Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn, Cathay Pacific Airways, BQE Water , Qantm Intellectual Property, Duskin Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: 3 Changes Likely But Some Question Marks Over Certain Names
  • Cathay Pacific – Rising Inflationary Pressure Expedites Earnings Normalisation
  • Cathay Pacific (293 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.90): FY23 Better than Expected, and Surprise Dividends
  • BQE: Profitable & Growing Micro-Cap in the Water Treatment Industry
  • Qantm Weighs Rouse’s And Adamantem’s Proposals
  • Duskin (4665): Q3 FY03/24 Update


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: 3 Changes Likely But Some Question Marks Over Certain Names

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential ADDs and DELs for the STAR 50 index during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • I currently expect three changes for the STAR 50 index in June 2024 but there are some questions marks over the names leading the race to become ADDs.

Cathay Pacific – Rising Inflationary Pressure Expedites Earnings Normalisation

By Neil Glynn

  • 2023 results came in broadly in line with expectations but included a concerning step up in ex-fuel unit cost inflation.
  • We cut our 2024 EBITDAR by 10% to HK$22.2bn, which drives net income down 21% to HK$6.6bn, leaving us well below consensus.
  • We revisit Cathay’s margin generation problems from the last cycle, illustrating structural problems which require structural solutions.

Cathay Pacific (293 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.90): FY23 Better than Expected, and Surprise Dividends

By Mohshin Aziz

  • FY23 net profit of HKD9.1b, easily beating the consensus forecast of HKD8.5b, and announced a surprise dividend, the first since 2019, signally pandemic effects are over 
  • Perfect execution from the team, leveraging on a strong market 
  • Cathay Pacific is a value BUY, our target price of HK$9.90 (+10% UPSIDE) implies 10x FY2024 PE. We will update more after tuning in the 2 pm analyst briefing 

BQE: Profitable & Growing Micro-Cap in the Water Treatment Industry

By Atrium Research

  • BQE’s recurring revenue is growing as a percentage of total revenue, making its business more predictable and stable.
  • The Company has major tailwinds from increasing environmental regulations on water discharge as well as increasing mining capex.
  • BQE’s EBITDA margins have been steadily improving over the past five years due to its asset-light model, reaching 22% in 2023E. 

Qantm Weighs Rouse’s And Adamantem’s Proposals

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 27th Feb, Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU) announced a NBIO from UK-based Rouse International; but opted not to disclose price, DD, or even if this was a cash/scrip Offer.
  • Then on the 12th March, Qantm announced a NBIO from Adamantem Capital, by way of a Scheme, of $1.817/share in cash or with a scrip election of up to 50%
  • Qantm secured a trading halt yesterday morning, presumably to flesh out the best Offer for shareholders. Will IPH Ltd (IPH AU) throw its hat into the ring, again?

Duskin (4665): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Duskin Co Ltd (4665 JP) operates a Dust Control business where it rents mops and mats to residential and commercial customers through franchisees.
  • In FY03/23, Duskin posted revenue of JPY170.5bn, operating profit of JPY8.6bn, recurring profit of JPY11.4bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY7.2bn.
  • Duskin Co., Ltd. announced the cancellation of a portion of its treasury stock.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: QV Equities Ltd, Fairfax India Holdings, Bitcoin, J Trust Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • QV Equities (QVE AU) Backs WAM Leaders’ Cash/Scrip Offer
  • Fairfax India Hldgs Corp (FIH.U) – Wednesday, Dec 13, 2023
  • Charting the Web3 Horizon in 2024
  • J Trust (8508): Full-Year FY12/23 Update


QV Equities (QVE AU) Backs WAM Leaders’ Cash/Scrip Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 31 Jan, WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE AU), said it intended to make an off-market Offer after QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU) rejected its all-scrip NBIO.
  • WAM and QVE have now entered into a Scheme. The current scrip terms are 0.7609 new WAM shares per QVE share; OR A$1.02/share cash. Terms will be adjusted …
  • … in accordance with the most recently released NTA/shares of WAM and QVE. QVE shareholders are also expected to receive the quarterly dividend of A$0.013/share. 

Fairfax India Hldgs Corp (FIH.U) – Wednesday, Dec 13, 2023

By Value Investors Club

  • Fairfax India’s stock price may increase due to potential higher valuations
  • Company’s fee structure may be high but offers opportunity for strong returns
  • Investment in Fairfax India provides discounted opportunity with growth potential, specifically through ownership in Bangalore airport

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Charting the Web3 Horizon in 2024

By Ocular

  • There has been a renewed wave of optimism towards web3 in light of recent events, including the approval of the long-awaited spot Bitcoin ETF; and the surge in market activity in the early months of 2024.
  • On the regulatory front, we have seen the conclusion of several high-profile court cases and lawsuits, including some of the charges involving Ripple and Binance.
  • Beyond the results of the rulings (which many argue are in favour/support of web3), the resolution of these cases in itself has provided greater clarity and stability to the ecosystem.

J Trust (8508): Full-Year FY12/23 Update

By Shared Research

  • J Trust Co Ltd (8508 JP) is a financial services group operating banking and finance businesses in Asia. 
  • In FY12/23, the company reported full-year consolidated operating revenue of JPY114.3bn, operating profit of JPY8.1bn, pre-tax profit of JPY9.8bn, and profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY16.3bn.
  • On February 13, 2024, J Trust Co., Ltd. announced it has resolved on matters concerning the repurchase and cancellation of own shares.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial, Luckin Coffee, JD.com , Dongwon Industries, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, TVS Motor , Belle Fashion Group, Dr Horton Inc, Campbell Soup Co and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial Pre-IPO – The Positives – Has Benefited from a Growing Network
  • [Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US, BUY, TP US$37) TP Change]:Weak Sales in 1Q24 but Likely to Improve in 2Q24
  • JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! – Key Drivers
  • An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024
  • Will Parent Company Valuations Remain Undervalued Until the Parent-Subsidiary Listing Is Dissolved?
  • Fundamental Longs – TVS Motors | Nestle India | Honasa
  • Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Improving Margins Playing Catch Up
  • Belle Fashion Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates
  • D.R. Horton: Building a New Model – [Business Breakdowns, EP.154]
  • The Campbell Soup Company: Can The Acquisition Of Sovos Brands Be A Game Changer? – Key Drivers


Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial Pre-IPO – The Positives – Has Benefited from a Growing Network

By Clarence Chu

  • Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (AJI HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (Auntea) is a freshly-made beverage producer.
  • In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

[Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US, BUY, TP US$37) TP Change]:Weak Sales in 1Q24 but Likely to Improve in 2Q24

By Eric Wen

  • We cut Luckin Coffee’s 1Q24 revenue estimate by 3% to RMB7.9bn with 79% yoy and cut non-GAAP net income estimate by 42% to RMB318mn due to (1) weak sales;
  • We expect 2Q24 to be the turning point for earnings due to (1) sales improving with weather warm-up (2) ASP rebound from easing competition 
  • We maintain the stock as BUY rating but lower TP by US$4 to US$37 to factor in the temporary near-term weak sale.

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JD.com’s latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.
  • They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.
  • Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.

An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. 
  • The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. 
  • We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. 

Will Parent Company Valuations Remain Undervalued Until the Parent-Subsidiary Listing Is Dissolved?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It’s true that the difference in profit margins between a listed subsidiary that focuses on specific business and a parent company that has different businesses is the difference in valuations. 
  • It will be difficult for a parent company to reverse the valuations of its subsidiaries until the parent company dissolves the parent-subsidiary listing and increases its own profit margins.
  • With respect to corporate governance practices, companies with no major shareholders are included with relatively higher corporate governance scores, but this isn’t as significant difference as it tends to be.

Fundamental Longs – TVS Motors | Nestle India | Honasa

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • We screen our coverage universe for earnings surprises, EPS upgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental longs.
  • Stocks discussed include TVS Motor (TVSL IN), Nestle India (NEST IN), and Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) 
  • TVSL EVs could surprise, NEST offers the right safety in the current environment, and for HONASA there is a possibility of turning around. 

Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Improving Margins Playing Catch Up

By Clarence Chu

  • Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (AJI HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (Auntea) is a freshly-made beverage producer.
  • In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Belle Fashion Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates

By Sumeet Singh

  • Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise up to US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company recently refiled its application proof after a gap of two years.
  • As per F&S, it was the largest player in China’s fashion footwear market with a 12.3% market share, based on 2022 retail sales.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance based on its earlier filings in 2022. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.

D.R. Horton: Building a New Model – [Business Breakdowns, EP.154]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Ed Wachenheim, founder of Greenhaven Capital, discusses his experience in the homebuilding industry since the 1980s
  • Ed shares insights on the evolution of the homebuilding business model and his investment approach
  • Early investment in US Home led to a deep dive into the industry, identifying growth opportunities and the impact of market crises.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The Campbell Soup Company: Can The Acquisition Of Sovos Brands Be A Game Changer? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Campbell Soup Company’s earnings were decent and the company reported moderately optimistic results and future predictions for the company.
  • Clouse highlighted a sequential improvement in volume trends and year-over-year operating margin expansion in both divisions, despite slowed category trends over the last year due to economic pressures.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 8th): Enchem and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 8th): Enchem, Hmm


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 8th): Enchem, Hmm

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 8th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.7bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Enchem Co Ltd, and Hmm Co Ltd.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Semiconductor 2023 Key Indicators In Review and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Semiconductor 2023 Key Indicators In Review, 2024 Forecasts
  • Ohayo Japan | Inflation Runs Hot…but Nvidia Is Hotter
  • Increasing HK Duty Free Quota: The Beneficaries
  • LG Electronics: Investment In Bear Robotics and Aggressive Plans to Expand in Global Robotics


Semiconductor 2023 Key Indicators In Review, 2024 Forecasts

By William Keating

  • Forecasting PC & Smartphone unit shipments to increase 5% YoY on the back on “AI Enablement”
  • Server unit shipments declined ~20% in 2023 but overall revenues remained flat, a consequence of higher ASPs associated with AI-accelerated servers
  • Server shipments will return to growth in 2024, likely +10% YoY. Server ASPs will increase yet again YoY as AI-server mix grows. 

Ohayo Japan | Inflation Runs Hot…but Nvidia Is Hotter

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks rallied on Tuesday despite hotter-than-expected inflation data with core CPI +3.1% YoY
  • Bitcoin continued its record rally, surpassing $72,000. Oracle shares surged 12% on cloud computing progress. Nvidia climbed 7%.
  • BoJ Governor Ueda remarked that while the economy was on a path of recovery, there were signs of weakness, especially highlighted by recent soft data on consumption. 

Increasing HK Duty Free Quota: The Beneficaries

By Osbert Tang, CFA


LG Electronics: Investment In Bear Robotics and Aggressive Plans to Expand in Global Robotics

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss LG Electronics (066570 KS) ‘s investment in Bear Robotics (US) and LG Electronics’ aggressive ambitions to become a major player in the global robotics industry. 
  • LG Electronics announced that it invested a $60 million Series C funding round in Bear Robotics, a Silicon Valley based company that provides service robotics and artificial intelligence solutions.
  • One of the key goals of LG Electronics is to expand into the global robotics software market, which is expected to grow to about 100 trillion won in eight years.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China South City and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China South City, Greenko Energy Holdings, Road King Infrastructure


Morning Views Asia: China South City, Greenko Energy Holdings, Road King Infrastructure

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ECM: ITC $2bn Placement – Very Well Flagged but Still Won’t Be an Easy One to Digest and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ITC $2bn Placement – Very Well Flagged but Still Won’t Be an Easy One to Digest, Won’t Do an Indigo
  • Pre-IPO PegBio Co., Ltd. – This GLP-1 Biotech Has Gloomy Outlook


ITC $2bn Placement – Very Well Flagged but Still Won’t Be an Easy One to Digest, Won’t Do an Indigo

By Sumeet Singh

  • In Feb 2024,  BAT’s management stated that they were reviewing their stake in ITC Ltd (ITC IN).  The news of a possible selldown by BAT was leaked again earlier today.
  • BAT has owned its stake in ITC for over a century and remains its largest shareholder.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Pre-IPO PegBio Co., Ltd. – This GLP-1 Biotech Has Gloomy Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • PB-119 (T2DM) has the fastest R&D progress, but this is a highly competitive market.China’s diabetes drug market is dominated by traditional drugs. It’s not easy for PegBio to break through. 
  • Since the future competitive landscape of GLP-1s (obesity) would present a very different situation.If PB-119 fails to have better weight loss effect, it would be eliminated due to fierce competition.
  • PegBio’s IPO on SSE STAR Market was rejected. We’re not optimistic about its future commercialization performance. Together with cash-flow issues, we doubt whether PegBio would bring expected returns to investors.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Keisei Electric (9009) Share Buyback – Interesting Dynamics & Opportunity and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Keisei Electric (9009) Share Buyback – Interesting Dynamics & Opportunity
  • Li Ning (2331 HK): Value Trap Play?
  • Li Ning (2331 HK): Evaluating a Potential Privatisation
  • KCC Corp: Taking a Closer Step to Separating the Ownership Structures of the KCC Group
  • KRX’s Official SSF/SSO Reshuffle Results: Trading Considerations
  • Alumina (AWC AU): Alcoa’s Binding Proposal Aided by Alcoa’s Re-Rating
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: Some New Trade Ideas
  • QV Equities (QVE AU): WAM Leaders (WLE AU)’s Binding Scheme Proposal
  • StubWorld: Keisei’s ToSTNeT-3 Buyback. Stay Bearish
  • MS&AD Cross-Shareholding – At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell


Keisei Electric (9009) Share Buyback – Interesting Dynamics & Opportunity

By Travis Lundy

  • In late February, Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) announced a 5.0mm share (2.96%) ¥33bn buyback, to be executed in the following 3 months. That meant likely ToSTNeT-3.
  • I thought that mildly bullish. Shares rose 0.05% the next day. Then we got an OLC offering announcement. I thought that bearish. The stock popped early but fell hard.
  • Today the announcement. It IS a ToSTNeT-3. tomorrow. At ¥6,320/share. But it is an Accelerated Share Repurchase. Which changes things. Or it doesn’t. But it bears watching closely, maybe acting.

Li Ning (2331 HK): Value Trap Play?

By David Blennerhassett


Li Ning (2331 HK): Evaluating a Potential Privatisation

By Arun George

  • Reuters reported that due to the steep share price declines, Mr Li Ning is considering leading a consortium to privatise Li Ning (2331 HK)
  • The shares have been weighed down by concerns about channel inventory, steep retail discounts, and unauthorised distributor sales. To counter this, Li Ning aims to achieve RMB50bn sales by 2028.
  • The probability of an offer is low as funding the scheme consideration could prove challenging. Nevertheless, the downside is low as Li Ning trades at an undemanding valuation. 

KCC Corp: Taking a Closer Step to Separating the Ownership Structures of the KCC Group

By Douglas Kim

  • There is an increasing probability that KCC Corp is closer to separating the ownership structures of the three Chung brothers regarding the various KCC Group related companies.
  • KCC’s 9.17% stake in Samsung C&T is worth 2.8 trillion won. KCC’s stake in Samsung C&T is worth 117% of KCC’s own market cap. 
  • According to our valuation analysis, it suggests NAV of 355,925 won per share, representing a 30% upside from current levels.

KRX’s Official SSF/SSO Reshuffle Results: Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • The reshuffle results align with expectations, but the decision to list 11 KOSDAQ Global stocks in April is surprising. Local authorities seem to prioritize boosting the derivatives market for liquidity.
  • Ecopro Materials’ SSF listing, earlier than expected, attracts attention, potentially leading to an unusual basis pattern, coinciding with a major lockup release on May 17th.
  • We should also be wary of a pattern akin to last July’s in KOSDAQ stocks. Spot prices of recent SSFs showed a pronounced short-term uptrend, especially in KOSDAQ, versus KOSPI.

Alumina (AWC AU): Alcoa’s Binding Proposal Aided by Alcoa’s Re-Rating

By Arun George

  • Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Alcoa (AA US) at 0.02854 Alcoa shares per Alumina share. The scheme meeting is targeted for 3Q.
  • While the offer is not a knockout bid, the 15% increase in Alcoa shares lowers the headcount risk from retail opposition and lowers the bump potential. 
  • Regulatory approvals are a formality, and Citic Resources Holdings (1205 HK) lack of support reflects HKEx listing requirements. At the last close, the gross spread was 3.4%.

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: Some New Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • I continue to expect 5 changes for SSE 50 and 18 changes for SSE 180 but some names have changed since my last insight.

QV Equities (QVE AU): WAM Leaders (WLE AU)’s Binding Scheme Proposal

By Arun George

  • QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU) has disclosed a binding scheme proposal from WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE AU) consisting of a cash and scrip consideration pegged to pre-tax NTA per share.
  • The indicative value of the cash proposal is A$1.02, and the scrip is A$1.058 (0.7609 WLE shares per QVE share). Shareholders are entitled to an A$0.013 March quarter dividend. 
  • The offer is attractive, and the shareholder structure facilitates the vote. At the last close, the gross spread of the scrip + dividend offer is 8.1%.

StubWorld: Keisei’s ToSTNeT-3 Buyback. Stay Bearish

By David Blennerhassett

  • Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)‘s previously announced buyback is now confirmed to be a ToSTNeT-3 buyback. But also an accelerated share repurchase.
  • Preceding my comments on Keisei Electric are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

MS&AD Cross-Shareholding – At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

By Sumeet Singh

  • The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings.
  • MS&AD Insurance (8725 JP) had a stake over US$100m in at least 29 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of US$17.4bn.
  • In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Li Ning (2331 HK):  Update On The Name Given Potential Privatization News and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Li Ning (2331 HK):  Update On The Name Given Potential Privatization News
  • BYD (1211 HK) 2023 Earnings Preview: Strong Top Line and Bottom Line
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Centurion: Quality Housing for Workers and Students the World Over
  • Asics (7936) | Pumping the Brakes
  • APAC Luxury Industry Series Update: The Growth of Luxury Travel Unmatched by Dull Share Prices
  • Takashimaya (8233): Q3 FY02/24 Update
  • Eiken Chemical (4549) | Activists, Alchemy, and the Pursuit of Profit
  • Round One (4680): Q3 FY03/24 Update
  • Analyzing the Roles Parent JD.com & Subsidiary Deppon Played in JD Logistics’ Q423 Results
  • Guess? Inc.: Does It Have The Steam To Be Taken Private & At What Valuation? – Key Drivers


Li Ning (2331 HK):  Update On The Name Given Potential Privatization News

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • According to public news today afternoon during trading hours, the founder and biggest shareholder of Li Ning (2331 HK), Mr. Li Ning, is mulling privatizing the public company. 
  • Mr. Li Ning has shown the opposite intention over the last few years, with several major sell-down of stake.
  • The company is trading at 16x 2024 PE, with visibility being quite low. 

BYD (1211 HK) 2023 Earnings Preview: Strong Top Line and Bottom Line

By Ming Lu

  • We believe revenue will grow by 44% in 2023 according to the sales volume and the price trend.
  • We believe net profit will increase by 100%, higher than the company’s estimate.
  • We conclude an upside of 54% and a price target of HK$304. Buy.

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Centurion: Quality Housing for Workers and Students the World Over

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Centurion Corporation’s CEO, Mr Kong Chee Min. 

In the upcoming webinar, Chee Min will share a short company presentation after which, he will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Angus Mackintosh.

Angus will also be providing an industry overview, featuring landscape commentary and returns analysis. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session

In the spirit of giving back to our community, one of the attendees will also be awarded an Amazon Kindle as part of our exclusive lucky draw. 

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, 21 March 2024, 19:00 SGT.

About Centurion Corporation 

Centurion Corporation Limited (“Centurion” or the “Company” and together with its subsidiaries, the “Group”) owns, develops and manages quality, purpose-built workers accommodation assets in Singapore and Malaysia, and student accommodation assets in Australia, the United Kingdom (“UK”) and the United States (“US”). The Group owns and manages a strong portfolio of 34 operational accommodation assets totalling approximately 66,607 beds as of 30 September 2023. Centurion’s established portfolio of workers accommodation assets are managed under the “Westlite Accommodation” brand and comprises nine workers accommodation assets in Singapore as well as eight workers accommodation assets in Malaysia. The Group’s student accommodation assets are managed under the “Dwell” brand, with ten assets in the UK, five assets in US and two assets in Australia. With global reach and a clear growth strategy to actively enhance and manage its assets, identify strategic acquisitions and joint ventures, as well as develop customised accommodation management services, Centurion is well-positioned as a leading provider of quality, purpose-built accommodation.


Asics (7936) | Pumping the Brakes

By Mark Chadwick

  • On’s quarterly results disappoint, triggering a 10% stock drop. Meanwhile, ASICS’ share price is up 43% YTD despite modest performance.
  • ASICS shareholders advised to consider profit-taking as stock outpaces fundamentals, faces competition from resurging Nike and fast-growing On
  • On’s ambitious growth projections threaten ASICS’ market position, with potential market share parity within three years

APAC Luxury Industry Series Update: The Growth of Luxury Travel Unmatched by Dull Share Prices

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • This is a follow-up to our initial report on the APAC Luxury Industry where we were of the belief that small niches within the luxury sector could offer potential opportunities.
  • Below, we analyse the recent trends in luxury travel on Minor International (MINT TB), Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP) and Shiseido Company (4911 JP).
  • While travel has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, Shiseido’s Travel Retail struggles, yet Minor International and Mandarin Oriental are showing signs of improvement. 

Takashimaya (8233): Q3 FY02/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Takashimaya (8233 JP) was founded in 1831 and is the operator of one of the leading department store companies in Japan.
  • Takashimaya began applying the Accounting Standard for Revenue Recognition from the beginning of FY02/23.
  • Takashimaya Co., Ltd. announced revisions to its full-year earnings forecasts for FY02/24.

Eiken Chemical (4549) | Activists, Alchemy, and the Pursuit of Profit

By Mark Chadwick

  • Two activist investors are now on the shareholder registry of Eiken Chemical. 
  • Eiken has proactively announced a share buyback to return excess cash holdings. 
  • Eiken has a quality underlying business which generates solid FCF yield. Expect higher shareholder returns in the future. 

Round One (4680): Q3 FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Round One Corp (4680 JP) specializes in running amusement complex facilities in Japan, the US, and China.
  • FY03/23 results: The company reported sales of JPY142.1bn, operating profit of JPY16.9bn, recurring profit of JPY16.7bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY9.7bn.
  • In November 2023, the company revised its full-year FY03/24 earnings forecast.

Analyzing the Roles Parent JD.com & Subsidiary Deppon Played in JD Logistics’ Q423 Results

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In Q423 JD Logistics booked 10% top-line growth & solid margin improvement
  • We analyze the impacts of JD.com & Deppon Logistics on JD Logistics’ Q423
  • Given still-low profitability, JD Logistics does not appear cheap, in our view

Guess? Inc.: Does It Have The Steam To Be Taken Private & At What Valuation? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our special, one-time report on Guess Inc., a notable entity in the fashion industry that recently made headlines with its strategic acquisition of the New York-based fashion brand Rag & Bone.
  • This move signifies a significant leap towards expanding its portfolio and solidifying its presence in the highly competitive fashion sector.
  • The announcement was followed by a surge in the company’s stock, further fueled by speculations of a possible take-private initiative.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: US Inflation: Bad Enough for Powell to Change Course? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • US Inflation: Bad Enough for Powell to Change Course?
  • Positioning Watch – Bye Bye Japanese Consensus Case?
  • Security Token Journal: Bitcoins to the Mass
  • Great Game: Cannibals in Haiti and Mediators in Istanbul
  • US CPI Reaction: Headache for Powell not so much markets
  • CX Daily: Survival of the Fittest — China’s Captive-Bred Pandas Get New Life in the Wild
  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 04-Mar-24 to 08-Mar-24
  • Are We Heading for a Volatility Event?
  • Cross ASEAN Ground Zero – BNPL Is the New P2P, PropertyGuru’s Vulnerability, and Difficult Logistics
  • US CPI Inflation 3.15% y-o-y (consensus 3.1%) in Feb-24


US Inflation: Bad Enough for Powell to Change Course?

By Jeroen Blokland

  • For the second consecutive month, inflation has exceeded expectations, raising questions about the ‘stickiness’ of core inflation.
  • The real shocker was the Core Services, excluding Housing CPI, which increased to an eye-popping 6.8% on a three-month annualized basis.
  • Most likely, the latest CPI numbers aren’t the catalyst that ends the stock market rally.

Positioning Watch – Bye Bye Japanese Consensus Case?

By Andreas Steno

  • Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, which today will start at the growing number of BoJ officials who are now supporting an exit from NIRP possibly already in March, sending Nikkei 225 down >2% in Asia hours yesterday, while China and China-proxies were bid – quite a surprising dynamic in Asian equities, which we won’t rule out to continue over the next weeks, as markets are likely shifting away from Japanese equities if a hike actually comes through.
  • Our 250-day prediction from our PCA-tool (the blue line) has also been flagging the rally in Japanese equities, and now see a major divergence in the trend relative to the macro fundamentals, which has left a >2 standard deviations fair value gap, which seems likely to be closed via a retracement lower in Nikkei.
  • Chart of the week: Our models have been bearish Japan since early 2024It looks like some parts of the markets had already sniffed out the slight overpricing of Japanese equities given risks of substantial moves in JPY-rates, and inflows into US-traded Japan ETFs have decreased since early February, while China ETFs began to see modest inflows, but has now went back into negative territory.

Security Token Journal: Bitcoins to the Mass

By Warut Promboon

  • The security token market, though, has slowly developed mainly due to declining risk appetites sparked by COVID-19 in 2020 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24-February 2022.
  • What has changed that led us to update readers on tokenization is the approval of Bitcoin ETFs
  • The Bitcoin ETFs will be the first step to allow institutional investors to invest in cryptocurrencies. Next, we expect more ETFs of other well-known cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH).

Great Game: Cannibals in Haiti and Mediators in Istanbul

By Mikkel Rosenvold

  • Welcome to this week’s Great Game! We are still in waiting mode on a Gaza truce, which to be honest is baffling me.
  • But in the meantime, let’s cover some current events and the potential effect on markets.
  • Watch this article on video:Cannibals taking over Haiti?

US CPI Reaction: Headache for Powell not so much markets

By Elias Lisberg Glistrup

  • Today’s US CPI report was clearly hawkish on the surface, but looking closely, it is not all too demoralizing for those betting on continued risk-rallies and a path back to target.
  • Clear path and further downside to OER according to Zillow and repeat rent.
  • Though a modest surprise, components are not alarming albeit not helping Fed’s intentions.

CX Daily: Survival of the Fittest — China’s Captive-Bred Pandas Get New Life in the Wild

By Caixin Global

  • Pandas / Cover Story: Survival of the fittest — China’s captive-bred pandas get new life in the wild
  • Private /China’s private quant, bond funds outperform peers as stock market falters
  • Payment /China pushes banks, Alipay and WeChat Pay to be more foreigner-friendly

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 04-Mar-24 to 08-Mar-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • New ATHs again in NIFTY50! But IVs move significantly lower! Holiday shortened week ahead.
  • Vol Regime Model shifts clearly to “High & Down” state. Wait-and-see approach warranted on account of 3-day weekend. 
  • As of 01-Mar-2024 Weekly & Monthly BankNifty options will expire on Wednesdays.  

Are We Heading for a Volatility Event?

By Untying The Gordian Knot

  • Throughout 2024, we’ve witnessed tight trading ranges across various markets: oil, FX, and Credit spreads.
  • Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably similar chart patterns.
  • In essence, these assets no longer offer diversification benefits; they have effectively become indistinguishable trades.

Cross ASEAN Ground Zero – BNPL Is the New P2P, PropertyGuru’s Vulnerability, and Difficult Logistics

By Angus Mackintosh

  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a new thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian digital themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.
  • This week we look at the changing fortunes of Fintech, as BNPL continues to show promise and P2P sinks deeper into difficult territory, exemplified by Investree’s troubles. 
  • We also examine PropertyGuru’s results, which reveal its vulnerability to markets and we look at Indonesia’s increasingly competitive logistics space, with a return to offline activity changing market focus. 

US CPI Inflation 3.15% y-o-y (consensus 3.1%) in Feb-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • US CPI inflation for February 2024 slightly exceeded expectations, recording a year-on-year rate of 3.15% and maintaining this pace for five months.
  • Core inflation, which excludes volatile components, slowed to 3.8% year-on-year.
  • This slowdown in core inflation surprisingly exceeded expectations by 0.1 percentage points, indicating a resilient underlying trend.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars