Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H, Cooper Cos, Veeva Systems Inc Class A and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Sinopharm (1099 HK) – A Compelling Investment Case
  • The Cooper Companies: Expansion of MyDay Capacity As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Veeva Systems’ Vault CRM Revolution: How Smart Migrations Are Fueling Industry Domination! – Major Drivers


Sinopharm (1099 HK) – A Compelling Investment Case

By Avien Pillay

  • Sinopharm will benefit from the strong expected growth in China’s healthcare spend.
  • There is scope to increase its distribution which will continue to shield the company from short-term volatility.
  • Pricing pressure in drug prices creates opportunity to optimise range and improve profitability.

The Cooper Companies: Expansion of MyDay Capacity As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cooper Companies reported a record revenue year for fiscal 2024, achieving $3.9 billion primarily driven by strong performances from its two main divisions, CooperVision and CooperSurgical.
  • Each division marked record revenues, with CooperVision contributing $676 million in Q4, a 9% increase, largely due to its silicone hydrogel lenses like MyDay, Biofinity, and clariti.
  • The division continues to hold a strong market position, especially in torics, multifocals, and myopia management despite a soft end to the quarter for the contact lens market.

Veeva Systems’ Vault CRM Revolution: How Smart Migrations Are Fueling Industry Domination! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Veeva Systems reported a robust performance for its fiscal 2025 third quarter that ended on October 31, 2024.
  • The company delivered revenue of $699 million, surpassing guidance, and achieved a non-GAAP operating income of $304 million.
  • This indicates strong operational execution and continued innovation, which have been key differentiators for the company.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 13th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 13th): Tencent, AIA, Kuaishou Technology
  • EQD | NIFTY at a Fork: Is the Rally Over? or Can It Stretch for 3 More Weeks?


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 13th): Tencent, AIA, Kuaishou Technology

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 13th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).

EQD | NIFTY at a Fork: Is the Rally Over? or Can It Stretch for 3 More Weeks?

By Nico Rosti

  • The NIFTY Index has been rallying more than 5% since its bottom 4 weeks ago. However the index has not returned to its all time high (26277).
  • Our models indicate that the index is starting to be overbought, but is not yet super-overbought, so the question is: will it continue higher? Or will it pullback soon?
  • This coming week will be crucial to sustain momentum and possibly accelerate, our models say that when this pattern is encountered the index can rally up to 7-8 weeks.

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Daily Brief ESG: Guarantee Program for GHG Disclosure Will Start in FY3/2028 with Limited Guarantee for Scope 1 and 2 and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Guarantee Program for GHG Disclosure Will Start in FY3/2028 with Limited Guarantee for Scope 1 and 2


Guarantee Program for GHG Disclosure Will Start in FY3/2028 with Limited Guarantee for Scope 1 and 2

By Aki Matsumoto

  • From FY3/2027, companies with market capitalization of over 3 trillion yen will be required to disclose GHG sequentially. 76% of companies with market capitalization of over 500 billion yen disclose.
  • A guarantee program is scheduled to be introduced in FY3/2028, but only 21% of companies with market capitalization of over 500 billion yen have disclosed their guarantees.
  • The guarantee program will begin in Scope 1 and 2 with limited guarantees. Disclosure of guarantees will increase once the discussion on qualification system for guarantee service providers is finalized.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Japan Weekly | Nikkei Edges Up; Topcon and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Weekly | Nikkei Edges Up; Topcon, Rakuten, Oji, Bandai
  • An unfiltered conversation with Jennifer Hewett
  • Singapore Market Roundup (13-Dec-2024): CGSI Covers Pacific Radiance & Marco Polo Marine
  • BACK TO THE FUTURE
  • Backlash From Key Chinese Industries as U.S. Expands Chip Export Restrictions
  • Saudi Arabia Presents Promising Market for Chinese Green Tech
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 13/12/2024


Japan Weekly | Nikkei Edges Up; Topcon, Rakuten, Oji, Bandai

By Mark Chadwick

  • The Japanese stock market posted a modest gain of 1% for the week, with the Nikkei closing at 39,470 on Friday
  • Looking ahead, the market remains sensitive to external catalysts such as U.S. monetary policy decisions (FOMC on 17/18th), the BOJ (18/19th), and developments in China’s economic policies.
  • Topcon’s stock skyrocketed 63% this week, fueled by speculation that the eyecare leader may go private.

An unfiltered conversation with Jennifer Hewett

By Money of Mine

  • Energy policy, particularly nuclear, is a hot topic in Australia with the dysfunctional energy market being a major concern.
  • The role of renewables and firming power (gas, hydro, batteries) is crucial in addressing energy issues.
  • State governments like New South Wales and Victoria are also making significant moves in the energy sector.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Singapore Market Roundup (13-Dec-2024): CGSI Covers Pacific Radiance & Marco Polo Marine

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • CGSI has initiated coverage on Pacific Radiance and Marco Polo Marine, identifying them as beneficiaries of O&M industry.
  • Brokers’ Digest provides latest updates on Bumitama Agri, Oiltek, ST Engineering, SGX, Suntec REIT, Kimly, SingPost, PropNex, Raffles Medical.
  • Panin Bank acquisition might not have significant impact on OCBC and DBS due to uncertainties, according to RHB. XMH Holdings’ 1HFY2025 earnings surge by 94.5% to $12.6 million. Accrelist exec chairman increases stake to 26.48%, while Tuan Sing CEO Liem raises ownership to 54.28%.

BACK TO THE FUTURE

By Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

  • Steve Bogdan shares insights on the defense industry and the need for tangible capital investment in the US
  • Discussion on the Chinese naval buildup and its impact on Washington’s strategic thinking
  • Exploration of investment opportunities in defense stocks and the macro implications of rising rates due to increased spending and automation trends

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Backlash From Key Chinese Industries as U.S. Expands Chip Export Restrictions

By Caixin Global

  • America has come under heavy criticism from China’s semiconductor, internet and automotive industries for expanding the chip export restriction to target another 136 Chinese companies.

  • The move prompted calls for caution when procuring U.S. chips and warnings that the restrictions could cause significant disruption to global supply chains.

  • The U.S. Department of Commerce said on Monday that it was adding 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its “entity list”, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.


Saudi Arabia Presents Promising Market for Chinese Green Tech

By Caixin Global

  • Nestled in the Saudi Arabian desert, plants and vegetables grow inside a greenhouse constructed with rows of glass panels.
  • These cutting-edge panels transform sunshine into electricity, allowing the remote greenhouse to meet all its energy needs.
  • This is the vision presented by Chinese company Gaoming Technology Co.

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 13/12/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  • ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Reflections on Welchau – Three intervals in the Reifling formation (1324 m-1340 m, 1346 m-1351 m and 1358 m-1382 m MD) were perforated but only limited inflow was determined.
  • No fluid could reach the surface after the well was shut in.
  • Sampling of the well indicated only completion brine (not reservoir fluid) and fine solid particles of unknown origin.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In the US, initial jobless claims increased to a two-month-high of 242 k (220 k e / 225 k p), likely due to the Thanksgiving holiday.
  • The PPI (final demand) came in at 3.0% y-o-y in November (2.6% e / 2.6% p), while core PPI (final demand) stood at 3.4% (3.2% e / 3.4% p).
  • US Treasuries were sold off for the second consecutive day, with the yields gaining 4-6 bps across the curve.

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Daily Brief ECM: ServiceTitan IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ServiceTitan IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, The Stock Jumped ~42% As A Public Company


ServiceTitan IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, The Stock Jumped ~42% As A Public Company

By Andrei Zakharov

  • ServiceTitan, a provider of field service management software for home service businesses, priced its IPO at $71.00/share and raised ~$625M.  
  • ServiceTitan IPO has seen robust demand among institutional investors. The company boosted its initial price range to $65.00 to $67.00 per share.
  • The offering was priced above the price range, valuing ServiceTitan at ~$6.5B. The stock jumped ~42% on first day as a public company and closed at $101.00 on Thursday.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan Activism] Exedy (7278 JP) – Buying Back Bigly and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Activism] Exedy (7278 JP) – Buying Back Bigly
  • Fuji Soft (9749 JP) – Bain Bumps UnBigly, and FSI Responds
  • Vesync (2148 HK): Expect The Yangs To Privatise
  • Blackstone Eyes Move On Dexus (DXS AU)
  • Delisting Offer for Alba at 79% Premium
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Festive Cheer as Precondition Satisfied🎄
  • Macquarie’s £8.7/share Bid for Renewi Supported by Key Shareholders Amid 9% Spread and Due Diligence Completion
  • Aviva’s Acquisition of Direct Line: 9.5% Merger Arbitrage Opportunity Amid Regulatory Considerations and Shareholder Dynamics
  • Media Concierge’s Acquisition of National World: 9.5% Upside Amidst Complex Business Dynamics


[Japan Activism] Exedy (7278 JP) – Buying Back Bigly

By Travis Lundy

  • Exedy Corp (7278 JP) announced an offering of 36% of its shares at end-May. Long-time “owner” Aisin (7259 JP) was getting out. Since then, the company has bought back shares.
  • Activist Murakami Group has bought 27% of the company. Between Murakami and the buyback, the public has net sold 5% of the company since end-March. Kinda shocking.
  • There is another 35% of Max Real World Float to buy back, and at current pace, they’ll be done by mid-March 2025. Then what? That’s the really big question.

Fuji Soft (9749 JP) – Bain Bumps UnBigly, and FSI Responds

By Travis Lundy

  • ~4 weeks ago, Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) responded to Bain’s Proposal to take over the company but got KKR to bid ¥1 more, then said that covered it.
  • The Special Committee then asked the FSI Board to halt further negotiations with Bain, and to ask Bain to destroy all confidential documentation. 
  • Bain rejected saying it contravened METI Guidelines on Corporate Takeovers and reappeared 2 days ago with a ¥9,600 bid. The structure/details of Bain’s bid was probably a strategy mistake.

Vesync (2148 HK): Expect The Yangs To Privatise

By David Blennerhassett

  • Vesync (2148 HK), a manufacturer of small home appliance, is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. 
  • FY23 was Vesync’s best result since its December 2020 listing; and FY24E is on track to go one better.  Yet the share price is 24% adrift of the IPO price.
  • The Yang family, led by chairman/CEO, control ~69.26% of Vesync. An Offer price around the IPO price may be enough to take Vesync private.

Blackstone Eyes Move On Dexus (DXS AU)

By David Blennerhassett

  • Reportedly, Blackstone is running a ruler over Dexus Property (DXS AU), one of Australia’s leading fully integrated real estate groups. 
  • The Australian article flips flops: “Blackstone is understood to have been back on the scene“; but “cooled on the opportunity for now“. 
  • Almost exactly four year ago, Blackstone paid A$2.1bn for a 49% stake in the Dexus Australian Logistics Trust, a prime logistics portfolio managed and jointly owned by Dexus.

Delisting Offer for Alba at 79% Premium

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Christmas came early for Corp Financiera Alba Sa (ALB SM)‘s shareholders as a 79% premium delisting offer for a holding that was last trading at a whoping 50.7% discount/NAV.
  • For a while I had been saying that Alba was very cheap. Although it is difficult to disagree with such a premium, controling shareholders are buying at a 11.5% discount.
  • They are value investors after all. Settlement should happen around April 4. Spread is 1.9%/6.4% (gross/annualised). Long Alba shares (not the holding spread).

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Festive Cheer as Precondition Satisfied🎄

By Arun George

  • ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. 
  • The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. 
  • The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.

Macquarie’s £8.7/share Bid for Renewi Supported by Key Shareholders Amid 9% Spread and Due Diligence Completion

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Macquarie Asset Management’s final bid for Renewi is £8.7/share, with a current spread of 9% and a downside risk of 25%.
  • Three shareholders holding 15.1% of Renewi have signed irrevocable support agreements; confirmatory due diligence is ongoing.
  • Macquarie’s offer values Renewi at 6.7x TTM adj. EBITDA, aligning with European peers’ valuations, considering the control premium.

Aviva’s Acquisition of Direct Line: 9.5% Merger Arbitrage Opportunity Amid Regulatory Considerations and Shareholder Dynamics

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Aviva is acquiring Direct Line for £1.297 cash, 0.2867 AV shares, and £0.05 dividend, totaling £2.70/share.
  • Direct Line’s board is prepared to recommend the offer; Aviva is conducting due diligence with a PUSU date set for December 25.
  • The offer values Direct Line at 1.6x BV and 2.6x TBV, with potential regulatory scrutiny due to market share.

Media Concierge’s Acquisition of National World: 9.5% Upside Amidst Complex Business Dynamics

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Media Concierge’s £0.23/share offer for National World represents a 9.5% upside, with shareholder approval likely guaranteed.
  • Antitrust risk is negligible due to Media Concierge’s focus on Irish newspapers and NWOR’s exclusive UK operations.
  • NWOR’s valuation is challenging due to lack of local peers and varying global newspaper company valuation ranges.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – Speeding the Horses to Profitability and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – Speeding the Horses to Profitability
  • 2025 High Conviction: Nuvama – A Play on Burgeoning Wealth Management Industry in India
  • Japanese Midcap Banks – Hachijuni (8359 JP) Is Our Top Pick
  • Celltrion: Meaningful Increase in Cash and Stock Dividends
  • Jd.Com Inc (JD) – Friday, Sep 13, 2024
  • 3 D Matrix Ltd (7777 JP): 1H FY04/25 flash update
  • Kaspi.Kz (KSPI) – Friday, Sep 13, 2024
  • Nvidia Asserts Commitment to Fair Competition Amid China Antitrust Probe
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Dec-2024): Samsung: VP leads key unit, strategic realignment.
  • Oci Nv (US67116NAA72 Corp) – Friday, Sep 13, 2024


Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – Speeding the Horses to Profitability

By Angus Mackintosh

  • A recent meeting with Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) looking at its longer-term strategy confirmed its differentiated standing, with a keen focus on an omnichannel strategy across key verticals.
  • The restructuring of its 1P business is yielding positive returns and higher margins, whilst its 3P business is being driven by strong performance from tiket.com, with offline stores performing well.
  • BELI recently opened a new 100,000 sqm distribution centre, which will further underpin its logistics excellence and improve delivery times even further. Valuations are attractive with profitability ahead in FY2025.

2025 High Conviction: Nuvama – A Play on Burgeoning Wealth Management Industry in India

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Going into CY25, Nuvama is one of our highest conviction ideas. It has potential to generate 75%+ upside, just from valuation gain.
  • India’s wealth management industry is in nascent phase led by under-penetration and a growing affluent, HNI and UHNI clientele.
  • Nuvama’s edge is its integrated platform bolstered by technology prowess and a solution-focused approach as opposed to a product-push model. It offers a holistic solution with a robust relationship-driven approach.

Japanese Midcap Banks – Hachijuni (8359 JP) Is Our Top Pick

By Victor Galliano

  • We update our views on ten Japanese midcap banks targeting attractively valued beneficiaries of the realization of big strategic shareholdings, as well as beneficiaries of the improving interest rate outlook
  • We re-iterate our buys on Hachijuni Bank and Hokuhoku Financial; there is potential to realize their large strategic holdings relative to their market capitalizations combined with their attractive PTBV ratios
  • We take Gunma Bank off the buy list, replacing it with Iyogin; Iyogin has a constructive mix of large strategic holdings, attractive valuations and healthy gearing to higher interest rates

Celltrion: Meaningful Increase in Cash and Stock Dividends

By Douglas Kim

  • Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) announced meaningful increase in dividends (including both cash and stock dividends).
  • Celltrion will pay out stock dividend of 0.05 for shareholders as of record in 2024, this will be 150% higher than the average stock dividend in the past three years.
  • Celltrion will also pay out cash DPS of 750 won for shareholders as of record in 2024, which is more than double the average DPS in the past three years. 

Jd.Com Inc (JD) – Friday, Sep 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • JD.com is a profitable Chinese e-commerce company trading below its cash value
  • Despite challenges in China’s retail market and competition from rivals, JD.com offers a potential 2x-3x upside over the next two years
  • Stock has fallen approximately 20% since last write-up, presenting a good opportunity for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


3 D Matrix Ltd (7777 JP): 1H FY04/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Operating revenue increased by 78.3% YoY to JPY3.3bn, driven by sales of TDM-621 across multiple regions.
  • Operating loss narrowed to JPY532mn, with a recurring loss of JPY798mn and a net loss of JPY806mn.
  • US sales grew 151.4% YoY, achieving profitability; Europe and Japan also reported significant YoY sales growth.

Kaspi.Kz (KSPI) – Friday, Sep 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Kaspi superapp offers strong growth potential in Kazakhstan and plans for expansion into other countries
  • Led by a top-notch management team with significant ownership stake and operates with high margins
  • Despite concerns about investing in emerging markets, the authors see Kaspi as a compelling long-term investment opportunity with impressive growth potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Nvidia Asserts Commitment to Fair Competition Amid China Antitrust Probe

By Caixin Global

  • Nvidia Corp. on Tuesday asserted its commitment to fair competition, after China’s market regulators opened an antitrust investigation into the U.S. chip giant over suspected violations linked to a 2020 deal.
  • The probe, announced on Monday by the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR), concerns Nvidia’s compliance with the country’s Anti-Monopoly Law and conditions tied to its $6.9 billion acquisition of Israeli network-equipment maker Mellanox Technologies Ltd.
  • The deal — the largest acquisition Nvidia has ever made — faced intense scrutiny from Chinese regulators, who conditionally approved it after nearly a year-long process.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Dec-2024): Samsung: VP leads key unit, strategic realignment.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Samsung Display appoints new VP to lead strategic product realignment, driving focus on key areas.
  • BYD expands EV production in Europe, while Gotion aims for battery growth in Morocco and Slovakia.
  • Google unveils Gemini 2.0 and next-gen TPU Trillium, ushering in the era of AI agents; Morris Chang shares insights on Intel’s leadership crisis. Samsung shifts 2,000 engineers to Pyeongtaek to tackle HBM hurdles.

Oci Nv (US67116NAA72 Corp) – Friday, Sep 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • OCI undergoing solvent liquidation process, sparking interest in updating story and economics
  • Focus on latest updates on OCI and PF capital structure, equity thesis, credit thesis
  • Multiple disposal transactions in past 10 months, including sale of businesses and retaining European nitrogen business

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Macro: Positioning Watch – Is the Santa Rally at risk of being canceled? Not yet.. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Positioning Watch – Is the Santa Rally at risk of being canceled? Not yet..
  • OPEC Cuts Demand Forecasts for Fifth Straight Month; EIA Lowers Price Outlook on Supply Glut
  • [ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile
  • ELTs Undertake An Impressive ‘Sustainable March’ In The US
  • Globalisation: Same, Same but Different
  • HEW: Festive Policy Disagreements
  • CX Daily: How China is Cracking Down on Border Trade Smugglers


Positioning Watch – Is the Santa Rally at risk of being canceled? Not yet..

By Andreas Steno

  • Hi everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning update.
  • I’ve been puzzled over the past weeks of just how much risk assets have been denying the underlying macro trends, and it very much mimics the pattern we saw in Q4 2023.
  • Markets are not really responding to macro unless there is a major surprise to either side of the economic consensus as this is the only scenario which can change the expected rate path of the Fed.

OPEC Cuts Demand Forecasts for Fifth Straight Month; EIA Lowers Price Outlook on Supply Glut

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC cut its 2024 demand growth forecast for the fifth consecutive time this year. It lowered its 2024 and 2025 forecast 11.5% and 5.8%, respectively.
  • The EIA and IEA lowered their 2024 demand projections by 10.1% and 8.7%, respectively. However, they raised their 2025 projections by 5.7% and 11.1%, respectively.
  • The EIA reduced 2024 and 2025 price forecasts for WTI and Brent, citing higher non-OPEC+ production and subdued demand, which are expected to drive global inventory builds after Q1 2025.

[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 06/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 1.4m barrels, beating expectations of a 1m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected again.
  • US natural gas inventories fell by 190 Bcf for the week ending 06/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 175 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • Wells Fargo raised its 12-month PT for Chevron but lowered targets for Shell and Occidental. Exxon targets a CAGR of 10% in earnings and 8% in cash flow through 2030.

ELTs Undertake An Impressive ‘Sustainable March’ In The US

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • 79% of ELTs consumed by end-use markets, up 10.5%
  • Tire-derived fuel tops ELT use, followed by ground rubber
  • Sumitomo Rubber USA announces closing of Buffalo plant

Globalisation: Same, Same but Different

By Sharmila Whelan

  • Contrary to popular belief, the upward trend in global US$ exports, which has been in place since 1948 remains intact. World trade openness too is higher today than pre-GFC.  
  • US consumers are the richest. However Asian affordability is growing quickly . The region’s share of the global imports is already on par with Europe’s.   
  • Globalisation is not reversing but evolving. Regional trade is driving world exports while world manufacturing production chains are transitioning from horizontal to vertical integrated.

HEW: Festive Policy Disagreements

By Phil Rush

  • The seasonal festival of packed macro releases before Christmas has shown policy divergence and surprise, with the SNB and the Bank of Canada cutting by 50bp, Brazil hiking by 100bp, and the ECB’s 25bp cut as expected.
  • There is a firm consensus for no change for the BoE and a 25bp cut for the Fed, with one of the other announcements expected to shock.
  • The UK CPI inflation call is relatively high at 2.6% on the data front.

CX Daily: How China is Cracking Down on Border Trade Smugglers

By Caixin Global

  • Smugglers / In Depth: How China is cracking down on border trade smugglers
  • Pension /: China’s personal pension pilot is ready to go nationwide, sources say
  • EVs /: Baidu-Geely EV brand pledges to maintain deliveries as backers’ support wavers

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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Moves #56 – Suddenly We Are Once Again Discussing Inflation and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Moves #56 – Suddenly We Are Once Again Discussing Inflation


Crypto Moves #56 – Suddenly We Are Once Again Discussing Inflation

By Mads Eberhardt

  • It should come as no surprise that inflation dominated headlines throughout 2022 and 2023.
  • This was largely because central banks around the world, including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB), had to respond to rising inflation by aggressively increasing interest rates.
  • The chart below highlights these interest rate changes.

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