All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025
  • Palantir’s Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai’s 34% Stake in Palantir Korea
  • Adient Plc: Growth in Asia-Pacific Markets Fueling Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • The Beat Ideas: MSTC- An E-Commerce PSU
  • Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM): A Detailed Analysis Of Two Value Doubling Catalysts
  • Inspire Medical Systems: Is The New Inspire V System A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Kering: It’s Gucci – [Business Breakdowns, EP.199]
  • Samsonite (1910) – Friday, Oct 4, 2024
  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Market Adaptation & Product Diversification As A Strategic Growth Enabler! – Major Drivers
  • Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Tractor Companies (December 2024)


Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 1Q 2025.
  • Among the 27 major pair trades (prefs vs. common shares), 20 of the pref stocks outperformed their common shares counterparts in 2024.
  • The 27 Korean preferred stocks’ average prices declined by 1% from end of 2023 to end of 2024 (excluding dividends), outperforming their common counterparts which were down on average 3.7%.

Palantir’s Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai’s 34% Stake in Palantir Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the increasing importance of Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) on influencing the political rallies in Korea. 
  • In addition, we discuss how HD Hyundai’s 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is likely to improve the positive sentiment on HD Hyundai. 
  • Our sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests implied market cap of 11 trillion won or target price of 139,845 won per share (63% upside from current levels).

Adient Plc: Growth in Asia-Pacific Markets Fueling Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Adient plc has recently reported its fourth quarter 2024 earnings as well as its full-year results, providing a snapshot of the company’s current position and future outlook.
  • The company’s performance was solid in the face of a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • Revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year, but Adient managed to maintain adjusted EBITDA at $235 million, highlighting its ability to mitigate customer volume headwinds through strong business performance.

The Beat Ideas: MSTC- An E-Commerce PSU

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • MSTC Limited (MSTCLTD IN) is transitioning to an e-commerce-centric model, reducing dependence on trading sales and focusing on high-margin e-commerce services.
  • MSTC sold its subsidiary Ferro Scrap Nigam Limited for an amount of Rs. 300 Crores which will be utilised in the near future.
  • MSTC has a strong cash position (Rs. 1,300 Cr) that can be used for special dividends, growth-oriented investments, or share buyback programs.

Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM): A Detailed Analysis Of Two Value Doubling Catalysts

By Sameer Taneja

  • In its press release on December 26th, the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) detailed two catalysts: acquiring 61.92% of PDS and increasing the listing maintenance fee. 
  • The PDS (Philippine Dealing System) pricing of 2.32 billion pesos for 61.92% implies a 10.5x PE (7.5x PE ex-cash), which will be accretive to earnings despite the cash coming down. 
  • With the 75% increase in the upper limit of listing and maintenance fees and the acquisition, the stock trades at 12-13x PE/7.6% dividend yield and three billion net cash.

Inspire Medical Systems: Is The New Inspire V System A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Inspire Medical Systems reported a promising third quarter in 2024, demonstrating significant revenue growth and improvements in profitability.
  • The company’s revenue for the third quarter was $203.2 million, up 33% compared to the same period in 2023.
  • This growth was predominantly driven by the increased adoption of Inspire therapy, reflected in the expansion into 66 new implanting centers and growth in 13 new U.S. sales territories.

Kering: It’s Gucci – [Business Breakdowns, EP.199]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Kering is a luxury house similar to LVMH, with brands like Gucci, YSL, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga
  • Gucci represents nearly 50% of Kering’s revenues and over 50% of profits, with its popularity tied to fashion trends
  • Kering traces its history back to a diverse set of regional businesses before focusing on luxury under the leadership of Francois Henry Pinault

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Samsonite (1910) – Friday, Oct 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Samsonite is planning to re-list in the US, despite currently being listed in Hong Kong
  • Company is trading at low valuation but expected to see medium-term growth
  • Listing in Hong Kong has not benefitted Samsonite, with potential for increased interest and growth in the US market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Market Adaptation & Product Diversification As A Strategic Growth Enabler! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported its third quarter 2024 financial results, indicating a challenging period due to decreased coal pricing and unfavorable market conditions.
  • The company posted an adjusted EBITDA of $49 million and shipped 4.1 million tons of coal during the quarter.
  • These figures were negatively influenced by lower coal prices, soft market demand, and certain operational challenges such as difficult geology and weather conditions.

Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Tractor Companies (December 2024)

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • Favorable reservoir level, an uptick in Kharif Harvest, and strong sowing for the Rabi season are expected to drive good demand for tractors in the medium term.
  • We summarize the sales volume published by listed players Mahindra & Mahindra(M&M), and Escorts Kubota Limited.
  • Positive management commentary augurs well for uptick in tractor OEM stocks and related auto ancillary companies like GNA Axles Ltd (GNA IN) in medium term.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CNY – November 25 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CNY – November 25, 2024
  • China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber


Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CNY – November 25, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under review, i.e. October 22nd, 2024, to November 25th, 2024, the EUR/CNY pair experienced a slight but steady downward trajectory amid fluctuations.
  • Initially, the pair followed an upward movement, reaching its peak at the price of 7.7654.
  • However, after November 6th, 2024, the currency faced a general depreciation which persisted until the end of the period, signaling a bearish momentum. 

China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • ADD on NBR imports from Japan, South Korea extended to five years
  • Chinese companies beef up domestic carbon black production
  • ZC Rubber unveils US$259 million and Longxing US$405 million projects

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Eureka Robotics, Funding Societies Pte Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber
  • Eureka Robotics raises US$10.5M to power the future of factory automation | e27
  • Funding Societies raises US$25M to further expand payments business in SEA | e27


China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • ADD on NBR imports from Japan, South Korea extended to five years
  • Chinese companies beef up domestic carbon black production
  • ZC Rubber unveils US$259 million and Longxing US$405 million projects

Eureka Robotics raises US$10.5M to power the future of factory automation | e27

By e27

  • Singapore-based Eureka Robotics has raised US$10.5 million in Series A financing.
  • B Capital spearheaded the round. New investors Airbus Ventures, Maruka Corporation, and G. K. Goh Ventures participated along with existing investors UTEC and ATEQ.
  • Eureka Robotics was founded in 2018 to enable factories worldwide to automate dull, dirty, and dangerous tasks. The company leverages its proprietary technologies, which include high-accuracy calibration, computer vision, motion planning, and force control.

Funding Societies raises US$25M to further expand payments business in SEA | e27

By e27

  • Digital finance platform Funding Societies | Modalku (Funding Societies) today announced that it has raised US$25 million in equity investment from Japan’s sovereign wealth fund Cool Japan Fund (CJF), marking the fund’s first investment into a fintech company in Southeast Asia (SEA).
  • The company said it will funnel the investment to deepen its core business in SME financing across its five markets (Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam) whilst further expanding its payments business since embarking on it in 2022.
  • In a press statement, Funding Societies said it will focus on helping businesses get paid faster through innovative receivables and financing solutions. It will also leverage technology and AI to digitise and automate lending origination processes.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Amorepacific Corp (Preferred), HD Hyundai , Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, LG CNS, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025
  • Palantir’s Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai’s 34% Stake in Palantir Korea
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 Index – Buy January Straddle
  • LG CNS IPO: The Bear Case
  • China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber


Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 1Q 2025.
  • Among the 27 major pair trades (prefs vs. common shares), 20 of the pref stocks outperformed their common shares counterparts in 2024.
  • The 27 Korean preferred stocks’ average prices declined by 1% from end of 2023 to end of 2024 (excluding dividends), outperforming their common counterparts which were down on average 3.7%.

Palantir’s Influence on the Political Rallies in Korea & HD Hyundai’s 34% Stake in Palantir Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the increasing importance of Palantir Technologies (PLTR US) on influencing the political rallies in Korea. 
  • In addition, we discuss how HD Hyundai’s 34% ownership of Palantir Korea is likely to improve the positive sentiment on HD Hyundai. 
  • Our sum-of-the-parts valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests implied market cap of 11 trillion won or target price of 139,845 won per share (63% upside from current levels).

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index – Buy January Straddle

By John Ley

  • The implied move for January is less than what has been historically experienced. Sixteen of the last 26 years have had price movement > current implied move.
  • January punches above its weight in terms of both historic volatility (most volatile month) and the amount of price movement relative to that historic volatility.
  • Trades at the current implied move historically would have been winners 61.5% of the time with the average winner being more than double the average loser. 

LG CNS IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS), the IT service unit of LG Corp (003550 KS), seeks to raise up to US$837 million through a primary/secondary offering.
  • In LG CNS IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on fading growth momentum, mid-tier revenue growth, weak non-AI growth, high contract assets, bottom-tier FCF margin and large share overhang. 

China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • ADD on NBR imports from Japan, South Korea extended to five years
  • Chinese companies beef up domestic carbon black production
  • ZC Rubber unveils US$259 million and Longxing US$405 million projects

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: Adient PLC, Inspire Medical Systems Inc, Samsonite, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Altus Power , Shake Shack Inc Class A, Steven Madden, UFP Technologies, Visteon Corp, Vivid Seats and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Adient Plc: Growth in Asia-Pacific Markets Fueling Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • Inspire Medical Systems: Is The New Inspire V System A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Samsonite (1910) – Friday, Oct 4, 2024
  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Market Adaptation & Product Diversification As A Strategic Growth Enabler! – Major Drivers
  • Is Altus Power the Next Big Bet in Renewable Energy? TPG Thinks So!
  • Shake Shack Inc.: Can Its Expansion of Drive-Thru & Operational Efficiency Up Their Game? – Major Drivers
  • Steve Madden: International Market Expansion As A Primary Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers
  • Ufp Technologies Inc (UFPT) – Thursday, Oct 3, 2024
  • Visteon Corporation: Capitalizing On Emerging Trends in Cockpit Technology To Change The Game! – Major Drivers
  • Vivid Seats Explores a Sale Amid Takeover Interest! What Value Can It Extract?


Adient Plc: Growth in Asia-Pacific Markets Fueling Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Adient plc has recently reported its fourth quarter 2024 earnings as well as its full-year results, providing a snapshot of the company’s current position and future outlook.
  • The company’s performance was solid in the face of a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • Revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year, but Adient managed to maintain adjusted EBITDA at $235 million, highlighting its ability to mitigate customer volume headwinds through strong business performance.

Inspire Medical Systems: Is The New Inspire V System A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Inspire Medical Systems reported a promising third quarter in 2024, demonstrating significant revenue growth and improvements in profitability.
  • The company’s revenue for the third quarter was $203.2 million, up 33% compared to the same period in 2023.
  • This growth was predominantly driven by the increased adoption of Inspire therapy, reflected in the expansion into 66 new implanting centers and growth in 13 new U.S. sales territories.

Samsonite (1910) – Friday, Oct 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Samsonite is planning to re-list in the US, despite currently being listed in Hong Kong
  • Company is trading at low valuation but expected to see medium-term growth
  • Listing in Hong Kong has not benefitted Samsonite, with potential for increased interest and growth in the US market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Market Adaptation & Product Diversification As A Strategic Growth Enabler! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported its third quarter 2024 financial results, indicating a challenging period due to decreased coal pricing and unfavorable market conditions.
  • The company posted an adjusted EBITDA of $49 million and shipped 4.1 million tons of coal during the quarter.
  • These figures were negatively influenced by lower coal prices, soft market demand, and certain operational challenges such as difficult geology and weather conditions.

Is Altus Power the Next Big Bet in Renewable Energy? TPG Thinks So!

By Baptista Research

  • In a move that could significantly impact the solar power industry, TPG Rise Climate, the climate-focused investment arm of buyout firm TPG, is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire Altus Power (AMPS).
  • Altus Power, a leader in commercial-scale solar solutions, has made substantial strides in delivering clean energy to commercial property owners and residential customers across the U.S. With over 1 gigawatt of operating solar assets, the company has become a cornerstone in the renewable energy sector, leveraging its robust portfolio to generate consistent revenue and optimize asset performance.
  • This potential acquisition comes at a pivotal moment as TPG looks to expand its climate-focused investments and capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions.

Shake Shack Inc.: Can Its Expansion of Drive-Thru & Operational Efficiency Up Their Game? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Shake Shack delivered a strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2024, showcasing positive trends and potential areas for caution.
  • The company achieved its 15th consecutive quarter of positive same-Shack sales growth, with a 4.4% rise and a significant expansion in restaurant-level margins for the ninth consecutive quarter.
  • This resulted in a 28% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $45.8 million.

Steve Madden: International Market Expansion As A Primary Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Steve Madden Limited’s results for the third quarter of 2024 reveal a mixed performance, characterized by notable achievements in certain areas and challenges in others.
  • The company’s revenue increased by 13% compared to the third quarter of 2023, totaling $624.7 million.
  • This growth was attributed to several factors, including exceptional performance in the accessories and apparel categories, profound contribution from the acquisition of Almost Famous, and strong top-line gains in international markets and direct-to-consumer channels.

Ufp Technologies Inc (UFPT) – Thursday, Oct 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Report contains disclaimer and disclosure information regarding expressed opinions
  • Opinions are not investment advice and should not be taken as such
  • Author and/or employer may benefit from changes in valuation of discussed companies, securities, or commodities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Visteon Corporation: Capitalizing On Emerging Trends in Cockpit Technology To Change The Game! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Visteon Corporation’s third quarter of 2024 results display a robust performance despite facing several industry challenges, particularly in China.
  • The company reported strong sales of just under $1 billion, driven by significant demand for its digital cockpit and electrification products.
  • The growth was notably vigorous in the Americas and parts of Asia excluding China, overcoming a partial offset from reduced sales in the Chinese market due to global OEMs losing market share in the region.

Vivid Seats Explores a Sale Amid Takeover Interest! What Value Can It Extract?

By Baptista Research

  • Vivid Seats, a leading online ticketing marketplace that went public via a blank-check vehicle in 2021, is reportedly exploring a sale following significant interest from private equity firms.
  • The company has engaged an adviser to evaluate potential suitors, making headlines as it positions itself for a strategic buyout.
  • This development comes amidst a “digestion year” in the live entertainment sector, with market conditions reflecting reduced stadium tour activity and increased competition.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: Sun Art Retail, Canvest Environmental Protection Group, Bloks Group, EURCNY, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Ascentage Pharma Group Corp and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38
  • Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction
  • Bloks Group IPO (0325.HK): Global Offering, The Initial Price Range Is Seen As Attractively Valued
  • Bloks Group IPO – PHIP Updates – Momentum Remains Strong, Although Some Lingering Doubts Persist
  • Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CNY – November 25, 2024
  • China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber
  • Pre-IPO Ascentage Pharma – The US Stock Listing Will Stimulate Future Growth Potential


Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38

By David Blennerhassett

  • HK$1.38/Share. That’s the takeaway as Alibaba Group (9988 HK) enters an SPA to offload its 78.7% stake in Sun Art (6808 HK) at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.
  • The buyer, Paragon Shine, an entity under Chinese PE outfit DCP Capital, is paying ~HK$12.3bn compared to BABA’s HK$28.1bn purchase of a 51% stake in October 2020.
  • Should the SPA complete, an unconditional MGO is triggered. Minorities tendering can receive up to HK$1.58/share. But the question is: why would BABA be cashing out at this price?

Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. 
  • Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. 

Bloks Group IPO (0325.HK): Global Offering, The Initial Price Range Is Seen As Attractively Valued

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Shanghai-Based Bloks Group, a leader of assembly character toys in China, has announced the initial price range for its IPO in Hong Kong.
  • The offering is expected to be between HK$55.65 and HK$60.35, implying a market cap of ~HK$14B or ~$1.8B at the midpoint of the price range. 
  • Assuming IPO offer price of HK$58.00, UBS AM Singapore, Greenwoods AM and Fullgoal Investors have agreed to invest ~HK$388M or ~$50M in the offering.

Bloks Group IPO – PHIP Updates – Momentum Remains Strong, Although Some Lingering Doubts Persist

By Clarence Chu

  • Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$188m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss the latest PHIP updates.

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CNY – November 25, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under review, i.e. October 22nd, 2024, to November 25th, 2024, the EUR/CNY pair experienced a slight but steady downward trajectory amid fluctuations.
  • Initially, the pair followed an upward movement, reaching its peak at the price of 7.7654.
  • However, after November 6th, 2024, the currency faced a general depreciation which persisted until the end of the period, signaling a bearish momentum. 

China Slaps ADD On Japanese & S Korean Nitrile Rubber

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • ADD on NBR imports from Japan, South Korea extended to five years
  • Chinese companies beef up domestic carbon black production
  • ZC Rubber unveils US$259 million and Longxing US$405 million projects

Pre-IPO Ascentage Pharma – The US Stock Listing Will Stimulate Future Growth Potential

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Ascentage has filed with the SEC to raise up to US$100 million in a US IPO. We think its future market value is expected to surpass that of Hutchmed.
  • The outlook of olverembatinib is clear. Takeda can give more possibilities to olverembatinib. 2025 Sales of olverembatinib is expected to reach RMB500 million.Market value contribution from olverembatinib is US$1-1.5 billion. 
  • Investors have higher expectations on APG-2575 to be out-licensed to MNCs. We think the peak sales of APG-2575 is expected to surpass that of olverembatinib in overseas markets. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: MSTC Limited, GNA Axles Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas: MSTC- An E-Commerce PSU
  • Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Tractor Companies (December 2024)


The Beat Ideas: MSTC- An E-Commerce PSU

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • MSTC Limited (MSTCLTD IN) is transitioning to an e-commerce-centric model, reducing dependence on trading sales and focusing on high-margin e-commerce services.
  • MSTC sold its subsidiary Ferro Scrap Nigam Limited for an amount of Rs. 300 Crores which will be utilised in the near future.
  • MSTC has a strong cash position (Rs. 1,300 Cr) that can be used for special dividends, growth-oriented investments, or share buyback programs.

Monthly Sales Overview of Indian Listed Tractor Companies (December 2024)

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • Favorable reservoir level, an uptick in Kharif Harvest, and strong sowing for the Rabi season are expected to drive good demand for tractors in the medium term.
  • We summarize the sales volume published by listed players Mahindra & Mahindra(M&M), and Escorts Kubota Limited.
  • Positive management commentary augurs well for uptick in tractor OEM stocks and related auto ancillary companies like GNA Axles Ltd (GNA IN) in medium term.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Most Read: ITC Ltd, ZTO Express Cayman , Sun Art Retail, Endeavour Group /Australia, Samsung C&T, Canvest Environmental Protection Group, Bloks Group, Amorepacific Corp (Preferred), Contact Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Canvest (1381 HK): Evaluating A Privatisation
  • ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March
  • Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38
  • Australia: Six Stocks in Passive Selling Crosshairs for February
  • Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 1Q 2025
  • Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction
  • Bloks Group IPO (0325.HK): Global Offering, The Initial Price Range Is Seen As Attractively Valued
  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025
  • NZ: Contact Energy (CEN NZ) Hotter Than Mercury (MCY NZ) As Catalyst Looms


Canvest (1381 HK): Evaluating A Privatisation

By David Blennerhassett

  • Since waste-to-energy play Canvest Environmental Protection (1381 HK) announced a possible privatisation from Grandblue Environment (600323 CH) at $4.90/share (a 20.7% premium to undisturbed), shares are up just 6.4%. 
  • There’s a lot to pack in here, not the least being this is an indicative Pre-Conditional Offer.
  • But the fact the announcement mentions rolling over a specific number of shares of the controlling shareholders (7.23%), suggests negotiations are well advanced. So we explore.

ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

By Brian Freitas

  • ITC Ltd (ITC IN) will demerge its Hotels business with the ex-date set as 6 January and shareholders receiving 1 share of ITC Hotels for 10 shares of ITC Ltd.
  • ITC Ltd (ITC IN) shareholders will own 100% of ITC Hotels – 60% will be owned directly and 40% will be owned through their shareholding in ITC Ltd (ITC IN).
  • There will be a lot of selling in ITC Hotels within a few days of listing from different passive index trackers and that could provide buying opportunities for those interested.

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

By Brian Freitas


Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38

By David Blennerhassett

  • HK$1.38/Share. That’s the takeaway as Alibaba Group (9988 HK) enters an SPA to offload its 78.7% stake in Sun Art (6808 HK) at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.
  • The buyer, Paragon Shine, an entity under Chinese PE outfit DCP Capital, is paying ~HK$12.3bn compared to BABA’s HK$28.1bn purchase of a 51% stake in October 2020.
  • Should the SPA complete, an unconditional MGO is triggered. Minorities tendering can receive up to HK$1.58/share. But the question is: why would BABA be cashing out at this price?

Australia: Six Stocks in Passive Selling Crosshairs for February

By Brian Freitas

  • Up to six Aussie stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February. The final list of deletions depends on stock performance over the next 2-3 weeks.
  • If deleted, passive trackers will need to sell between A$370m-A$500m in the stocks. Impact is high at between 7-24 days of ADV.
  • The potential deletions have underperformed the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) over every time period from 1 week to 3 months. Positioning is still low in a few stocks.

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 1Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 1Q 2025.
  • The recent martial law cancellation and numerous impeachments of acting Presidents have raised political uncertainty in Korea resulting in widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea.
  • Of the 38 pair trades, 25 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 13 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.

Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. 
  • Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. 

Bloks Group IPO (0325.HK): Global Offering, The Initial Price Range Is Seen As Attractively Valued

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Shanghai-Based Bloks Group, a leader of assembly character toys in China, has announced the initial price range for its IPO in Hong Kong.
  • The offering is expected to be between HK$55.65 and HK$60.35, implying a market cap of ~HK$14B or ~$1.8B at the midpoint of the price range. 
  • Assuming IPO offer price of HK$58.00, UBS AM Singapore, Greenwoods AM and Fullgoal Investors have agreed to invest ~HK$388M or ~$50M in the offering.

Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 1Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 1Q 2025.
  • Among the 27 major pair trades (prefs vs. common shares), 20 of the pref stocks outperformed their common shares counterparts in 2024.
  • The 27 Korean preferred stocks’ average prices declined by 1% from end of 2023 to end of 2024 (excluding dividends), outperforming their common counterparts which were down on average 3.7%.

NZ: Contact Energy (CEN NZ) Hotter Than Mercury (MCY NZ) As Catalyst Looms

By Brian Freitas


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Analytics and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Utilities: Contact Energy, Altus Power and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • NZ: Contact Energy (CEN NZ) Hotter Than Mercury (MCY NZ) As Catalyst Looms
  • Is Altus Power the Next Big Bet in Renewable Energy? TPG Thinks So!


NZ: Contact Energy (CEN NZ) Hotter Than Mercury (MCY NZ) As Catalyst Looms

By Brian Freitas


Is Altus Power the Next Big Bet in Renewable Energy? TPG Thinks So!

By Baptista Research

  • In a move that could significantly impact the solar power industry, TPG Rise Climate, the climate-focused investment arm of buyout firm TPG, is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire Altus Power (AMPS).
  • Altus Power, a leader in commercial-scale solar solutions, has made substantial strides in delivering clean energy to commercial property owners and residential customers across the U.S. With over 1 gigawatt of operating solar assets, the company has become a cornerstone in the renewable energy sector, leveraging its robust portfolio to generate consistent revenue and optimize asset performance.
  • This potential acquisition comes at a pivotal moment as TPG looks to expand its climate-focused investments and capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Canvest Environmental Protection Group, MSTC Limited, Melrose Industries , Siteone Landscape Supply, UFP Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction
  • The Beat Ideas: MSTC- An E-Commerce PSU
  • Melrose Industries – Fundamentals remain positive
  • SiteOne Landscape Supply: Organic Expansion & Market Share Gains Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • UFP Industries: Acquisition Strategy & M&A Pipeline Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers


Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. 
  • Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. 

The Beat Ideas: MSTC- An E-Commerce PSU

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • MSTC Limited (MSTCLTD IN) is transitioning to an e-commerce-centric model, reducing dependence on trading sales and focusing on high-margin e-commerce services.
  • MSTC sold its subsidiary Ferro Scrap Nigam Limited for an amount of Rs. 300 Crores which will be utilised in the near future.
  • MSTC has a strong cash position (Rs. 1,300 Cr) that can be used for special dividends, growth-oriented investments, or share buyback programs.

Melrose Industries – Fundamentals remain positive

By Edison Investment Research

The aerospace sector outlook remains positive, with lengthy order books at the primes (Airbus and Boeing) and total passenger flying hours in 2024 on schedule to exceed post-pandemic levels, supporting a strong aftermarket. The former will assist margin recovery for Melrose Industries’ original equipment (OE) operations, while increased flying hours are already generating strong growth and margin in the aftermarket business. Hence, our adjustment to estimates for external factors, such as FX movements, should not detract investors from focusing on the underlying positive dynamics of the business.


SiteOne Landscape Supply: Organic Expansion & Market Share Gains Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, highlighting several notable developments and challenges faced by the company.
  • The results depict a mixed performance influenced by a combination of market challenges, strategic acquisitions, and internal operational improvements.
  • On the positive side, SiteOne achieved a 6% increase in net sales totaling $1.21 billion for the quarter.

UFP Industries: Acquisition Strategy & M&A Pipeline Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • UFP Industries Inc. recently announced its third-quarter 2024 results, reflecting a challenging economic environment that has impacted multiple facets of the company’s operations.
  • While the results did not meet expectations by current standards, the company is taking strategic measures to navigate through the current economic landscape and position itself for future success.
  • Firstly, UFP Industries reported a 10% drop in sales to $1.65 billion, with a decline in selling prices contributing 7% to this decrease and unit sales declining by 3%.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars