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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ECM: Pony AI Secondary HK Offering – Stock Has Been Volatile and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Pony AI Secondary HK Offering – Stock Has Been Volatile, a Look at Possible Trading Setup
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Sany Heavy Industry IPO Valuation Analysis
  • CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Elevated Debt Amid Inconsistent Growth
  • Fibocom IPO Trading: Sluggish Demand
  • Pre-IPO Herb Standard Holdings Limited – The Business, the Concerns and the Outlook
  • Laser Power & Infra Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Pony AI Secondary HK Offering – Stock Has Been Volatile, a Look at Possible Trading Setup

By Sumeet Singh

  • Pony AI (PONY US) plans to raise around US$1bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.
  • The company won HK listing approval and filed its PHIP on 17th October 2025. It will look to launch its secondary offering soon.
  • In this note, we’ll take a look at the deal and talk about the impact of the raising.

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Sany Heavy Industry IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Sany Heavy Industry is target price of CNY21.1 per share. This represents 7.6% lower than current price of CNY22.83 per share.
  • IPO price of Sany Heavy is expected to be set between HKD20.30 and HKD21.30. Our valuation analysis suggests lack of a meaningful upside for Sany Heavy Industry listing in HK.
  • There are still lack of a major turnaround of the property market in China and this could continue to negatively impact the overall construction equipment market in China.

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Elevated Debt Amid Inconsistent Growth

By Akshat Shah

  • CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd (8382406Z IN) (CEESL) is looking to raise about US$586m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • CEESL is a provider of commercial and industrial renewable energy, specializing in delivering decarbonization solutions, including supplying renewable power and offering energy services and carbon credit solutions to customers.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Fibocom IPO Trading: Sluggish Demand

By Nicholas Tan

  • Fibocom Wireless (300638 CH)  raised US$380m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It was founded in Nov 1999, and is a leading wireless communication module provider. The firm’s module products include i) data transmission modules, ii) smart modules, and iii) AI modules.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Pre-IPO Herb Standard Holdings Limited – The Business, the Concerns and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Herb Standard adopts light-asset model, which helps to bring about high gross margin.However, gross margin showed a declining trend due to increase in promotional discounts to capture more market share
  • The total sales value of products returned was up 317% YoY in FY2025 due to unsold products after promotional events. There’re concerns whether the current strong growth momentum is sustainable
  • Our forecast is revenue to increase 20%/15%/12% and net profit to increase 14% /11.7%/8.8% in FY2026/FY2027/FY2028, respectively.Due to higher growth/profit margin, valuation of Herb Standard could be higher than peer

Laser Power & Infra Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Laser Power & Infra Limited (1635018D IN) is looking to raise about US$135m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI Securities and IIFL.
  • Laser Power & Infra Limited (LPIL) is an integrated manufacturer and EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) solutions provider for the power transmission and distribution industry in India.
  • The company operates two primary business segments: Manufacturing and EPC, which together form a vertically integrated model.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Sany Heavy Industry, UBTech Robotics, BeNext-Yumeshin Group, Doosan Enerbility, Kanematsu Corp, Orient Overseas International, COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore), The Keepers Holdings, iWOW Technology Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights
  • UBTech Robotics (9880 HK): Global Index Inclusion Likely in November
  • Sany Heavy Industry IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Primer: BeNext-Yumeshin Group (2154 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Kanematsu Corp (8020 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Orient Overseas International (316 HK) – Oct 2025
  • 10 in 10 with COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) – Building Value in Logistics
  • Primer: The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) – Oct 2025
  • Capital Raising Focus: Reclaims Global, iWOW, Vividthree


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


UBTech Robotics (9880 HK): Global Index Inclusion Likely in November

By Brian Freitas

  • The increase in the stock price over the last 3 months could result in UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) being added to a global index in November.
  • There is a fair amount to buy in the stock and cumulative excess volume has picked up since July. Short interest has dropped over the same period.
  • The recent drop in the stock price provides a better entry point for a short-term trade as positioning builds up ahead of the potential passive buying.

Sany Heavy Industry IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Sany Heavy Industry is target price of CNY21.1 per share. This represents 7.6% lower than current price of CNY22.83 per share.
  • IPO price of Sany Heavy is expected to be set between HKD20.30 and HKD21.30. Our valuation analysis suggests lack of a meaningful upside for Sany Heavy Industry listing in HK.
  • There are still lack of a major turnaround of the property market in China and this could continue to negatively impact the overall construction equipment market in China.

Primer: BeNext-Yumeshin Group (2154 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • BeNext-Yumeshin Group is a major player in the Japanese human resource services industry, specializing in the dispatch of engineers and technical staff across several key sectors.
  • The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory in revenue and net income, supported by a robust dividend payout history, making it an attractive proposition for income-oriented investors.
  • Key challenges include navigating the highly competitive and fragmented domestic market, managing risks associated with economic cyclicality, and adapting to evolving labor regulations in Japan.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Doosan Enerbility is strategically pivoting towards eco-friendly energy solutions, including gas turbines, renewables (wind, hydrogen), and small modular reactors (SMRs), positioning itself to capitalize on the global energy transition.
  • The company maintains a strong, albeit cyclical, position in the global power and water plant construction market, with core competencies in nuclear reactors, turbines, and desalination technologies.
  • Financial performance is characterized by revenue growth but significant volatility in profitability and cash flow, alongside a high valuation (P/E > 100x) that presents a risk for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Kanematsu Corp (8020 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Kanematsu is a diversified general trading company distinguishing itself with a strong focus on high-growth areas like ICT Solutions and Electronics & Devices, which now constitute the majority of its operating profit.
  • The company exhibits a shareholder-friendly capital return policy, evidenced by a strong dividend yield and a consistent track record of increasing dividend payouts, supported by robust cash flow generation.
  • Recent performance highlights a tale of two businesses: significant profit growth in technology-related segments is being partially offset by pronounced weakness in the more traditional Motor Vehicles & Aerospace and Foods, Meat & Grain segments.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Orient Overseas International (316 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • OOIL is a core subsidiary of the state-owned COSCO SHIPPING, operating as a key entity within the world’s fourth-largest container shipping group, which provides significant operational and financial backing.
  • The container shipping industry is facing a challenging outlook with significant new vessel capacity entering the market, which is expected to outpace demand growth through 2026, potentially pressuring freight rates and profitability.
  • Despite the cyclical downturn from the post-pandemic peak, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with a high net cash position, supporting a robust dividend payout and providing resilience against market volatility.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


10 in 10 with COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) – Building Value in Logistics

By Geoff Howie

  • COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) reported a 10.6% revenue increase in 1H 2025, driven by logistics and marine engineering growth.
  • The company is constructing Jurong Island Logistics Hub Phase 2, with completion expected in Q4 2026, enhancing logistics infrastructure.
  • Key risks for 2025 include potential global trade slowdown, operational disruptions, and regulatory changes affecting logistics and marine services.

Primer: The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR) is the dominant distributor of imported spirits in the Philippines, boasting a market share of 74% by volume. This commanding position is anchored by its exclusive distribution rights for high-demand products like Alfonso Brandy.
  • The company is pursuing growth through strategic acquisitions, such as the planned purchase of Booze Online Inc. to enter the beer market and a 50% stake in Bodegas William & Humbert to secure its supply of Alfonso Brandy.
  • While demonstrating robust double-digit revenue and profit growth, KEEPR faces headwinds from margin compression due to foreign exchange volatility and an unfavorable product mix. However, its strong balance sheet, net cash position, and attractive valuation present a compelling investment case.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Capital Raising Focus: Reclaims Global, iWOW, Vividthree

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks from Oct 10 to 16, with a net outflow of S$167 million.
  • United Overseas Bank led share buybacks with 500,000 shares at S$34.91, totaling S$39.3 million across 19 companies.
  • Reclaims Global proposed a placement of 15,384,700 shares at S$0.39 each, raising approximately S$5.75 million.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Takaichi Era Begins and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Takaichi Era Begins
  • Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment
  • US Banks – Cockroaches? Weekly LLR Only 0.32% YoY. Comment Appears to Be In Contrast to Data


Ohayo Japan | Takaichi Era Begins

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks were mixed as the Dow hit a record high on strong GM and Coca-Cola earnings, while a Trump–Putin meeting delay signalled uncertainty over the Budapest summit.
  • Gold -5%, Silver -6.3%: Gold saw its biggest one-day drop in over a decade. Precious metals stocks fell sharply: Wheaton -9%, Newmont -9%.
  • Japan’s first female Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, pledges to tackle rising living costs, prioritizing economic policies over an early election, while planning to abolish the gasoline tax.

Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

By Andrew Jackson

  • Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.
  • Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.
  • Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex’s Hinotori with the stock on its knees?

US Banks – Cockroaches? Weekly LLR Only 0.32% YoY. Comment Appears to Be In Contrast to Data

By Daniel Tabbush

  • The comment by JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM US) about its two bad loans suggesting there will be more, something like ‘cockroaches’ coming out from nowhere. 
  • The weekly data from H8 filings at the Fed have been showing lower LLR for many weeks, suggesting a better credit environment not worsening – whatever the animal.
  • The reality is that most banks that have announced in the US are showing lower credit costs, lower NPLs or benign growth in bad loans. 

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Daily Brief Financials: USD, Toast , ICG Enterprise Trust plc, State Bank Of India, The Diverse Income Trust PLC, Duke Capital , Longfor Properties and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Global FX: Sailing the USD Bearish Ship in Murky Waters
  • Toast Inc (TOST) – Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025
  • ICG Enterprise Trust plc (ICGT): Mid-teens EBITDA growth and long-term returns
  • Primer: State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) – Oct 2025
  • The Diverse Income Trust — Anticipating a UK small-cap super cycle
  • Primer: Duke Capital (DUKE LN) – Oct 2025
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Global FX: Sailing the USD Bearish Ship in Murky Waters

By At Any Rate

  • The longer the US government shutdown continues, the more headwinds accumulate against the dollar and investor conviction remains low.
  • Despite near term uncertainty, a dollar bearish outlook is maintained, with a focus on outside the US pro-cyclical growth metrics.
  • Developments in US regional banks and escalating US-China trade tensions are key factors affecting global markets, with potential impacts on FX, risk events, and Eurodollar performance.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Toast Inc (TOST) – Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Toast faces concerns over overestimated unit economics as it expands into new verticals, particularly with Enterprise customers like Applebee’s.
  • Projections for fiscal year 2026 appear unrealistic given Toast’s high valuation of approximately 45x forward EBITDA, risking market re-evaluation.
  • Despite challenges with some software modules, Toast has significantly increased its market share among U.S. restaurants from under 5% to over 15%.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


ICG Enterprise Trust plc (ICGT): Mid-teens EBITDA growth and long-term returns

By Hardman & Co

  • The key message from ICGT’s 1HFY’26 results (to July 2025) is the continued strength of the operating companies, which delivered, on average, 15% LTM EBITDA growth.
  • Margins have widened by ca.5% (average revenue growth 10%), which should help allay some concerns over the impact of the challenging environment.
  • New investment is forecast to accelerate, and realisation proceeds already exceed FY’25 with an average 14% uplift to carrying values on exit.

Primer: State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Leader with Unmatched Reach: State Bank of India (SBI) is the largest public sector bank in India, commanding a significant market share of approximately 22.55% in deposits and 19.06% in advances as of March 2024. Its extensive network of over 22,000 branches and more than 65,000 ATMs provides an unparalleled physical presence, particularly in rural and semi-urban areas, forming a key competitive advantage.
  • Strong Financial Performance and Growth Trajectory: The bank has demonstrated robust financial performance, with a significant increase in net profit and consistent revenue growth over the past three years. This is driven by healthy credit expansion, particularly in the retail and corporate segments, and improving asset quality with declining non-performing assets (NPAs).
  • Digital Transformation Driving Future Growth: SBI is heavily invested in digital transformation, with its YONO (You Only Need One) platform being a cornerstone of its strategy. YONO has over 87 million registered users and is a significant contributor to savings account openings and retail loan origination, positioning the bank to cater to a growing tech-savvy customer base and enhance operational efficiency.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


The Diverse Income Trust — Anticipating a UK small-cap super cycle

By Edison Investment Research

The Diverse Income Trust’s (DIVI’s) managers, Gervais Williams and Martin Turner at Premier Miton Investors, are currently remarkably upbeat. Usually, when market leadership becomes too concentrated, like now in US large-cap technology stocks, investor preferences shift towards another group of companies. The managers believe that equity income stocks are set to become the new market favourites as, in a nationalistic world when asset prices are volatile, a steady stream of cash paid directly into investors’ bank accounts becomes a major advantage. They expect this trend to particularly favour the UK stock market as it has a large cohort of equity income stocks and has been devalued by persistent outflows since Brexit. Williams and Turner consider that many UK small-cap equity income stocks have fallen to ‘absurdly low valuations’; hence, they are the most bullish that they have been for 30 years. The managers anticipate a UK market super cycle, especially within small-cap stocks, which would likely become a very favourable long-term tailwind to DIVI’s performance, in addition to the value generated by the trust’s income strategy.


Primer: Duke Capital (DUKE LN) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Duke Capital offers a unique, high-yield investment proposition through its specialized royalty financing model, providing long-term, non-dilutive capital to established SMEs.
  • Recent financial performance shows resilient growth in recurring cash revenues, demonstrating the stability of its core business model despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. However, overall net income has declined significantly due to non-cash fair value adjustments and a lack of profitable exits.
  • The company’s strategy is focused on supporting existing portfolio companies’ ‘buy-and-build’ strategies and transitioning towards a third-party capital model to reduce shareholder dilution and scale its operations.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bukit Makmur Mandiri, Longfor Group
  • UST yields declined yesterday, led by the long end. The yield on the 2Y UST was stable at 3.46%, while that on the 10Y UST fell 3 bps to 3.98%.
  • Equities climbed for a second day, on the back of generally strong Q3/25 earnings releases from US corporates. The S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 6,735, and the Nasdaq was up 1.4% at 22,991.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bukit Makmur Mandiri, Longfor Group
  • UST yields declined yesterday, led by the long end. The yield on the 2Y UST was stable at 3.46%, while that on the 10Y UST fell 3 bps to 3.98%.
  • Equities climbed for a second day, on the back of generally strong Q3/25 earnings releases from US corporates. The S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 6,735, and the Nasdaq was up 1.4% at 22,991.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Briefing. TSMC Dismissed Bubble Fears and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Briefing. TSMC Dismissed Bubble Fears, Why a 2% Target?, Warehouse Market Turns, New CoStar Threat
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 245% – 80% Upside
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Sinks Sharply; ASE Near Parity Again
  • Enterprise Prodct Partnrs Lp (EPD) – Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025
  • Toast Inc (TOST) – Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025
  • Dream International (1126 HK): Postcard From Hong Kong, October 2025
  • Primer: BeNext-Yumeshin Group (2154 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) – Oct 2025
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #47: Aniplus
  • 10 in 10 with COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) – Building Value in Logistics


Briefing. TSMC Dismissed Bubble Fears, Why a 2% Target?, Warehouse Market Turns, New CoStar Threat

By The Synopsis

  • Federal Reserve expected to reduce interest rates amid labor market weakness and inflation concerns
  • Fed officials divided on future rate cuts, with market anticipating continued easing cycle and potential changes in personnel influencing decisions

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Pop Mart (9992 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 245% – 80% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • The growth rate of total revenue accelerated to 245% YoY in 3Q25.
  • Within China revenue, the growth rates of both online and offline accelerated in 3Q25.
  • The company highlighted that revenues surged significantly in America and Europe.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Sinks Sharply; ASE Near Parity Again

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +22.1% Premium; Continue to View 24% or Higher as Level to Short From
  • UMC: +0.4% Premium; Results Coming… Wait for More Extreme Spread Levels
  • ASE: +0.4% Premium; Near Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread

Enterprise Prodct Partnrs Lp (EPD) – Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) operates a comprehensive network for transporting and processing natural gas liquids, crude oil, and petrochemicals as a master limited partnership.
  • EPD’s competitive edge comes from its vertically integrated system, enhancing market access and reliability for major industry customers, particularly in Texas and along the Houston Ship Channel.
  • With a 7.0% yield and strong governance, EPD is well-positioned to benefit from U.S. petrochemical growth and maintains a stable distribution supported by robust cash flow.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Toast Inc (TOST) – Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Toast faces concerns over overestimated unit economics as it expands into new verticals, particularly with Enterprise customers like Applebee’s.
  • Projections for fiscal year 2026 appear unrealistic given Toast’s high valuation of approximately 45x forward EBITDA, risking market re-evaluation.
  • Despite challenges with some software modules, Toast has significantly increased its market share among U.S. restaurants from under 5% to over 15%.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Dream International (1126 HK): Postcard From Hong Kong, October 2025

By Sameer Taneja

  • We met with the management of Dream International (1126 HK) in Hong Kong. The company is riding a hectic phase with its Vietnam operations running at full capacity.
  • Management is evaluating capacity expansion in Indonesia and Vietnam for plastic and plush toy production serving China, targeting an aggregate capacity increase of approximately 20–30% to meet demand.
  • The stock has pulled back and trades at 8.9x PE, 5.1 EV-EBITDA, with a 6.2% dividend yield and 21% of the market capitalization in cash, and 10 Yr-Avg ROCE ~20%. 

Primer: BeNext-Yumeshin Group (2154 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • BeNext-Yumeshin Group is a major player in the Japanese human resource services industry, specializing in the dispatch of engineers and technical staff across several key sectors.
  • The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory in revenue and net income, supported by a robust dividend payout history, making it an attractive proposition for income-oriented investors.
  • Key challenges include navigating the highly competitive and fragmented domestic market, managing risks associated with economic cyclicality, and adapting to evolving labor regulations in Japan.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Doosan Enerbility is strategically pivoting towards eco-friendly energy solutions, including gas turbines, renewables (wind, hydrogen), and small modular reactors (SMRs), positioning itself to capitalize on the global energy transition.
  • The company maintains a strong, albeit cyclical, position in the global power and water plant construction market, with core competencies in nuclear reactors, turbines, and desalination technologies.
  • Financial performance is characterized by revenue growth but significant volatility in profitability and cash flow, alongside a high valuation (P/E > 100x) that presents a risk for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Korea Small Cap Gem #47: Aniplus

By Douglas Kim

  • Aniplus is increasingly becoming a leading player in the anime contents production and distribution in Korea. The company’s anime contents have potential to expand globally. 
  • Valuations are attractive. It is trading at P/E of 9x in 2025 and 7.9x in 2026 based on consensus earnings estimates. 
  • If we use P/E of 15x on 2026E net profit of 26.9 billion won, this would suggest a market cap of 404 billion won (95% higher than current market cap). 

10 in 10 with COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) – Building Value in Logistics

By Geoff Howie

  • COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) reported a 10.6% revenue increase in 1H 2025, driven by logistics and marine engineering growth.
  • The company is constructing Jurong Island Logistics Hub Phase 2, with completion expected in Q4 2026, enhancing logistics infrastructure.
  • Key risks for 2025 include potential global trade slowdown, operational disruptions, and regulatory changes affecting logistics and marine services.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals
  • Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU): Adamantem’s A$0.87/Share Offer
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): 21st November Vote On TPG’s Offer
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): Scheme Vote on 21 November
  • Bel Fuse Arbitrage Opportunity, Mayne Pharma Court Win, Pacific Current Buyback, STAAR Proxy Pushback, Empresaria Board Overhaul
  • China Resources Beverage IPO Lockup – US$1bn+ PE Release
  • Vestas (VWS) SLB: Trade the Jan to Apr 2026 Publication Window


The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

By David Blennerhassett

  • In Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.
  • The US and Australia will each “provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months
  • Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including Arafura Resources (ARU AU)

Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU): Adamantem’s A$0.87/Share Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 18th August, Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU), Australia’s largest rural and regional veterinary group, announced a A$0.88/share non-binding indicative Offer from PE outfit Adamantem Capital.
  • That was a 64.5% premium to last close. If terms were firmed, shareholders would also be afforded a partial scrip option.
  • Apiam and Adamantem have now firmed terms at A$0.87/share, including a permitted fully franked dividend up to A$0.10/share. Mix & match options available, including 100% scrip.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): 21st November Vote On TPG’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 20th August, Lynch Group (LGL AU), an integrated wholesale floral play, entered into a Scheme with Hasfarm Holdings and Darwin Aus Bidco – both are TPG entities.
  • TPG offered A$2.245/share, a 28.3% premium to last close, including a A$0.09/share fully franked dividend. 38.5% of shareholders were supportive. TPG held a call option for 19.9% of shares out.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 21st November, and expected implementation on the 9th December. The IE (KPMG) says “fair & reasonable”. Clean deal.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): Scheme Vote on 21 November

By Arun George

  • The Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU) IE considers TPG Inc (TPG US)’s A$2.155 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$1.93 to A$2.27 valuation range.
  • The offer is conditional on shareholder approval. The vote remains low-risk as the majority of substantial shareholders are supportive.   
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a 9 December payment, the gross/annualised spread is 0.7%/5.1%.

Bel Fuse Arbitrage Opportunity, Mayne Pharma Court Win, Pacific Current Buyback, STAAR Proxy Pushback, Empresaria Board Overhaul

By Special Situation Investments

  • Bel Fuse’s Class A and B shares have a price gap, with BELFB trading 18% above BELFA, suggesting potential arbitrage.
  • Mayne Pharma’s court ruling favors MYX in the A$7.40/share takeover by Cosette, pending FIRB approval by October 31.
  • STAAR Surgical’s Q3 sales rose 7% YoY, driven by China demand recovery, amid proxy advisory opposition to Alcon’s offer.

China Resources Beverage IPO Lockup – US$1bn+ PE Release

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) (CRB) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. The lockup on its PE investor is set to expire soon.
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China and is one of the largest players in its categories.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Vestas (VWS) SLB: Trade the Jan to Apr 2026 Publication Window

By Evan Campbell, CFA

  • Trade call: Long the €500MM 2029s (XS2449928543) to underwrite a 2025 SPT 1 miss. Capture +5bps, and any signalling premium from a flagship renewable issuer missing own operations emissions
  • High miss risk: SPT 1 likely misses by >50%, while SPT 2 and SPT 3 look on track versus 2025 target thresholds.
  • Catalyst path: Measurement at Dec 31st, 2025, publication and assurance any date before Apr 29th, 2026. Step-up date fixes uplift from the next period after Jun 2026.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Pop Mart, Toyota Motor, Lynch Group Holdings, Aniplus, JBS, Dream International, Honda Motor, China Resources Beverage, Shakey’s Pizza and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Pop Mart (9992 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 245% – 80% Upside
  • Toyota Motor (7203 JP) Tactical Outlook: Awaiting Imminent Pullback
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): 21st November Vote On TPG’s Offer
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): Scheme Vote on 21 November
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #47: Aniplus
  • JBS N.V. (JBS US): Brazilian Meat Giant Set for US Index Inclusion After Dual Listing
  • Dream International (1126 HK): Postcard From Hong Kong, October 2025
  • Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%
  • China Resources Beverage IPO Lockup – US$1bn+ PE Release
  • Primer: Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) – Oct 2025


Pop Mart (9992 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 245% – 80% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • The growth rate of total revenue accelerated to 245% YoY in 3Q25.
  • Within China revenue, the growth rates of both online and offline accelerated in 3Q25.
  • The company highlighted that revenues surged significantly in America and Europe.

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) Tactical Outlook: Awaiting Imminent Pullback

By Nico Rosti

  • Toyota Motor (7203 JP) has been going nowhere since July 2025 and before that it dropped from its highest peak. Long-term bullish, but short term we expect a pullback.
  • Our model shows that the current trend pattern for Toyota Motor (7203 JP) is not bullish, usually the stock pulls back after 2 weeks up, i.e. end of this week.
  • We propose this analysis of the pullback as an opportunity to buy at higher prices, or otherwise to hedge your holdings, if you want to tactically optimize returns.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): 21st November Vote On TPG’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 20th August, Lynch Group (LGL AU), an integrated wholesale floral play, entered into a Scheme with Hasfarm Holdings and Darwin Aus Bidco – both are TPG entities.
  • TPG offered A$2.245/share, a 28.3% premium to last close, including a A$0.09/share fully franked dividend. 38.5% of shareholders were supportive. TPG held a call option for 19.9% of shares out.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 21st November, and expected implementation on the 9th December. The IE (KPMG) says “fair & reasonable”. Clean deal.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): Scheme Vote on 21 November

By Arun George

  • The Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU) IE considers TPG Inc (TPG US)’s A$2.155 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$1.93 to A$2.27 valuation range.
  • The offer is conditional on shareholder approval. The vote remains low-risk as the majority of substantial shareholders are supportive.   
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a 9 December payment, the gross/annualised spread is 0.7%/5.1%.

Korea Small Cap Gem #47: Aniplus

By Douglas Kim

  • Aniplus is increasingly becoming a leading player in the anime contents production and distribution in Korea. The company’s anime contents have potential to expand globally. 
  • Valuations are attractive. It is trading at P/E of 9x in 2025 and 7.9x in 2026 based on consensus earnings estimates. 
  • If we use P/E of 15x on 2026E net profit of 26.9 billion won, this would suggest a market cap of 404 billion won (95% higher than current market cap). 

JBS N.V. (JBS US): Brazilian Meat Giant Set for US Index Inclusion After Dual Listing

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • JBS (JBS US) is now listed in both Brazil and the US following its dual listing on 13 June 2025.
  • The majority of the company’s assets and revenues are in North and Central America, resulting in eligibility for US nationality.
  • With a company market cap of $14.5bn, the security is expected to be added to a US index in June 2026 following eligible nationality and public voting rights.

Dream International (1126 HK): Postcard From Hong Kong, October 2025

By Sameer Taneja

  • We met with the management of Dream International (1126 HK) in Hong Kong. The company is riding a hectic phase with its Vietnam operations running at full capacity.
  • Management is evaluating capacity expansion in Indonesia and Vietnam for plastic and plush toy production serving China, targeting an aggregate capacity increase of approximately 20–30% to meet demand.
  • The stock has pulled back and trades at 8.9x PE, 5.1 EV-EBITDA, with a 6.2% dividend yield and 21% of the market capitalization in cash, and 10 Yr-Avg ROCE ~20%. 

Long Honda (7267 JP) Vs. Short Subaru (7270 JP): Japan Auto Stat Arb Opportunity Targeting 5%

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Honda (7267 JP) vs. Subaru (7270 JP) price-ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Honda (7267 JP) and short Subaru (7270 JP) targets a 5% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

China Resources Beverage IPO Lockup – US$1bn+ PE Release

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) (CRB) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. The lockup on its PE investor is set to expire soon.
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China and is one of the largest players in its categories.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Primer: Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures (PIZZA) is aggressively pursuing a multi-brand global expansion strategy, targeting 420-430 new stores in FY25, with a strong focus on its high-growth Potato Corner brand in international markets like the US and China.
  • Despite a recent 34% YoY profit decline in Q2 FY25 due to margin pressures, the company anticipates a significant earnings recovery in the second half of the year, driven by new store openings and seasonal strength in Q4.
  • The company has demonstrated a robust long-term growth track record with a 3-year revenue CAGR of 38.16% and a net income CAGR of 113.30%, though it faces intense competition and execution risks related to its rapid expansion.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Australia: Lynas Corp Ltd, Apiam Animal Health, Lynch Group Holdings, Mayne Pharma, Provaris Energy , REA Group Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: LNW Float Revision; Gold Names Rally; More Surprises Possible
  • The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals
  • Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU): Adamantem’s A$0.87/Share Offer
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): 21st November Vote On TPG’s Offer
  • Lynch Group (LGL AU): Scheme Vote on 21 November
  • Bel Fuse Arbitrage Opportunity, Mayne Pharma Court Win, Pacific Current Buyback, STAAR Proxy Pushback, Empresaria Board Overhaul
  • Provaris Energy Ltd – Set to recommence tank prototype fabrication and testing
  • Treasure Chest: REA Group


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: LNW Float Revision; Gold Names Rally; More Surprises Possible

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
  • We expect two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, and five changes for ASX 200.
  • The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.

The U.S./Aussie Bilateral Framework On Critical Minerals

By David Blennerhassett

  • In Friendshoring Aussie Rare Earths, I expected some critical mineral deals would be struck when Aussie PM Albanese and Trump met. And that is what unfolded.
  • The US and Australia will each “provide at least US$1bn in investments towards an US$$8.5bn pipeline of critical minerals projects in Australia and the U.S. over the next six months
  • Separately, Albanese announced two priority projects in Australia, including Arafura Resources (ARU AU)

Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU): Adamantem’s A$0.87/Share Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 18th August, Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU), Australia’s largest rural and regional veterinary group, announced a A$0.88/share non-binding indicative Offer from PE outfit Adamantem Capital.
  • That was a 64.5% premium to last close. If terms were firmed, shareholders would also be afforded a partial scrip option.
  • Apiam and Adamantem have now firmed terms at A$0.87/share, including a permitted fully franked dividend up to A$0.10/share. Mix & match options available, including 100% scrip.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): 21st November Vote On TPG’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 20th August, Lynch Group (LGL AU), an integrated wholesale floral play, entered into a Scheme with Hasfarm Holdings and Darwin Aus Bidco – both are TPG entities.
  • TPG offered A$2.245/share, a 28.3% premium to last close, including a A$0.09/share fully franked dividend. 38.5% of shareholders were supportive. TPG held a call option for 19.9% of shares out.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 21st November, and expected implementation on the 9th December. The IE (KPMG) says “fair & reasonable”. Clean deal.

Lynch Group (LGL AU): Scheme Vote on 21 November

By Arun George

  • The Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU) IE considers TPG Inc (TPG US)’s A$2.155 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$1.93 to A$2.27 valuation range.
  • The offer is conditional on shareholder approval. The vote remains low-risk as the majority of substantial shareholders are supportive.   
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. At the last close and for a 9 December payment, the gross/annualised spread is 0.7%/5.1%.

Bel Fuse Arbitrage Opportunity, Mayne Pharma Court Win, Pacific Current Buyback, STAAR Proxy Pushback, Empresaria Board Overhaul

By Special Situation Investments

  • Bel Fuse’s Class A and B shares have a price gap, with BELFB trading 18% above BELFA, suggesting potential arbitrage.
  • Mayne Pharma’s court ruling favors MYX in the A$7.40/share takeover by Cosette, pending FIRB approval by October 31.
  • STAAR Surgical’s Q3 sales rose 7% YoY, driven by China demand recovery, amid proxy advisory opposition to Alcon’s offer.

Provaris Energy Ltd – Set to recommence tank prototype fabrication and testing

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Provaris Energy Ltd (ASX.PV1) represents an unique investment opportunity as a leveraged play on the growing shift globally to alternative energy and carbon reduction, but particularly in Europe.
  • With the imminent recommencement of prototype tank fabrication commercial progress could accelerate from this point with testing and certification of its proprietary hydrogen ‘storage tank’ design underpinning two hydrogen supply, offtake and shipping agreements becoming unconditional and material progress of the CO2 FEED evaluation in partnership with Yinson.
  • Class approval for the tank design would be the anchor point from which the dual business streams crystallise.

Treasure Chest: REA Group

By FNArena

  • FNArena’s Treasure Chest reports on money making ideas from stockbrokers and other experts.
  • Today’s idea is REA Group.
  • -History suggests there is too much concern around Co-Star’s entry into the Australian market -RBC Capital suggests ACCC probe is likely to have a negligible outcome -REA’s competitive position, network effects and pricing model place remain robust -The stock’s valuation looks compelling within historical context

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Daily Brief Macro: The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 20) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 20)
  • Global FX: Sailing the USD Bearish Ship in Murky Waters
  • Oil futures: Crude struggles at 5-mth lows as Trump-Putin talks flagged
  • Malaysia Economics: 2026 Budget Shows Consolidation By Containment, Not Reform
  • Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 20 October
  • Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October
  • Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October
  • Oil futures: Crude slides as trade tension, oversupply fears persist
  • Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 20)

By David Mudd

  • The materials sector continues its outperformance in Hong Kong, however the recent sharp pullback showed a weakening in strength and momentum.
  • Mainland investors continued to buy Hong Kong listed stocks heavily during the market pullback earlier this month.
  • Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK) quashed market rumors about a large robotic order from Tesla (TSLA US); however, it continues discussions on cooperation opportunities.

Global FX: Sailing the USD Bearish Ship in Murky Waters

By At Any Rate

  • The longer the US government shutdown continues, the more headwinds accumulate against the dollar and investor conviction remains low.
  • Despite near term uncertainty, a dollar bearish outlook is maintained, with a focus on outside the US pro-cyclical growth metrics.
  • Developments in US regional banks and escalating US-China trade tensions are key factors affecting global markets, with potential impacts on FX, risk events, and Eurodollar performance.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Oil futures: Crude struggles at 5-mth lows as Trump-Putin talks flagged

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures were again under pressure Friday after the latest selloff in the previous sessions sent prices tumbling to fresh five-month lows, coming amid proposed ceasefire talks in the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent  futures were trading at  $61.32/b (2055 BST) versus Thursday’s settle of $61.06/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI  was at  $57.22/b  against a previous close of $57.46/b.
  • Prices had found some support in the previous session after US President Donald Trump said he had received a pledge from Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to halt imports of Russian crude oil.

Malaysia Economics: 2026 Budget Shows Consolidation By Containment, Not Reform

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • Malaysia attempts to stick to its fiscal consolidation path, although this comes amid a backdrop of weaker global growth and stickier public spending obligations.   
  • The stagnation in development spending, lower revenue-to-GDP ratio, and higher debt service charge burden underline the incomplete nature of fiscal consolidation. 
  • While the fiscal targets remain nominally intact, the quality of its consolidation risks slippage in the coming years. Challenges to medium-term sustainability remain unaddressed.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 20 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Global base oils margins rise in response to increasingly lower crude oil prices.
  • Mostly-steady outright prices magnify impact of lower crude oil prices.
  • Firmer margins and steady outright prices point to stronger-than-usual fundamentals for the time of year.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

By Iain Pocock

  • US base oils demand could stay cautious amid signs of sufficient availability of supply even with current plant-maintenance work and as regular export cargoes remove surplus volumes.
  • Sufficient availability of supply suggests demand is sufficiently weak to balance out current drop in volumes.
  • US domestic Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil (VGO) holds in narrow range so far in Q4 2025, reflecting that dynamic.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

By Iain Pocock

  • US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year.
  • US Group II base oils domestic price-premium to export prices similarly stays in relatively narrow range so far this year.
  • US Group II heavy-grade price-discount to prices in markets like India similarly holds in relatively narrow range throughout most of this year.

Oil futures: Crude slides as trade tension, oversupply fears persist

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures opened the week softer as benchmarks continued to struggle in the face of global trade tensions and a looming supply glut.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $60.84/b (2012 BST) versus Thursday’s settle of $61.29/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at $56.86/b against a previous close of $57.54/b.
  • Prices continued to bump around five-month lows amid concerns over a recent escalation in the trade conflict between the US and China.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.
  • Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.
  • Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.
  • Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.
  • Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.

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