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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Bluefocus Communication Group Co, Ltd., Makino Milling Machine Co, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen, Action Construction Equipment and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade
  • Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame
  • StubWorld: DFI Exits Robinson Retail
  • Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing – Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds
  • Action Construction Equipment: Record Performance, Defence Opportunity, Agri Turnaround


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.
  • We correctly forecast 7/8 and 8/8 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 4/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
  • Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 9.55bn (US$1.33bn).

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

By Arun George

  • Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) announced a preconditional tender offer from MBK Partners at JPY11,751, a 4.8% premium to last close and a 6.8% premium to Nidec’s withdrawn JPY11,000 offer.
  • The offer is broadly in line with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. The tender offer is expected to commence in early December.
  • Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges with a higher offer.

StubWorld: DFI Exits Robinson Retail

By David Blennerhassett


Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing – Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds

By Sumeet Singh

  • Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)  aims to raise around US$400m in its H-share listing.
  • WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Action Construction Equipment: Record Performance, Defence Opportunity, Agri Turnaround

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Action Construction Equipment (ACCE IN) achieved record revenue and profits in FY25 and Q4, demonstrating strong execution and margin expansion.  
  • Secured single largest order from Ministry of Defence, boosting future defense contribution and supporting Make in India.
  • Management is cautiously optimistic for FY26 due to temporary factors like BS5 price impact, but confident in medium to long-term growth prospects.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Solar Industries India, Pilbara Minerals, Eurasia Mining PLC, Nmdc Ltd, Alto Ingredients, Jindalee Lithium , Base Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade
  • MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in June
  • Eurasia Mining- Initiation of Coverage
  • NMDC Ltd (NSE: NMDC) – Volume-Led Growth Story with Re-Rating Potential
  • Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Alto Ingredients
  • Jindalee Lithium Ltd. – Resource of Inherent Strategic Value for US Self-Sufficiency
  • Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June
  • Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
  • If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
  • Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in June

By Brian Freitas

  • With the review period complete, we forecast no inclusions to the index in June. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
  • Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.9% and a round-trip trade of A$216m.
  • Pilbara Minerals is a potential deletion from the S&P/ASX 50 Index with implementation on the same date. Shorts have been covering but short interest is a big percentage of float.

Eurasia Mining- Initiation of Coverage

By Optimo Capital

  • Eurasia Mining joined AIM in 1999 as a Russia-focused metals and mining company.
  • Initially in a JV with Anglo Platinum, the company undertook extensive exploration (gold, gold-copper & PGMs) in the Urals and the Kola Peninsula, which led to the West Kytlim and Monchetundra discoveries that Eurasia went on to acquire.
  • The company has successfully advanced battery metals and hydrogen metal mines into production in the Russian Arctic.

NMDC Ltd (NSE: NMDC) – Volume-Led Growth Story with Re-Rating Potential

By Rahul Jain

  • Last 3 Years: NMDC’s PAT grew steadily from Rs3,774 Cr in FY23 to Rs6,693 Cr in FY25 (CAGR ~33%), driven by volume growth and margin expansion.
  • Guidance & Plans: Targets 55.4 MT (24% growth) in FY26 and 100 MT by 2030, backed by infra, EC capacity, and pellet expansion.
  • Re-Rating Potential: Meeting volume, margin, and execution targets could trigger valuation re-rating from current below-peer multiples.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June

By Iain Pocock

  • US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years.
  • In Middle East, CFR UAE Group I SN 500 price discount to Group II N500 shrinks to narrowest in more than seven months.
  • In Asia, FOB Asia Group I SN 500 price strengthens vs Group II N500 in May 2025 to firmest level in six months.

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Alto Ingredients

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 1.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.3%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 2.0%).
  • Energy Technology (12.4% of the index) was up 1.1%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was down 0.1%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.2% of the index) was down 2.1%.
  • Top 10 Performers: BNET, LNZA, ETL, NVVE, REVV, OPAL, WML, HYLN, LOOP, GWTI

Jindalee Lithium Ltd. – Resource of Inherent Strategic Value for US Self-Sufficiency

By Water Tower Research

  • Lithium price recovery is a matter of when, not if. Lithium prices that peaked in 2022 at ~$80/kg on heavy inventory build, driven by supply chain concerns, and subsequently collapsed to $8-10/kg, due to oversupply and the slower uptake of EVs in the US and Europe, could begin to recover, perhaps as early as next year.
  • This takes into account that 40% of the industry is operating at a loss in the current price environment and demand for the metal remains robust, with energy storage markets growing 65% Y/Y and EVs growing 29% Y/Y in 1Q25.
  • China’s role in mining and dominance in processing.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June

By Iain Pocock

  • Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia.
  • Firm price differentials point to strong supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to supply more volumes for those markets.
  • Demand would need to hold firm to absorb any such pick-up in supplies.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

By Iain Pocock

  • US Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs VGO since mid-April 2025.
  • Steady price differentials contrast with surge in margins in Q2 2024.
  • Steadier margins so far in Q2 2025 coincide with time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are likely to be tighter than usual.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays unusually high.
  • Firm base oils premium suggests supply remains tight and demand firm, incentivizing refiners to raise output.
  • Gap between Group II light and heavy-grade base oils prices widens more even after restart of growing number of base oils units following scheduled maintenance work.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Lepu Medical Technology A, Aft Pharmaceuticals, D.Western Therapeutics Institute Inc., Evaxion Biotech A/S, Ainos , OSE Immuno, Sareum Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun25 Results: 23/26 Changes Correct Despite Methodology Change
  • AFT Pharmaceuticals — Setting the stage for sustained long-term growth
  • D. Western Therapeutics Institute (DWTI) (4576 JP) – Q1 Follow-Up – June 3, 2025
  • EVAX: Grant For Polio Vaccine Announced
  • Ainos, Inc: AI Nose Increasing Accuracy in Elderly Care Monitoring
  • OSE Immunotherapeutics — ASCO 2025 update showcases Tedopi potential
  • OSE Immunotherapeutics — ASCO 2025 update showcases Tedopi potential
  • Sareum Holdings — A decisive step towards Phase II


Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun25 Results: 23/26 Changes Correct Despite Methodology Change

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The June 2025 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.
  • There will be eight changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 index rebal events.

AFT Pharmaceuticals — Setting the stage for sustained long-term growth

By Edison Investment Research

AFT Pharmaceuticals reported FY25 revenues of N Z$208m, posting a strong recovery in H2, with dissipating headwinds and traditional H2 seasonality offsetting the softer H1 performance. H225 revenues (N Z$121.3m) grew 40% over H125 and 9% y-o-y, driven by sustained domestic market momentum and international market recovery. The FY25 operating margin of 8.5% (12.4% in FY24) was affected by lower licensing income and investments in marketing, R&D and international expansion, but these investments should deliver upside opportunities in the longer term. The balance sheet remains strong (net debt reduced to N Z$14.5m, 0.7x EBITDA), supporting the announcement of a 1.8c per share dividend (c 17% payout ratio). Management aims to achieve N Z$300m in revenues by end-FY27 and has guided for operating profit of N Z$20–24m in FY26, with increased operating leverage in the medium term. We update our valuation for AFT to N Z$691.4m or N Z$6.59/share, from N Z$697.4m or N Z$6.65/share previously.


D. Western Therapeutics Institute (DWTI) (4576 JP) – Q1 Follow-Up – June 3, 2025

By Sessa Investment Research

  • SIR believes DWTI has entered an exciting new phase given significant advances in pipeline development achieved over the last year.
  • Key advances included: 1) publishing favorable topline results of in-house H-1337 PIIb US trials (strong prospects as “first choice as a second-line Glaucoma drug”)
  • 2) commenced jointly developed Japan PII clinical trials of regenerative medicine cell therapy DWR-2206 with ActualEyes, and successfully completing all transplants

EVAX: Grant For Polio Vaccine Announced

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • EVAX is a clinical stage company that has proprietary AI models designed to more efficiently and more accurately target much-needed treatments.
  • The company has two streams of possible revenue: from the treatments themselves and from the licensing of AI technology.
  • The company announced it received a grant to develop a new and unique vaccine with the goal of eradicating polio.

Ainos, Inc: AI Nose Increasing Accuracy in Elderly Care Monitoring

By Water Tower Research

  • Surpassed initial accuracy milestone in elderly care. Ainos provided new AI Nose data in the elderly care co- development project, reaching ~85% accuracy in excretion odor detection.
  • The updated accuracy rate is an improvement over the recently met internal milestone of 80%.
  • Accuracy improved with data-driven AI machine learning. AI Nose achieved 85% accuracy based on 254 subject events in Japan and Taiwan, leading to 2,119 sample entries for statistical evaluation. 

OSE Immunotherapeutics — ASCO 2025 update showcases Tedopi potential

By Edison Investment Research

OSE Immunotherapeutics presented multiple updates at the 61st Annual American Society of Clinical Oncology Conference (ASCO 2025) related to Tedopi, its proprietary off-the-shelf neoepitope-based cancer vaccine. Notably, detailed results were published for TEDOPaM, the investigator-sponsored Phase II trial assessing Tedopi in combination with FOLFIRI in patients with pancreatic cancer (positive top-line data first announced in March 2025). In our view, the results were highly encouraging, especially as this is a difficult-to-treat form of cancer where patients face very poor prognoses. Separately, OSE presented an overview of its lead programme, ARTEMIA, a Phase III registrational trial for Tedopi in non-small cell lung cancer, confirming that enrolment is progressing according to plan. Collectively, we believe the ASCO 2025 update highlights Tedopi’s promising potential in addressing multiple tumour types for HLA-A2 positive patients, showcasing the value proposition for the candidate.


OSE Immunotherapeutics — ASCO 2025 update showcases Tedopi potential

By Edison Investment Research

OSE Immunotherapeutics presented multiple updates at the 61st Annual American Society of Clinical Oncology Conference (ASCO 2025) related to Tedopi, its proprietary off-the-shelf neoepitope-based cancer vaccine. Notably, detailed results were published for TEDOPaM, the investigator-sponsored Phase II trial assessing Tedopi in combination with FOLFIRI in patients with pancreatic cancer (positive top-line data first announced in March 2025). In our view, the results were highly encouraging, especially as this is a difficult-to-treat form of cancer where patients face very poor prognoses. Separately, OSE presented an overview of its lead programme, ARTEMIA, a Phase III registrational trial for Tedopi in non-small cell lung cancer (FOLFIRI), confirming that enrolment is progressing according to plan. Collectively, we believe the ASCO 2025 update highlights Tedopi’s promising potential in addressing multiple tumour types for HLA-A2 positive patients, showcasing the value proposition for the candidate.


Sareum Holdings — A decisive step towards Phase II

By Edison Investment Research

Sareum Holdings has reported the initiation of toxicology studies required ahead of the Phase II studies for its lead TYK2/JAK1 asset, SDC-1801. We view this as a key milestone in SDC-1801’s development plan, with results likely to bolster any upcoming discussions with potential licensing partners. The studies will evaluate SDC-1801’s general toxicology and potential drug-drug interactions, with completion expected in Q4 CY25. With a cash runway into 2026, the company is well funded to reach this milestone. This news follows Sareum’s recent decision to test its TYK2/JAK1 programme in central nervous system (CNS) indications, following supportive preclinical data. TYK2/JAK1 mediate the activity of neuroinflammatory cytokines, such as IL-6, IL-12, IL-23, IFN-α/β, and are emerging as potential targets in CNS, a space that has seen a resurgence in activity and investor interest.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI 200 Update: Market Moves After Lee Jae-Myung’s Victory


KOSPI 200 Update: Market Moves After Lee Jae-Myung’s Victory

By Nico Rosti

  • Lee Jae-myung’s is projected to win the Presidential Elections in South Korea. The Democratic Party of Korea candidate said he wants to revive the economy and stabilize the stock market.
  • At the moment of writing (around midnight Singapore time) the KOSPI 200 INDEX‘s reaction is positive, the futures are rising towards the most recent, last week highs (363).
  • This is a quick review of our most recent KOSPI 200’s tactical setups, in light of the political news coming out of the polls.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Bank Negara Indonesia Persero and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Indonesian Banks; We Stick with Our Key Pick Bank Negara (BBNI IJ)


Indonesian Banks; We Stick with Our Key Pick Bank Negara (BBNI IJ)

By Victor Galliano

  • Negara is our top pick in the Indonesian banks, based on our proprietary scorecard; it scores well based on attractive valuations, sound credit quality metrics and potential for improved returns
  • The PB value in Negara is especially apparent relative to Permata; Negara trades at a 50%+ PBV ratio discount to Permata, which we believe is not warranted by the fundamentals
  • We downgrade Mandiri from a buy to a neutral rating; it is no longer, in our view, compelling based on PBV ratio and now looks expensive in PEG ratio terms

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Daily Brief United States: Interactive Brokers Group, Inc, Slide Insurance Holdings, Circle Internet Group, Ategrity Specialty Holdings, VEON, Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I, Ainos , Evaxion Biotech A/S, Alto Ingredients and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?
  • Slide Holdings Insurance, Inc.(SLDE): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Another Florida Based Insurer
  • Circle IPO Analysis (Second Largest Issuer of Stablecoins Globally)
  • Ategrity Specialty Holdings (ASIC):  Specialty Insurer the Next to Debut, Sets Terms for IPO
  • VEON US: Pakistan Towers Sale Frees Capital for Digital Growth in Core Market Ahead of Ukraine IPO
  • Exploring Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Asset Sales, Company Sales and More
  • Ainos, Inc: AI Nose Increasing Accuracy in Elderly Care Monitoring
  • EVAX: Grant For Polio Vaccine Announced
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Alto Ingredients


S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Slide Holdings Insurance, Inc.(SLDE): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Another Florida Based Insurer

By IPO Boutique

  • They write several homeowners’, condominium owners’, and commercial residential products in coastal specialty markets in Florida and South Carolina.
  • For the three months ended March 31, 2024 and March 31, 2025, they had gross premiums written of $245 million and $278 million.
  • The strong performance of peers could provide a potential tailwind for this IPO. 

Circle IPO Analysis (Second Largest Issuer of Stablecoins Globally)

By Douglas Kim

  • Circle raised both the IPO shares to be issued and IPO price range. New IPO price range is $27 to $28 per share (from $24 to $26 per share previously).
  • We have a Positive View of the Circle due to its status as the second largest issuer of stablecoins globally, rapidly increasing user base and sales, and improving profit margins. 
  • Major risk factors of this IPO include CBDCs, centralization, cyberattacks, and potential government crackdown. 

Ategrity Specialty Holdings (ASIC):  Specialty Insurer the Next to Debut, Sets Terms for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Ategrity Specialty Holdings will be offering 6.67 million shares at a $14-$16 range equating to a $659m-$753m valuation.
  • For the three months ended March 31, 2025, they wrote $116.1 million in gross written premiums, an increase of $34.5 million, or 42.3%.
  • The underwriters have reserved for sale, at the initial public offering price, up to 7% of the shares offered.

VEON US: Pakistan Towers Sale Frees Capital for Digital Growth in Core Market Ahead of Ukraine IPO

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • VEON last week announced it has secured regulatory approvals for its tower asset partnership with Engro Corp in Pakistan, unlocking US$563 million in value. 
  • Cash portion of funds will be paid in tranches and received in Pakistan, with flexibility to upstream capital or reinvest locally.
  • Transaction supports VEON’s ongoing transformation at the Group level and digital growth strategy in Pakistan while offering a roadmap for similar value creation in Ukraine.

Exploring Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Asset Sales, Company Sales and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • Renatus Tactical Acquisition, a SPAC targeting crypto/blockchain, shows 3% return with capped downside at 15%, potential speculative inflows.
  • Wanda Hotel Development’s asset sale exceeds market cap, plans capital return, 20% upside; Lifeway Foods sale to Danone expected.
  • Liquidia’s FDA-approved Yutrepia drug targets significant market share, 100%+ upside; Currency Exchange International’s FX Payments segment shows high growth.

Ainos, Inc: AI Nose Increasing Accuracy in Elderly Care Monitoring

By Water Tower Research

  • Surpassed initial accuracy milestone in elderly care. Ainos provided new AI Nose data in the elderly care co- development project, reaching ~85% accuracy in excretion odor detection.
  • The updated accuracy rate is an improvement over the recently met internal milestone of 80%.
  • Accuracy improved with data-driven AI machine learning. AI Nose achieved 85% accuracy based on 254 subject events in Japan and Taiwan, leading to 2,119 sample entries for statistical evaluation. 

EVAX: Grant For Polio Vaccine Announced

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • EVAX is a clinical stage company that has proprietary AI models designed to more efficiently and more accurately target much-needed treatments.
  • The company has two streams of possible revenue: from the treatments themselves and from the licensing of AI technology.
  • The company announced it received a grant to develop a new and unique vaccine with the goal of eradicating polio.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays unusually high.
  • Firm base oils premium suggests supply remains tight and demand firm, incentivizing refiners to raise output.
  • Gap between Group II light and heavy-grade base oils prices widens more even after restart of growing number of base oils units following scheduled maintenance work.

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Alto Ingredients

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 1.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.3%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 2.0%).
  • Energy Technology (12.4% of the index) was up 1.1%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was down 0.1%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.2% of the index) was down 2.1%.
  • Top 10 Performers: BNET, LNZA, ETL, NVVE, REVV, OPAL, WML, HYLN, LOOP, GWTI

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Daily Brief Financials: New World Development, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc, Slide Insurance Holdings, NSE Nifty Bank Index, Ategrity Specialty Holdings, State Bank Of India, Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I, Cofinimmo SA, China Jinmao Holdings, Bank Negara Indonesia Persero and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • NWD (17 HK): Markets Pricing In A Bust
  • S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?
  • Slide Holdings Insurance, Inc.(SLDE): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Another Florida Based Insurer
  • This Friday’s RBI Decision: Nifty Bank Slips Either Way, History Suggests
  • Ategrity Specialty Holdings (ASIC):  Specialty Insurer the Next to Debut, Sets Terms for IPO
  • State Bank of India (SBIN IN): Reserve Bank of India Day Patterns Offer a Tactical Trade Setup
  • Exploring Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Asset Sales, Company Sales and More
  • Aedifica/Cofinimmo: Revised Terms Cement Merger in European Healthcare REITs
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Indonesian Banks; We Stick with Our Key Pick Bank Negara (BBNI IJ)


NWD (17 HK): Markets Pricing In A Bust

By David Blennerhassett

  • 0.052x P/B! That’s New World Development (17 HK)‘s current trailing  P/B ratio; roughly a quarter of the next comparable real estate peer.
  • What’s new? The latest decline followed an announcement on the 30th May that it would defer payments on its perpetual bonds.
  • NWD’s 6.15% and 4.8% perpetuals fell to 23 cents and 15.5 cents on the dollar on 2nd June, suggesting the market is pricing in the possibility of a bust.

S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Slide Holdings Insurance, Inc.(SLDE): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Another Florida Based Insurer

By IPO Boutique

  • They write several homeowners’, condominium owners’, and commercial residential products in coastal specialty markets in Florida and South Carolina.
  • For the three months ended March 31, 2024 and March 31, 2025, they had gross premiums written of $245 million and $278 million.
  • The strong performance of peers could provide a potential tailwind for this IPO. 

This Friday’s RBI Decision: Nifty Bank Slips Either Way, History Suggests

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, June 6, 2025. Market consensus expects a rate cut to 5.75%.
  • Analysis of the NSE Nifty Bank Index over the past decade shows consistent negative returns on rate decision days when a cut is expected—regardless of whether the cut is delivered.
  • This Insight highlights actionable insights for traders by revealing historical patterns in the Nifty Bank Index’s behavior on RBI rate decision days and breaking down market reactions by scenario.

Ategrity Specialty Holdings (ASIC):  Specialty Insurer the Next to Debut, Sets Terms for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Ategrity Specialty Holdings will be offering 6.67 million shares at a $14-$16 range equating to a $659m-$753m valuation.
  • For the three months ended March 31, 2025, they wrote $116.1 million in gross written premiums, an increase of $34.5 million, or 42.3%.
  • The underwriters have reserved for sale, at the initial public offering price, up to 7% of the shares offered.

State Bank of India (SBIN IN): Reserve Bank of India Day Patterns Offer a Tactical Trade Setup

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, June 6, 2025. Market consensus expects a rate cut to 5.75%.
  • Analysis of the State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) over the past decade shows mostly negative returns on rate decision days when a cut is expected.
  • This Insight highlights actionable insights for traders by revealing historical patterns in the State Bank Of India’s behavior on RBI rate decision days and breaking down price dynamics by scenario.

Exploring Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Asset Sales, Company Sales and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • Renatus Tactical Acquisition, a SPAC targeting crypto/blockchain, shows 3% return with capped downside at 15%, potential speculative inflows.
  • Wanda Hotel Development’s asset sale exceeds market cap, plans capital return, 20% upside; Lifeway Foods sale to Danone expected.
  • Liquidia’s FDA-approved Yutrepia drug targets significant market share, 100%+ upside; Currency Exchange International’s FX Payments segment shows high growth.

Aedifica/Cofinimmo: Revised Terms Cement Merger in European Healthcare REITs

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Revised 1.185x exchange ratio unlocks a negotiated, board-backed path to Europe’s largest healthcare REIT, addressing prior valuation pushback and aligning institutional holders.
  • EPS accretive by 15.6% in 2026, driven by €16m in synergies and stronger funding optionality; upside anchored by operational scale, not leverage.
  • Spread of ~1.9% (~5.1% annualized) reflects low interloper risk and deal certainty; attractive risk-reward for directional or hedged exposure near NTA.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • US treasuries fell and yields rose yesterday, amid renewed US-China trade tensions and a large supply of corporate issuances.
  • Yields on the 2Y and 10Y USTs rose 4 bps to 3.94% and 4.44%, respectively.
  • Equities climbed, led by tech stocks, after the White House indicated that US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping will “likely” speak this week.

Indonesian Banks; We Stick with Our Key Pick Bank Negara (BBNI IJ)

By Victor Galliano

  • Negara is our top pick in the Indonesian banks, based on our proprietary scorecard; it scores well based on attractive valuations, sound credit quality metrics and potential for improved returns
  • The PB value in Negara is especially apparent relative to Permata; Negara trades at a 50%+ PBV ratio discount to Permata, which we believe is not warranted by the fundamentals
  • We downgrade Mandiri from a buy to a neutral rating; it is no longer, in our view, compelling based on PBV ratio and now looks expensive in PEG ratio terms

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Daily Brief Singapore: Jardine Matheson Holdings, IFBH and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: DFI Exits Robinson Retail
  • IFBH Ltd Pre- IPO – Growth Driven by Coconut Water Products Amid High Concentration Risks


StubWorld: DFI Exits Robinson Retail

By David Blennerhassett


IFBH Ltd Pre- IPO – Growth Driven by Coconut Water Products Amid High Concentration Risks

By Akshat Shah

  • IFBH (IFBH HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Nexchip Semiconductor , Mediatek Inc, Xiaomi Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Circle Internet Group, Lens Technology , Plover Bay Technologies, VEON and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: One Change with Big Impact
  • TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): 1Q25, Home Appliance Up by 59% and Capacities Under Construction
  • TSMC Wafer Price Increase ~30-40% at Each Node (N2-A16-A14), that Will Eventually Limit Demand
  • Circle IPO Analysis (Second Largest Issuer of Stablecoins Globally)
  • Smartphone 2025 Shipments Revised Down, PC Revised Up (IDC). Mediatek a Tad Expensive, TSMC Cheaper.
  • [Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$55) TP Change]: Trade-In Subsidy Is Still the Main Driver
  • Lens Technology H-Share Listing: First Look
  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025
  • VEON US: Pakistan Towers Sale Frees Capital for Digital Growth in Core Market Ahead of Ukraine IPO


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: One Change with Big Impact

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 13 June.
  • Passive trackers are estimated to buy 2.7x ADV in Nexchip Semiconductor (688249 CH) and sell 1.5x ADV in Amlogic Shanghai (688099 CH)
  • The delete has outperformed the inclusion this year. With 8 days left to implementation of the changes and decent impact, there could be a short-term reversal.

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 16 adds and 6 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$12.4bn.
  • The ETF has started trading the stocks and are expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days. In reality, the process could drag on for some stocks.
  • The index committee appears to have a little discretion in choosing the inclusions with one expected add not being added and one lower ranked stock being added to the index.

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 1Q25, Home Appliance Up by 59% and Capacities Under Construction

By Ming Lu

  • In 1Q25, total revenue grew by 47% YoY with home appliance up by 59% YoY.
  • Both home appliance and electric vehicle will expand their capacities.
  • The stock has an upside of 29% and a price target of HK$66 for the next twelve months.

TSMC Wafer Price Increase ~30-40% at Each Node (N2-A16-A14), that Will Eventually Limit Demand

By Nicolas Baratte

  • A N3 wafer costs US$20k. Taiwan news mention N2 price at $30k, 16A at $45k. That’s a bit inflated but price increase at each node will be a hefty ~30-40%. 
  • It will become difficult for PC, Smartphone to absorb a US$40k wafer cpst, or to use the chip’s performance in these devices. The addressable market will shrink: AI, Networking, Server. 
  • TSMC’s growth will come more from wafer price increase than from volume growth. It’s already the case! Could be a problem for Semi Production Equipment vendors: scale will be smaller.

Circle IPO Analysis (Second Largest Issuer of Stablecoins Globally)

By Douglas Kim

  • Circle raised both the IPO shares to be issued and IPO price range. New IPO price range is $27 to $28 per share (from $24 to $26 per share previously).
  • We have a Positive View of the Circle due to its status as the second largest issuer of stablecoins globally, rapidly increasing user base and sales, and improving profit margins. 
  • Major risk factors of this IPO include CBDCs, centralization, cyberattacks, and potential government crackdown. 

Smartphone 2025 Shipments Revised Down, PC Revised Up (IDC). Mediatek a Tad Expensive, TSMC Cheaper.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • IDC has revised down 2025 Smartphone unit growth from 2.3% to 0.6%; increased PC from 3.7% to 4.5% but expects a decline in 2026. 
  • The positive for Mediatek is AI in Mobile chips, but it’s a secondary driver compared to AI ASIC design. Mediatek stock is more expensive than TSMC despite lower visibility.
  • I don’t see any stock for which PC is a positive. The risk remain over-estimating replacement demand ahead of Windows 10 end-of-support in Oct-25.

[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$55) TP Change]: Trade-In Subsidy Is Still the Main Driver

By Eric Wen

  • Xiaomi reported C1Q25 top line, non-IFRS operating income and IFRS net profit 2.0%, 41% and 57% vs. our estimate. 
  • While there are a few product positives supporting outperformance, the main driver is still trade-in subsidy (TIS), which will start to end in C3Q25;
  • We continue to view Xiaomi as having an enviable market position as a “Huawei without the sanctions”, its valuation has also become very rich.

Lens Technology H-Share Listing: First Look

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Shenzhen-Listed iPhone glass supplier Lens Technology (300433 CH) has filed for a listing on HKEx and plans to raise proceeds of around US$1-1.5bn.
  • The company is heavily reliant on smartphones (mainly iPhones) however has diversified into other verticals. While this has helped grow revenues, margins have continued to decline.
  • Though some exemptions have been given, the potential for further US reciprocal tariffs could increase costs and disrupt supply chains impacting Lens.

Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025

By Sameer Taneja

  • We expect the Trump tariffs announced on Taiwan (base for suppliers/production of Plover Bay) to slightly affect growth rates for H1 FY25 and estimate a 15%/13% YoY revenue/profit growth number. 
  • A 32% tariff was imposed on Taiwan suppliers; however, electronic items, including routers, were subsequently excluded. Nonetheless, overall business sentiment had already been negatively impacted before these adjustments.
  • Trading at 19.4x FY25e earnings (assuming a reversion to 15% growth), the stock is somewhat fairly valued, although we love this name’s execution and long-term track record. 

VEON US: Pakistan Towers Sale Frees Capital for Digital Growth in Core Market Ahead of Ukraine IPO

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • VEON last week announced it has secured regulatory approvals for its tower asset partnership with Engro Corp in Pakistan, unlocking US$563 million in value. 
  • Cash portion of funds will be paid in tranches and received in Pakistan, with flexibility to upstream capital or reinvest locally.
  • Transaction supports VEON’s ongoing transformation at the Group level and digital growth strategy in Pakistan while offering a roadmap for similar value creation in Ukraine.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Bluefocus Communication Group Co, Ltd., Makino Milling Machine Co, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen, Action Construction Equipment and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade
  • Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame
  • StubWorld: DFI Exits Robinson Retail
  • Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing – Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds
  • Action Construction Equipment: Record Performance, Defence Opportunity, Agri Turnaround


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.3bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.
  • We correctly forecast 7/8 and 8/8 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 4/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
  • Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 9.55bn (US$1.33bn).

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

By Arun George

  • Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) announced a preconditional tender offer from MBK Partners at JPY11,751, a 4.8% premium to last close and a 6.8% premium to Nidec’s withdrawn JPY11,000 offer.
  • The offer is broadly in line with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. The tender offer is expected to commence in early December.
  • Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges with a higher offer.

StubWorld: DFI Exits Robinson Retail

By David Blennerhassett


Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing – Market Leader but Has Been Facing Industry Headwinds

By Sumeet Singh

  • Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)  aims to raise around US$400m in its H-share listing.
  • WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Action Construction Equipment: Record Performance, Defence Opportunity, Agri Turnaround

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Action Construction Equipment (ACCE IN) achieved record revenue and profits in FY25 and Q4, demonstrating strong execution and margin expansion.  
  • Secured single largest order from Ministry of Defence, boosting future defense contribution and supporting Make in India.
  • Management is cautiously optimistic for FY26 due to temporary factors like BS5 price impact, but confident in medium to long-term growth prospects.

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