Category

Consumer

Consumer: Lawson Inc, Uniti Group Ltd, Mitra Adiperkasa, Netflix Inc, S Foods Inc, Aspen Technology and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lawson Considering IPO for Seijo Ishii
  • Uniti Enters SID With Morrison/Brookfield
  • Uniti Enters a SID with Morrison/Brookfield Consortium at A$5.00 Per Share
  • Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) – Remoulded and Ready for Recovery
  • ClearBridge Appreciation Strategy Portfolio Manager Commentary Q1 2022
  • S Foods (2292): Record Profits in FY2/22; FY2/23 Guidance Calls for NP of 10bn Yen and Dividend Hike
  • Clearbridge Investments Mid Cap Strategy Portfolio Manager Commentary Q1 2022

Lawson Considering IPO for Seijo Ishii

By Michael Causton

  • Lawson Inc (2651 JP) acquired the upmarket supermarket operator, Seijo Ishii, in 2014 for ¥55 billion.
  • It is now considering plans for an IPO for Seijo next year following a boom in the company’s fortunes during the pandemic.
  • Net profit rose 13% last year and the potential for growth remains strong given the expansion of the wealth market in Japan. 

Uniti Enters SID With Morrison/Brookfield

By David Blennerhassett

  • Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) has now entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed (SID) with the Morrison/Brookfield Consortium.
  • The Offer price remains at A$5.00/share, in line with the revised proposal on the 29 March. 
  • Uniti’s Board of Directors unanimously recommends that Uniti shareholders vote in favour of the Scheme in the absence of a Superior Proposal. 

Uniti Enters a SID with Morrison/Brookfield Consortium at A$5.00 Per Share

By Arun George

  • Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) has entered a SID with the Morrison/Brookfield consortium at A$5.00 cash per share less dividends declared or paid after today. 
  • The key scheme conditions are shareholder approval, FIRB approval and Court approval. The scheme meeting will be held in July.
  • We think that the offer is attractive. At the last close price of A$4.96, the gross and annualised spread to a July-end effective date is 0.8% and 2.8%, respectively.

Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) – Remoulded and Ready for Recovery

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Mitra Adiperkasa’s results this week confirm a strong recovery is in place, with improving margins and growth across all verticals and a return to profitability for FY2021. 
  • Growth was evident in both online and offline channels as the company’s unified retail strategy continues to yield strong results plus inventory levels improved dramatically QoQ in 4Q2021.
  • Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) remains a key proxy for the retail recovery in Indonesia and has remoulded itself to changing consumer behaviour. Valuations remain attractive versus historical levels. 

ClearBridge Appreciation Strategy Portfolio Manager Commentary Q1 2022

By Fund Newsletters

  • The S&P 500 Index finished the first quarter down 4.6%, snapping a run of seven straight quarters of positive returns.
  • The stock market is above the 90th percentile in almost every valuation metric and could be vulnerable to a materially slower U.S. economy, which it does not seem to be discounting.
  • Credit spreads widened, parts of the yield curve inverted, and the Fed began to drain liquidity via interest rate increases and stated its intent to reduce its balance sheet

S Foods (2292): Record Profits in FY2/22; FY2/23 Guidance Calls for NP of 10bn Yen and Dividend Hike

By Mita Securities

  • On April 14, S Foods (2292, the company) announced FY2/22 sales of 358.8bn yen (+9.6% YoY) and OP of 17.4bn yen (+38.2% YoY, OPM 4.9%)
  • The company’s full-year guidance for FY2/23 is sales of 375.0bn yen (+4.5% YoY), OP of 14.8bn yen (-15.1% YoY; OPM 3.9%), and NP of 10.0bn yen (-16.3% YoY)
  • The company’s strong performance in the U.S. should make it a relatively strong performer among major meatpackers.

Clearbridge Investments Mid Cap Strategy Portfolio Manager Commentary Q1 2022

By Fund Newsletters

  • ClearBridge is a leading global asset manager committed to active management.
  • The Strategy underperformed the benchmark as elevated levels of uncertainty and volatility during the quarter put pressure on mid cap stocks.
  • We are confident in our current portfolio construction and believe our holdings will persevere through these short- term challenges.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Suzuki Motor, Emperador Inc, Honda Motor, Dongwon Industries, Inter Parfums, Koshidaka Holdings, KOMEDA Holdings Co Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Suzuki’s NAV Discount And Implied Stub Plumb New Lows. Again
  • Emperador Secondary Listing: Borderline STI Inclusion
  • Honda – EV Briefing Raises Some Interesting Questions
  • Dongwon Industries Merger: KOSPI 200 Flow Trading & Shorting Prospects on Cancellation
  • IPAR: Growth Prospects of 2022
  • Koshidaka Holdings (2157): 1H OP Turns to Positive; Significant Store Expansion
  • Komeda Holdings (3543): FY2/22 OP Achieved Guidance

Suzuki’s NAV Discount And Implied Stub Plumb New Lows. Again

By David Blennerhassett

  • Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)‘s implied stub and simple ratio (Suzuki/ Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)) are currently at all-time lows.
  • This bifurcation has become endemic in the relative value space, especially in Japan. 
  • Maruti is trading rich amid its ongoing support for hybrid vehicles. That scenario won’t play out well. 

Emperador Secondary Listing: Borderline STI Inclusion

By Brian Freitas


Honda – EV Briefing Raises Some Interesting Questions

By Mio Kato

  • Honda’s Briefing on its Automobile Electrification Business yesterday laid out a reasonably aggressive EV rollout plan emphasising some existing partnerships. 
  • It also highlighted that they would procure batteries domestically from Envision AESC. 
  • That is another move that takes Honda a step closer to Nissan’s supply chain and has us pondering a potential merger/partnership once again.

Dongwon Industries Merger: KOSPI 200 Flow Trading & Shorting Prospects on Cancellation

By Sanghyun Park

  • Dongwon Industries merger will welcome 44.88M new shares, bumping up the total issued shares by 2.5 times.
  • So, we will likely see a passive inflow of 0.39x ADTV at the close on October 20, a level certainly worth our attention for flow trading.
  • However, a short position approach to betting on this possibility is expected to face quite a tight journey.

IPAR: Growth Prospects of 2022

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IPAR has entered 2022 owning a series of new licenses and the reopening of international airports should result in sales growing at a faster pace than the current consensus estimates
  • In the case of the Donna Karan license, IPAR begins to recognize sales in the second half of the year when it is traditionally the peak sales period
  • The recent lifting of COVID-19 restrictions in Europe eases international travel, which should have a positive impact on sales in 2022

Koshidaka Holdings (2157): 1H OP Turns to Positive; Significant Store Expansion

By Mita Securities

  • On April 13, Koshida Holdings (2157, the company) announced 1H FY8/22 sales of 16.533bn yen (+36.5% YoY), OP of 275m yen (-2.644bn yen loss in 1H FY8/21)
  • 2Q (Dec-Feb) OP was 1.406bn yen (-1.661bn yen loss in 2Q FY8/21), a significant improvement from 1Q OP of -1.131bn yen
  • The total number of stores for the karaoke business at end-2Q was 584 (+7 from end-1Q; +25 from end-FY8/21)

Komeda Holdings (3543): FY2/22 OP Achieved Guidance

By Mita Securities

  • On April 13, Komeda Holdings (3543) announced FY2/22 full-year IFRS sales of 33.317bn (+15.5% YoY) and OP of 7.305bn (+32.6% YoY; OPM 21.9%)
  • 4Q (Dec-Feb) OP was 1.458bn yen (+17.9% YoY, -28.8% QoQ), with OPM of 16.8% (16.3% for 4Q FY2/21; 24.8% for 3Q)
  • The company’s full-year guidance for FY2/23 is sales of 37bn (+11.1% YoY) and OP of 8bn yen (+9.5% YoY, OPM 21.6%)

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: JD.com Inc., Taste Gourmet Group, Cloud Village, Water Oasis, Tri Stage Inc, Sony Corp, Sido Muncul, Lawson Inc, Goldwin Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • JD.com (9618 HK): CCASS Share Increase Driver & Potential Prosus Selldown
  • Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play
  • JD.com’s Musical Shares – Less Than You Think
  • HK Connect: March ’22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis
  • Water Oasis: A Double From Here, Brace for the Re-Opening of Hong Kong
  • Tri-Stage (2178 JP) MBO by Bain – Another Lowball Takeover Likely To Get Done
  • Sony – An Epic Funding Round
  • Sido Muncul (SIDO): The Dawn of New Era
  • Lawson: Profitability Held Back by Growth Investments
  • Goldwin Expecting Record Sales

JD.com (9618 HK): CCASS Share Increase Driver & Potential Prosus Selldown

By Brian Freitas

  • There has been an increase of 700m shares held in HK CCASS for JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) on 11 April.
  • The largest part of 421.5m shares is likely the conversion of Class B to Class A shares following Richard Liu stepping down as CEO of the company.
  • The rest is unknown at this point but could be Prosus (PRX NA) moving their shares to HK to sell-down and use the cash to buy back their own stock.

Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play

By Sameer Taneja

  • The relaxing of restrictions by Hong Kong makes Taste Gourmet Group Ltd (8371 HK) a great reopening play, trading at 8.8x FY22e and 5.6x FY23e. 
  • Despite a challenging environment, the company has executed well, maintaining net margins north of 7-8%, which are far superior to other listed competitors.
  • With >60% payout ratios, it trades at a dividend yield of 6.7%/11.4% FY22e/FY23e. Since 29% of the market capitalization is cash, we are confident in the dividend payments. 

JD.com’s Musical Shares – Less Than You Think

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, CCASS data showed that 700,000,047 Class A Shares of JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) popped into existence in CCASS (from outside of CCASS the day before). Poof!
  • They showed up in Deutsche Bank’s CCASS Participant account. Just like the 600,000,000 Class A Shares which popped in on 15 December 2021. 
  • There’s a thing here, and there are things going on in the background, but the things in the foreground are not as menacing as they appear. I explore and explain.

HK Connect: March ’22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • After one month from the March batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 19 stocks. 
  • We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.
  • We observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. 

Water Oasis: A Double From Here, Brace for the Re-Opening of Hong Kong

By Sameer Taneja

  • Beauty services in Hong Kong will pick up from the 21st of April 2022 post the reopening, due to pent-up demand and the disbursement of Consumption Vouchers by the government. 
  • Despite losing three months of H1 2022 and a month of H2 2022, we believe that Water Oasis (1161 HK)  is still trading at 5.4x PE FY22e.
  • With an 80% payout ratio, the dividend yield is alluring at 16.4%. Net cash represents 38% of market capitalization. A year of uninterrupted operations implies a 3.8x PE. 

Tri-Stage (2178 JP) MBO by Bain – Another Lowball Takeover Likely To Get Done

By Travis Lundy

  • Bain is getting the major execs to tender, and rolling Sojitz Corp (2768 JP)‘s 23% into the post-Tender EGM vote. That gets them to 57+%. No majority of minority here. 
  • But the equity check appears to be about 0.06x revenue, 4-5x PER, and takeover price EV at 4+ish years of forecast EBITDA. It’s a good rollup for its ads business.
  • Too cheap, but not much you can do about it. Foreigners and financial holders own less than 0.5% of shares out. 

Sony – An Epic Funding Round

By Mio Kato

  • Sony and LEGO’s investment in Epic comes shortly after the official release of Unreal Engine 5 which promises to significantly improve efficiency for game designers and visual effects artists. 
  • We had predicted that Sony and Epic would continue to drift closer and would eventually dominate the metaverse and this does nothing to change that view.
  • We discuss below the impact on some popular metaverse plays which investors seem to fail to realise are only metaverse plays because they can be shorted.

Sido Muncul (SIDO): The Dawn of New Era

By Henry Soediarko

  • Launched 30 new SKUs during COVID-19 in multiple areas of health that can transform the company from herbal remedies into a bigger conglomerate of health providers. 
  • PE firm that backed SIDO in the earlier years reduced its holdings but it should not be seen as a vote of negative confidence in the company. 
  • Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) can be compared to Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU) which has a wide range of health products but trades at a 100% premium to SIDO. 

Lawson: Profitability Held Back by Growth Investments

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • The fourth quarter was again a disappointing one for Lawson Inc (2651 JP) with operating income falling short of consensus by 14.6%.
  • The next year’s OP guidance of ¥53.0bn (12.5% YoY) is around ¥10.0bn below the pre-COVID level, but Lawson’s lower profitability could be due to heavy upfront investments.
  • Further out, there is substantial upside to Lawson’s profitability and consensus could be unjustly penalizing Lawson’s growth investments by valuing the company at a discounted FY+2 OP multiple.

Goldwin Expecting Record Sales

By Michael Causton

  • Goldwin Inc (8111 JP) has risen to hold a leading share in outdoor wear retailing on the back of the success of The North Face.
  • It has developed considerable retail and marketing skills in the process and is now applying these to its own brand with hopes of going global.
  • Demand for new forms of sports and outdoor brand remain strong in Japan and globally and Goldwin’s mix of technical fabrics and quality could give it an edge.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Kohnan Shoji, Garrett Motion, Adecoagro SA, CP ALL PCL, KOMEDA Holdings Co Ltd, Monogatari Corp and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Kohnan Shoji (7516) Buyback – Shareholder Return? Activist Defense? Future MBO? All of the Above?
  • GTX: The Macro Factor
  • Weekly Stock Bullfinder- Week of 4/11
  • Cp All (CPALL.BK) – Growth Resumes
  • Komeda Holdings (3543): Wholesale Sales on a Recovery Track in March; Food Service Industry Update
  • Monogatari Corporation (3097): Signs of Recovery Among Senior Customers at Yuzuan

Kohnan Shoji (7516) Buyback – Shareholder Return? Activist Defense? Future MBO? All of the Above?

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, 500+ store home centre operator Kohnan Shoji (7516 JP) announced full-year earnings (revs -0.2%, OP -16.6%, NP -16.4%yoy) and a buyback. 
  • The buyback is for up to 1.2mm shares and up to ¥4bn to spend from here to end Sep 2022.
  • The shareholder register is interesting, diverse, and makes one wonder whether the buyback is to soften the blow of lower income, defence against an activist, or something else.

GTX: The Macro Factor

By Hamed Khorsand

  • In the first quarter, automakers have been back to stops and starts with segments of their production runs due to parts availability
  • GTX’s product mix makes the Company vulnerable to the ongoing supply chain issues arising from the war in Ukraine
  • In March 2022 there was a 7.2 magnitude earthquake in Japan that resulted in power loss and infrastructure damages

Weekly Stock Bullfinder- Week of 4/11

By Weekly Stock Bull Finder

  • This past week, we saw two notable “changes in character” in the energy and the bond market.
  • Adecoagro S.A. operates as an agro-industrial company in South America. It engages in farming crops and other agricultural products, dairy operations, and land transformation activities
  • The company is involved in the planting, harvesting, and sale of grains and oilseeds,

Cp All (CPALL.BK) – Growth Resumes

By Maybank Research

  • Improving consumer sentiment to lift CPALL’s sales
  • Robust SSSG and more contribution from Lotus’s
  • Earnings likely rebounded sharply QoQ and YoY
  • Return of tourists to increase traffic

Komeda Holdings (3543): Wholesale Sales on a Recovery Track in March; Food Service Industry Update

By Mita Securities

  • Wholesale sales to franchisees (same-store basis) in March were 103.0% vs. March 2021 (97.2% for February)
  • We have the impression that in-store dining sales have been improving generally due to lifting of the shorter operating hours requests
  • It appears that the market responded positively to the lifting of the shorter operating hour requests in late March

Monogatari Corporation (3097): Signs of Recovery Among Senior Customers at Yuzuan

By Mita Securities

  • Same-store sales for directly-owned stores were 108.2% vs. March 2021 (102.9% for February), 94.0% vs. March 2020 (70.2% for February)
  • The business environment was unfavorable for the company which mainly operates all- you can-eat restaurant formats, as requests for shorter operating hours continued until mid-March
  • However, we have the impression that the company did well despite the difficult business environment

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Emtek, Tabcorp Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • MSCI May 2022 Index Rebalance Preview: Last Week Before the Start of the Review Period
  • Tabcorp’s Valuation Discovery into the Demerger

MSCI May 2022 Index Rebalance Preview: Last Week Before the Start of the Review Period

By Brian Freitas


Tabcorp’s Valuation Discovery into the Demerger

By Arun George

  • Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)’s demerger will create two standalone companies listed on the ASX – The Lottery Corporation and New Tabcorp
  • The scheme meeting to approve the demerger will be held on 12 May at 10.00 am. The Lottery Corporation will trade on a normal settlement basis on 2 June.
  • This transaction aims to unlock value. Our SoTP valuation is A$6.13 per share, which is a 14% upside to the last close price of A$5.39 per share.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Shakey’s Pizza, CJ Corp and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Shakey’s Pizza: High Conviction Three Bagger, Management Call Provides Superb Guidance For FY22
  • CJ Olive Young: Well Positioned to Complete IPO in 2H 2022 After Solid Results in 2021

Shakey’s Pizza: High Conviction Three Bagger, Management Call Provides Superb Guidance For FY22

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures (PIZZA PM) is a play on F&B normalizing in the Philippines.  On our numbers, it trades at a 12.9x PE for FY22 and 10x for FY23.
  • Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) peers like Domino’s Pizza (DPZ US) and Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) trade at multiples of 39x and 59x fwd PE, making Shakey’s an extremely cheap stock. 
  • Versus the current multiple of 7.9 peso/share, we believe the stock can trade up to 30x PE FY23 implying a 24 peso/share price (200% upside).

CJ Olive Young: Well Positioned to Complete IPO in 2H 2022 After Solid Results in 2021

By Douglas Kim

  • CJ Olive Young is the number one health and beauty (H&B) store chain in Korea. CJ Olive Young is well positioned to complete its IPO in 2H 2022.
  • The local media have noted that CJ Olive Young’s market value could reach 3.5 trillion won to 4.0 trillion won after the IPO.
  • If CJ Olive Young is valued at 3.5 trillion won, CJ Corp’s 51.1% stake would be 1.8 trillion won, which would be worth 71% of CJ Corp’s current market cap. 

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: F&F, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Etsy Inc, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Berli Jucker and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI 200 Rebalancing D-60: Names for Position Buildups
  • Shakey’s Pizza: Getting Less Shaky As The Philippines Emerges From COVID
  • Etsy: House of Brands, Revisited.
  • Melco Resorts: A Bottom Fishing Opportunity in This Asia Gaming Leader
  • Berli Jucker (BJC IJ) – Ride the Retail and Packaging Recovery

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing D-60: Names for Position Buildups

By Sanghyun Park

  • Since we are currently at a point of two months toward the KOSPI 200 rebalancing, we should start building up positions on stocks with a higher probability among the candidates.
  • Six additions for position buildups: F&F (383220 KS), Meritz Fire (000060 KS), SD Biosensor (137310 KS), Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), Hanil Cement (300720 KS), & K Car (381970 KS)
  • Six deletions for position buildups: Nexen Tire (002350 KS), Cuckoo Holdings (192400 KS), S&T Motiv (064960 KS), Sk Discovery (006120 KS), Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS), & Poongsan Corp (103140 KS)

Shakey’s Pizza: Getting Less Shaky As The Philippines Emerges From COVID

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • The Philippines’ largest full-service Pizza chain, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures (PIZZA PM) is currently trading at PHP 7.60, 7.3% below its April 2022 follow-on offer price of PHP 8.20.
  • With the ending of COVID restrictions, we expect the company’s financial performance to improve drastically over the next few quarters.
  • This should alter the trajectory of Shakey’s to aggressively take back the share price towards the pre-COVID level.  

Etsy: House of Brands, Revisited.

By Investment Talk

  • It is my opinion that the pull-forward exhibited in this business stands to be a net positive, regardless of how the share price might behave in the interim.
  • The last 24 months have brought in 43M new active buyers to the Etsy marketplace, as well as 2.6M new sellers for a grand total of 90.1M buyers (+9.2M YoY) and 5.3M sellers (+900K YoY)
  • Etsy managed to surprise investors in Q4, putting up greater than anticipated revenue ($717M/+16%) for the period, as well as record GMS ($4.2B/+17%)

Melco Resorts: A Bottom Fishing Opportunity in This Asia Gaming Leader

By Howard J Klein

  • By many standard measures, Melco Resorts & Entertainment shares appear to be either fully or overvalued even at its pandemic beaten down price of $US6.94.
  • A discounted cash flow analysis revealed a negative -US($1.18) intrinsic value. But the calculation is based on assumed path of pandemic too difficult to predict accurately.
  • The company had a pre-pandemic  Macau market share of over 16%. It is among the leaders in Manila’s entertainment zone, and expects its Cyprus property to open by Dec. 2022

Berli Jucker (BJC IJ) – Ride the Retail and Packaging Recovery

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Berli Jucker (BJC TB) 4Q2021 results marked a turnaround in both its packaging business in glass and cans plus better performance from Big C as mobility improved during the quarter.
  • The outlook for packaging looks positive and the Big C will open more outlets in 2022 plus renovating around 20 hypermarkets plus opening new formats this year.
  • Berli Jucker (BJC TB) remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure there in the future. Valuations stack up versus peers.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Nikon Corp, Mirae Asset Tiger Tour Leisure ETF, JD.com Inc (ADR), Seven & I Holdings, Dongwon Industries, Torikizoku and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • BIG Nikon (7731) Buyback – OK But Should Do Better
  • WISE Tour Leisure Rebalancing (TIGER ETF): Long/Short Tradable Names
  • JD.com (JD): Layoff Plan Covers Only Minor Businesses, Still a Buy
  • Seven & I: A Lot Left in Speedway Synergies
  • Nikon (7731) | Focusing on the 4 Year View
  • Merger of Dongwon Industries & Dongwon Enterprise
  • Torikizoku Holdings (3193): Healthy Performance in March Despite Difficult Environment

BIG Nikon (7731) Buyback – OK But Should Do Better

By Travis Lundy

  • Nikon Corp (7731 JP) today announced a Very Large Buyback. This is the third buyback it has announced since spring 2019. The first was short. The next two big.
  • The company also announced a new Medium-Term Management Plan for FY2022-2025 today in which they reiterated their existing Shareholder Return Policy of 40+% payout of stable dividends and opportunistic buybacks. 
  • It’s a decent div, and the buyback is for 6-7% of shares out, but it could do better. The company is hugely cash- and securities holdings-rich. It should do better.

WISE Tour Leisure Rebalancing (TIGER ETF): Long/Short Tradable Names

By Sanghyun Park

  • Next Thursday, the rebalancing trading of the WISE Secondary Cell Index will occur. The current AUM is ₩0.24T, and the AUM has slightly increased in the last two weeks.
  • Five names (2 Longs & 3 Shorts) are screened: Hana Tour Service, Lotte Tour Development, Asiana Airlines, Paradise Co Ltd, & Hanjin KAL Corp.
  • All the short targets are available for short-selling. The Long targets have also not seen much volatility recently, so it looks fine to put them all in a Long/Short basket.

JD.com (JD): Layoff Plan Covers Only Minor Businesses, Still a Buy

By Ming Lu

  • JD dismissed employees in many businesses, such as Retail, International, and Jingxi.
  • However, we believe the layoff only covers minor businesses and functions.
  • We believe the stock still has a upside of 48%.

Seven & I: A Lot Left in Speedway Synergies

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Even though the results weren’t a blowout as we expected, today’s price performance suggests that Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) has not disappointed the market.
  • We think Seven & I could be playing safe by holding back Speedway synergies.
  • After a short breather, share price momentum has shifted positive and we expect this to continue alongside upgrades to Speedway synergy estimates.

Nikon (7731) | Focusing on the 4 Year View

By Mark Chadwick

  • The new four-year medium-term strategy that lays out a realistic route to greater profitability and growth.
  • The stock has been trading below book value for years
  • Buying back 10% of outstanding shares will give investors confidence 

Merger of Dongwon Industries & Dongwon Enterprise

By Douglas Kim

  • Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) plans to merge with Dongwon Enterprise, paving the way for the latter company to complete a back door public listing.
  • We believe this merger between Dongwon Industries and Dongwon Enterprise will have a positive impact on Dongwon Industries.
  • Once the merger is completed, there could be less pressure “to keep the share price of Dongwon Industries intentionally low” in order have more beneficial merger ratio with Dongwon Enteprise. 

Torikizoku Holdings (3193): Healthy Performance in March Despite Difficult Environment

By Mita Securities

  • Same-store sales were 126.7% vs. March 2021 (112.8% for February), 70.2% vs. March 2020 (36.9% for February), and 58.9% vs. March 2019 (39.1% for February)
  • The number of stores at the end of March was 615 (unchanged MoM). The number of directly owned stores was 384 (unchanged MoM).
  • The company plans to open Torikizoku Hibiya Store in Yurakucho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, on April 11.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading, MINISO Group Holdings, Tesla Motors, Kura Sushi Inc, Asbury Automotive, Marico Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading (ULTJ IJ) – Back on the Boil
  • Miniso to Increase Liquidity Via a Dual Primary Listing on HKEX
  • Tesla Shanghai Still Down; Elon Still Quiet
  • Kura Sushi (2695): Conan & Crab Popular in March; Kura Sushi Is Becoming a Food Amusement Park
  • Vltava Fund – Letter To Shareholders Q1 2022
  • Marico Ltd: Inflation and Weak Rural Sentiments Weigh on Near-Term Delivery

Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading (ULTJ IJ) – Back on the Boil

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Indonesia’s leading UHT milk and carton tea producer Ultrajaya Milk Industry booked a strong set of FY2021 results, with a convincing recovery in 4Q2021, which should carry through into FY2022. 
  • The company continues to increase raw milk sourcing locally, which will alleviate rising global prices, and it is expanding its distribution network and new products to drive demand. 
  • Ultrajaya is a market leader in its main product categories, yet trades at half the valuation of recently listed Cisarua Mountain Dairy, which looks excessive with potential upside to valuation.

Miniso to Increase Liquidity Via a Dual Primary Listing on HKEX

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Last week, MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) filed an application to conduct a follow-on public offering of ordinary shares on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
  • The Hong Kong listing will be treated as a second primary listing, resulting in a substantial improvement in the stock’s liquidity.
  • With the improvement in liquidity following the Hong Kong offer, there could be a significant upside to Miniso shares in the short term.

Tesla Shanghai Still Down; Elon Still Quiet

By Vicki Bryan

  • Tesla Shanghai is still down nearly two weeks so far on stringent health orders to address surging Covid cases across China.
  • This threatens Tesla’s second quarter results just after it likely missed market expectations for record first quarter results.
  • And still not a peep out of Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who rarely misses a chance to complainabout government oversight—at least in the US.

Kura Sushi (2695): Conan & Crab Popular in March; Kura Sushi Is Becoming a Food Amusement Park

By Mita Securities

  • March SSS: 106.3% vs. 2021, 103.7% vs. 2019 (pre-pandemic)

  • Same-store sales of other revolving sushi formats in March (compared to March 2021 and March 2019) were 93.5% and 96.8% for Sushiro (Food & Life Companies), 104.4% and 89.9% for Genki Sushi, and 89.7% and 82.2% for Kappa Sushi, respectively

  • The number of stores at the end of February was 510 in Japan (+3 MoM), 37 in the U.S. (+1 MoM), and 45 in Taiwan (+1 MoM). The total number of stores was 592 (+5 MoM)


Vltava Fund – Letter To Shareholders Q1 2022

By Fund Newsletters

  • Vltava is a global equity investment fund.
  • Its objective is to achieve long-term capital growth of the assets under management while investing primarily into publicly traded companies.
  • If Putin has succeeded in anything, it is to completely dismantle a functioning domestic economy virtually overnight.
  • We probably never have seen anything like this before.

Marico Ltd: Inflation and Weak Rural Sentiments Weigh on Near-Term Delivery

By Nirmal Bang

  • As per an update released by Marico Ltd (MRCO) on 5th April2022, the FMCG sector continued to witness subdued consumption patterns, primarily on account of weak rural sentiments and persistent inflation in global commodities.
  • Inflation, accompanied by price hikes implemented across FMCG categories, affected consumer wallets and eventually resulted in decline in FMCG volume.
  • Despite stressed macros, MRCO’s domestic business (~75% of topline) saw low single-digit revenue growth on the back of focused execution and market share gains

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Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Consumer: Beenos Inc, Honda Motor, JD Health, Ohsho Food Service, J Front Retailing and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • GoTo May Not Be So Expensive, If You Own It Through Beenos
  • Honda – Expanding EV Partnership With GM
  • JD Health (6618.HK) 2021 Results – The Logic and the Outlook
  • Ohsho Food Service (9936): Record High Sales for March. Full-Year Sales Exceed the Company’s Target
  • J-Front (3086) | Recent Datapoints Point to High-End Shoppers Loosening the Purse Strings

GoTo May Not Be So Expensive, If You Own It Through Beenos

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Beenos Inc (3328 JP) is a relatively small cross-border e-commerce and internet company from Japan with a consolidated GMV of ¥64.7bn last year.
  • The company also runs an incubator platform to create new businesses and invest in start-ups mainly in emerging regions such as India and South-East Asia.
  • Down below, we analyse the impact on Beenos’ valuation following GOTO’s impending IPO of which Beenos owns 0.5%.

Honda – Expanding EV Partnership With GM

By Mio Kato

  • Honda and GM announced today that they would further expand their partnership on EV technologies.
  • A new EV series will be produced for North America by 2027 and the two companies will collaborate on advanced battery technologies.
  • This is an incremental positive for Honda and GM but the array of partnerships Honda is creating points to a lack of decisiveness on its part.

JD Health (6618.HK) 2021 Results – The Logic and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The 2021 performance of JD Health (6618 HK) beat market expectation. The scale of annual active users, commodity SKU, warehouse, logistics, medical resources, etc. all had breakthroughs.
  • The growth rate and gross margin of service revenue were higher than that of product revenue. So, the performance of service sector can better determine JD Health’s future outlook.
  • The outlook of online healthcare service is uncertain.Whether successful or not, JD Health still has other businesses to support future development, and is therefore our top pick in this sector.

Ohsho Food Service (9936): Record High Sales for March. Full-Year Sales Exceed the Company’s Target

By Mita Securities

  • Ohsho Food Service (9936, the company) disclosed monthly data for its directly-owned stores for March (on a preliminary basis)
  • FY3/22 full-year sales for its directly-owned stores were 77.2bn yen on an all-store basis (104.9% vs. FY3/21), and 74.9bn yen on a same-store basis (103.1% vs. FY3/21)
  • In March, the company opened one new store (one directly-owned store) and closed no store

J-Front (3086) | Recent Datapoints Point to High-End Shoppers Loosening the Purse Strings

By Mark Chadwick

  • J-Front Retailing, a Japanese department store operator, will announce full-year results on April 11.
  • We expect FY2/23 guidance to be more optimistic as Japan normalises post COVID. 
  • Pent up demand for luxury goods to drive recovery of department stores. J-Front is still trading below book value.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma