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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: SK Hynix and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game


Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung’s playing its old game—sacrificing margins to shake rivals—aiming to disrupt DRAM and win HBM4, assuming it clears NVIDIA’s HBM3E qual test soon.
  • Local intel says no official word from Samsung yet, but the street thinks qual’s done—hence Samsung’s bold HBM3E tone and oversupply warning on the call.
  • There’s urgency—Samsung’s undercutting Hynix now to stop them from reinvesting cash into DRAM fab expansion, a playbook Samsung once dominated with.

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Daily Brief United States: Qualcomm Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • [Earnings Review] Qualcomm Rides Android Wave, But Apple Exit and Licensing Strains Linger


[Earnings Review] Qualcomm Rides Android Wave, But Apple Exit and Licensing Strains Linger

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Handset and edge networking demand powered a strong QCT beat, but licensing growth underwhelmed, and margins declined sequentially.
  • Apple modem revenues will fade by 2026, and the management conspicuously avoided commentary on China auto; both adding to uncertainty.
  • Snapdragon X’s monetisation has been deferred,  while XR design momentum was a rare bright spot beyond mobile.

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Daily Brief China: HKBN Ltd, CK Hutchison Holdings, WuXi AppTec and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HKBN (1310 HK): Pre-Cons Satisfied. Offer To Open Shortly
  • HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile Satisfies the Precondition
  • Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, GMO Internet, Prosus/Meituan, Piedmont Lithium
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.3)-Medical Device Valuation Repair,Deal on IBI363,WuXi AppTec Placement


HKBN (1310 HK): Pre-Cons Satisfied. Offer To Open Shortly

By David Blennerhassett

  • Almost exactly eight months after HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) announced a pre-conditional Offer, China Mobile (941 HK) has now satisfied all pre-cons. 
  • The Offer Doc will be dispatched on or around the 12th August, at which time the Offer will be open for acceptances.
  • This could turn unconditional early September. Trading tight at a gross spread of 1.5%. Keep in mind a basket of peers are up 23% since the Offer was announced.

HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile Satisfies the Precondition

By Arun George

  • The precondition for China Mobile (941 HK)’s HK$5.075 offer for HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) is satisfied. The offer is final. The offer document must be despatched by 8 August.
  • The HKBN CEO has commented that the China Mobile offer is not good enough, suggesting a possibility that the Board does not recommend the offer.
  • Nevertheless, there is a clear pathway for the offer to satisfy the 50% minimum acceptance condition and be declared unconditional. The gross/annualised spread for a 13 September payment is 1.5%/13.0%.

Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, GMO Internet, Prosus/Meituan, Piedmont Lithium

By David Blennerhassett


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.3)-Medical Device Valuation Repair,Deal on IBI363,WuXi AppTec Placement

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • A key point of the press conference held by the NHSA is that the selection in centralized procurement of medical devices will no longer be based on the lowest price.
  • Investors have high hopes for the licensing cooperation of IBI363. Our guess is a 50:50 licensing deal with MNC is expected, so as to maximize the value/potential of the drug.
  • Considering Li Ge’s rich experience in capital operation, WuXi AppTec’s Placement implies its H-share is already at high level.Investors can consider taking profits, as share price adjustment may be coming.

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Daily Brief Japan: Krosaki Harima, Topcon Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Krosaki Harima (5352 JP): Nippon Steel’s Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY4,200
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Topcon, Joy City, Hogy Medical, Nihon Chouzai, Piedmont Lithium, Pacific Ind.


Krosaki Harima (5352 JP): Nippon Steel’s Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY4,200

By Arun George

  • Krosaki Harima (5352 JP) has recommended a preconditional tender offer from Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP), the parent, at JPY4,200, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of JPY3,450.
  • The offer is attractive as it represents an all-time high and is above the mid-point of the special committee IFA DCF valuation range.
  • The precondition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan and India. The tender offer is expected to start in early February 2026. This is a done deal.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Topcon, Joy City, Hogy Medical, Nihon Chouzai, Piedmont Lithium, Pacific Ind.

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Industrials: Samyang Comtech, Mineral Resources, Smith (A.O.), Kanematsu Corp, Shinmaywa Industries, L3Harris Technologies , Ryder System, Saia Inc, Soda Nikka, Textron Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources
  • A. O. Smith: An Insight Into The Water Heater Market Dynamics & Its Emerging Market Expansion Efforts
  • Kanematsu Corp (8020 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Shinmaywa Industries (7224 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • L3Harris Technologies: Latest Advancements in Tactical Communications & Other Major Growth Levers!
  • Ryder System: Mobile Maintenance & Tech Are Disrupting Fleet Services But Is It A ‘Buy’?!
  • SAIA Inc: A Tale Of Network Optimization & Market Expansion!
  • Soda Nikka (8158 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Textron Earnings Include A Strategic Shockwave: Share Buybacks, Bell Wins, & Military Muscle!


Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Samyang Comtech completed solid book building results. The IPO price has been finalized at 7,700 won per share, which was at the high end of the IPO price range.
  • A 48.4% of the total IPO shares are under various lock-up periods lasting from 15 days to 6 months. This is a bullish signal. 
  • Our valuation analysis suggests target price of 13,187 won, which represents a 71% upside from IPO price. Given the excellent upside, we have a Positive view of this IPO.

Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources

By FNArena

  • While Mineral Resources performed strongly operationally in the fourth quarter, not everyone is comfortable with its debt and the outlook for commodity prices.
  • -Mineral Resources’ strong fourth quarter across all segments -Production outperformance, strong cashflows at Wodgina and Onslow -Onslow progressing toward nameplate capacity -Improving balance sheet, but sensitivity to commodity prices remains

A. O. Smith: An Insight Into The Water Heater Market Dynamics & Its Emerging Market Expansion Efforts

By Baptista Research

  • A.
  • O.
  • Smith’s second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings results reflect a mixed performance, highlighting both strengths and challenges in the company’s global operations and strategic initiatives.

Kanematsu Corp (8020 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Companywide revenue remained flat YoY at JPY251.1bn, while operating profit decreased by 9.6% YoY to JPY10.6bn.
  • ICT Solution segment revenue rose 23.7% YoY, with operating profit increasing 64.0% YoY to JPY2.3bn.
  • Aerospace and motor vehicles business saw revenue decline by 16.6% YoY, with a 21.2% YoY drop in operating profit.

Shinmaywa Industries (7224 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Orders increased by 2.5% YoY to JPY74.3bn, while revenue rose by 0.4% YoY to JPY57.7bn.
  • The Special Purpose Truck business saw a 26.2% YoY rise in orders to JPY42.9bn, with revenue up 4.2%.
  • The company revised its FY03/26 forecast, expecting orders of JPY320.0bn and revenue of JPY285.0bn, despite weaker EV demand.

L3Harris Technologies: Latest Advancements in Tactical Communications & Other Major Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • L3Harris Technologies’ second-quarter results for 2025 underscore a strong execution in a complex business environment characterized by evolving global defense dynamics.
  • The company’s earnings call revealed key updates in financial performance, strategic alignment, and future opportunities that investors might consider when evaluating L3Harris as an investment.
  • The financial performance in the second quarter was robust, with revenue increasing to $5.4 billion, reflecting an organic growth rate of 6%.

Ryder System: Mobile Maintenance & Tech Are Disrupting Fleet Services But Is It A ‘Buy’?!

By Baptista Research

  • Ryder Systems’ second quarter of 2025 presented a mixed bag of results, signaling both positive performance and existing challenges.
  • The company’s financial performance was bolstered primarily by continued strength in its Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) segment, with earnings showing double-digit growth.
  • This strong performance was offset partly by higher than expected used vehicle wholesale volumes, which Ryder undertook to manage aged inventory levels.

SAIA Inc: A Tale Of Network Optimization & Market Expansion!

By Baptista Research

  • Saia, Inc. presented its second quarter 2025 financial results in a recent call, revealing a mix of both challenges and accomplishments.
  • The company’s operating ratio, a key performance indicator in the transport industry, improved by 330 basis points sequentially to 87.8%, despite lacking the typical volume increase expected for the second quarter.
  • The focus on optimizing variable costs and enhancing network efficiency played a significant role in this performance.

Soda Nikka (8158 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 1.6% YoY to JPY16.0bn, driven by strong orders in the Chemicals segment.
  • Operating profit decreased by 27.1% YoY to JPY426mn due to higher expenses from growth investments.
  • Net income fell by 62.6% YoY to JPY362mn, impacted by the absence of extraordinary gains from previous securities sales.

Textron Earnings Include A Strategic Shockwave: Share Buybacks, Bell Wins, & Military Muscle!

By Baptista Research

  • Textron Inc. reported a positive quarter with robust revenue growth across key segments, demonstrating solid performance in its aviation and helicopter businesses.
  • The company posted revenues of $3.7 billion, which represents a 5.4% increase year-over-year, attributed to heightened sales in commercial aircraft and helicopters, as well as momentum in the Bell FLRAA program, now known as the MV-75.
  • The quarterly results highlighted a minor increase in segment profit, up by $3 million to $346 million, while adjusted income from continuing operations remained almost flat at $1.55 per share compared to $1.54 per share in the previous year.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Abbvie Inc, Astrazeneca Plc Spons Adr, AxoGen Inc, BeiGene , Exelixis Inc, Hang Seng Index, Heartflow, HK inno.N, Jcr Pharmaceuticals, Symbio Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • AbbVie’s $1 Billion Bet On Gilgamesh: The Neuroscience Acquisition That Could Change Everything!
  • AstraZeneca’s Oral Drug Revolution: Could This Be the Future of Heart & Lung Treatments?
  • AXOGEN In Buyout Talks? $18 Per Share Bid Sparks Market Buzz!
  • Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback
  • Exelixis Inc.: The Advancement in Early Clinical Pipeline & Other Major Drivers!
  • Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 28–Aug 01): Reversal Hits, Breadth Collapses, Vol Steady
  • HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Coronary Artery Disease Company Sets Terms Seeking up to $1.3b Valuation
  • HK Inno.N (195940 KS): Mixed 2Q Result; Pipeline Progress to Maintain Positive Momentum
  • JCR Pharma (4552 JP): Izcargo Holds Revenue As Price Revision Impacts Growject; Guidance Reiterated
  • Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update


AbbVie’s $1 Billion Bet On Gilgamesh: The Neuroscience Acquisition That Could Change Everything!

By Baptista Research

  • AbbVie’s reported discussions to acquire Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals for approximately $1 billion mark the latest twist in the company’s aggressive M&A strategy, as it seeks new engines of growth beyond its ex-Humira platform.
  • Just days after raising its 2025 guidance on the strength of Skyrizi, Rinvoq and Vyalev — and outlining an $8-year runway driven by oncology, neuroscience, immunology and aesthetics — AbbVie is doubling down on psychiatric innovation.
  • Gilgamesh, a privately held developer of psychoplastogen-based therapies, has already joined forces with AbbVie on a co-development pact that could funnel up to $1.95 billion in milestone payments into novel mood-disorder treatments.

AstraZeneca’s Oral Drug Revolution: Could This Be the Future of Heart & Lung Treatments?

By Baptista Research

  • AstraZeneca, a prominent global biopharmaceutical company, reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, showcasing continued growth and development across its portfolio.
  • The company’s total revenue increased by 11%, fueled by robust demand for its innovative medicines, notably in oncology and biopharmaceuticals.
  • Core Earnings Per Share (EPS) rose by 17%, reflecting the company’s focus on its pipeline investments alongside efforts to optimize operating leverage.

AXOGEN In Buyout Talks? $18 Per Share Bid Sparks Market Buzz!

By Baptista Research

  • Axogen reported a robust start to 2025 with a revenue increase of 17.4% in the first quarter, reaching $48.6 million.
  • This growth was attributed to the continued adoption and execution of customer-focused initiatives centered around nerve repair in its key markets, including extremities, oral maxillofacial, head and neck, and breast surgery.
  • The company emphasized its efforts in strategically targeting high-potential accounts, which yielded a 24% increase in average account productivity, surpassing the anticipated 21%.

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
  • We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
  • $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.

Exelixis Inc.: The Advancement in Early Clinical Pipeline & Other Major Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • Exelixis’ second quarter 2025 financial results highlight both significant achievements and ongoing challenges for the biotechnology company.
  • Revenue growth and product development are key aspects to consider when forming an investment thesis.
  • In terms of financial performance, Exelixis reported total revenue of $568 million, with the cabozantinib franchise contributing $520 million.

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 28–Aug 01): Reversal Hits, Breadth Collapses, Vol Steady

By John Ley

  • HSI reversed course with four straight down days to close the week sharply lower.
  • Breadth collapsed, with only a small fraction of names finishing higher; option volumes rose into the decline with Puts taking more than their usual share of activity.
  • Implied vols fell on the week, erasing last week’s gains and not showing signs of stress at this point.

HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Coronary Artery Disease Company Sets Terms Seeking up to $1.3b Valuation

By IPO Boutique

  • Heartflow is offering 12.5 million shares at a $15-$17 range which equates to a valuation of around $1.32 billion.
  • They expect revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2025 to be approximately $42.9 million to $43.4 million, as compared to $31.1 million for the same period in 2024.
  • Heartflow is scheduled to debut on Friday, August 8th. We anticipate the offering to be “well-received”. 

HK Inno.N (195940 KS): Mixed 2Q Result; Pipeline Progress to Maintain Positive Momentum

By Tina Banerjee

  • HK inno.N (195940 KS) reported 2Q25 result, with double-digit revenue growth and decline in operating and net profit. Continued strong sales of prescription drug business remained the key driver.
  • During 2Q25, domestic outpatient prescription sales of K-CAB increased 14% YoY to KRW53B. Next major trigger for K-CAB will be the U.S. filing for both EE and NERD in 4Q25.
  • Recently, the company’s investigational new drug IN-115314 advances to Phase 3 trial for the treatment of atopic dermatitis in dogs. If approved, IN-115314 has blockbuster revenue potential.

JCR Pharma (4552 JP): Izcargo Holds Revenue As Price Revision Impacts Growject; Guidance Reiterated

By Tina Banerjee

  • Jcr Pharmaceuticals (4552 JP) revenue increased 5% to ¥8.6B in Q1FY26, mainly driven by Izcargo, marred to an extent by NHI price revision impact on Growject.
  • Higher SG&A expenses (up 9%) on increased commission payments and increased R&D expenses (up 5% as clinical development activities progressed) resulted in operating loss of ¥606M.
  • JCR’s two pipeline drugs are under Phase III trials: pabinafusp alfa (JR-141) for Hunter syndrome and JR-142, for growth hormone deficiency. Approvals not expected before late FY27 or FY28.

Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales dropped 49.7% YoY to JPY647mn, with a gross profit margin of 76.3%, down 1.3pp YoY.
  • Operating loss reached JPY2.2bn, recurring loss JPY2.3bn, and net loss JPY2.4bn, all increased from 1H FY12/24.
  • SG&A expenses declined 2.5% YoY to JPY2.6bn, with R&D expenses increasing 3.3% YoY to JPY1.6bn.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Kohsoku Corp, Eni SpA, Dow , Rpm International, Baker Hughes, Chugoku Marine Paints, Teck Resources , Crude Oil, Forge Resources, Ovintiv and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Kohsoku Corp (7504 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Eni S.p.A.: Growth in Renewable Energy Capacity & Strategic LNG Developments Powering Our Optimism!
  • Dow Inc.: How Are They Capitalizing On The Structural Cost Advantage from Natural Gas-Based Feedstocks in North America?
  • RPM International: Expansion in Consumer & Innovative Product Categories To Up Their Game!
  • Baker Hughes Eyes Chart Industries: A $13.6 Billion Bet On LNG & Digital Power
  • Chugoku Marine Paints (4617 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Teck Resources: Is The Robustness In The Zinc Business Here To Stay?
  • [ETP 2025/31] WTI Climbs While Henry Hub Swings; Shell Beat Estimates; Aramco Bets on AI
  • Forge Resources Corp – Mining Monthly: July Edition
  • Ovintiv Demonstrates How Strategic Rig Cuts Are Fueling Smarter, Leaner Growth!


Kohsoku Corp (7504 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 14.0% YoY to JPY30.6bn, with operating profit up 16.1% YoY to JPY1.1bn.
  • Core product revenue grew: food product containers by 19.8% YoY, films and laminates by 11.4% YoY.
  • Gross profit reached JPY6.1bn (+15.9% YoY), with SG&A expenses totaling JPY5.0bn (+15.9% YoY).

Eni S.p.A.: Growth in Renewable Energy Capacity & Strategic LNG Developments Powering Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Eni’s recent financial performance and strategic movements highlight a well-rounded approach to growth and diversification within the energy sector.
  • Focusing primarily on upstream operations, the company has demonstrated tangible growth in production and resource acquisition.
  • In the first half of 2025, Eni discovered approximately 600 million barrels of oil equivalent in new resources, with significant activity in Namibia, Ivory Coast, and Norway.

Dow Inc.: How Are They Capitalizing On The Structural Cost Advantage from Natural Gas-Based Feedstocks in North America?

By Baptista Research

  • Dow, a prominent player in the global chemical industry, faced a challenging second quarter amidst a prolonged market downturn intensified by trade and geopolitical uncertainties.
  • The company reported a net sales decline of 7% year-over-year to $10.1 billion, with all operating segments experiencing setbacks.
  • This was compounded by a 50% reduction in core earnings, marking a significant impact on profitability.

RPM International: Expansion in Consumer & Innovative Product Categories To Up Their Game!

By Baptista Research

  • RPM International’s fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results underscore both its strategic advancements and ongoing challenges within a complex economic backdrop.
  • The company’s transition to a three-segment operating structure and the execution of its MAP 2025 initiatives have drove record levels in sales, adjusted EBIT, and adjusted EPS.
  • This performance is attributed to top-line growth, operational efficiencies, and volume increases in sectors like high-performance building solutions and maintenance services.

Baker Hughes Eyes Chart Industries: A $13.6 Billion Bet On LNG & Digital Power

By Baptista Research

  • Baker Hughes is reportedly nearing a $13.6 billion all-cash acquisition of Chart Industries, potentially derailing Chart’s previously announced all-stock merger with Flowserve.
  • The proposed deal, which values Chart at $210 per share—a 22% premium to its latest closing price—marks a significant strategic pivot by Baker Hughes toward enhancing its footprint in liquefied natural gas (LNG), nuclear energy, and digital infrastructure, particularly data centers.
  • By superseding the $19 billion Flowserve-Chart merger agreement from June, Baker Hughes aims to consolidate its position in high-growth, energy-adjacent sectors through vertical integration and technology enhancement.

Chugoku Marine Paints (4617 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In Q1 FY03/26, sales increased by 12.1% YoY, driven by marine and industrial paints, despite container paint declines.
  • Operating profit rose 16.5% YoY to JPY3.9bn, aided by optimized selling prices and high-value-added product sales.
  • Net income fell 48.9% YoY due to absence of prior extraordinary gains, despite improved gross profit margin.

Teck Resources: Is The Robustness In The Zinc Business Here To Stay?

By Baptista Research

  • Teck Resources Limited, a diversified mining and minerals company, reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, emphasizing its continued strategic goals of growth, operational excellence, and shareholder returns.
  • The company’s performance exhibited both strengths and challenges across various segments.
  • Teck’s financial results showed a moderate improvement in profitability, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 3% year-over-year to $722 million.

[ETP 2025/31] WTI Climbs While Henry Hub Swings; Shell Beat Estimates; Aramco Bets on AI

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI crude prices are on the way to close the week higher, supported by trade optimism, better economic data from the U.S., and ongoing geopolitical tensions.  
  • U.S. natural gas slips as mild weather, strong production, and unclear short-term demand weigh on prices.
  • Chevron adds John Hess to its board after merger approval; Shell tops Q2 estimates; Aramco partners with Cloudera to bring AI to energy.

Forge Resources Corp – Mining Monthly: July Edition

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • The metals and mining market settled in July, following a tremendous run over the last six months.
  • • In July, gold was down 1%, silver was up 2%, and copper down 13%.
  • The equities underperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX down 0.8%, 5.0%, 1.5%, and 4.2%, respectively.

Ovintiv Demonstrates How Strategic Rig Cuts Are Fueling Smarter, Leaner Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Ovintiv Inc. delivered a robust performance in the second quarter of 2025, reflecting strong operational efficiency and strategic execution.
  • The company notably exceeded production targets and improved capital efficiency, surpassing production, capital, and per-unit guidance estimates.
  • A critical highlight was the seamless integration of newly acquired Montney assets, enhancing Ovintiv’s operational capacity and contributing to free cash flow growth.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Samyang Comtech, Mineral Resources, Smith (A.O.), Kanematsu Corp, Shinmaywa Industries, L3Harris Technologies , Ryder System, Saia Inc, Soda Nikka, Textron Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources
  • A. O. Smith: An Insight Into The Water Heater Market Dynamics & Its Emerging Market Expansion Efforts
  • Kanematsu Corp (8020 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Shinmaywa Industries (7224 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • L3Harris Technologies: Latest Advancements in Tactical Communications & Other Major Growth Levers!
  • Ryder System: Mobile Maintenance & Tech Are Disrupting Fleet Services But Is It A ‘Buy’?!
  • SAIA Inc: A Tale Of Network Optimization & Market Expansion!
  • Soda Nikka (8158 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Textron Earnings Include A Strategic Shockwave: Share Buybacks, Bell Wins, & Military Muscle!


Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Samyang Comtech completed solid book building results. The IPO price has been finalized at 7,700 won per share, which was at the high end of the IPO price range.
  • A 48.4% of the total IPO shares are under various lock-up periods lasting from 15 days to 6 months. This is a bullish signal. 
  • Our valuation analysis suggests target price of 13,187 won, which represents a 71% upside from IPO price. Given the excellent upside, we have a Positive view of this IPO.

Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources

By FNArena

  • While Mineral Resources performed strongly operationally in the fourth quarter, not everyone is comfortable with its debt and the outlook for commodity prices.
  • -Mineral Resources’ strong fourth quarter across all segments -Production outperformance, strong cashflows at Wodgina and Onslow -Onslow progressing toward nameplate capacity -Improving balance sheet, but sensitivity to commodity prices remains

A. O. Smith: An Insight Into The Water Heater Market Dynamics & Its Emerging Market Expansion Efforts

By Baptista Research

  • A.
  • O.
  • Smith’s second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings results reflect a mixed performance, highlighting both strengths and challenges in the company’s global operations and strategic initiatives.

Kanematsu Corp (8020 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Companywide revenue remained flat YoY at JPY251.1bn, while operating profit decreased by 9.6% YoY to JPY10.6bn.
  • ICT Solution segment revenue rose 23.7% YoY, with operating profit increasing 64.0% YoY to JPY2.3bn.
  • Aerospace and motor vehicles business saw revenue decline by 16.6% YoY, with a 21.2% YoY drop in operating profit.

Shinmaywa Industries (7224 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Orders increased by 2.5% YoY to JPY74.3bn, while revenue rose by 0.4% YoY to JPY57.7bn.
  • The Special Purpose Truck business saw a 26.2% YoY rise in orders to JPY42.9bn, with revenue up 4.2%.
  • The company revised its FY03/26 forecast, expecting orders of JPY320.0bn and revenue of JPY285.0bn, despite weaker EV demand.

L3Harris Technologies: Latest Advancements in Tactical Communications & Other Major Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • L3Harris Technologies’ second-quarter results for 2025 underscore a strong execution in a complex business environment characterized by evolving global defense dynamics.
  • The company’s earnings call revealed key updates in financial performance, strategic alignment, and future opportunities that investors might consider when evaluating L3Harris as an investment.
  • The financial performance in the second quarter was robust, with revenue increasing to $5.4 billion, reflecting an organic growth rate of 6%.

Ryder System: Mobile Maintenance & Tech Are Disrupting Fleet Services But Is It A ‘Buy’?!

By Baptista Research

  • Ryder Systems’ second quarter of 2025 presented a mixed bag of results, signaling both positive performance and existing challenges.
  • The company’s financial performance was bolstered primarily by continued strength in its Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) segment, with earnings showing double-digit growth.
  • This strong performance was offset partly by higher than expected used vehicle wholesale volumes, which Ryder undertook to manage aged inventory levels.

SAIA Inc: A Tale Of Network Optimization & Market Expansion!

By Baptista Research

  • Saia, Inc. presented its second quarter 2025 financial results in a recent call, revealing a mix of both challenges and accomplishments.
  • The company’s operating ratio, a key performance indicator in the transport industry, improved by 330 basis points sequentially to 87.8%, despite lacking the typical volume increase expected for the second quarter.
  • The focus on optimizing variable costs and enhancing network efficiency played a significant role in this performance.

Soda Nikka (8158 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 1.6% YoY to JPY16.0bn, driven by strong orders in the Chemicals segment.
  • Operating profit decreased by 27.1% YoY to JPY426mn due to higher expenses from growth investments.
  • Net income fell by 62.6% YoY to JPY362mn, impacted by the absence of extraordinary gains from previous securities sales.

Textron Earnings Include A Strategic Shockwave: Share Buybacks, Bell Wins, & Military Muscle!

By Baptista Research

  • Textron Inc. reported a positive quarter with robust revenue growth across key segments, demonstrating solid performance in its aviation and helicopter businesses.
  • The company posted revenues of $3.7 billion, which represents a 5.4% increase year-over-year, attributed to heightened sales in commercial aircraft and helicopters, as well as momentum in the Bell FLRAA program, now known as the MV-75.
  • The quarterly results highlighted a minor increase in segment profit, up by $3 million to $346 million, while adjusted income from continuing operations remained almost flat at $1.55 per share compared to $1.54 per share in the previous year.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Plover Bay Technologies, Oracle Corp, Microsoft Corp, Soft World Intl, Tokyo Electron, Apple , Samsung Electronics, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Figma, ARM Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth
  • Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)
  • Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)
  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain
  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook After Disappointing Earnings
  • Booz Allen Hamilton: Initiation of Coverage- Why Are They Rewiring Their Contracts & Can Outcome-Based Models Improve Profits?
  • Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples
  • [Earnings Review] Arm’s AI Royalty Engine Powers Through Cloud and Edge Tailwinds


Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 9.9%/13.4% YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from customers in the EMEA and Asia (with the US being a drag).
  • Earnings were more or less in line with our preview, Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025, but revenues were slightly weaker, and margins were stronger.
  • The stock trades at 21.5x PE FY25e (assuming 15% growth), with a 4.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), but we acknowledge there could be upside to our earnings. 

Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Institutional investors are turning to AI to analyze SEC filings and earnings call transcripts, with Fintool offering a quicker and more efficient solution.
  • The biography of Larry Ellison, focusing on Oracle during the dot com crisis, provides insight into Ellison’s leadership style and business strategies.
  • Despite some mixed feelings about Oracle and Ellison’s personality, his vision for the future of computing, such as using commodity hardware and smartphones, has proven to be accurate in hindsight.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?

By William Keating

  • Q425 revenues of $76.4 billion, up 5.5% QoQ, 18% YoY and handily beating guidance of $73.8 billion.
  • Azure surpassed $75 billion in revenue in FY25, up 34% YoY, driven by growth across all workloads.
  • Contracted backlog grew by $53 billion QoQ to reach $368 billion. Wow!

Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)

By Douglas Kim

  • Soft World International has an integrated value chain/sizeable moat for its game development, distribution, payments, content, and events in Taiwan. 
  • The company is trading at attractive valuations. It is trading at EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, P/E of 13.4x, and P/B of 1.5x based on recent prices and LTM financials.
  • Net cash as a percentage of market cap is 79%. The company’s dividend yield remained steady at 6% in FY23 and FY24.

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In Q1 FY03/26, the company reported revenue of JPY549.6bn, operating profit of JPY144.7bn, and net income of JPY117.8bn.
  • The revised FY03/26 forecast projects revenue of JPY2.35tn, operating profit of JPY570.0bn, and net income of JPY444.0bn.
  • The company plans aggressive R&D investments, increasing from JPY250.0bn in FY03/25 to JPY295.0bn in FY03/26.

Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 3Q25 saw an acceleration in revenues (+10% YoY) and EPS (+12%), after a long period of stagnation (2022-23-24 at ~3% growth). 4Q guidance is 5% above Consensus. 
  • Impact of US import tariffs is negligible. Services is the major growth driver and Apple has few answers on critical questions (Epic ruling, DoJ rulings against Google, AI roll out). 
  • The stock is expensive, as always  (27x FY26 EPS, 25x FY27 EPS) for sub-10% growth. Some people love the buybacks, the brand and dominant market position.

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook After Disappointing Earnings

By Nico Rosti

  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 2Q earnings have been somehow disappointing for investors.
  • We don’t dissect the earnings details, as market reactions—regardless of headlines—almost always fall within the behavioral range defined by our model.
  • What we see right now is FEAR: Samsung Electronics was rallying hard, reached the tails area in our model, then retreated back sharply after the earnings.

Booz Allen Hamilton: Initiation of Coverage- Why Are They Rewiring Their Contracts & Can Outcome-Based Models Improve Profits?

By Baptista Research

  • Booz Allen Hamilton’s first quarter fiscal year 2026 results reflect a dynamic environment influenced by shifting government priorities and procurement processes.
  • Overall, the company’s financial performance aligned with expectations, showing resilience amidst a challenging backdrop with a 2% year-over-year growth in revenue, excluding billable expenses, despite an overall revenue decline of roughly 1%.
  • Positively, Booz Allen Hamilton recorded a high quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.42x, contributing to a record backlog of $38 billion, suggesting future revenue streams are solid.

Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Figma Inc., a product design leader with strong financial profile, priced its IPO at $33.00/share and raised ~$1.2B.
  • The company raised the price range to $30.00-$32.00. The stock opened at $85.00 and closed on Thursday at $115.50, up ~250% vs. IPO offer price.
  • The offering was priced above the marketed range. Figma had a ~$67B market cap at the close, implying a ~62x EV/2025E sky-high multiple on my 2025 revenue estimate of $1056M.

[Earnings Review] Arm’s AI Royalty Engine Powers Through Cloud and Edge Tailwinds

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Record royalties now make up over half of Arm’s revenue, with Compute Subsystems (CSS) earning nearly 2x more than conventional designs.
  • Hyperscaler CPU share jumps to ~50%, as Neoverse powers AI infrastructure at NVIDIA, AWS, Google, and Microsoft.
  • Custom silicon stickiness deepens, with multigenerational GPU deals and CSS design wins spanning cloud, PC, and automotive verticals.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Hamee Corp, Hyundai Motor, Luckin Coffee, Brightstar Lottery, Lear Corp, MGM China Holdings, Pool Corp, Mohawk Industries, Boston Beer Company Inc A, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Buy Hamee Corp
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.
  • Luckin Coffee’s U.S. Invasion: A Brewing Storm for Starbucks!
  • Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations
  • Lear Corporation: An Insight Into Its Recent Adaptation to Volume & Trade Dynamics & Its Strategy Shielding Its Global Supply Chain!
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • The Pool Corporation’s Strategic Playbook: Can Its Expanding Network & Innovation Lead the Industry Surge?
  • Mohawk Industries: How Its Local Manufacturing Leverage Is Giving It An Edge In The Current Business Environment!
  • Boston Beer Company: An Insight Into Recent Consumer Trends, Market Dynamics & Major Growth Drivers!
  • Amid Declining Birth Rates and Working-Age Populations, Japan Still Hesitates to Embrace Diversity


Buy Hamee Corp

By Richard Howe

  • Some of my favorite situations are international spin-offs because they fly under the radar. Hamee has not been written up on VIC, Seeking Alpha or Twitter (I found one writeup on Substack).
  • The company is 3 months away from breaking up into two separate companies which both look attractive. It is currently classified as a Specialty Retail company but will spin off a high growth, high margin, SaaS company in November that I estimate is worth more than the entire company’s market cap today.
  • The stock looks compelling on an absolute basis (5.1x NTM EBITDA) and SOTP basis. I see 31% to 117% upside over the next 6 months as the break up is completed.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Hyundai chief partners with Samsung and Hanwha in US tariff push, showing collaboration between major companies to address trade issues.
  • Arm CEO considers in-house chip production, signaling a strategic shift for the company towards more control over its manufacturing process.
  • BOE secures half of Apple’s MacBook screen orders, displacing LG Display, showcasing the competitiveness in the display market.

Luckin Coffee’s U.S. Invasion: A Brewing Storm for Starbucks!

By Baptista Research

  • Luckin Coffee reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, underlining significant year-over-year growth in both revenue and profitability.
  • The company revealed a 41% increase in total net revenues, reaching approximately RMB 8.9 billion, mainly driven by a 42% rise in gross merchandise value (GMV) amounting to RMB 10.4 billion.
  • The growth in revenue was primarily fueled by expanded product sales through increased customer transactions, supported by an extensive store network.

Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations

By Richard Howe

  • Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) reported solid Q2 2025 results and is delivering on every aspect of the original thesis I laid out in June.
  • The company has now begun executing on the largest capital return in its history: a $3.00 per share tax-free special dividend (paid July 29) and a $250MM accelerated share repurchase (ASR) — the first half of a $500MM buyback authorization.
  • Brightstar also reiterated that it will maintain its $160MM annual dividend, so with fewer shares outstanding, the per-share dividend will increase, potentially rising to ~$0.22–$0.24 per quarter.

Lear Corporation: An Insight Into Its Recent Adaptation to Volume & Trade Dynamics & Its Strategy Shielding Its Global Supply Chain!

By Baptista Research

  • Lear Corporation’s second-quarter 2025 financial results reflect a balanced mix of positive developments and areas of concern.
  • Revenue remained stable at $6 billion, indicating resilience against macroeconomic and industry-specific challenges.
  • The core operating earnings came in at $292 million with an operating margin of 4.8%.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, SK Hynix, Tata Steel, Vedanta Resources
  • Short-end UST yields rose slightly yesterday, extending Wednesday’s post-Fed curve flattening trend. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.96%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was stable at 4.38%. Equities ended the day mixed.
  • The S&P 500 erased a rally earlier in the day on renewed tariff concerns, declining 0.4% to 6,339. The Nasdaq closed flat at 21,122, after Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported solid results.

The Pool Corporation’s Strategic Playbook: Can Its Expanding Network & Innovation Lead the Industry Surge?

By Baptista Research

  • Pool Corporation’s latest financial results and guidance reflect a mixed performance, shaped by both market challenges and strategic successes.
  • During the second quarter, Pool Corporation reported a 1% increase in net sales, totaling $1.8 billion.
  • This growth was driven by positive sales trends in maintenance products, particularly in the chemical segment, and signs of improvement in construction activities towards the quarter’s end.

Mohawk Industries: How Its Local Manufacturing Leverage Is Giving It An Edge In The Current Business Environment!

By Baptista Research

  • This earnings call update on Mohawk Industries provides a thorough overview of the company’s current performance, strategies, and market challenges.
  • The company’s second-quarter net sales were reported at $2.8 billion, which shows a stable performance in the face of ongoing global challenges.
  • Positives from this period include a favorable product mix, particularly within premium residential and commercial segments, bolstered by new product collections introduced over the last two years.

Boston Beer Company: An Insight Into Recent Consumer Trends, Market Dynamics & Major Growth Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • The Boston Beer Company recently reported its second quarter results for 2025, amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment impacting the overall beer industry, including economic uncertainty, household budget tightening, and specific pressures on Hispanic consumers.
  • Despite these challenges, the company is identifying long-term growth opportunities, particularly in the “Beyond Beer” category, which includes ready-todrink (RTD) spirits and alcoholic teas.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Amid Declining Birth Rates and Working-Age Populations, Japan Still Hesitates to Embrace Diversity

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since the government hasn’t taken any actions, the birth rate has dropped much lower than expected, and the population is shrinking much faster than predicted.
  • There are various reasons why more people are choosing not to marry. It is necessary to implement policies that meet the needs of people with diverse views.
  • With the decline in working-age population, it is necessary to incorporate as many diverse people as possible into human capital to maximize the abilities of as many people as possible.

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