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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Seven & I Holdings, Hyundai Motor India , Zomato, Shiyue Daotian Group, Swiggy, Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd., Tempur Sealy International, Mattel Inc, Planet Fitness Inc Cl A and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • 7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging
  • 7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO – RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark
  • Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity
  • Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Negtives – Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver
  • Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO – Capturing the Gold Rush
  • TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers
  • Planet Fitness Inc.: Acceleration of Franchise Development & New Corporate-Owned Clubs May Drive Growth! – Major Drivers


7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging

By Travis Lundy

  • H1 sales were GOOD. H1 earnings were BAD. New forecasts are UGLY. The CVS initiatives are RESPECTABLE, but US CVS market environment UNFORTUNATE. The creation of the new Holdco ENCOURAGING.
  • The Couche-Tard Bid? That’s SEPARATE. Confidential. But three weeks after receiving the new proposal, it hasn’t been publicly rejected. So that’s a thing. 
  • 7&i is progressing with its Standalone Plan, as it should, because ACT’s bid is more a show of faith for discussions. The York Holdings structure is INTERESTING.

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Seven & I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.
  • The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.
  • Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the “original founding families”, suggesting one way of holding on to control.

Hyundai Motor India IPO – RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hyundai Motor (005387 KS) is looking to raise around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.
  • HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about its RHP updates and valuations.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
  • Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&O list inclusion takes place and the index provider’s discretionary choices.

Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Shiyue Daotian (1892269D CH) was listed in Hong Kong on 12th Oct 2023 after raising US$105m close to the top end of its indicative IPO price range. 
  • Shiyue Daotian is a pantry staple food company in China, providing consumers with pre-packaged premium rice, whole grain, bean, and dried food products.  
  • The firm’s one-year lockup will expire on 12th Oct 2024.  In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Negtives – Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
  • Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO – Capturing the Gold Rush

By Nicholas Tan

  • Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)  is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
  • It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and challenging market conditions.
  • The company reported a notable increase in net sales which approximate $1.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $231 million, marking a year-over-year improvement of 6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share also saw growth, rising 9% to $0.63, alongside an improved leverage ratio.

Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Mattel’s second quarter of 2024 presented a mixed set of results, reflecting both the challenges and strategic progress within the toy industry.
  • In terms of financial performance, net sales slightly declined by 1% but were stable on a constant currency basis.
  • This relatively flat sales trajectory indicates a degree of resilience amidst broader economic fluctuations, with the company managing to maintain its sales levels year-over-year.

Planet Fitness Inc.: Acceleration of Franchise Development & New Corporate-Owned Clubs May Drive Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Planet Fitness has released its financial results for the second quarter, demonstrating solid growth figures, a testament to its strategic expansion and robust franchise model.
  • The company marked this quarter with a few significant milestones and strategic shifts under the new CEO, Colleen Keating, who brings extensive experience in franchise businesses and real estate.
  • One of the notable achievements this quarter was the growth in same-store sales by 4.2% and an increase in revenue by 5.1%.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Rigaku Holdings, Akeso Biopharma Inc, Acasti Pharma, Fortrea Holdings , Nurexone Biologic, Scilex Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices
  • Akeso Placement – Opportunistic Raise, past Deal Record Has Been Mixed but Relative Size Is Small
  • Acasti Pharma Inc (ACST) – Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024
  • Fortrea Holdings Inc.: Are They Improving Their Strategic Positioning in Clinical Phases?
  • NRXBF: Initiating Coverage: Potential Breakthrough Treatment for Spinal Injuries
  • SCLX: Financing Deal Puts Company in Good Shape


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is scheduled to be listed at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 25 October 2024 at a valuation of ~$1.9bn.
  • The company’s modest market capitalization fails fast-entry but easily surpasses the quarterly small cap thresholds of both main global indices.
  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)  is expected to be added at the May and June 2025 quarterly reviews with the potential greenshoe exercise increasing the passive fund demand upon inclusion.

Akeso Placement – Opportunistic Raise, past Deal Record Has Been Mixed but Relative Size Is Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m from its primary placement. Proceeds from the placement will be used for R&D.
  • Past deals in the name haven’t done well recently but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Acasti Pharma Inc (ACST) – Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Acasti Pharma is making progress in developing IV nimodipine for acute subarachnoid hemorrhages
  • Lead asset GTX-104 is the primary focus of their development efforts
  • Successful PIPE offering and enrollment in Phase 3 trial put Acasti Pharma on track for potential FDA approval

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Fortrea Holdings Inc.: Are They Improving Their Strategic Positioning in Clinical Phases?

By Baptista Research

  • Fortrea’s second quarter 2024 earnings elucidate a blend of progression and challenges in its trajectory as an independent pure-play Clinical Research Organization (CRO).
  • Following the spin-off from its parent company, the organization targets both growth from biotechnology firms and expanded engagements with large pharmaceutical companies.
  • CEO Tom Pike articulated Fortrea’s leveraging of its robust services across various clinical trial phases and several therapeutic areas to enhance its market position, but also acknowledged uncertainties in contracting with biotech firms that have skewed the company’s book-to-bill ratio below the target of 1.2, marking it at just under 1 this quarter.

NRXBF: Initiating Coverage: Potential Breakthrough Treatment for Spinal Injuries

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NurExone (OTC-NRXBF) is a preclinical stage biotech company that is developing a breakthrough treatment for spinal cord injuries that has the potential to dramatically improve lives.
  • The technology involved also has the potential to more efficiently get other treatments to the needed area.
  • The company has conducted preclinical testing that has shown dramatic results and has been awarded an important FDA designation.

SCLX: Financing Deal Puts Company in Good Shape

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SCLX is filling a much-needed area of the health care sector, that of developing non-opioid pain relief products.
  • The company already has commercialized products that are proven to improve patients’ lives.
  • The company announced a financing deal that helps to pay off debt and adds cash at good terms.

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Daily Brief ESG: Companies’ Interest in Lowering Market Cap Threshold and Timing of Scope 3 Disclosure Requirements and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Companies’ Interest in Lowering Market Cap Threshold and Timing of Scope 3 Disclosure Requirements
  • Scan Global Logistics – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Companies’ Interest in Lowering Market Cap Threshold and Timing of Scope 3 Disclosure Requirements

By Aki Matsumoto

  • A comparison of two surveys shows progress in disclosing GHG emissions over half-year, with small increase in Scope 1 and Scope 2, while little progress was made in Scope 3.
  • Many companies are cautious about disclosing in annual securities reports, even if they are certified by a third-party certification body or stated in their own integrated reports.
  • However, FSA will require companies with over 3 trillion yen in market capitalization to disclose to Scope 3 in FY3/2027, and most companies are likely to comply with this requirement.

Scan Global Logistics – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Scan Global Logistics’ ESG as “Adequate”, in line with the Environmental and Governance scores, while the Social score is “Strong”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Record Highs…again and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Record Highs…again
  • Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Sentiment and Yen Weakness to Drive the NKY Higher
  • HK Banks – Surging Deposits and Contracting Loans, Sees LDR Fall Toward GFC Levels
  • Will China’s Stock Market Continue to Soar? – Here Is the Outlook and Investment Strategy
  • How Geopolitical Conflicts Influence Financial Markets?


Ohayo Japan | Record Highs…again

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks advanced for a second straight session Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average closing at record highs
  • Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba dissolved parliament for an October 27 snap election, seeking mandate amid low public support due to a fundraising scandal
  • Canadian retailer Couche-Tard has increased its takeover offer for Seven & i Holdings to $47 billion, up from $38.5 billion

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Sentiment and Yen Weakness to Drive the NKY Higher

By Andrew Jackson

  • Risk on sentiment takes hold ahead of key CPI print tomorrow; yen weakness will drive the NKY higher.
  • Big gains for Japanese department store duty-free sales over the Chinese Golden week holiday bodes well for the likes of Isetan Mitsukoshi.
  • Cat 5 Hurricane Milton making landfall should put further pressure on the JP non-life/P&C plays Sompo, MS&AD and Tokio Marine.

HK Banks – Surging Deposits and Contracting Loans, Sees LDR Fall Toward GFC Levels

By Daniel Tabbush

  • There is a sharp and accelerating rise in deposits with Hong Kong’s banks, likely from Mainland China in part
  • There is no offsetting lending volume, where loan growth remains still negative, not a positive combination for net interest income
  • The LDR for Hong Kong’s banks is fast approaching the distressed levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)

Will China’s Stock Market Continue to Soar? – Here Is the Outlook and Investment Strategy

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • At least 10% deposits will invest in Chinese stocks in the future.Together with US$2 trillion capital that stranded overseas will flow back, 3,500 Shanghai Composite Index is just the beginning.
  • After the monetary policy, we expect to have accompanying fiscal stimulus policies introduced. However, short-term challenge lies in the uncertainty of macro environment that potential depression/Middle East war might bring.
  • Investors can consider taking profits in time for the surge in Chinese stocks,and then prepare to position themselves for the inflation trade opportunities that the dollar depreciation will bring later.

How Geopolitical Conflicts Influence Financial Markets?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • We analyzed the historical data of wars and its impact on financial markets.
  • Nifty 50’s performance shows short-term fluctuations post-conflict but generally stabilizes, highlighting market resilience and investor sentiment shifts during uncertainty.
  • Diversification, Long term investment perspective and Govt Bonds help in these kind of situation to make portfolio stable.

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Daily Brief ECM: Rigaku Holdings IPO – Upside Remains Attractive and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Rigaku Holdings IPO – Upside Remains Attractive
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: Analysis of Latest Financials Signal Challenging Year Ahead
  • Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Positives -Fast and Diversified Growth
  • Sanathan Textiles IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO – High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns
  • Qarbotech secures US$1.5M funding to boost farm yields by 60% | e27
  • Indonesia’s Broom bags US$25M funding to accelerate market expansion | e27
  • TeamSolve nets US$2.5M for AI-powered copilot for industrial operators | e27


Rigaku Holdings IPO – Upside Remains Attractive

By Clarence Chu

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise up to US$756m in its Japan IPO.
  • Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies.
  • In our earlier notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we look at Rigaku’s valuation at the final indicative range.

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Analysis of Latest Financials Signal Challenging Year Ahead

By Devi Subhakesan

  • After 3 years of strong revenue and profits growth, Hyundai Motor India is likely to face a challenging year ahead based on the analysis of 1QFY2025 financials provided in RHP.
  • Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)‘s  strong exports growth in FY2025 will not offset the weakness in domestic sales. This could result in low single-digit revenue growth for the year.
  • Increased royalty costs starting in FY2025, coupled with impact of lower cash reserves after special dividend paid out to parent will likely compress profit margins compared to the previous year.

Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Positives -Fast and Diversified Growth

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy Limited is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
  • Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sanathan Textiles IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Sanathan Textiles (0907479D IN) plans to re-appear for its IPO. The company is into yarn manufacturing and has a presence in all three, Polyester, Cotton and Technical Textiles segments. 
  • Revenue growth did light up in FY22, however topline growth has pretty much been stale since then. Moreover, margins have also been on a sliding trajectory.
  • Key forensic takeaways include capitalising of expenses on the back of falling margins, acquisition of a non-operating subsidiary from promoters, secondary income sources driving profits, etc.

Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO – High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

By Akshat Shah

  • Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN) is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.
  • It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&Sullivan .
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Qarbotech secures US$1.5M funding to boost farm yields by 60% | e27

By e27

  • Qarbotech, a Malaysian startup that enhances photosynthesis via advanced carbon quantum dots material, has raised US$1.5 million in funding from 500 Global, Better Bite Ventures, ID Capital, EQT Foundation, and Epic Angels Limited.
  • The seed extension round will enable Qarbotech to scale its operations in Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam, where demand for advanced agritech solutions is surging. 
  • “This investment will allow us to ramp up production and bring our patented solutions to more farmers across the region, empowering them to produce more with less environmental impact,” said Amirul Merican, COO of Qarbotech.

Indonesia’s Broom bags US$25M funding to accelerate market expansion | e27

By e27

  • Broom, a tech startup empowering Indonesia’s used car showroom ecosystem, has closed a US$25 million Series A extension investment round led by Openspace Ventures.
  • AC Ventures, Quona Capital, MUFG Innovation Partners, and PKSHA Capital also participated.
  • Additionally, Broom has secured credit facilities from various institutions, including Komunal, Funding Societies Capital, Modalku Finansial Indonesia, Alami, Koinworks, Helicap, and DBS Indonesia, as well as support from several high-net-worth individual investors.

TeamSolve nets US$2.5M for AI-powered copilot for industrial operators | e27

By e27

  • TeamSolve, a Singapore-based startup developing AI solutions for the industrial and utilities sectors, has completed a US$2.5 million seed financing round anchored by SGInnovate and the US-based early-stage fund for water entrepreneurs Burnt Island Ventures.
  • Founded in 2022 by Mudasser Iqbal (CEO), Michael Allen, Ami Preis, and Robin Wong, TeamSolve has developed a generative AI-powered copilot designed for industrial operators. The copilot is a knowledge twin that provides an “accurate”, real-time view of asset health.
  • It can also support managers by improving planning for asset renewals and crew dispatch.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings
  • Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal
  • MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift
  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Pressure Mounts with a Couche-Tard Revised Offer
  • Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Concerns About Transferring Doosan Bobcat Shares Held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics
  • Shin Kong and Taishin – There’s a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here


Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings

By Travis Lundy

  • This AM, partway through the morning session, Bloomberg carried an article saying Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had upped its bid for Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) to US$18.19/share.
  • The stock popped, then faded sharply. Near and after the close we got more headlines. Some of these preview tomorrow’s earnings report. Some preview the restructuring announcements.
  • The Nikkei comment regarding an earnings shortfall vs Plan suggests weaker US convenience store sales and consumer footfall are to blame. Details will matter. But I’d buy dips.

Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) all-scrip merger is set at an exchange ratio of 0.62x. 
  • The merger is conditional on the GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote, which is low risk. Regulatory approvals are a formality as they involve two entities with SOE backgrounds. 
  • The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios and precedent transactions. The recent material re-rating of peers is irrelevant to the vote as the offer is all-scrip. 

MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK’s strategy is clear: they believe they have the upper hand with the current price level and are optimistic about a favorable ruling on the second injunction.
  • All eyes are on Choi to raise the price by this Friday, the 11th, before the deadline, especially with the FSS’s scrutiny looming.
  • If that happens, MBK will likely go all-in on the second injunction whose hearing is on the 18th. Choi raising the price this Friday won’t significantly boost Korea Zinc’s stock.

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Pressure Mounts with a Couche-Tard Revised Offer

By Arun George

  • In response to media reports, Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) confirmed receiving a revised non-binding proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)
  • The rumoured revised offer is US$18.19, a 22.4% premium to the initial US$14.86 offer. The revised terms are attractive vs precedent transactions and analyst price targets.
  • The Board would cite regulatory concerns and the revised offer’s implied discount compared to peer multiples. At tomorrow’s results, the Board must present a credible alternative value generation path.

Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal

By Arun George

  • Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) has disclosed a binding offer from Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN) at US$5.85 per share, a 90% premium to the undisturbed price of US$3.08 (4 October).
  • The offer is attractive compared to analyst price targets and peer multiples but unattractive compared to cyclical low timing and precedent transactions.
  • The shareholder structure requires an activist to disrupt the vote. The long-dated offer provides optionality on a bump if lithium prices materially re-rates. 

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
  • Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week

By Brian Freitas

  • There were only 13 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter of the year.
  • Of those stocks, we only see Midea Group (300 HK) having a chance of being added to the HSCI in December.
  • Midea Group (300 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect next week after the price stabilisation period has ended.

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these  indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • There are no changes for NIFTY 50 but there could be four changes for NIFTY Next 50 according to current rankings.

Concerns About Transferring Doosan Bobcat Shares Held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics

By Douglas Kim

  • In the process of transferring Doosan Bobcat shares held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics, there are increasing concerns about negatively impacting minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility. 
  • This current restructuring structure could potentially benefit the Park family/relatives which is the largest shareholder group of Doosan Corp but could negatively impact minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility. 
  • On 25 September, Doosan Enerbility announced that 10 October will be the shareholder confirmation date (shareholder register closing date) for the spin-off NEWCO merger agreement with Doosan Robotics.

Shin Kong and Taishin – There’s a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here

By Travis Lundy

  • Media reports indicate that the shareholder base of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) have approved their merger. 
  • Shin Kong meeting results were public just before the market closed. The results from Taishin were known earlier. The market and spread were un-moved. If anything, things widened a little.
  • Next, the two companies try to get fair Trade Commission, FSC, and Exchange approval to join to become Taishin Shin Kong FHC. And there’s a good trade to do here.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Pt Cikarang Listrindo Tbk and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Pt Cikarang Listrindo Tbk, Greentown China


Morning Views Asia: Pt Cikarang Listrindo Tbk, Greentown China

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Mercari and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Mercari, Inc. (4385) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024
  • TSMC Q324 Earnings Preview
  • LGND: Initiating Coverage – A Prince Among Royalty
  • TSMC’s Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors to Eye AI Demand Boost, Margins in Focus
  • TRS: Bent Aero
  • Oisix Targeting ¥300 Billion by 2030
  • Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) – Changes Afoot?
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers
  • Playtika Holding Corp: A Tale Of Improving Market Position & Operational Mastery!
  • Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024


Mercari, Inc. (4385) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Mercari is a Japanese e-commerce company known for operating the leading online used goods marketplace in Japan with over 23 million monthly active users and significant annual GMV.
  • The company’s strong network effects moat and growth prospects in Japan’s second-hand goods market suggest substantial potential value, despite investor frustration with loss-making initiatives like Mercari US and its Fintech segment.
  • Analysts believe that Mercari Japan alone is worth nearly double the company’s current market cap, highlighting potential for significant upside.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


TSMC Q324 Earnings Preview

By William Keating

  • September 2024 revenues of NT$251.87 billion, an increase of 0.4% MoM and an increase of 39.6% YoY.
  • Year to date revenue through September 2024 now totals NT$2,025.85 billion, an increase of 31.9% YoY.
  • Anticipating Q4 revenue forecast of $25.7 billion, up 10% QoQ. This would mean full year 2024 revenues of $88.8 billion, a 28.3% YoY increase

LGND: Initiating Coverage – A Prince Among Royalty

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Ligand Pharmaceuticals holds a portfolio of revenue, royalty and milestone generating assets that have been vetted by its internal investment team.
  • Ligand considers individual biopharmaceutical products, platforms, companies & income streams in its opportunity set.
  • It targets late-stage and commercial income-producing assets when making investments.

TSMC’s Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors to Eye AI Demand Boost, Margins in Focus

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Q3 revenue is expected to reach $22.4-23.2 billion, reflecting strong demand for TSMC’s 3nm and AI-driven technologies. This marks a significant 14.4% increase from Q2’s $20.82 billion, despite global headwinds.
  • Operating profit margins are forecasted to be between 42.5% and 44.5%, highlighting TSMC’s efforts to maintain profitability. However, pressures from rising operational costs and competitive advancements remain a challenge.
  • EPS is projected at $1.76, up 40% YoY, driven by robust AI chip demand. Despite this, TSMC faces slowing consumer electronics demand, particularly in smartphones, which could affect future growth.

TRS: Bent Aero

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TRS has three operating segments where the smallest has already been going through a sales restructuring period and we are now expecting a slowdown in TRS’s aerospace business.  
  • Aerospace had been growing at double-digit rates in recent years, but in recent months the two largest aerospace customers have been going through their own ordeals
  • TRS’s current valuation gives little value for what each segment could be worth. There have been two aerospace IPOs with similar businesses to TRS’s aerospace business. 

Oisix Targeting ¥300 Billion by 2030

By Michael Causton

  • Oisix is planning to double its sales by 2030 and looks set to reach this targets early through both organic expansion and M&A.
  • The recent acquisition of several B2B and other companies will help sales grow 72% this year alone.
  • But the longer-term consumer-facing business continues to look positive thanks to continued demand for convenience meal kits and home delivery of quality foods. Profit though remains anaemic.

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) – Changes Afoot?

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) has seen a sharp share price rebound recently with speculation over a tie up with Temu, which appears ill-founded, with the only newsflow being a Director resigning.
  • The company swung back into a slight negative adjusted EBITDA in 2Q2024, mainly due to the seasonal impact of Lebaran on its O2O business and increased competition in virtual products.
  • Bukalapak remains a differentiated player in Indonesian e-commerce with a focus on serving MSMEs through its marketplace, with increasing take rates ahead. Dealing with excess cash is a potential catalyst. 

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN)  is now backward integrated with the soda ash, CO2 Gas plant and ore requirement to overcome the challenge of raw material price volatility. 
  • Company operated in niche & specialty chemical segment and will launch detailed  capex plan in Q2 for forward integration. 
  • Management aims to consolidate EBITDA margins around 17.5%-18% by year-end, with a target of achieving consistent margins at 20% over the next 2-3 years.

Playtika Holding Corp: A Tale Of Improving Market Position & Operational Mastery!

By Baptista Research

  • Playtika Holding Corp. conducted its Q2 2024 earnings call outlining both advancements and some challenges faced during the quarter.
  • With Robert Antokol, Co-Founder and CEO, and Craig Abrahams, CFO, leading the discussion, the company detailed various aspects of its operational and strategic performance which will be crucial for stakeholders evaluating Playtika’s investment potential.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Arrow distributes semiconductors, electronic components, and IT hardware/software to value-added resellers globally
  • With 600 suppliers and 210,000 customers, Arrow simplifies the supply chain process for both parties
  • Focus on cheap electronic components with some high-value semiconductors like GPUs; plays a crucial role in aggregating customer demand

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Macro: HK/CHINA: Market Pullback and Investors’ Cognitive Dissonance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • HK/CHINA: Market Pullback and Investors’ Cognitive Dissonance
  • China Consolidates On Tires With Domestic, Outside Forays


HK/CHINA: Market Pullback and Investors’ Cognitive Dissonance

By David Mudd

  • The investment community’s response to the historic rallies in HK and China markets over the last couple of weeks unsurprisingly continues to be pessimistic.
  • China’s objective of changing market sentiment is beginning to bear fruit as mainland investors open stock accounts at a record pace.  Household wealth has increased by 20T yuan last month.
  • Technical market indicators point to continued high volatility during this leg of the secular bull market.

China Consolidates On Tires With Domestic, Outside Forays

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Huaqing Petroleum to set up plant worth US$1.39 billion in Hunan
  • Linglong commences serial production at its Serbia plant 
  • ZC Rubber Group cements network for supply to Nordic countries

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Daily Brief Australia: Arcadium Lithium and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal
  • Rio Tinto Goes All-In for Arcadium Lithium


Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal

By Arun George

  • Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) has disclosed a binding offer from Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN) at US$5.85 per share, a 90% premium to the undisturbed price of US$3.08 (4 October).
  • The offer is attractive compared to analyst price targets and peer multiples but unattractive compared to cyclical low timing and precedent transactions.
  • The shareholder structure requires an activist to disrupt the vote. The long-dated offer provides optionality on a bump if lithium prices materially re-rates. 

Rio Tinto Goes All-In for Arcadium Lithium

By Brian Freitas


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