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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): SAMSUNG LIFE and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): SAMSUNG LIFE, HYBE, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, SKC


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): SAMSUNG LIFE, HYBE, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, SKC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated short interest was USD12.2bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in SAMSUNG LIFE, HYBE, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, SKC.

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Daily Brief ESG: Keppel Infrastructure Trust (KIT) – Global Marine Group Acquisition: A Case for Rejection and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Keppel Infrastructure Trust (KIT) – Global Marine Group Acquisition: A Case for Rejection


Keppel Infrastructure Trust (KIT) – Global Marine Group Acquisition: A Case for Rejection

By Tan Yee Peng

  • Corporate Monitor strongly recommends that unitholders of Keppel Infrastructure Trust (“KIT”) reject the proposed acquisition of a 46.7% interest in Global Marine Group (“GMG”) for approximately S$119 million, with additional equity commitment of S$68 million.
  • Keppel Infrastructure Fund (“KIF”), managed by Keppel Ltd., owns another 46.7% stake and the balance is held by a co-investor.
  • KIT argues that GMG operates in a resilient, high-barrier subsea cable industry supported by strong structural demand drivers.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Goldman Says 20% Downside and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Goldman Says 20% Downside
  • REITs Beyond the STI: A Review of the REIT Components of the IEdge Singapore Next 50 Indices
  • Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated
  • Monday Delight: 03/11/25
  • US EV Charging Infrastructure Tracker – October 2025
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (04-Nov-2025): Temasek considering merger of Mapletree, Capitaland.
  • Singapore Market Roundup (04-Nov-2025): UOB KayHian rates ASL Marine ‘Buy’, target at 33 cents.


Ohayo Japan | Goldman Says 20% Downside

By Mark Chadwick

  • Equities fell on valuation concerns as AI stocks declined despite strong earnings, with Palantir dropping 8%.
  • Nintendo’s 1H net profit surged 83% to ¥198bn on 110% higher sales, with FY3/26 profit forecast raised 26% to ¥350bn, driven by strong Switch 2 sales plans.
  • Japan still earnings driven but stronger yen, weak overseas stocks and lower Futures suggest a period of consolidation.

REITs Beyond the STI: A Review of the REIT Components of the IEdge Singapore Next 50 Indices

By Garreth Elston

  • Of the 30 companies that constitute the Straits Times Index (STI), Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have long been a cornerstone.
  • For investors seeking growth and diversification beyond the blue-chip giants, the iEdge Singapore Next 50 indices present a compelling hunting ground beyond the 30 largest companies on the SGX. 
  • These indices track the next 50 largest stocks after the top 30 SGX stocks ranked by market capitalization, and are home to a dynamic cohort of REITs.

Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated

By Andrew Jackson

  • SMCI (bad)and AMD (good) numbers failing to lift the mood AH with CEO’s of GS, MS, Capital Group calling for a correction.
  • Lasertec, Advantest, TEL and Kokusai likely to wobble at the open, but it may be too early for dip-buying yet.
  • Nintendo posts impressive numbers and guidance looks obviously conservative with the NSW2 set to be their best selling console ever.

Monday Delight: 03/11/25

By Contrarian Cashflows

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.

Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.

If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!


US EV Charging Infrastructure Tracker – October 2025

By Garvit Bhandari

  • U.S. had 78,692 public EV stations and 235,398 ports as of Oct 2025, up 4.9% YTD; California led with 24% share.
  • ChargePoint dominates Level 2 chargers (33% share), while Tesla leads in DC Fast charging (54% of total DC ports). Electrify America and EVgo follow with ~8% and 7% shares.
  • Europe surpassed 1 million charge points; China reached 4.32 million public and 17.35 million total chargers by Aug 2025.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (04-Nov-2025): Temasek considering merger of Mapletree, Capitaland.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Temasek is considering a merger between Mapletree and Capitaland to form a $150 billion fund manager.
  • Wee Hur and Aravest are collaborating to acquire Singapore’s Hotel Miramar for $123 million.
  • Aravest has also acquired a 50% stake in a Brisbane office tower for $131 million with SMFL’s backing.

Singapore Market Roundup (04-Nov-2025): UOB KayHian rates ASL Marine ‘Buy’, target at 33 cents.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • UOB KayHian issues ‘Buy’ rating for ASL Marine, target price at 33 cents.
  • Analysts boost outlook on Wilmar after 3Q update and Indonesia cooking oil case end.
  • CGSI expects DFI to prioritize medium-term goals and acquisitions at the investor day.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Magnificent Seven’s Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month SPX Uptrend and 50-Day MA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Magnificent Seven’s Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month SPX Uptrend and 50-Day MA


Magnificent Seven’s Turn to Shine; Buy Pullbacks to 3+ Month SPX Uptrend and 50-Day MA

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • SPX is pulling back after hitting all-time highs; the gap at 6750-6772 is short-term support, and it is a clear sign bulls remain in control if this gap remains unfilled.
  • We will stay near-term bullish as long as the 3+ month uptrend continues (currently at ~6675). Additional supports include 6550-6569, 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6290, 6200, and 6100-6150

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Daily Brief ECM: Hitachi Construction Machinery Block – US$450m Selldown by Hitachi and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hitachi Construction Machinery Block – US$450m Selldown by Hitachi
  • Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Trading Debut
  • Groww IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation
  • Sify Infinit Spaces Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Mr DIY Thailand IPO Trading: Shareholders Pledged Lockup; Midteens Upside
  • Seres Group A/H Trading – Demand Wasn’t Very Strong, Close to Fair Value
  • BillionToOne (BLLN) IPO: High-Growth Molecular Diagnostics Firm Captures Strong Investor Interest
  • Shawbrook Group (SHAW): Strong Financial Performance and Significant Re-Rating Potential Post-IPO
  • Meesho Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • NovaBridge (新桥生物) Pre-IPO Quick Take: A Renewed I-MAB?


Hitachi Construction Machinery Block – US$450m Selldown by Hitachi

By Akshat Shah

  • Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) aims to raise around US$452m via a 6.97% stake sale in Hitachi Construction Machinery Co. Post the selldown, Hitachi’s stake will reduce to 18.4%.
  • Hitachi Construction Machinery Co (HCMC) is a Japanese company that designs, manufactures, sells, and services construction and mining equipment.
  • In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Trading Debut

By Arun George


Groww IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

By Akshat Shah

  • Groww (1573648D IN) is looking to raise around US$747m in its India IPO.Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.
  • With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Sify Infinit Spaces Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Sify Infinit Spaces Ltd (2026850D IN) is looking to raise about US$484m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by JM Fin, CLSA, JPM, Kotak and MS.
  • SISL is a provider of data center colocation services in India. The firm had 14 colocation data center facilities across six cities in India, as of June 30, 2025. 
  • According to the 1Lattice and C&W Report, it had a built IT power capacity of 188.04 megawatt (MW) across these facilities, as of June 30, 2025.

Mr DIY Thailand IPO Trading: Shareholders Pledged Lockup; Midteens Upside

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) (2472516D TB) is looking to raise up to US$173m in its upcoming Thai IPO.
  • It is recognized as the largest and fastest growing home improvement and general lifestyle retailer in Thailand.
  • In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Seres Group A/H Trading – Demand Wasn’t Very Strong, Close to Fair Value

By Sumeet Singh

  • Seres Group (601127 CH),  a Chinese NEV manufacturer, raised around US$2.1bn in its H-share listing.
  • Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about IPO trading dynamics.

BillionToOne (BLLN) IPO: High-Growth Molecular Diagnostics Firm Captures Strong Investor Interest

By IPO Boutique

  • Single-Molecule precision enables highly accurate, scalable tests across prenatal and oncology diagnostics, setting BillionToOne apart from traditional sequencing-based competitors.
  • BillionToOne delivers 100%+ revenue growth, 69% gross margins, and positive EBITDA—rare performance metrics in molecular diagnostics ahead of its $2.3B IPO.
  • IPO is multiple-times oversubscribed with long-only healthcare anchors and top-tier backers, signaling strong institutional confidence ahead of pricing.

Shawbrook Group (SHAW): Strong Financial Performance and Significant Re-Rating Potential Post-IPO

By Juan Pedro Rodríguez Serrate

  • Strong post-IPO performance: listed at £3.70/share, now £3.90, valuing Shawbrook near £2bn with forecast 2026 P/E of 7x and up to 93% implied upside.
  • Robust fundamentals: 15% loan growth, 17% income growth, 36% cost-to-income ratio, and RoTE above 15%, supporting premium valuation versus UK peers.
  • Strategic positioning: combines challenger bank scalability with specialist credit discipline, offering best-in-class efficiency and resilient asset quality.

Meesho Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Meesho (1546271D IN) is looking to raise about US$484m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, Citi, Kotak, JPM and MS.
  • ML is an e-commerce marketplace which offers a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional brands and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
  • The platform connects four key stakeholders: consumers, sellers, logistics partners, and content creators. It monetizes its platform through services provided to sellers such as order fulfilment, advertising, and data insights.

NovaBridge (新桥生物) Pre-IPO Quick Take: A Renewed I-MAB?

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • NovaBridge Therapeutics, a China-based clinical-stage biotech company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. GS and CITIC are the joint sponsors.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s history and its core product, givastomig.
  • We are of the view that there is no fundamental improvement in the company, since it changed its name and restructured its China business.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Medco Energi
  • UST yields climbed 3-4 bps across the curve yesterday, amid heightened corporate supply after Alphabet Inc issued USD 25 bn of USD- and EUR-denominated bonds. The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST rose 3 bps each to 3.61% and 4.11%, respectively.
  • Equities climbed, supported by tech stocks after Amazon’s Cloud unit inked a USD 38 bn deal with OpenAI. The S&P 500 edged up 0.2% to 6,852, while the Nasdaq grew 0.5% to 23,835.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Matheson’s Motive For Avoiding MAND’s Dissentient Shareholders and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Matheson’s Motive For Avoiding MAND’s Dissentient Shareholders
  • [Japan Activism] DeNA Attracts Murakami Group – Potentially Squeezable With Reason
  • Mandom (4917 JP): Countermeasures Ostensibly to Buy Time for a Higher Offer
  • D’Alba Global – End of Lockup Period For 10% of Outstanding Shares
  • TTSH Plans Delisting via Reverse/Forward Stock Split Amidst Potential Privatization and Shareholder Dynamics
  • Current Active Merger Arbitrage Opportunities and Potential Buyouts
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Arbitrage, SPACs, Mergers, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • DuPont Completes the Spin-Off of Qnity Electronics Inc.; Regular Way Trading Commences


Matheson’s Motive For Avoiding MAND’s Dissentient Shareholders

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in 2021, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) took 84.89%-held Jardine Strategic (JS SP) private by way of an Amalgamation. As Matheson was permitted to vote, the outcome was assured. 
  • Less clear are “fair value” appraisal rights afforded Strategic’s dissentient shareholders, the outcome of which navigates the Bermuda/UK courts. To date, dissenters have mostly had their way.
  • Which may have precipitated Matheson opting for a (full value) Scheme for Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP), in which appraisal rights are not afforded.

[Japan Activism] DeNA Attracts Murakami Group – Potentially Squeezable With Reason

By Travis Lundy

  • Last week, “Murakami Group” (a group of investors who jointly file large shareholder filings) announced a 5+% stake in DeNA (2432 JP). The stock popped. Then they filed again.
  • This was not surprising. It has long been known as a “value” name (and has the requisite short balance to prove it). The question is how much value IS there
  • The question is how much value IS there. And to whom? It’s an interesting question which deserves a look, so we take a look.  

Mandom (4917 JP): Countermeasures Ostensibly to Buy Time for a Higher Offer

By Arun George

  • Mandom Corp (4917 JP) has proposed countermeasures in response to Murakami’s 18.87% voting stake and to ostensibly secure time for an alternative, viable (higher) offer.
  • The read-across from the proposal is that CVC’s offer at current terms will fail, CVC is unwilling to match Murakami/Hibiki’s expectations, and there could be genuine interest from third-party bidders. 
  • Nevertheless, countermeasures are unnecessary as the share price and presence of activists provide the time needed for the Board’s purported aim to secure a higher offer.       

D’Alba Global – End of Lockup Period For 10% of Outstanding Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • There is an end of a lock-up period for 1.3 million shares (10% of outstanding shares) for d’Alba Global starting 22 November 2025.
  • This could potentially result in additional selling by insiders which could negatively impact its share price in the coming weeks. We remain Bearish on d’Alba Global.
  • The overall proportion of freely tradable shares, which was only 32.7% right after listing, will increase to 83.9% one year later. 

TTSH Plans Delisting via Reverse/Forward Stock Split Amidst Potential Privatization and Shareholder Dynamics

By Special Situation Investments

  • TTSH plans to delist from Nasdaq using a reverse/forward stock split, cashing out fractional shareholders at $6.60/share.
  • Management owns 37% of TTSH, while Fund 1 Investments holds 29%; approval of the proposal is likely.
  • Historical precedents show similar reverse/forward split transactions mostly succeed, with only 2 out of 11 failing.

Current Active Merger Arbitrage Opportunities and Potential Buyouts

By Special Situation Investments

  • Challenger Energy Group’s merger with Sintana Energy offers a 15% actionable spread, with easy hedging options via Sintana borrow.
  • WonderFi Technologies’ acquisition by Robinhood awaits Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization consent, with a buyout expected in H2 2025.
  • Falcon Oil & Gas asset sale to TBN involves a fluctuating spread of 30%-50%, with minimal risk of deal collapse.

Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Arbitrage, SPACs, Mergers, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • Bel Fuse’s Class A and B shares have a 25% price spread; historical trends suggest eventual price convergence.
  • Lennar’s divestiture of MRP stake offers a 6.38% premium; government shutdown delays SEC approval, affecting exchange timeline.
  • LakeShore Biopharma’s privatization offer faces widened spread due to Nasdaq delisting; liquidity issues persist despite 18% upside potential.

DuPont Completes the Spin-Off of Qnity Electronics Inc.; Regular Way Trading Commences

By Garvit Bhandari

  • On November 1, 2025, DuPont (NYSE: DD) completed the separation of its Electronics business as Qnity Electronics, Inc. (NYSE: Q), into a separate public company.
  • Regular-Way trading commenced on November 3, 2025.DD gained 2.97%, while Q lost -1.02% on the first day of regular way trading.
  • On an overall basis, DD (consolidated) gained 5.91% since the spin-off announcement on May 22, 2024, underperforming S&P 500 which gained 29.1% during the same period.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: SK Hynix Should Continue to Benefit from Local Flow. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • SK Hynix Should Continue to Benefit from Local Flow.
  • Nintendo (7974) | A New Cycle Begins
  • POSCO Holdings — From Steel Giant to Green Materials Powerhouse
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Latest Assessment Remains Positive
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek’s Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power
  • Primer: Sify Technologies (SIFY US) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Orion Corp (271560 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) – Nov 2025
  • Barry Callebaut (BARN SW) – Tuesday, Aug 5, 2025


SK Hynix Should Continue to Benefit from Local Flow.

By Ken S. Kim


Nintendo (7974) | A New Cycle Begins

By Mark Chadwick

  • Cycle Execution: Switch 2 launch momentum is strong, with disciplined guidance and improving margins, suggesting Nintendo’s hardware transition is proceeding smoothly and could drive further upward revisions. 
  • Earnings Quality: Conservative assumptions, resilient legacy software, and early signs of operating leverage provide visibility into sustainable mid-cycle profitability beyond initial launch dynamics. 
  • Valuation & Positioning: Despite a 60% rally and premium multiples, Nintendo remains the purest global gaming IP play, justifying elevated valuation through enduring creative and structural advantages.

POSCO Holdings — From Steel Giant to Green Materials Powerhouse

By Rahul Jain

  • POSCO is shifting from cyclical steel to sustainable, high-margin materials and hydrogen technologies.
  • Earnings recovery and RBM scale-up underpin a 15–35% re-rating potential by FY27.
  • Strong asset base, improving margins, and carbon-neutral roadmap limit downside risk.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Latest Assessment Remains Positive

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • We now expect the privatisation of ENN Energy (2688 HK) to be completed by mid-2026, given that the pre-conditions are yet to be satisfied.
  • For 3Q25, the gas sales volume of ENN Energy has picked up. Meanwhile, net profit for ENN Natural Gas has also recovered. Both results are positive.
  • Incorporating our latest timetable estimate, EPS forecasts, and adjusted undisturbed PERs, ENN Energy is valued at HK$67.40-72.16, meaning the share price is at 0.4% to 7% discount.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek’s Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC Sets Sights on 3-10% Price Rises for Advanced Nodes
  • MediaTek’s Leap Into the 2nm Era — Leading Edge Node Signals Market Leadership Ambitions
  • Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive. 

Primer: Sify Technologies (SIFY US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Sify Technologies is a comprehensive ICT service and solution provider in India, strategically positioned to capitalize on the country’s digital transformation, with core services in data centers, network, and digital services.
  • The company is in a high-growth phase, marked by significant capital expenditures in expanding its data center capacity to meet the burgeoning demand driven by cloud adoption and the advent of AI, leading to near-term pressure on profitability.
  • While revenue has been growing, the company faces challenges with net losses and high debt levels, making the successful and timely monetization of its new assets critical for its long-term financial health and shareholder returns.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Orion Corp (271560 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Position in High-Growth Emerging Markets: Orion holds a commanding presence in the confectionery markets of Vietnam and Russia, driven by the exceptional brand equity of its flagship product, Choco Pie. Continued capacity expansion in these regions is poised to capture further growth.
  • Strong Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns: The company has demonstrated a robust track record of revenue and net income growth, coupled with a significant increase in dividend payouts. This highlights efficient operations and a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
  • Diversification and Future Growth Engines: Strategic initiatives to expand into new business areas, including beverages, convenient meal replacements, and biotech, present long-term growth opportunities beyond the core confectionery segment, mitigating reliance on a single product category.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • As Vietnam’s largest dairy company, Vinamilk is showing signs of a turnaround after a period of stagnation. Recent quarterly results indicate a recovery driven by the stabilization of its domestic general trade channel and robust performance in export markets.
  • The company’s strategic focus on digital transformation and international expansion, particularly in key Asian and African markets, is expected to drive a rebound in earnings growth in the coming fiscal year.
  • Despite facing challenges from rising raw material costs and intense domestic competition, the stock appears undervalued, trading at a significant discount to historical multiples. A potential upgrade of the Vietnamese market could serve as a major re-rating catalyst.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • DigiPlus Interactive is experiencing explosive growth in revenue and profitability, driven by its market-leading digital gaming platforms, BingoPlus and ArenaPlus, in the Philippines.
  • Significant regulatory uncertainty clouds the company’s future, with proposed legislation in the Philippines potentially banning or heavily restricting online gaming, which could severely impact its core business.
  • Despite the regulatory overhang, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with a substantial cash position, enabling strategic initiatives such as a significant share buyback program and initial steps toward international expansion.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Barry Callebaut (BARN SW) – Tuesday, Aug 5, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Barry Callebaut is the largest B2B chocolate maker, producing 20% of global industrial chocolate for major clients.
  • High cocoa prices since early 2023 have led to decreased consumption and hedging losses, but the market is expected to stabilize by 2026.
  • CEO Peter Feld is implementing cost cuts of CHF 250 million, and if cocoa prices normalize, the company’s valuation could potentially double.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Macro: The Art of the Trade War: HE SAID and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • The Art of the Trade War: HE SAID, XI SAID….. WHAT WAS AGREED?
  • Agentic Finance: Building AI Analysts for the Debasement Trade Era — with Vlad Stanev of Quantly
  • Steel Slowdown and Rising Stockpiles Weigh Heavy: Iron Ore Bulls Lose Grip
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 3 November
  • Malaysia’s Rubber Sector Faces Output Decline, Firm Trade
  • CX Daily: China Sees ‘Stable Period’ for U.S. Ties After Xi-Trump Summit
  • Oil futures: Crude drifts lower as oversupply concerns linger
  • Oil futures: Crude steady as OPEC+ to pause hikes in Q1
  • RBA: Cautious Hold in Uncertain Times
  • Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 3 November


The Art of the Trade War: HE SAID, XI SAID….. WHAT WAS AGREED?

By David Mudd

  • The meeting in Busan between Presidents Trump and Xi reduced the tension between the two countries, but the detente may only be temporary and confusion on details persist.
  • Tariffs were immediately reduced and potential future increases delayed by a year.  President Trump offered to reduce the fentanyl tariff further to 0% after the meeting.
  • The most critical issues of export restrictions on chips and Rare Earth Elements were dialed back with recent threatened restrictions delayed by a year.

Agentic Finance: Building AI Analysts for the Debasement Trade Era — with Vlad Stanev of Quantly

By William Mann

  • CEO of Quantly discusses market updates, geopolitical landscape, and trends in safe havens
  • Focus on innovation and tech, AI, and bitcoin in the digital market
  • Analysis of one year trends in safe havens, bitcoin, gold, and the impact of tariffs on the market.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Steel Slowdown and Rising Stockpiles Weigh Heavy: Iron Ore Bulls Lose Grip

By Umang Agrawal

  • Iron ore futures slipped as China’s steel output fell for the fifth consecutive week, with weak demand and rising inventories weighing on sentiment.
  • Managed money participants trimmed their net long positions across all futures and options expiries, signalling profit-taking and a more cautious market stance.
  • The DCE-SGX spread is gaining momentum, with technical indicators hinting at a sustained near-term widening trend.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 3 November

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils prices extend fall vs gasoil prices, with Group II heavy-grade differentials slipping to lowest since start of Q3 2024.
  • Ongoing squeeze on base oils margins increases importance for refiners to maintain balanced-to-tight supplies to boost their leverage to adjust prices accordingly.
  • Weaker margins and importance of balanced supplies boost incentive for refiners to adjust output accordingly.

Malaysia’s Rubber Sector Faces Output Decline, Firm Trade

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Production slips 12.8% amid lacklustre smallholder involvement  
  • Imports rebound MoM, exports edge up on steady China demand  
  • Glove exports slip in value to RM 1.2 billion, down 7.7% from July  

CX Daily: China Sees ‘Stable Period’ for U.S. Ties After Xi-Trump Summit

By Caixin Global

  • China Sees ‘Stable Period’ for U.S. Ties After Xi-Trump Summit
  • In Depth: Busan Summit Sets Course for New U.S.-China Equilibrium
  • China to Scrap Tariffs on U.S. Farm Goods, Buy More Soybeans
  • China’s 2035 GDP Goal Requires 4.17% Annual Growth

Oil futures: Crude drifts lower as oversupply concerns linger

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures were drifting lower Tuesday with benchmarks unable to find conviction on any upwards move for a second session, following what had been viewed as a relatively neutral OPEC+ decision on Sunday.
  • Front-month Janc25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $64.50/b (2107 BST) versus Monday’s settle of $64.89/b, while Dec25 NYMEX WTI was at $60.57/b against a previous close of $61.05/b.
  • While the group of eight members added another 137,000 bpd to quotas in December, the members taking part in voluntary cuts agreed to pause the unwinding program in the first quarter.

Oil futures: Crude steady as OPEC+ to pause hikes in Q1

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures opened the week steady after OPEC+ said it would hold off on further production increases following a small uplift in December.
  • Front-month Jan26 ICE Brent futures were trading at $64.86/b (2205 BST) versus Friday’s settle of $64.77/b , while Dec25 NYMEX WTI was at $61.05/b against a previous close of $60.98/b.
  • The OPEC+ announcement to pause production levels in Q1 came after the group rubberstamped another 137,000 bpd increase in December , a move that had been widely flagged and priced-in ahead of Sunday’s meeting.

RBA: Cautious Hold in Uncertain Times

By Heteronomics AI

  • The RBA held its cash rate at 3.6% as anticipated, but its decision marks a shift from easing after September’s inflation surprise, signalling an extended pause in rate cuts through at least mid-2026.​
  • Central forecasts now project trimmed mean inflation above 3% for the coming quarters before settling at 2.6% in 2027, requiring mildly restrictive policy rates of 3.4% by mid-2026—materially slower easing than many forecasters anticipated.​
  • Labour market softening provides limited comfort as elevated vacancies and wage pressures persist. Two-sided uncertainty around demand strength and the global outlook creates risks justifying a cautious approach to future cuts.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 3 November

By Iain Pocock

  • US Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil (VGO) holds firm.
  • Firm price-premium vs VGO contrasts with falling price-premium this time a year ago.
  • Firm price-premium incentivizes refiners to maintain or raise output.

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Daily Brief Utilities: ENN Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Latest Assessment Remains Positive


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Our Latest Assessment Remains Positive

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • We now expect the privatisation of ENN Energy (2688 HK) to be completed by mid-2026, given that the pre-conditions are yet to be satisfied.
  • For 3Q25, the gas sales volume of ENN Energy has picked up. Meanwhile, net profit for ENN Natural Gas has also recovered. Both results are positive.
  • Incorporating our latest timetable estimate, EPS forecasts, and adjusted undisturbed PERs, ENN Energy is valued at HK$67.40-72.16, meaning the share price is at 0.4% to 7% discount.

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