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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: July TOPIX FFW Rebal – Bigger Than Expected and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • July TOPIX FFW Rebal – Bigger Than Expected
  • Korea – A Look at Ecopro, Kumyang & JYP Entertainment
  • EQD | S&P500 E-Mini (ES) DAILY SHORT, Speculative High-Probability Trade
  • Industrivärden H1, Discount and Target NAV


July TOPIX FFW Rebal – Bigger Than Expected

By Travis Lundy

  • Last Friday, the FFW changes for the TOPIX July Free Float Weight Review were announced. There have also been other recent announcements creating flows on 30 July.
  • Some of these other recent announcements represent a possible change in ad hoc methodology.
  • Total Flow for 30 July is ~$3.3bn a side driven by selling flows (3/4 of the buy flows are reverse funding). $2.1bn of selling is > 3 days ADV.

Korea – A Look at Ecopro, Kumyang & JYP Entertainment

By Brian Freitas


EQD | S&P500 E-Mini (ES) DAILY SHORT, Speculative High-Probability Trade

By Nico Rosti

  • The S&P500 E-Mini (ES) is approaching a DAILY resistance level at a point in time where it could perform a quick reversal – a SHORT trade opportunity.
  • Watch the 4483-4525 price area, today is the 3rd consecutive day up, the reversal could begin in that area, today or tomorrow.
  • The probability for a quick reversal, after 3 days up, in the 4483-4525 price area, is between 67% to 79%, depending on the resistance levels reached.

Industrivärden H1, Discount and Target NAV

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The discount to NAV of C shares is 7.4%, well below the “usual” 15% conglomerate discount, and also below the 5-year average of 10%.
  • C shares are trading at a 0.3% discount to A shares. The reduction in the discount could be driven by acquisitions by the Lundbergs of C shares.
  • My target NAV is SEK 158,144 million, a 18% increase. My target TP for the C shares of Industrivärden, assuming a 10% discount to NAV, is SEK 329.5 (15% higher).

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Daily Brief Macro: 5 Things We Watch – US CPI and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • 5 Things We Watch – US CPI, Japan, Positioning, Fed Borrowing and Oil
  • Brief Inflation Watch: Smack dab at our soft forecast!
  • Spending Watch: Short note on Eurozone savings
  • Sri Lanka’s Stock Market Rallies on an Improving Outlook – June 2023 Update


5 Things We Watch – US CPI, Japan, Positioning, Fed Borrowing and Oil

By Andreas Steno

  • Another Wednesday, another edition of 5 Things We Watch, where we run through 5 topics in global macro that we think are essential in order to determine your allocation and stay on top of the moves we are currently observing in global markets.
  • The big thing today is of course the CPI report, where markets expect headline inflation to drop to 3.1% since last year (mainly due to basis effects).
  • We see an increasing chance that we will get a print BELOW the median survey expectations, which would send both equities and bonds further north.

Brief Inflation Watch: Smack dab at our soft forecast!

By Andreas Steno

  • Moments ago we had June CPI printing almost spot on our forecasts! 3.0% and 4.8% YoY for headline and core respectively.
  • Let’s briefly touch down upon some of the figures.
  • Here is a full overview of the developments in subcomponents of the report.

Spending Watch: Short note on Eurozone savings

By Andreas Steno

  • Spending Watch: Short note on Eurozone savingsTake aways: Just as in the US European households left the pandemic resilient due to savings.
  • Instead of a spending bonanza coming out of the pandemic it seems like 2023 has made Spain, France and Germany continue their trend of saving with Italy being the odd one out Households’ propensity to save is very strong according to our model and taking the illiquidity of households’ assets into account, don’t expect cash to splash around.
  •   Welcome back to another Spending Watch – our consumer-centered article series – where we keep you updated on the state of the consumer and what to expect next.

Sri Lanka’s Stock Market Rallies on an Improving Outlook – June 2023 Update

By Asia Frontier Capital

  • We have added Sri Lanka to our top country picks after our recent visit to the country in June 2023.
  • The country’s macroeconomic position has stabilised, and this is a turnaround story as extremely cheap valuations get re-rated by declining interest rates which we expect will fall significantly as inflation drops.
  • Furthermore, a strong rebound in tourism and remittance earnings will support an improving macroeconomic position and, more importantly, help build foreign exchange reserves.

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Most Read: JSR Corp, Celltrion Inc, Liontown Resources, Cameco Corp, Plus Alpha Consulting, Rakuten Group , Shougang Fushan Resources, Genda Inc, Ecopro Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • JSR (4185 JP) Takeover – Why So Wide? FUD and Flows
  • Celltrion Group Merger Announcement in July & Oversold Post Disappointing Exclusion by OptumRX?
  • S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September
  • Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes
  • Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) – ¥30bn Offer Leads to ¥5bn TOPIX Inclusion
  • July TOPIX FFW Rebal – Bigger Than Expected
  • Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer at HK$2.40
  • Genda IPO – Dreams of Reviving the Domestic Arcade Industry with a Roadmap of Doing so as Well
  • Korea – A Look at Ecopro, Kumyang & JYP Entertainment
  • Ohayo Japan| Fed Job Done-Inflation Over, Stocks Rally; NUGGET: BayCurrent – To Leap from DX to AI ?


JSR (4185 JP) Takeover – Why So Wide? FUD and Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • In the last week of June, Japanese government-affiliated Japan Investment Corp (“JIC”) announced it would take over JSR Corp (4185 JP). A “surprise” but perhaps not totally. 
  • It traded tight, then it traded back out. Then worse. Then worse again. There were good reasons for this. There were perhaps less good reasons too. 
  • FUD and Flows mean that it is likely to continue to trade wide for the near future.

Celltrion Group Merger Announcement in July & Oversold Post Disappointing Exclusion by OptumRX?

By Douglas Kim

  • Invest Chosun recently reported that the three Celltrion Group companies including Celltrion Inc, Celltrion Healthcare, and Celltrion Pharm are close to announcing a merger in July.
  • Although Celltrion was not included this time as suppliers of Humira biosimilar products by OptumRX, there is still a potential for Cigna Express Scripts to include Celltrion’s product this year.
  • We think Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare’s share prices are oversold. 

S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

By Brian Freitas

  • We forecast 22 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.
  • Some of the changes are high probability while others are close to cutoffs. The impact of passive trading will be pretty large on a lot of stocks.
  • Short interest on the potential deletes indicates some pre-positioning but there should still be a fair bit more to do.

Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • Based on prices and turnover from 10 July, there could be one deletion from the index in July. Plus there will be capping and float changes.
  • There are four stocks that meet the inclusion criteria but all are non-pure play companies and the index is already at the limit of 15 non-pure play companies.
  • There will be a large impact on a lot of stocks but the flows are not very large due to the limited assets tracking the index.

Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) – ¥30bn Offer Leads to ¥5bn TOPIX Inclusion

By Travis Lundy

  • Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) listed on TSE Growth at end-June 2021 at ¥2300/share, which was 90x the trailing fiscal year’s earnings. but only about 65x then-current year earnings.
  • The stock popped 20+% on Day 1 to close ¥2803. Last Friday, two years and 13% higher at ¥3185/share, the company announced a Secondary Offering and move to TSE Prime.
  • It’s a big offering. It’s a smaller TOPIX inclusion event. Next spring we’ll see more upweights.  

July TOPIX FFW Rebal – Bigger Than Expected

By Travis Lundy

  • Last Friday, the FFW changes for the TOPIX July Free Float Weight Review were announced. There have also been other recent announcements creating flows on 30 July.
  • Some of these other recent announcements represent a possible change in ad hoc methodology.
  • Total Flow for 30 July is ~$3.3bn a side driven by selling flows (3/4 of the buy flows are reverse funding). $2.1bn of selling is > 3 days ADV.

Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer at HK$2.40

By Arun George

  • Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) has launched a partial offer to acquire a maximum of 125.0m shares (2.47% of outstanding) at HK$2.40 per share, a 17.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The partial offer is conditional on approval by more than 50% of disinterested shares and the shareholder approval of the whitewash waiver. There is no minimum acceptance condition.
  • The 2020 partial offer, which was at a 9.3% premium to the undisturbed price and -17% below the current offer, was overwhelmingly approved. Therefore, the current offer should be approved.  

Genda IPO – Dreams of Reviving the Domestic Arcade Industry with a Roadmap of Doing so as Well

By Clarence Chu

  • Genda Inc (9166 JP) is looking to raise around US$100m in its Japan IPO.
  • Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.
  • As of Apr 23, the firm operated 250 amusement facilities domestically and four facilities in Taiwan. 

Korea – A Look at Ecopro, Kumyang & JYP Entertainment

By Brian Freitas


Ohayo Japan| Fed Job Done-Inflation Over, Stocks Rally; NUGGET: BayCurrent – To Leap from DX to AI ?

By Mark Chadwick

  • OVERSEAS.  Fed job done; Inflation over- Stocks, Bonds Rally, USD falls; China new June new Credit growth accelerates- spurs Resources; Musk launches xAI ; Big Broker Upgrade to Euro Semi
  • JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.5; US CPI print drives yen strength – headwind to stocks; PayPay to list in US ?  GS Ups Sony to Conviction BUY
  • NUGGET. DX Consultant BayCurrent to report on Friday – Generative AI boom the next driver ?

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Daily Brief South Korea: LG Energy Solution, Posco DX, Fadu and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • LG Energy – Quick Thoughts on US$2bn EB Offering by Parent
  • LG Chem: To Issue Exchangeable Bonds Worth US$2 Billion
  • LG Chem Official ₩2.6T EB Issuance (1.6% of LG Energy SO): Details & Trading Considerations
  • POSCO DX Could Switch Its Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by End of 2023
  • Fadu Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Hardly Comparable in Scale to Its Peers


LG Energy – Quick Thoughts on US$2bn EB Offering by Parent

By Sumeet Singh

  • LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) aims to raise around US$2bn via offering 2028 and 2030 puttable USD exchangeable bonds for LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) shares.
  • LG Chem (LGC) had been rumoured to sell down some of its stake in LG Energy Solutions (LGES), hence, this deal will remove the overhang on LGES.
  • In this note, we have a quick look at the deal and provide our thoughts on the structure.

LG Chem: To Issue Exchangeable Bonds Worth US$2 Billion

By Douglas Kim

  • On 11 July, LG Chem announced that it would issue foreign currency exchangeable bonds worth US$2 billion to raise funs to expansion into its rechargeable battery materials. 
  • Investors in LG Energy Solution will likely have a more positive view of this EB issue rather than a block sale of common shares, because of lack of price discount.
  • We believe LG Chem is not done in selling its shares of LGES as we think LG Chem is likely to sell additional 5-10% stake in LGES in 3-5 years. 

LG Chem Official ₩2.6T EB Issuance (1.6% of LG Energy SO): Details & Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • The exchange prices are ₩687,500 and ₩715,000 at a premium of 25-30% to the closing price of LG Energy Solution today.
  • The commencement date for both the 5-year and 7-year bonds’ exchange is August 28th.
  • We should design a strategic setup that targets a band play within the current price range and the low ₩700,000 range.

POSCO DX Could Switch Its Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by End of 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 July, it was reported in the Hankyung Business Daily that Posco DX (022100 KS) could switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI by the end of 2023.
  • One of the key reasons for the change in the listing venue from KOSDAQ to KOSPI is that POSCO Group believes this could lead to improved valuations for the company.
  • We believe the valuations of Posco DX have become too high. Therefore, we have a Negative View of Posco DX at current prices. 

Fadu Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Hardly Comparable in Scale to Its Peers

By Ethan Aw

  • Fadu (440110 KS) is looking to raise up to US$147m in its Korean IPO.
  • Fadu is a South Korean fabless semiconductor maker mainly engaged in flash storage technology innovation. Its core products are Enterprise Solid State Drive (SSD) and Enterprise SSDs.
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about peer comparison.

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Daily Brief Australia: Pioneer Credit, ADX Energy Ltd, Recce Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Pioneer Credit Limited – Debt Driven Recovery
  • ADX Energy Limited (ASE: ADX): Securing funding to prepare for drilling
  • Recce Pharmaceuticals – Gearing up for more R327 studies


Pioneer Credit Limited – Debt Driven Recovery

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Pioneer Credit Limited (ASX:PNC) was founded in 2009 and listed on the ASX in 2014.
  • The company has grown to be one of the leading acquirers and managers of impaired credit in Australia by; maintaining strong customer engagement, an unblemished compliance record with ASIC, consistently good Net Promoter Score from customers and strong relationships with Australia’s largest bank and non-bank lenders.
  • PNC currently purchases debt from 18 different vendor partners with long-term partnership purchasing arrangements in place with Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA). 

ADX Energy Limited (ASE: ADX): Securing funding to prepare for drilling

By Auctus Advisors

  • ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes with a term of 18 months.
  • A$1.0 mm of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 8% per annum with 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.01 per share and 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.014 per share.
  • ADX expects to secure farm-in partners for some of its Upper Austrian drilling projects during the summer.

Recce Pharmaceuticals – Gearing up for more R327 studies

By Edison Investment Research

Recent months have been eventful for Recce Pharmaceuticals, with the company presenting its Q323 operational update and announcing ethics approval in April 2023 to commence Phase I/II clinical trials in healthy volunteers for the intravenous (IV) formulation of its lead broad-spectrum synthetic polymer anti-infective compound, RECCE 327 (R327), using a more rapid infusion rate. The Phase I part of the study will assess faster infusion rates of R327 in c 16 healthy participants across three cohorts, with the first cohort recently having successfully completed a 2,500mg R327 dose. A Phase II efficacy study in patients with uncomplicated or recurrent urinary tract infections (UTIs) is expected to commence in H2 CY23. While several potential value inflection points may arise in the next 12 months, obtaining financing is likely to be a near-term strategic priority given the current cash at hand (A$4.6m at 28 April 2023). We value Recce at A$535.6m, up from A$497.4m previously.


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Daily Brief Singapore: Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • 5 in 5 with Sri Trang Gloves Thailand – Touch Of Life


5 in 5 with Sri Trang Gloves Thailand – Touch Of Life

By Geoff Howie

5 in 5 with Sri Trang Gloves Thailand – Touch Of Life

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Daily Brief India: Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Utkarsh Small Finance Bank IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Dr Lal PathLabs (DLPL IN): Strong Trajectory in Non-COVID Business; Positive Industry Outlook


Utkarsh Small Finance Bank IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Utkarsh Small Finance Bank (1639303D IN) IPO opens for subscription this week.
  • The company currently is fifth largest SFB in India and has demonstrated robust growth in loan portfolio, deposits and improved productivity in the last two years.
  • However, one must be cautious of the write offs worth INR 6 bn done in the last two years which benefitted the NPAs

Dr Lal PathLabs (DLPL IN): Strong Trajectory in Non-COVID Business; Positive Industry Outlook

By Tina Banerjee

  • Dr Lal PathLabs Ltd (DLPL IN) reported 14% and 16%, YoY, revenue growth from its non-COVID business in 4QFY23 and FY23, respectively.
  • The company’s base business is now back to pre-COVID trajectory. Margins are also nearing pre-COVID level. Going ahead, the company has couple of margin levers.
  • Due to lesser competitive threat and uncertainty over COVID, FY24 is lesser challenging than the previous year. The company expects higher revenue growth in FY24 than FY23.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • How Much Can ‘effort Targets’ Speed up the Narrowing of the Gender Pay Gap?


How Much Can ‘effort Targets’ Speed up the Narrowing of the Gender Pay Gap?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since very few companies disclosed challenges, efforts to resolve them and progress, it’s unlikely that ‘gender pay gap’ will be disclosed in convincing manner, with this being the only exception.
  • Japan’s Law for the Promotion of Women’s Activities does not prohibit gender discrimination and is not legally binding on gender equality, so the wage gap is only an effort target.
  • While some proactive companies may accelerate their efforts as disclosures reveal gender pay gap, many are likely to move at modest pace to match the pace of those around them.

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Daily Brief Industrials: LG Energy Solution, Ohba Co Ltd, J&T Global Express, Stanley Black & Decker, Sunrun Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • LG Chem: To Issue Exchangeable Bonds Worth US$2 Billion
  • Initiation – OHBA (9765 JP)
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 3: ‘New Markets’ & X-Border | Our Initial EV Estimate Is US$8.6 Bn
  • Stanley Black & Decker: Are The $200 Million Cost Savings Enough? – Key Drivers
  • Sunrun Inc.: A Game-Changing New Home Solar Offering! – Key Drivers


LG Chem: To Issue Exchangeable Bonds Worth US$2 Billion

By Douglas Kim

  • On 11 July, LG Chem announced that it would issue foreign currency exchangeable bonds worth US$2 billion to raise funs to expansion into its rechargeable battery materials. 
  • Investors in LG Energy Solution will likely have a more positive view of this EB issue rather than a block sale of common shares, because of lack of price discount.
  • We believe LG Chem is not done in selling its shares of LGES as we think LG Chem is likely to sell additional 5-10% stake in LGES in 3-5 years. 

Initiation – OHBA (9765 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • OHBA is a general construction consulting firm boasting a leading market share in the field of urban development, with potential to reap the benefits of the long- term shift to compact and smart cities in rural areas.
  • Since its establishment in 1922, the company has been involved in various stages of public works projects preceding the construction phase, such as urban planning, land readjustment, surveying, and land development, in Japan, where the separation of design and construction is mandatory
  • This commenced with the development of Togoshi New Town (1932), which OHBA undertook in partnership with Mitsui Gomei and Mitsui Trust.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 3: ‘New Markets’ & X-Border | Our Initial EV Estimate Is US$8.6 Bn

By Daniel Hellberg

  • After analyzing J&T’s Chinese and SE Asian operations in previous insights, in this note we turn to the company’s ‘Others’ segment, made up of New Markets and X-Border logistics
  • Compared to China and SE Asia, J&T’s New Markets and X-Border logistics business lines are small (just 11% of 2022 Revenue) but could offer attractive growth in the medium-term
  • We conclude this insight with a preliminary sum-of-parts valuation of J&T as a whole. Based on available information, our initial estimate of J&T’s EV is US$8.6 bn (pre-IPO)

Stanley Black & Decker: Are The $200 Million Cost Savings Enough? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Stanley Black & Decker delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but above-par earnings.
  • Stanley Black & Decker generated free cash flow of $1.1 billion, up 36% year-over-year, and returned $1.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
  • We give Stanley Black & Decker a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

Sunrun Inc.: A Game-Changing New Home Solar Offering! – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sunrun delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues above Wall Street expectations but below-par earnings.
  • Sunrun’s outlook includes guiding growth in solar energy capacity installed and an expected increase in storage attachment rates.
  • This service is designed to optimize the value of solar energy following California’s latest solar policy, the net billing tariff.

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Daily Brief Financials: Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Vista Land & Lifescapes, Square Inc, Pioneer Credit, Shui On Land, Realty Income, Metlife Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Utkarsh Small Finance Bank IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Vista Land & Lifescapes – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics
  • Block: When A Flat Share Price Is A Cause Of Concern
  • Pioneer Credit Limited – Debt Driven Recovery
  • Morning Views Asia: Agung Podomoro Land, Shui On Land
  • Realty Income: A Potential Inflection Point Has Surfaced (Rating Upgrade)
  • MetLife Inc.: Achieving Favorable Underwriting Results with Strict Price Discipline! – Key Drivers


Utkarsh Small Finance Bank IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Utkarsh Small Finance Bank (1639303D IN) IPO opens for subscription this week.
  • The company currently is fifth largest SFB in India and has demonstrated robust growth in loan portfolio, deposits and improved productivity in the last two years.
  • However, one must be cautious of the write offs worth INR 6 bn done in the last two years which benefitted the NPAs

Vista Land & Lifescapes – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

We view Vista Land & Lifescapes (VLL) as “High Risk” on the LARA scale. This is mainly in consideration of the company’s weak financial profile, with high leverage and inadequate Cash/Short-term Debt coverage. Moreover, there are large ongoing related-party transactions. Positively, the company enjoys high margins. It also has a sizeable portfolio of investment properties and long-term securities investments, which supports the balance sheet and provides recurring income.

Our fundamental Credit Bias is “Negative”, considering the company’s track record of negative FCF generation and inadequate liquidity. Moreover, the challenging macroeconomic conditions (with rising costs and interest rates) may impact its margins and financing costs. That said, we believe VLL has good access to funding, which mitigates its debt repayment risk. In addition, we believe the controlling shareholders have a strong incentive to support VLL if needed.

We initiate coverage with a “Hold” recommendation on the VLLPM notes. We deem the yield unattractive. That said, market technicals appear robust, possibly supported by demand from private banks and local investors.


Block: When A Flat Share Price Is A Cause Of Concern

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Block’s share price has remained relatively flat over the past year, but that’s hardly good news.
  • The highly supportive outside environment was not able to propel the share price anywhere near its previous highs.
  • When adjusting for risks, Block remains as one of the worst performers within its peer group, according to analysts.

Pioneer Credit Limited – Debt Driven Recovery

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Pioneer Credit Limited (ASX:PNC) was founded in 2009 and listed on the ASX in 2014.
  • The company has grown to be one of the leading acquirers and managers of impaired credit in Australia by; maintaining strong customer engagement, an unblemished compliance record with ASIC, consistently good Net Promoter Score from customers and strong relationships with Australia’s largest bank and non-bank lenders.
  • PNC currently purchases debt from 18 different vendor partners with long-term partnership purchasing arrangements in place with Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA). 

Morning Views Asia: Agung Podomoro Land, Shui On Land

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Realty Income: A Potential Inflection Point Has Surfaced (Rating Upgrade)

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • A cyclical pivot within the retail space is likely as consumer sentiment in the U.S. and the United Kingdom has started recovering.
  • Receding market risk premiums could lend the REIT the necessary latitude to gain value.
  • Today we turn our attention to Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O), a retail-centric Real Estate Investment Trust (“REIT”) known to many as the “monthly dividend company.”

MetLife Inc.: Achieving Favorable Underwriting Results with Strict Price Discipline! – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MetLife delivered a disappointing set of results as the company was unable to meet the revenue as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • The company achieved substantial revenue growth in the majority of its main businesses and markets, including Group Benefits, Asia, and Latin America.
  • Furthermore, adjusted earnings for Retirement and Income Solutions was $400 million, a decrease from the previous year due to reduced variable investment income.

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