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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 15th): Sanrio and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 15th): Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 15th): Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 15th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD14,276m.
  • We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Disco, Zensho, Sanrio, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Lasertec.

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Daily Brief ECM: Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic
  • Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche
  • SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand
  • Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade
  • Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case
  • Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) – Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook
  • Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD) Six Month Summary: A Cold Debut That Froze the Biotech Market


Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
  • The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche

By Nicholas Tan

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK)  is looking to raise up to US$600m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing.
  • In terms of market share, as per Frost & Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade

By Nicholas Tan

  • Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd (JISHUZ CH) is looking to raise around US$109m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It’s a global leader in energy storage business for big-data and telecommunication industries with a diverse customer base comprising telecom base station operations, data centers, power stations and power grids.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Akshat Shah

  • Vikram Solar (0490158D IN) is looking to raise about US$238m in its India IPO.
  • Vikram Solar is an integrated solar photo-voltaic modules producer and an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction services, and operations and maintenance services to its customers.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It is seeking to raise US$600 million.     
  • Aux is known for its aggressive low pricing, which has helped it establish itself as an affordable option to larger peers.
  • The investment case is bullish due to strong growth, increasing contract liabilities, encouraging margin profile despite the low-price strategy/higher ODM mix and cash generation.  

Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) – Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • AUX mainly relies on low-price strategy to compete in the industry and has maintained robust growth in revenue/net profit.However, there’s already a significant gap in scale compared with leading peers
  • Due to higher growth, AUX’s valuation could be higher than that of Midea and Gree. However, due to risks such as high debt and weak R&D, valuation premium is limited.
  • A high valuation (e.g. P/E >15x) can be justified only if the transition to a technology-driven value model can be completed before the cash flow of low-price model dries up.

Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD) Six Month Summary: A Cold Debut That Froze the Biotech Market

By IPO Boutique

  • The company priced 5.88 million shares at $16.00—the low end of its $16.00–$18.00 range—and opened immediately underwater at $15.18, a 5.1% decline.
  • In our pre-pricing notes, we flagged the lack of sector-dedicated crossover funds in earlier rounds and a muted “buzz factor” ahead of launch.
  • Aardvark closed out the 2025 biotech IPO calendar—and in many ways, its performance “froze” the market.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now?
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK): Revenue Up by 204%, Margin Up by 17 PPT, 64% Upside
  • Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) – Q1 Weak, Forecasts Cut, Stock Fully Priced
  • Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.
  • Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP): FY FY06/25 flash update
  • Gem Aromatics IPO Analysis: A Niche Aroma Player
  • CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk
  • Marriott International: A New Game-Changing Media Network to Tap Billions in Ad Revenue & Other Key Developments!
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength
  • JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India


Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now?

By William Keating

  • Intel just announced that SoftBank has agreed to buy $2 billion worth of Intel stock, details here. 
  • The shares are likely newly issued, meaning dilution of existing shareholders. Markets didn’t care and shares rose >5% in after hours trading. 
  • $2 billion is a far cry from the $40 billion former CEO Craig Barrett thinks Intel needs. Could this be the first of similar deals with US semiconductor/technology companies?

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Revenue Up by 204%, Margin Up by 17 PPT, 64% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • In 1H25, Pop Mart’s revenue surged by 204% YoY with all major business lines growing significantly.
  • We believe the operating margin will improve strongly in 2025 and rise slightly in 2026.
  • The P/E band suggests an upside of 64%  for the end of 1H265. Buy.

Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) – Q1 Weak, Forecasts Cut, Stock Fully Priced

By Rahul Jain

  • Q1/H1 2025 results: Revenue collapsed (–88% YoY) and EBITDA turned negative due to concentrate export expiry and slow smelter ramp-up.
  • Earnings revisions: FY25–26 cut sharply (–60–70% vs earlier estimates), with normalization only from FY27.
  • Valuation: At ~USD 38bn (IDR 8,400/share), AMMN already prices in Elang optionality; conservative SOTP points to 20–25% downside, leaving the stock fully valued.

Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.

By Patrick Liao

  • Monetary support may temporarily ease Intel’s current financial difficulties, but the ultimate solution lies in securing technical support from manufacturing.  
  • We remain curious how the U.S. government will devise a solution for Intel if the company ultimately cannot provide the necessary support for U.S. Fabless players.
  • We are bearish on Intel Corp (INTC US)’s current position and do not believe financial support alone can help the company overcome its challenges.

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP): FY FY06/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In FY06/25, sales increased 7.2% YoY, operating profit grew 15.8% YoY, driven by effective business initiatives.
  • Discount Store business achieved non-consolidated operating profit over JPY100.0bn, OPM improved to 7.2%, strong duty-free sales.
  • Company plans to open 25 new stores in Japan, seven overseas, targeting JPY190.0bn duty-free sales annually.

Gem Aromatics IPO Analysis: A Niche Aroma Player

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Gem Aromatics, a specialty ingredients manufacturer, opened its INR 450 crore IPO (Aug 19–21) at a INR 309–INR 325 price band. 
  • The company supplies sticky, specification-heavy ingredients (mint derivatives, aroma chemicals) to marquee FMCG and F&F players—segments benefiting from “China+1” and premiumisation in India.
  • Quality of customers and process capabilities are positives, but concentration, raw-material cycles and a pending land litigation temper enthusiasm, execution on citral scale-up is key.

CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Despite a 307% surge in revenue, CoreWeave’s extended six-year GPU depreciation schedule flatters its profitability while masking faster asset wear-down.
  • Despite ballooning into a $30 bn market cap, CoreWeave is weighed down by debt and lease obligations; Q2 interest expense exceeded operating profit, with CRWV netting $290 m in losses. 
  • The Aug 15 IPO lock-up expiry triggered insider selling via $1 bn+ block trades, driving a 35% stock plunge and spiking short interest.

Marriott International: A New Game-Changing Media Network to Tap Billions in Ad Revenue & Other Key Developments!

By Baptista Research

  • Marriott International, Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing both positives and areas of concern.
  • The company showed resilience amid global macroeconomic uncertainty by delivering strong performance metrics that surpassed previous earnings guidance.
  • The company’s global RevPAR (revenue per available room) increased by 1.5%, with particular strength observed in regions like APAC (Asia-Pacific) and EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa), demonstrating a 9% and 7% rise, respectively.

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Vishnu Chemicals is expanding beyond its core chromium and barium verticals with a first-mover entry into strontium carbonate, positioning itself as the only producer in India and Asia.
  • Strategic backward integration in chrome ore and barites mining reduces raw material volatility, safeguarding margins while strengthening long-term supply security.
  • Near-Term growth guidance has been moderated to 10–15% due to U.S. tariff headwinds, but diversification and capacity expansion support a structurally stronger growth trajectory.

JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

By Rahul Jain

  • On 18 Aug 2025, JSW and POSCO agreed to explore a 6mt steel JV in Odisha under a 50:50 structure.
  • JSW to reach 51.5mt by FY31 via Indian expansions; POSCO to hit 52mt by 2030 through green steel upgrades in Korea and overseas growth.
  • Strategic Positive: The JV blends JSW’s domestic scale with POSCO’s technology and global network, accelerating India’s steel hub ambitions.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yuexiu REIT
  • UST yields rose 1-2 bps yesterday, with limited major catalysts ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole appearance later this week. The yield on the 2Y UST inched up 1 bp to 3.77%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.33%.
  • Equities were flat, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stable at 6,449 and 21,630, respectively.

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Daily Brief Financials: Hang Seng Index, Del Monte Pacific, JDC Group AG, TMT Investments, Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Outlook Ahead of Sep25 Rebalance
  • Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May
  • Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May
  • JDC Group — Higher estimates after 60% FMK acquisition
  • Hybridan Research: TMT Investments PLC: Waiting for Take-Off
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Outlook Ahead of Sep25 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • Brian Freitas has highlighted in his August 18th’s insight the details of what to expect in the upcoming, September 5, index rebalance for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) .
  • The HSI started a modest pullback this week, outlook for the index remains bullish, this insight will try to determine both buy-the-dip and profit targets areas for the coming weeks.
  • We have attached at the end of the insight an Excel file with all our price and time model’s data for the HSI INDEX. Check it out.

Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May

By Geoff Howie

  • Oxley Holdings’ ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25.
  • UOB-Kay Hian Holdings recorded S$23.09 million net institutional inflow, with P/E ratio rising from 7x to 10x.
  • Non-index mid and small cap stocks attracted over S$100 million net institutional inflows since May, led by UOBKH and CSE Global.

Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May

By Geoff Howie

  • Oxley Holdings’ ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25.
  • UOB-Kay Hian Holdings recorded S$23.09 million net institutional inflow, with P/E ratio rising from 7x to 10x.
  • Non-index mid and small cap stocks attracted over S$100 million net institutional inflows since May, led by UOBKH and CSE Global.

JDC Group — Higher estimates after 60% FMK acquisition

By Edison Investment Research

After the announcement that it has acquired 60% of lead-generating specialist FMK Group (FMK), JDC reported Q2 results last week. Management reiterated the new FY25 and FY26 guidance that was provided with the announcement of the FMK transaction. With the acquisition, the former FY30 target for EBITDA of €40–50m is already in sight and is now expected to be reached by FY27 at the latest. On our estimates, the lower end of this range could be reached in FY26. JDC is trading on an FY25e EV/adjusted EBITDA multiple of 15.3x (was 13.7x at Q1), which still appears undemanding, particularly compared to platform peers. Our discounted cash flow (DCF) values JDC at €36.89/share, increased from €34.56/share previously largely due to the FMK transaction.


Hybridan Research: TMT Investments PLC: Waiting for Take-Off

By Hybridan

  • Since inception in 2010, there has been a 14.5% per annum increase in IRR to December 2024 as management has grown the portfolio to a total of approximately 50 maturing tech companies.
  • These companies are in impactful technologies primarily focused on Big Data/Cloud, Ecommerce, Edtech, Mobility, FinTech and SaaS (software-as-a-service).
  • The Interims to June 2025 reported a 3.8% increase in NAV to $6.80 from $6.55 as of 31 December 2024 and an Operating gain of $7.89m compared to a $0.19m Operating loss as at 30 June 2024.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yuexiu REIT
  • UST yields rose 1-2 bps yesterday, with limited major catalysts ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole appearance later this week. The yield on the 2Y UST inched up 1 bp to 3.77%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.33%.
  • Equities were flat, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stable at 6,449 and 21,630, respectively.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: M&A Battle for TaylorMade and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • M&A Battle for TaylorMade
  • StubWorld: Wilmar Trading “Cheap” To YKA. Understandably.
  • HMM Tender Side Play: Targeting a Basis Squeeze Ahead of Sep Expiry
  • Trading Halt on 79 NXT Stocks in Korea: Screening Key Names to Watch for Spread Plays
  • Smart Share Global: An Interesting Merger Arb Play
  • Q&A with Magnera IR


M&A Battle for TaylorMade

By Douglas Kim

  • TaylorMade is up for sale. TaylorMade is one of the most valuable, golf equipment brands globally.
  • We labeled this article as Bearish due to concerns about F&F getting into this M&A battle for TaylorMade in the first place which could result in overpaying for this deal.
  • We would rather have F&F take the win and provide higher returns to its shareholders.

StubWorld: Wilmar Trading “Cheap” To YKA. Understandably.

By David Blennerhassett


HMM Tender Side Play: Targeting a Basis Squeeze Ahead of Sep Expiry

By Sanghyun Park

  • Most traders are starting in September, rolling into October. Sep/Oct spread volume has picked up unusually fast, clearly reflecting hedge demand linked to the tender
  • As September expiry approaches, basis-squeeze risk rises, likely pushing September cheap and October expensive, widening the spread — creating a clear side trade opportunity.
  • With a basis squeeze expected near September expiry, we could enter a Sep/Oct spread (short Sep, long Oct) and also watch for spot-futures decoupling to play the cash-futures spread.

Trading Halt on 79 NXT Stocks in Korea: Screening Key Names to Watch for Spread Plays

By Sanghyun Park

  • NXT’s halt will be live tomorrow, likely shaking local flows. With 15–20% tape share, blocked tickers spill to KRX, thinning books, widening spreads, and hitting retail-heavy liquidity.
  • When NXT goes dark, books thin, fills slip, and prices swing sharply — widening spreads and creating risk (or alpha) in retail-heavy tickers for short-term or intraday trades.
  • Below is a hit list of 500B+ KRW stocks where NXT takes 40%+ volume — watch these Phase 1 tickers as trading halts shake up flow and spreads.

Smart Share Global: An Interesting Merger Arb Play

By Nicholas Tan

  • Smart Share Global (EM US) , previously known as “Energy Monster”, is a rather interesting merger arbitrage situation.
  • It provides a unique risk/reward balance analogous to the famous adage, “heads I win, tails I don’t lose too much”.
  • In this note, we examine the company and the merger dynamics.

Q&A with Magnera IR

By Richard Howe

  • I expect relatively stable revenue in fiscal 2026 (flat to slightly down), barring a macro shock.
  • However, with progress on synergies (65% of the $55MM net synergy target expected to be realized in fiscal 2026) and Project CORE (more on this below), I believe adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow will grow.
  • I continue to be impressed with the management team. Their focus is on generating cash, shaped by their experience running Berry under several different private equity sponsors (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Apollo).

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Daily Brief Industrials: Atlas Arteria, HMM Co., Ltd., Iljin Electric, Aux Electric Co Ltd, Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd, Vikram Solar, Del Monte Pacific, Eaton Corp Plc, Cummins Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September
  • HMM Tender Side Play: Targeting a Basis Squeeze Ahead of Sep Expiry
  • Trading Halt on 79 NXT Stocks in Korea: Screening Key Names to Watch for Spread Plays
  • Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche
  • Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade
  • Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case
  • Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May
  • Eaton Corporation Bets on AI & Tech Integration—Is This the Future of Smart Power?
  • Cummins Inc.: Power Systems Surge Sparks Big Profit Gains What Broader Challenges Does The Company Face?


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

By Brian Freitas

  • Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
  • Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.
  • If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.

HMM Tender Side Play: Targeting a Basis Squeeze Ahead of Sep Expiry

By Sanghyun Park

  • Most traders are starting in September, rolling into October. Sep/Oct spread volume has picked up unusually fast, clearly reflecting hedge demand linked to the tender
  • As September expiry approaches, basis-squeeze risk rises, likely pushing September cheap and October expensive, widening the spread — creating a clear side trade opportunity.
  • With a basis squeeze expected near September expiry, we could enter a Sep/Oct spread (short Sep, long Oct) and also watch for spot-futures decoupling to play the cash-futures spread.

Trading Halt on 79 NXT Stocks in Korea: Screening Key Names to Watch for Spread Plays

By Sanghyun Park

  • NXT’s halt will be live tomorrow, likely shaking local flows. With 15–20% tape share, blocked tickers spill to KRX, thinning books, widening spreads, and hitting retail-heavy liquidity.
  • When NXT goes dark, books thin, fills slip, and prices swing sharply — widening spreads and creating risk (or alpha) in retail-heavy tickers for short-term or intraday trades.
  • Below is a hit list of 500B+ KRW stocks where NXT takes 40%+ volume — watch these Phase 1 tickers as trading halts shake up flow and spreads.

Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche

By Nicholas Tan

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK)  is looking to raise up to US$600m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade

By Nicholas Tan

  • Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd (JISHUZ CH) is looking to raise around US$109m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It’s a global leader in energy storage business for big-data and telecommunication industries with a diverse customer base comprising telecom base station operations, data centers, power stations and power grids.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Akshat Shah

  • Vikram Solar (0490158D IN) is looking to raise about US$238m in its India IPO.
  • Vikram Solar is an integrated solar photo-voltaic modules producer and an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction services, and operations and maintenance services to its customers.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It is seeking to raise US$600 million.     
  • Aux is known for its aggressive low pricing, which has helped it establish itself as an affordable option to larger peers.
  • The investment case is bullish due to strong growth, increasing contract liabilities, encouraging margin profile despite the low-price strategy/higher ODM mix and cash generation.  

Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May

By Geoff Howie

  • Oxley Holdings’ ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25.
  • UOB-Kay Hian Holdings recorded S$23.09 million net institutional inflow, with P/E ratio rising from 7x to 10x.
  • Non-index mid and small cap stocks attracted over S$100 million net institutional inflows since May, led by UOBKH and CSE Global.

Eaton Corporation Bets on AI & Tech Integration—Is This the Future of Smart Power?

By Baptista Research

  • Eaton Corporation’s second quarter results for 2025 indicate both positive growth and areas requiring attention.
  • The company’s organic sales growth stood at 8%, marking a significant achievement, as it aligned with the high end of their guidance range.
  • Revenue hit a record $7 billion, alongside an adjusted EPS increase of 8%, reaching $2.95.

Cummins Inc.: Power Systems Surge Sparks Big Profit Gains What Broader Challenges Does The Company Face?

By Baptista Research

  • Cummins Inc. delivered noteworthy second-quarter results for 2025, driven by exceptional performance in its Power Systems and Distribution segments, offsetting challenges faced in the North American truck market.
  • During the quarter, revenues totaled $8.6 billion, reflecting a 2% decrease year-over-year, primarily due to a 6% drop in North American sales amidst a slump in the heavy- and medium-duty truck markets.
  • Despite this revenue dip, Cummins achieved an increase in EBITDA to $1.6 billion, or 18.4% of sales, up from $1.3 billion (15.3% of sales) in the previous year, showcasing significant profitability improvement.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: SICC, CRB Commodity Index, Amman Mineral Internasional, Vishnu Chemicals , JSW Steel Ltd, Nanoco Group PLC, Del Monte Pacific, Rex American Resources, Magnera, Geo Energy Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand
  • Commodities & Metals – August 2025
  • Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) – Q1 Weak, Forecasts Cut, Stock Fully Priced
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength
  • JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India
  • Nanoco Group — Encouraging commercial progress continues
  • Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May
  • Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks
  • Q&A with Magnera IR
  • 10 in 10 with Geo Energy Resources – Bridging the gap of Energy and Infrastructure


SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing.
  • In terms of market share, as per Frost & Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Commodities & Metals – August 2025

By Rahul Jain

  • Key Trends: Precious metals, cobalt, and rare earths sustain leadership, while uranium equities face a short-term correction despite strong structural drivers.
  • Key Idea: Markets reward miners with policy support, scale, and cost efficiency, while penalizing those exposed to cyclical weakness or geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Key News: China tightened rare earth quotas, India moved forward on steel safeguard duties, and uranium equities corrected even as nuclear fundamentals remain robust

Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) – Q1 Weak, Forecasts Cut, Stock Fully Priced

By Rahul Jain

  • Q1/H1 2025 results: Revenue collapsed (–88% YoY) and EBITDA turned negative due to concentrate export expiry and slow smelter ramp-up.
  • Earnings revisions: FY25–26 cut sharply (–60–70% vs earlier estimates), with normalization only from FY27.
  • Valuation: At ~USD 38bn (IDR 8,400/share), AMMN already prices in Elang optionality; conservative SOTP points to 20–25% downside, leaving the stock fully valued.

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Vishnu Chemicals is expanding beyond its core chromium and barium verticals with a first-mover entry into strontium carbonate, positioning itself as the only producer in India and Asia.
  • Strategic backward integration in chrome ore and barites mining reduces raw material volatility, safeguarding margins while strengthening long-term supply security.
  • Near-Term growth guidance has been moderated to 10–15% due to U.S. tariff headwinds, but diversification and capacity expansion support a structurally stronger growth trajectory.

JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

By Rahul Jain

  • On 18 Aug 2025, JSW and POSCO agreed to explore a 6mt steel JV in Odisha under a 50:50 structure.
  • JSW to reach 51.5mt by FY31 via Indian expansions; POSCO to hit 52mt by 2030 through green steel upgrades in Korea and overseas growth.
  • Strategic Positive: The JV blends JSW’s domestic scale with POSCO’s technology and global network, accelerating India’s steel hub ambitions.

Nanoco Group — Encouraging commercial progress continues

By Edison Investment Research

Nanoco’s trading update indicates that the business is making encouraging commercial progress since Dmitry Shashkov took over as CEO in October 2024. If all goes to plan, this should result in further commercial agreements with existing and new customers and applications in H225. Meanwhile, cash burn remains well under control, with net cash of £14.0m at period end versus £15.2m at the interims.


Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May

By Geoff Howie

  • Oxley Holdings’ ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25.
  • UOB-Kay Hian Holdings recorded S$23.09 million net institutional inflow, with P/E ratio rising from 7x to 10x.
  • Non-index mid and small cap stocks attracted over S$100 million net institutional inflows since May, led by UOBKH and CSE Global.

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
  • SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.

Q&A with Magnera IR

By Richard Howe

  • I expect relatively stable revenue in fiscal 2026 (flat to slightly down), barring a macro shock.
  • However, with progress on synergies (65% of the $55MM net synergy target expected to be realized in fiscal 2026) and Project CORE (more on this below), I believe adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow will grow.
  • I continue to be impressed with the management team. Their focus is on generating cash, shaped by their experience running Berry under several different private equity sponsors (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Apollo).

10 in 10 with Geo Energy Resources – Bridging the gap of Energy and Infrastructure

By Geoff Howie

  • Geo Energy’s dividend policy commits to at least 30% of profit, with recent dividends showing a 25% increase.
  • In 1H2025, Geo Energy nearly doubled sales volume, boosting revenue by 71% and achieving US$20.1 million net profit.
  • Geo Energy’s integrated infrastructure supports revenue diversification through toll and jetty usage fees, enhancing financial stability.

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Most Read: HDFC Bank, Pop Mart, Gemvax & Kael, Hanon Systems, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group , Atlas Arteria, F&F, HMM Co., Ltd. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY Bank Index: Big Flows & The Upcoming Methodology Change
  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25
  • FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September
  • UK Excess Inflation Expectations
  • Hanon Systems Announces a Major Potential Rights Offering
  • Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK) – Core Reasons for High Growth and Performance Forecast
  • MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September
  • M&A Battle for TaylorMade
  • HMM Tender Side Play: Targeting a Basis Squeeze Ahead of Sep Expiry


NIFTY Bank Index: Big Flows & The Upcoming Methodology Change

By Brian Freitas

  • In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. The recommendations have to be implemented by 3 November.
  • There is a high probability that NSE Indices implements the changes for the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the September rebalance. Nothing has been announced yet though.
  • If implemented in September, Yes Bank and Union Bank Of India could be added to the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.35% and the round-trip trade is INR 149bn (US$1.7bn). 

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25

By Brian Freitas

  • Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 5 September.
  • We highlight 6 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. With the index committee entitled to a lot of discretion, there will be differences.
  • CATL completes 3 months of listing just prior to the review meeting date and is a dark horse candidate, though the committee could let the stock season for another quarter.

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

By Brian Freitas

  • With the averaging period for the October rebalance starting in two weeks, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.
  • Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 1.5-4.7x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.
  • On average, the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a wide margin over the last 3 months and could reverse some of the changes from the April rebalance.

UK Excess Inflation Expectations

By Phil Rush

  • The upwards trend in consensus inflation forecasts reflects persistent excess effective expectations supporting wages amid policymakers’ failure to re-anchor at the target.
  • Easing on the assumption of success predictably negated the required conditions, so we forecasted the problem. Nonetheless, expectations were also stickier than we assumed.
  • Without renewed progress, wage growth should keep trending above the BoE’s forecast, discouraging further rate cuts. Hikes may even be needed in 2026 to break excesses.

Hanon Systems Announces a Major Potential Rights Offering

By Douglas Kim

  • On 14 August, Hanon Systems (018880 KS) announced a potential rights offering capital raise. The exact amount will be finalized at the EGM next month. 
  • The significant size of the rights offering is expected to burden its largest shareholder Hankook Tire & Technology (161390 KS) which owns a 54.8% stake in Hanon Systems. 
  • We believe the potential rights offering is likely to continue to negatively impact Hanon Systems by diluting its existing shareholders. 

Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
  • The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Pop Mart (9992 HK) – Core Reasons for High Growth and Performance Forecast

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • In bleak consumption environment, Pop Mart is definitely an “outsider”.Explanations such as “lipstick effect” are more like a self-consistent logic, which may have some sense, but doesn’t constitute core contradiction.
  • To truly understand the investment value of Pop Mart, it’s necessary to assess future growth potential.We think overseas revenue could reach RMB16-17 billion in 2025 and RMB42 billion in 2026.
  • Net profit CAGR in 2024-2026 could be about 79.5%. Pop Mart would still maintain high growth in short-term. But after 2026, there are uncertainties of channel policies and IP-driven factors.

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

By Brian Freitas

  • Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
  • Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.
  • If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.

M&A Battle for TaylorMade

By Douglas Kim

  • TaylorMade is up for sale. TaylorMade is one of the most valuable, golf equipment brands globally.
  • We labeled this article as Bearish due to concerns about F&F getting into this M&A battle for TaylorMade in the first place which could result in overpaying for this deal.
  • We would rather have F&F take the win and provide higher returns to its shareholders.

HMM Tender Side Play: Targeting a Basis Squeeze Ahead of Sep Expiry

By Sanghyun Park

  • Most traders are starting in September, rolling into October. Sep/Oct spread volume has picked up unusually fast, clearly reflecting hedge demand linked to the tender
  • As September expiry approaches, basis-squeeze risk rises, likely pushing September cheap and October expensive, widening the spread — creating a clear side trade opportunity.
  • With a basis squeeze expected near September expiry, we could enter a Sep/Oct spread (short Sep, long Oct) and also watch for spot-futures decoupling to play the cash-futures spread.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group , Amgen Inc, Zoetis Inc, Aethlon Medical , Pfizer Inc, SBC Medical Group Holdings , CStone Pharmaceuticals, Ainos , Immix Biopharma Inc, LogicMark and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic
  • Amgen: New Breakthroughs in Obesity, Rare Diseases, & High-Impact Therapies; But Is It Enough?
  • Zoetis Is Looking To Capitalize On The Triple Combo Market—Can The Stock Move Past Its Flat Trajectory?
  • With the timeline to launch a study in India similar to the one being conducted in Australia significantly longer than AEMD had initially anticipated
  • Pfizer Inc.: Is Its $13 Billion M&A Budget & Product Pipeline Enough To Stay Ahead Of Rival Large Pharma?
  • SBC: 2Q25 Headwinds Were Expected Initiatives to Combat Challenges Underway
  • CStone Pharma (2616 HK): 1H25 Revenue Drop Seems Temporary Hiccup; Sugemalimab Trigger Awaited
  • Ainos, Inc: A Foundational AI-Driven Technology Innovator Set to Ramp Up Its Revenue Base
  • Immix Biopharma — Fleshing out the CAR-T strategy
  • LGMK: Device Upgrades Contribute to 2Q Revenue & Margin Improvements Strong Balance Sheet


Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
  • The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Amgen: New Breakthroughs in Obesity, Rare Diseases, & High-Impact Therapies; But Is It Enough?

By Baptista Research

  • The latest earnings call for Amgen Incorporated presented a mixed bag of outcomes and strategic updates, reflecting on both the company’s strengths and challenges.
  • On the positive side, Amgen reported a notable 9% increase in quarterly revenues, driven primarily by a robust 13% rise in product volumes.
  • This volume growth appeared broad-based, with 15 different products recording double-digit sales growth, suggesting a welldiversified product portfolio and effective market penetration, particularly in cardiovascular and rare diseases, inflammation, and oncology.

Zoetis Is Looking To Capitalize On The Triple Combo Market—Can The Stock Move Past Its Flat Trajectory?

By Baptista Research

  • In the second quarter of 2025, Zoetis reported robust financial results, underscoring the strength and resilience of its portfolio across multiple markets.
  • The company achieved an organic operational revenue growth of 8% and a 10% increase in adjusted net income, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency.
  • One of the key highlights was the International segment, which experienced a 9% organic operational revenue growth, indicating Zoetis’s ability to leverage trends expanding regional markets.

With the timeline to launch a study in India similar to the one being conducted in Australia significantly longer than AEMD had initially anticipated

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • With the timeline to launch a study in India similar to the one being conducted in Australia significantly longer than AEMD had initially anticipated, the company has decided not to move forward in India at this time.
  • AEMD will continue to focus on the ongoing oncology study in Australia, where it benefits from attractive economic that are expected to help reduce costs, lower risk & accelerate time to market.
  • When appropriate, the company continues pre-clinical research and analysis of the Hemopurifier in areas outside of oncology when expenses associated with these efforts are de minimis.

Pfizer Inc.: Is Its $13 Billion M&A Budget & Product Pipeline Enough To Stay Ahead Of Rival Large Pharma?

By Baptista Research

  • Pfizer’s Q2 2025 financial results reflect a blend of strategic execution and a challenging external milieu.
  • The company reported revenues of $14.7 billion, marking a 10% operational increase year-over-year, driven by robust growth across the U.S. and international divisions.
  • Key contributors to this growth included products like the Vyndaqel family, Comirnaty, and Paxlovid, alongside others such as Eliquis and Padcev.

SBC: 2Q25 Headwinds Were Expected Initiatives to Combat Challenges Underway

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SBC appointed a new Chief Marketing Officer effective July 1, 2025, to raise awareness of its growing portfolio of brands.
  • The company is optimistic that its revised pricing, promotional and fee strategies will support strong growth over time, despite some potential short-term constraint.
  • The company is also optimistic about generating new / growing revenue streams from international customers, both through greater outreach to medical tourists and by expanding its global footprint.

CStone Pharma (2616 HK): 1H25 Revenue Drop Seems Temporary Hiccup; Sugemalimab Trigger Awaited

By Tina Banerjee

  • CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK) reported 80.5% YoY decrease in revenue to RMB 49.4M as sales of pralsetinib decreased substantially due to price adjustments in preparation for the NRDL negotiation.
  • R&D expenses surged 59% YoY to RMB 105M primarily attributable to ongoing clinical trials. In 1H25, the company’s loss stood at RMB 270M vs profit of RMB 15.7M in 1H24.
  • Expanded indications of sugemalimab, the successive data readouts, approvals and continuous commercialization expansion efforts into global markets are near term triggers, but concerns remain.

Ainos, Inc: A Foundational AI-Driven Technology Innovator Set to Ramp Up Its Revenue Base

By Water Tower Research

  • Ainos can now be considered a technology company.
  • This report discusses Ainos’ prioritized strategic focus on the development of and commercialization pathway for its proprietary digital AI-powered SmellTech platform, Al Nose.
  • But while remaining dedicated to advancing its core therapeutic program VELDONA, 2025 marks a strategic inflection point in Ainos’ transition from its biotech roots to becoming principally a foundational AI technology innovator, with the stage set for accelerating momentum toward large-scale commercialization in 2026 of its AI Nose platform, which is expected to drive the company’s revenue growth for years to come. 

Immix Biopharma — Fleshing out the CAR-T strategy

By Edison Investment Research

Immix has published its Q225 results, reflecting a productive period for NXC-201. The US-based NEXICART-2 trial in relapsed/refractory amyloid light chain amyloidosis (r/r ALA) reported an encouraging interim update and, given the current pace, Immix maintains its plans to file for regulatory approval once the trial concludes in mid-2026. Management also announced the potential expansion of NXC-201 into additional indications, which could increase the value proposition for the candidate. The company ended Q225 with net cash of $11.64m, which was bolstered post period by a further $1.34m through an at-the-market (ATM) offering. We estimate that this should provide a cash runway into Q126, but note the potential for this to extend should further proceeds be raised through the ATM facility. Following the Q225 results, our valuation for Immix stands at $126.8m, or $4.3 per share (from $127.0m, or $4.6/share previously).


LGMK: Device Upgrades Contribute to 2Q Revenue & Margin Improvements Strong Balance Sheet

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • A key component of LGMK’s growth strategy is to expand the product line and boost awareness of its growing suite of products and services.
  • LGMK seeks to expand its sales team to help drive growth & recently appointed a new SVP ales to lead its B2B expansion efforts.
  • In addition, the company is revising its reseller program to enable improved partner support and outreach to end customers & increasing its presence at industry conferences to boost awareness of its growing product line.

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