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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 15th): SamsungF&MIns and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 15th): SamsungF&MIns, Samsung SDI, SK Hynix, LG H&H, Kakao


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 15th): SamsungF&MIns, Samsung SDI, SK Hynix, LG H&H, Kakao

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 15th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.3bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in SamsungF&MIns, Samsung SDI, SK Hynix, LG H&H, Kakao.

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Daily Brief India: Vikram Solar and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Vikram Solar IPO – Riding India’s Renewable Energy Wave
  • Vikram Solar IPO: Scaling Domestic Manufacturing Amid Policy Tailwinds and Execution Risks


Vikram Solar IPO – Riding India’s Renewable Energy Wave

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Vikram Solar’s IPO launch with INR 1,500 crore fresh issue underscores its ambition to fund large-scale expansion, boosting installed capacity from 4.5 GW to 20.5 GW by FY27.
  • A robust 10.3 GW order book and Tier-1 global recognition reinforce demand visibility and credibility, positioning the company strongly amid India’s accelerating renewable transition.
  • Execution risks in new facilities, raw material price volatility, and premium valuations temper the growth story, requiring cautious optimism from investors.

Vikram Solar IPO: Scaling Domestic Manufacturing Amid Policy Tailwinds and Execution Risks

By Rahul Jain

  • Funds Raised: The IPO aims to raise ~₹1,500 crore through a mix of fresh issue and OFS, strengthening balance sheet and funding expansion.
  • Future Plans & Objects: Proceeds will be deployed toward cell/module capacity expansion under the PLI scheme, working capital, and debt reduction.
  • The IPO benefits from strong policy and industry tailwinds, but execution challenges, import dependence, and margin volatility remain key risks.

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Daily Brief Private Markets: Goodai Global (Unlisted) – The Most Aggressive M&A Player in the Korean Cosmetics Industry and more

By | Daily Briefs, Private Markets

In today’s briefing:

  • Goodai Global (Unlisted) – The Most Aggressive M&A Player in the Korean Cosmetics Industry


Goodai Global (Unlisted) – The Most Aggressive M&A Player in the Korean Cosmetics Industry

By Douglas Kim

  • Goodai Global is the most aggressive M&A player in the Korean cosmetics industry. It has grown its business mainly through M&As.
  • It has achieved the strongest growth in sales and profits among the major Korean cosmetics companies in the past four years. 
  • In early August 2025, Goodai Global secured 800 billion won, with a pledge to go public within three years. Goodai’s value is estimated to be about 4 trillion won. 

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Daily Brief Utilities: Public Service Enterprise Group Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG): Data Center & Large Load Integration to Impact Energy Demand Forecasts & Infrastructure Planning!


Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG): Data Center & Large Load Integration to Impact Energy Demand Forecasts & Infrastructure Planning!

By Baptista Research

  • Public Service Enterprise Group delivered solid financial and operational performance in the second quarter of 2025, reporting net income of $1.17 per share compared to $0.87 per share in the second quarter of 2024.
  • NonGAAP operating earnings were $0.77 per share, marking a 22% increase from the previous year’s second quarter.
  • This increase was attributed to the implementation of new electric and gas base distribution rates and higher nuclear generating volumes.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Vikram Solar, Nitto Boseki, Karman Holdings, Jacobs Solutions , IHI Corp, Hubbell Inc, Megatronix Inc., Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Dayforce and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Vikram Solar IPO – Riding India’s Renewable Energy Wave
  • Nittobo (3110 JP) – Q1 Solid, Guidance Retained; 2H Execution Key for AI-Led Growth
  • Karman Holdings Inc.(KRMN) Six Month Summary: A Model Debut That Opened the Door for Moonshots
  • Jacobs Solutions: An Advanced Facilities & Water Sector Momentum for Future Revenue Growth & Project Execution!
  • IHI Corporation (7013 JP) – Strong Orders, Weak Profits; Guidance Backloaded on Aero & Disposals
  • Vikram Solar IPO: Scaling Domestic Manufacturing Amid Policy Tailwinds and Execution Risks
  • Hubbell’s $825 Million DMC Power Bet: Could This Acquisition Be A Game Changer?
  • Megatronix Inc. Pre-IPO: Favorable Growth Drivers, But Losses and Concentration Risks Persist
  • Kawasaki Heavy (7012 JP) – Soft Start to FY26, Steep H2 Profit Ask Vs Guidance
  • Thoma Bravo Eyes Dayforce: Can The HR Tech Giant Become Private Equity’s Next Big Bet?


Vikram Solar IPO – Riding India’s Renewable Energy Wave

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Vikram Solar’s IPO launch with INR 1,500 crore fresh issue underscores its ambition to fund large-scale expansion, boosting installed capacity from 4.5 GW to 20.5 GW by FY27.
  • A robust 10.3 GW order book and Tier-1 global recognition reinforce demand visibility and credibility, positioning the company strongly amid India’s accelerating renewable transition.
  • Execution risks in new facilities, raw material price volatility, and premium valuations temper the growth story, requiring cautious optimism from investors.

Nittobo (3110 JP) – Q1 Solid, Guidance Retained; 2H Execution Key for AI-Led Growth

By Rahul Jain

  • Results: Q1 FY26 came in solid, with strength in Electronic Materials offsetting weakness in Insulation.
  • Guidance/Estimates: FY26 guidance was reiterated, and we retain our estimates, with 2H execution key.
  • Valuation: At ~9.5x EV/EBITDA FY26E, Nittobo looks inexpensive, with its monopoly T-glass exposure offering direct leverage to NVIDIA-driven AI/data center demand.

Karman Holdings Inc.(KRMN) Six Month Summary: A Model Debut That Opened the Door for Moonshots

By IPO Boutique

  • The specialist in missile defense and space systems, priced its upsized 23.0 million share offering at $22.00—$2.00 above the marketed range—and opened at $30.00 for a 36.3% gain.
  • The company completed a follow-on offering on July 24th, selling 21 million shares (upsized from 20 million) at $49.00.
  • With a successful follow-on behind it, better-than-expected results, and a robust cash position, Karman has set the benchmark for how to execute a space and defense IPO in 2025.

Jacobs Solutions: An Advanced Facilities & Water Sector Momentum for Future Revenue Growth & Project Execution!

By Baptista Research

  • Jacobs presented strong fiscal third-quarter 2025 results, with both adjusted EPS and revenue targets meeting or surpassing expectations.
  • The quarter was marked by a 25% increase in adjusted EPS to $1.62, buoyed by net revenue growth of 7% and substantial year-over-year margin expansion.
  • The company’s backlog grew 14% to a record $23 billion, and bookings maintained a positive trajectory, positioning Jacobs favorably for upcoming quarters.

IHI Corporation (7013 JP) – Strong Orders, Weak Profits; Guidance Backloaded on Aero & Disposals

By Rahul Jain

  • Q1 FY2026 results showed weak earnings (net profit –38% YoY) but a strong +29% YoY orderbook driven by Aero & Carbon Solutions.
  • Management retained FY2026 guidance, banking on aero aftermarket growth and disposal gains to drive a backloaded recovery.
  • Valuations (~14× EV/EBITDA, 24× P/E) look reasonable versus peers, but execution risks remain if disposals or aero demand underdeliver.

Vikram Solar IPO: Scaling Domestic Manufacturing Amid Policy Tailwinds and Execution Risks

By Rahul Jain

  • Funds Raised: The IPO aims to raise ~₹1,500 crore through a mix of fresh issue and OFS, strengthening balance sheet and funding expansion.
  • Future Plans & Objects: Proceeds will be deployed toward cell/module capacity expansion under the PLI scheme, working capital, and debt reduction.
  • The IPO benefits from strong policy and industry tailwinds, but execution challenges, import dependence, and margin volatility remain key risks.

Hubbell’s $825 Million DMC Power Bet: Could This Acquisition Be A Game Changer?

By Baptista Research

  • Hubbell Incorporated has been making headlines with a string of strong operational performances and strategic portfolio moves.
  • The company recently reported double-digit adjusted EPS growth in Q2 2025, supported by robust demand in grid infrastructure, sustained momentum in electrical solutions, and continued market tailwinds from grid modernization and electrification.
  • Now, Hubbell is set to add another piece to its growth puzzle: the $825 million all-cash acquisition of DMC Power, a provider of high-voltage connector technology for utility substation and transmission markets.

Megatronix Inc. Pre-IPO: Favorable Growth Drivers, But Losses and Concentration Risks Persist

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Megatronix Inc. (1888582D CH)  is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • MI is an innovation-driven automotive technology company. MI focuses on developing and delivering AI-powered integrated domain control solutions that enable automakers to build the next generation of software-defined vehicles.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Kawasaki Heavy (7012 JP) – Soft Start to FY26, Steep H2 Profit Ask Vs Guidance

By Rahul Jain

  • Q1 revenue +10% YoY, with business profit up ~21% YoY on strength in Rolling Stock and ES&M, but headline net profit –72% YoY on FX headwinds and higher NCI drag.
  • Guidance / Revisions: FY26/3 guidance left unchanged, but steep H2 ask implies ~12% revenue and ~29% profit growth vs last year.
  • Outlook & Valuation: Near-term pressured by FX/tariffs, but aero/energy support medium-term growth; trades at ~14x NTM P/E, ~7.6x EV/EBITDA, a discount to peers.

Thoma Bravo Eyes Dayforce: Can The HR Tech Giant Become Private Equity’s Next Big Bet?

By Baptista Research

  • Dayforce reported strong financial performance in its second quarter of 2025, exceeding the high end of guidance across all key metrics.
  • The company observed a 14% growth in recurring revenue, excluding floating currency, on a constant currency basis, and a 420 basis point increase in adjusted EBITDA margin to 31.7%.
  • Free cash flow for the quarter reached $87.1 million, representing 18.7% of revenue, and the year-to-date figure climbed by 500 basis points to $106.6 million.

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Daily Brief ESG: The Main Battlefield for Dissolution of Parent-Subsidiary Listings Will Shift to Standard Market and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • The Main Battlefield for Dissolution of Parent-Subsidiary Listings Will Shift to Standard Market


The Main Battlefield for Dissolution of Parent-Subsidiary Listings Will Shift to Standard Market

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Standard Market is home to companies that face challenges that fail to meet tradable shares ratio, can’t grow market capitalization, or feel it burdensome to meet governance and disclosure requirements.
  • TSE is likely to request companies listed on the Standard Market to disclose improvement measures in response to TSE’s requests, rather than raising the listing maintenance criteria.
  • 262 Standard Market companies are listed subsidiaries. It’s considered that the quickest way to improve the quality of the Standard Market is to delist these companies by eliminating parent-subsidiary listings.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Wanguo International Mining, Intl Flavors & Fragrances, New Zealand Energy, DuPont, Fortescue Metals, Corbion NV, Devon Energy, Suncor Energy, Thungela Resources, Allegiant Gold and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Wanguo Gold Group Placement – Industry Momentum Strong, Stock Run-Up Quite a Bit, but Deal Is Small
  • IFF Expands Global Footprint as Emerging Markets Unlock New Revenue Streams!
  • New Zealand Energy Corp. (TSX-V: NZ): Higher than expected production resumption
  • DuPont’s de Nemours’ New Growth Strategy — Will Healthcare, Water, & Electronics Deliver?
  • Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 20 August (a.s.r. Nederland | Corbion | SBM Offshore)
  • Devon Energy: Gas Marketing & Infrastructure Optimization For A Competitive Edge!
  • Suncor Energy: Initiation of Coverage- A Bold Turnaround With $400M Cuts
  • Thungela Resources Limited (TGA:JSE) – Wednesday, May 21, 2025
  • AUAU: Castle BLM Approval & Bolo Consolidation; Increasing TP


Wanguo Gold Group Placement – Industry Momentum Strong, Stock Run-Up Quite a Bit, but Deal Is Small

By Akshat Shah

  • Wanguo International Mining (3939 HK) is looking to raise upto US$96m via a 2.1% stake sale, while Prominent Investment Holding is looking to pare down another 0.7%, to raise US$32m.
  • The company intends to use the proceeds towards funding the expansion of its Gold Ridge Mine in the Solomon Islands, along with other business development purposes.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

IFF Expands Global Footprint as Emerging Markets Unlock New Revenue Streams!

By Baptista Research

  • The recent financial results for International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (IFF) reveal a balanced but challenging landscape for the company, marked by both growth strides and headwinds across various business segments.
  • In the second quarter of 2025, IFF reported a revenue increase of over 3% year-over-year, reaching just above $2.75 billion.
  • Additionally, the adjusted operating EBITDA grew by approximately 6% to $552 million, with a margin improvement of 50 basis points.

New Zealand Energy Corp. (TSX-V: NZ): Higher than expected production resumption

By Auctus Advisors

  • Monumental Energy reports that Copper Moki-1 and Copper Moki-2 are currently producing a combined 125 bbl/d, with rates trending upwards as pump speeds are gradually increased.
  • Reflecting this momentum, we are revising our gross production estimate for Copper Moki from 125 boe/d to 180 boe/d (~175 bbl/d) for Q4 2025.
  • The Ngaere-1 pipeline was recommissioned in July with initial production from the well exceeding 400 bbl/d (200 bbl/d net to New Zealand Energy’s 50% working interest).

DuPont’s de Nemours’ New Growth Strategy — Will Healthcare, Water, & Electronics Deliver?

By Baptista Research

  • DuPont reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a robust performance marked by organic sales growth and increased profitability.
  • Sales reached $3.3 billion, reflecting a 2% organic growth compared to the previous year, while operating EBITDA increased by 8% to $859 million.
  • This resulted in an EBITDA margin of 26.4%, up 120 basis points year-over-year.

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Timing:Fortescue (FMG AU) is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.
  • Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.
  • Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 20 August (a.s.r. Nederland | Corbion | SBM Offshore)

By The IDEA!

  • In today’s edition: • a.s.r. | very strong performance on all fronts in 1H25 • Corbion | to cooperate with KAS developing natural Astaxanthin • SBM Offshore | Petrobras postpones Campos basin FPSO tender

Devon Energy: Gas Marketing & Infrastructure Optimization For A Competitive Edge!

By Baptista Research

  • Devon Energy Corporation’s latest quarterly results reveal a blend of operational, financial, and strategic activities that highlight both its accomplishments and challenges.
  • The company has surpassed expectations with its production performance, particularly from its asset in the Delaware Basin, while also achieving a 7% reduction in capital spending from guided figures.
  • This effective cost management and operational excellence generated a significant free cash flow of $589 million for the quarter.

Suncor Energy: Initiation of Coverage- A Bold Turnaround With $400M Cuts

By Baptista Research

  • Suncor Energy’s recent earnings call highlights a quarter marked by numerous operational milestones and strategic financial adjustments.
  • Suncor reported record upstream production and refining throughput, achieving the highest second-quarter numbers in company history.
  • Upstream production reached 831,000 barrels per day, surpassing the previous record by 28,000 barrels.

Thungela Resources Limited (TGA:JSE) – Wednesday, May 21, 2025

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Thungela operates in the declining thermal coal sector but maintains a strong balance sheet with 90% net cash relative to market cap.
  • The company offers a 15% dividend yield and 4% from share buybacks, projecting a 20% free cash flow yield under moderate coal prices.
  • The report will analyze the thermal coal industry’s outlook, Thungela’s production capabilities, and the risks associated with the transition to lower-emission energy sources.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


AUAU: Castle BLM Approval & Bolo Consolidation; Increasing TP

By Atrium Research

  • The Castle Project was approved for a multi-year exploration program, clearing the path for 145+ drill pads and large-scale work.
  • Allegiant consolidated full ownership of the Bolo Project by acquiring the remaining 49.99% interest from CopAur Minerals.
  • The Company is expected to close on a $10.5M upsized financing shortly, supporting an 18,000m drill program at Eastside.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Extend Losses as Tech Stumbles and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Extend Losses as Tech Stumbles
  • Japan Morning Connection: Markets Stage a Big Rally off the Lows as Dip Buying Takes Hold
  • Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?
  • The Return of China’s Rare Earths and Fertilizers to India
  • Exencial Industry Tidings


Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Extend Losses as Tech Stumbles

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks declined Wednesday as tech sell-offs continued, with the Nasdaq falling 0.7%
  • Technology stocks led losses with Nvidia down 0.3%, Alphabet declining over 1%, and Micron plummeted nearly 4%
  • Mitsui Metals will boost high-performance copper foil production capacity for AI data centers by 45% to 840 tons monthly by September 2026

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Stage a Big Rally off the Lows as Dip Buying Takes Hold

By Andrew Jackson

  • Enormous intraday moves off the lows for likes of Coreweave and Palantir sets stage for more strength than tape suggests.
  • Analog Devices numbers show much needed strength for Automotive segment. Positive for Renesas, Rohm and Fuji.
  • Estee Lauder numbers disappoint with China and TR sales failing to keep up with market expectations.

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption
  • The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.
  • With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.

The Return of China’s Rare Earths and Fertilizers to India

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • China has officially lifted its export restrictions on critical items fertilizers, rare-earth minerals, and tunnel boring machines, a major reversal of its 2020 post-Galwan trade stance.
  • This development provides immediate relief to key Indian sectors, addressing supply chain bottlenecks in agriculture, high-tech manufacturing, and infrastructure, which were facing critical shortages.
  • With renewed bilateral engagement, India’s critical sectors are set for a boost—but challenges around self-sufficiency and market competition remain.

Exencial Industry Tidings

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Storage batteries industry’s sales grow by 6.1% in June 2025 quarter
  • Media-Print industry’s sales grow by 3.4% in June 2025 quarter
  • Adani Power reports 9.5% fall in conventional electricity generation in July 2025

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Daily Brief ECM: Daiichi Sankyo Placement – US$1.2bn Deal but Momentum Isn’t the Best and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Daiichi Sankyo Placement – US$1.2bn Deal but Momentum Isn’t the Best, Last Deal Didn’t Do Well
  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Placing Shares to Fund R&D Amid Stellar 1H Performance
  • Wanguo Gold Group Placement – Industry Momentum Strong, Stock Run-Up Quite a Bit, but Deal Is Small
  • Ascletis Pharma (1672 HK): Placement Bleak; Commercialization To Take Time; Lack Formidable Pipeline
  • Karman Holdings Inc.(KRMN) Six Month Summary: A Model Debut That Opened the Door for Moonshots
  • Megatronix Inc. Pre-IPO: Favorable Growth Drivers, But Losses and Concentration Risks Persist
  • StubHub IPO Preview: Bread and Games! The Ticketing Decacorn Is Ready To Go Public


Daiichi Sankyo Placement – US$1.2bn Deal but Momentum Isn’t the Best, Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • A group of shareholders are looking to raise up to US$1.2bn via selling most of their stake in Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) .
  • While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind,  the last deal in the stock didn’t do well.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Placing Shares to Fund R&D Amid Stellar 1H Performance

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) is placing 108M shares at the price of HK$36.30 per share. 65% of the proceeds will be used for the R&D of new innovative drugs.
  • Hansoh’s late-stage pipeline seems to be interesting, as its key focus areas being oncology and metabolic diseases, which are among the fast-growing therapeutic areas, with huge addressable patient population.
  • Hansoh has announced better-than-expected 1H25 result, with both revenue and net profit beating consensus. Innovative drugs revenue increased 22% YoY to RMB6B, contributing 82.7% of total revenue.

Wanguo Gold Group Placement – Industry Momentum Strong, Stock Run-Up Quite a Bit, but Deal Is Small

By Akshat Shah

  • Wanguo International Mining (3939 HK) is looking to raise upto US$96m via a 2.1% stake sale, while Prominent Investment Holding is looking to pare down another 0.7%, to raise US$32m.
  • The company intends to use the proceeds towards funding the expansion of its Gold Ridge Mine in the Solomon Islands, along with other business development purposes.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Ascletis Pharma (1672 HK): Placement Bleak; Commercialization To Take Time; Lack Formidable Pipeline

By Tina Banerjee

  • Ascletis Pharma Inc (1672 HK) announced the placement of 52.4M shares for subscription at HK$16.45 per share.
  • The company intends to use 90% of proceeds for further R&D of its drug candidates with respect to both subcutaneously injected peptides and oral peptides, into clinical trials for obesity.
  • The company will take time to cash in fully from the commercialization efforts in near future, given the limited opportunity it has in terms of the drug pipeline basket.

Karman Holdings Inc.(KRMN) Six Month Summary: A Model Debut That Opened the Door for Moonshots

By IPO Boutique

  • The specialist in missile defense and space systems, priced its upsized 23.0 million share offering at $22.00—$2.00 above the marketed range—and opened at $30.00 for a 36.3% gain.
  • The company completed a follow-on offering on July 24th, selling 21 million shares (upsized from 20 million) at $49.00.
  • With a successful follow-on behind it, better-than-expected results, and a robust cash position, Karman has set the benchmark for how to execute a space and defense IPO in 2025.

Megatronix Inc. Pre-IPO: Favorable Growth Drivers, But Losses and Concentration Risks Persist

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Megatronix Inc. (1888582D CH)  is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • MI is an innovation-driven automotive technology company. MI focuses on developing and delivering AI-powered integrated domain control solutions that enable automakers to build the next generation of software-defined vehicles.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

StubHub IPO Preview: Bread and Games! The Ticketing Decacorn Is Ready To Go Public

By Andrei Zakharov

  • StubHub Holdings, a category-leading marketplace for secondary tickets, seeks to raise up to $1B in US IPO. J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs are leading the offering.
  • The company was backed by Madrone Capital Partners, Bessemer Venture Partners, WestCap Management, and PointState Capital, among others.
  • I view StubHub Holdings as a great company and a category winner that is addressing a large and growing TAM with room for growth for years.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Korea’s Dividend Narrative Is Back: Unpacking the DP’s New Bill and Its Backstory and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Dividend Narrative Is Back: Unpacking the DP’s New Bill and Its Backstory
  • US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): (Another) Clean Offer From TPG
  • Hillhouse’s Competing Bid Challenges Smart Share Global’s Management-Led Privatization
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): TPG’s Scheme Offer
  • Abacus Storage (ASK AU): Time To Get Some Exposure?
  • Abacus Storage King (ASK AU): Caution Is Warranted
  • Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook


Korea’s Dividend Narrative Is Back: Unpacking the DP’s New Bill and Its Backstory

By Sanghyun Park

  • A new bill cutting Korea’s dividend tax hit the tape, giving local dividend plays an immediate boost on the news flow.
  • The presidential office is aligned on pushing the dividend tax below the 27.5% CGT floor. The new party leader is also tightly syncing with the Blue House to avoid clashes.
  • The DP’s tax cut move today puts the gov’s dividend narrative back in play with juice. We need setups to ride this theme.

US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC

By Douglas Kim

  • According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and Science Act grants.
  • The US government is exploring ways to take equity stakes in these two Asian tech giants that have been expanding their semiconductor facilities in the United States.
  • If the US government decides to invest $10 billion each in Samsung Electronics and TSMC, they would represent about 3% and 1% of Samsung Electronics and TSMC’s market caps, respectively. 

Lynch Group (LGL AU): (Another) Clean Offer From TPG

By David Blennerhassett

  • Lynch Group (LGL AU), an integrated wholesale floral play, has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with  Hasfarm Holdings and Darwin Aus Bidco – both of which are TPG entities.
  • Hasfarm is offering A$2.245/share, a 28.3% premium to last close. The consideration includes a fully franked dividend of A$0.09/share. It’s April 2021 IPO price was A$3.60/share.
  • The Offer has unanimous board support. 38.5% of the register is supportive. Hasfarm has also entered into a call option for 19.9% of shares out. Done deal.

Hillhouse’s Competing Bid Challenges Smart Share Global’s Management-Led Privatization

By Special Situation Investments

  • Smart Share Global’s management consortium signed a definitive agreement to acquire the company at $1.25/ADS, later challenged by Hillhouse’s $1.77/ADS bid.
  • Hillhouse’s competing bid is 40% higher than management’s offer, with significant shareholder stakes potentially influencing the outcome.
  • EM’s business is unprofitable, with declining power bank rentals, but holds a net cash pile of $1.6/ADS.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): TPG’s Scheme Offer

By Arun George

  • Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with TPG Inc (TPG US) at A$2.245, a 28.3% premium to the undisturbed price of A$1.75 (19 August).
  • Lynch has several substantial shareholders, which poses a vote risk. Encouragingly, four out of eight substantial shareholders are supportive.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. The scheme meeting is estimated to be in November, with payment in December. 

Abacus Storage (ASK AU): Time To Get Some Exposure?

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 7th April, the Ki Corporation/Public Storage (PSA US) consortium announced a NBIO, by way of a Scheme, for shares not held in Abacus Storage (ASK AU) at A$1.47/security.
  • ASK rejected the Offer on the 13th May. The Kirsh-led consortium bumped non-binding terms 14.7% to A$1.65/share on the 14th July, and was granted six weeks of due diligence.
  • DD expires on or around the 1st September. Nathan Kirsh directly/indirectly holds a 59.47% stake in ASK. Currently trading at a 7.5% spread to the indicative terms. 

Abacus Storage King (ASK AU): Caution Is Warranted

By Arun George

  • The six-week due diligence for Ki Corporation and Public Storage (PSA US)‘s A$1.65 offer for Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) ends on 1 September.
  • Some readers have asked if ASK is attractive at the current 7.5% gross spread. I think caution is warranted as there is a medium-to-high probability of no deal.
  • The probability of a binding scheme is low, as NSR will block it, and the Board requires a bump to recommend it. A takeover offer is not a credible alternative. 

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Timing:Fortescue (FMG AU) is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.
  • Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.
  • Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.

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