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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders
  • 7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging
  • 7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores
  • Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga
  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark
  • Rio Tinto/Arcadium: More Brine To Compliment Rocks
  • T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group
  • Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity


Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders

By David Blennerhassett

  • A month after China’s leading state-backed brokerages, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK), announced an intention to merge, we have a firm deal
  • Via a share swap, each Haitong H share may be exchanged for 0.62 H shares of GJS. A similar ratio is in place for the As. Cash options are afforded
  • Conditions include GJS and Haitong shareholder approval; plus the usual suspects on the regulatory front. The key risk, as with TCM (570 HK)s Offer, is one of timing.

7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging

By Travis Lundy

  • H1 sales were GOOD. H1 earnings were BAD. New forecasts are UGLY. The CVS initiatives are RESPECTABLE, but US CVS market environment UNFORTUNATE. The creation of the new Holdco ENCOURAGING.
  • The Couche-Tard Bid? That’s SEPARATE. Confidential. But three weeks after receiving the new proposal, it hasn’t been publicly rejected. So that’s a thing. 
  • 7&i is progressing with its Standalone Plan, as it should, because ACT’s bid is more a show of faith for discussions. The York Holdings structure is INTERESTING.

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Seven & I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.
  • The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.
  • Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the “original founding families”, suggesting one way of holding on to control.

Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga

By Sanghyun Park

  • It’s unclear if this will turn into a tender offer battle like Korea Zinc, and we need to assess both sides’ financial strength carefully.
  • Today’s reports suggest Sono has more financial flexibility than T’way Holdings, but we should be cautious. T’way Air might also consider buying back shares with borrowed funds.
  • T’way Air has fewer institutional investors and more available float than Korea Zinc, suggesting significant price swings and an attractive trading setup, as seen in today’s volume spike.

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is scheduled to be listed at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 25 October 2024 at a valuation of ~$1.9bn.
  • The company’s modest market capitalization fails fast-entry but easily surpasses the quarterly small cap thresholds of both main global indices.
  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)  is expected to be added at the May and June 2025 quarterly reviews with the potential greenshoe exercise increasing the passive fund demand upon inclusion.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
  • Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&O list inclusion takes place and the index provider’s discretionary choices.

Rio Tinto/Arcadium: More Brine To Compliment Rocks

By David Blennerhassett

  • Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) has reached an agreement to buy Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)/(ALTM US) for US$5.85/share (~A$8.70/share), a ~90% premium to the October 4th closing price of $US3.08/share.
  • Terms remain below where Arcadium was trading back in January of this year. But it is perhaps disingenuous to call the Offer Price opportunistic. More a counter-cyclical move.
  • The Scheme Offer is subject to a 75% shareholder vote and minimal regulatory approvals. The transaction is expected to close in mid-2025. The long stop is the 9th October 2025.

T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past several days, there have been an increased speculation in the local media about a potential M&A fight for T’Way Air between Yearimdang Publishing and Daemyung Sono Group. 
  • The difference in ownership of T’Way Air by Daemyung Sono Group and Yearimdang Group is only 3.2%, which could lead to an intensified management rights dispute. 
  • According to local sources, Daemyung Sono Group has recently contacted several law firms to review plans to potentially conduct a tender offer on T’Way Air. 

Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Shiyue Daotian (1892269D CH) was listed in Hong Kong on 12th Oct 2023 after raising US$105m close to the top end of its indicative IPO price range. 
  • Shiyue Daotian is a pantry staple food company in China, providing consumers with pre-packaged premium rice, whole grain, bean, and dried food products.  
  • The firm’s one-year lockup will expire on 12th Oct 2024.  In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings


Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: TSMC up Strong but Plateauing, UMC Lackluster, Confirming 2 Big Trends
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Kina Bank: Rapidly Growing Bank from Papua New Guinea
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Productivity and Profitability Are the Essential Competitiveness.
  • MoneyHero Group: A Solid Performance In Q2 2024 & Why It’s Just the Beginning!
  • TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD
  • Fletcher Building: Plugging the Leaks
  • Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand
  • Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers
  • Cavco Industries Inc.: Will The Diversification Into Financial Services Pay Off? – Major Drivers


TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: TSMC up Strong but Plateauing, UMC Lackluster, Confirming 2 Big Trends

By Nicolas Baratte

  • AI demand will remain strong but is plateauing in terms of YoY growth. The rest of end-demand remains weak (Consumer, PC, Auto, Industrials). TSMC and UMC monthly sales confirm this. 
  • TSMC high growth plateau ~40% YoY: AI (Nvidia Broadcom, AMD), Intel, new smartphone chips. Comps will get harder early 2025. Valuations are high but not extreme: limited upside and downside.
  • UMC lackluster at ~6% YoY growth, reflecting lackluster end-markets from smartphone, Consumer Elec, PC, Auto & Industrials. Average valuations; in need of an elusive catalyst.

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Kina Bank: Rapidly Growing Bank from Papua New Guinea

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Kina Bank’s executive management to Smartkarma. In the upcoming webinar, they will share a short company presentation after which, they will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Daniel Tabbush. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 17:00 SGT.

About Kina Bank

Kina Securities Limited (Kina Bank) was established in 1985 and is now Papua New Guinea’s second largest bank and financial services company.  It offers customers end-to-end financial solutions – from savings accounts to business loans, investments to mortgages, financial advice and investment management. It is also the largest wealth management business in PNG, with more than PGK8 billion funds under management. As the country’s largest fund administrator, it administers accounts on behalf of more than 850,000 beneficiaries whose funds total almost PGK14 billion. Kina Bank is also the leading stockbroking company in PNG. 


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Productivity and Profitability Are the Essential Competitiveness.

By Patrick Liao


MoneyHero Group: A Solid Performance In Q2 2024 & Why It’s Just the Beginning!

By Baptista Research

  • This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a company that has firmly positioned itself as a rising star in Southeast Asia’s fintech landscape.
  • The company boasts of remarkable results in Q2 2024.
  • With revenue surging by 24% year-over-year (YoY) to $20.7 million, driven largely by a massive 68% revenue growth in its Singapore market, MoneyHero is rapidly emerging as a dominant force in the personal finance and digital insurance aggregation space.

TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and challenging market conditions.
  • The company reported a notable increase in net sales which approximate $1.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $231 million, marking a year-over-year improvement of 6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share also saw growth, rising 9% to $0.63, alongside an improved leverage ratio.

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

By Neil Campling

  • Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   
  • Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts
  • Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist

Fletcher Building: Plugging the Leaks

By Mark Jolley

  • Embattled Kiwi building materials giant announced emergency fundraise in September
  • Accounting quality has deteriorated significantly in recent years, AI tool shows
  • Share price is a quarter of its 2007 peak, company leadership is in flux

Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nanya Tech’s 3Q24 results missed expecations by a wide margin, coming in with a net loss instead of the consensus expectation for a profit.
  • Nanya highlighed weakness in non-AI end applications for memory and cut its 2024E Capex guidance by nearly 25%, signaling caution towards the current market cycle.
  • While the company’s new DDR5 capacity ramp-up should support stronger margins into 2025E, Nanya has yet to show a signifcant margin upturn in the cycle. 

Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Mattel’s second quarter of 2024 presented a mixed set of results, reflecting both the challenges and strategic progress within the toy industry.
  • In terms of financial performance, net sales slightly declined by 1% but were stable on a constant currency basis.
  • This relatively flat sales trajectory indicates a degree of resilience amidst broader economic fluctuations, with the company managing to maintain its sales levels year-over-year.

Cavco Industries Inc.: Will The Diversification Into Financial Services Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cavco Industries, Inc.’s first quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call commenced with the routine formalities.
  • Bill Boor, President and CEO, detailed the company’s continued improvement in the factory-built housing sector, underscored by a significant 25% sequential increase in orders and a corresponding 20% hike in shipments.
  • These metrics are encouraging indicators of robust market demand and operational execution.

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Daily Brief Macro: Positioning Watch: Hedge Funds Caught in the China Storm and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Positioning Watch: Hedge Funds Caught in the China Storm, While Retail Investors Keep Piling In
  • CX Daily: How Much Fiscal Stimulus Is Needed to Jumpstart China’s Economy?
  • U.S. Fiscal Policy Post-Election
  • US CPI Extends Hawkish Narrative
  • Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place
  • [ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton
  • FOMC Minutes from September 18
  • China’s New Economy Industries Jump on Gains Across Key Inputs, Caixin Index Shows


Positioning Watch: Hedge Funds Caught in the China Storm, While Retail Investors Keep Piling In

By Andreas Steno

  • Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch.
  • What a week it has been in global macro once again, with Chinese equities collapsing earlier this week after the Chinese stimulus frenzy fizzled out.
  • However, we are now starting to hear that Chinese authorities are taking matters seriously, planning a new round of stimulus on the 12th of October.

CX Daily: How Much Fiscal Stimulus Is Needed to Jumpstart China’s Economy?

By Caixin Global

  • Teachers / In Depth: Chinese teachers’ mental health crisis A recent study, which surveyed more than 550,000 teachers from preschools, primary, secondary and higher education institutions, found that between 2000 and 2022, 16.1% of Chinese teachers experienced mental health issues.
  • If preschool teachers, who had a far lower rate, are excluded, the figure was 17.8%.
  • “While mental health has gained widespread attention globally in recent years, the mental well-being of teachers has not received the focus it deserves,” said the lead researcher of the study Yu Guoliang, a professor at Renmin University of China and director of its Institute of Psychology.

U.S. Fiscal Policy Post-Election

By Alex Ng

  • We remain concerned that fiscal stress will be evident in H1 2025, as rating agencies worry over the deficit/debt and interest rate that is unlikely to improve under either president.  
  • This leaves an event risk of a ratings downgrade from one of the major agencies, given that the fiscal picture warrants a lower rating for the U.S. government.  
  • However, current good yield levels on U.S. Treasuries, plus lack of alternative major reserve assets argues against a fiscal crisis occurring. 

US CPI Extends Hawkish Narrative

By Phil Rush

  • An upside CPI inflation surprise has joined upside news on the US labour market. It resisted dis-inflated expectations despite sharp falls in energy prices.
  • Core strength was more pronounced and not reliant on shelter price inflation, which it exceeded by the most since Feb-22. Nor does strength reflect residual seasonality.
  • Repeating 2022-23’s pattern would mean a softer Q4, helping the Fed to cut again in November and December before more robust numbers in Q1 start urging restraint.

Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber Board new and replanting subsidy program starts rolling  
  • RRII, IOCL sign MoU to boost research in process oils  
  • Rubber Board stalls Kerala Govt move to shut Central Nursery 

[ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 04/Oct, US crude inventories rose by 5.8m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2m barrel build. However, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
  • US natural gas inventories rose by 82 Bcf for the week ending 04/Oct, higher than analyst expectations of a 73 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • Chevron and Shell experienced target price upgrades, while Schlumberger and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, BNP Paribas downgraded Exxon to Underperform from Neutral.

FOMC Minutes from September 18

By Alex Ng

  • FOMC minutes from September 18 generated little response from the markets.
  • A substantial majority favored the 50bps easing that was delivered though some would have preferred a 25bps move and a few others indicated they could support such a decision.
  • There was only one dissenting voter, Governor Michelle Bowman. Others backing 25bps appear to have been non-voting regional Fed presidents.

China’s New Economy Industries Jump on Gains Across Key Inputs, Caixin Index Shows

By Caixin Global

  • The contribution of high value-added industries, such as biomedicine, to China’s total economic inputs increased in September after reaching a five-month low the previous month, driven by greater capital and technology inputs, a Caixin index showed Wednesday.
  • The Caixin BBD New Economy Index (NEI) ticked up 1.1 points from August to 30.9 last month, indicating that new economy industries accounted for 30.9% of China’s overall economic input activities.
  • The NEI uses big data to track the size of China’s nascent industries.

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Daily Brief Australia: Arcadium Lithium , Kina Securities Ltd, Kinatico and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Rio Tinto/Arcadium: More Brine To Compliment Rocks
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Kina Bank: Rapidly Growing Bank from Papua New Guinea
  • Kinatico Ltd – Q1 SaaS revenue tops $3m, 38% of total revenue


Rio Tinto/Arcadium: More Brine To Compliment Rocks

By David Blennerhassett

  • Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) has reached an agreement to buy Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)/(ALTM US) for US$5.85/share (~A$8.70/share), a ~90% premium to the October 4th closing price of $US3.08/share.
  • Terms remain below where Arcadium was trading back in January of this year. But it is perhaps disingenuous to call the Offer Price opportunistic. More a counter-cyclical move.
  • The Scheme Offer is subject to a 75% shareholder vote and minimal regulatory approvals. The transaction is expected to close in mid-2025. The long stop is the 9th October 2025.

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Kina Bank: Rapidly Growing Bank from Papua New Guinea

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Kina Bank’s executive management to Smartkarma. In the upcoming webinar, they will share a short company presentation after which, they will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Daniel Tabbush. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 17:00 SGT.

About Kina Bank

Kina Securities Limited (Kina Bank) was established in 1985 and is now Papua New Guinea’s second largest bank and financial services company.  It offers customers end-to-end financial solutions – from savings accounts to business loans, investments to mortgages, financial advice and investment management. It is also the largest wealth management business in PNG, with more than PGK8 billion funds under management. As the country’s largest fund administrator, it administers accounts on behalf of more than 850,000 beneficiaries whose funds total almost PGK14 billion. Kina Bank is also the leading stockbroking company in PNG. 


Kinatico Ltd – Q1 SaaS revenue tops $3m, 38% of total revenue

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q1 revenue announcement in which it reported that total revenue had grown 10% on the pcp to a record $8m and SaaS revenue jumped 50% on the pcp to $3m.
  • We see the Q1 result as a positive start for FY25.
  • On an annualised basis, SaaS revenue is running at $12.1m, with current momentum indicating that it could end the year higher.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Motor India , T’Way Air, Sung Woo and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Hyundai Motor India IPO – RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky
  • Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga
  • T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group
  • Sung Woo IPO Valuation Analysis


Hyundai Motor India IPO – RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hyundai Motor (005387 KS) is looking to raise around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.
  • HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about its RHP updates and valuations.

Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga

By Sanghyun Park

  • It’s unclear if this will turn into a tender offer battle like Korea Zinc, and we need to assess both sides’ financial strength carefully.
  • Today’s reports suggest Sono has more financial flexibility than T’way Holdings, but we should be cautious. T’way Air might also consider buying back shares with borrowed funds.
  • T’way Air has fewer institutional investors and more available float than Korea Zinc, suggesting significant price swings and an attractive trading setup, as seen in today’s volume spike.

T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past several days, there have been an increased speculation in the local media about a potential M&A fight for T’Way Air between Yearimdang Publishing and Daemyung Sono Group. 
  • The difference in ownership of T’Way Air by Daemyung Sono Group and Yearimdang Group is only 3.2%, which could lead to an intensified management rights dispute. 
  • According to local sources, Daemyung Sono Group has recently contacted several law firms to review plans to potentially conduct a tender offer on T’Way Air. 

Sung Woo IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Sung Woo is target price of 27,981 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 25,000 won to 29,000 won per share.
  • Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO. 
  • Our base case valuation of 27,981 won per share is based on a P/E of 16.9x based on net profit of 24.9 billion won in FY23.

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Daily Brief Singapore: MoneyHero , SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Ohmyhome , Scilex Holding , Singtel and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • MoneyHero Group: A Solid Performance In Q2 2024 & Why It’s Just the Beginning!
  • Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place
  • MoneyHero – Investing for the long term
  • OMH: Organic Growth, Benefits of New Property Management Unit Boost Results
  • SCLX: Financing Deal Puts Company in Good Shape
  • Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity


MoneyHero Group: A Solid Performance In Q2 2024 & Why It’s Just the Beginning!

By Baptista Research

  • This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a company that has firmly positioned itself as a rising star in Southeast Asia’s fintech landscape.
  • The company boasts of remarkable results in Q2 2024.
  • With revenue surging by 24% year-over-year (YoY) to $20.7 million, driven largely by a massive 68% revenue growth in its Singapore market, MoneyHero is rapidly emerging as a dominant force in the personal finance and digital insurance aggregation space.

Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber Board new and replanting subsidy program starts rolling  
  • RRII, IOCL sign MoU to boost research in process oils  
  • Rubber Board stalls Kerala Govt move to shut Central Nursery 

MoneyHero – Investing for the long term

By Edison Investment Research

MoneyHero’s Q224 results reflect management’s strategy of growing market share in its core geographies, as it invests in advertising, customer rewards and its platforms. Approved application conversion, a key driver of revenue, continues to improve as MoneyHero upgrades the customer experience and broadens its product range. Given the elevated investment, we have lowered our adjusted EBITDA expectations for FY24 through to FY26, which lowers our DCF valuation ($2.86/share versus $5.17/share previously). Management expects to achieve monthly positive adjusted EBITDA during Q424. We expect profitability to subsequently improve as the group benefits from operational leverage and continues to grow market share.


OMH: Organic Growth, Benefits of New Property Management Unit Boost Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On higher revenue & cost constraint initiatives, the company’s 1H 2024 EBITDA loss margin narrowed compared to 1H 2023 and OMH expects 2H24 cost containment measures, anticipated revenue growth – supported by a higher total value of contracts signed in 3Q24 – to drive further margin improvement.
  • As a result, OMH anticipates further reduction in EBITDA loss in 2H 2024 as it maintains measures to optimize its cost structure and operational efficiency.

SCLX: Financing Deal Puts Company in Good Shape

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SCLX is filling a much-needed area of the health care sector, that of developing non-opioid pain relief products.
  • The company already has commercialized products that are proven to improve patients’ lives.
  • The company announced a financing deal that helps to pay off debt and adds cash at good terms.

Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity

By Geoff Howie

  • Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year.
  • The 10 stocks with the most net institutional inflow included the STI banks and Singtel, averaging 5.2% total returns, while the remaining six stocks averaged 14.9% total returns.
  • On 9 Oct, Singapore’s Structured Warrants market saw its highest trading turnover since Jan 2019, driven by significant moves in the Hang Seng Index-tracking markets, while the 20 most traded Singapore stocks with significant Greater China revenue have averaged 22% total returns since Sep 20, paralleling the FTSE China A50 & CSI 300.

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Daily Brief United States: Tempur Sealy International, Mattel Inc, Vishay Intertechnology, Acasti Pharma, Group 1 Automotive, Planet Fitness Inc Cl A, Cavco Industries, Boise Cascade Co, Fastly Inc, Crude Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers
  • Vishay Intertechnology Inc.: Will Ametherm’s Strategic Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Acasti Pharma Inc (ACST) – Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024
  • Group 1 Automotive Inc.: Dealing With The Risk of Overreliance on Acquisitions for Growth & Other Challenges! – Major Drivers
  • Planet Fitness Inc.: Acceleration of Franchise Development & New Corporate-Owned Clubs May Drive Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Cavco Industries Inc.: Will The Diversification Into Financial Services Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Boise Cascade Company: Will The Expansion of Engineered Wood Products Capacity & Investment in Distribution Facilities Be Enough? – Major Drivers
  • Fastly Inc.: Enhanced Focus on Customer Acquisition & Go-To-Market Strategies To Catalyze Growth!
  • [ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton


TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and challenging market conditions.
  • The company reported a notable increase in net sales which approximate $1.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $231 million, marking a year-over-year improvement of 6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share also saw growth, rising 9% to $0.63, alongside an improved leverage ratio.

Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Mattel’s second quarter of 2024 presented a mixed set of results, reflecting both the challenges and strategic progress within the toy industry.
  • In terms of financial performance, net sales slightly declined by 1% but were stable on a constant currency basis.
  • This relatively flat sales trajectory indicates a degree of resilience amidst broader economic fluctuations, with the company managing to maintain its sales levels year-over-year.

Vishay Intertechnology Inc.: Will Ametherm’s Strategic Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Vishay Intertechnology’s second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a mixed financial picture, characterized by modest revenue results and continuous investment in strategic initiatives aimed at long-term growth.
  • The company reported a quarterly revenue of $741.2 million, which remained essentially flat compared to the previous quarter, with some positive contribution from acquisitions and specific regional demands, offset by decreases in major market segments such as automotive and industrial.
  • The automotive sector experienced a significant downturn, with revenue dropping 6.7% quarter-over-quarter and 13.6% year-over-year, largely due to reduced orders from Tier 1 suppliers and OEMs in Europe and North America.

Acasti Pharma Inc (ACST) – Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Acasti Pharma is making progress in developing IV nimodipine for acute subarachnoid hemorrhages
  • Lead asset GTX-104 is the primary focus of their development efforts
  • Successful PIPE offering and enrollment in Phase 3 trial put Acasti Pharma on track for potential FDA approval

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Group 1 Automotive Inc.: Dealing With The Risk of Overreliance on Acquisitions for Growth & Other Challenges! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Group 1 Automotive’s second quarter of 2024 financial results generally mirrored the broader challenges and opportunities facing the automotive industry, marked by resilience amid disruptions and strategic expansions that promise future growth.
  • The company navigated significant obstacles, including extreme weather events and a significant system outage from its dealership management service provider, CDK, which impacted its operations from June 19 to June 26.
  • Despite these challenges, Group 1 Automotive managed to minimize the financial impact significantly, estimating a pretax income impact of the CDK incident at approximately $17 million or $0.97 in diluted earnings per share, along with one-time pretax compensation payments to employees amounting to $5.9 million or approximately $0.34 per dilute share.

Planet Fitness Inc.: Acceleration of Franchise Development & New Corporate-Owned Clubs May Drive Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Planet Fitness has released its financial results for the second quarter, demonstrating solid growth figures, a testament to its strategic expansion and robust franchise model.
  • The company marked this quarter with a few significant milestones and strategic shifts under the new CEO, Colleen Keating, who brings extensive experience in franchise businesses and real estate.
  • One of the notable achievements this quarter was the growth in same-store sales by 4.2% and an increase in revenue by 5.1%.

Cavco Industries Inc.: Will The Diversification Into Financial Services Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cavco Industries, Inc.’s first quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call commenced with the routine formalities.
  • Bill Boor, President and CEO, detailed the company’s continued improvement in the factory-built housing sector, underscored by a significant 25% sequential increase in orders and a corresponding 20% hike in shipments.
  • These metrics are encouraging indicators of robust market demand and operational execution.

Boise Cascade Company: Will The Expansion of Engineered Wood Products Capacity & Investment in Distribution Facilities Be Enough? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Boise Cascade’s second quarter 2024 earnings reflected a complex but strategically navigated economic landscape, manifesting both strengths and areas of concerns.
  • The company reported a year-on-year decrease in net income from $146.3 million in Q2 2023 to $112.3 million in Q2 2024, alongside a slight decline in consolidated sales reaching $1.8 billion, down by 1% from the previous year.
  • Despite a softer market environment characterized by elevated mortgage rates and broader economic uncertainties, the firm has pushed forward with essential growth projects and sustained its shareholder capital return strategy.

Fastly Inc.: Enhanced Focus on Customer Acquisition & Go-To-Market Strategies To Catalyze Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Fastly’s Q2 2024 earnings highlighted a mix of positive developments and significant challenges facing the company.
  • For the quarter, Fastly reported revenue of $132.4 million, which surpassed the midpoint of their guidance.
  • This achievement was overshadowed by a concerning trend with some of Fastly’s largest customers, particularly in the media sector, where decreased traffic projections and an emphasis on cost reductions have led to lower revenue expectations for these key accounts.

[ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 04/Oct, US crude inventories rose by 5.8m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2m barrel build. However, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
  • US natural gas inventories rose by 82 Bcf for the week ending 04/Oct, higher than analyst expectations of a 73 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • Chevron and Shell experienced target price upgrades, while Schlumberger and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, BNP Paribas downgraded Exxon to Underperform from Neutral.

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Daily Brief India: Zomato, Greenko Energy Holdings, Swiggy, Aditya Infotech Ltd, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark
  • Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings
  • Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Negtives – Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver
  • Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
  • Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&O list inclusion takes place and the index provider’s discretionary choices.

Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Negtives – Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
  • Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) is looking to raise about US$155m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI and IIFL.
  • It is a CCTV/video surveillance provider company offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
  • According to the F&S report, it was the largest Indian-owned company offering video security and surveillance products, solutions and services, in terms of revenues in FY24.

Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber Board new and replanting subsidy program starts rolling  
  • RRII, IOCL sign MoU to boost research in process oils  
  • Rubber Board stalls Kerala Govt move to shut Central Nursery 

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Daily Brief China: Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H), Akeso Biopharma Inc, Shiyue Daotian Group, Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Guofu, Polestar Automotive Holding UK and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders
  • Akeso Placement – Opportunistic Raise, past Deal Record Has Been Mixed but Relative Size Is Small
  • Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity
  • Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO – Capturing the Gold Rush
  • Jiangsu Guofu Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Polestar Automotive Holding: Expansion Of Electric Vehicle Product Lineup


Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders

By David Blennerhassett

  • A month after China’s leading state-backed brokerages, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK), announced an intention to merge, we have a firm deal
  • Via a share swap, each Haitong H share may be exchanged for 0.62 H shares of GJS. A similar ratio is in place for the As. Cash options are afforded
  • Conditions include GJS and Haitong shareholder approval; plus the usual suspects on the regulatory front. The key risk, as with TCM (570 HK)s Offer, is one of timing.

Akeso Placement – Opportunistic Raise, past Deal Record Has Been Mixed but Relative Size Is Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m from its primary placement. Proceeds from the placement will be used for R&D.
  • Past deals in the name haven’t done well recently but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Shiyue Daotian (1892269D CH) was listed in Hong Kong on 12th Oct 2023 after raising US$105m close to the top end of its indicative IPO price range. 
  • Shiyue Daotian is a pantry staple food company in China, providing consumers with pre-packaged premium rice, whole grain, bean, and dried food products.  
  • The firm’s one-year lockup will expire on 12th Oct 2024.  In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO – Capturing the Gold Rush

By Nicholas Tan

  • Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)  is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
  • It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Jiangsu Guofu Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Jiangsu Guofu (1628452D CH) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong International, CLSA, CCB International and China Securities.
  • Jiangsu Guofu is a leading hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment manufacturer in China.
  • It develops and manufactures hydrogen energy core equipment used in the entire industrial value chain of hydrogen energy, consisting of production, storage, transportation, refueling and use.

Polestar Automotive Holding: Expansion Of Electric Vehicle Product Lineup

By Baptista Research

  • Polestar has released its Q2 2024 financial results, revealing both strengths and areas that require attention.
  • A thorough assessment of these results offers a comprehensive perspective on the firm’s current financial health and business trajectory.
  • Starting with the positives, Polestar demonstrated an impressive 80% increase in global vehicle sales, reaching 13,150 cars.

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