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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: Seven & I Holdings, Rigaku Holdings, Square Enix Holdings, Creek & River and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • 7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging
  • 7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores
  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices
  • Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD
  • Creek & River (4763 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update


7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging

By Travis Lundy

  • H1 sales were GOOD. H1 earnings were BAD. New forecasts are UGLY. The CVS initiatives are RESPECTABLE, but US CVS market environment UNFORTUNATE. The creation of the new Holdco ENCOURAGING.
  • The Couche-Tard Bid? That’s SEPARATE. Confidential. But three weeks after receiving the new proposal, it hasn’t been publicly rejected. So that’s a thing. 
  • 7&i is progressing with its Standalone Plan, as it should, because ACT’s bid is more a show of faith for discussions. The York Holdings structure is INTERESTING.

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Seven & I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.
  • The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.
  • Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the “original founding families”, suggesting one way of holding on to control.

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is scheduled to be listed at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 25 October 2024 at a valuation of ~$1.9bn.
  • The company’s modest market capitalization fails fast-entry but easily surpasses the quarterly small cap thresholds of both main global indices.
  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)  is expected to be added at the May and June 2025 quarterly reviews with the potential greenshoe exercise increasing the passive fund demand upon inclusion.

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

By Neil Campling

  • Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   
  • Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts
  • Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist

Creek & River (4763 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY580mn (+2.3% YoY), driven by growth in Creative (Japan) and Other sectors, despite project reductions.
  • Operating profit decreased by JPY407mn (-15.6% YoY), impacted by development costs and reduced profits in most segments except Creative (South Korea).
  • Medical Principle’s sales and operating profit decreased YoY due to reduced COVID-19 projects and structural reforms.

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Most Read: Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H), Seven & I Holdings, Korea Zinc, Midea Group, Shin Kong Financial Holding, Arcadium Lithium , Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings
  • Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal
  • Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders
  • 7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging
  • MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week
  • Shin Kong and Taishin – There’s a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here
  • 7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores
  • Rio Tinto Goes All-In for Arcadium Lithium
  • SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly


Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings

By Travis Lundy

  • This AM, partway through the morning session, Bloomberg carried an article saying Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had upped its bid for Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) to US$18.19/share.
  • The stock popped, then faded sharply. Near and after the close we got more headlines. Some of these preview tomorrow’s earnings report. Some preview the restructuring announcements.
  • The Nikkei comment regarding an earnings shortfall vs Plan suggests weaker US convenience store sales and consumer footfall are to blame. Details will matter. But I’d buy dips.

Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) all-scrip merger is set at an exchange ratio of 0.62x. 
  • The merger is conditional on the GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote, which is low risk. Regulatory approvals are a formality as they involve two entities with SOE backgrounds. 
  • The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios and precedent transactions. The recent material re-rating of peers is irrelevant to the vote as the offer is all-scrip. 

Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders

By David Blennerhassett

  • A month after China’s leading state-backed brokerages, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK), announced an intention to merge, we have a firm deal
  • Via a share swap, each Haitong H share may be exchanged for 0.62 H shares of GJS. A similar ratio is in place for the As. Cash options are afforded
  • Conditions include GJS and Haitong shareholder approval; plus the usual suspects on the regulatory front. The key risk, as with TCM (570 HK)s Offer, is one of timing.

7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging

By Travis Lundy

  • H1 sales were GOOD. H1 earnings were BAD. New forecasts are UGLY. The CVS initiatives are RESPECTABLE, but US CVS market environment UNFORTUNATE. The creation of the new Holdco ENCOURAGING.
  • The Couche-Tard Bid? That’s SEPARATE. Confidential. But three weeks after receiving the new proposal, it hasn’t been publicly rejected. So that’s a thing. 
  • 7&i is progressing with its Standalone Plan, as it should, because ACT’s bid is more a show of faith for discussions. The York Holdings structure is INTERESTING.

MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK’s strategy is clear: they believe they have the upper hand with the current price level and are optimistic about a favorable ruling on the second injunction.
  • All eyes are on Choi to raise the price by this Friday, the 11th, before the deadline, especially with the FSS’s scrutiny looming.
  • If that happens, MBK will likely go all-in on the second injunction whose hearing is on the 18th. Choi raising the price this Friday won’t significantly boost Korea Zinc’s stock.

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week

By Brian Freitas

  • There were only 13 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter of the year.
  • Of those stocks, we only see Midea Group (300 HK) having a chance of being added to the HSCI in December.
  • Midea Group (300 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect next week after the price stabilisation period has ended.

Shin Kong and Taishin – There’s a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here

By Travis Lundy

  • Media reports indicate that the shareholder base of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) have approved their merger. 
  • Shin Kong meeting results were public just before the market closed. The results from Taishin were known earlier. The market and spread were un-moved. If anything, things widened a little.
  • Next, the two companies try to get fair Trade Commission, FSC, and Exchange approval to join to become Taishin Shin Kong FHC. And there’s a good trade to do here.

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Seven & I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.
  • The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.
  • Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the “original founding families”, suggesting one way of holding on to control.

Rio Tinto Goes All-In for Arcadium Lithium

By Brian Freitas


SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Utilities: Greenko Energy Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings


Morning Views Asia: Greenko Energy Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Industrials: T’Way Air, Jiangsu Guofu, Aditya Infotech Ltd, Checkmate, Waste Connections , AZEK /, Creek & River, GMS Inc, Griffon Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga
  • T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group
  • Jiangsu Guofu Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Wavemaker infuses US$1.6M into NZ’s pre-employment screening startup Checkmate | e27
  • Waste Connections Inc (WCN.) – Thursday, Jul 11, 2024
  • The AZEK Company Inc.: What Is The Expected Impact Of Cost Reduction and Marginal Improvement Initiatives? – Major Drivers
  • Creek & River (4763 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • GMS Inc.: How Are They Dealing With The Challenges of Managing Increased Operational Complexity? – Major Drivers
  • Griffon Corporation: Their Approach To Product & Market Expansion Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers


Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga

By Sanghyun Park

  • It’s unclear if this will turn into a tender offer battle like Korea Zinc, and we need to assess both sides’ financial strength carefully.
  • Today’s reports suggest Sono has more financial flexibility than T’way Holdings, but we should be cautious. T’way Air might also consider buying back shares with borrowed funds.
  • T’way Air has fewer institutional investors and more available float than Korea Zinc, suggesting significant price swings and an attractive trading setup, as seen in today’s volume spike.

T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past several days, there have been an increased speculation in the local media about a potential M&A fight for T’Way Air between Yearimdang Publishing and Daemyung Sono Group. 
  • The difference in ownership of T’Way Air by Daemyung Sono Group and Yearimdang Group is only 3.2%, which could lead to an intensified management rights dispute. 
  • According to local sources, Daemyung Sono Group has recently contacted several law firms to review plans to potentially conduct a tender offer on T’Way Air. 

Jiangsu Guofu Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Jiangsu Guofu (1628452D CH) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong International, CLSA, CCB International and China Securities.
  • Jiangsu Guofu is a leading hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment manufacturer in China.
  • It develops and manufactures hydrogen energy core equipment used in the entire industrial value chain of hydrogen energy, consisting of production, storage, transportation, refueling and use.

Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) is looking to raise about US$155m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI and IIFL.
  • It is a CCTV/video surveillance provider company offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
  • According to the F&S report, it was the largest Indian-owned company offering video security and surveillance products, solutions and services, in terms of revenues in FY24.

Wavemaker infuses US$1.6M into NZ’s pre-employment screening startup Checkmate | e27

By e27

  • Checkmate, a provider of pre-employment screening solutions in New Zealand, has completed its US$1.6 million seed funding round from Wavemaker Partners.
  • The capital will fuel Checkmate’s expansion into existing and new markets, including Australia, the US, and Southeast Asia, specifically the Philippines.
  • The funds will also support improvements in the company’s technological capabilities and user experience as more organisations seek reliable and efficient pre-employment screening.

Waste Connections Inc (WCN.) – Thursday, Jul 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Waste Connections (WCN) is the third largest solid waste company in North America with strong EBITDA margins and free cash flow conversion
  • WCN strategically targets less competitive secondary or rural markets to achieve dominant market shares
  • WCN operates in monopolistic or oligopolistic market structures in 90% of its markets, making it a solid all-weather investment option despite its premium valuation

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


The AZEK Company Inc.: What Is The Expected Impact Of Cost Reduction and Marginal Improvement Initiatives? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • AZEK Company’s fiscal third quarter of 2024 earnings results demonstrated robust performance, propelled by strategic growth initiatives and market-focused optimization.
  • A 12% net sales increase year-over-year was reported, with the residential segment, excluding the divested Vycom business, seeing an 18% growth.
  • This segment benefited significantly from strong demand across Deck, Rail, and Accessories.

Creek & River (4763 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY580mn (+2.3% YoY), driven by growth in Creative (Japan) and Other sectors, despite project reductions.
  • Operating profit decreased by JPY407mn (-15.6% YoY), impacted by development costs and reduced profits in most segments except Creative (South Korea).
  • Medical Principle’s sales and operating profit decreased YoY due to reduced COVID-19 projects and structural reforms.

GMS Inc.: How Are They Dealing With The Challenges of Managing Increased Operational Complexity? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GMS Inc., a leading distributor of wallboard and suspended ceilings systems, reported mixed financial results for the first quarter of Fiscal 2025.
  • The company experienced a slight increase in net sales, reaching $1.45 billion, a 2.8% rise compared to the same period a year ago.
  • This growth was primarily driven by volume growth across all four major product categories, which was largely attributed to recent acquisitions.

Griffon Corporation: Their Approach To Product & Market Expansion Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Griffon Corporation recently reported its fiscal third quarter 2024 earnings.
  • On the positive front, Griffon Corporation reported strong operating performances in its two main segments: Home and Building Products (HBP) and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP).
  • HBP achieved an impressive EBITDA margin of 30.1%, demonstrating robust profitability despite a challenging market environment characterized by softening in the commercial sector.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Arcadium Lithium , Fletcher Building, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Crude Oil, Boise Cascade Co, Zephyr Energy, Geopark Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Rio Tinto/Arcadium: More Brine To Compliment Rocks
  • Fletcher Building: Plugging the Leaks
  • Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place
  • Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place
  • [ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton
  • Boise Cascade Company: Will The Expansion of Engineered Wood Products Capacity & Investment in Distribution Facilities Be Enough? – Major Drivers
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Paradox well to be lengthened. Potential funding by industry partner provides external validation
  • GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK): Donwtime and Blockades Continue to Impact Production


Rio Tinto/Arcadium: More Brine To Compliment Rocks

By David Blennerhassett

  • Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) has reached an agreement to buy Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)/(ALTM US) for US$5.85/share (~A$8.70/share), a ~90% premium to the October 4th closing price of $US3.08/share.
  • Terms remain below where Arcadium was trading back in January of this year. But it is perhaps disingenuous to call the Offer Price opportunistic. More a counter-cyclical move.
  • The Scheme Offer is subject to a 75% shareholder vote and minimal regulatory approvals. The transaction is expected to close in mid-2025. The long stop is the 9th October 2025.

Fletcher Building: Plugging the Leaks

By Mark Jolley

  • Embattled Kiwi building materials giant announced emergency fundraise in September
  • Accounting quality has deteriorated significantly in recent years, AI tool shows
  • Share price is a quarter of its 2007 peak, company leadership is in flux

Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber Board new and replanting subsidy program starts rolling  
  • RRII, IOCL sign MoU to boost research in process oils  
  • Rubber Board stalls Kerala Govt move to shut Central Nursery 

Better Days For Indian Farmers As Chips Fall Into Place

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber Board new and replanting subsidy program starts rolling  
  • RRII, IOCL sign MoU to boost research in process oils  
  • Rubber Board stalls Kerala Govt move to shut Central Nursery 

[ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 04/Oct, US crude inventories rose by 5.8m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2m barrel build. However, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
  • US natural gas inventories rose by 82 Bcf for the week ending 04/Oct, higher than analyst expectations of a 73 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • Chevron and Shell experienced target price upgrades, while Schlumberger and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, BNP Paribas downgraded Exxon to Underperform from Neutral.

Boise Cascade Company: Will The Expansion of Engineered Wood Products Capacity & Investment in Distribution Facilities Be Enough? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Boise Cascade’s second quarter 2024 earnings reflected a complex but strategically navigated economic landscape, manifesting both strengths and areas of concerns.
  • The company reported a year-on-year decrease in net income from $146.3 million in Q2 2023 to $112.3 million in Q2 2024, alongside a slight decline in consolidated sales reaching $1.8 billion, down by 1% from the previous year.
  • Despite a softer market environment characterized by elevated mortgage rates and broader economic uncertainties, the firm has pushed forward with essential growth projects and sustained its shareholder capital return strategy.

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Paradox well to be lengthened. Potential funding by industry partner provides external validation

By Auctus Advisors

  • • Zephyr has decided to extend the State 36-2R well in the Paradox basin by drilling a 5,500 ft lateral on the well.
  • • We are not surprised by this decision given that the acid job performed on the existing 130 ft interval was very successful with peak test production of >2,100 boe/d.
  • • Zephyr believes that the ultimate recovery of the extended well could reach 2 mmboe, which is well above what would have been recovered from the 130 ft interval.

GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK): Donwtime and Blockades Continue to Impact Production

By Auctus Advisors

  • 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6 mboe/d).
  • Production at Llanos-34 continues to decline. Production in Brazil remains shut-in. GeoPark had highlighted these downside risks in August.
  • This was partially offset by (1) high production of 1,581 boe/d from Llanos Exploration (Llanos 87 and 123), mainly driven by the Toritos 2 and the Toritos Norte wells and (2) increasing production in Ecuador (1,786 boe/d).

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, MoneyHero , Sung Woo, Square Enix Holdings, Nanya Technology, Vishay Intertechnology, Fastly Inc, Sanmina Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: TSMC up Strong but Plateauing, UMC Lackluster, Confirming 2 Big Trends
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Productivity and Profitability Are the Essential Competitiveness.
  • MoneyHero Group: A Solid Performance In Q2 2024 & Why It’s Just the Beginning!
  • Sung Woo IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD
  • Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand
  • Vishay Intertechnology Inc.: Will Ametherm’s Strategic Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Fastly Inc.: Enhanced Focus on Customer Acquisition & Go-To-Market Strategies To Catalyze Growth!
  • MoneyHero – Investing for the long term
  • Sanmina Corporation: How Is The Management Carrying Out The Diversification Of Revenue Streams? – Major Drivers


TSMC, UMC Monthly Sales: TSMC up Strong but Plateauing, UMC Lackluster, Confirming 2 Big Trends

By Nicolas Baratte

  • AI demand will remain strong but is plateauing in terms of YoY growth. The rest of end-demand remains weak (Consumer, PC, Auto, Industrials). TSMC and UMC monthly sales confirm this. 
  • TSMC high growth plateau ~40% YoY: AI (Nvidia Broadcom, AMD), Intel, new smartphone chips. Comps will get harder early 2025. Valuations are high but not extreme: limited upside and downside.
  • UMC lackluster at ~6% YoY growth, reflecting lackluster end-markets from smartphone, Consumer Elec, PC, Auto & Industrials. Average valuations; in need of an elusive catalyst.

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Productivity and Profitability Are the Essential Competitiveness.

By Patrick Liao


MoneyHero Group: A Solid Performance In Q2 2024 & Why It’s Just the Beginning!

By Baptista Research

  • This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a company that has firmly positioned itself as a rising star in Southeast Asia’s fintech landscape.
  • The company boasts of remarkable results in Q2 2024.
  • With revenue surging by 24% year-over-year (YoY) to $20.7 million, driven largely by a massive 68% revenue growth in its Singapore market, MoneyHero is rapidly emerging as a dominant force in the personal finance and digital insurance aggregation space.

Sung Woo IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Sung Woo is target price of 27,981 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 25,000 won to 29,000 won per share.
  • Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO. 
  • Our base case valuation of 27,981 won per share is based on a P/E of 16.9x based on net profit of 24.9 billion won in FY23.

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

By Neil Campling

  • Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   
  • Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts
  • Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist

Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nanya Tech’s 3Q24 results missed expecations by a wide margin, coming in with a net loss instead of the consensus expectation for a profit.
  • Nanya highlighed weakness in non-AI end applications for memory and cut its 2024E Capex guidance by nearly 25%, signaling caution towards the current market cycle.
  • While the company’s new DDR5 capacity ramp-up should support stronger margins into 2025E, Nanya has yet to show a signifcant margin upturn in the cycle. 

Vishay Intertechnology Inc.: Will Ametherm’s Strategic Acquisition Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Vishay Intertechnology’s second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a mixed financial picture, characterized by modest revenue results and continuous investment in strategic initiatives aimed at long-term growth.
  • The company reported a quarterly revenue of $741.2 million, which remained essentially flat compared to the previous quarter, with some positive contribution from acquisitions and specific regional demands, offset by decreases in major market segments such as automotive and industrial.
  • The automotive sector experienced a significant downturn, with revenue dropping 6.7% quarter-over-quarter and 13.6% year-over-year, largely due to reduced orders from Tier 1 suppliers and OEMs in Europe and North America.

Fastly Inc.: Enhanced Focus on Customer Acquisition & Go-To-Market Strategies To Catalyze Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Fastly’s Q2 2024 earnings highlighted a mix of positive developments and significant challenges facing the company.
  • For the quarter, Fastly reported revenue of $132.4 million, which surpassed the midpoint of their guidance.
  • This achievement was overshadowed by a concerning trend with some of Fastly’s largest customers, particularly in the media sector, where decreased traffic projections and an emphasis on cost reductions have led to lower revenue expectations for these key accounts.

MoneyHero – Investing for the long term

By Edison Investment Research

MoneyHero’s Q224 results reflect management’s strategy of growing market share in its core geographies, as it invests in advertising, customer rewards and its platforms. Approved application conversion, a key driver of revenue, continues to improve as MoneyHero upgrades the customer experience and broadens its product range. Given the elevated investment, we have lowered our adjusted EBITDA expectations for FY24 through to FY26, which lowers our DCF valuation ($2.86/share versus $5.17/share previously). Management expects to achieve monthly positive adjusted EBITDA during Q424. We expect profitability to subsequently improve as the group benefits from operational leverage and continues to grow market share.


Sanmina Corporation: How Is The Management Carrying Out The Diversification Of Revenue Streams? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sanmina Corporation has presented its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2024.
  • The company reported revenue of $1.84 billion, a slight increase from the previous quarter and within the projected range of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion.
  • This marginal growth is attributed to an 8.3% sequential increase in the communications networks and cloud infrastructure markets, although tempered by declines in the industrial and automotive sectors.

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Daily Brief Financials: Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H), Kina Securities Ltd, Ouch!, Ohmyhome , Peakstone Realty Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Kina Bank: Rapidly Growing Bank from Papua New Guinea
  • Ouch! nets US$1.2M to expand market share, drive insurance innovation | e27
  • OMH: Organic Growth, Benefits of New Property Management Unit Boost Results
  • Peakstone Realty Trust (PKST) – Thursday, Jul 11, 2024


Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK)’s Merger: A Win For H-Shareholders

By David Blennerhassett

  • A month after China’s leading state-backed brokerages, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK), announced an intention to merge, we have a firm deal
  • Via a share swap, each Haitong H share may be exchanged for 0.62 H shares of GJS. A similar ratio is in place for the As. Cash options are afforded
  • Conditions include GJS and Haitong shareholder approval; plus the usual suspects on the regulatory front. The key risk, as with TCM (570 HK)s Offer, is one of timing.

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Kina Bank: Rapidly Growing Bank from Papua New Guinea

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Kina Bank’s executive management to Smartkarma. In the upcoming webinar, they will share a short company presentation after which, they will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Daniel Tabbush. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 17:00 SGT.

About Kina Bank

Kina Securities Limited (Kina Bank) was established in 1985 and is now Papua New Guinea’s second largest bank and financial services company.  It offers customers end-to-end financial solutions – from savings accounts to business loans, investments to mortgages, financial advice and investment management. It is also the largest wealth management business in PNG, with more than PGK8 billion funds under management. As the country’s largest fund administrator, it administers accounts on behalf of more than 850,000 beneficiaries whose funds total almost PGK14 billion. Kina Bank is also the leading stockbroking company in PNG. 


Ouch! nets US$1.2M to expand market share, drive insurance innovation | e27

By e27

  • Ouch!, a Malaysia-based next-gen, tech-enabled insurance platform, has raised RM5 million (US$1.2 million) in strategic funding from PPB Ventures.
  • The startup will invest the money to expand its market share, enhance technology infrastructure, and drive product innovation.
  • Separately, Ouch! has received an additional one-year extension to operate under Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) Regulatory Sandbox. It is now working to secure a DITO licence from BNM, which would enable it to close critical protection gaps for Malaysians, especially young families.

OMH: Organic Growth, Benefits of New Property Management Unit Boost Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On higher revenue & cost constraint initiatives, the company’s 1H 2024 EBITDA loss margin narrowed compared to 1H 2023 and OMH expects 2H24 cost containment measures, anticipated revenue growth – supported by a higher total value of contracts signed in 3Q24 – to drive further margin improvement.
  • As a result, OMH anticipates further reduction in EBITDA loss in 2H 2024 as it maintains measures to optimize its cost structure and operational efficiency.

Peakstone Realty Trust (PKST) – Thursday, Jul 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Peakstone Realty Trust (PKST) is a undervalued net lease REIT with high dividend yield of 8.5% and low payout ratio of 39%
  • PKST has ample free cash flow, minimal debt maturities, and stable tenant roster, reducing pressure on management
  • PKST’s portfolio consists of high-quality properties, with 43% serving as headquarters locations, presenting a potentially lucrative investment opportunity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Industrials: T’Way Air, Jiangsu Guofu, Aditya Infotech Ltd, Checkmate, Waste Connections , AZEK /, Creek & River, GMS Inc, Griffon Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga
  • T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group
  • Jiangsu Guofu Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Wavemaker infuses US$1.6M into NZ’s pre-employment screening startup Checkmate | e27
  • Waste Connections Inc (WCN.) – Thursday, Jul 11, 2024
  • The AZEK Company Inc.: What Is The Expected Impact Of Cost Reduction and Marginal Improvement Initiatives? – Major Drivers
  • Creek & River (4763 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • GMS Inc.: How Are They Dealing With The Challenges of Managing Increased Operational Complexity? – Major Drivers
  • Griffon Corporation: Their Approach To Product & Market Expansion Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers


Digging into Today’s Potential T’way Air Tender Offer Saga

By Sanghyun Park

  • It’s unclear if this will turn into a tender offer battle like Korea Zinc, and we need to assess both sides’ financial strength carefully.
  • Today’s reports suggest Sono has more financial flexibility than T’way Holdings, but we should be cautious. T’way Air might also consider buying back shares with borrowed funds.
  • T’way Air has fewer institutional investors and more available float than Korea Zinc, suggesting significant price swings and an attractive trading setup, as seen in today’s volume spike.

T’Way Air: Increasing Possibility of an M&A Fight Between Yearimdang and Daemyung Sono Group

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past several days, there have been an increased speculation in the local media about a potential M&A fight for T’Way Air between Yearimdang Publishing and Daemyung Sono Group. 
  • The difference in ownership of T’Way Air by Daemyung Sono Group and Yearimdang Group is only 3.2%, which could lead to an intensified management rights dispute. 
  • According to local sources, Daemyung Sono Group has recently contacted several law firms to review plans to potentially conduct a tender offer on T’Way Air. 

Jiangsu Guofu Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Jiangsu Guofu (1628452D CH) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong International, CLSA, CCB International and China Securities.
  • Jiangsu Guofu is a leading hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment manufacturer in China.
  • It develops and manufactures hydrogen energy core equipment used in the entire industrial value chain of hydrogen energy, consisting of production, storage, transportation, refueling and use.

Aditya Infotech Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Aditya Infotech Ltd (6596564Z IN) is looking to raise about US$155m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI and IIFL.
  • It is a CCTV/video surveillance provider company offering a range of advanced video security and surveillance products, technologies and solutions for enterprise and consumer segments under its CP PLUS brand.
  • According to the F&S report, it was the largest Indian-owned company offering video security and surveillance products, solutions and services, in terms of revenues in FY24.

Wavemaker infuses US$1.6M into NZ’s pre-employment screening startup Checkmate | e27

By e27

  • Checkmate, a provider of pre-employment screening solutions in New Zealand, has completed its US$1.6 million seed funding round from Wavemaker Partners.
  • The capital will fuel Checkmate’s expansion into existing and new markets, including Australia, the US, and Southeast Asia, specifically the Philippines.
  • The funds will also support improvements in the company’s technological capabilities and user experience as more organisations seek reliable and efficient pre-employment screening.

Waste Connections Inc (WCN.) – Thursday, Jul 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Waste Connections (WCN) is the third largest solid waste company in North America with strong EBITDA margins and free cash flow conversion
  • WCN strategically targets less competitive secondary or rural markets to achieve dominant market shares
  • WCN operates in monopolistic or oligopolistic market structures in 90% of its markets, making it a solid all-weather investment option despite its premium valuation

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


The AZEK Company Inc.: What Is The Expected Impact Of Cost Reduction and Marginal Improvement Initiatives? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • AZEK Company’s fiscal third quarter of 2024 earnings results demonstrated robust performance, propelled by strategic growth initiatives and market-focused optimization.
  • A 12% net sales increase year-over-year was reported, with the residential segment, excluding the divested Vycom business, seeing an 18% growth.
  • This segment benefited significantly from strong demand across Deck, Rail, and Accessories.

Creek & River (4763 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY580mn (+2.3% YoY), driven by growth in Creative (Japan) and Other sectors, despite project reductions.
  • Operating profit decreased by JPY407mn (-15.6% YoY), impacted by development costs and reduced profits in most segments except Creative (South Korea).
  • Medical Principle’s sales and operating profit decreased YoY due to reduced COVID-19 projects and structural reforms.

GMS Inc.: How Are They Dealing With The Challenges of Managing Increased Operational Complexity? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GMS Inc., a leading distributor of wallboard and suspended ceilings systems, reported mixed financial results for the first quarter of Fiscal 2025.
  • The company experienced a slight increase in net sales, reaching $1.45 billion, a 2.8% rise compared to the same period a year ago.
  • This growth was primarily driven by volume growth across all four major product categories, which was largely attributed to recent acquisitions.

Griffon Corporation: Their Approach To Product & Market Expansion Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Griffon Corporation recently reported its fiscal third quarter 2024 earnings.
  • On the positive front, Griffon Corporation reported strong operating performances in its two main segments: Home and Building Products (HBP) and Consumer and Professional Products (CPP).
  • HBP achieved an impressive EBITDA margin of 30.1%, demonstrating robust profitability despite a challenging market environment characterized by softening in the commercial sector.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Seven & I Holdings, Hyundai Motor India , Zomato, Shiyue Daotian Group, Swiggy, Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd., Tempur Sealy International, Mattel Inc, Planet Fitness Inc Cl A and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • 7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging
  • 7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO – RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark
  • Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity
  • Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Negtives – Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver
  • Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO – Capturing the Gold Rush
  • TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers
  • Planet Fitness Inc.: Acceleration of Franchise Development & New Corporate-Owned Clubs May Drive Growth! – Major Drivers


7&I Results and Plans – The Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Respectable, Unfortunate, and Encouraging

By Travis Lundy

  • H1 sales were GOOD. H1 earnings were BAD. New forecasts are UGLY. The CVS initiatives are RESPECTABLE, but US CVS market environment UNFORTUNATE. The creation of the new Holdco ENCOURAGING.
  • The Couche-Tard Bid? That’s SEPARATE. Confidential. But three weeks after receiving the new proposal, it hasn’t been publicly rejected. So that’s a thing. 
  • 7&i is progressing with its Standalone Plan, as it should, because ACT’s bid is more a show of faith for discussions. The York Holdings structure is INTERESTING.

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Seven & I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.
  • The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.
  • Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the “original founding families”, suggesting one way of holding on to control.

Hyundai Motor India IPO – RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hyundai Motor (005387 KS) is looking to raise around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.
  • HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.
  • In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about its RHP updates and valuations.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
  • Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&O list inclusion takes place and the index provider’s discretionary choices.

Shiyue Daotian US$480m Lockup Expiry – Would Need Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Shiyue Daotian (1892269D CH) was listed in Hong Kong on 12th Oct 2023 after raising US$105m close to the top end of its indicative IPO price range. 
  • Shiyue Daotian is a pantry staple food company in China, providing consumers with pre-packaged premium rice, whole grain, bean, and dried food products.  
  • The firm’s one-year lockup will expire on 12th Oct 2024.  In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Negtives – Neither Food nor Quick Commerce Was the Largest Revenue Driver

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
  • Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO – Capturing the Gold Rush

By Nicholas Tan

  • Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)  is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
  • It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and challenging market conditions.
  • The company reported a notable increase in net sales which approximate $1.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $231 million, marking a year-over-year improvement of 6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share also saw growth, rising 9% to $0.63, alongside an improved leverage ratio.

Mattel Inc.: Will Its Strategic Expansion Into Entertainment & Digital Content Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Mattel’s second quarter of 2024 presented a mixed set of results, reflecting both the challenges and strategic progress within the toy industry.
  • In terms of financial performance, net sales slightly declined by 1% but were stable on a constant currency basis.
  • This relatively flat sales trajectory indicates a degree of resilience amidst broader economic fluctuations, with the company managing to maintain its sales levels year-over-year.

Planet Fitness Inc.: Acceleration of Franchise Development & New Corporate-Owned Clubs May Drive Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Planet Fitness has released its financial results for the second quarter, demonstrating solid growth figures, a testament to its strategic expansion and robust franchise model.
  • The company marked this quarter with a few significant milestones and strategic shifts under the new CEO, Colleen Keating, who brings extensive experience in franchise businesses and real estate.
  • One of the notable achievements this quarter was the growth in same-store sales by 4.2% and an increase in revenue by 5.1%.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Rigaku Holdings, Akeso Biopharma Inc, Acasti Pharma, Fortrea Holdings , Nurexone Biologic, Scilex Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices
  • Akeso Placement – Opportunistic Raise, past Deal Record Has Been Mixed but Relative Size Is Small
  • Acasti Pharma Inc (ACST) – Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024
  • Fortrea Holdings Inc.: Are They Improving Their Strategic Positioning in Clinical Phases?
  • NRXBF: Initiating Coverage: Potential Breakthrough Treatment for Spinal Injuries
  • SCLX: Financing Deal Puts Company in Good Shape


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is scheduled to be listed at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 25 October 2024 at a valuation of ~$1.9bn.
  • The company’s modest market capitalization fails fast-entry but easily surpasses the quarterly small cap thresholds of both main global indices.
  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)  is expected to be added at the May and June 2025 quarterly reviews with the potential greenshoe exercise increasing the passive fund demand upon inclusion.

Akeso Placement – Opportunistic Raise, past Deal Record Has Been Mixed but Relative Size Is Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m from its primary placement. Proceeds from the placement will be used for R&D.
  • Past deals in the name haven’t done well recently but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Acasti Pharma Inc (ACST) – Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Acasti Pharma is making progress in developing IV nimodipine for acute subarachnoid hemorrhages
  • Lead asset GTX-104 is the primary focus of their development efforts
  • Successful PIPE offering and enrollment in Phase 3 trial put Acasti Pharma on track for potential FDA approval

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Fortrea Holdings Inc.: Are They Improving Their Strategic Positioning in Clinical Phases?

By Baptista Research

  • Fortrea’s second quarter 2024 earnings elucidate a blend of progression and challenges in its trajectory as an independent pure-play Clinical Research Organization (CRO).
  • Following the spin-off from its parent company, the organization targets both growth from biotechnology firms and expanded engagements with large pharmaceutical companies.
  • CEO Tom Pike articulated Fortrea’s leveraging of its robust services across various clinical trial phases and several therapeutic areas to enhance its market position, but also acknowledged uncertainties in contracting with biotech firms that have skewed the company’s book-to-bill ratio below the target of 1.2, marking it at just under 1 this quarter.

NRXBF: Initiating Coverage: Potential Breakthrough Treatment for Spinal Injuries

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NurExone (OTC-NRXBF) is a preclinical stage biotech company that is developing a breakthrough treatment for spinal cord injuries that has the potential to dramatically improve lives.
  • The technology involved also has the potential to more efficiently get other treatments to the needed area.
  • The company has conducted preclinical testing that has shown dramatic results and has been awarded an important FDA designation.

SCLX: Financing Deal Puts Company in Good Shape

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SCLX is filling a much-needed area of the health care sector, that of developing non-opioid pain relief products.
  • The company already has commercialized products that are proven to improve patients’ lives.
  • The company announced a financing deal that helps to pay off debt and adds cash at good terms.

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