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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Most Read: Taishin Financial Holding, IFBH, Lens Technology, Shibaura Electronics, NTT DC REIT, Kcc Corp, Alibaba Health Information Tec and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Taishin (2887 TT)/Shin Kong (2888 TT) Merger: Index Flows in July
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added
  • Lens Technology (6613 HK): Offering Details & Index Inclusion
  • NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues
  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA
  • NTT DC REIT IPO – Thoughts on Valuation
  • NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case
  • KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps
  • BoE Surveys Sustain Resilience
  • Alibaba Health Placement – Delta Placement for EB, but Track Record Isn’t Great


Taishin (2887 TT)/Shin Kong (2888 TT) Merger: Index Flows in July

By Brian Freitas


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
  • A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

Lens Technology (6613 HK): Offering Details & Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • Lens Technology (6613 HK)‘s global offering opened yesterday, and the raise could reach up to US$800m if the offer-size adjustment option and the overallotment option are exercised.
  • The allocation to cornerstone investors is smaller than in other recent AH listings. The discount of over 25% to the A-shares is attractive given the recent trend for large listings.
  • Lens Technology (6613 HK) could be added to a global index in December. Inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect in August and HSCI inclusion could take place in March 2026.

NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s portfolio and its performance.

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA

By Travis Lundy

  • YAGEO’s deal for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) had been extended a couple of times – once for Shibaura’s yuho, and once for Taiwan Investment Commission Approval. 
  • YAGEO had re-filed its notification for FEFTA on 2 June, and the “normal” 30 day waiting period expired 1 July. YAGEO extended by 4 business days to 15 July.
  • The TRS amendment was less informative than the TDNET release today. That’s worth reading. More waiting ahead. But the timing may be politically strategic.

NTT DC REIT IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has launched an SGX IPO to raise proceeds up to US$864 million. 
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six data centres – three located in California, one in Virginia, one in Vienna, and one in Singapore.
  • NTT DC REIT offers an attractive value proposition, comprising a blue-chip tenant base, a staggered lease expiry profile, a robust growth pipeline, and sizable debt headroom.

KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps

By Douglas Kim

  • KCC announced that it is issuing an EB worth $625 million in foreign currency using its stake in HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering as the underlying asset. 
  • The asset that is used as the underlying asset for the EB is 2.056 million shares of HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering held by the KCC Corp
  • We believe this large EB issue by KCC Corp is likely to have a positive impact on KCC Corp but slightly negative impact on HD KSOE.

BoE Surveys Sustain Resilience

By Phil Rush

  • The Decision Maker Panel and Credit Conditions Surveys remained resilient. Price and wage inflation are stuck at excessive levels, and US trade policy makes little difference.
  • Default rates are falling while the availability and demand for credit are rising to reveal a loosening of monetary conditions. There is no evidence of policy being too tight.
  • Inflation and labour market data matched BoE forecasts from May, when most members were biased to slow easing. Resilient surveys should discourage it from cutting again.

Alibaba Health Placement – Delta Placement for EB, but Track Record Isn’t Great

By Sumeet Singh

  • Banks are offering US$500m of Alibaba Health Information Tec (241 HK) stock in order to allow Exchangeable Bond investors to hedge their exposure.
  • Alibaba Health (AH) stock has been heading in the wrong direction for the past few years and it remains unclear if the EB offering was well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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Daily Brief Financials: NTT DC REIT, Robinhood Markets , USD, Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank, Dexus Property, Karnataka Bank, Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, Yes Bank, Yorkville Acquisition, Nikkei 225 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case
  • Robinhood’s CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything
  • Global FX Derivatives: Thin Cushion. A Slippery Slope from Calm to Uncertainty
  • Jilin Jiutai RCB (6122 HK): A Conditional VGO Puts Minorities Between a Rock and a Hard Place
  • Dexus – The Overnight Report: Tariff Deadline Looms
  • Executive Exodus at Karnataka Bank: More Than Just “Personal Reasons”?
  • China and Japan Breaking Out — Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak
  • Yes Bank (YES IN) Vs. IDFC First Bank (IDFCBK IN): Quant Divergence Opens Statistical Arb Window
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Mergers, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • Nikkei: Failed Breakout and Summer Seasonals Signal Opportunity


NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has launched an SGX IPO to raise proceeds up to US$864 million. 
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six data centres – three located in California, one in Virginia, one in Vienna, and one in Singapore.
  • NTT DC REIT offers an attractive value proposition, comprising a blue-chip tenant base, a staggered lease expiry profile, a robust growth pipeline, and sizable debt headroom.

Robinhood’s CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything

By Odd Lots

  • The culture of trading has shifted, with people enjoying losing money and constantly looking for prices on various assets
  • Robinhood caught the wave of this cultural shift with its user-friendly interface and introduction of free stock trading during the pandemic

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global FX Derivatives: Thin Cushion. A Slippery Slope from Calm to Uncertainty

By At Any Rate

  • FX volumes expected to remain steady in the next month and a half before potentially increasing later in Q3
  • Dollar risk reversals are priced expensively for puts, suggesting the need for alternative option structures
  • Consideration of bullish yen option trades in lower beta crossian underlyings like CNH as alternatives to dollar yen positions due to stretched spec positioning and high carry costs

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Jilin Jiutai RCB (6122 HK): A Conditional VGO Puts Minorities Between a Rock and a Hard Place

By Arun George

  • Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK) has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer and delisting proposal by Jilin Province at HK$0.70 per H Share, a 70.7% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The key conditions are H Shareholder approval of the delisting proposal and a minimum acceptance condition (50% of outstanding and 90% of H shares).
  • Minorities are caught between a rock and a hard place, as the offer is unattractive, but the timeline for lifting the trading suspension is uncertain.  

Dexus – The Overnight Report: Tariff Deadline Looms

By FNArena

  • A global perspective on what happened overnight

Executive Exodus at Karnataka Bank: More Than Just “Personal Reasons”?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Karnataka Bank (KBL IN)‘s top two executives resigned under unclear circumstances, with boardroom friction, unauthorized spending, and weak financial performance raising concerns.
  • Even audit report also suggests some red flags of minuscule amounts in unauthorized expenses, raising governance issues.
  • The bank’s leadership shakeup and declining financials suggest instability; while governance reforms are needed along with new and strong leadership and governance realignment.

China and Japan Breaking Out — Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
  • $125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.

Yes Bank (YES IN) Vs. IDFC First Bank (IDFCBK IN): Quant Divergence Opens Statistical Arb Window

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Yes Bank (YES IN) vs. IDFC First Bank (IDFCBK IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Yes Bank (YES IN) and short IDFC First Bank (IDFCBK IN) targets a 9% return to the statistical mean reversion level.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Mergers, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • Yorkville Acquisition and Lutnick’s SPACs are politically connected, targeting speculative capital tied to Trump’s administration and crypto.
  • Mayne Pharma’s merger with Cosette faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a court hearing set.
  • Lifeway Foods may be sold to Danone; shareholder campaign aims to overhaul the board for negotiations.

Nikkei: Failed Breakout and Summer Seasonals Signal Opportunity

By John Ley

  • Seasonal weakness and failure at highs support a tactical short.
  • July has historically been weak for the Nikkei in both price and realized vol; Trump-era data showed summer vol was suppressed.
  • We propose a tactical trade that aligns with the current setup and supportive price and volatility seasonals.

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Daily Brief Australia: James Hardie Industries Plc, Aussie Broadband, Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • James Hardie Industries Plc – The Overnight Report: Bullish Into A Short Week
  • Aussie Broadband Pty Ltd – Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Jul 02, 2025
  • The Enigma Surrounding Clinuvel




The Enigma Surrounding Clinuvel

By FNArena

  • Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals posted a strong first half result, and offers significant upside in expanding the use of its flagship drug, but investors just aren’t excited

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Daily Brief South Korea: Misto Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (May and June 2025)


Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (May and June 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the alpha generation through companies that announced share buybacks in the Korean stock market in May and June 2025.
  • There were 24 companies in the Korean stock market that announced share buybacks in the past two months. On average, the share buyback announcements represented 1.7% of outstanding shares.
  • There were four companies with more than 100 billion won in market cap that announced share buybacks in May and June with at least 3% of outstanding shares. 

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Daily Brief United States: Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Intel Corp, Earth Science Tech, SurgePays , Titan International , Aethlon Medical , VolitionRX , Culp Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Jim Chanos on the Nuttiness of ‘Bitcoin Treasury Companies’
  • Intel (INTC.US): Abandon Promoting 18A to Fully Focus on 14A
  • ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry
  • ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry
  • SurgePays, Inc: WTR Small-Cap Spotlight Recap
  • TWI: We are updating our revenue and EPS estimates based on ongoing trade uncertainty and recent public comments by management.
  • Aethlon Medical – While maintaining rigid cost controls generally (OpEx declined 26% y/y in FY 25)
  • VolitionRx — Nu.Q advances in lung cancer management
  • Culp, Inc: 4Q25 Adj EPS ($0.07); FY26 to Benefit from Restructuring & Price Cost


Jim Chanos on the Nuttiness of ‘Bitcoin Treasury Companies’

By Odd Lots

  • Jim Chanos discusses Bitcoin treasury companies and their flaws on Bloomberg Audio Studios Podcasts Radio News
  • Companies are continuing to adopt the strategy of using treasury to buy Bitcoin
  • The value of companies like MicroStrategy is being inflated by the appreciation of their Bitcoin holdings

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Intel (INTC.US): Abandon Promoting 18A to Fully Focus on 14A

By Patrick Liao

  • Even if Intel Corp (INTC US) ceases marketing 18A to new customers, the company will still fulfill existing foundry commitments.
  • In response to the 18A dilemma, Intel’s initial solution is to redirect resources toward the development of 14A, a next-generation process where Intel hopes to gain an edge over TSMC.
  • In addition to the strategic realignment of the foundry business, Tan’s broader efforts include refreshing Intel’s leadership team.

ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) is a strategic holding company, with wholly-owned subsidiaries operating in the compounding pharmaceutical (RxCompoundStore.com, MisterMeds.com), telehealth (Peaks Curative, Las Villas Health Care, DOConsultations.com), real estate (Avenvi), and consumer products (Magnefuse) sectors.
  • Senior executives remain focused on managing and optimizing company operations, as well as acquiring complementary assets.
  • The firm was incorporated in 2010, with headquarters in Miami, Florida.

ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) is a strategic holding company, with wholly-owned subsidiaries operating in the compounding pharmaceutical (RxCompoundStore.com, MisterMeds.com), telehealth (Peaks Curative, Las Villas Health Care, DOConsultations.com), real estate (Avenvi), and consumer products (Magnefuse) sectors.
  • Senior executives remain focused on managing and optimizing company operations, as well as acquiring complementary assets.
  • The firm was incorporated in 2010, with headquarters in Miami, Florida.

SurgePays, Inc: WTR Small-Cap Spotlight Recap

By Water Tower Research

  • Focus on diversifying the revenue base. As we discussed in our initiation of coverage, SURG has been actively working on diversifying the revenue base.
  • We see the company as four different startups—wireless MVNO/MVNE, Lifeline telecom services, prepaid top-ups, and Clearline Mobile—all focused on underserved communities with distribution through neighborhood stores and bodegas.
  • SURG’s differentiation is in how they all come together at the points of presence (PoPs), and yet, they represent different independent revenue streams.

TWI: We are updating our revenue and EPS estimates based on ongoing trade uncertainty and recent public comments by management.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Titan International is a global manufacturer of off-the-road tires, wheels and undercarriages.
  • The company serves the agricultural, earthmoving / construction, and consumer markets.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds exist in the global agricultural, infrastructure and construction markets.

Aethlon Medical – While maintaining rigid cost controls generally (OpEx declined 26% y/y in FY 25)

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • While maintaining rigid cost controls generally (OpEx declined 26% y/y in FY 25), AEMD continues pre-clinical research and analysis of the Hemopurifier in areas outside of oncology.
  • Results from a preclinical ex vivo study were published in bioRxiv in May 2025 and demonstrate that the Hemopurifier removed 98.5% of platelet-derived extracellular vesicles (PD-EVs) from human plasma.
  • This supports moving forward with the ongoing oncology study in Australia, launching a similar study in India and also point to other potential applications of the Hemopurifier in EV-associated diseases.

VolitionRx — Nu.Q advances in lung cancer management

By Edison Investment Research

Despite rapid advancements in cancer treatments, effective diagnostics for early screening and disease monitoring continue to be an unmet need. This is felt acutely in lung cancer, which is the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, with only 20% of cases diagnosed at an early stage. VolitionRx, a diagnostics company focused on the detection of life-altering diseases, such as cancer, continues to build clinical evidence for its Nu.Q® Cancer test as a multi-pronged diagnostic tool to enhance screening, treatment selection and disease monitoring in lung cancer. By detecting circulating nucleosomes associated with tumor activity, Nu.Q Cancer offers a compelling low-cost, quick-turnaround cancer screening and monitoring alternative/complement to existing diagnostic tools, particularly complex and time-consuming biomarker-based blood tests requiring expensive next-generation sequencing (NGS).


Culp, Inc: 4Q25 Adj EPS ($0.07); FY26 to Benefit from Restructuring & Price Cost

By Water Tower Research

  • CULP posted 4QFY25 adjusted EPS of ($0.07), beating our estimate by $0.03, on strong gross margin gains in mattress fabrics on the back of management’s restructuring gains despite softer-than-expected revenue.
  • Upholstery fabrics revenue was down 8.9%, even as management noted strength (and potentially market share gains) in the contract/hospitality side of the upholstery business.
  • On the residential side of upholstery, it was continued weak industry-wide demand (slow housing, mortgage rates, consumers pulling back from discretionary durable spend) and the continued hangover from one large customer’s order timing that pulled sales forward in early FY25. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: NTT DC REIT, IFBH, Singapore Post, Flagship Minerals, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Soilbuild Construction and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added
  • Ntt Dc Reit Ipo – Thoughts on Valuation
  • Singapore Post — Searching for a new CEO
  • IFBH (6603 HK) – Debut Is the Peak, and Then It Wanes?
  • Flagship Minerals Limited – Building Oxide Gold and Copper Projects
  • Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers
  • 10 in 10 with Soilbuild Construction – Rooted in tradition, leading in green building


NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s portfolio and its performance.

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
  • A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

Ntt Dc Reit Ipo – Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

Singapore Post — Searching for a new CEO

By Edison Investment Research

Singapore Post (SingPost) has experienced significant changes over the last six months, and further change is likely as the company searches for a new CEO. We expect a strategy update following the hiring of the new CEO. The timing of an appointment is unknown, as are the identity of the candidate and the strategy itself. Given the potential upheaval, we withdraw our forecasts pending strategic clarity.


IFBH (6603 HK) – Debut Is the Peak, and Then It Wanes?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • IFBH’s IPO debut is outstanding. Capital/investors are actually voting for “light-asset + high-efficiency” business model, as they see the possibility of achieving great results with small investment in if coconut water. 
  • When coconut water consumption boom subsides, real competition lies in whether IFBH can turn the opportunity of “riding the wave” into high moat amid supply chain crisis/price wars/single product line.
  • The ultimate outcome of this capital frenzy remains an unknown. We updated our forecast. IFBH is overvalued. Reasonable valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring/MIXUE who has supply chain barriers.  

Flagship Minerals Limited – Building Oxide Gold and Copper Projects

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Flagship Minerals Limited (ASX:FLG), formerly Pan Asia Metals Limited (ASX:PAM), is a junior explorer with two projects focusing on gold and copper respectively in Chile.
  • Pantanillo is an advanced gold oxide project which has an NI 43-101 based 1.05Moz Au MRE (99.4% Measured and Indicated) which is a Qualified Foreign Estimate under JORC, whilst Rosario represents an earlier-stage copper exploration project.
  • Both projects are subject to binding option agreements whereby FLG will make annual option payments and conduct work programmes to progress the projects.

Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Linglong Tire’s new plants in Brazil, Kenya and Anhui in China  
  • Yongsheng Rubber to take advantage of Morocco’s FTA with West  
  • CNTR’s car tire facility to come up at Alexandria in Egypt  

10 in 10 with Soilbuild Construction – Rooted in tradition, leading in green building

By Geoff Howie

  • Soilbuild Construction’s revenue surged 58.4% in FY2024, driven by a S$647.5 million PSA Supply Chain Hub contract.
  • The Construction division contributed 81.5% to total revenue, while Precast and Prefabrication grew by 87.1% in FY2024.
  • Soilbuild Construction generated S$35.9 million in operating cash flow in FY2024, improving liquidity for ongoing projects.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl
  • CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu, Zhongjin Gold, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan), Longi Green, Tcl Zhonghuan, Cambricon Technologies.

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Daily Brief India: ICICI Bank Ltd, Pine Labs, Adani Power, FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa), Crizac, Steel, Torrent Pharmaceuticals, Centrum Capital, Coal India Ltd, Capillary Technologies India Ltd (CTIL) and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Spread Trade in High-Profile Indian Bank Pair
  • Pine Labs Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Adani Power (ADANIPOWER IN): Bangladesh Clears Dues, Strengthens Balance Sheet
  • Nykaa Block – US$140m Selldown by Banga Family
  • Crizac Limited IPO Analysis
  • Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism
  • Event Driven: Torrent Acquires JB Chemicals ~ The Second-Largest Pharma Deal in Indian History
  • The Beat Ideas: Centrum Capital -Unlocking the Hidden Value from Unity Small Finance Bank
  • India Coal Sector Q1 FY26: Private Miners Surge, CIL Stumbles
  • Capillary Technologies India Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Spread Trade in High-Profile Indian Bank Pair

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) vs. HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) and short HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) targets a 2% return to the statistical mean reversion level. The pair has closely aligned fundamentals.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Pine Labs Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Pine Labs (0568874D IN) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, Citi, MS, JPM and Jefferies.
  • Pine Labs (PL) is a fintech firm focused on digitizing commerce through digital payments and issuing solutions for merchants, consumer brands and enterprises, and financial institutions.
  • According to a Redseer Report, PL was the largest player in issuances of closed and semi-closed loop gift cards by transaction value in India in FY24.

Adani Power (ADANIPOWER IN): Bangladesh Clears Dues, Strengthens Balance Sheet

By Rahul Jain

  • Adani Power faced nearly USD 900 million in overdue receivables from its 1,600 MW Godda plant under a long-term export PPA.
  • Bangladesh resumed regular payments and cleared USD 437 million in June; future dues secured via Letter of Credit and sovereign guarantee.
  • Working capital improves over 40%, interest costs fall by ₹300–400 crore, and credit upgrade likely; boosts cash flow and strategic flexibility.

Nykaa Block – US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

By Akshat Shah

  • Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN).
  • He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Crizac Limited IPO Analysis

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Crizac’s INR 860-crore, 100% OFS IPO opens at INR 233-245, giving investors exposure to its fast-growing B2B overseas-education marketplace.
  • International student demand is booming, yet 95 % of revenue hinges on UK-Canada-Ireland; any visa tightening or pricing shock could squeeze growth.
  • Valuation looks fair and model asset-light, but high concentration and no fresh funds temper enthusiasm.

Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism

By Rahul Jain

  • Recent Impact: India’s BIS mandate has disrupted steel imports overnight, stranding shipments and pressuring MSMEs.
  • Pricing: While prices have remained broadly stable so far, rising input tightness and seasonal factors suggest upward pressure is likely ahead.
  • Global Trends: Around 25–35% of global steel trade is now under protectionist measures, reflecting a broader shift toward regionalization and defensive trade policies.

Event Driven: Torrent Acquires JB Chemicals ~ The Second-Largest Pharma Deal in Indian History

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN) is acquiring a controlling stake in J.B. Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals (JBCP IN) for INR 25,689 crore, marking the second-largest pharma deal in India’s history.
  • The acquisition strengthens Torrent’s market share in India, expands its therapeutic presence, and opens entry into the growing CDMO sector, diversifying its business model.
  • The merger is expected to drive revenue growth, improve margins, and provide operational synergies, with long-term gains in both domestic and international markets.

The Beat Ideas: Centrum Capital -Unlocking the Hidden Value from Unity Small Finance Bank

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Centrum Capital’s expansion into Unity Small Finance Bank and Modulus Alternatives marks a significant shift from a niche advisory firm to a diversified platform. This transformation opens new growth avenues.
  • The move to digital banking with Unity SFB and the Modulus AIF enhances Centrum’s ability to capture broader market segments, offering greater revenue diversification and reducing reliance on volatile markets.
  • The shift to digital-first banking and AIF repositions Centrum for long-term growth, making it a more resilient, multi-vertical financial player, though risks related to asset quality and capital needs remain.

India Coal Sector Q1 FY26: Private Miners Surge, CIL Stumbles

By Rahul Jain

  • CIL reports 8.5% drop in June output, while private and captive mines post double-digit growth
  • Unusual monsoon, logistics bottlenecks, and subsidiary underperformance drag PSU volumes
  • Unless execution improves in Q2 and beyond, outlook on CIL remains cautious amid structural market shifts.

Capillary Technologies India Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Capillary Technologies India Ltd (CTIL) (0611334D IN)  is looking to raise about US$240m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are JM Fin, IIFL, Nomura.
  • CTIL provides AI-based, cloud-native SaaS products and solutions, primarily serving enterprise customers generating over ₹8 million in annual revenue from operations.
  • As per the Zinnov Report, CTIL was the global leader in loyalty and engagement management by product count in FY25, and among few offering end-to-end loyalty solutions.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Aneka Tambang Persero and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • CATL (3750 HK) & Antam (ANTM IJ) Break Ground on $6B Integrated Battery Project in Indonesia


CATL (3750 HK) & Antam (ANTM IJ) Break Ground on $6B Integrated Battery Project in Indonesia

By Rahul Jain

  • CATL, Antam, and IBC officially broke ground on a $6 billion integrated battery project in Indonesia on July 1, 2025.
  • What it is: A full value-chain initiative spanning nickel mining to battery recycling, anchored across Karawang (cell production) and East Halmahera (mining, cathode, and recycling).
  • Why it matters: Positions CATL to secure long-term upstream supply and expand regional capacity (~15% of global base), while Antam gains transformative exposure to high-margin downstream battery economics.

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Daily Brief Japan: Nh Foods Ltd, Softbank Group, Daiseki Co Ltd, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Tsubakimoto Kogyo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • NH Foods Placement: Clean up by Norinchukin Bank; Unrelated Buyback May Buffer Deal
  • SoftBank (9984 JP): Challenged by Portfolio Concentration and JPY Strength
  • Daiseki Co Ltd (9793 JP): Q1 FY02/26 flash update
  • Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers
  • Q4 Follow-Up – Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP)


NH Foods Placement: Clean up by Norinchukin Bank; Unrelated Buyback May Buffer Deal

By Nicholas Tan

  • A group of shareholders are looking to raise US$333m from selling their respective stakes in Nh Foods Ltd (2282 JP) .
  • While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind narrative in Japan, the timing of such a selldown isn’t always certain.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

SoftBank (9984 JP): Challenged by Portfolio Concentration and JPY Strength

By Victor Galliano

  • SoftBank group (SBG) relies increasingly on Arm’s premium valuation for NAV growth, with SBG shares having benefited from their high correlation to those of Arm Holdings
  • JPY-USD FX strengthened recently, with the potential for BoJ monetary tightening and Fed easing set to accentuate this trend; SBG is USD asset heavy, and JPY heavy in its liabilities
  • The Vision Funds are slowly seeing IPO exits for private companies; in essence, we see that SBG shares are challenged by (geo)political, concentration, currency and market risks

Daiseki Co Ltd (9793 JP): Q1 FY02/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Daiseki’s Q1 FY02/26 sales rose 7.2% YoY to JPY17.9bn, with operating profit declining 1.9% YoY to JPY3.8bn.
  • Daiseki Co.’s FY02/25 sales reached JPY38.5bn, driven by increased recycled fuel shipments, despite flat wastewater intake.
  • DES’s FY02/25 sales declined 17.4% YoY to JPY19.9bn, with operating profit down 19.3% YoY to JPY2.3bn.

Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Linglong Tire’s new plants in Brazil, Kenya and Anhui in China  
  • Yongsheng Rubber to take advantage of Morocco’s FTA with West  
  • CNTR’s car tire facility to come up at Alexandria in Egypt  

Q4 Follow-Up – Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) announced its Full-year FY2025/3 results on May 8, 2025.
  • The Company achieved record-high orders, sales, and profits across the board, along with a record order backlog.
  • Both net sales and all levels of profit exceeded initial forecasts. This is due to conservative assumptions about the pace of reducing its large order backlog.

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