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Daily Brief ECM: LG CNS IPO Details Out: My Read on This IPO and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • LG CNS IPO Details Out: My Read on This IPO
  • LG CNS IPO Preview
  • MNC Solution IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO – The Positives – One-Stop Shop
  • Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO – Expanding Channel Network and Increased Production Capacity to Drive Sales
  • Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO – The Negatives – No Online Presence, PE Overhang


LG CNS IPO Details Out: My Read on This IPO

By Sanghyun Park

  • The KRW 5T-6T valuation and 13x-16x PER look solid compared to local peers like SDS and Hyundai AutoEver, with CNS possibly getting a premium due to its smaller captive stake.
  • Instos probably won’t push hard for lock-ups but will aggressively target pricing to secure larger allotments, knowing the company is likely to stick with a market-friendly price.
  • On a separate note, I wouldn’t expect much of a NAV discount reduction for LG Corp, as LG CNS’s stake isn’t significant enough to move the needle.

LG CNS IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • The long awaited IPO of LG CNS is finally getting ready to be completed in February 2025. The IPO price range is 53,700 won to 61,900 won.
  • Expected market cap is between 5.2 trillion won to 6.0 trillion won. At the high end of the IPO price range, the total IPO offering would involve 1.2 trillion won.
  • The bankers used three companies including Samsung Sds, Hyundai Autoever, and NTT Data Corp as comps. This is expected to be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2025

MNC Solution IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • MNC Solution reported its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 65,000 won, which is 18.8% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. 
  • A total of 198 institutional investors participated in the IPO demand forecast. The competition rate was low at 8.2 to 1. 
  • Our base case valuation of MNC Solution is target price of 92,842 won per share, which is 43% higher than the IPO price of 65,000 won.

Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO – The Positives – One-Stop Shop

By Sumeet Singh

  • Vishal Mega Mart is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India.
  • Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO – Expanding Channel Network and Increased Production Capacity to Drive Sales

By Akshat Shah

  • Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) is looking to raise about US$155m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Aditya Infotech is a CCTV/video surveillance provider offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO – The Negatives – No Online Presence, PE Overhang

By Sumeet Singh

  • Vishal Mega Mart is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India.
  • Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-good aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | New York Drift and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | New York Drift
  • How Important Are China Gallium, Germanium, and Antimony Bans to the US?
  • Japan Morning Connection: Markets Clearly Starting to Show EoY Wind Down
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/BABA US/JD US/PDD US/700 HK
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK
  • Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances


Ohayo Japan | New York Drift

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks drifted lower on Thursday as investors await Friday’s critical jobs report
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) surpassed Wall Street expectations in its fourth quarter, driven by strong demand for AI-powered servers and Nvidia processors
  • NTT DATA aims to boost data center sales to $3.5 billion by March 2028, a 60% increase from its previous target

How Important Are China Gallium, Germanium, and Antimony Bans to the US?

By Jim Handy

  • China has boycotted sales of Gallium, Germanium, and Antimony, three important elements, to the US
  • All three are used in the production of semiconductors, but in very small quantities.  They are also widely available from sources outside of China.
  • The net impact of this boycott to the US semiconductor market should be negligible.

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Clearly Starting to Show EoY Wind Down

By Andrew Jackson

  • Tech sell off led my semi-cap names after D/G to sell for AMAT
  • Ulta beat paints a brighter picture for US consumer spending than expected
  • Is the relentless buy momo/sell everything else in Japan ready for a reversal?

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/BABA US/JD US/PDD US/700 HK

By Ying Pan

  • TCOM US: United Airlines to Add Three China-U.S. Flights Next Year. Weekly Cap of 100 Flights Remains Main Constraint for China-U.S. Route Recovery(+)
  • BABA US : 1688 launches SHEIN- like private-label brand. (+)
  • BABA US/JD US/PDD US: Alibaba announced as e-commerce sponsor for 2025 CCTV Spring Gala (+/-/-)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

By Eric Wen

  • LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)
  • MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)
  • 981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

By Stan Zhao

  • Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; 
  • Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);
  • We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. 

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, Rakuten Group
  • In the US, the ISM services index fell to 52.1 (55.7 e / 56.0 p). This was the slowest pace in three months, albeit the gauge remained in expansion territory for the ninth month this year. Meanwhile, the November (final) S&P services PMI rose to 56.0 (55.0 p), albeit below the preliminary estimate of 57.0.
  • The composite PMI climbed to 54.9 (54.1 p). Separately, the ADP employment survey showed that private sector job growth slowed to 146 k (150 k e / 184 k revised p).

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: 2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • 2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)
  • Shiseido (4911) | Makeup for Lost Time: Shiseido’s Turnaround Strategy
  • Why Northvolt failed to become Europe’s battery champion
  • Riding the Derivatives Wave: Can BSE Seize the Opportunity Presented by SEBI’s Circular?
  • Janux Therapeutics: Transforming Prostate Cancer Treatment With Unprecedented Results!
  • Seatrium – Overhang Remains but Huge Option Value
  • SpaceX: Rocket Ship – [Business Breakdowns, EP.194]
  • Paris Miki Holdings (7455 JP): 1H FY03/25 report update
  • Workman Under Pressure
  • GM’s $1 Billion Stake Sale and $5.5 Billion Write-Off: China’s Auto Market Crisis Deepens!


2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

By Arun George

  • NIO (NIO US) is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. 
  • NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  
  • NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. 

Shiseido (4911) | Makeup for Lost Time: Shiseido’s Turnaround Strategy

By Mark Chadwick

  • Shiseido’s stock price has dropped 70% from its post-pandemic peak, presenting a buying opportunity amid ongoing industry challenges.
  • The company’s two-year action plan aims to restore profitability through aggressive cost-cutting and restructuring measures.
  • Successful execution could drive significant upside, while failure may attract acquisition interest due to Shiseido’s strong Asia-Pacific brand presence.

Why Northvolt failed to become Europe’s battery champion

By Behind the Money

  • Northvolt was once seen as Europe’s battery champion but faced challenges with management, safety standards, reliance on foreign machinery, and misuse of capital
  • Northvolt filed for bankruptcy after facing issues with production output, leading to job cuts and a strategic review to restructure the company. Investors like Goldman Sachs wrote down their investments in Northvolt to zero, raising questions about the future of battery making in Europe.
  • Investors like Goldman Sachs wrote down the value of their Northvolt investments to zero.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Riding the Derivatives Wave: Can BSE Seize the Opportunity Presented by SEBI’s Circular?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Implementation of SEBI’s new F&O circular to remove weekly option contracts, is expected to significantly impact BSE’s market share in derivatives. 
  • The new F&O circular is anticipated to considerably affect BSE’s topline and bottom line. Management believes the initiatives will ultimately enhance market efficiency and benefit investors. 
  • With removal of weekly contracts, it is expected that volumes will increase in existing contracts, which will benefit more to BSE vs NSE. 

Janux Therapeutics: Transforming Prostate Cancer Treatment With Unprecedented Results!

By Baptista Research

  • Janux Therapeutics has taken the biopharmaceutical industry by storm with its recent announcement of groundbreaking results from its Phase 1 clinical trial of JANX007, a tumor-activated T-cell engager targeting advanced prostate cancer.
  • The data reveals a stunning 100% PSA50 response rate among heavily pretreated patients, with 63% achieving PSA90 and 31% achieving PSA99—a significant milestone in prostate cancer treatment.
  • The company has prioritized the development of second- and third-line therapies for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), aiming to address a substantial unmet need in oncology.

Seatrium – Overhang Remains but Huge Option Value

By Rikki Malik

  • The core business continues to perform well  with a growing  order backlog
  • Due to the company’s historical issues it has hugely underperformed its smaller peers
  • The disconnect from the oil price provides  asymmetric upside once the overhang clears

SpaceX: Rocket Ship – [Business Breakdowns, EP.194]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Business Breakdowns series delves into SpaceX with investor Luke Ward from Bailey Gifford
  • Focus on SpaceX’s business model, cost curve of launches, and potential future of the space economy
  • SpaceX is a business and technology innovator, with a focus on economic sustainability and funding additional technology innovation to expand market capabilities, such as with Starlink.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Paris Miki Holdings (7455 JP): 1H FY03/25 report update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased 3.6% YoY to JPY26.1bn, while operating profit decreased 25.3% YoY to JPY1.2bn.
  • Japan segment sales rose 4.2% YoY to JPY23.2bn, driven by inbound demand and higher unit prices.
  • SG&A expenses grew 4.1% YoY to JPY16.5bn, with a 0.4pp increase in the SG&A ratio to 63.3%.

Workman Under Pressure

By Michael Causton

  • Workman was a purveyor of durable gear for workers in jobs like construction but then had the brilliant idea to transpose that expertise to create activewear like Decathlon.
  • This was working well but then it decided to take on the likes of Fast Retailing and Shimamura by moving into casual clothing.
  • Since then, same-store sales growth has been negative in many months and profits have fallen. The outlook is increasingly poor.

GM’s $1 Billion Stake Sale and $5.5 Billion Write-Off: China’s Auto Market Crisis Deepens!

By Baptista Research

  • General Motors (GM) is navigating turbulent waters as it steers towards an electric vehicle (EV)-focused future.
  • Recent developments, such as the sale of its stake in a Michigan battery cell plant for $1 billion to LG Energy Solution, underline GM’s efforts to streamline its operations and adapt to evolving market conditions.
  • Meanwhile, the company announced a significant write-off of $2.8 billion for its Chinese joint venture with SAIC Motor and an additional $2.7 billion restructuring charge to address declining profitability in one of its largest markets.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): The MBO Is Starting to Shape Up and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): The MBO Is Starting to Shape Up
  • Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal – Final Predictions
  • HKBN (1310 HK): Just How Likely Is An I Squared Offer?
  • Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?
  • GAPack (468 HK): No Further Progress On Co-Founder’s Offer. That’s Good For XJF
  • UK100 and UK250 Index Rebals: Some Interesting Trades
  • S&P500 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Flipping the COIN
  • Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional
  • Kronos Bio Strategic Review: Workforce Reduction, Leadership Changes, and Potential Sale Amid Genentech Partnership Uncertainty


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): The MBO Is Starting to Shape Up

By Arun George

  • On 4 December, Bloomberg reported that the Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) MBO is set to include plans for a US Assets IPO to raise more than JPY1 trillion. 
  • The MBO faces two immediate challenges: securing financing and the Board’s approval. The US Assets IPO would help alleviate both these issues.
  • The potential market cap of US Assets is around US$24 billion, or 53% of 7&i’s market cap. The US Assets IPO should also encourage Couche-Tard to persist with its offer. 

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal – Final Predictions

By Travis Lundy

  • The S&P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
  • The rankings used for the December 2024 index rebal event will be based on yesterday’s (4th December 2024) opening prices. Announcement date will be 
  • Inside we take a final look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the rankings for the upcoming review. 

HKBN (1310 HK): Just How Likely Is An I Squared Offer?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Two hours before China Mobile’s pre-conditional voluntary Offer announcement on the 2 December, HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)  flagged a possible separate Offer from I Squared Asia-backed HGC Global Communication (HGC). 
  • No price was mentioned, although HKBN and I Squared “are in discussions on the terms of the proposal (including the price).” The media is reporting a HK$5-HK$6/share price range.
  • Apart from anti-competition concerns via a HKBN/HGC tie-in; would HGC even get approval from the powers that be to proceed with a merger?

Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

By Brian Freitas

  • Following the introduction of 45 stocks in the F&O segment from 29 November, there will be big capping changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in December.
  • We estimate one-way turnover of 21.9% leading to a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m). There are 25 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
  • There could be changes to the index methodology announced in the next few months and that could result in the deletion of a couple of constituents in March.

GAPack (468 HK): No Further Progress On Co-Founder’s Offer. That’s Good For XJF

By David Blennerhassett


UK100 and UK250 Index Rebals: Some Interesting Trades

By Travis Lundy

  • Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA had predicted a series of changes in UK100 (a.k.a. F100) and UK250 (aka F250) and all predicted changes came to pass. F250 saw one extra change.
  • There will be one more ad hoc announcement today. We think the replacement for Tritax Eurobox (EBOX LN) will be Mobico Group (MCG LN)
  • There were two ADDs in F250 which are VERY much worth looking at. Janaghan had addressed these in prior weeks as well. Those two names really stand out.

S&P500 December 2024 Forecast (Final): Flipping the COIN

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Coinbase Global (COIN US) can be the unexpected addition by transition because of a high liquidity score and a close distance below the estimated transition threshold.
  • Lennox International (LII US) is the main candidate for addition by migration due to having the highest average mcap score and passing eligibility metrics.
  • Illumina Inc (ILMN US) has a muted conviction for addition because of ineligible earnings and a recent deletion from the index.

Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional

By David Blennerhassett

  • Declaring its Offer unconditional was always a possibility as Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU) board continues to reject terms. The alternative was a likely deal fail.
  • Charter Halls currently has 31.37%, including 6.66% via the acceptance facility.  That facility has now closed following this unconditional statement. 
  • It will be challenging for Charter Hall to clear 50% without board support. But IF they get 50%+, expect the board to change their mind and recommend shareholders accept terms.

Kronos Bio Strategic Review: Workforce Reduction, Leadership Changes, and Potential Sale Amid Genentech Partnership Uncertainty

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Kronos Bio’s NAV is estimated at $1.39/share, 48% above current price, with strategic review ongoing for sale/reverse merger.
  • Significant insider ownership includes 14.7% by ex-CEO Norbert Bischofberger and 5.8% by chairman Arie Belldegrun.
  • Kronos Bio’s partnership with Genentech offers potential milestone payments, but no compounds identified for further development.

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Daily Brief Macro: Europe Flash Watch – The German 2025 bazooka! and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Europe Flash Watch – The German 2025 bazooka!
  • EUDR Is Delayed By One More Year Amid Retraction On Amendment
  • Geopolitical Flash Update – Bye Bye Barnier
  • Oil Prices Recover from Last Week’s Fall as Markets Bet on OPEC Postponing Output Hikes
  • [ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts
  • CX Daily: Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs
  • Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 6 Nov 2024


Europe Flash Watch – The German 2025 bazooka!

By Andreas Steno

  • In Germany, “debt hawks” are slowly but surely waking up to the reality of their manufacturing industry being brought to its knees.
  • In Angela Merkel’s recent book, she pleads for a softer stance on the debt brake, and the political landscape in Germany seems to be softening on the “Schwarze Null” in general, with also the Buba member Nagel now advocating for a softer stance.
  • The future government would need a two-thirds majority in the Bundestag and Bundesrat to change the debt brake.

EUDR Is Delayed By One More Year Amid Retraction On Amendment

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • European bodies agree to dump ‘no risk’ category of countries
  • Dec 30 is deadline for endorsing delay by publishing in official journal 
  • ETRMA, GPSNR ask European Parliament to solve remaining issues

Geopolitical Flash Update – Bye Bye Barnier

By Anne Sandager

  • France sovereign debt reached a record €3.228 trillion, amounting to 112% of GDP in June, well above the 60% cap set by EU regulations.
  • France growing debt have slowly been chipping away at investors’ confidence in French bonds.
  • After Macron called a snap election in June resulting in a hung parliament, risk premiums on French 10-year bonds have shot up.

Oil Prices Recover from Last Week’s Fall as Markets Bet on OPEC Postponing Output Hikes

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC+ will meet today (05/Dec), following a postponement from 01/Dec, to decide whether to delay planned output increases further.
  • The postponement caused market jitters, with WTI and Brent futures falling 1.1% and 0.6%, respectively, on 29/Nov. The uncertainty eased as the delay was attributed to scheduling conflicts.
  • For the week starting 02/Dec, WTI and Brent crude oil futures rebounded, rising 0.9% and 0.8%, respectively, driven by expectations of OPEC+ delaying planned output hikes due to price declines.

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.
  • US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.

CX Daily: Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs

By Caixin Global

  • Chips /: Chinese chip firms play down impact of new U.S. export curbs
  • Batteries /In Depth: For Chinese battery-makers, Europe is losing its spark
  • Stocks /:Rise in foreign investors’ holdings of Chinese stocks was likely modest, fragile, analysts say

Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 6 Nov 2024

By Dr. Jim Walker

  • US Focus Shift: Trump’s reelection likely prioritizes domestic issues over international tensions, with potential prolonged high US interest rates impacting global economies.
  • Asia’s Resilience: China stabilizes growth, India continues its upward cycle, and regional PMI figures reflect steady economic activity despite global uncertainties.
  • Global Divide: Asia holds steady, while US manufacturing contracts and Europe faces deepening recession, highlighting stark contrasts in economic performance.

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Daily Brief Australia: Hotel Property Investments and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional


Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional

By David Blennerhassett

  • Declaring its Offer unconditional was always a possibility as Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU) board continues to reject terms. The alternative was a likely deal fail.
  • Charter Halls currently has 31.37%, including 6.66% via the acceptance facility.  That facility has now closed following this unconditional statement. 
  • It will be challenging for Charter Hall to clear 50% without board support. But IF they get 50%+, expect the board to change their mind and recommend shareholders accept terms.

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Daily Brief South Korea: LG CNS, MNC Solution and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • LG CNS IPO Details Out: My Read on This IPO
  • LG CNS IPO Preview
  • MNC Solution IPO Book Building Results Analysis


LG CNS IPO Details Out: My Read on This IPO

By Sanghyun Park

  • The KRW 5T-6T valuation and 13x-16x PER look solid compared to local peers like SDS and Hyundai AutoEver, with CNS possibly getting a premium due to its smaller captive stake.
  • Instos probably won’t push hard for lock-ups but will aggressively target pricing to secure larger allotments, knowing the company is likely to stick with a market-friendly price.
  • On a separate note, I wouldn’t expect much of a NAV discount reduction for LG Corp, as LG CNS’s stake isn’t significant enough to move the needle.

LG CNS IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • The long awaited IPO of LG CNS is finally getting ready to be completed in February 2025. The IPO price range is 53,700 won to 61,900 won.
  • Expected market cap is between 5.2 trillion won to 6.0 trillion won. At the high end of the IPO price range, the total IPO offering would involve 1.2 trillion won.
  • The bankers used three companies including Samsung Sds, Hyundai Autoever, and NTT Data Corp as comps. This is expected to be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2025

MNC Solution IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • MNC Solution reported its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 65,000 won, which is 18.8% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. 
  • A total of 198 institutional investors participated in the IPO demand forecast. The competition rate was low at 8.2 to 1. 
  • Our base case valuation of MNC Solution is target price of 92,842 won per share, which is 43% higher than the IPO price of 65,000 won.

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Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Seatrium , Bumitama Agri and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • EUDR Is Delayed By One More Year Amid Retraction On Amendment
  • Seatrium – Overhang Remains but Huge Option Value
  • Company Spotlight: Bumitama Agri


EUDR Is Delayed By One More Year Amid Retraction On Amendment

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • European bodies agree to dump ‘no risk’ category of countries
  • Dec 30 is deadline for endorsing delay by publishing in official journal 
  • ETRMA, GPSNR ask European Parliament to solve remaining issues

Seatrium – Overhang Remains but Huge Option Value

By Rikki Malik

  • The core business continues to perform well  with a growing  order backlog
  • Due to the company’s historical issues it has hugely underperformed its smaller peers
  • The disconnect from the oil price provides  asymmetric upside once the overhang clears

Company Spotlight: Bumitama Agri

By Geoff Howie

Company Spotlight: Bumitama Agri

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Daily Brief China: HKBN Ltd, Greatview Aseptic Packaging, NIO and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HKBN (1310 HK): Just How Likely Is An I Squared Offer?
  • GAPack (468 HK): No Further Progress On Co-Founder’s Offer. That’s Good For XJF
  • 2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)


HKBN (1310 HK): Just How Likely Is An I Squared Offer?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Two hours before China Mobile’s pre-conditional voluntary Offer announcement on the 2 December, HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)  flagged a possible separate Offer from I Squared Asia-backed HGC Global Communication (HGC). 
  • No price was mentioned, although HKBN and I Squared “are in discussions on the terms of the proposal (including the price).” The media is reporting a HK$5-HK$6/share price range.
  • Apart from anti-competition concerns via a HKBN/HGC tie-in; would HGC even get approval from the powers that be to proceed with a merger?

GAPack (468 HK): No Further Progress On Co-Founder’s Offer. That’s Good For XJF

By David Blennerhassett


2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

By Arun George

  • NIO (NIO US) is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. 
  • NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  
  • NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. 

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