • Duality’s pipeline still has “good stories” to tell. There’s a chance its valuation could be higher than RemeGen, whose business model/investment logic have been falsified due to weak sales data.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1


Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

By Brian Freitas

  • There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
  • There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
  • Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge
  • Takashimaya (8233 JP): Q3 FY02/25 flash update
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.
  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Set up for a Stronger 2025
  • United Microelectronics: Key QCOM Advanced Packaging Win Signals Client Shift Away from TSMC
  • Zuiko Corp (6279 JP): Q3 FY02/25 flash update


Micron. So Long Legacy & Hello There HBM, Data Center & Leading Edge

By William Keating

  • Micron’s Q1F25 met expectations on key metrics but the ~9% downward guidance for the current quarter sent the share price into a tailspin
  • Consumer-Related inventory issues and China competition were highlighted as the root causes for the surprise downward guide
  • Micron is ok to cede legacy products to China competition and focus instead on the much more lucrative leading edge products, especially HBM. The transition could be rocky however

Takashimaya (8233 JP): Q3 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Operating revenue increased YoY across segments, driven by domestic and overseas department stores, and commercial property development.
  • Operating profit rose YoY, with significant growth in Domestic Department Store, Overseas Commercial Property Development, and Finance segments.
  • Takashimaya Financial Partners Co., Ltd. saw increased revenue and profit due to higher transaction volumes and credit card income.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AI inkjet breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing promises more precise coating, revolutionizing tech industry processes.
  • China’s price war in EV sector causes financial chaos and supply chain disruptions for 2 years, impacting global market.
  • US House considers OLED import ban following patent dispute with Samsung Display Corporation, keeping spotlight on patent issues.

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – Set up for a Stronger 2025

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Erajaya Swasembada booked a strong performance in 3Q2024 but 4Q2024 is likely to be the peak seasonal quarter for sales, even with no sales of iPhone 16.
  • Chinese brands have accelerated the availability of affordable handsets, which should help to drive sales. JD Sports will be consolidated in December and Grand Lucky is performing well. 
  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) will continue to expand Erajaya Digitial in 2025, Erablue stores already be at 76 stores by November. Valuations remain attractive along with a strong growth profile. 

United Microelectronics: Key QCOM Advanced Packaging Win Signals Client Shift Away from TSMC

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • UMC Secures Key Qualcomm Advanced Packaging Order; Breakthrough in High-Growth Chip Supply Chain Segment
  • Why TSMC Remains Critical for QCOM Manufacturing, Yet UMC Provides a Strong Strategic Counterbalance
  • UMC Must Prove Itself, but QCOM Win Sparks Optimism for Sentiment and Outlook Recovery — Maintain TSMC as Structural Long & Rate UMC as Outperform

Zuiko Corp (6279 JP): Q3 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue decreased to JPY13.9bn, a 17.6% YoY decline, with significant drops in Japan and China sales.
  • Operating loss of JPY303mn and recurring loss of JPY176mn were reported, with a net loss of JPY734mn.
  • FY02/25 revenue forecast revised to JPY20.0bn, with expected operating profit and recurring profit declines.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung Engineering and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1


Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

By Brian Freitas

  • There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
  • There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
  • Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.

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