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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Most Read: GQG Partners , Amman Mineral Internasional, Greatland Gold, VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA, Thakral Corp, Contact Energy, FWD Group Holdings, BioPharma Credit PLC Fund, Gemvax & Kael, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance
  • Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Impact of Benchmark Change – Update
  • Greatland Resources (GGP AU): Big Index Inclusions for Recent IPO
  • Curator’s Cut: Building Materials Moves, Benchmarking Gold Miners & Semaglutide in India and Japan
  • Gemlife (GLF AU): Index Inclusions Start Later This Year
  • Contact Energy/Manawa Energy: Index Flows as Deal Nears Completion
  • FWD Group (1828 HK): Offering Details & Index Entry Timeline
  • Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25 Results: Methodology Change Could Result in a Surprise Addition
  • KRX Semicon Index Sep Rebalance — Watch Closely
  • Tariff War, Weather Hit Thai Rubber Exports Hard In April


S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

By Brian Freitas

  • S&P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.
  • The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.
  • We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Impact of Benchmark Change – Update

By Brian Freitas

  • The VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) has announced a benchmark change from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.
  • The benchmark change will result in a bunch of constituent and weight changes in September. Estimated one-way turnover is 16.5% resulting in a one-way trade of US$3.15bn.
  • The flow and turnover numbers will change following constituent and capping changes for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index at the September rebalance.

Greatland Resources (GGP AU): Big Index Inclusions for Recent IPO

By Brian Freitas


Curator’s Cut: Building Materials Moves, Benchmarking Gold Miners & Semaglutide in India and Japan

By Pranav Rao

  • Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,000+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma
  • In this cut, we spotlight building materials corporate actions, gold miners’ benchmark shifts, and semaglutide’s prospects in India and Japan
  • Want to dig deeper? Comment or message on the themes you think should be highlighted next

Gemlife (GLF AU): Index Inclusions Start Later This Year

By Brian Freitas

  • Gemlife (GLF AU) is looking to raise A$750m in a primary offering, valuing the company at A$1.58bn. The stock is expected to start trading on 3 July.
  • The Puljich family and Thakral Corp (THK SP) are escrowed on their shares till mid 2026 at the earliest. 
  • Gemlife (GLF AU) could be added to global indexes in November and December this year, but S&P/ASX 300 Index inclusion could take place only in March 2026.

Contact Energy/Manawa Energy: Index Flows as Deal Nears Completion

By Brian Freitas


FWD Group (1828 HK): Offering Details & Index Entry Timeline

By Brian Freitas

  • FWD Group Holdings (FWD HK) is looking to raise up to HK$3.99bn (US$508m) in its IPO, valuing the company at HK$48.82bn (US$6.22bn).
  • Cornerstone investors will take up more than half the base offering and that will delay index inclusion to well into 2026.
  • FWD Group Holdings (FWD HK) could be added to the HSCI Index and Southbound Stock Connect in December. That could bring some buying into the stock from mainland investors.

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25 Results: Methodology Change Could Result in a Surprise Addition

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
  • We see three M&A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review (one announced later today) and then two more shortly after the rebal event. 
  • Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F250 index during the September 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.

KRX Semicon Index Sep Rebalance — Watch Closely

By Sanghyun Park

  • 67 semi names screen into TMI Large-Mid; with stable churn, they’re a solid base for the Sept rebalance. Filter by ADTV and mkt cap to get likely basket.
  • Last year’s Sept rebalance saw wild moves, especially in the week prior, driven by low visibility from the non-public BMI universe, which amped up uncertainty and volatility.
  • This year’s TMI-based rebalance may see more front-loading and smoother flows, but with low market awareness and no playbook yet, chunky moves are still on the table.

Tariff War, Weather Hit Thai Rubber Exports Hard In April

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Thailand’s rubber export value dips 18.58% MoM in April 2025   
  • Staggering 43.6% fall in Thai rubber imports value to China  
  • Rubber producers can now use trees as collateral for loans  

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hanwha Corporation, Kakaopay , Taekwang Industrial and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Minority Shareholders of Hanwha Corp Preferred Shares Demand Better Protection
  • Payment Companies – Introducing the Sector Scorecard
  • Taekwang Industrial: Issuing EB Worth 319 Billion Won Based on Its Treasury Shares [Poor Governance]


Minority Shareholders of Hanwha Corp Preferred Shares Demand Better Protection

By Douglas Kim

  • Minority shareholders of Hanwha Corp preferred shares are demanding better protection (such as converting preferred shares into common shares) and are criticizing the potential delisting of its shares. 
  • We provide four major scenarios that could occur for Hanwha Corp preferred shares (000885 KS) in the coming weeks. 
  • The fact that Hanwha Group companies are on such positive momentum, it would be in the best interest for Hanwha to improve shareholder value of the Hanwha Corp’s preferred shares.

Payment Companies – Introducing the Sector Scorecard

By Victor Galliano

  • We introduce our payments scorecard in this report, in which we apply weightings to our metrics of valuation, margins, EBITDA growth estimates and valuation-to-growth to deliver rankings
  • We keep PagSeguro and Nexi on the buy list, both of these are in the top three in the scorecard; we add PayPal to the buys, replacing the mega-cap Visa
  • We remove our sell rating on Affirm, replacing it with Kakao Pay; Kakao Pay stock has rallied hard on stablecoin speculation, but our concern is that investors under-estimate regulatory risk

Taekwang Industrial: Issuing EB Worth 319 Billion Won Based on Its Treasury Shares [Poor Governance]

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 27 June, Taekwang Industrial (003240 KS) announced that it is issuing an exchangeable bond (EB) worth 319 billion won based on its treasury shares.
  • Taekwang Industrial announced it will issue EBs with the 271,769 treasury stocks representing 24.41% of the issued shares. This is poor corporate governance and not shareholder friendly. 
  • Going forward, we believe its shares are likely to underperform the market in the next 1-2 years.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Krungthai Card, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Buying Opportunity After Margin Call
  • Tariff War, Weather Hit Thai Rubber Exports Hard In April


Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Buying Opportunity After Margin Call

By David Blennerhassett


Tariff War, Weather Hit Thai Rubber Exports Hard In April

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Thailand’s rubber export value dips 18.58% MoM in April 2025   
  • Staggering 43.6% fall in Thai rubber imports value to China  
  • Rubber producers can now use trees as collateral for loans  

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 27th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 27th): Tencent, AIA, Yantai North Andre Juice


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 27th): Tencent, AIA, Yantai North Andre Juice

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 27th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Yantai North Andre Juice (2218 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK).

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Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Tariff War, Weather Hit Thai Rubber Exports Hard In April


Tariff War, Weather Hit Thai Rubber Exports Hard In April

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Thailand’s rubber export value dips 18.58% MoM in April 2025   
  • Staggering 43.6% fall in Thai rubber imports value to China  
  • Rubber producers can now use trees as collateral for loans  

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding


Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

By Joe Jasper

  • We discussed in last week’s June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel’s TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.
  • Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.
  • As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).

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Daily Brief ESG: Companies Formalized Independence of Voluntary Nomination Committees and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Companies Formalized Independence of Voluntary Nomination Committees, but No Signs of Improvements


Companies Formalized Independence of Voluntary Nomination Committees, but No Signs of Improvements

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Most companies with voluntary nomination committees have majority of committee members as outside directors, and two-thirds have outside directors as chairpersons, but it’s difficult to establish a statutory nomination committee.
  • It’s unclear whether voluntary nomination committee can make proactive proposals or whether it simply follows proposals made by CEO, and to how much influence the decisions of voluntary committee have.
  • More than half of listed companies have former presidents and other executives serving as advisors or consultants. Concerns remain that former board directors may still be involved in management.

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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Nexstar Broadcasting Group, Inc, Lancaster Colony, Bone Biologics , Crude Oil, CareCloud , Valaris and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • NVIDIA (NVDA US) At All-Time High Acquires CentML: Weekly Tactical Outlook (June 30 – July 4)
  • Nexstar Media: Broadcasting’s Biggest Bet – [Business Breakdowns, EP.221]
  • Lancaster Colony: The Top 6 Influences on Its Performance for 2025 & The Future!
  • BBLG: Making Major Step Toward Commercialization
  • [ETP 2025/26] WTI Set for Deepest Weekly Drop Since March 2023; Henry Hub Slides on Tepid Demand
  • Insight: Care Cloud Preferred ($CCLDO)
  • Valaris PLC: Fleet Optimization, Strategic Contracting & Key Growth Levers!


NVIDIA (NVDA US) At All-Time High Acquires CentML: Weekly Tactical Outlook (June 30 – July 4)

By Nico Rosti

  • NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)  stock keeps climbing towards an hypothetical 5 trillion $ market cap, as the artificial intelligence (AI) trade accelerates.
  • Unconfirmed rumors say NVIDIA has acquired CentML, a machine learning startup that provides an optimization platform to enhance the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of AI model training and deployment.
  • After 5 weeks up in a row and a furious, vertical rally, the stock begins to appear OVERBOUGHT, according to our model.

Nexstar Media: Broadcasting’s Biggest Bet – [Business Breakdowns, EP.221]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Simeon McMillan, founder of Accrued Interest, has a unique perspective on the broadcast television industry, with experience as a banker and executive in prominent media companies.
  • The broadcast television industry has evolved from the hub and spoke model of major networks to a more consolidated landscape, with companies like Nexstar Media Group emerging as major players.
  • McMillan will discuss the revenue streams, impact of cord cutting, and strategic investments within the industry, providing insights into the structure and evolution of broadcast television.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Lancaster Colony: The Top 6 Influences on Its Performance for 2025 & The Future!

By Baptista Research

  • Lancaster Colony Corporation delivered mixed results for its fiscal year 2025 third quarter.
  • Despite the 2.9% decline in consolidated net sales to $458 million, the company achieved record gross profit and operating income, reaching $106 million and $50 million, respectively.
  • This highlights effective cost management and operational efficiencies in a challenging sales environment.

BBLG: Making Major Step Toward Commercialization

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Bone Biologics is pursuing a better and more effective way of dealing with back pain requiring surgery by developing bone regeneration in spinal fusion using the recombinant human protein known as NELL-1/DBX, or NB1.
  • The company continues with human trials and is getting funding that will enable the approval process to continue.
  • BBLG also filed for a patent that stands to strengthen the company’s intellectual portfolio.

[ETP 2025/26] WTI Set for Deepest Weekly Drop Since March 2023; Henry Hub Slides on Tepid Demand

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 20/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 5.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1.2m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline stockpiles fell more than expected.
  • The EIA reported a 96 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted an 88 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.6% above the five-year average but 6.3% below year-ago levels.
  • Shell denied reports of merger talks with BP. TD Cowen raised its price target on Exxon to USD 128, citing its technological edge in resource recovery and strategic deal-making capacity.

Insight: Care Cloud Preferred ($CCLDO)

By White Brook Capital

  • Care Cloud’s Preferred Stock ($CCLDO) represents the type of opportunities we’re pursuing in the Small Cap Absolute Growth Strategy.
  • I’d written most of this post and put it on the backburner in preparation for it to be part of our quarterly letter, but a press release today made me smile and I decided to revise and inform.
  • Today’s press release:“Our audit firm has informed the Company that it does not have the capacity to perform an ICFR attestation.


Valaris PLC: Fleet Optimization, Strategic Contracting & Key Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • Valaris Ltd.’s first quarter of 2025 financial results indicate robust performance, showcasing both significant operational achievements and strategic initiatives.
  • The company’s success in securing over $1 billion in new backlog contracts highlights its capability to align strategically with market opportunities, notably in lucrative regions such as West Africa.
  • This aligns with Valaris’s broader commercial strategy that emphasizes contracting high-specification assets on attractive long-term terms, thus ensuring consistent revenue streams critical for sustaining financial health.

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Daily Brief ECM: Anjoy Food Group IPO: Buy It Now Frozen and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Anjoy Food Group IPO: Buy It Now Frozen, Savor, and Anjoy It Later
  • Unisound AI IPO (9678.HK): Pricing and Hong Kong Debut, Low Float and High Valuation


Anjoy Food Group IPO: Buy It Now Frozen, Savor, and Anjoy It Later

By Tina Banerjee

  • Anjoy Food Group launched its Hong Kong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$2,639 million (US$336 million). The company plans to sell 39.9 million shares at HK$66 per share.
  • Anjoy is the largest quick-frozen food company in China, with a market share of 6.6% and 39 signature products, each generating revenue exceeding RMB 100 million.
  • Pricing pressure due to intense market competition is the concern that seems will persist in the near term. However, the company has long-term growth opportunities.

Unisound AI IPO (9678.HK): Pricing and Hong Kong Debut, Low Float and High Valuation

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Unisound AI Technology, Chinese AI startup with focus on intelligent voice and speech processing technologies, priced its IPO at HK$205.00 per share, top of a range.
  • Beijing based AI company raised ~HK$320M in this offering, of which cornerstone investors acquired ~HK$95M worth of shares or ~30% of the total offer H shares.
  • The claw-back was triggered due to strong retail demand. The HK offering was ~92 times oversubscribed, and the allocation was increased to 624,400 H shares.

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Daily Brief India: Copper, Natco Pharma, Delhi International Airport Limited, Sambhv Steel Tubes and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • DXY Cracks 97: Commodity Stocks in Focus as Dollar Slide Deepens
  • Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN): Getting Ready for the Next Moonshot
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Sambhv Steel Tubes: Backward Integration, Rising Margins,Capacity-Led Growth Steel Pipe Player


DXY Cracks 97: Commodity Stocks in Focus as Dollar Slide Deepens

By Rahul Jain

  • The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen sharply to 97.33, down over 10% year-to-date and hitting a fresh 1-year low.
  • This decline is being driven by rising expectations of Fed rate cuts, political uncertainty around central bank independence, and a broader shift in global risk appetite.
  • Over the past two years, gold miners, aluminum, copper, and diversified metal stocks have shown the strongest inverse correlation with DXY.

Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN): Getting Ready for the Next Moonshot

By Himanshu Dugar

  • Natco specializes in complex generics with a catalogue of 30 Para IV filings (14 approved), demonstrating strong R&D expertise and a track record of successful high-value launches most prominently gRevlimid.
  • Its current pipeline include potential blockbuster drugs like generic versions of Evrysdi, Ozempic/Wegovy (GLP-1), Kyprolis, and Imbruvica, which could drive future growth and offset concerns about declining Revlimid revenues post-FY26.
  • We estimate Natco (ex-Revlimid) can generate ~2,500cr in revenues with profit of 320-350cr. Its 3,500cr cash-in-hand, Para IV optionalities and NCE investments (Gene therapy) make its current valuation attractive.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Delhi Int’l Airport, Longfor Group, Softbank Group, Xiaomi Corp
  • US treasury yields continued to decline for a fifth straight day, on the back of a strong auction of 7Y notes, as well as increased market expectations for rate cuts. The yield on the 2Y UST fell 6 bps to 3.72%, while that on the 10Y UST declined 5 bps to 4.24%.
  • Equities climbed towards record high levels. The S&P 500 gained 0.8% to 6,141, just shy of the peak of 6,144 in February. The Nasdaq advanced 1.0% to 20,168.

Sambhv Steel Tubes: Backward Integration, Rising Margins,Capacity-Led Growth Steel Pipe Player

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Sambhv’s single-location, fully backward-integrated facility – from sponge iron to pipes—ensures strong cost control and superior EBITDA per ton, outpacing peers reliant on outsourced raw materials and power.
  • Capacity ramp-up from 2.5L MT to 4.5L MT in FY25, new stainless-steel lines, and Kesda’s greenfield project set the stage for multi-year growth visibility and operating leverage.
  • With ₹390 crore from IPO proceeds going toward debt repayment, Sambhv strengthens financial flexibility, improves credit metrics, and positions itself well for capex execution and margin retention.

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