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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Weekly Deals Digest (02 Apr) – AAG and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (02 Apr) – AAG, Liontown, Mincor, Toshiba, Rakuten Bank, Trial, Harita Nickel
  • Merger Arb Mondays (03 Apr) – Toshiba, Toyo, AAG, Origin, United Malt, Liontown, Mincor, Healius
  • Hyundai Elevator: Chairwoman Hyun Jeong-Eun Loses A Major Lawsuit Against Schindler Group
  • Socionext Lock-Up – Up 2.67x Since IPO. US$930m Worth of Shares to Be Unlocked

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Apr) – AAG, Liontown, Mincor, Toshiba, Rakuten Bank, Trial, Harita Nickel

By Arun George


Merger Arb Mondays (03 Apr) – Toshiba, Toyo, AAG, Origin, United Malt, Liontown, Mincor, Healius

By Arun George


Hyundai Elevator: Chairwoman Hyun Jeong-Eun Loses A Major Lawsuit Against Schindler Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 30 March, it was announced that Hyun Jeong-Eun (Chairwoman of the Hyundai Group) lost a final lawsuit against the Schindler Group.
  • The Supreme Court upheld an appeal court ruling that Chairwoman Hyun needs to pay 170 billion won (US$131 million) and delayed interest payments to Hyundai Elevator. 
  • Although this major lawsuit loss for Chairwoman Hyun is a tremendous catalyst, the downturn in the construction sector and uncertainty in the reduction in Chairwoman’s stake remain key negatives. 

Socionext Lock-Up – Up 2.67x Since IPO. US$930m Worth of Shares to Be Unlocked

By Clarence Chu

  • Socionext (6526 JP) was listed on 12th Oct 2022, when it raised US$457m in its upsized Japan IPO. Its six-month lockup will expire on 9th Apr 2023.
  • Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation in 2015.
  • Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the Development Bank of Japan, Fujitsu and Panasonic, the trio had each trimmed their respective stakes in the IPO.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year
  • Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK/688331.CH) – The Story Has Changed
  • Meilan Airport (357 HK): Higher Visibility into Earnings Recovery Outlook
  • Space Race Reality Check

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)‘s 35.1% increase in FY22 recurring earnings demonstrated its healthy operations. Slowdown in 4Q22 (+14.4% YoY) is more a result of pandemic disruption. 
  • Record new orders of Rmb65.6bn were signed FY22 (+16.3% YoY), and 4Q22 even saw a 25% growth. End-FY22 backlog is estimated to be enough to cover 1.66x FY22 revenue.
  • DEC targets a 35% growth in power generation equipment production volume in FY23. Power storage, including pumped storage, and hydrogen energy are important engines going forward.

Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK/688331.CH) – The Story Has Changed

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Considering DS-8201’s outstanding data and strong competing drugs, RC48 would probably contribute revenue to RemeGen mainly from GC and UC indications in China.Overseas revenue would be mainly from UC indication.
  • After Pfizer acquired Seagen, there are concerns that RC48 (a “Me-Worse”) may be returned by Pfizer. If it is the case, only the revenue in China market should be considered.
  • Based on 2022 annual results, we think it is time to reassess the outlook and sales forecast of RC48 and RC18, because the story has changed for RemeGen.

Meilan Airport (357 HK): Higher Visibility into Earnings Recovery Outlook

By Eric Chen

  • FY22 results announced last week were in line excluding non-recurring items. The results provided latest evidence of monetization potential of its passenger traffic and insights into its cost base.
  • We trim 2023 net profit estimate by 10% to RMB520 million and maintain RMB1 billion net profit estimate for 2025.  Expect 25%/150% return by 2023/25 respectively based on 20x P/E.
  • Duty-Free concession agreement renewal in 2025 is a key positive catalyst, but we also caution potential follow-on share issuance this year could be an overhang on stock price.  

Space Race Reality Check

By subSPAC

  • This week, space launch company Virgin Galactic’s funding woes escalated as emergency talks with potential investors fell through.
  • As a result, the company announced a staggering 85% workforce reduction and paused operations until further funding is secured.
  • Since going public in 2021 with a $3.7 billion valuation, Virgin Orbit’s value has plummeted by 99% as of its last close, highlighting the realities of space investing.

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Daily Brief United States: Resmed Inc, Global Payments, Quanta Services, Burlington Stores and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • ResMed Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Acquisitions & Other Key Drivers
  • Global Payments Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Restructuring & Other Drivers
  • Global Payments Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • Quanta Services Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • Quanta Services Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Recent Developments
  • Burlington Stores Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • ResMed Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • Burlington Stores Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

ResMed Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Acquisitions & Other Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on ResMed, a leading medical equipment company that specializes in the treatment of sleep apnea and other respiratory disorders.
  • The company delivered financial results in the last quarter with revenues below par but managed an earnings beat.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Global Payments Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Restructuring & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Global Payments Inc., a financial technology company providing payment solutions and services in the U.S.
  • The company managed an all-around beat in its last result with a strong performance in Global Payments despite the increased global macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • The most significant development was that their core Issuer business once more produced sequential financial and operational improvement, in line with their expectations and the strongest results since their merger with TSYS in 2019.

Global Payments Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • Global Payments is a financial technology player providing payment solutions and services in the U.S.
  • The company has decent fundamentals and performed well in 2022 despite the increased global macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • With EVO, they strengthened their position as a major provider of payments technology with broad reach around the globe.

Quanta Services Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • Quanta Services is a key player providing infrastructure solutions for the electric and gas utility, renewable energy, communications, and pipeline and energy industries across the globe.
  • Its revenues for Electric Power Infrastructure Solutions reached significant levels, maintained margins, and grew market share.
  • In addition, their subsurface utility and infrastructure solutions division continually delivered a strong performance.

Quanta Services Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Recent Developments

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Quanta Services, a major provider of infrastructure solutions for the electric and gas utility, renewable energy, communications, and pipeline and energy industries.
  • Its revenues for Electric Power Infrastructure Solutions reached significant levels, maintained margins, and grew market share.
  • In addition, their subsurface utility and infrastructure solutions division continually delivered a strong performance.

Burlington Stores Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Burlington Stores, Inc., one of the major off-price retailer chains in the U.S.
  • The company delivered a strong quarter, with sizable, consecutive improvement in its sales trends.
  • Comparable store sales increased by 6% and the the result was an all-around beat.

ResMed Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • ResMed is a leading medical technology player that specializes in the treatment of sleep apnea and other respiratory disorders.
  • Globally, the demand for masks increased significantly, which is indicative of a post-COVID pandemic knowledge of the value and necessity of respiratory hygiene and respiratory health.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different credit strengths and credit risks of the company as well as a line-by-line analysis of the financial statements of the company for the past four years.

Burlington Stores Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • Burlington Stores is one of the major off-price retailer chains in the U.S.
  • The company has strong fundamentals and has seen sizable, consecutive improvement in its sales trends in recent times.
  • The management interprets this increase in traffic as a sign that the macro headwinds may be beginning to weaken.

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Daily Brief China: Meituan, AIM Vaccine, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.31) – 8th National VBP Result, Chinese Patent Medicine VBP, AIM Vaccine
  • EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Bull Market?

Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

By David Blennerhassett


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.31) – 8th National VBP Result, Chinese Patent Medicine VBP, AIM Vaccine

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The 8th national VBP released results, with an average price reduction of 56%. On the whole, the peak period of the impact of VBP on pharmaceutical companies has passed.
  • VBP document of Chinese patent medicines was released, which would affect a market with scale of RMB300 billion. Enterprises with rich product matrices/new products can better cope with this VBP.
  • For AIM, we listed several key points. Since the management are more interested in short term capital gains rather than developing a superior portfolio, AIM doesn’t have long-term investment value.

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Bull Market?

By Simon Harris

  • Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
  • Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
  • We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces

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Daily Brief Japan: Rakuten Bank, Lasertec Corp, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Toshiba Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten Bank IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225, KOSDAQ150, KT Corp
  • Japanese Managers Have Always Wanted to Distance Themselves from Market Pressures
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

Rakuten Bank IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225, KOSDAQ150, KT Corp

By Brian Freitas


Japanese Managers Have Always Wanted to Distance Themselves from Market Pressures

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It’s skeptical that managers before the bubble economy really took risks. They no longer are protected by regulations  as they were before, and must take risks on their own initiative.
  • The Stewardship Code and Corporate Governance Code were introduced in the hope that they would provide a boost to standstill managers to improve profitability to increase corporate value.
  • Exit from the market is an important factor, but it can decelerate the speed at which exits are facilitated, such as maintaining listing through transitional measures or changing TOB rules.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

By David Blennerhassett


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Most Read: Nitori Holdings, Japan Airlines, Kunlun Tech, DGB Financial Group, Cellivery Therapeutics, Soulbrain, DB Hitek Co., Ltd., Rakuten Bank, Lasertec Corp, Meituan and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2023): Potential Changes & Dark Horses
  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Passives Trade on Friday
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: MSCI KR, S&P/ASX, SSE50, ChiNext, NIFTY, KQ150, AMFI, Rakuten Bank
  • KOSPI200 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: DGB Financial (139130 KS) To Replace Meritz Sec (008560 KS)
  • KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Humasis (205470 KS) To Replace Cellivery (268600 KS)
  • Introducing Another Long Short Basket Trading Event with Semicon ETF Rebalancing in Korea
  • DB Hitek: KCGI Goes Activist & A Potential Inclusion in MSCI Korea Standard Index in 2023
  • Rakuten Bank IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225, KOSDAQ150, KT Corp
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2023): Potential Changes & Dark Horses

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) September rebalance ends end July. We highlight 3 potential inclusions and exclusions for the index.
  • There are a few alternate adds that are interesting and their inclusion in the index could move things around a fair bit.
  • Due to the large size difference between the potential adds/deletes, there will be a large funding trade with passive trackers needing to sell over 0.5x ADV on many index constituents.

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Passives Trade on Friday

By Brian Freitas


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: MSCI KR, S&P/ASX, SSE50, ChiNext, NIFTY, KQ150, AMFI, Rakuten Bank

By Brian Freitas


KOSPI200 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: DGB Financial (139130 KS) To Replace Meritz Sec (008560 KS)

By Brian Freitas


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Humasis (205470 KS) To Replace Cellivery (268600 KS)

By Brian Freitas

  • Following Cellivery Therapeutics (268600 KS) designation as an Administrative Issue and an Investment Attention Issue, the stock will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index and replaced with Humasis (205470 KS).
  • The timing of the index change is currently uncertain but will be implemented latest by the close of trading on 17 April.
  • Humasis (205470 KS) was limit up on Friday following the ex-date of a 1:3 scrip issue. The stock could continue to move higher over the next week.

Introducing Another Long Short Basket Trading Event with Semicon ETF Rebalancing in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • Mirae Asset TIGER Fn Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF saw a rapid increase in AUM in a short period. Currently, AUM has reached 126 billion won.
  • Compared to the flow size, the price movement magnitude was substantial. What is particularly important is that the correlation between weight change direction and price impact was quite significant.
  • Considering Long Short basket trading based on the weight change direction on a day trading window seems worthwhile.

DB Hitek: KCGI Goes Activist & A Potential Inclusion in MSCI Korea Standard Index in 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • It was announced on 30 March that a local activist firm called KCGI has invested 7.05% stake in DB Hitek, spending 196.4 billion won on buying this amount.
  • KCGI mentioned that DB Hitek’s corporate value is extremely undervalued that the company should cancel its treasury shares and establish independent Board of Directors. 
  • The probability of DB Hitek being included in MSCI Korea Standard could rise materially if its market cap climbs to more than 4 trillion won in the coming weeks.

Rakuten Bank IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225, KOSDAQ150, KT Corp

By Brian Freitas


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 31st): Walsin Lihwa and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 31st): Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 31st): Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 31st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip Semico, Alchip Tech, Nan Ya Printed, Unimicron Tech.

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Daily Brief ESG: Japanese Managers Have Always Wanted to Distance Themselves from Market Pressures and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Japanese Managers Have Always Wanted to Distance Themselves from Market Pressures

Japanese Managers Have Always Wanted to Distance Themselves from Market Pressures

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It’s skeptical that managers before the bubble economy really took risks. They no longer are protected by regulations  as they were before, and must take risks on their own initiative.
  • The Stewardship Code and Corporate Governance Code were introduced in the hope that they would provide a boost to standstill managers to improve profitability to increase corporate value.
  • Exit from the market is an important factor, but it can decelerate the speed at which exits are facilitated, such as maintaining listing through transitional measures or changing TOB rules.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Credit: Burlington Stores Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Burlington Stores Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • Global Payments Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • Quanta Services Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report
  • ResMed Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Burlington Stores Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • Burlington Stores is one of the major off-price retailer chains in the U.S.
  • The company has strong fundamentals and has seen sizable, consecutive improvement in its sales trends in recent times.
  • The management interprets this increase in traffic as a sign that the macro headwinds may be beginning to weaken.

Global Payments Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • Global Payments is a financial technology player providing payment solutions and services in the U.S.
  • The company has decent fundamentals and performed well in 2022 despite the increased global macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • With EVO, they strengthened their position as a major provider of payments technology with broad reach around the globe.

Quanta Services Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • Quanta Services is a key player providing infrastructure solutions for the electric and gas utility, renewable energy, communications, and pipeline and energy industries across the globe.
  • Its revenues for Electric Power Infrastructure Solutions reached significant levels, maintained margins, and grew market share.
  • In addition, their subsurface utility and infrastructure solutions division continually delivered a strong performance.

ResMed Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

By Baptista Research

  • ResMed is a leading medical technology player that specializes in the treatment of sleep apnea and other respiratory disorders.
  • Globally, the demand for masks increased significantly, which is indicative of a post-COVID pandemic knowledge of the value and necessity of respiratory hygiene and respiratory health.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different credit strengths and credit risks of the company as well as a line-by-line analysis of the financial statements of the company for the past four years.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225, KOSDAQ150, KT Corp
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG
  • EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Bull Market?
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Nikkei225, KOSDAQ150, KT Corp

By Brian Freitas


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

By David Blennerhassett


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Bull Market?

By Simon Harris

  • Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
  • Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
  • We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

By David Blennerhassett


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