Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Nws Holdings, Embraer SA, J&T Global Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …
  • Embraer – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison


NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26 June, Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) made a pre-conditional voluntary Offer for New World (17 HK)‘s 60.88%-held NWS (659 HK) at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed.
  • The Cheng-family-backed CTFE and connected parties held 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent was effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.
  • The pre-cons are now done, with a 13 October despatch date for the Composite Document. Technically, this could be wrapped up before NWS’ final dividend ex-date. That’s worth exploring further.

Embraer – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Embraer’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its “Adequate” Environmental and Governance scores. The company has a “Strong” score for the Social pillar. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and its PHIP updates in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Cosmecca Korea, Boston Scientific, Immix Biopharma Inc, Pixium Vision Sa and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS): Strong 2Q23 Result; Favorable Industry Tailwind to Enhance the Glow
  • Boston Scientific Corporation: Delving Into Double-Digit Growth – Must-Know Info for Every Investor! – Major Drivers
  • Immix Biopharma – A step toward delivering a practical CAR-T option
  • Pixium Vision – Safeguard proceedings underway


Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS): Strong 2Q23 Result; Favorable Industry Tailwind to Enhance the Glow

By Tina Banerjee

  • Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) clocked revenue of KRW115.7B (up 15% YoY) and operating profit of KRW11.2B (up 265% YoY) in Q223. Operating profit margin expanded 670bps YoY to 9.7%.
  • Cosmecca is a key beneficiary of the increasing global demand for the affordable indie cosmetics brands. These brands are now outpacing the overall beauty and personal care industry.
  • Since reporting strong Q1 result in May, Cosmecca Korea shares are on fire. Cosmecca is expected to continue its growth momentum due to strong global demand for affordable cosmetics.

Boston Scientific Corporation: Delving Into Double-Digit Growth – Must-Know Info for Every Investor! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Boston Scientific Corporation delivered a solid result and managed an all-around beat last quarter.
  • In the second quarter, Boston Scientific witnessed a 12% growth in total company sales.
  • In the peripheral intervention segment, sales surged by 13% organically, while cardiology delivered impressive organic sales growth of 13%.

Immix Biopharma – A step toward delivering a practical CAR-T option

By Edison Investment Research

Immix has announced encouraging updated clinical data for NXC-201, a B cell maturation antigen (BCMA) targeting CAR-T therapy, which is being developed by majority-owned subsidiary Nexcella, in both multiple myeloma (MM) and amyloid light chain amyloidosis (ALA). The updated data for MM patients indicate an overall response rate (ORR) of 95%, notably higher than comparable CAR-T trials for MM, and for ALA show a 100% ORR in heavily pre-treated patients. The therapy has the potential to be the first outpatient CAR-T therapy, which would address many of the current CAR-T challenges with cost and access. With its recent $9.6m raise, we estimate Immix has an operating cash runway into Q424, from Q224 previously. Adjusting for the pro-forma cash of $22.2m, our valuation for Immix increases to $90.7m or $4.2/share (from $81.1m or $5.0/share).


Pixium Vision – Safeguard proceedings underway

By Edison Investment Research

Pixium Vision announced that safeguard proceedings have been opened by the Commercial Court of Paris. Despite the company’s best efforts in seeking financing options to extend its funding runway, it has determined that it may not be able to satisfy its financial obligations after the end of November 2023 without the protection of such proceedings. Given its liquidity risk and the absence of new financing to date, Pixium requested that the Commercial Court of Paris open safeguard proceedings. As the Court has now appointed other parties (SCP Abitbol & Rousselet and Selarl FHB) as co-administrators with supervisory responsibility for Pixium, we estimate the likelihood of any material residual value remaining attributable to the common equity holders of Pixium Vision following the court proceedings as highly speculative. As such, we are withdrawing our estimates and forecasts.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Li Auto , Starbucks Corp, China Tourism Group Duty Free, Devyani International , Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, Heavenly Secrets Private Limited, Genuine Parts Co, Guoquan Food (Shanghai), Carmax Inc, Interpublic Group Of Companies and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$556m in December
  • Starbucks (SBUX): Another Monitor of China Consumption
  • China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK):  Weak Golden Week Trends And Still Expensive
  • Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Lalatech IPO: 1H2023 Numbers Point to Strong Improvement in Financials
  • Vertex Ventures Leads Indian D2C Beauty Startup’s $20m Series B
  • Genuine Parts Company: How Strategic Initiatives Are Creating Unprecedented Value! – Major Drivers
  • Pre-IPO Guoquan Food (Shanghai) – High Growth May Not Be Sustainable; Long Logic Doesn’t Hold Water
  • CarMax Inc.: Unveiling 4 Strategic Moves Propelling Future Success Amid Market Chaos! – Major Drivers
  • The Interpublic Group of Companies: Are The New Tech & AI-Driven Partnerships A Potential Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$556m in December

By Brian Freitas

  • With no stocks in inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December.
  • Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.16% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$556m.
  • The impact of capping changes has doubled over the last month and there will be more changes from now till the official capping is done on 28 November.

Starbucks (SBUX): Another Monitor of China Consumption

By Ming Lu

  • In June quarter Starbucks comparable store sales increased 46% YoY and reached to 80% of the level in the same period of 2021.
  • China revenue increase purely came from transaction, but not average ticket.
  • We believe Starbucks China data can be a good monitor of Chinese economy.

China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK):  Weak Golden Week Trends And Still Expensive

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) announced preliminary results for 3Q23 which came in below market expectations.
  • Compared to the previous quarter 2Q23, sales declined by 1% q-o-q, while net profit margin declined from 10.4% in 2Q23 to 8.9% in 3Q23. 
  • The company (H-share) is trading at 26x 2023E PE and 23x 2024E PE, still expensive as visibility is low and derating continues. 

Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Devyani International (DEVYANI IN) is one of the largest franchisee of Yum! Brands Inc (YUM US)  in India and operates brands like KFC, Pizza Hut and Costa Coffee, etc.
  • After a turbulent pandemic, the company has reported growth in topline and robust profitability in F22 and F23. But, these have been boosted by several one-off items.
  • The company also faces difficulty in generating positive FCFs while we also remain caution about the Nigerian Operations and the associated forex losses.

Lalatech IPO: 1H2023 Numbers Point to Strong Improvement in Financials

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Lalatech has refiled for HKEx IPO and the company plans to raise around US$1bn through the IPO. This insight focuses on latest data points from the company’s new filing.
  • The company has disclosed results for 1H2023 which point to notable improvement in the company’s financials including an operating profit margin of around 21% for 1H2023.
  • There has been significant reduction in the company’s operating costs, merchant discounts and carrier incentives in particular, which have helped significant improve the company’s margins.

Vertex Ventures Leads Indian D2C Beauty Startup’s $20m Series B

By Tech in Asia

  • With rising urbanization and increased social media exposure to global beauty trends, India’s beauty and personal care market is now set to hit US$38 billion in value by 2028.
  • A big part of that growth has come from direct-to-consumer brands: in the past four to five years, over 80 of them have emerged, accompanied by a wave of investments.
  • One of these D2C players is Pilgrim, which recently raised US$20 million in a series B funding round led by Vertex Ventures Southeast Asia and India. 

Genuine Parts Company: How Strategic Initiatives Are Creating Unprecedented Value! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Genuine Parts Company delivered mixed results for the previous quarter, with revenues below the analyst consensus.
  • The company reported total sales of $2.3 billion for the quarter, marking an impressive increase of $125 million.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Pre-IPO Guoquan Food (Shanghai) – High Growth May Not Be Sustainable; Long Logic Doesn’t Hold Water

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Guoquan’s model is easy to replicate.The so-called “moat” is all based on scale effects, without which Guoquan would lose competitiveness.This is why Guoquan has been striving to expand franchised stores.
  • With the increasing frequency of people dining out after China reopens, the high-speed expansion in 2020 seems unsustainable. To B model has less growth space/potential than To C model.
  • In such a fiercely competitive market, Guoquan’s long-term development logic is not solid. The current temporary improvement in financial performance is likely to be a flash in the pan.

CarMax Inc.: Unveiling 4 Strategic Moves Propelling Future Success Amid Market Chaos! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CarMax, Inc. delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations but failed to surpass the analyst consensus regarding earnings.
  • Despite ongoing challenges in the market, the company’s strategic actions have yielded positive outcomes and positioned it for future success.
  • In the quarter, CarMax’s diversified business model generated total sales of $7.1 billion, attributed to lower retail and wholesale volume and prices.

The Interpublic Group of Companies: Are The New Tech & AI-Driven Partnerships A Potential Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Interpublic Group of Companies delivered a mixed set of results for the previous quarter with revenues below the analyst consensus.
  • The company reported a 1.7% decrease in organic revenue before billable expenses in the second quarter of the year, compared to the 7.9% organic growth in the same quarter of the previous year.
  • Despite these challenges, Interpublic Group of Companies observed growth in areas such as media offerings, healthcare, public relations, and experiential offerings.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Thai Credit Bank PCL and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Credit Bank Pre-IPO – The Positives – Loan Book Has Grown While Earnings Expanded


Thai Credit Bank Pre-IPO – The Positives – Loan Book Has Grown While Earnings Expanded

By Clarence Chu

  • Thai Credit Bank PCL (3674238Z TB) is looking to raise US$300m from its upcoming Thailand IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Thailand IPO.
  • TCB is a commercial bank that focuses on providing business loans to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs), nano loans and micro credits to merchants, and home loans for individual customers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Australia: Origin Energy and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Origin/Brookfield: ACCC Rubber Stamped. Now Shareholders Will Have Their Say
  • Origin Energy (ORG AU): ACCC Approves, Shareholders Justifiably Want a Bump


Origin/Brookfield: ACCC Rubber Stamped. Now Shareholders Will Have Their Say

By David Blennerhassett

  • Brookfield Asset Management/MidOcean Energy’s tilt for Origin Energy (ORG AU), faced two major hurdles. 
  • The first was ACCC approval. Not just over competition issues, but also the perceived/apparent public benefit from Brookfield’s future commitment to renewable generation. ACCC has now cleared the transaction. 
  • The second is currying favour with shareholders, several of whom, including AustralianSuper (13.68% stake), reckon the Offer is substantially below long-term value. This needs a bump.

Origin Energy (ORG AU): ACCC Approves, Shareholders Justifiably Want a Bump

By Arun George

  • The ACCC has approved Brookfield/EIG’s proposed acquisition of Origin Energy (ORG AU). The Brookfield/EIG offer is A$5.78 and US$2.19 per share, worth A$8.83 at the last close. 
  • The bidders now face the challenge of convincing shareholders to accept the offer and avoid incurring ticking fees. The scheme booklet will be despatched in the coming weeks.
  • Several shareholders have justifiably argued that the offer is light. Our SoTP valuation is A$9.46 per share, 7.1% above the implied offer price of A$8.83.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Cosmecca Korea and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS): Strong 2Q23 Result; Favorable Industry Tailwind to Enhance the Glow


Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS): Strong 2Q23 Result; Favorable Industry Tailwind to Enhance the Glow

By Tina Banerjee

  • Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) clocked revenue of KRW115.7B (up 15% YoY) and operating profit of KRW11.2B (up 265% YoY) in Q223. Operating profit margin expanded 670bps YoY to 9.7%.
  • Cosmecca is a key beneficiary of the increasing global demand for the affordable indie cosmetics brands. These brands are now outpacing the overall beauty and personal care industry.
  • Since reporting strong Q1 result in May, Cosmecca Korea shares are on fire. Cosmecca is expected to continue its growth momentum due to strong global demand for affordable cosmetics.

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Daily Brief United States: Starbucks Corp, Euronav NV, Atlas Visa Inc, Carmax Inc, Genuine Parts Co, Godaddy Inc Class A, Immix Biopharma Inc, Interpublic Group Of Companies, Jabil Circuit, Marsh & Mclennan and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Starbucks (SBUX): Another Monitor of China Consumption
  • CMB/Euronav: Mandatory Offer
  • Peak XV Leads $12m Round in Startup that Simplifies Visa Applications
  • CarMax Inc.: Unveiling 4 Strategic Moves Propelling Future Success Amid Market Chaos! – Major Drivers
  • Genuine Parts Company: How Strategic Initiatives Are Creating Unprecedented Value! – Major Drivers
  • GoDaddy Inc.: How AI-Powered Innovations are Revolutionizing Their Customer Retention! – Major Drivers
  • Immix Biopharma – A step toward delivering a practical CAR-T option
  • The Interpublic Group of Companies: Are The New Tech & AI-Driven Partnerships A Potential Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • Jabil Inc.: How Strategic Focus on Key Tech Areas is Paving the Way for Future Success! – Major Drivers
  • Marsh & McLennan Co: Can The Acquisition Of Graham Companies Be A Game Changer? Major Drivers


Starbucks (SBUX): Another Monitor of China Consumption

By Ming Lu

  • In June quarter Starbucks comparable store sales increased 46% YoY and reached to 80% of the level in the same period of 2021.
  • China revenue increase purely came from transaction, but not average ticket.
  • We believe Starbucks China data can be a good monitor of Chinese economy.

CMB/Euronav: Mandatory Offer

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • CMB and Frontline Ltd (FRO US) smoke the peace pipe: CMB will buy Frontline out of Euronav NV (EURN US) at $18.43/share (25% premium) and agree to Euronav selling 24 VLCCs to FRO.
  • After an EGM gives the green light, CMB will launch a mandatory $18.43/share cash offer for Euronav. The three-way transaction is fairly priced (1.0x P/NAV) for all players, including the Euronav minorities.
  • There shouldn’t be any antitrust issues. Spread is 4.02%/7.66% (gross/annualised assuming settlement by 30 April 2024). Recommendation is long and tender (there won’t be any squeeze-out).

Peak XV Leads $12m Round in Startup that Simplifies Visa Applications

By Tech in Asia

  • For many who don’t hold powerful passports, securing a travel visa often comes with cumbersome paperwork, prolonged waiting periods, and substantial costs, thus posing a significant barrier to international travel.
  • One startup is bidding to solve this problem. Launched in 2021, Atlys allows users to apply for visas from anywhere in the world through its platform.
  • Aside from unifying the process in one place, the platform helps predict visa processing time while reducing rejection rates.

CarMax Inc.: Unveiling 4 Strategic Moves Propelling Future Success Amid Market Chaos! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CarMax, Inc. delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations but failed to surpass the analyst consensus regarding earnings.
  • Despite ongoing challenges in the market, the company’s strategic actions have yielded positive outcomes and positioned it for future success.
  • In the quarter, CarMax’s diversified business model generated total sales of $7.1 billion, attributed to lower retail and wholesale volume and prices.

Genuine Parts Company: How Strategic Initiatives Are Creating Unprecedented Value! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Genuine Parts Company delivered mixed results for the previous quarter, with revenues below the analyst consensus.
  • The company reported total sales of $2.3 billion for the quarter, marking an impressive increase of $125 million.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

GoDaddy Inc.: How AI-Powered Innovations are Revolutionizing Their Customer Retention! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the second quarter, GoDaddy delivered on-par revenues and below-par earnings while continuing to offer diverse solutions to a global customer base.
  • Their robust business health is evidenced by their acquisition of high-quality customers, strong retention rates, and improved attachment rates.
  • Customers are increasingly bundling new solutions, reflecting the company’s innovation and driving higher monetization through attachment and pricing while ensuring strong retention rates.

Immix Biopharma – A step toward delivering a practical CAR-T option

By Edison Investment Research

Immix has announced encouraging updated clinical data for NXC-201, a B cell maturation antigen (BCMA) targeting CAR-T therapy, which is being developed by majority-owned subsidiary Nexcella, in both multiple myeloma (MM) and amyloid light chain amyloidosis (ALA). The updated data for MM patients indicate an overall response rate (ORR) of 95%, notably higher than comparable CAR-T trials for MM, and for ALA show a 100% ORR in heavily pre-treated patients. The therapy has the potential to be the first outpatient CAR-T therapy, which would address many of the current CAR-T challenges with cost and access. With its recent $9.6m raise, we estimate Immix has an operating cash runway into Q424, from Q224 previously. Adjusting for the pro-forma cash of $22.2m, our valuation for Immix increases to $90.7m or $4.2/share (from $81.1m or $5.0/share).


The Interpublic Group of Companies: Are The New Tech & AI-Driven Partnerships A Potential Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Interpublic Group of Companies delivered a mixed set of results for the previous quarter with revenues below the analyst consensus.
  • The company reported a 1.7% decrease in organic revenue before billable expenses in the second quarter of the year, compared to the 7.9% organic growth in the same quarter of the previous year.
  • Despite these challenges, Interpublic Group of Companies observed growth in areas such as media offerings, healthcare, public relations, and experiential offerings.

Jabil Inc.: How Strategic Focus on Key Tech Areas is Paving the Way for Future Success! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Jabil Inc. delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent quarter with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but above-par earnings.
  • The core margins increased by 40 basis points to 5%, accompanied by a 12% growth in earnings and a 13% growth in earnings per share.
  • Remarkably, Jabil generated over $1 billion in free cash flows, highlighting the resilience of their business model in the face of market fluctuations.

Marsh & McLennan Co: Can The Acquisition Of Graham Companies Be A Game Changer? Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marsh McLennan delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result, showcasing strong performance across its businesses and regions, continuing its impressive streak of underlying revenue growth.
  • The company reported an 11% underlying revenue growth on top of a 10% increase in the second quarter of the previous year.
  • Marsh McLennan remains optimistic about its full-year outlook, expecting high single-digit underlying revenue growth, margin expansion, and strong growth in adjusted EPS for 2023.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Rainforest Life Pte Ltd, Aampe and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Rainforest Secures US$21.5M Funding, Reports 9x Growth in FY2022 Revenue
  • Aampe Attracts US$7.5M to Turn Apps’ Marketing Messaging into a Personalised Experience


Rainforest Secures US$21.5M Funding, Reports 9x Growth in FY2022 Revenue

By e27

  • Singapore-based e-commerce aggregator Rainforest has raised US$21.5 million in a convertible note round from existing investors, including Canopy Tropics, Monks Hill Ventures, Insignia Venture Partners, and January Capital.
  • This brings the company’s total funding (debt and equity) to over US$100 million.
  • Rainforest plans to use the funds to acquire new e-commerce brands, improve the platform capabilities to accelerate channel expansion, and for geographical expansion and product development.

Aampe Attracts US$7.5M to Turn Apps’ Marketing Messaging into a Personalised Experience

By e27

  • Aampe, an AI-native user engagement platform for consumer mobile apps, has secured a US$7.5 million pre-Series A funding round led by Matrix Partners India and Peak XV Partners.
  • This brings the US- and Singapore-based startup’s total funding raised to date to US$9.3 million.
  • The new capital will support product development and fuel growth.

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Daily Brief China: Nws Holdings, Li Auto , Huawei Technology, China Tourism Group Duty Free, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, Country Garden Holdings Co, J&T Global Express, Guoquan Food (Shanghai) and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …
  • HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$556m in December
  • New Huawei Tech-Powered Electric Car Launches With a Bang
  • China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK):  Weak Golden Week Trends And Still Expensive
  • Lalatech IPO: 1H2023 Numbers Point to Strong Improvement in Financials
  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Country Garden Holdings Co
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison
  • Pre-IPO Guoquan Food (Shanghai) – High Growth May Not Be Sustainable; Long Logic Doesn’t Hold Water


NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26 June, Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) made a pre-conditional voluntary Offer for New World (17 HK)‘s 60.88%-held NWS (659 HK) at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed.
  • The Cheng-family-backed CTFE and connected parties held 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent was effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.
  • The pre-cons are now done, with a 13 October despatch date for the Composite Document. Technically, this could be wrapped up before NWS’ final dividend ex-date. That’s worth exploring further.

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$556m in December

By Brian Freitas

  • With no stocks in inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December.
  • Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.16% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$556m.
  • The impact of capping changes has doubled over the last month and there will be more changes from now till the official capping is done on 28 November.

New Huawei Tech-Powered Electric Car Launches With a Bang

By Caixin Global

  • A new electric car powered by Huawei’s autonomous driving technology has hit the market with a bang, attracting tens of thousands of orders in less than a month and giving the telecom-equipment giant a confidence boost as it pushes further into China’s highly competitive auto market.
  • As of Friday, more than 50,000 orders have been placed for the upgraded version of the Aito M7 SUV since it was launched on Sept. 12, said Richard Yu, chairman of Huawei’s smart car unit, in a social media post Saturday.
  • For each order, customers paid a non-refundable deposit of 5,000 yuan ($695), according to information provided by Aito — a premium electric-vehicle (EV) brand co-developed by Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd. and automaker Seres Group Co. Ltd.

China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK):  Weak Golden Week Trends And Still Expensive

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) announced preliminary results for 3Q23 which came in below market expectations.
  • Compared to the previous quarter 2Q23, sales declined by 1% q-o-q, while net profit margin declined from 10.4% in 2Q23 to 8.9% in 3Q23. 
  • The company (H-share) is trading at 26x 2023E PE and 23x 2024E PE, still expensive as visibility is low and derating continues. 

Lalatech IPO: 1H2023 Numbers Point to Strong Improvement in Financials

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Lalatech has refiled for HKEx IPO and the company plans to raise around US$1bn through the IPO. This insight focuses on latest data points from the company’s new filing.
  • The company has disclosed results for 1H2023 which point to notable improvement in the company’s financials including an operating profit margin of around 21% for 1H2023.
  • There has been significant reduction in the company’s operating costs, merchant discounts and carrier incentives in particular, which have helped significant improve the company’s margins.

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Country Garden Holdings Co

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and its PHIP updates in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

Pre-IPO Guoquan Food (Shanghai) – High Growth May Not Be Sustainable; Long Logic Doesn’t Hold Water

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Guoquan’s model is easy to replicate.The so-called “moat” is all based on scale effects, without which Guoquan would lose competitiveness.This is why Guoquan has been striving to expand franchised stores.
  • With the increasing frequency of people dining out after China reopens, the high-speed expansion in 2020 seems unsustainable. To B model has less growth space/potential than To C model.
  • In such a fiercely competitive market, Guoquan’s long-term development logic is not solid. The current temporary improvement in financial performance is likely to be a flash in the pan.

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Daily Brief India: JPMorgan Chase & Co, Devyani International , Bandhan Bank Ltd, Heavenly Secrets Private Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Make in India Bonds into the Global Bond Index: An Examination of Effects and Significances
  • Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank
  • Vertex Ventures Leads Indian D2C Beauty Startup’s $20m Series B


Make in India Bonds into the Global Bond Index: An Examination of Effects and Significances

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India’s inclusion in global bond indexes by JP Morgan is significant, but the expected foreign inflow is relatively small, not likely to impact exchange rates or interest rates significantly.
  • The bond inclusion won’t strengthen the Rupee against the Dollar due to limited foreign inflows. A slight reduction in interest rates is expected with JP Morgan’s inclusion.
  • Indian bonds offer attractive yields, but rising US bond yields and rupee depreciation could affect foreign investor interest. This development could lead to improved fiscal policies and Indian bond markets.

Devyani International Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Devyani International (DEVYANI IN) is one of the largest franchisee of Yum! Brands Inc (YUM US)  in India and operates brands like KFC, Pizza Hut and Costa Coffee, etc.
  • After a turbulent pandemic, the company has reported growth in topline and robust profitability in F22 and F23. But, these have been boosted by several one-off items.
  • The company also faces difficulty in generating positive FCFs while we also remain caution about the Nigerian Operations and the associated forex losses.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
  • At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index. For the BSE 100 and BSE 200 indices I see six and five changes respectively.
  • Some of these changes are different from those expected in my last insight. However, the changes expected in this insight will be my final expectations for the December 2023 Rebalance.

Vertex Ventures Leads Indian D2C Beauty Startup’s $20m Series B

By Tech in Asia

  • With rising urbanization and increased social media exposure to global beauty trends, India’s beauty and personal care market is now set to hit US$38 billion in value by 2028.
  • A big part of that growth has come from direct-to-consumer brands: in the past four to five years, over 80 of them have emerged, accompanied by a wave of investments.
  • One of these D2C players is Pilgrim, which recently raised US$20 million in a series B funding round led by Vertex Ventures Southeast Asia and India. 

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