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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Nov): Eternal and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Nov): Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra & Mahindra
  • CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Nov): CHINA VANKE, PING AN INSURANCE, BOE, TCL
  • STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Nov): NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Alibaba, Xiaomi
  • CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Nov): DAWNING INFORMATION INDUSTRY, PING AN INSURANCE
  • TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Nov): Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Honda Motor, SoftBank


NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Nov): Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra & Mahindra

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra & Mahindra, State Bank of India, HDFC Bank, Adani Enterprises, ICICI Bank, State Bank Of India, Hdfc Bank, Hindalco Industries.

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Nov): CHINA VANKE, PING AN INSURANCE, BOE, TCL

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on CHINA VANKE, PING AN INSURANCE, BOE TECHNOLOGY, TCL TECHNOLOGY, COSCO SHIPPING, GANFENG LITHIUM, Cosco Shipping, Ping An Insurance, China Vanke, Boe Technology, Tcl Technology.

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Nov): NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, BIWIN STORAGE TECHNOLOGY, MONTAGE TECHNOLOGY, HWATSING TECHNOLOGY, Roborock, CSI SOLAR, National Silicon Industry, Roborock, Montage Technology, Hwatsing Technology.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Alibaba, Xiaomi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
  • We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
  • We highlight flows of Alibaba, Xiaomi, HSTECH ETF, CNOOC, ICBC.

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Nov): DAWNING INFORMATION INDUSTRY, PING AN INSURANCE

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on DAWNING INFORMATION INDUSTRY, PING AN INSURANCE, JIANGSU EASTERN SHENGHONG, BOE, SPDB, CHINA VANKE, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY.

TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Nov): Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Honda Motor, SoftBank

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.
  • We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index’s EPS, stocks’ EPS revision, and revenue revision.
  • We highlighted EPS revision on Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Honda Motor, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Sony, Sony Financial, Softbank, Toyota Motor, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Sony, Honda Motor, Sony Financial.

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Daily Brief ECM: 3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • 3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive
  • SBI Shinsei Bank IPO – Stronger Support, Decent Valuation
  • Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Strong Growth but Lacks Margin Stability
  • Superbank IPO: Superb Story, Decent Entry Point
  • Meesho Ltd Pre-IPO – Mass-Market Player Scaling on Low-Cost, High-Frequency Commerce
  • NS Group IPO – Deal Downsized; Pricing Looks Digestible Now
  • Meesho IPO: Garmenting a Mass Market Play for Long-Term Growth
  • Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (CDNL): Infrastructure Play Sets Terms for IPO
  • Pre-IPO TOP TOY International Group – The Industry, the Business and the Valuation Outlook


3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal

By Nicholas Tan

  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) is looking to raise around US$400m from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a small one, representing 2.9 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 3.9% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive

By Arun George


SBI Shinsei Bank IPO – Stronger Support, Decent Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2.1bn in its Japan listing.
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
  • We looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Strong Growth but Lacks Margin Stability

By Sumeet Singh

  • Suzhou Novosense Microelectron (688052 CH), an analog chips producer, aims to raise around US$285m in its H-share listing.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in terms of revenue from analog chips in 2024, SNM ranked fifth among Chinese analog chip companies in the Chinese analog chip market.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Superbank IPO: Superb Story, Decent Entry Point

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Superbank (SUPA IJ) aims to raise around US$184m in its Indonesia IPO.
  • Superbank is a digital bank in Indonesia operating through a combination of ecosystem-led distribution and its own standalone mobile application.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

Meesho Ltd Pre-IPO – Mass-Market Player Scaling on Low-Cost, High-Frequency Commerce

By Akshat Shah

  • Meesho Ltd (1546271D IN) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO. 
  • Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

NS Group IPO – Deal Downsized; Pricing Looks Digestible Now

By Akshat Shah

  • NS Group (471A JP) (NSG) is one of Japan’s leading rent guarantee service providers, offering payment guarantee and rent collection solutions to property owners and management companies.
  • NSG aims to raise around US$220m in its Japan IPO via an entirely secondary offering, marking Bain Capital’s full exit from the company.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance and peer comparison. In this note, we talk about the pricing updates and IPO valuations.

Meesho IPO: Garmenting a Mass Market Play for Long-Term Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Meesho IPO will comprise a fresh issue of INR42.5B, and an OFS of 105.5M shares. The price band of the IPO has been fixed between INR105 and INR111 per share.
  • Meesho’s IPO will open for subscription on Wednesday, December 3 and close on Friday, December 5. The IPO is scheduled to list on the stock exchanges on Wednesday, December 10.
  • Meesho intends to utilize IPO proceeds for investment for cloud infrastructure, paying salaries of technology team, marketing and brand building initiative, and acquisition. The IPO is suitable for risk-seeking investors.

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (CDNL): Infrastructure Play Sets Terms for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Cardinal Infrastructure sets terms for its IPO and could raise up to $253 million if priced at the high end of the range. 
  • Cardinal Infrastructure offers full-service, in-house wet utility and site work solutions in fast-growing Southeastern markets, benefiting from strong demand, population growth, and reduced outsourcing needs.
  • A proven acquisition-led expansion strategy, deep customer relationships, and high repeat revenue underpin robust growth, a strong backlog, and successful market penetration in new geographies.

Pre-IPO TOP TOY International Group – The Industry, the Business and the Valuation Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Relying on MINISO’s mature retail system, TOP TOY has achieved scale accumulation rapidly.Real challenge lies in whether it can continuously create “blockbuster proprietary IPs” and reduce reliance on licensing model.
  • Due to smaller revenue proportion of proprietary IPs/overseas revenue and lower profit margin, valuation of TOP TOY should be lower than Pop Mart, but would be higher than MINISO.
  • If based on 2025 forecast, valuation is RMB9.3-11.2 billion. So, post-money valuation of US$1.3 billion after Series A financing is not cheap. Valuation premium space after IPO may be lower-than-expected.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Lincotrade & Associates Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Singtel Tops Buybacks; Soon Hock & Engro Chairs Boost Stakes; Sanli Eyes Growth with Placement


Singtel Tops Buybacks; Soon Hock & Engro Chairs Boost Stakes; Sanli Eyes Growth with Placement

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks from Nov 21 to Nov 27, with a S$552 million outflow.
  • Engro Corporation Chairman Tan Cheng Gay increased his interest to 25.01% by acquiring 11,870,000 shares at S$0.725 each.
  • Sanli Environmental proposed a placement of up to 38,492,404 shares at S$0.260 each, raising up to S$10,008,025.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Genting Berhad, Meituan
  • UST yields climbed 1-3 bps on Friday, albeit there were no material catalysts as the market returned after Thanksgiving. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.49%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.01%. Equities climbed on thin trading in a shortened postholiday session. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 0.5% and 0.7% to 6,849 and 23,366, respectively.
  • China’s November official manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.2 (49.4 e / 49.0 p), albeit remaining in contraction territory for the eighth straight month. The non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (50.0 e / 50.1 p), with the composite PMI declining to 49.7 (50.0 p).

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung Electronics, Ahnlab Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • [2026 High Conviction] Korean Mega Cap Investment: Samsung’s $310B Tech Spend, the AI-Momentum Trade
  • Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (October and November 2025)


[2026 High Conviction] Korean Mega Cap Investment: Samsung’s $310B Tech Spend, the AI-Momentum Trade

By Jay Cameron

  • Samsung is positioned as a global hub for the AI Supercycle, driven by a pivot to memory technology, and evidenced by a KRW 450T ($310 billion) local investment plan.
  • The Device Solutions division’s Q3 2025 rebound (sales +19% sequentially) and an estimated 43.4% Fwd 2-Yr EPS CAGR support potential upside for the stock
  • The company has demonstrated a commitment to enhancing shareholder value by completing its 10T share repurchase program ahead of schedule and maintaining a consistent annual dividend payout through 2026.

Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (October and November 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the alpha generation through companies that announced share buybacks in the Korean stock market in October and November 2025.
  • We provide a list of 26 companies in the Korean stock market that have announced share buyback programs in October and November 2025.
  • There were three companies with more than 300 billion won in market cap that announced share buybacks in the past two months with at least 1% of outstanding shares.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Superbank and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Superbank IPO: Superb Story, Decent Entry Point


Superbank IPO: Superb Story, Decent Entry Point

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Superbank (SUPA IJ) aims to raise around US$184m in its Indonesia IPO.
  • Superbank is a digital bank in Indonesia operating through a combination of ecosystem-led distribution and its own standalone mobile application.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

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Daily Brief China: XD Inc., Innovent Biologics Inc, 3SBio Inc, Beijing Enlight Media, Zhenxing Biopharmaceutical & Chemicl, Suzhou Novosense Microelectron, Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec, Citic Securities (H), Geely Auto, China Vanke and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • KWEB Index Rebalance: 5 Adds & A Delete
  • 2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged
  • 3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal
  • Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow
  • Quiddity CSI 1000 Dec25 Results: 88% Hit Rate; 100 ADDs/DELs; ~US$2.5bn One-Way
  • Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Strong Growth but Lacks Margin Stability
  • Quiddity STAR 50/100 Dec25 Results: 19/20 Changes Correctly Predicted; ~US$2bn Combined One-Way Flow
  • Hong Kong December 2025 Monthly Covered Call Report
  • Geely (175 HK): In November, Deliveries Still Strongly Up by 24%
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


KWEB Index Rebalance: 5 Adds & A Delete

By Brian Freitas


2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The growth of Innovent’s product revenue is always commendable. Based on strong growth momentum, product revenue in 2025 would be above RMB10 billion. Adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 2025 is expected.
  • Innovent’s peak sales would reach the level of RMB20 billion in 2027. RMB100 billion is the valuation bottom line in the short term. In mid-to-long term, the highlight is IBI363.
  • Current valuation has basically priced in favorable factors for fundamentals for the next three years.Investors can wait patiently for a pullback and buy the stock at a more cost-effective valuation.

3SBio Placement: Partnership with Pfizer Going Well; Digestible Deal

By Nicholas Tan

  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) is looking to raise around US$400m from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a small one, representing 2.9 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 3.9% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The December 2025 index review results for China’s CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be 11 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
  • The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$5.3bn and US$4.2bn in one-way flows respectively.

Quiddity CSI 1000 Dec25 Results: 88% Hit Rate; 100 ADDs/DELs; ~US$2.5bn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The December 2025 index review results for China’s CSI 1000 index were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be 100 ADDs/DELs for CSI 1000 in the December 2025 rebalance.
  • The CSI 1000 index rebal event could trigger US$2.5bn in one-way flow.

Suzhou Novosense A/H Listing – Strong Growth but Lacks Margin Stability

By Sumeet Singh

  • Suzhou Novosense Microelectron (688052 CH), an analog chips producer, aims to raise around US$285m in its H-share listing.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in terms of revenue from analog chips in 2024, SNM ranked fifth among Chinese analog chip companies in the Chinese analog chip market.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Dec25 Results: 19/20 Changes Correctly Predicted; ~US$2bn Combined One-Way Flow

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The December 2025 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
  • There will be two changes for the STAR 50 index and eight changes for the STAR 100 index.
  • We expect one-way flows of approximately US$1.4bn and US$516mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events, respectively.

Hong Kong December 2025 Monthly Covered Call Report

By Nicholas Pezolano

  • Top Hong Kong Stock Exchange listed covered call candidates for the month of December.
  • The top 10 provide an average ~6.9% premium with a potential ~8.4% upside P&L if exercised.
  • Investors with a neutral 1-month view on the underlying can seek to generate income.

Geely (175 HK): In November, Deliveries Still Strongly Up by 24%

By Ming Lu

  • Geely’s deliveries grew by 24% YoY in November, reaching 65% of BYD.
  • PHEV continued to accelerate and export deliveries rose strongly by 22% in November.
  • We expect Geely’s stock price will rise by 20% in the next twelve months.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Genting Berhad, Meituan
  • UST yields climbed 1-3 bps on Friday, albeit there were no material catalysts as the market returned after Thanksgiving. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.49%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.01%. Equities climbed on thin trading in a shortened postholiday session. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 0.5% and 0.7% to 6,849 and 23,366, respectively.
  • China’s November official manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.2 (49.4 e / 49.0 p), albeit remaining in contraction territory for the eighth straight month. The non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (50.0 e / 50.1 p), with the composite PMI declining to 49.7 (50.0 p).

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan M&A] Possible Partial TSURUHA (3391 JP) Tender Changes – More Accretion! Smaller Tender? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] Possible Partial TSURUHA (3391 JP) Tender Changes – More Accretion! Smaller Tender?
  • African Gold Ltd (A1G AU) Enters Scheme With Montage Gold (MAU CN)
  • Venus Metals Faces Hostile Takeover Bid from QGold Amid Potential for Higher Offers and Asset Valuation Discrepancies
  • Fast Fitness Japan (7092 JP): JGIA-Sponsored MBO Is a Done Deal
  • Active Merger Arbitrage and Privatization Opportunities: Strategic Reviews, Buyouts, and More
  • Zegona Communications: From Turnaround to Capital Return Vehicle with M&A Optionality
  • Genting Malaysia (GENM MK): Offer Closes As New York Casino Licence Awarded
  • Sell Millrose Properties
  • Strategic Buyouts, Mergers and Arbitrage: Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas
  • Thunderbird Entertainment’s Acquisition by Blue Ant Media: Merger Arbitrage Opportunity


[Japan M&A] Possible Partial TSURUHA (3391 JP) Tender Changes – More Accretion! Smaller Tender?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, post-close of its first day of trading as MergeCo, Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) announced 12 different investors who had voted against the deal filed for dissenting shareholder share repurchase.
  • This covers 27.154mm shares – a bit more than what Orbis owned when they last filed (25.5mm shs) and is just over half the AGM dissension.
  • This creates some weirdness. A 5+% buyback is strong accretion, but “fair price” is a question, and it could mean smaller tender offer quantity and larger eventual index selldowns.

African Gold Ltd (A1G AU) Enters Scheme With Montage Gold (MAU CN)

By David Blennerhassett

  • The gold rush continues with another Canadian outfit bidding to take over an Aussie-listed West African gold play. 
  • Junior miner African Gold (A1G AU)has entered into a Scheme with Montage Gold (MAU CN). African Gold shareholders will receive 0.0628 new MAU shares for every A1G share.
  • That backs out an implied value of A$0.50/share. Independent directors, holding 11.6% of shares out, are supportive. Montage holds 17.3%. Clean deal.

Venus Metals Faces Hostile Takeover Bid from QGold Amid Potential for Higher Offers and Asset Valuation Discrepancies

By Special Situation Investments

  • QGold’s hostile takeover offer for Venus Metals at A$0.17/share is expected to increase, with VMS stock trading at A$0.195/share.
  • VMC’s assets in Rox Resources are valued at A$46m, with a 1% net smelter royalty potentially undervalued due to outdated assumptions.
  • Christopher Wallin’s QGold has acquired a 26% stake in VMC and a 9% stake in Rox Resources, indicating strategic interest.

Fast Fitness Japan (7092 JP): JGIA-Sponsored MBO Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Fast Fitness Japan Inc (7092 JP) has recommended a JGIA-sponsored MBO at JPY2,315, a 29.3% premium to the undisturbed price (31 October).
  • There was media speculation about a tender offer last month. The offer is arguably light as it is below the mid-point of the IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • This is a done deal as the irrevocables to tender (20.65% ownership ratio) exceed the lower limit of the tender offer (17.12% ownership ratio).

Active Merger Arbitrage and Privatization Opportunities: Strategic Reviews, Buyouts, and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • Priority Technology received a non-binding privatization offer from its founder at $6-$6.15/share, with a 11%-14% spread.
  • Generation Bio completed restructuring, now a cash shell with net cash at $7.6/share, 50% above current price.
  • Sotherly Hotels’ preferred shares trade with a 12-14% spread to offer price, common shares at 5% spread.

Zegona Communications: From Turnaround to Capital Return Vehicle with M&A Optionality

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Zegona has unlocked €1.8bn via fiber monetization, enabling a €1.6bn capital return and transforming its balance sheet with 69% share count reduction and lower leverage.
  • Trading at ~6.7x EBITDAaL, Zegona offers embedded upside through strategic rerating or a control premium from Telefónica or MasOrange, both reportedly exploring bids.
  • Post-Buyback, per-share economics improve dramatically, with lower debt, rising EBITDA, and potential for further upside via fiber JVs or a formal takeover process.

Genting Malaysia (GENM MK): Offer Closes As New York Casino Licence Awarded

By David Blennerhassett

  • Genting Bhd (GENT MK)‘s unconditional Offer for Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) closed yesterday, the 1st December, with GENT holding 73.13%, up from 49.99% initially. 
  • The IFA previously opined the Offer to be NOT fair, and NOT reasonable. A bump in terms, long rumoured, failed to unfold. 
  • Yesterday, GENM was one of three applicants selected by New York’s Gaming Facility Location Board for a full commercial casino license in downtown New York.

Sell Millrose Properties

By Richard Howe

  • I’m closing out my LEN/MRP odd lot trade recommendation and will be selling my MRP shares.
  • The total return if you took advantage of the odd lot provision was +1.9% / + $235 less than the expected return of +6.4% / $772.
  • The driver of the underperformance? MRP sold off in mi- November given market weakness and hasn’t fully recovered.

Strategic Buyouts, Mergers and Arbitrage: Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas

By Special Situation Investments

  • KNOT Offshore Partners received a $10/unit take-private offer; potential for improved bid due to unitholder approval requirement.
  • Golden Entertainment’s chairman offers at 1x EBITDA; shareholder approval could lead to a 15%+ price increase.
  • TrueCar’s founder-led buyout at $2.55/share; 26% shareholder support; deal expected to close by early 2026.

Thunderbird Entertainment’s Acquisition by Blue Ant Media: Merger Arbitrage Opportunity

By Special Situation Investments

  • Thunderbird Entertainment is being acquired by Blue Ant Media for C$1.77/share in cash and 0.2165 BAMI shares.
  • Voss Capital and other major holders, owning 37% of TBRD, support the transaction requiring two-thirds vote approval.
  • The offer implies a 3.4x FY26 EBITDA multiple, dropping to 2.6x with expected C$7m synergies.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: 2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • 2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged
  • The Copper Sleeper that Nobody’s Watching (Anthony Kavanagh)
  • The Beat Ideas: Dodla Dairy: A Story of Value Added Products & Premiumisation
  • Clearwater Analytics: A Tale Of Platform Expansion Through Enfusion and Beacon
  • The Beat Ideas: Welspun Corp – The Three-Continent Infrastructure Proxy, Rerating Beyond Cyclicality
  • Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (October and November 2025)
  • Geely (175 HK): In November, Deliveries Still Strongly Up by 24%
  • Primer: Fanuc Corp (6954 JP) – Dec 2025
  • Brookfield Renewable: A Shift Toward a Diversified
  • Emerson Electric’s Bold Power Play: Tapping Into a New Energy Supercycle!


2026 High Conviction – China Healthcare: High-Certainty Investment Opportunity Has Emerged

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The growth of Innovent’s product revenue is always commendable. Based on strong growth momentum, product revenue in 2025 would be above RMB10 billion. Adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 2025 is expected.
  • Innovent’s peak sales would reach the level of RMB20 billion in 2027. RMB100 billion is the valuation bottom line in the short term. In mid-to-long term, the highlight is IBI363.
  • Current valuation has basically priced in favorable factors for fundamentals for the next three years.Investors can wait patiently for a pullback and buy the stock at a more cost-effective valuation.

The Copper Sleeper that Nobody’s Watching (Anthony Kavanagh)

By Money of Mine

  • The speaker discusses their interest in an intriguing South Australian undeveloped copper stock called Havilah (HAV)
  • The speaker shares their initial encounter with the company in 2022 and their impression of its potential value and optionality of assets

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The Beat Ideas: Dodla Dairy: A Story of Value Added Products & Premiumisation

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Dodla is entering a new growth phase with its Maharashtra plant, OSAM integration, premium value-added products, and stronger Africa operations, supported by a solid procurement network.
  • With over 94% direct milk sourcing, better farmer yields through Orgafeed, and a rising VAP mix, Dodla is building a high-return, self-funded growth model.
  • As capex peaks and free cash flows inflect post-FY27, Dodla is transitioning into a structurally compounding dairy platform with improving mix, margins, and regional balance.

Clearwater Analytics: A Tale Of Platform Expansion Through Enfusion and Beacon

By Baptista Research

  • Clearwater Analytics delivered robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, marking significant progress for the company.
  • The revenue for the quarter reached $205.1 million, reflecting an impressive year-over-year growth rate of 77%.
  • The annualized recurring revenue (ARR) also increased by the same percentage, reaching $807.5 million.

The Beat Ideas: Welspun Corp – The Three-Continent Infrastructure Proxy, Rerating Beyond Cyclicality

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The record INR23,500 Cr order book, anchored by a structural demand shift for US data center gas pipelines, validates the company’s large-scale global capex strategy in the US and KSA.
  • The pivot from cyclical line pipes to stable B2C (Sintex) and structurally funded growth drivers (Vision 2030, AI energy) fundamentally de-risks the earnings profile and warrants a higher valuation multiple.
  • With net cash and improving ROCE, WCL is transitioning from a cyclical steel player to a quality infrastructure compounder; investors should focus on the strategic segment mix and execution speed.

Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (October and November 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the alpha generation through companies that announced share buybacks in the Korean stock market in October and November 2025.
  • We provide a list of 26 companies in the Korean stock market that have announced share buyback programs in October and November 2025.
  • There were three companies with more than 300 billion won in market cap that announced share buybacks in the past two months with at least 1% of outstanding shares.

Geely (175 HK): In November, Deliveries Still Strongly Up by 24%

By Ming Lu

  • Geely’s deliveries grew by 24% YoY in November, reaching 65% of BYD.
  • PHEV continued to accelerate and export deliveries rose strongly by 22% in November.
  • We expect Geely’s stock price will rise by 20% in the next twelve months.

Primer: Fanuc Corp (6954 JP) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Leader with a Wide Moat: Fanuc is a global leader in factory automation, holding significant market share in CNC systems (estimated at 65%) and industrial robots. Its competitive advantages are rooted in technological prowess, a reputation for reliability, high switching costs for customers, and an extensive global service network.
  • Poised to Capitalize on Secular Growth in Automation: The company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term structural tailwinds, including rising labor costs, skilled labor shortages, reshoring of manufacturing, and increased demand for automation in emerging sectors like electric vehicle (EV) production and electronics.
  • Cyclical Headwinds and Competitive Intensity Present Risks: Fanuc’s financial performance is closely tied to global capital expenditure cycles, making it susceptible to economic downturns. The factory automation market is also highly competitive, with major players like ABB, Yaskawa, and Siemens vying for market share, which can pressure pricing and margins.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Brookfield Renewable: A Shift Toward a Diversified

By Baptista Research

  • Brookfield Renewable Partners recently reported its third-quarter 2025 performance, reflecting a complex mix of achievements and challenges.
  • The company recorded an increase in funds from operations (FFO) at $302 million or $0.46 per unit, marking a 10% year-over-year growth.
  • This performance was primarily driven by strong commercial and operational execution, strategic investments, and contributions from recent mergers and acquisitions across their diversified renewables portfolio.

Emerson Electric’s Bold Power Play: Tapping Into a New Energy Supercycle!

By Baptista Research

  • Emerson Electric Manufacturing Company concluded its fiscal year 2025 with a mixed performance, marked by both achievements and challenges.
  • Financially, Emerson reported $1.62 in adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter, aligning with its expectations.
  • For the full year, adjusted earnings per share increased by 9% to $6, while free cash flow rose 12% year-over-year, reaching $3.24 billion.

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Daily Brief India: ICICI Bank Ltd, Meesho, Dodla Dairy, Welspun Corp, Zydus Lifesciences Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes Announced; US$1.4bn Trade in Tranches
  • Meesho Ltd Pre-IPO – Mass-Market Player Scaling on Low-Cost, High-Frequency Commerce
  • The Beat Ideas: Dodla Dairy: A Story of Value Added Products & Premiumisation
  • The Beat Ideas: Welspun Corp – The Three-Continent Infrastructure Proxy, Rerating Beyond Cyclicality
  • Meesho IPO: Garmenting a Mass Market Play for Long-Term Growth
  • Zydus Lifesciences: The PBC Catalyst, From Generics Volume to Specialty Value


NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes Announced; US$1.4bn Trade in Tranches

By Brian Freitas


Meesho Ltd Pre-IPO – Mass-Market Player Scaling on Low-Cost, High-Frequency Commerce

By Akshat Shah

  • Meesho Ltd (1546271D IN) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO. 
  • Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

The Beat Ideas: Dodla Dairy: A Story of Value Added Products & Premiumisation

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Dodla is entering a new growth phase with its Maharashtra plant, OSAM integration, premium value-added products, and stronger Africa operations, supported by a solid procurement network.
  • With over 94% direct milk sourcing, better farmer yields through Orgafeed, and a rising VAP mix, Dodla is building a high-return, self-funded growth model.
  • As capex peaks and free cash flows inflect post-FY27, Dodla is transitioning into a structurally compounding dairy platform with improving mix, margins, and regional balance.

The Beat Ideas: Welspun Corp – The Three-Continent Infrastructure Proxy, Rerating Beyond Cyclicality

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The record INR23,500 Cr order book, anchored by a structural demand shift for US data center gas pipelines, validates the company’s large-scale global capex strategy in the US and KSA.
  • The pivot from cyclical line pipes to stable B2C (Sintex) and structurally funded growth drivers (Vision 2030, AI energy) fundamentally de-risks the earnings profile and warrants a higher valuation multiple.
  • With net cash and improving ROCE, WCL is transitioning from a cyclical steel player to a quality infrastructure compounder; investors should focus on the strategic segment mix and execution speed.

Meesho IPO: Garmenting a Mass Market Play for Long-Term Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Meesho IPO will comprise a fresh issue of INR42.5B, and an OFS of 105.5M shares. The price band of the IPO has been fixed between INR105 and INR111 per share.
  • Meesho’s IPO will open for subscription on Wednesday, December 3 and close on Friday, December 5. The IPO is scheduled to list on the stock exchanges on Wednesday, December 10.
  • Meesho intends to utilize IPO proceeds for investment for cloud infrastructure, paying salaries of technology team, marketing and brand building initiative, and acquisition. The IPO is suitable for risk-seeking investors.

Zydus Lifesciences: The PBC Catalyst, From Generics Volume to Specialty Value

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Zydus is shifting its business from US generics toward sustained, high-margin revenue. This growth is driven by its specialty pipeline, chronic Indian business, and MedTech.
  • The successful Phase 2(B)/3 trial of Saroglitazar for Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC) is the key near-term catalyst, promising a long-duration, high-margin revenue stream in the US specialty market.
  • The transition to an innovation-led portfolio evidenced by robust pipeline, strong chronic growth in India, and the MedTech acquisition positions Zydus for a potential re-rating as earnings quality improves.

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