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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Yum China Holdings , Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd., CNOOC Ltd, Huadian New Energy Group, Pop Mart, CNGR Advanced Material , JD Industrial Technology , MGM China Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows
  • A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Final Expectations; Huge Flows
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK) 25Q3 – The Decline in Stock Prices May Not Have Ended Yet
  • CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • JD Industrials Pre-IPO – Re-Refiling Updates – More Hits than Misses
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 3 changes for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.
  • The forecast adds have moved higher over the last few months and handily outperformed the forecast deletes and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)
  • There has been aggressive short covering in the forecast adds and there could be more in stocks where short interest is still a high percentage of float.

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming December 2025 index rebal event. 11 ADDs, 11 DELs, $2.3bn to trade.

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach

By Travis Lundy

  • Big Beautiful Skew was again a no-show. But the SFC’s expectation of dual counter eligibility for Connect by year-end approaches its endgame.
  • The GAC (2238 HK) reco 2wks ago worked well. One extra week was bad. Last week’s reco on CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) was a disaster. H underperformed A by 8.4%.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Final Expectations; Huge Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect 11 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index during this index review based on the latest available data. US$11bn total flows.

Pop Mart (9992 HK) 25Q3 – The Decline in Stock Prices May Not Have Ended Yet

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Pop Mart’s 25Q3 results beat expectations, mainly driven by high growth of revenue attributed from operations overseas. The “online + offline + overseas” three-wheel drive strategy has achieved remarkable performance.
  • However, the market has expressed concerns over the IP life cycle and performance sustainability of Pop Mart through the decline in its stock price, which may not have ended yet.
  • There are no signs that new products can catch up with LABUBU. Once market sentiment reverses, it will affect Pop Mart’s valuation outlook. 30-35x P/E is a more comfortable range.

CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • CNGR Advanced Material (300919 CH), a new energy materials company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$700 million.     
  • CNGR ranked first globally in 2024 in terms of sales value for all cathode active material precursors (pCAM) products, with a market share of 21.8%.
  • The fundamentals are solid, with good growth, a relatively stable margin profile, declining cash burn, manageable leverage, and an undemanding valuation. 

JD Industrials Pre-IPO – Re-Refiling Updates – More Hits than Misses

By Sumeet Singh

  • JD Industrial is now looking to raise about US$500m, down from earlier reported US$1bn, in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.
  • We have looked at the company background and provided our initial thoughts on valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the refiling updates.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • Front-end UST yields declined on Friday, unwinding part of the jump in yields following the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST fell 4 bps to 3.57%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was down 2 bps at 4.08%. Equities climbed, supported by optimism over corporate earnings.
  • The S&P 500 gained 0.3% to 6,840, while the Nasdaq rose 0.6% to 23,725. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach
  • Weekly Update (WDC, AAF, LBTYA, LEN)
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October 2025 Report


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach

By Travis Lundy

  • Big Beautiful Skew was again a no-show. But the SFC’s expectation of dual counter eligibility for Connect by year-end approaches its endgame.
  • The GAC (2238 HK) reco 2wks ago worked well. One extra week was bad. Last week’s reco on CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) was a disaster. H underperformed A by 8.4%.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

Weekly Update (WDC, AAF, LBTYA, LEN)

By Richard Howe

  • This week we had a busy week of earnings (WDC, AAF, LBTYA), and it will continue next week.
  • Honeywell (HON)  spun off 100% of its Advanced Materials business, Solstice (SOLS), on October 30, 2025.
  • Solstice was added to the S&P 500 and performed well on its first day of trading before selling off on Friday.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October 2025 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • GBL: discount 28.6% (Oct 31). Selling €1.7bn GBL Capital NAV for €1.5bn cash (+€0.4bn deferred); €0.6bn commitments transferred. Simpler, more liquid, greater buyback firepower—supports discount narrowing.
  • Sweden: Industrivärden discount 5.8% (near lows). Investor AB resilient; NAV SEK 1,024bn, TSR +5%. Quality ballast, limited discount alpha now.
  • Vivendi: 33.2% discount to €4.67 NAV; AMF-driven OPA path intact. Scenario-weighted value ~€4.17; prefer outright long or stub vs UMG/Banijay/MFE; trim if discount narrows to 10–15%.

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Daily Brief Japan: Nintendo, Northsand, Moriya Corp, Nikkei 225, Hikari Food Service, Nihon Dengi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Nintendo (7974) | Early Signals from the Switch 2 Cycle
  • Northsand Pre-IPO: Strong Topline Momentum With Improving Margins
  • Primer: Moriya Corp (1798 JP) – Nov 2025
  • Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?(Nov 4, 2025)
  • (31 Oct 2025) Hikari Food Service(138A JP) — Fisco Company Research
  • Nihon Dengi (1723 JP): Coverage Initiation


Nintendo (7974) | Early Signals from the Switch 2 Cycle

By Mark Chadwick

  • Switch 2 production signals confidence: Supplier orders for up to 25 mn units imply upside to Nintendo’s conservative guidance and likely operating profit revisions over FY3/26.  
  • Quarterly Earnings Sensitivity: Every 1 mn hardware units adds ¥11 bn to OP and 1 mn software units ¥3 bn, making Q2 results a key sentiment catalyst.
  • Sector positioning remains strong: With major global peers acquired, Nintendo stands as the premier pure-play gaming franchise; valuation premium sustained by scarcity and structural growth exposure.

Northsand Pre-IPO: Strong Topline Momentum With Improving Margins

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Northsand (446A JP) aims to raise around US$121m in its Japan IPO.
  • Northsand is a consulting firm that provides both IT and business consulting services. Established in 2015, it helps organizations improve efficiency, modernize operations, and achieve sustainable growth.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Primer: Moriya Corp (1798 JP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Moriya Corp is a well-established general construction company based in Nagano, Japan, with operations primarily in civil engineering, building construction, and real estate. The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, underscored by a robust increase in market capitalization and a solid financial performance in recent years.
  • The Japanese construction market provides a stable, albeit moderately growing, backdrop, supported by significant government investment in infrastructure, disaster resilience, and renewable energy projects. Moriya is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, particularly in public works and infrastructure renewal.
  • Despite a strong performance and an attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio, the company faces industry-wide challenges, including a shrinking workforce, rising material costs, and intense competition. Volatility in operating cash flow presents a key area for investor monitoring.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?(Nov 4, 2025)

By Nico Rosti

  • A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.
  • Most of the U.S. and Asian stocks we track are overbought, with Asian markets showing the strongest overbought conditions. 
  • Meta (META US)  and the CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300)  offer bargain-hunting opportunities for tactical investors.

(31 Oct 2025) Hikari Food Service(138A JP) — Fisco Company Research

By FISCO

Key points (machine generated)

  • The briefing on October 31, 2025, featured Mitsunori Otani, President of Hikari Food Service Co., Ltd.
  • The event included a Q&A session moderated by Hiroe Takai from FISCO Co., Ltd.
  • The focus was on Hikari Food Service’s presence on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market in the retail industry.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


Nihon Dengi (1723 JP): Coverage Initiation

By Shared Research

  • In FY03/25, the company recorded revenue of JPY43.1bn (+10.7% YoY), gross profit of JPY18.7bn (+28.3% YoY), operating profit of JPY9.1bn (+46.0% YoY), recurring profit of JPY9.3bn (+47.2% YoY), and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY6.4bn (+37.3% YoY).
  • By segment, revenue totaled JPY39.4bn (+12.9% YoY) in the Air Conditioning Instrumentation-related business and JPY3.7bn (-8.3% YoY) in the Industrial Systems-related business.
  • Revenue increased as the company recognized revenue from large new installation projects (e.g., factory projects, redevelopment projects in the Tokyo metropolitan area) in the Air Conditioning Instrumentation-related business.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Nextera Energy, Shin Hsiung Gas and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • NextEra Energy Inside the Clean Tech Pipeline: What’s Next After 3GW in One Quarter?
  • Primer: Shin Hsiung Gas (8908 TT) – Nov 2025


NextEra Energy Inside the Clean Tech Pipeline: What’s Next After 3GW in One Quarter?

By Baptista Research

  • NextEra Energy, Inc. recently reported its third quarter financial results for 2025, focusing on strong operational accomplishments and future prospects across its business segments.
  • The company’s adjusted earnings per share increased by 9.7% year-over-year, with significant contributions from both Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) and NextEra Energy Resources.
  • FPL reported a robust quarter, with its earnings per share growing $0.08 year-over-year, primarily due to an 8% increase in regulatory capital employed.

Primer: Shin Hsiung Gas (8908 TT) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Regional Utility with Favorable Regulatory Tailwinds: Shin Hsiung Gas operates as a regulated natural gas utility in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, benefiting from a stable, concession-based business model. The company is poised to capitalize on Taiwan’s national energy policy, which aims to increase the share of natural gas in power generation to 50% by 2025, driving secular demand growth.
  • Diversifying Revenue Streams and Strong Growth Profile: While core gas sales provide a stable foundation, the company is expanding into solar electricity sales and equipment installation, demonstrating a forward-looking strategy. This is reflected in its strong growth metrics, with a 5-year net income CAGR of 7.37% and a remarkable 3-year dividend CAGR of 64.36%.
  • Moderate Valuation with Key Risks: The company trades at a P/E ratio of 24.6x. While its growth is robust, it faces risks tied to commodity price volatility, regulatory oversight on pricing, and high dependency on imported Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) for its supply. Taiwan’s energy security is a key national concern, which could impact long-term supply stability.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd., Hanwha Aerospace, Daewon San Up, HNI Corp, Honeywell International, Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada, Moriya Corp, OKP Holdings, Venus Pipes & Tubes, IRB InvIT Fund and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows
  • Hanwha Aerospace: Best Ever Results in 3Q 2025
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #48: Daewon Sanup
  • HNI: 3Q25 EPS Upside; Workplace Leading Indicators Firming
  • Weekly Update (WDC, AAF, LBTYA, LEN)
  • Primer: Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada (CMNP IJ) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Moriya Corp (1798 JP) – Nov 2025
  • Fundamentals Driving Recent SMID Institutional Flows
  • Primer: Venus Pipes & Tubes (VENUSPIP IN) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: IRB InvIT Fund (IRBINVIT IN) – Nov 2025


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming December 2025 index rebal event. 11 ADDs, 11 DELs, $2.3bn to trade.

Hanwha Aerospace: Best Ever Results in 3Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In 3Q25, Hanwha Aerospace reported sales of 6.5 trillion won (up 146.5% YoY and 1.6% lower than consensus) and operating profit of 856.4 billion won (up 79.5% YoY).
  • The company’s results in 3Q 2025 were its best ever in its history. The strong results were driven by its land defense business and its shipbuilding unit Hanwha Ocean.
  • Given the company’s excellent growth in sales and profits in the past several years as well as its strong order backlog, its valuationsremain attractive. 

Korea Small Cap Gem #48: Daewon Sanup

By Douglas Kim

  • Daewon Sanup’s net cash as percentage of market cap is 171%. This is one of the highest net cash/market cap ratios in the Korean stock market.
  • Daewon Sanup is one of the largest Korean automobile seat manufacturers. It is also one of the beneficiaries of the reduction in US auto tariffs to 15% (from 25% previously). 
  • The company is trading at dirt cheap valuations. It is trading at P/E of 2.3x and P/B of 0.4x based on LTM financials. 

HNI: 3Q25 EPS Upside; Workplace Leading Indicators Firming

By Water Tower Research

  • HNI reported 3Q25 ongoing EPS of $1.10 versus $1.03 in 3Q24, up 6.8%, which was ahead of our $1.06 estimate, which was also consensus
  • Sales grew 1.7% in the quarter to $683.8MM, slightly below our forecast for 2.2% growth and consensus of 2.5% growth.
  • Excluding the HNI India divesture, organic sales growth was 2.6% in the quarter.

Weekly Update (WDC, AAF, LBTYA, LEN)

By Richard Howe

  • This week we had a busy week of earnings (WDC, AAF, LBTYA), and it will continue next week.
  • Honeywell (HON)  spun off 100% of its Advanced Materials business, Solstice (SOLS), on October 30, 2025.
  • Solstice was added to the S&P 500 and performed well on its first day of trading before selling off on Friday.


Primer: Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada (CMNP IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • CMNP is an established toll road operator in Indonesia with a portfolio of concessions primarily located in strategic, high-traffic urban areas, positioning it to benefit from the country’s continued economic growth and urbanization.
  • The company is embarking on significant expansion projects, notably the Harbour Road II, which is expected to drive future revenue growth. However, these projects also entail considerable execution and financing risks.
  • Valuation appears attractive, with a low price-to-book ratio and a high Smartkarma value score. This is contrasted by a lack of dividend payments and potential corporate governance concerns related to concession extensions that are under investigation.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Moriya Corp (1798 JP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Moriya Corp is a well-established general construction company based in Nagano, Japan, with operations primarily in civil engineering, building construction, and real estate. The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, underscored by a robust increase in market capitalization and a solid financial performance in recent years.
  • The Japanese construction market provides a stable, albeit moderately growing, backdrop, supported by significant government investment in infrastructure, disaster resilience, and renewable energy projects. Moriya is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, particularly in public works and infrastructure renewal.
  • Despite a strong performance and an attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio, the company faces industry-wide challenges, including a shrinking workforce, rising material costs, and intense competition. Volatility in operating cash flow presents a key area for investor monitoring.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Fundamentals Driving Recent SMID Institutional Flows

By Geoff Howie

  • SMID stocks in Singapore saw S$472 million net institutional inflows in 2H25, reversing S$150 million outflows from 1H25.
  • Technology sector led SMID inflows with S$308 million, driven by AI adoption and CSE Global’s 50% share price increase.
  • Construction sector growth boosted nine SMID stocks, with OKP Holdings securing a S$258 million contract, increasing its order book.

Primer: Venus Pipes & Tubes (VENUSPIP IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Venus Pipes & Tubes is a rapidly growing manufacturer and exporter of stainless steel (SS) seamless and welded pipes and tubes in India, capitalizing on the expanding domestic and international demand across various industries.
  • The company is in the midst of a significant capacity expansion and backward integration strategy, which is expected to drive revenue growth, improve margins, and strengthen its market position.
  • While the company has demonstrated strong financial performance and a robust growth trajectory, it faces risks associated with the cyclicality of the steel industry, raw material price volatility, and increasing competition from both domestic and international players.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: IRB InvIT Fund (IRBINVIT IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Established Portfolio with Stable, Long-Term Cash Flows: IRB InvIT Fund owns a portfolio of operational toll road assets with long concession periods granted by the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), providing predictable, long-term revenue streams essential for stable distributions to unitholders.
  • Strong Growth Trajectory via Strategic Acquisitions: The Trust is actively expanding its asset base through strategic acquisitions from its sponsor, IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. A recent major acquisition of three high-revenue BOT assets is set to double the enterprise value to over ₹16,000 crore and extend the weighted average life of the portfolio to 17 years.
  • Attractive Dividend Yield and Valuation: As an Infrastructure Investment Trust (InvIT), it is mandated to distribute 90% of its net distributable cash flow, resulting in a consistently high dividend yield. The units trade at an attractive price-to-book ratio, suggesting a favorable valuation relative to its underlying asset value.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: CNOOC Ltd, Asian Paints, Huadian New Energy Group, CNGR Advanced Material , Riley Exploration Permian, Electra Battery Materials , Southern Copper, Spanish Mountain Gold, Noble Corp Plc, Ecolab Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach
  • India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Final Expectations; Huge Flows
  • CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • REPX: Free Cash Flow to Execute Strategy
  • Primer: Electra Battery Materials (ELBM CN) – Nov 2025
  • Southern Copper’s BIG Move: How Tia Maria Is Transforming Peru’s Mining Future!
  • SPA: First Assays from Fall Program Already Impress
  • Noble Corporation: What’s Cooking in Mozambique, West Africa, & Beyond?
  • Ecolab’s Latest Approach: How Integrated Hygiene & Water Solutions Unlock Growth!


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach

By Travis Lundy

  • Big Beautiful Skew was again a no-show. But the SFC’s expectation of dual counter eligibility for Connect by year-end approaches its endgame.
  • The GAC (2238 HK) reco 2wks ago worked well. One extra week was bad. Last week’s reco on CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) was a disaster. H underperformed A by 8.4%.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

By Brian Freitas

  • Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.
  • The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
  • Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Final Expectations; Huge Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect 11 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index during this index review based on the latest available data. US$11bn total flows.

CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • CNGR Advanced Material (300919 CH), a new energy materials company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$700 million.     
  • CNGR ranked first globally in 2024 in terms of sales value for all cathode active material precursors (pCAM) products, with a market share of 21.8%.
  • The fundamentals are solid, with good growth, a relatively stable margin profile, declining cash burn, manageable leverage, and an undemanding valuation. 

REPX: Free Cash Flow to Execute Strategy

By Water Tower Research

  • Riley’s solid cash flow profile provides management with the flexibility to navigate the current commodity price environment. 
  • Management’s latest (August 6, 2025) FY25 total capital spending plan totaled $113-146 million, which included $84-100 million of upstream capex and $29-46 million of midstream capex.
  • An additional $15-18 million investment is planned in the company’s power joint venture. 

Primer: Electra Battery Materials (ELBM CN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Electra Battery Materials is strategically positioned to become a key player in the North American electric vehicle (EV) supply chain by establishing the continent’s first cobalt sulfate refinery.
  • The company’s integrated battery materials park concept, which includes cobalt refining, battery recycling, and potential nickel sulfate production, offers a localized and environmentally sustainable solution, reducing reliance on foreign supply chains, particularly China’s dominance in the sector.
  • Strong government support from both Canada and the U.S., coupled with a key offtake agreement with LG Energy Solution, provides a solid foundation for the company’s growth, though execution risks and market volatility remain key considerations.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Southern Copper’s BIG Move: How Tia Maria Is Transforming Peru’s Mining Future!

By Baptista Research

  • Southern Copper Corporation’s third quarter and nine-month results for 2025 present a nuanced picture of the company’s financial and operational status.
  • The company marked notable achievements with record net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and net income for the quarter, underscoring effective strategic execution and favorable market conditions.
  • The boosts in these financials were substantially driven by increased production of by-products like zinc, silver, and molybdenum, and elevated metal prices.

SPA: First Assays from Fall Program Already Impress

By Atrium Research

  • This morning, SPA announced assay results for its first two drill holes as part of its 9,000-10,000m fall drill program.
  • The results confirm strong grades over wide intervals within the proposed pit (in areas previously modeled as lower-grade and/or waste), including 0.77 g/t Au over 112m and 0.64 g/t over 102m.
  • Drilling supports advancement toward a 2027 construction decision, building on a PEA with $1.03B NPV5% and 18% IRR at US$2,450/oz.

Noble Corporation: What’s Cooking in Mozambique, West Africa, & Beyond?

By Baptista Research

  • Noble Corporation’s third-quarter 2025 earnings report presents a mixed picture for investors, with some positive developments and notable challenges on the horizon.
  • The company generated an adjusted EBITDA of $254 million and a free cash flow of $139 million, which was bolstered by net disposal proceeds of $87 million.
  • This financial performance underscores Noble’s operational efficiency, as highlighted by the company’s successful execution in technically demanding deepwater drilling operations.

Ecolab’s Latest Approach: How Integrated Hygiene & Water Solutions Unlock Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Ecolab’s third-quarter 2025 performance presents a mixed bag of achievements and challenges, underscoring the company’s maneuvering through a fluctuating global economic environment.
  • On the positive side, Ecolab reported double-digit earnings growth, buoyed by increased pricing strategies and a 1% increase in volumes.
  • This growth momentum was particularly pronounced in its high-performing segments like Pest Elimination, Life Sciences, Global High-Tech, and Ecolab Digital, which all saw double-digit organic growth.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd., Hanwha Aerospace, Daewon San Up, HNI Corp, Honeywell International, Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada, Moriya Corp, OKP Holdings, Venus Pipes & Tubes, IRB InvIT Fund and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows
  • Hanwha Aerospace: Best Ever Results in 3Q 2025
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #48: Daewon Sanup
  • HNI: 3Q25 EPS Upside; Workplace Leading Indicators Firming
  • Weekly Update (WDC, AAF, LBTYA, LEN)
  • Primer: Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada (CMNP IJ) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Moriya Corp (1798 JP) – Nov 2025
  • Fundamentals Driving Recent SMID Institutional Flows
  • Primer: Venus Pipes & Tubes (VENUSPIP IN) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: IRB InvIT Fund (IRBINVIT IN) – Nov 2025


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming December 2025 index rebal event. 11 ADDs, 11 DELs, $2.3bn to trade.

Hanwha Aerospace: Best Ever Results in 3Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In 3Q25, Hanwha Aerospace reported sales of 6.5 trillion won (up 146.5% YoY and 1.6% lower than consensus) and operating profit of 856.4 billion won (up 79.5% YoY).
  • The company’s results in 3Q 2025 were its best ever in its history. The strong results were driven by its land defense business and its shipbuilding unit Hanwha Ocean.
  • Given the company’s excellent growth in sales and profits in the past several years as well as its strong order backlog, its valuationsremain attractive. 

Korea Small Cap Gem #48: Daewon Sanup

By Douglas Kim

  • Daewon Sanup’s net cash as percentage of market cap is 171%. This is one of the highest net cash/market cap ratios in the Korean stock market.
  • Daewon Sanup is one of the largest Korean automobile seat manufacturers. It is also one of the beneficiaries of the reduction in US auto tariffs to 15% (from 25% previously). 
  • The company is trading at dirt cheap valuations. It is trading at P/E of 2.3x and P/B of 0.4x based on LTM financials. 

HNI: 3Q25 EPS Upside; Workplace Leading Indicators Firming

By Water Tower Research

  • HNI reported 3Q25 ongoing EPS of $1.10 versus $1.03 in 3Q24, up 6.8%, which was ahead of our $1.06 estimate, which was also consensus
  • Sales grew 1.7% in the quarter to $683.8MM, slightly below our forecast for 2.2% growth and consensus of 2.5% growth.
  • Excluding the HNI India divesture, organic sales growth was 2.6% in the quarter.

Weekly Update (WDC, AAF, LBTYA, LEN)

By Richard Howe

  • This week we had a busy week of earnings (WDC, AAF, LBTYA), and it will continue next week.
  • Honeywell (HON)  spun off 100% of its Advanced Materials business, Solstice (SOLS), on October 30, 2025.
  • Solstice was added to the S&P 500 and performed well on its first day of trading before selling off on Friday.


Primer: Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada (CMNP IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • CMNP is an established toll road operator in Indonesia with a portfolio of concessions primarily located in strategic, high-traffic urban areas, positioning it to benefit from the country’s continued economic growth and urbanization.
  • The company is embarking on significant expansion projects, notably the Harbour Road II, which is expected to drive future revenue growth. However, these projects also entail considerable execution and financing risks.
  • Valuation appears attractive, with a low price-to-book ratio and a high Smartkarma value score. This is contrasted by a lack of dividend payments and potential corporate governance concerns related to concession extensions that are under investigation.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Moriya Corp (1798 JP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Moriya Corp is a well-established general construction company based in Nagano, Japan, with operations primarily in civil engineering, building construction, and real estate. The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, underscored by a robust increase in market capitalization and a solid financial performance in recent years.
  • The Japanese construction market provides a stable, albeit moderately growing, backdrop, supported by significant government investment in infrastructure, disaster resilience, and renewable energy projects. Moriya is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, particularly in public works and infrastructure renewal.
  • Despite a strong performance and an attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio, the company faces industry-wide challenges, including a shrinking workforce, rising material costs, and intense competition. Volatility in operating cash flow presents a key area for investor monitoring.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Fundamentals Driving Recent SMID Institutional Flows

By Geoff Howie

  • SMID stocks in Singapore saw S$472 million net institutional inflows in 2H25, reversing S$150 million outflows from 1H25.
  • Technology sector led SMID inflows with S$308 million, driven by AI adoption and CSE Global’s 50% share price increase.
  • Construction sector growth boosted nine SMID stocks, with OKP Holdings securing a S$258 million contract, increasing its order book.

Primer: Venus Pipes & Tubes (VENUSPIP IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Venus Pipes & Tubes is a rapidly growing manufacturer and exporter of stainless steel (SS) seamless and welded pipes and tubes in India, capitalizing on the expanding domestic and international demand across various industries.
  • The company is in the midst of a significant capacity expansion and backward integration strategy, which is expected to drive revenue growth, improve margins, and strengthen its market position.
  • While the company has demonstrated strong financial performance and a robust growth trajectory, it faces risks associated with the cyclicality of the steel industry, raw material price volatility, and increasing competition from both domestic and international players.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: IRB InvIT Fund (IRBINVIT IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Established Portfolio with Stable, Long-Term Cash Flows: IRB InvIT Fund owns a portfolio of operational toll road assets with long concession periods granted by the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), providing predictable, long-term revenue streams essential for stable distributions to unitholders.
  • Strong Growth Trajectory via Strategic Acquisitions: The Trust is actively expanding its asset base through strategic acquisitions from its sponsor, IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. A recent major acquisition of three high-revenue BOT assets is set to double the enterprise value to over ₹16,000 crore and extend the weighted average life of the portfolio to 17 years.
  • Attractive Dividend Yield and Valuation: As an Infrastructure Investment Trust (InvIT), it is mandated to distribute 90% of its net distributable cash flow, resulting in a consistently high dividend yield. The units trade at an attractive price-to-book ratio, suggesting a favorable valuation relative to its underlying asset value.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Nintendo, Amazon, Mediatek Inc, Northsand, Confluent, Amkor Technology, Paypal Holdings, Seagate Technology Holdings PL, SUTL Enterprise, Corning Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Nintendo (7974) | Early Signals from the Switch 2 Cycle
  • Hyperscalers’ Cloud Revenue and Capex Update
  • Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive.
  • Northsand Pre-IPO: Strong Topline Momentum With Improving Margins
  • Confluent: Real-Time Data Processing with Stream Processing & Flink Are Driving Growth!
  • Amkor Technology Doubles Down on Ultra-High-Density Packaging – Is This the Next Tech Revolution?
  • PayPal’s BNPL Boom: How Is It Winning Over Gen Z Shoppers?
  • Seagate Technology Goes All-In on HAMR – Will 40TB Drives Change Everything?
  • SUTL Enterprise Limited – Setting Sail for Regional Expansion
  • Corning Unveils What’s Next in Solar, Optical, and Auto Tech – Investors Take Note!


Nintendo (7974) | Early Signals from the Switch 2 Cycle

By Mark Chadwick

  • Switch 2 production signals confidence: Supplier orders for up to 25 mn units imply upside to Nintendo’s conservative guidance and likely operating profit revisions over FY3/26.  
  • Quarterly Earnings Sensitivity: Every 1 mn hardware units adds ¥11 bn to OP and 1 mn software units ¥3 bn, making Q2 results a key sentiment catalyst.
  • Sector positioning remains strong: With major global peers acquired, Nintendo stands as the premier pure-play gaming franchise; valuation premium sustained by scarcity and structural growth exposure.

Hyperscalers’ Cloud Revenue and Capex Update

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Hyperscalers (AMZN, GOOG, META, MSFT) revenues accelerating from 1Q25. Total revenues in 2025 ~$1.15tn, up 17% YoY.
  • Cloud (AWS, GOOG, MSFT) revenues accelerating. 2025 Cloud revenues in 2025 ~$375bn, up 25% YoY.
  • 2025 Capex up 63% YoY to $376bn. 2026 Capex will increase by ~46% YoY to reach ~$550bn. I estimate ~30% increase in 2027 to reach $715bn.

Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Weak 3Q reported, weak 4Q guidance (Operating Margin) due to wafer price, some TSMC tightness (5-3nm), Opex increase. This should continue into 2026. Consensus too high. That should be negative.
  • But Management provides a very upbeat ASIC guidance: $1bn revenue in ’26, several bn in ‘27 , OP margin accretive at some point. Short-term pain, long-term gain.
  • MTK posits itself as the next ASIC disruptor, has several codesigns with Nvidia. But that’s material in ’27. The stock is down -8% YTD. Underperformance continues at least in 1H26.

Northsand Pre-IPO: Strong Topline Momentum With Improving Margins

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Northsand (446A JP) aims to raise around US$121m in its Japan IPO.
  • Northsand is a consulting firm that provides both IT and business consulting services. Established in 2015, it helps organizations improve efficiency, modernize operations, and achieve sustainable growth.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Confluent: Real-Time Data Processing with Stream Processing & Flink Are Driving Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Confluent, a company specializing in data streaming solutions, reported solid quarterly results, surpassing all guided metrics.
  • The company’s subscription revenue saw a 19% increase year-over-year, reaching $286 million, while Confluent Cloud revenue increased by 24% to $161 million.
  • This highlights the firm’s strong growth trajectory in cloud services, which now represent 56% of its subscription revenue.

Amkor Technology Doubles Down on Ultra-High-Density Packaging – Is This the Next Tech Revolution?

By Baptista Research

  • Amkor Technology’s third-quarter 2025 financial results showcased strong performance and strategic advancements, yet they also highlighted some areas of pressure and challenges.
  • The company reported a revenue of $1.99 billion, marking a 31% sequential increase and a 7% year-over-year growth, exceeding expectations.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter stood at $0.51, also above the guidance provided.

PayPal’s BNPL Boom: How Is It Winning Over Gen Z Shoppers?

By Baptista Research

  • PayPal’s third-quarter 2025 financial performance and strategic direction reveal a nuanced picture with both notable achievements and ongoing challenges.
  • The company has demonstrated impressive progress in strengthening its foundational operations and focusing on profitable growth.
  • Revenue has accelerated recently, stemming from strategies centered on expanding branded experiences, buy now, pay later (BNPL) services, and increased Venmo monetization.

Seagate Technology Goes All-In on HAMR – Will 40TB Drives Change Everything?

By Baptista Research

  • Seagate Technology recently reported its fiscal first-quarter 2026 results, showcasing a strong start to the year marked by notable financial performance and strategic advancements.
  • Positively, Seagate reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 21%, reaching $2.63 billion.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin reached a new record for the company at 40.1%, with operating margins climbing to 29%.

SUTL Enterprise Limited – Setting Sail for Regional Expansion

By SAC Capital

  • SUTL Enterprise Limited (“SUTL”) is a Singapore based developer, operator, and consultant of integrated marinas and remain as the only marina focused business listed on the SGX.
  • Under its proprietary ONE°15 Marina brand, the Group operates its flagship club at Sentosa Cove, manages third-party marinas across Asia, and runs a luxury yacht charter fleet of over 50 vessels.
  • Its core revenue streams comprise marina club operations (berthing, hospitality, and F&B services), consultancy and management fees for marina developments, and luxury yacht charters.

Corning Unveils What’s Next in Solar, Optical, and Auto Tech – Investors Take Note!

By Baptista Research

  • Corning Inc. reported a robust third quarter for 2025, demonstrating strong financial performance and strategic advancements across its business segments.
  • However, there are both positive factors and challenges that potential investors might want to consider when evaluating their investment in Corning.
  • Positively, Corning posted a year-over-year sales growth of 14% to $4.27 billion and an impressive 24% increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.67, with the operating margin expanding by 130 basis points to 19.6%.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Beta Bionics, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Hanmi Pharm, Novartis , Nurexone Biologic, Radiopharm Theranostics, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX.US): Solid 3Q’25 Results But Valuation Full at Current Levels
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Unleashes VOXZOGO Expansion—Is a Market Breakout Coming?
  • Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS): Flagship Drugs Boost 3Q25 Result Amid Obesity Pipeline Progress
  • Novartis Supercharges Pluvicto—The Blockbuster Cancer Drug Investors Can’t Ignore!
  • NurExone Biologic’s Revolutionary Approach to Nerve Repair – 31 October 2025
  • RADX: Program and Financial Updates
  • Regeneron Bets Big on U.S. Manufacturing – Can $7 Billion Transform Its Future?


Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX.US): Solid 3Q’25 Results But Valuation Full at Current Levels

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Beta Bionics Inc. has successfully completed its upsized US IPO in January and sold 13.8M shares at $17.00 per share, above the marketed price range.
  • Maker of the first FDA-cleared insulin delivery device reported better than expected 3Q’25 results, including revenue of $27.3M and an adjusted EBITDA loss of ~$12M.
  • While there is long term potential from interesting pipeline, I believe that the valuation is full, and I would wait a share pull-back before becoming more positive on the stock.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Unleashes VOXZOGO Expansion—Is a Market Breakout Coming?

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.’s latest earnings call reveals a complex mix of achievements and challenges, highlighting both substantial growth and notable strategic shifts.
  • Over the third quarter of 2025, BioMarin demonstrated robust financial performance, leading to an adjusted full-year revenue guidance.
  • The company reported an 11% increase in top-line revenue year-to-date, driven by the success of its global enzyme therapies and skeletal conditions business units, especially through the performance of VOXZOGO, its treatment for achondroplasia.

Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS): Flagship Drugs Boost 3Q25 Result Amid Obesity Pipeline Progress

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) has reported mixed performance for 3Q25. Despite flat topline and high R&D investment, mid-single digit growth in operating profit is the key highlight of 3Q25 result.
  • Interim topline results of Phase 3 trials for efpeglenatide have raised expectations that the drug will establish itself as a “national obesity drug” based on excellent efficacy and proven safety.
  • The company submitted clinical trial application to FDA for HM17321. Hanmi received FDA approval to initiate a Phase 2 clinical trial with HM15275, which is expected to commence this month.

Novartis Supercharges Pluvicto—The Blockbuster Cancer Drug Investors Can’t Ignore!

By Baptista Research

  • Novartis recently announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a period of strategic growth and progress across multiple fronts.
  • The company registered a 7% increase in net sales, alongside a mirrored 7% uplift in core operating income, maintaining its core margin at 39.3%.
  • The results underscore Novartis’ ability to drive growth amidst challenges such as the loss of exclusivity (LOE) for key products like Entresto, Tasigna, and Promacta.

NurExone Biologic’s Revolutionary Approach to Nerve Repair – 31 October 2025

By Water Tower Research

  • NurExone is a biopharma company focused on developing regenerative exosome-based therapies for central nervous system injuries. 
  • Its lead development candidate, ExoPTEN, has demonstrated strong preclinical data supporting clinical potential in treating acute spinal cord and optic nerve injury, both multi-billion-dollar markets.
  • Introducing Dr. Lior Shaltiel and Yoram Drucker. 

RADX: Program and Financial Updates

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Radiopharm Theranostics is advancing a portfolio of imaging and therapeutic radiopharmaceutical candidates in oncology.
  • Its approach recognizes the opportunities in tumors beyond prostate, thyroid & neuroendocrine targets originated by precision oncology & validated by clinical trials & regulatory approval.
  • RAD101, an 18F radioisotope developed to image brain metastases is the most advanced asset.

Regeneron Bets Big on U.S. Manufacturing – Can $7 Billion Transform Its Future?

By Baptista Research

  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing a mixed performance with both strong growth in some product lines and challenges in others.
  • The company’s revenues reached $3.8 billion, marking a modest 1% increase from the previous year.
  • This growth was primarily driven by solid performances from several key products, including Dupixent, Libtayo, and EYLEA HD.

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Most Read: Light & Wonder , Hyundai Autoever , ANE Cayman Inc, Juroku Financial Group, Pine Labs, Samsung Electronics, Yum China Holdings , Beijing Originwater Technology Co,Ltd., CNOOC Ltd, Asian Paints and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Light & Wonder (LNW AU): Index Implications of NASDAQ Delisting & ASX Primary Listing
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for December
  • Merger Arb Mondays (03 Nov) – ANE, Dongfeng, Mayne, AUB, Digital Holdings, Makino, Soft99, SCSK
  • Japan 2025 H1 Bank Guidance/Results – Strong Upward Revisions Like Last Year – Likely More To Come
  • Pine Labs IPO: Slashed Offering Size & Lower Valuation
  • ECM Weekly (3 November 2025)-Sany, Seres, CIG, PonyAI, WeRide, Mininglamp, Lenskart, Groww, Softcare
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows
  • A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach
  • India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November


Light & Wonder (LNW AU): Index Implications of NASDAQ Delisting & ASX Primary Listing

By Brian Freitas


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for December

By Brian Freitas



Japan 2025 H1 Bank Guidance/Results – Strong Upward Revisions Like Last Year – Likely More To Come

By Travis Lundy

  • In the days approaching H1 results in 2024, Japanese banks raised H1 guidance. Among the top 50 banks outside the top 10, the increase was significant. 
  • This year, out of those 50 banks, 12 have either reported (2) or raised guidance (10) for H1 in the past five weeks by an average of 47% (median 43%). 
  • Higher loan income, core business profits, and lower credit costs are the main culprits. Expect lots more guidance revisions in the next 10 days.

Pine Labs IPO: Slashed Offering Size & Lower Valuation

By Brian Freitas

  • Pine Labs (0568874D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 176.5m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$439m at a valuation of US$2.86bn.
  • The price band has been set at INR 210-221/share and could price at the top end of the range. The IPO raise and valuation are sharply lower than earlier reports.
  • Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in May but flow will be small given the low float and the Smallcap indices that it is added to.

ECM Weekly (3 November 2025)-Sany, Seres, CIG, PonyAI, WeRide, Mininglamp, Lenskart, Groww, Softcare

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, there were a flurry of deal launches across Hong Kong and India.
  • On the placements front, while the week was rather quiet, we did have a look at the upcoming lockup release.

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Adds Go Up, Up & Away

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 3 changes for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.
  • The forecast adds have moved higher over the last few months and handily outperformed the forecast deletes and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)
  • There has been aggressive short covering in the forecast adds and there could be more in stocks where short interest is still a high percentage of float.

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: Final Expectations; US$1bn+ Combined One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming December 2025 index rebal event. 11 ADDs, 11 DELs, $2.3bn to trade.

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach

By Travis Lundy

  • Big Beautiful Skew was again a no-show. But the SFC’s expectation of dual counter eligibility for Connect by year-end approaches its endgame.
  • The GAC (2238 HK) reco 2wks ago worked well. One extra week was bad. Last week’s reco on CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) was a disaster. H underperformed A by 8.4%.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

By Brian Freitas

  • Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.
  • The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
  • Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.

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