
In today’s briefing:
- Sun Art (6808 HK): IFA Says MGO Is Not Fair. Rightfully So
- Tencent (700 HK): Risen 35% Since Our Last Buy, Good Preview for 4Q24
- SMIC (981.HK): Speculation About the Deepseek Rumor Does Imply Continued Creative Works in the World
- Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in PUT Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts
- Sigenergy Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): What’s Interesting After the CKH Port Sale?
- IQIYI Inc.: How Is Its Competitive Positioning Against Tencent Video & Short-Form Platforms?
- Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Mar-2025): 7/10 Senior Directors Confident in Data Centres, But Talent Shortage Will Widen
- Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in CALL Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts
- UMP Healthcare (722 HK): Solid H1 2025, Cost-Cutting Initiatives Bearing Fruit

Sun Art (6808 HK): IFA Says MGO Is Not Fair. Rightfully So
- Late December 2024, Alibaba (9988 HK) entered an SPA with DCP Capital to offload its 78.7% stake in Sun Art (6808 HK) at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.
- The SPA completed on the 27th Feb, triggering an unconditional MGO, also at HK$1.38. FWIW, a deferred payment option raises the Offer Price to a maximum of HK$1.58/share.
- The Composite Document is now out, with a Closing Date for tendering on the 27th March. This won’t be extended. The IFA (Somerley) says NOT fair & reasonable.
Tencent (700 HK): Risen 35% Since Our Last Buy, Good Preview for 4Q24
- Tencent’s stock price has risen by 35% since our last buy rating. Downgrade to Hold.
- Our EPS estimate for 2025 is 12% over the market consensus.
- We believe both revenue growth and margin will improve in the coming 4Q24 results.
SMIC (981.HK): Speculation About the Deepseek Rumor Does Imply Continued Creative Works in the World
- There is speculation about Deepseek’s wafer manufacturing yield issue at Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) these days.
- The potential concern serves as a signal for a hot topic within the company, carrying two underlying meanings.
- Although NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) is making waves in AI applications, we must not overlook the potential for continued creative developments in the world, such as Deepseek’s solution.
Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in PUT Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts
- Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) put options show concentrated positioning at the 19,000 and 20,000 strike levels.
- Traders continue to establish new positions approximately 15%-20% below current market levels, suggesting protection against major market corrections rather than minor pullbacks. The focus is on near-term risk.
- Implied volatility has remained stable at 25-30% over the past two weeks, consistent with a broadly sideways movement in the index itself.
Sigenergy Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Sigenergy (SIG CH) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by CITIC and BNP Paribas.
- It provides renewable energy solutions, catering to 1) residential, 2) commercial, and 3) industrial applications.
- The group markets and sells to distributors and primarily serves the European market.
COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): What’s Interesting After the CKH Port Sale?
- Following CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)‘s port disposal, Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK) looks interesting, given its portfolio of port projects, which spans globally.
- Overseas ports accounted for 38.9% of its noncurrent assets. A disposal of half of such portfolio will generate HK$15.2bn of cash flow, equalling almost 89% of its market capitalisation.
- Even without corporate activities, its 6.4x PER, 6.7% dividend yield, and 11.8x EV/EBITDA are inexpensive. The 0.36x P/B for FY25 also deeply undervalued its assets.
IQIYI Inc.: How Is Its Competitive Positioning Against Tencent Video & Short-Form Platforms?
- iQIYI reported a mixed set of results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024.
- The company observed significant improvements in several operational metrics towards the end of the quarter, fueled by the strong performance of its top-tier content.
- This uptick in content performance led to an increase in subscribing members and higher user engagement.
Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Mar-2025): 7/10 Senior Directors Confident in Data Centres, But Talent Shortage Will Widen
- 70% of Senior Directors are confident in data centres, showing faith in their reliability and efficiency despite challenges.
- HPL’s acquisition of InterContinental Auckland for $102M marks its entry into the New Zealand market, expanding its portfolio.
- Stuart Grant’s appointment as head of Hongkong Land’s $8B Shanghai project highlights the company’s commitment to growth and development in the region.
Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in CALL Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts
- Market traders of Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) call options maintain significant holdings in lower strikes, with notable concentration at the 20,000 strike level.
- Open interest data reveals significant increase in open interest for 25,000 and 26,000 strike calls since late February, reflecting active trading as traders built new positions.
- Despite increased trading activity and changes in market positioning, implied volatility has remained stable at 25-30% over the past two weeks, reflecting a consistent market sentiment.
UMP Healthcare (722 HK): Solid H1 2025, Cost-Cutting Initiatives Bearing Fruit
- UMP Healthcare (722 HK) reported a Revenue/PAT growth of -1.2%/45.7% YoY as cost-cutting initiatives bore fruit for the company in H1 FY25.
- Net cash and investments reached 294 mn HKD (representing 88% of the market capitalization) due to robust operating profits and excellent working capital control.
- Trading at 7.7x PE and 0.4x EV-EBITDA, with an 8% dividend yield, there is massive value in the name. The key lies in improving ROCE, which remains low- single digit.