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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Thailand: Siam Cement, Fabrinet and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025
  • Fabrinet – Fabrinet Goes All-In on HPC: Will This Become Its Biggest Growth Engine?


Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025

By David Blennerhassett


Fabrinet – Fabrinet Goes All-In on HPC: Will This Become Its Biggest Growth Engine?

By Baptista Research

  • Fabrinet has reported strong financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing a record revenue of $978 million, marking a 22% increase year-over-year and an 8% rise from the previous quarter.
  • Non-GAAP earnings per share peaked at $2.92, reflecting the company’s robust operational efficiency and growth momentum.
  • The company’s positive results are fueled by diverse growth drivers across its business segments, suggesting a promising outlook for the continuation of growth into the second quarter.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung Biologics , Aimed Bio, CJ Corp, Sajo Industries, Lf Corp, Namyang Dairy Products Co, Ray /KR, Satrec Initiative, Taeyoung Engineering & Construction, TS Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November
  • Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!
  • Primer: Sajo Industries (007160 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Lf Corp (093050 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Ray /KR (228670 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Satrec Initiative (099320 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Taeyoung Engineering & Construction (009410 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: TS Corporation (001790 KS) – Nov 2025


Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics will start to trade on 24 November. We remain positive on Samsung Biologics/Samsung Bioepis Holdings.
  • Operating profit more than doubled, up 115.3% YoY in 3Q25, indicating significant operating leverage. The company’s excellent results in 3Q25 is likely to positive impact the newly listed shares. 
  • Biologics division achieved 1.26 trillion won in sales with a 50% operating margin, while the Bioepis unit generated sales of 441 billion won with a 29% operating margin in 3Q25.

Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Aimed Bio finalized its IPO price at 11,000 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. Aimed Bio will be listed on KOSDAQ on 4 December.
  • A total of 2,414 domestic and international institutional investors participated in this IPO. The demand ratio of the IPO was 672 to 1 among the institutional investors.
  • Based on the final offering price, the offering amount is projected to be approximately 70.7 billion won, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately 705.7 billion won.

Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss how Olive Young is likely to be a serious long-term threat to Ulta Beauty (ULTA US) (market cap of US$22.3 billion) in the United States. 
  • CJ Corp is the largest shareholder of CJ Olive Young. On 19 November, CJ Olive Young announced that it plans to open its first store in California in May 2026.
  • There is a growing probability that CJ Olive Young could successfully grow its business in the US, especially due to the continued strong demand for Korean cosmetics.

Primer: Sajo Industries (007160 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Sajo Industries is a major player in the South Korean food industry, with core operations in deep-sea fishing and food processing. The company is undergoing a strategic transformation, expanding its portfolio through acquisitions to become a comprehensive food group.
  • Financial performance has been volatile, with recent operating losses and fluctuating cash flows. However, the company is showing signs of recovery in the most recent quarters of 2025. The dividend was suspended in 2024, reflecting the recent financial pressures.
  • Corporate governance is a key area of concern, characterized by a complex pyramid-like ownership structure controlled by the founding family. This structure concentrates influence and has led to shareholder activism in the past regarding inter-company transactions.

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Primer: Lf Corp (093050 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Lf Corp is a deeply undervalued apparel company, evidenced by a Price-to-Book ratio of approximately 0.27 and a high dividend yield, making it attractive to value-focused investors.
  • Despite its attractive valuation, the company faces significant headwinds, including declining profitability and negative free cash flow over the past three years, coupled with shrinking market capitalization.
  • Operating in the highly competitive and trend-driven South Korean fashion market, Lf Corp‘s future performance hinges on its ability to revitalize its portfolio of established brands and successfully navigate the ongoing shift to online retail.

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Primer: Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Following years of severe reputational damage and financial losses, Namyang is at a pivotal inflection point under new majority ownership by private equity firm Hahn & Co., which is aggressively implementing governance reforms to rebuild consumer trust.
  • The company is showing early signs of a financial turnaround, with a return to profitability and positive operating cash flow in recent quarters after prolonged losses. However, long-term revenue trends remain negative, posing a significant challenge.
  • While the domestic market for traditional milk is shrinking due to demographic headwinds, Namyang has an opportunity to capitalize on growing demand for higher-value products like fermented milk, cheese, and health-focused dairy, and is expanding its infant formula exports to Southeast Asia.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Ray /KR (228670 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Ray is a high-risk, high-reward turnaround candidate in the digital dentistry sector. The company has experienced severe financial distress, with significant revenue declines and massive net losses in recent years.
  • Recent quarterly results for 2025 show nascent signs of a potential recovery, with a return to profitability in Q3. However, the sustainability of this recovery is highly uncertain given the extreme volatility in historical performance.
  • The company’s valuation appears attractive on a price-to-book basis, reflected in its high Smartkarma Value score. However, negative earnings and EBITDA render traditional earnings-based multiples meaningless, and the stock’s market capitalization has plummeted.

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Primer: Satrec Initiative (099320 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Satrec Initiative is a key player in the South Korean space industry, specializing in Earth observation (EO) satellite systems and vertically integrated solutions, including ground systems, imagery services, and AI-based analytics.
  • The strategic investment by Hanwha Aerospace, making it the largest shareholder, provides significant financial backing and synergies, positioning the company for growth in both domestic and international defense and commercial markets.
  • Future growth is underpinned by a strong order backlog, primarily from the South Korean government, and the development of the high-resolution ‘SpaceEye-T’ satellite constellation, which aims to shift the business model towards recurring revenue from data and solution services.

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Primer: Taeyoung Engineering & Construction (009410 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Taeyoung E&C is currently undergoing a creditor-led debt restructuring program initiated in late 2023 to avoid bankruptcy, stemming from a severe liquidity crisis tied to its extensive project financing (PF) loan guarantees.
  • The company’s financial performance has deteriorated significantly, culminating in a massive net loss and negative operating cash flow in 2023, leading to the suspension of dividends and a complete erosion of capital.
  • The future viability of the company is entirely dependent on the successful execution of its high-stakes workout plan, which involves significant asset sales (including stakes in TY Holdings and broadcaster SBS), debt-to-equity swaps, and operational restructuring under the strict oversight of its creditors.

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Primer: TS Corporation (001790 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • TS Corporation operates within a stable, oligopolistic South Korean sugar market, which provides a degree of predictability, though the industry faces headwinds from shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives.
  • The company exhibits strong value and dividend characteristics, supported by a consistent payout history and a low price-to-book ratio, suggesting an attractive valuation for income-focused investors.
  • Key challenges include navigating the volatility of raw material costs, as South Korea is entirely dependent on sugar imports, and addressing the long-term secular decline in sugar consumption due to growing health consciousness.

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Daily Brief Financials: SBI Shinsei Bank, Canara Bank, Elite UK REIT, Bitcoin Pro, Central Bancompany, Kobo Resources , NS Group, JDC Group AG, HgCapital Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – The Negatives – PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • The Beat Ideas: Is Canara Bank’s Compounder Thesis Intact Amid NIM Compression?
  • Primer: Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP) – Nov 2025
  • If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable, the 401(k) Era Could Make It Unavoidable
  • Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq
  • KRI: Drilling Continues to Increase Footprint at Kossou
  • NS Group Pre-IPO – Stable Growth in a Structurally Essential Market
  • JDC Group — Q3 affected by low German consumer confidence
  • HgT — A B2B software play driving AI adoption


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – The Negatives – PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
  • In this note we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


The Beat Ideas: Is Canara Bank’s Compounder Thesis Intact Amid NIM Compression?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Canara Bank reported a robust Q2 FY26, defying sector-wide headwinds. The headline surprise was the sharp asset quality improvement, with GNPA collapsing to 2.35% and NNPA at a pristine 0.54%.
  • The bank has successfully pivoted from “balance sheet repair” to “sustainable compounder.” While NII is flat, the bank is offsetting this with volume growth and 42% jump in non-interest income.
  • With the “bad bank” legacy officially buried(PCR >93%), the narrative now shifts to value unlocking. The listing of subsidiaries and the decline in credit costs makes the current valuation attractive.

Primer: Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Elite UK REIT offers a unique, counter-cyclical investment proposition with a portfolio of 148 properties primarily leased to the UK Government, providing stable, sovereign-backed cash flows.
  • The REIT’s primary risk is its high tenant concentration, with the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) being the main lessee. Management is actively mitigating this by diversifying into growth sectors such as Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA) and data centres.
  • Trading at a discount to its Net Asset Value and offering a high dividend yield, the REIT presents an attractive valuation, though this is balanced by risks associated with its high gearing and the uncertainty of future DWP lease renewals beyond 2028.

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If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable, the 401(k) Era Could Make It Unavoidable

By Delphi Digital

  • This report argues that the August 2025 Executive Order allowing Bitcoin inside 401(k) plans is a structural breakthrough — potentially more transformative than the ETF approvals.
  • While ETFs made Bitcoin easy to buy, 401(k) integration ties BTC to the U.S.’s largest savings engine: $9.3 trillion in employer retirement plans funded automatically every paycheck.
  • Unlike ETF flows that rise and fall with sentiment, 401(k) contributions are programmatic, recurring, and extremely sticky — with 95% of participants never changing allocations.

Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq

By IPO Boutique

  • CBC priced at the low end and delivered a steady first-day performance, a strong outcome for an OTC up-listing with limited float.
  • Investor demand was multiple-times oversubscribed, driven by long-only and sector specialists, with the family retaining majority control and offering only 7.4% of shares.
  • Near-Term trading is expected to quiet sharply, with the stock likely to move in line with broader regional bank sector trends rather than company-specific catalysts.

KRI: Drilling Continues to Increase Footprint at Kossou

By Atrium Research

  • Kobo reported assay results from 12 holes as part of the ongoing drill program at its 100% owned Kossou Project in Côte d’Ivoire.
  • The 12 holes total 2,755m of drilling, bringing the cumulative diamond drilling at Kossou to 26,267m and total drilling completed to 32,154m.
  • Today’s results continue to expand Kossou’s mineralized footprint both at the Jagger and Road Cut Zones.

NS Group Pre-IPO – Stable Growth in a Structurally Essential Market

By Akshat Shah

  • NS Group (471A JP) (NSG) is one of Japan’s leading rent guarantee service providers, offering payment guarantee and rent collection solutions to property owners and management companies. 
  • NSG aims to raise around US$260m in its Japan IPO via an entirely secondary offering, marking Bain Capital’s full exit from the company.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

JDC Group — Q3 affected by low German consumer confidence

By Edison Investment Research

JDC Group reported a 5.6% increase in revenues, to €55.1m, and 9.1% higher EBITDA of €2.5m in Q325. Management reiterated FY25 guidance for revenues of €260–280m and EBITDA of €20.5–22.5m, but said it expected results to come in at the lower end of the range due to increasingly negative consumer confidence in Germany. Management also reiterated FY26 EBITDA forecast of over €35m. The recently acquired 60% stake in FMK Group was consolidated in JDC’s results as of 1 September and contributed to the results for one month. We have lowered our estimates to reflect the shift in the guided range. At our new estimates, we still believe that JDC’s valuation is undemanding. Our discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis arrives at a fair value of €35.63 per share (previously €36.89 per share).


HgT — A B2B software play driving AI adoption

By Edison Investment Research

After more volatile public markets and an ‘uncertainty pause’ in global IT spending in early 2025, the environment has become more favourable for HgT, leading to positive NAV TR in Q2 and Q3. We remain convinced in its equity story as a strong compounder benefiting from the secular digitalisation trend, as illustrated by its healthy NAV TR of 14.5% and 17.8% per year over the five and 10 years. While the consequences of a platform shift like the one now triggered by AI are difficult to predict, HgT’s investment manager is experienced in navigating such disruptive changes and has built extensive AI capabilities to support its portfolio in the adoption journey, with some initial promising outcomes. HgT’s shares now trade at a 16.1% discount to NAV, versus a 10-year average of 8%.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Grindr (GRND US)’s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Grindr (GRND US)’s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting
  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November
  • Smart Share (EM US): On Stonewalling Hillhouse’s Offer
  • Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025


Grindr (GRND US)’s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 24th October, Ray Zage (director) and James Lu (chairman), collectively holding ~60% in Grindr (GRND US), proposed to take the company private in a US$3.5bn deal.
  • The non-binding cash Offer of $18/share, is a 51% premium to undisturbed. A condition to a firm Offer may incorporate a majority of minority vote.
  • While the Special Committee considers the proposal, James Lu has unusually opted to step down. Currently trading at a ~30% gross spread to indicative terms. 

Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics will start to trade on 24 November. We remain positive on Samsung Biologics/Samsung Bioepis Holdings.
  • Operating profit more than doubled, up 115.3% YoY in 3Q25, indicating significant operating leverage. The company’s excellent results in 3Q25 is likely to positive impact the newly listed shares. 
  • Biologics division achieved 1.26 trillion won in sales with a 50% operating margin, while the Bioepis unit generated sales of 441 billion won with a 29% operating margin in 3Q25.

Smart Share (EM US): On Stonewalling Hillhouse’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After seven months had elapsed since receiving a preliminary non-binding proposal, Smart Share Global (EM US) announced on the 1st August a firm Offer (an MBO) had been entered into.
  • The Offeror consortium, led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO, is offering US$1.25/ADS, a 74.8% premium to last close; but ~20% below net cash + short-term investments.
  • Hillhouse upped the ante with a US$1.77/ADS NBIO. The share price hasn’t closed below US$1.25/share since; but the reason may not just hinge on Hillhouse firming its Offer.

Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Singapore: Grindr , UltraGreen.AI, Rubber Future SGX TSR20, Elite UK REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Grindr (GRND US)’s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting
  • UltraGreen.AI Pre-IPO: Dominant Market Position Amid Favorable Industry Tailwind to Drive Growth
  • Helixtap China Report: China Rubber Market Likely to Remain Rangebound in November
  • Primer: Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP) – Nov 2025


Grindr (GRND US)’s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 24th October, Ray Zage (director) and James Lu (chairman), collectively holding ~60% in Grindr (GRND US), proposed to take the company private in a US$3.5bn deal.
  • The non-binding cash Offer of $18/share, is a 51% premium to undisturbed. A condition to a firm Offer may incorporate a majority of minority vote.
  • While the Special Committee considers the proposal, James Lu has unusually opted to step down. Currently trading at a ~30% gross spread to indicative terms. 

UltraGreen.AI Pre-IPO: Dominant Market Position Amid Favorable Industry Tailwind to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • UltraGreen.AI Has filed for Singapore IPO. The IPO will consist of fresh issue as well as OFS from Renew Group Private Limited. Citigroup and DBS Bank are the joint bookrunners.
  • The company intends to use the IPO proceeds for funding the capex and development of the products, and pursuing strategic investments and acquisitions to support expansion plans in new geographies.
  • Ultragreen’s strong competitive moat, track record of revenue growth and margin expansion, and significant cash generation position it for continued success and leadership in the fluorescence-guided surgery-based imaging market.

Helixtap China Report: China Rubber Market Likely to Remain Rangebound in November

By Arusha Das

Highlights

 

  • Choppy and rangebound price movement expected in November 

  • Narrowing SIR 20 vs INE spread could encourage substitution

  • September import and export trend diverged

  • Downstream restocking was selective rather than programmatic, leaving spot premiums capped

Primer: Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Elite UK REIT offers a unique, counter-cyclical investment proposition with a portfolio of 148 properties primarily leased to the UK Government, providing stable, sovereign-backed cash flows.
  • The REIT’s primary risk is its high tenant concentration, with the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) being the main lessee. Management is actively mitigating this by diversifying into growth sectors such as Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA) and data centres.
  • Trading at a discount to its Net Asset Value and offering a high dividend yield, the REIT presents an attractive valuation, though this is balanced by risks associated with its high gearing and the uncertainty of future DWP lease renewals beyond 2028.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Microsoft. Acting Like There’s An AI Bubble Without Saying There’s An AI Bubble and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Microsoft. Acting Like There’s An AI Bubble Without Saying There’s An AI Bubble
  • Worsening NVIDIA Earnings Quality
  • NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways — Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVDA Results- Taiwan Supplier Winners; Silicon Valley’s Substrate- TSMC Slayer?
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK) H1 FY26: Maintaining A 12% Yield With 60% Of Market Cap In Cash
  • Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!
  • Decoding Asian Paints Execution Supremacy Amidst New Competition
  • Arista Powers Into Full Rack Solutions—Could Its Blue Box JDM Model Crush Traditional OEMs?
  • Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Positive Trend Beyond the Results
  • Formosa Prosonic: Special Dividend of 80 Cents


Microsoft. Acting Like There’s An AI Bubble Without Saying There’s An AI Bubble

By William Keating

  • Microsoft has significantly course corrected on their compute capacity build out, demurred on their right of first refusal for OpenAI compute demand and adopted a risk off “fungible” compute strategy
  • Mr. Nadella thinks AGI as more hype than substance, “jagged” intelligence will remain problematic for a longer, and the true measure of AI success will be measured by GDP growth
  • Microsoft stopped reporting AI-driven ARR when the number hit $13 billion six months ago, but why? Broadly deploying AI into productivity tools is a marathon not a sprint.

Worsening NVIDIA Earnings Quality

By Unfair Advantage

  • The market waited with bated breath as NVIDIA released their quarterly earnings yesterday on 19th November, 2025. To almost no one’s surprise, they beat the estimates again.
  • The company is a juggernaut to say the least and has added $1.9 Trillion in market cap in the last 8 months!
  • That is more than Tesla or Meta’s market cap themselves. The statistics are almost unbelievable.

NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways — Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA’s AI Factory Buildout Signals Multi-Year Demand for Taiwan’s Supply Chain
  • TSMC’s Growth Outlook De-Risked by NVIDIA’s Smooth Transition to GB300
  • NVIDIA’s Networking Segment Surge Expands System-Level Product Integration Opportunity for Taiwan Ecosystem

Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVDA Results- Taiwan Supplier Winners; Silicon Valley’s Substrate- TSMC Slayer?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways — Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers 
  • NVDA Strong Quarter, Strong Guidance, Consensus ~20% Too Low, Stock Is Not Expensive 
  • Silicon Valley’s Substrate — ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream? 

Oriental Watch (398 HK) H1 FY26: Maintaining A 12% Yield With 60% Of Market Cap In Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Oriental Watch (398 HK) maintained its dividend yield of ~12% (annualized), declaring 20.8 HKD cents of dividend for H1FY26. Cash and Investments were ~ HKD1 billion (60% of market cap).
  • The company highlighted that the environment is challenging, given trade wars and tempered HK/Chinese demand. On our conservative numbers, the stock trades at 8.6x FY26PE. 
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK)  will maintain its high dividend payout ratio of ~100%. Over the past 8 years, the company paid dividends of 3.8 HKD/share (> the current share price).

Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss how Olive Young is likely to be a serious long-term threat to Ulta Beauty (ULTA US) (market cap of US$22.3 billion) in the United States. 
  • CJ Corp is the largest shareholder of CJ Olive Young. On 19 November, CJ Olive Young announced that it plans to open its first store in California in May 2026.
  • There is a growing probability that CJ Olive Young could successfully grow its business in the US, especially due to the continued strong demand for Korean cosmetics.

Decoding Asian Paints Execution Supremacy Amidst New Competition

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Asian Paints achieved a 7-quarter high in Q2FY26 with 10.9% domestic volume growth, driven by easing raw material costs and strategic integration, leading to a 2% margin expansion.
  • Despite heavy monsoons, strong execution drove a double-digit volume rebound, signaling stabilized consumer demand. This coupled with a key competitor’s executive loss, validates the firm’s defensive market position.
  • Asian Paints’ strong performance deserves a premium valuation but justifying it hinges on the perfect execution of its backward integration project and defending its competitive position.

Arista Powers Into Full Rack Solutions—Could Its Blue Box JDM Model Crush Traditional OEMs?

By Baptista Research

  • Arista Networks reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, achieving a record revenue of $2.31 billion, a year-over-year increase of 27.5%.
  • This growth was supported by the increasing demand for their networking solutions, particularly in the AI and cloud segments.
  • Notably, Arista’s software and services accounted for approximately 18.7% of the quarter’s revenue, reflecting the company’s strategic emphasis on diversifying its revenue streams beyond hardware.

Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Positive Trend Beyond the Results

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK)‘s 1H FY25/26 profit came in at the top-end of the guidance. Its 3Q sales growth has so far increased 11.3%, a further acceleration.
  • Hong Kong and Macau should capture some of the diverted traffic as Sino-Japanese relations soured, while a weaker USD, as rates are cut, should make shopping cheaper.
  • With its ROE reaching 10-13% in FY26-28F (the best ones since FY21), its 5-year-low P/B multiple makes the stock a bargain.

Formosa Prosonic: Special Dividend of 80 Cents

By Punit Khanna

  • Formosa Prosonic announced an 80-cent Special Dividend as the management decided to return excess cash
  • 3rd quarter results showed EPS of 7.92 cents, though there is a gain on the sale of PPE of 35% of profits
  • Management but given the stock trading below cash we remain positive on the stock

Raising Money for Persons with Disabilities in Singapore

For your kind consideration

This report has been prepared by Vriddhi Consulting, founded by Punit and Debjani Khanna. A portion of the research was contributed by Shubham Khanna, an individual on the autism spectrum.  We are grateful to Smartkarma for providing a platform to share this research and amplify its impact.

All proceeds from the publication of this report will be donated to support people with disabilities in Singapore. If you find this report valuable, we invite you to support our campaign, “Raising Money for Persons with Disabilities in Singapore.” Every contribution directly benefits the Goh Chok Tong Enable Fund and qualifies for a 250% tax deduction for Singapore tax residents.

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Daily Brief United States: Microsoft Corp, NVIDIA Corp, Arista Networks, Alliance Laundry Holdings, Qorvo Inc, Hims & Hers Health Inc, Exelon Corp, Marriott International, Central Bancompany and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Microsoft. Acting Like There’s An AI Bubble Without Saying There’s An AI Bubble
  • Worsening NVIDIA Earnings Quality
  • NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways — Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers
  • Arista Powers Into Full Rack Solutions—Could Its Blue Box JDM Model Crush Traditional OEMs?
  • US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025
  • Qorvo Inc: Supercharging Its 5G Strategy With a Premium Smartphone RF Power Play; But Will It Work?
  • Hims & Hers Health: A Notable Shift Toward Core
  • Exelon Inside: What Its Smart Grid and Energy Efficiency Push Means for Investors Now!
  • Marriott’s Growth Blueprint: How Will Bonvoy, Tech, & Global Expansion Shape Its Next Decade?
  • Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq


Microsoft. Acting Like There’s An AI Bubble Without Saying There’s An AI Bubble

By William Keating

  • Microsoft has significantly course corrected on their compute capacity build out, demurred on their right of first refusal for OpenAI compute demand and adopted a risk off “fungible” compute strategy
  • Mr. Nadella thinks AGI as more hype than substance, “jagged” intelligence will remain problematic for a longer, and the true measure of AI success will be measured by GDP growth
  • Microsoft stopped reporting AI-driven ARR when the number hit $13 billion six months ago, but why? Broadly deploying AI into productivity tools is a marathon not a sprint.

Worsening NVIDIA Earnings Quality

By Unfair Advantage

  • The market waited with bated breath as NVIDIA released their quarterly earnings yesterday on 19th November, 2025. To almost no one’s surprise, they beat the estimates again.
  • The company is a juggernaut to say the least and has added $1.9 Trillion in market cap in the last 8 months!
  • That is more than Tesla or Meta’s market cap themselves. The statistics are almost unbelievable.

NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways — Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA’s AI Factory Buildout Signals Multi-Year Demand for Taiwan’s Supply Chain
  • TSMC’s Growth Outlook De-Risked by NVIDIA’s Smooth Transition to GB300
  • NVIDIA’s Networking Segment Surge Expands System-Level Product Integration Opportunity for Taiwan Ecosystem

Arista Powers Into Full Rack Solutions—Could Its Blue Box JDM Model Crush Traditional OEMs?

By Baptista Research

  • Arista Networks reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, achieving a record revenue of $2.31 billion, a year-over-year increase of 27.5%.
  • This growth was supported by the increasing demand for their networking solutions, particularly in the AI and cloud segments.
  • Notably, Arista’s software and services accounted for approximately 18.7% of the quarter’s revenue, reflecting the company’s strategic emphasis on diversifying its revenue streams beyond hardware.

US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Qorvo Inc: Supercharging Its 5G Strategy With a Premium Smartphone RF Power Play; But Will It Work?

By Baptista Research

  • Qorvo, Inc.’s fiscal second-quarter results for 2026 showed solid performance, although there are mixed signals in terms of the outlook and strategic focus.
  • Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.059 billion, with non-GAAP gross margins at 49.7% and earnings per share at $2.22, all surpassing the company’s guidance.
  • However, the company faces challenges due to its restructuring efforts and a strategic pivot away from the lower-margin Android segment.

Hims & Hers Health: A Notable Shift Toward Core

By Baptista Research

  • Hims & Hers Health recently reported its third-quarter results for 2025, showcasing both potential opportunities and challenges as the company expands its footprint in the healthcare sector.
  • The company reported substantial revenue growth of nearly 49% year-over-year, reaching close to $600 million, a reflection of its strategic shift towards personalized healthcare solutions.
  • However, despite this impressive growth trajectory, several factors warrant a closer look.

Exelon Inside: What Its Smart Grid and Energy Efficiency Push Means for Investors Now!

By Baptista Research

  • Exelon Corporation reported notable financial and operational outcomes for the third quarter of 2025, achieving earnings of $0.86 per share, an increase from $0.71 in the previous year’s third quarter.
  • This performance exceeds expectations due to warmer weather and favorable storm conditions.
  • Despite inflationary pressures and variable interest expenses, Exelon reaffirms its full-year operating earnings guidance between $2.64 and $2.74 per share, aiming to meet or surpass the midpoint of this range.

Marriott’s Growth Blueprint: How Will Bonvoy, Tech, & Global Expansion Shape Its Next Decade?

By Baptista Research

  • Marriott International’s third-quarter 2025 results demonstrate a mixed performance with several key indicators reflecting the broader intricacies of the global hospitality market.
  • On the positive side, Marriott reported financial outcomes that exceeded previous expectations, driven largely by a solid development pipeline and significant portfolio growth.
  • The company expanded its room repertoire by 4.7% year-over-year, reaching over 1.75 million rooms across more than 9,700 properties worldwide.

Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq

By IPO Boutique

  • CBC priced at the low end and delivered a steady first-day performance, a strong outcome for an OTC up-listing with limited float.
  • Investor demand was multiple-times oversubscribed, driven by long-only and sector specialists, with the family retaining majority control and offering only 7.4% of shares.
  • Near-Term trading is expected to quiet sharply, with the stock likely to move in line with broader regional bank sector trends rather than company-specific catalysts.

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Daily Brief Crypto: If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable, the 401(k) Era Could Make It Unavoidable


If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable, the 401(k) Era Could Make It Unavoidable

By Delphi Digital

  • This report argues that the August 2025 Executive Order allowing Bitcoin inside 401(k) plans is a structural breakthrough — potentially more transformative than the ETF approvals.
  • While ETFs made Bitcoin easy to buy, 401(k) integration ties BTC to the U.S.’s largest savings engine: $9.3 trillion in employer retirement plans funded automatically every paycheck.
  • Unlike ETF flows that rise and fall with sentiment, 401(k) contributions are programmatic, recurring, and extremely sticky — with 95% of participants never changing allocations.

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Daily Brief China: Smart Share Global, Oriental Watch, JD.com , Sa Sa International Hldgs, Axbio International, ZTO Express Cayman , Lenovo Group Ltd Adr, ATRenew and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Smart Share (EM US): On Stonewalling Hillhouse’s Offer
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK) H1 FY26: Maintaining A 12% Yield With 60% Of Market Cap In Cash
  • JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment
  • Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Positive Trend Beyond the Results
  • Axbio (安序源) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges
  • ZTO Express Q325 Results | Revenue, ASPs Both Up Y/Y | But Earnings, Margins Both Down | AVOID
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • RERE: 3Q25 Earnings


Smart Share (EM US): On Stonewalling Hillhouse’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After seven months had elapsed since receiving a preliminary non-binding proposal, Smart Share Global (EM US) announced on the 1st August a firm Offer (an MBO) had been entered into.
  • The Offeror consortium, led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO, is offering US$1.25/ADS, a 74.8% premium to last close; but ~20% below net cash + short-term investments.
  • Hillhouse upped the ante with a US$1.77/ADS NBIO. The share price hasn’t closed below US$1.25/share since; but the reason may not just hinge on Hillhouse firming its Offer.

Oriental Watch (398 HK) H1 FY26: Maintaining A 12% Yield With 60% Of Market Cap In Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Oriental Watch (398 HK) maintained its dividend yield of ~12% (annualized), declaring 20.8 HKD cents of dividend for H1FY26. Cash and Investments were ~ HKD1 billion (60% of market cap).
  • The company highlighted that the environment is challenging, given trade wars and tempered HK/Chinese demand. On our conservative numbers, the stock trades at 8.6x FY26PE. 
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK)  will maintain its high dividend payout ratio of ~100%. Over the past 8 years, the company paid dividends of 3.8 HKD/share (> the current share price).

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: Over the past few trading days, JD.com (9618 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
  • Highlights: Strategies tend to have a short-term horizon, with approximately 40% of all strategies employing weekly options. Bearish views dominate with almost 70% of strategies being put spreads.
  • Why read: This Insight breaks down complex option strategies and sheds light on market sentiment and positioning. Detailed examples provide actionable insights that could inspire similar strategies,

Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Positive Trend Beyond the Results

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK)‘s 1H FY25/26 profit came in at the top-end of the guidance. Its 3Q sales growth has so far increased 11.3%, a further acceleration.
  • Hong Kong and Macau should capture some of the diverted traffic as Sino-Japanese relations soured, while a weaker USD, as rates are cut, should make shopping cheaper.
  • With its ROE reaching 10-13% in FY26-28F (the best ones since FY21), its 5-year-low P/B multiple makes the stock a bargain.

Axbio (安序源) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Axbio, a China-based technology company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and SPDB are the joint sponsors.
  • In our previous note, we look at the products and management team briefly. Although there are interesting takes from the prospectus, we are not convinced about its prospects.
  • In this note, we took a further look and are of the view that the company is behind the curve of competition despite its incremental innovation in PCR-microarray.

ZTO Express Q325 Results | Revenue, ASPs Both Up Y/Y | But Earnings, Margins Both Down | AVOID

By Daniel Hellberg

  • ZTO Express reported another set of weak results after the US close on November 19
  • Although Q3 unit prices rose slightly, unit costs increased by much more, crushing margins
  • On both sides of the price-volume tradeoff, ZTO continues to lose profitability | AVOID

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo
  • UST yields rose 2-3 bps across the curve yesterday, as the release of hawkish-leaning October Fed meeting minutes cast doubts over a rate cut in December.
  • This was despite a solid auction of 20Y notes. Yields on USTs rose 2 bps each, to 3.59% for the 2Y and 4.14% for the 10Y. Equities halted a four-day slide, after Nvidia reported solid Q3/25-26 results and gave a strong revenue forecast. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed 0.4% and 0.6% to 6,642 and 22,564, respectively.

RERE: 3Q25 Earnings

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Key 3Q25 takeaways include: 1) trade-in scenarios remain a key driver of transaction volume growth, with building demand for RERE’s programs given rising prices for new devices, as well as the company’s focus on optimizing pricing, elevating user experiences, and stepped-up branding initiatives 2) in addition to the company’s door-to-door fulfillment capabilities, RERE’s growing network of AHS stores continues to drive enhanced accessibility and more favorable economics, with 1,000+ locations now offering multi-category recycling services and 3) a key priority for senior management remains building the AHS brand to raise customer awareness, enhance loyalty, and support engagement, with specific initiatives including partnering with consumer brands and deepening community relationships to position AHS as the leading recycling ecosystem.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Criterium Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Gas development on track. Capex to first gas guidance reduced again


Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Gas development on track. Capex to first gas guidance reduced again

By Auctus Advisors

  • Pipeline construction for the SE-MGH 5–7 mmcf/d development is scheduled to begin in early 2026, with first gas expected in 1H26.
  • Capex has been reduced further to US$2–3 mm (from US$2.5–4 mm), of which US$1.7 mm has already been spent.
  • The subsequent North MGH development (incremental capex of ~US$1 mm) would lift total production to 7–10 mmcf/d.

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