
In today’s briefing:
- Cambodia Reaps Impressive Rubber Export Returns In 2025 Start
- JSW Steel: Low Cost Capacity Expansion Underpin Premium Valuations
- Shell’s Next Phase: Leaner Operations, Stronger Cash Flow, and Higher Shareholder Returns
- [ETP 2025/14] WTI Plummets on Tariffs and OPEC Output Hike, Henry Hub Supported by Cooler Weather
- NewMarket Corporation Struggles With Slipping Sales Despite Profit Surge – What’s Behind The Petroleum Additives Underperformance?
- SM Energy: Can It Capitalize On The Exploration and Development Opportunities In The Uinta Basin?
- Targa Resources: An Insight Into Its Permian Basin Expansion & Major Growth Catalysts!
- ARG: Highlights from Our MVC Site Visit
- Valvoline Is Winning Big Through High-Margin Premium Products & Rapid Customer Growth – But How Long Will This Last?
- Boise Cascade Is Revamping Oakdale—Could This Bold Move Help Improve Margins?

Cambodia Reaps Impressive Rubber Export Returns In 2025 Start
- Jan-Feb 2025 returns from rubber exports up 24% year-on-year
- Cambodia focusing on high-yielding CRRI 12 and CRRI 19 clones
- ANRPC economist says strengthening processing sector key
JSW Steel: Low Cost Capacity Expansion Underpin Premium Valuations
- JSW Steel has grown its domestic steelmaking capacity at CAGR of 14% over the last 2 decades (2x industry) and at 25% lower costs
- Gradual capacity ramp-up at recently completed expansion at Vijayanagar (5m) and actively pursuing 10-15mt of new capacity additions over the next 3-5 years
- Valuations: JSW Steel trades at premium to its 5yr average EV/EBITDA likely due to a) impending imposition of a 12% safeguard duty b) superior capital allocation etc.
Shell’s Next Phase: Leaner Operations, Stronger Cash Flow, and Higher Shareholder Returns
- Shell reaffirmed its strategy, prioritizing efficiency, LNG growth, and shareholder returns, unlike BP’s strategic shift back to hydrocarbons after an aggressive renewables push.
- As the world’s largest LNG trader, Shell plans 4%-5% annual LNG sales growth, capitalizing on rising global demand while maintaining financial discipline and emissions targets
- Shell aims to save USD 5 – 7 billion by 2028, cut capex to USD 20 – 22 billion, and streamline operations to enhance free cash flow and investor returns.
[ETP 2025/14] WTI Plummets on Tariffs and OPEC Output Hike, Henry Hub Supported by Cooler Weather
- For the week ending 28/Mar, U.S. crude inventories rose by 6.2m barrels (vs. expectations of 0.2k fall), and gasoline stockpiles fell less than expected.
- US natural gas inventories rose by 29 Bcf for the week ending 28/Mar, exceeding analyst expectations of a 27 Bcf build. Inventories are 4.3% below the 5-year seasonal average.
- Chevron sold its Texas gas assets for USD 525 million, while Exxon, Occidental, Schlumberger, and Aramco had their price targets cut.
NewMarket Corporation Struggles With Slipping Sales Despite Profit Surge – What’s Behind The Petroleum Additives Underperformance?
- NewMarket Corporation has demonstrated notable financial performance in the fiscal year 2024, showing an increase in net income to $462 million or $48.22 per share, up from $389 million or $40.44 per share in the previous year.
- The fourth quarter alone saw net income rise from $80 million to $111 million.
- This growth can be attributed to various strategic decisions and operational efficiencies, although the company faced challenges related to sales and the broader inflationary environment.
SM Energy: Can It Capitalize On The Exploration and Development Opportunities In The Uinta Basin?
- SM Energy Company’s latest earnings call highlights several critical aspects related to its 2024 financial performance and plans for 2025.
- The company presented both opportunities and challenges that its investors might consider for devising an informed investment thesis.
- On the positive side, SM Energy forecasts a 40% increase in free cash flow for 2025, supported by a 30% growth in oil production.
Targa Resources: An Insight Into Its Permian Basin Expansion & Major Growth Catalysts!
- Targa Resources Corp has reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter of 2024 and the full year, showcasing a period of significant growth and robust operational metrics.
- The company achieved record volumes, particularly from its assets in the Permian Basin, which drove the record levels of NGL transportation, fractionation, and export volumes, exceeding initial forecasts.
- This robust performance resulted in a 17% increase in adjusted EBITDA year-over-year, reaching $4.1 billion, and an adjusted free cash flow generation that facilitated a 50% increase in common dividends and substantial share repurchases.
ARG: Highlights from Our MVC Site Visit
- What you need to know: • We visited Amerigo’s MVC processing facility in Rancagua, Chile and were highly impressed with the site and plant, as well as the scale of the operation.
- • The copper price increased substantially after Q4, positioning the Company for even stronger cash flow in Q1/25.
- • For more information on ARG, you can find all our research on our website here and an interview we hosted with CEO Aurora Davidson, here.
Valvoline Is Winning Big Through High-Margin Premium Products & Rapid Customer Growth – But How Long Will This Last?
- Valvoline Inc. reported results for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 that were substantially in line with internal expectations, driven by a balanced mix of transaction and ticket growth.
- Net sales for the quarter reached $414 million, representing an 11% increase year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA rose 14% to $103 million.
- Systemwide same-store sales grew 8%, supported by non-oil change revenue service penetration and improved customer retention.
Boise Cascade Is Revamping Oakdale—Could This Bold Move Help Improve Margins?
- Boise Cascade’s fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results reflect a mix of achievements and challenges.
- For the full year, Boise Cascade recorded a net income of $376.4 million or $9.57 per diluted share.
- This performance was supported by growth initiatives in their distribution business, notable capital investments aimed at bolstering their Engineered Wood Products (EWP) growth strategy, and significant capital returns to shareholders.