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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600


Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600

By Joe Jasper

  • In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside. Also said one or two 8-10% pullbacks in a given year on the SPX is common
  • And said to not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers
  • The SPX had a -10.3% peak-to-trough decline, with support showing up at 5500; close enough to our 10% pullback and 5600 level. This has been a stellar buy area

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Trump Tariffs Rattle Markets and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Trump Tariffs Rattle Markets
  • Lab Grown Diamonds: What Indian Players Are Saying?(Part-2)
  • Will India’s Anti-Dumping Duty Impact the PVC Industry Players In India?
  • India’s 12% Safeguard Duty: A Tailwind for Domestic Steelmakers or a Risk to Downstream Industries?
  • #126 India Insight: India Plans US Tariff Cuts to Protect $66B, Meesho IPO, Temasek’s Haldiram Stake


Ohayo Japan | Trump Tariffs Rattle Markets

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks fell sharply as Trump’s 25% auto tariff plan targets all countries, aiming for 100 billion yen in revenue, sinking GM (-10%) & Ford (-4.5%), TM (-1.8%)
  • Japan’s Nikkei rose 246 yen to 38,027, buoyed by tech gains like Nintendo (+5.3%), despite auto sector lag, with Goldwin lifting profit forecasts to 21 billion yen.
  • Nissan Motor, led by President-elect Iván Espinosa, aims to hasten management by cutting new vehicle development from 55 to 30 months

Lab Grown Diamonds: What Indian Players Are Saying?(Part-2)

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Indian jewellery players like Goldiam International (GLDM IN), Vaibhav Global (VGM IN), Senco Gold (SENCO IN) are scaling up their LGD businesses, citing strong demand, better margins, and global acceptance.
  • LGDs offer 40–45% margins vs. 25–30% for natural diamonds, and are driving revenue growth across these companies, signaling a shift in consumer preferences towards affordability, fashion, and ethical sourcing.
  • LGDs are no longer a niche trend, they are becoming a mainstream, margin-accretive category. Early movers with direct-to-consumer reach and global alliances are poised to lead this structural shift.

Will India’s Anti-Dumping Duty Impact the PVC Industry Players In India?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India has imposed anti-dumping duties of up to USD 707/tonne on PVC paste resin imports from six countries, including China and Korea, effective March 21, 2025.  
  • The move follows complaints from domestic producers citing dumping, margin pressure, and a surge in substandard resin imports disrupting market stability and quality standards.  
  • The duty will likely improve profitability for Indian manufacturers, stabilize resin prices, and reduce unfair competition, though it may raise costs for import-dependent sectors in the short term.

India’s 12% Safeguard Duty: A Tailwind for Domestic Steelmakers or a Risk to Downstream Industries?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India proposes a 12% safeguard duty on key flat steel imports for 200 days, targeting low-cost shipments from FTA partners like Japan and South Korea.
  • The move supports domestic steelmakers like JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN) and Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) by restoring pricing power, creating room for further price hikes of INR 1,000–1,500/Ton.
  • Near-Term profitability looks up for flat-steel players, but risks from WTO pushback, MSME cost pressures, and the policy’s temporary nature warrant cautious optimism.

#126 India Insight: India Plans US Tariff Cuts to Protect $66B, Meesho IPO, Temasek’s Haldiram Stake

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India plans to cut tariffs on US imports to protect $66B in exports, negotiating trade deal amid Trump’s tariff threat.
  • Meesho (1546271D IN) plans $1 Bn IPO at $10B valuation, picking top bankers; aiming for Diwali 2025 listing, surpassing Flipkart.
  • Temasek Holdings Pte Ltd (TMSK SP) seeks CCI approval to acquire 10% stake in Haldiram Snacks at $10B valuation, aiming to fuel expansion.

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Daily Brief ECM: Ecopro Materials: Announces A Capital Raise Worth 389 Billion Won and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecopro Materials: Announces A Capital Raise Worth 389 Billion Won
  • Gigabyte GDR Early Look – Benefitting from the AI Server Wave, Further Scale-Up Underway
  • DN Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights
  • EToro Group Ltd (ETOR): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a Crypto Focused Trading Platform
  • Veeda Clinical Research Pre-IPO – Positioned for Growth Amid Financial Risks


Ecopro Materials: Announces A Capital Raise Worth 389 Billion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • EcoPro Materials announced a capital raise worth 389 billion won. The company plans to issue 5.12 million new shares, representing 7.3% of its current outstanding shares (69.74 million).
  • This capital raise is in the form of redeemable convertible preferred shares (RCPS). Conversion price of this RCPS is 75,974 won which is 9.9% higher than current price. 
  • Ecopro Materials’ share price is down 27% from 27 February 2025. We continue to remain negative on Ecopro Materials. 

Gigabyte GDR Early Look – Benefitting from the AI Server Wave, Further Scale-Up Underway

By Akshat Shah

  • Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) is looking to raise up to US$395m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
  • On 14th Mar 2025, Gigabyte announced that it received its board’s approval to sell upto 50m common shares via a GDR offering. The proceeds will be used for business development.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.

DN Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


EToro Group Ltd (ETOR): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a Crypto Focused Trading Platform

By IPO Boutique

  • As of December 31, 2024, they had approximately 3.5 million Funded Accounts across their global footprint of 75 countries.
  • As of December 31, 2024, the Company had $113 million of cryptoassets presented as current assets, and $5,775 million cryptoassets held on behalf of its users in custody.
  • In 2024, eToro generated $12.6bn of revenue, of which $12.1bn was attributable to crypto assets and the remainder from equities, commodities and currencies. 

Veeda Clinical Research Pre-IPO – Positioned for Growth Amid Financial Risks

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Veeda Clinical Research Ltd (3340714Z IN) (VCRL) is planning to raise about US$115m in its upcoming India IPO. 
  • VCRL is a global contract research organization offering comprehensive drug development services, including non-clinical, pre-clinical, clinical trials, and studies across diverse drug types like generics, biosimilars, and medical devices.
  • The company operates in key global markets, including North America, Europe, and Asia, with a presence in India.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Preconditional Cash/Scrip Offer and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Preconditional Cash/Scrip Offer
  • Shinko Electric (6967) – Chicken and Logistics
  • Changes to Hang Seng Methodology – Early Doors but $3bn a Side Across Major Indices
  • Korea Exchange Highlights 38 Companies That Could Be Delisted in 2025
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK) Privatization: Details & Index Implications
  • Norwegian Billionaire Øystein Spetalen’s Mandatory Bid for SAGA Pure
  • A Power Move: Naturgy Sparks a Strategic Rebalance
  • Taking Stock Off the Market: Alba’s Final Call


ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Preconditional Cash/Scrip Offer

By Arun George

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation from ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH)/ENN-NG comprising HK$24.50 cash per share + 2.9427 ENN-NG H Shares per ENN share.
  • The appraised offer value is HK$80.00 (HK$82.35, including the 2024 dividend), which is a tad optimistic. My calculations suggest a realistic offer value range of HK$71.47-76.32. 
  • The offer is final. The precondition satisfaction is low-risk. A high AGM minority participation is a risk, but the scheme vote should pass as the offer terms are reasonable.   

Shinko Electric (6967) – Chicken and Logistics

By Travis Lundy

  • The Tender Offer closed end of last week. The bidder JICC-04 got 59.281mm shares. Most of what was left over – perhaps even more than 100%, was passive-owned.
  • More than 100%? How does that work? It works because of how the logistics goes. 
  • And right now, the reason why the stock is trading well through terms is a matter of Chicken and Logistics.

Changes to Hang Seng Methodology – Early Doors but $3bn a Side Across Major Indices

By Travis Lundy

  • Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA put out June rebal predictions on HSCEI, HSTECH, and Hang Seng Internet & Infotech on 17-Mar-25 (and 7 mainland indices 19-21 March) and…
  • …the Quiddity team put out its regular predictions of all 7 major HS indices and 11 mainland indices, but on 21-March after the close, the Hang Seng team updated methodology.
  • They changed the way float is calculated for Secondary Listings in Hang Seng indices. It affects only a few names, but this adds US$2.7bn of buying to three names.

Korea Exchange Highlights 38 Companies That Could Be Delisted in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • On 26 March, Korea Exchange provided a list of 38 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are subject to delisting this year.
  • These 38 companies have a combined market cap of 3.4 trillion won.
  • Many of these companies have received ‘refusals of opinion’ from auditors in the audit report. Some of them also face charges of embezzlement and breach of trust. 

ENN Energy (2688 HK) Privatization: Details & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas


Norwegian Billionaire Øystein Spetalen’s Mandatory Bid for SAGA Pure

By Special Situation Investments

  • Øystein Spetalen’s 50% ownership in SAGA Pure triggers a mandatory bid, with shares trading at 1.31 NOK.
  • SAGA’s NAV is 1.79-1.87 NOK/share, with potential value from SDSD acquisition, contrasting with the mandatory bid price.
  • SAGA’s shareholder base is mostly retail, unlike SDSD, affecting potential bid strategies and investor expectations.

A Power Move: Naturgy Sparks a Strategic Rebalance

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Naturgy’s 10% self-tender offer at €26.50/share offers a 3.5% premium and ~40.6% annualized return, pending CNMV approval with settlement likely by mid-May 2025.
  • Strategic negotiations may see Taqa acquire up to 29.9% from exiting funds GIP and CVC, rebalancing Naturgy’s ownership toward industrial partners and reducing geopolitical friction.
  • With treasury shares reissued, free float could rise to 21%, boosting ADTV above €12 million and enhancing index eligibility, while dividend payouts remain attractive despite temporary uplift being unsustainable.

Taking Stock Off the Market: Alba’s Final Call

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Corporación Financiera Alba’s delisting offer runs from today until April 24, 2025, offering €84.20 per share with a 0.60% gross spread and no intention to implement a squeeze-out.
  • With shares trading at €83.70 and low daily liquidity (~€1 million), the offer presents a 6.05% annualized return for investors tendering into the deal by the estimated May 2 settlement.
  • Despite a 15.6% NAV discount, arbitrage through shorting Alba’s listed assets is complex and likely only feasible for institutional investors with efficient execution and access to shorting facilities.

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Daily Brief Credit: Sunny Optical – Revenue and Profitability Rebound and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Sunny Optical – Revenue and Profitability Rebound
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Sunny Optical – Revenue and Profitability Rebound

By Trung Nguyen

  • Sunny Optical has released solid Q4/24 numbers, with revenue and profitability rebounding on the back of strong demand in the company’s core markets.
  • The good performance was in line with expectations, given that Sunny had released a positive profit alert and announced a recovery in shipment volumes in February 2025.
  • Cash flows were strong, with material FCF.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In the US, the March Conference Board consumer confidence index fell to a four-year low of 92.9 (94.0 e / 100.1 revised p).
  • Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist of Global Indicators at The Conference Board stated: “Consumer confidence declined for a fourth consecutive month in March, falling below the relatively narrow range that had prevailed since 2022.
  • Of the Index’s five components, only consumers’ assessment of present labour market conditions improved, albeit slightly.” Separately, February new home sales rose 1.8% m-o-m (3.5% e / -6.9% revised p) to an annualised 676 k units, rebounding slightly from the decline in January amid better weather and generous sales incentives.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals
  • Episode 110: NVIDIA’s Identity Crisis
  • Hyundai Motor Group – $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]
  • Is PDD the Silent Giant That Could Crush Alibaba? Here’s What the Data Says!
  • BYD’s 5-Minute Charge to Global EV Supremacy: Is Tesla Already Left Behind?
  • Altria’s Secret Weapon: How This Tobacco Giant Keeps Winning Despite Shrinking Cigarette Sales!
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Foxconn considers Mitsubishi partnership, ASEAN/Oceania expansion.
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK): 2024 Revenue Meets Guidance; Poised for Accelerated Growth in 2025
  • Micron Technology: China’s Ban, AI Boom, and a Secret Weapon: What’s Really Powering Them Forward?


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The proposed privatisation price for ENN Energy (2688 HK) appears reasonable, which is estimated to be 1.73x P/B and 11.5x PER on a 12-month forward basis. 
  • The valuations are both at a good premium over the average since 2024. ENN Energy is also being put at the top of the sector’s PER range. 
  • Scheme shareholders will hold new H-shares of ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), which historically has a more volatile earnings record, but its A-share has been doing well. 

Episode 110: NVIDIA’s Identity Crisis

By The Circuit

  • 25,000 people attended Nvidia sessions, making it one of the busiest single company shows
  • Initial disappointment at keynote, followed by renewed enthusiasm after investor Q&A and show attendance
  • Disillusionment with lack of new AI advancements and repeated demos at Nvidia booth, feeling like a cult atmosphere

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Hyundai Motor Group – $21 Billion Investment in the US [Where Will the Money Come From?]

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past week, one of the biggest stories in Korea has been the Hyundai Motor Group’s mega $21 billion investment in the United States.
  • There is a real concern that Hyundai Motor may need to raise external capital to fund its US investments/share buybacks/dividends in 2027/2028.
  • Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) remains one of the most undervalued global auto companies. It is trading at P/E of 4.7x in 2025 and 4.5x in 20026. 

Is PDD the Silent Giant That Could Crush Alibaba? Here’s What the Data Says!

By Baptista Research

  • PDD Holdings, Inc. presented its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year of 2024, showcasing a strategy focused on high-quality development and ecosystem advancement.
  • The company reported stable financial performance in the last quarter, closing with a revenue increase to RMB 110.6 billion, a 24% year-over year gain.
  • For the entire year, revenues climbed 59% to a total of RMB 393.8 billion, marking a moderation from previous growth rates.

BYD’s 5-Minute Charge to Global EV Supremacy: Is Tesla Already Left Behind?

By Baptista Research

  • Chinese EV giant BYD has kicked off 2025 with an aggressive push that’s shaking up the global electric vehicle landscape.
  • From launching EVs that can charge in just five minutes to a soaring share price and record sales, BYD is not just catching up with Tesla — it’s pulling ahead on nearly every front.
  • In recent weeks, BYD’s stock surged to a record high following the announcement of its ultra-fast-charging Super e-Platform.

Altria’s Secret Weapon: How This Tobacco Giant Keeps Winning Despite Shrinking Cigarette Sales!

By Baptista Research

  • Altria Group reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings with several noteworthy developments.
  • Financially, the company delivered strong results, primarily supported by its core tobacco operations.
  • Altria grew its adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) by 3.4% for the full year, maintaining a trend of returning substantial capital to shareholders through $10.2 billion in dividends and share repurchases.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • While Shenzhen International (152 HK)‘s FY24 result is at the low end of the positive profit alert range, its 2H24 net profit has still grown by 22.7%. 
  • Better outlook at Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK) and margin improvement for logistics hubs will drive FY25. Upside will come from further gains at South China Logistics Park. 
  • SZI’s valuations of 5.9x PER, 8.4% yield, and 0.5x P/B for FY25F are attractive. As more deals are sealed to realise its asset value, its P/B discount will narrow.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Mar-2025): Foxconn considers Mitsubishi partnership, ASEAN/Oceania expansion.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Foxconn is exploring a potential partnership with Mitsubishi Motors to expand into markets in ASEAN and Oceania regions.
  • Experts from Taiwan and the US are discussing cutting-edge advancements in AI at the AI Expo 2025.
  • Foxconn is revolutionizing traditional manufacturing methods with their innovative approach, as highlighted in a SEMI Country excerpt.

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK): 2024 Revenue Meets Guidance; Poised for Accelerated Growth in 2025

By Tina Banerjee

  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) has reported 2024 result, with revenue growing 10% YoY to RMB19B and net profit increasing 11% YoY to RMB4B. Revenue from non-COVID business increased 13% YoY.
  • Total backlog reached $18.5B as of December 31, 2024, including $10.5B service backlog and $8.0B upcoming potential milestone fees, while the total backlog within three years stood at $3.7B.
  • Wuxi Biologics guided for 12–15% YoY revenue growth for 2025. Revenue from continuing operation (excluding revenue from Ireland Vaccines) is expected to grow 17–20% YoY in 2025.

Micron Technology: China’s Ban, AI Boom, and a Secret Weapon: What’s Really Powering Them Forward?

By Baptista Research

  • Micron Technology’s recent performance has sparked mixed reactions across Wall Street, as investors try to reconcile strong product innovation with weak near-term financial guidance.
  • The company’s fiscal first-quarter results beat Wall Street expectations, with adjusted earnings of $1.79 per share, slightly above the consensus of $1.76.
  • Revenue stood at $8.7 billion, in line with projections.

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Daily Brief Macro: UK: Low CPI As Seasonal Sales Extend and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Low CPI As Seasonal Sales Extend
  • UK Fiscal Smoke Over Treading Water
  • UK Breaks Ground On First Tire To Fuel Facility Amid ELT Export Row
  • Steno Signals #190 – Is Europe and China still the havens in macro? Not so fast..
  • Asian Equities: India – What Would FIIs and DIIs Buy and Sell?
  • The Drill: Approaching the End of the Tariff and Peace Trades?
  • CX Daily: Taming the Wild West of China’s Supply Chain Finance
  • US Inflation & Recessions Concerns Overdone


UK: Low CPI As Seasonal Sales Extend

By Phil Rush

  • UK CPI inflation slowed by 15bps to 2.84%, rounding slightly under expectations. The services rate was surprisingly resilient, and January’s upside news broadly persisted.
  • Downside news from clothing and core goods prices occurred because January sales extended broadly and unusually. Postponed Spring lines should drive a March rebound.
  • Headline inflation outcomes are benign enough not to threaten the BoE’s likely cut in May, but ongoing resilience still makes that the final move in our forecast.

UK Fiscal Smoke Over Treading Water

By Phil Rush

  • Attempts to recreate fiscal headroom after slippage rely on implausible and optimistic assumptions. Further tax rises and delayed prudence are likely in the Autumn budget.
  • Replacing aid resources with capital defence spending helps loosen fiscal policy inside the budgetary rules. Policy changes are relatively neutral over the next few years.
  • Without corrective action, the gross financing requirement path is £18bn a year higher than in the Autumn, and almost £50bn higher than last Spring, burdening gilt issuance.

UK Breaks Ground On First Tire To Fuel Facility Amid ELT Export Row

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • US$127 million tire recycling plant coming up in Sunderland
  • TRA calls for immediate action to end the T8 exemption
  • ATMA’s stress to rein in ELT imports comes as wakeup call for UK

Steno Signals #190 – Is Europe and China still the havens in macro? Not so fast..

By Andreas Steno

  • Greetings from Copenhagen, and welcome back to our weekly editorial on everything macro and markets.
  • The tariff headlines are back in a more digestive fashion as the broad tariff scare seen over the past couple of weeks have been more or less cooled down by US officials late last week and over the weekend, which is very benign news for a market who feared that tariffs would hit right around everyone around the globe, which is the reason why businesses, households and consumers have changed behaviour and delivered a US growth scare over the past month – and it will likely continue going into April as trends currently persist rather than turn.
  • The tariff campaign will hence be a lot more targeted than previously communicated, which is probably what most people expected initially (until Trump went rogue), with the reciprocal part of the tariffs being a race to the bottom and vice versa – which evidently looks to be the case now.

Asian Equities: India – What Would FIIs and DIIs Buy and Sell?

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • We analyze FIIs’ and DIIs’ buying/selling trend across sectors and their sector-wise stances relative to benchmarks to assess which sectors they would buy or sell in the near term.
  • FIIs and DIIs have bought consumer discretionary and healthcare secularly. They recently started buying financials and IT, after prolonged selling.  They’ve also secularly bought industrials, barring the last two quarters.
  • We conclude that both FIIs and DIIs shall continue to buy financials, industrials and consumer discretionary. They would also buy healthcare and sell materials, energy, IT and consumer staples.

The Drill: Approaching the End of the Tariff and Peace Trades?

By Mikkel Rosenvold

  • Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything geopolitics- and commodities! We are approaching the “Liberation Day” on Apr 2 where we will (hopefully) get more clarity around the tariffs plans from Trump.
  • We have recently seen a semi-u-turn from the Trump administration on the severity and depth of the reciprocal tariffs announced next week, and the base-case is a softer stance with some negotiated exemptions for big partners.
  • This is also exactly what paves the way for a very decent comeback in US risk assets now, something that we expect to continue into April when the softened USD and slightly lower USD bond yields start feeding through via easier financial conditions.

CX Daily: Taming the Wild West of China’s Supply Chain Finance

By Caixin Global

  • SCF /In Depth: Taming the Wild West of China’s supply chain finance
  • EVs /Chinese EV maker Neta on brink of collapse as $600 million funding round falls through
  • BYD tops Tesla: Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) giant BYD Co. Ltd. is on a roll, overtaking U.S. rival Tesla Inc. with revenue of 777 billion yuan ($107 billion) in 2024. 

US Inflation & Recessions Concerns Overdone

By Sharmila Whelan

  • We are overweight US equities and forecast one 25bp rate cut in 2025. Bias is towards growth and momentum stocks – industrials, tech hardware, banks and traditional energy.
  • US inflation is picking up but won’t spike upwards, even with US import tariffs  rates rising.
  • While recent macro data have been weak, the business cycle is intact and talk of a recession overblown. The on-going stock market correct is an opportunity to buy on dip.

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Daily Brief Utilities: ENN Energy, Xcel Energy Inc, Naturgy Energy Group SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Preconditional Cash/Scrip Offer
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK) Privatization: Details & Index Implications
  • Xcel Energy – a bright spark to power growth
  • A Power Move: Naturgy Sparks a Strategic Rebalance


ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Preconditional Cash/Scrip Offer

By Arun George

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation from ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH)/ENN-NG comprising HK$24.50 cash per share + 2.9427 ENN-NG H Shares per ENN share.
  • The appraised offer value is HK$80.00 (HK$82.35, including the 2024 dividend), which is a tad optimistic. My calculations suggest a realistic offer value range of HK$71.47-76.32. 
  • The offer is final. The precondition satisfaction is low-risk. A high AGM minority participation is a risk, but the scheme vote should pass as the offer terms are reasonable.   

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Initial View on the Privatisation – Valuation and Fundamentals

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The proposed privatisation price for ENN Energy (2688 HK) appears reasonable, which is estimated to be 1.73x P/B and 11.5x PER on a 12-month forward basis. 
  • The valuations are both at a good premium over the average since 2024. ENN Energy is also being put at the top of the sector’s PER range. 
  • Scheme shareholders will hold new H-shares of ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), which historically has a more volatile earnings record, but its A-share has been doing well. 

ENN Energy (2688 HK) Privatization: Details & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas


Xcel Energy – a bright spark to power growth

By MAGELLAN – IN THE KNOW

  • Brian Van Abel, CFO of Xcel Energy, discusses the opportunities presented by power hungry data centers
  • Xcel Energy is a large fully regulated electric and gas utility serving eight states with a market cap of approximately $40 billion
  • Xcel Energy has a track record of delivering on earnings guidance and is committed to carbon reduction goals, with a 2050 carbon-free goal and plans to reduce carbon by more than 80% by 2030

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


A Power Move: Naturgy Sparks a Strategic Rebalance

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Naturgy’s 10% self-tender offer at €26.50/share offers a 3.5% premium and ~40.6% annualized return, pending CNMV approval with settlement likely by mid-May 2025.
  • Strategic negotiations may see Taqa acquire up to 29.9% from exiting funds GIP and CVC, rebalancing Naturgy’s ownership toward industrial partners and reducing geopolitical friction.
  • With treasury shares reissued, free float could rise to 21%, boosting ADTV above €12 million and enhancing index eligibility, while dividend payouts remain attractive despite temporary uplift being unsustainable.

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Daily Brief Industrials: DN Solutions, Shenzhen International, Itochu Corp, FedEx Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • DN Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised
  • Itochu the Fashion Giant Doubles Down on Brand Business
  • FedEx’s $600 Million Secret: Cost Cuts, Controversy, and a Game-Changing Split!


DN Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Delivered as Promised

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • While Shenzhen International (152 HK)‘s FY24 result is at the low end of the positive profit alert range, its 2H24 net profit has still grown by 22.7%. 
  • Better outlook at Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK) and margin improvement for logistics hubs will drive FY25. Upside will come from further gains at South China Logistics Park. 
  • SZI’s valuations of 5.9x PER, 8.4% yield, and 0.5x P/B for FY25F are attractive. As more deals are sealed to realise its asset value, its P/B discount will narrow.

Itochu the Fashion Giant Doubles Down on Brand Business

By Michael Causton

  • Warren Buffett is investing more in Japan’s trading companies for a variety of reasons but Itochu stands alone in its dominance of Japan’s fashion sector.
  • Itochu continues to emphasise investment in consumer brands, particularly fashion and sports, but will now adjust its decades-old playbook, introducing more direct oversight of subsidiaries and affiliates.
  • This will include a big new push to turn Vivienne Westwood into a luxury brand, upgrading Paul Smith and bringing Descente Ltd (8114 JP) in-house

FedEx’s $600 Million Secret: Cost Cuts, Controversy, and a Game-Changing Split!

By Baptista Research

  • FedEx Corporation’s third-quarter fiscal 2025 performance showcases a balanced mix of operational successes and challenges.
  • The results highlight a 2% year-over-year revenue increase, primarily attributed to operational efficiency initiatives, notably the DRIVE savings program, which achieved $600 million in savings for the quarter.
  • Driven by these efficiencies, the company saw a 12% increase in adjusted operating income and a 17% rise in adjusted EPS compared to the previous year.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: EcoPro Materials, Kum Yang , SGX Rubber Future TSR20, MMG, Apl Apollo Tubes, Forum Energy Technologies , Valero Energy, Chevron Corp, Green Plains, Pharos Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecopro Materials: Announces A Capital Raise Worth 389 Billion Won
  • Korea Exchange Highlights 38 Companies That Could Be Delisted in 2025
  • UK Breaks Ground On First Tire To Fuel Facility Amid ELT Export Row
  • Tactical Trading -Revisiting MMG as Copper and Other Base Metals Perk Up
  • APL Apollo Tubes (APAT IN) Stepping up the Gas on Capacity Expansions
  • Forum Energy Technologies, Inc: Confident Free Cash Flow Outlook
  • Valero Energy Corporation: How The St. Charles FCC Project Can Enhance Its Refining Efficiency!
  • Chevron Corporation: Permian Basin Growth, Cash Flow Optimization & Other Major Drivers!
  • Green Plains, Inc. – Early Mover with Ethanol Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS)…
  • Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Return to production growth in Vietnam


Ecopro Materials: Announces A Capital Raise Worth 389 Billion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • EcoPro Materials announced a capital raise worth 389 billion won. The company plans to issue 5.12 million new shares, representing 7.3% of its current outstanding shares (69.74 million).
  • This capital raise is in the form of redeemable convertible preferred shares (RCPS). Conversion price of this RCPS is 75,974 won which is 9.9% higher than current price. 
  • Ecopro Materials’ share price is down 27% from 27 February 2025. We continue to remain negative on Ecopro Materials. 

Korea Exchange Highlights 38 Companies That Could Be Delisted in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • On 26 March, Korea Exchange provided a list of 38 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are subject to delisting this year.
  • These 38 companies have a combined market cap of 3.4 trillion won.
  • Many of these companies have received ‘refusals of opinion’ from auditors in the audit report. Some of them also face charges of embezzlement and breach of trust. 

UK Breaks Ground On First Tire To Fuel Facility Amid ELT Export Row

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • US$127 million tire recycling plant coming up in Sunderland
  • TRA calls for immediate action to end the T8 exemption
  • ATMA’s stress to rein in ELT imports comes as wakeup call for UK

Tactical Trading -Revisiting MMG as Copper and Other Base Metals Perk Up

By Rikki Malik

  • Copper and other base metals have been rising all year
  • The Trump tariff bump is not the only reason for this
  • Much less speculative positioning in futures vs previous peak meaning real world demand is the driver

APL Apollo Tubes (APAT IN) Stepping up the Gas on Capacity Expansions

By Rahul Jain

  • APL Apollo has raised its capex guidance to accelerate growth in high-margin, value-added products (VAP) and new segments like heavy structural tubes, pre-engineered buildings, and solar structures.
  • Margins have recovered from Q2 lows but remain subdued due to weak steel prices. Sales volumes have grown at an 18% CAGR.
  • Trading at 65x TTM P/E vs. a 5-year average of 50x. A strong execution track record and RoCE >25% provide confidence in growth execution.

Forum Energy Technologies, Inc: Confident Free Cash Flow Outlook

By Water Tower Research

  • FET’s confident free cash flow outlook in FY25 positions the company to consider returning cash to shareholders through an existing share repurchase authorization in 2025.
  • In December 2024, FET’s Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $75 million.
  • The senior secured bonds (due 2029) issued in November 2024 allow repurchases after FET meets a defined leverage test. 

Valero Energy Corporation: How The St. Charles FCC Project Can Enhance Its Refining Efficiency!

By Baptista Research

  • Valero Energy Corporation recently disclosed its financial performance for the third quarter of 2024.
  • The earnings report highlighted various aspects of the company’s operational and financial status, presenting a mixed set of results impacted by significant maintenance activities and a challenging margin environment.
  • During the quarter, Valero’s refineries operated at 90% of their throughput capacity, in line with previous guidance, despite a period of heavy maintenance.

Chevron Corporation: Permian Basin Growth, Cash Flow Optimization & Other Major Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • Chevron Corporation’s latest earnings results reflect a mix of robust performance and challenges, characteristic of the dynamics within the energy sector.
  • The company reported fourth-quarter earnings of $3.2 billion, or $1.84 per share, with adjusted earnings at $3.6 billion, or $2.06 per share.
  • The quarter was impacted by one-time charges amounting to $1.1 billion related to restructuring and impairments, highlighting areas of financial strain amidst generally positive performance metrics.

Green Plains, Inc. – Early Mover with Ethanol Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS)…

By Water Tower Research

  • Green Plains, Inc. (GPRE) is a biorefining company that is evolving from a commodity-processing business into a value-added agricultural firm.
  • GPRE converts renewable crops like corn into low-carbon, sustainable ingredients through fermentation and patented ag technologies.
  • The company announced a shift from innovation to commercialization of key technologies, focusing on growth opportunities in low-carbon and sustainable products. GPRE is an early mover in ethanol CCS with its ‘Advantage Nebraska’ strategy.

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Return to production growth in Vietnam

By Auctus Advisors

  • FY24 production and YE24 net cash have already been reported.
  • The FY25 production guidance of 5.0-6.2 mboe/d is unchanged.
  • However the highlight of the press release is the upcoming programme in Vietnam.

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