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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief India: Trent Ltd, IIFL Wealth Management, Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd, Lloyds Metals & Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas
  • 360 ONE WAM Acquires UBS India Wealth Business
  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion
  • Lloyds Metals: On the Verge of a Massive Ramp-Up


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
  • There could be three ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and eight ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.

360 ONE WAM Acquires UBS India Wealth Business

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • 360 ONE WAM acquires UBS AG’s onshore wealth management business in India for INR 307 crore, adding INR 26,000 crore AUM and expanding its product and client base.
  • This acquisition strengthens 360 ONE’s domestic position and offers UBS’s global expertise, creating a powerful, dual-access wealth management platform for global Indians, enhancing growth opportunities.
  • The deal signifies a strategic collaboration, not just an exit, with UBS retaining a stake& expanding its Indian operations through 360 ONE, enhancing the value proposition for both firms’ clients.

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion

By Akshat Shah

  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN) (DKCI) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • DKCI is an R&D and innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains, and customers with diverse applications across various industrial segments.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Lloyds Metals: On the Verge of a Massive Ramp-Up

By Rahul Jain

  • Resource-Backed Growth Story: Lloyds Metals & Energy Ltd. owns 857 MT of iron ore reserves (including 700 MT BHQ) with a 50-year lease, providing unmatched raw material security.
  • Transformational Expansion + MDO Play: Ongoing capex will ramp mining to 25+ MTPA and add 4.2 MTPA of steel capacity. Acquisition of Thriveni’s MDO business adds high-margin, annuity-style revenue stream.
  • Tax-Efficient, Debt-Light Strategy: Supported by Maharashtra’s IPS benefits, Lloyds is executing a capital-intensive buildout while aiming to remain net-debt free and structurally cost-advantaged.

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Most Read: Northern Star Resources, IHI Corp, LG Energy Solution, Vcanbio Cell & Gene Engineering, GMO Internet, KC Tech, Jafco Co Ltd, Evolution Mining, Panasonic Corp, Trent Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • De Grey Mining/Northern Star Resources: The Passive Flows
  • IHI Corp (7013 JP): Global Index Inclusion in May
  • Trading LG Chem’s Large-Scale EB Issuance Backed by LG Energy Shares
  • CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in June
  • StubWorld: GMO Internet (4784) Will Be Squeezy. Until It’s Not.
  • A Tender Offer of 6.2% Stake in KC Tech by KC Co
  • JAFCO (8595) Good Results, Higher Div, Buyback, More Plans; Not Quite There, But Maybe Will Be Later
  • Evolution Mining (EVN AU): Global Index Inclusion in May as Gold Rallies
  • Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Passive Flows Next Week
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas


De Grey Mining/Northern Star Resources: The Passive Flows

By Brian Freitas


IHI Corp (7013 JP): Global Index Inclusion in May

By Brian Freitas

  • IHI Corp (7013 JP) has had a monster rally over the last year with the stock price tripling over the period. That could now result in a global index inclusion.
  • IHI Corp (7013 JP) has outperformed its peers over the last year but still trades cheaper than the average and median of its peers on quite a few valuation metrics.
  • The appears to be a lot of positioning in the stock, but we see a similar pattern in its peers too. There could be some upside over the near term.

Trading LG Chem’s Large-Scale EB Issuance Backed by LG Energy Shares

By Sanghyun Park

  • With a $2B deal expected, LG Chem will likely issue before end June as the 2023 EB’s put date nears and redemption pressure builds amid strained financials.
  • Two years ago, hedge shorting spiked post-issuance and post-exchange start, but price impact was mild—only 3% and 6% drops—likely due to strong sector sentiment then.
  • Sector sentiment’s turned sharply, so more aggressive price action is likely post-EB announcement. Timing is tricky, but the setup’s worth watching closely.

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in June

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period ends on 30 April, the changes should be announced on 30 May and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.
  • We forecast 5 potential changes for the index in June where there could be buying of 0.5-2x ADV in the adds and selling of between 0.7-3.8x ADV in the deletes.
  • The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months and there could be outperformance as we near the end of the review period and announcement.

StubWorld: GMO Internet (4784) Will Be Squeezy. Until It’s Not.

By David Blennerhassett

  • Negligible float, 150x+ forward earnings – yes, investors can afford NOT to have GMO Internet (4784 JP) in their portfolio.
  • Preceding my comments on the GMO group are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

A Tender Offer of 6.2% Stake in KC Tech by KC Co

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close today, it was reported that KC Co (029460 KS) plans to conduct a tender offer 35 billion won worth of KC Tech (281820 KS) shares.
  • KC Co plans to conduct a tender offer of 1.283 million shares (6.2% stake) of KC Tech shares for 20 days from 23 April to 12 May. 
  • The tender offer price for KC Tech is 27,100 won, which is 13.4% higher than the closing price on 22 April.

JAFCO (8595) Good Results, Higher Div, Buyback, More Plans; Not Quite There, But Maybe Will Be Later

By Travis Lundy

  • At noon today, Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) announced full year (to March 2025) results. Revenues were up 21.4% this year, OP +49.7%, and Net Income +27.8%.
  • The company announced a ¥5bn buyback, and also announced a new dividend policy of 6% DOE or 50% payout ratio. As it is a markets business, there is no guidance. 
  • The stock popped significantly in the PM session, but the market zeitgeist is a tailwind. And there is supportive new news.

Evolution Mining (EVN AU): Global Index Inclusion in May as Gold Rallies

By Brian Freitas

  • Evolution Mining‘s stock price has moved higher over the last year as Gold has gone on a big run. The increased market cap should result in a global index inclusion.
  • Evolution Mining (EVN AU) has performed in line with its peers over the last year and trades in line with the group on most valuation parameters.
  • Positioning has jumped in Evolution Mining (EVN AU) and its peers over the last couple of months. The index inclusion could result in outperformance over the next few weeks.

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Passive Flows Next Week

By Brian Freitas

  • Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are no constituent changes for the index but there will be capping changes for a few stocks.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 10.8% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$208m. There are some stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
  • The index has been in a secular downtrend over the last few years and there have been big redemptions from ETFs tracking the index.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
  • There could be three ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and eight ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Fanuc Corp, Timee Inc, DN Solutions, Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Fanuc (6954) | Growth Flickers, Visibility Dims
  • Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point
  • DN Solutions IPO – Tariffs, Peer Correction Don’t Help
  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion


Fanuc (6954) | Growth Flickers, Visibility Dims

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fanuc returns to revenue growth, driven by robomachine demand in Asia, but core robot sales remain weak after last year’s EV-driven surge.
  • Management offered no guidance for FY3/26, citing tariff and FX uncertainty; we cut forecasts, with downside risk still looming large.
  • A ¥50bn buyback provides limited support, but shares may stay stuck until global capex trends and trade policy clarify.

Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has been volatile during the last few months despite the company reporting a strong set of results for 1QFY10/2025. 
  • Timee is the market leader in Japan while Mercari Hallo is still attempting to build its business. Our analysis shows that there is further room for Timee’s earnings to expand. 
  • Some of Japanese high-growth companies (incl. Monotaro, GMO Payment and Shift) have traded at exorbitant multiples during their high growth phase and we think Timee’s valuation multiples are justified.

DN Solutions IPO – Tariffs, Peer Correction Don’t Help

By Sumeet Singh

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) (DNS) aims to raise around US$1.1bn in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • DNS is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine tools and the business of automation solutions and services related thereto.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we talk about the updates since then.

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion

By Akshat Shah

  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN) (DKCI) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • DKCI is an R&D and innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains, and customers with diverse applications across various industrial segments.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Evolution Mining, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, China Petroleum & Chemical, Talos Energy Inc, Crude Oil, Akzo Nobel NV, Continuum Green Energy, Schlumberger Ltd, Panoro Energy ASA, Lloyds Metals & Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Evolution Mining (EVN AU): Global Index Inclusion in May as Gold Rallies
  • Lanka EDB Sits With Rubber Product Exporters To Tackle US Tariffs
  • Sinopec (386) Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior
  • Talos Energy Inc: Valuation Discount/Estimate Update
  • OPEC, EIA, and IEA Lower Oil Price Projections; Natural Gas Expected to Be Resilient
  • Akzo Nobel NV – What’s News in Amsterdam
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • [Pre Earnings Options Flash] Schlumberger’s Options Data Suggests Mixed Signals Ahead of Q1
  • Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Reserves addition much larger than expected
  • Lloyds Metals: On the Verge of a Massive Ramp-Up


Evolution Mining (EVN AU): Global Index Inclusion in May as Gold Rallies

By Brian Freitas

  • Evolution Mining‘s stock price has moved higher over the last year as Gold has gone on a big run. The increased market cap should result in a global index inclusion.
  • Evolution Mining (EVN AU) has performed in line with its peers over the last year and trades in line with the group on most valuation parameters.
  • Positioning has jumped in Evolution Mining (EVN AU) and its peers over the last couple of months. The index inclusion could result in outperformance over the next few weeks.

Lanka EDB Sits With Rubber Product Exporters To Tackle US Tariffs

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • 85% of Lankan rubber products shipped to US, EU markets  
  • Tariffs can diminish 28% of US rubber products export revenue  
  • Govt allocates LKR 1500 million for rubber industry in Budget

Sinopec (386) Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior

By John Ley

  • With Sinopec down 8.47% since the last quarter, we take an in-depth look at price patterns, implied vol, and the earnings implied jump compared to historical outcomes.
  • Implied vols stand out across a variety of metrics including relative valuation.
  • Examining average absolute price moves across quarters, Q1 tends to have the second-largest average absolute move.

Talos Energy Inc: Valuation Discount/Estimate Update

By Water Tower Research

  • Talos’ current ~$2.5 billion enterprise value (EV) reflects a 23% discount to the ~$3.2 billion PV-10 of company’s year-end 2024 proved developed reserves using flat prices of $65/bbl for oil and $3/MMBtu for natural gas.
  • Total proved reserves at year-end were 194 MMBoe (74% oil/81% liquids). Estimated probable reserves at year-end 2024 were 125.3 MMBoe, having a PV-10 on the same flat pricing of ~$2.7 billion.
  • On a proved plus probable basis, the discount widens to 58%. Under SEC pricing ($76.32/bbl and $2.13/MMBtu), the discount was 41% for total proved and 66% for proved plus probable.

OPEC, EIA, and IEA Lower Oil Price Projections; Natural Gas Expected to Be Resilient

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC lowered its 2025 oil demand growth forecast to 1.3m bpd from 1.45m bpd, while the IEA and EIA also revised forecasts down to 0.90m bpd and 0.73m bpd, respectively.
  • The EIA significantly lowered its 2025-2026 crude oil price outlook, citing the dual impact of Trump’s tariffs and OPEC+’s decision to boost output.
  • U.S. tariffs and China’s retaliatory measures are injecting uncertainty into global oil trade and refining margins.

Akzo Nobel NV – What’s News in Amsterdam

By The IDEA!

  • In today’s edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake remains depressed • Randstad | modest beat of consensus – valuation at attractive level due to share price decline • Corbion | strongly beating consensus – reiterates FY25 guidance • Corbion | another letter from Inclusive Capital • InPost | signs multi-year contact with Vinted • Just Eat TakeAway.com | reiterates FY25 guidance, expects offer to commence in 2Q25 • PostNL/DHL | DHL deploys first APMs at Praxis DIY stores • Corporate agenda | week 17 – 21

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Continuum Green, JSW Steel
  • US President Donald Trump has told reporters that US tariffs on China will “come down substantially, but it won’t be zero. It used to be zero”.
  • Meanwhile, Mr Trump stated that he has “no intention of firing” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, but would like to see him be “a little more active” in lowering interest rates.

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Schlumberger’s Options Data Suggests Mixed Signals Ahead of Q1

By Suhas Reddy

  • Schlumberger will report its Q1 earnings on 25/Apr, with revenue and EPS projected to fall sequentially and annually due to subdued oil prices and demand.
  • Schlumberger’s OI PCR at 0.70, signalling neutral sentiment, with a 96% IV percentile indicating high volatility.
  • For the 25/Apr expiry, SLB’s OI shows calls concentrated at strikes 42, 43, and 45, while puts dominate at 34, 33, and 32, with lower put OI at key levels.

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Reserves addition much larger than expected

By Auctus Advisors

  • YE24 2P reserves were independently estimated at 42.3 mmbbl (+7.6 mmbbl vs YE23, representing a Reserve Replacement Ration of 309%).
  • This figure far exceeds our previous expectation of 34.5 mmbbl for YE24 2P reserves – an estimate that included a 4 mmbbl addition in 1H24 to counterbalance 2024 production.
  • The higher than expected reserves addition is driven by robust reservoir performance in Gabon coupled with the conversion of contingent resources into 2P reserves in EG.

Lloyds Metals: On the Verge of a Massive Ramp-Up

By Rahul Jain

  • Resource-Backed Growth Story: Lloyds Metals & Energy Ltd. owns 857 MT of iron ore reserves (including 700 MT BHQ) with a 50-year lease, providing unmatched raw material security.
  • Transformational Expansion + MDO Play: Ongoing capex will ramp mining to 25+ MTPA and add 4.2 MTPA of steel capacity. Acquisition of Thriveni’s MDO business adds high-margin, annuity-style revenue stream.
  • Tax-Efficient, Debt-Light Strategy: Supported by Maharashtra’s IPS benefits, Lloyds is executing a capital-intensive buildout while aiming to remain net-debt free and structurally cost-advantaged.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Mira Pharmaceuticals , Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Recce Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • MIRA: Large Market Potential Opens Up
  • LGND: Pelthos To Become Public Company
  • Recce Pharmaceuticals — Funding secured to start Phase III pivotal trials


MIRA: Large Market Potential Opens Up

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

LGND: Pelthos To Become Public Company

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Ligand Pharmaceuticals holds a portfolio of revenue, royalty & milestone generating assets that have been vetted by its internal investment team.
  • Ligand considers individual biopharmaceutical products, platforms, companies & income streams in its opportunity set.
  • It targets late-stage and commercial income-producing assets when making investments.

Recce Pharmaceuticals — Funding secured to start Phase III pivotal trials

By Edison Investment Research

Recce is raising up to A$15.8m in equity fundraising through a now-completed A$5.0m share placement and an entitlement offer for remaining shareholders that could raise up to an additional A$10.8m in gross proceeds. Both rounds of financing are priced at A$0.28 per new share. We anticipate the total funding should support Recce’s operations into Q226 (Q4 CY25) as its near-term focus lies on advancing R327 topical gel (R327G) through registration-enabling pivotal studies. We expect Recce to start a registrational Indonesian Phase III study of R327G for the treatment of diabetic foot infections (DFIs) in the coming weeks. We now obtain an rNPV valuation of A$615.1m and our per-share valuation adjusts to A$2.51 per share (vs A$2.68 previously), reflecting the increase in shares outstanding after the placement.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: SK Inc, Xiaomi Corp, FUJIFILM Holdings, Wistron Corp, United Microelectron Sp Adr, VEON, Circle Internet Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Lee Jae-Myung’s Campaign Pledge – Cancellation of Treasury Shares
  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading
  • Fujifilm: Bio CDMO – A Success in the Making
  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Volatility Insights and Analysis Identify Spread Opportunities
  • Wistron GDR Early Look – Riding the AI Server Boom Amid Macroeconomic Headwinds
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 2Q25 Guidance Beat; Tariff Affection Unknown; No GF Merger Plan Right Now.
  • VEON (VEON US): Frontier Markets Digital Leader, Ukraine Spin-Out to Unlock Value
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Stablecoin Powerhouse Company


Lee Jae-Myung’s Campaign Pledge – Cancellation of Treasury Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • Lee Jae-Myung (who is leading in most election polls) has mentioned cancellation of treasury shares as one of the key campaign pledges to improve the corporate governance in Korea.
  • If the cancellation of these shares becomes mandatory, the SK Group and Lotte Group will be most affected. 
  • We provide a list of 21 stocks in KOSPI200 that have the highest ratios for treasury shares/total outstanding shares. These stocks could receive more attention in the next several months. 

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Over the past five trading days, Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
  • Bearish and Bullish strategies balance each other, with only 12% of trades expressing a neutral view, such as Iron Condors. Some strategies were traded in unusually large size.
  • Diagonal Spreads account for over 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. An inverted volatility term structure, aka backwardation, supports calendar and diagonal spreads.

Fujifilm: Bio CDMO – A Success in the Making

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Fujifilm announced today that the company has entered into a 10-year manufacturing supply agreement valued over US$3bn with Regeneron Pharma to provide US-based production to Regeneron’s biologic medicines.
  • Fujifilm’s Bio CDMO business, operating through FUJIFILM Diosynth Biotechnologies, has achieved significant success and growth, driven by a combination of strategic investments/acquisitions, with a focus on expanding its capabilities.
  • Bio CDMO business has achieved rapid expansion over the years, and aims to generate revenues of ¥200bn for FY03/2025 and reach ¥500bn by FY03/2028E which seems attainable to us.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Volatility Insights and Analysis Identify Spread Opportunities

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Xiaomi’s (1810 HK) one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 90th percentile, while realized volatility is exceptionally high, exceeding 100% (100th percentile).
  • The options market exhibits an inverted term structure (backwardation) favoring calendar or diagonal spreads, with a slightly negatively sloped skew supporting put and call spreads.
  • Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across most expiries, except for March 2026, which is heavily call-dominated.

Wistron GDR Early Look – Riding the AI Server Boom Amid Macroeconomic Headwinds

By Akshat Shah

  • Wistron Corp (3231 TT) is looking to raise up to US$760m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
  • On 2nd Apr 2025, Wistron announced that it had received its board’s approval to sell up to 250m common shares via a GDR offering.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 2Q25 Guidance Beat; Tariff Affection Unknown; No GF Merger Plan Right Now.

By Patrick Liao

  • 2Q25 guidance: Wafer shipments: increase 5~7%, ASP in USD: flat, GM: About 30%.
  • The US tariffs affect customer outcome visibility in 2Q25 and 2H25 is limited. 
  • UMC is seeking a strategic plan to enhance shareholder value, and there is no ongoing merger plan at the moment, which implies no merger plan with GF. 

VEON (VEON US): Frontier Markets Digital Leader, Ukraine Spin-Out to Unlock Value

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Telecom leader in key frontier markets. VEON serves nearly 160 million subscribers across frontier markets including Ukraine, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Bangladesh.
  • Multiple potential unicorn tech businesses within the Group. VEON has multiple rapidly growing tech businesses with unicorn (US$1bn valuation) potential.
  • Ukraine spin-out to unlock value. VEON is planning a Nasdaq IPO spin-out of its Ukraine business Kyivstar via de-SPAC for 2H25E. We rate VEON as a Structural Long, US$59 Target.

Circle Internet Group (CRCL): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Stablecoin Powerhouse Company

By IPO Boutique

  • Circle Internet Group believes the global financial system can be rebuilt on the principles of the internet.
  • Circle has minted more than $504.3 billion of USDC and redeemed more than $464.4 billion of USDC from January 1, 2021 to December 31, 2024.
  • Their 2024 revenue, net income, and Adjusted EBITDA is $1.7 billion, $156 million, and $285 million, respectively. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Fanuc Corp, Timee Inc, DN Solutions, Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Fanuc (6954) | Growth Flickers, Visibility Dims
  • Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point
  • DN Solutions IPO – Tariffs, Peer Correction Don’t Help
  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion


Fanuc (6954) | Growth Flickers, Visibility Dims

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fanuc returns to revenue growth, driven by robomachine demand in Asia, but core robot sales remain weak after last year’s EV-driven surge.
  • Management offered no guidance for FY3/26, citing tariff and FX uncertainty; we cut forecasts, with downside risk still looming large.
  • A ¥50bn buyback provides limited support, but shares may stay stuck until global capex trends and trade policy clarify.

Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has been volatile during the last few months despite the company reporting a strong set of results for 1QFY10/2025. 
  • Timee is the market leader in Japan while Mercari Hallo is still attempting to build its business. Our analysis shows that there is further room for Timee’s earnings to expand. 
  • Some of Japanese high-growth companies (incl. Monotaro, GMO Payment and Shift) have traded at exorbitant multiples during their high growth phase and we think Timee’s valuation multiples are justified.

DN Solutions IPO – Tariffs, Peer Correction Don’t Help

By Sumeet Singh

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) (DNS) aims to raise around US$1.1bn in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • DNS is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine tools and the business of automation solutions and services related thereto.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we talk about the updates since then.

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion

By Akshat Shah

  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN) (DKCI) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • DKCI is an R&D and innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains, and customers with diverse applications across various industrial segments.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Consumer: GMO Internet, Panasonic Corp, Trent Ltd, BYD, Shimano Inc, Bama Tea, Liuliu Orchard Group, Gruma SAB de CV, JAKKS Pacific , Guess? Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: GMO Internet (4784) Will Be Squeezy. Until It’s Not.
  • Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Passive Flows Next Week
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas
  • BYD (1211 HK) Positioning Ahead of Q1 2025 Results
  • Shimano (7309) | Coasting, Not Sprinting
  • Pre-IPO Bama Tea – The Business Model, the Challenges and the Outlook
  • Liuliu Orchard Group Co Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Gruma SAB de CV – Actinver Research
  • JAKK: 1Q Preview: Staring Into the Abyss; Reiterate Buy, PT
  • GES: Snapping the Store: Beginning to Bloom; Reiterate Buy, $23 PT


StubWorld: GMO Internet (4784) Will Be Squeezy. Until It’s Not.

By David Blennerhassett

  • Negligible float, 150x+ forward earnings – yes, investors can afford NOT to have GMO Internet (4784 JP) in their portfolio.
  • Preceding my comments on the GMO group are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Passive Flows Next Week

By Brian Freitas

  • Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are no constituent changes for the index but there will be capping changes for a few stocks.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 10.8% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$208m. There are some stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
  • The index has been in a secular downtrend over the last few years and there have been big redemptions from ETFs tracking the index.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
  • There could be three ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and eight ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.

BYD (1211 HK) Positioning Ahead of Q1 2025 Results

By Nico Rosti

  • BYD (1211 HK) will release its Q1 2025 results on April 25. The company has issued a positive profit alert, projecting net income around RMB 8.5 – 10 billion.
  • Expected earnings per share ranging from RMB 2.91 to RMB 3.42, up from RMB 1.57 in the same period last year.
  • Our model currently does not indicate the stock is overbought, but a surprise pullback is always possible around earnings releases, so we will discuss also support/buy zones.

Shimano (7309) | Coasting, Not Sprinting

By Mark Chadwick

  • Shimano beat Q1 profit expectations but stuck to cautious full-year guidance, signalling stabilisation in bike markets rather than a real recovery.
  • Margins improved, inventories stabilised — but Shimano’s profitability remains well below historic highs, with recovery likely to stay slow and steady.
  • Strong balance sheet, resilient pricing, limited US exposure: Shimano looks a defensive bet, even if management’s guidance ends up on the optimistic side.

Pre-IPO Bama Tea – The Business Model, the Challenges and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The most significant issue in the domestic tea industry is product standardization. This makes it difficult for tea companies to expand their market share and achieve economies of scale.
  • Bama’s revenue growth showed an upward trend, but the growth rate is declining. There’re already signs of growth stagnation. High selling and marketing expenses will put pressure on profit margin.
  • Lancang and Tenfu Caymans (6868 HK) are comparable peers. Due to larger market share/revenue scale and higher profit margin in 24Q1-Q3, we think Bama’s valuation should be higher than peers.

Liuliu Orchard Group Co Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Liuliu Orchard Group (LLO HK) (LOGCL) is planning to raise about US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The lead bookrunners for the deal are Citic and Guoyuan.
  • The company was established in 1999. It is one of the leading producers of plum-based products in China’s fruit snacks category.
  • As per F&S Report, LOGCL ranked first in China’s fruit snacks industry by retail sales value, with a market share of 4.9% in 2024.

Gruma SAB de CV – Actinver Research

By Actinver

  • Revenues of US$1.55 billion were 6% lower YoY, and below our estimates and consensus.
  • Sales underperformed our estimates across all regions, with Gruma USA and Mexico posting contracting sales, on average -2.4% and the latter impacted by FX headwinds.
  • Central America, on the other hand, posted solid healthy amid high demand, while Europe continues to benefit from its distribution strategy, and Australia offsets China’s performance.

JAKK: 1Q Preview: Staring Into the Abyss; Reiterate Buy, PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and price target for JAKKS Pacific with the company announcing 1Q25 (March) results after the close on Wednesday.
  • While we believe our 1Q projections reflected tariff conditions correctly, with April tariff levels increasing on goods from China to 125%, we are entering uncharted territory where, frankly, our current projections probably do not apply.
  • We believe JAKKS Pacific management will have to rebuild their business model, which could entail higher pricing, deeper focus internationally (21% of 2024 sales), lower S,G&A and licensing spend and, longer term, shifting what can be shifted in terms of production from China, which currently accounts for virtually all product manufacturing.

GES: Snapping the Store: Beginning to Bloom; Reiterate Buy, $23 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $23 price target for Guess?
  • after visiting stores in Metropolitan New York City and Long Island.
  • We believe, after a long period of shifts and upgrades, Guess?

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Daily Brief Financials: Jafco Co Ltd, Bright Smart Securities And, KB Financial, IIFL Wealth Management, ICBC (H), Capitaland India Trust, Foxtons, SES AI Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • JAFCO (8595) Good Results, Higher Div, Buyback, More Plans; Not Quite There, But Maybe Will Be Later
  • Jafco (8595.T) Announces a Big Buyback and a Change in Business Strategy- The Market Likes It!
  • Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?
  • Lee Jae-Myung’s Policies Likely to Negatively Impact Korean Banks
  • 360 ONE WAM Acquires UBS India Wealth Business
  • ICBC (1398.HK) Earnings: Volatility Pricing, Post-Release Trade Setup & Tactical Hedge
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (23-Apr-2025): Sino’s Robert Ng, kids tagged under SG foreign interference law
  • Bright Smart (1428 HK): Chairman’s Scheme, Or Cashing Out?
  • Foxtons Group — Q125 benefit from Stamp Duty pull forward
  • SES AI Corp: – Pioneering New Battery Chemistries, Business Model with AI


JAFCO (8595) Good Results, Higher Div, Buyback, More Plans; Not Quite There, But Maybe Will Be Later

By Travis Lundy

  • At noon today, Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) announced full year (to March 2025) results. Revenues were up 21.4% this year, OP +49.7%, and Net Income +27.8%.
  • The company announced a ¥5bn buyback, and also announced a new dividend policy of 6% DOE or 50% payout ratio. As it is a markets business, there is no guidance. 
  • The stock popped significantly in the PM session, but the market zeitgeist is a tailwind. And there is supportive new news.

Jafco (8595.T) Announces a Big Buyback and a Change in Business Strategy- The Market Likes It!

By Rikki Malik

  • Jafco divests overseas operations to focus on domestic capital markets
  • The company continues to focus on shareholder returns in a meaningful way
  • Domestic venture capital returns exceed overseas returns historically and the future looks bright

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): A Takeunder MGO?

By Arun George

  • Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK) is in a trading halt “pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers, which constitutes inside information of the Company.
  • It is likely that Mr Lum, the founder and chairman, has entered a sale and purchase agreement to sell his controlling stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer (MGO).   
  • The shares are at an all-time high and have a P/B multiple that is a material premium to peers. The MGO price is likely to be lower than last close.

Lee Jae-Myung’s Policies Likely to Negatively Impact Korean Banks

By Douglas Kim

  • Among the various industries, the banking sector could be negatively impacted if Lee Jae-Myung becomes the next President of Korea.
  • Lee Jae-Myung has pledged providing a “basic loan” of 10 million won per citizen which is likely to negatively impact the Korean banks since it lacks rigorous credit checks. 
  • There is an increasing likelihood that Lee Jae-Myung could raise the pressure on local banks to share the responsibility of social policies by contributing more money to support them.

360 ONE WAM Acquires UBS India Wealth Business

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • 360 ONE WAM acquires UBS AG’s onshore wealth management business in India for INR 307 crore, adding INR 26,000 crore AUM and expanding its product and client base.
  • This acquisition strengthens 360 ONE’s domestic position and offers UBS’s global expertise, creating a powerful, dual-access wealth management platform for global Indians, enhancing growth opportunities.
  • The deal signifies a strategic collaboration, not just an exit, with UBS retaining a stake& expanding its Indian operations through 360 ONE, enhancing the value proposition for both firms’ clients.

ICBC (1398.HK) Earnings: Volatility Pricing, Post-Release Trade Setup & Tactical Hedge

By John Ley

  • An in-depth look at price patterns, implied vol, and the earnings implied jump compared to historical outcomes.
  • Based on ICBC’s historical post-earnings behavior and current implied vol levels, we recommend a hedge into the event.
  • We explore post-earnings moves that show a potentially exploitable pattern.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (23-Apr-2025): Sino’s Robert Ng, kids tagged under SG foreign interference law

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Robert Ng, a significant figure at Sino, is implicated in Singapore’s foreign political interference law due to his involvement with children.
  • Cuscaden Peak secures approval for the $2.1B privatization deal of Singapore’s Paragon REIT, marking a significant milestone in the real estate industry.
  • PAG DCU appoints Sanjay Goel, formerly of American Tower, as their new CEO, signaling a strategic move in their leadership team.

Bright Smart (1428 HK): Chairman’s Scheme, Or Cashing Out?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Mid-Trading yesterday, broker Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK) was suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. Shares closed up 9.3% before suspension.
  • Bright Smart’s ops are tonking along nicely. It recently announced a (preliminary) 10% increase in FY25 profit (Mar Y/E). The share price is up 97% yoy.
  • Bright Smart’s Chairman, Yip Peter Mow Lun, holds 50.54%. Unusual timing to take the company private. Alternatively Yip, at 73-years of age, may be cashing in his chips. 

Foxtons Group — Q125 benefit from Stamp Duty pull forward

By Edison Investment Research

Foxtons Group’s Q125 trading update revealed revenue growth of 24%, driven predominantly by growth in the Sales division, which in turn benefited from a pull forward in transactions due to Stamp Duty changes. However, in the longer term, we believe the company’s strategic direction remains positive, and we expect an update on its strategy to be revealed at the 4 June capital markets day. This may see an upgrade to the medium-term adjusted operating profit target of £28–33m, which is now coming into focus. We maintain our revenue and operating profit estimates and our 134p/share valuation, although risks appear to be skewed to the upside if market momentum continues.


SES AI Corp: – Pioneering New Battery Chemistries, Business Model with AI

By Water Tower Research

  • Hu discussed the upcoming launch of Molecular Universe MU-0 and described how the firm is using AI to accelerate battery materials discovery.
  • The Molecular Universe platform is the outgrowth of the firm’s work to map out the entire small molecule universe relevant for Li-metal and Li-ion battery chemistries.
  • The platform enables R&D teams to search for chemistries that meet specific engineering requirements, tuned to the specifics of different industry use cases, and interrogate the map of the chemical space in natural language, greatly enhancing R&D efficiency.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Hanmi Semi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 18th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Hanmi Semi, SK Hynix, Samsung Electro-Mech, Sk Innovation, Ls Electric, Samsung Electronics.

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