Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Event-Driven: BHP Group, Softbank Group, Nippon Building Fund, ARA LOGOS, Comforia Residential REIT and more

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX100/​200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March
  • TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Looking Increasingly Juicy
  • Nippon Building Fund (8951) – Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers
  • ARA Logos (ALLT SP): Scheme Doc Out. Meeting On 27 Jan
  • Nippon Building Fund (8951): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index
  • Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP):  Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs Comps

ASX100/​200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

By Brian Freitas


TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Looking Increasingly Juicy

By Mio Kato

  • Our suggested TOPIX-Nikkei skew trade continues to grind out positive returns with relatively low volatility. 
  • With Nikkei starting to noticeably underperform over the last few days we believe faster outperformance could be ahead. 
  • In particular we believe two of the worst performing legs here could start to contribute.

Nippon Building Fund (8951) – Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

By Travis Lundy

  • Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.
  • That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. 
  • A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.

ARA Logos (ALLT SP): Scheme Doc Out. Meeting On 27 Jan

By David Blennerhassett

  • The Scheme Document for the S$1.4bn ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)/ ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) merger has now been dispatched.
  • The Scheme Meeting will take place on the 27 January with the expected date for the payment of the Cash Consideration and issuance of Consideration Units on the 28 February. 
  • The IFA (ING Bank) considered the terms of the Scheme to be fair and reasonable.

Nippon Building Fund (8951): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Today after the close, Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)(“NBF”) announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. 
  • The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,500 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥33bn (~US$285mn). 
  • Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.

Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP):  Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs Comps

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Yesterday after the close, Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP) (“CRR”) announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. 
  • The primary offer quantity is 22,960 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,140 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥7.4bn (~US$64mn). 
  • Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of CRR’s latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.

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