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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
  • We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
  • $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.

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Daily Brief ECM: Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples
  • HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Coronary Artery Disease Company Sets Terms Seeking up to $1.3b Valuation
  • WeWork India Pre-IPO – Lease Mismatch and Structural Strains


Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Samyang Comtech completed solid book building results. The IPO price has been finalized at 7,700 won per share, which was at the high end of the IPO price range.
  • A 48.4% of the total IPO shares are under various lock-up periods lasting from 15 days to 6 months. This is a bullish signal. 
  • Our valuation analysis suggests target price of 13,187 won, which represents a 71% upside from IPO price. Given the excellent upside, we have a Positive view of this IPO.

Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Figma Inc., a product design leader with strong financial profile, priced its IPO at $33.00/share and raised ~$1.2B.
  • The company raised the price range to $30.00-$32.00. The stock opened at $85.00 and closed on Thursday at $115.50, up ~250% vs. IPO offer price.
  • The offering was priced above the marketed range. Figma had a ~$67B market cap at the close, implying a ~62x EV/2025E sky-high multiple on my 2025 revenue estimate of $1056M.

HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Coronary Artery Disease Company Sets Terms Seeking up to $1.3b Valuation

By IPO Boutique

  • Heartflow is offering 12.5 million shares at a $15-$17 range which equates to a valuation of around $1.32 billion.
  • They expect revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2025 to be approximately $42.9 million to $43.4 million, as compared to $31.1 million for the same period in 2024.
  • Heartflow is scheduled to debut on Friday, August 8th. We anticipate the offering to be “well-received”. 

WeWork India Pre-IPO – Lease Mismatch and Structural Strains

By Akshat Shah

  • WeWork India Management Ltd (1690124D IN) is looking to raise about US$407m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • WeWork India (WWI) offers a wide range of workspace solutions, including custom-designed buildings, floors, and offices; enterprise office suites; private offices; co-working spaces; customized managed offices; and hybrid digital solutions.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Australia: Mineral Resources, Novonix and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources
  • NVX: Believe Positive Outlook Supported by Provisional Imposition of Anti-Dumping Tariffs on Material Imported From China


Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources

By FNArena

  • While Mineral Resources performed strongly operationally in the fourth quarter, not everyone is comfortable with its debt and the outlook for commodity prices.
  • -Mineral Resources’ strong fourth quarter across all segments -Production outperformance, strong cashflows at Wodgina and Onslow -Onslow progressing toward nameplate capacity -Improving balance sheet, but sensitivity to commodity prices remains

NVX: Believe Positive Outlook Supported by Provisional Imposition of Anti-Dumping Tariffs on Material Imported From China

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • We believe the expected increased need in North America for critical materials, including anode, is a key factor behind the non-dilutive funding the company has been able to obtain from the DOE, Canada Industrial Research Assistance Program and other sources, as NVX moves forward with the construction of a 2nd Tennessee plant.
  • Production capacity of its existing Riverside plant has been pre-sold via multiple offtake agreements and NVX plans to construct a 2nd facility in the state, recently obtaining approval and expected tax credits toward this project.
  • NVX has secured additional liquidity, recently entering into a funding agreement for up to US$100m convertible debentures with Yorkville Advisors Global.

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Daily Brief United States: Oracle Corp, Microsoft Corp, Apple , Brightstar Lottery, Lear Corp, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Figma, Smith (A.O.), ARM Holdings, Baker Hughes and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)
  • Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?
  • Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain
  • Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations
  • Lear Corporation: An Insight Into Its Recent Adaptation to Volume & Trade Dynamics & Its Strategy Shielding Its Global Supply Chain!
  • Booz Allen Hamilton: Initiation of Coverage- Why Are They Rewiring Their Contracts & Can Outcome-Based Models Improve Profits?
  • Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples
  • A. O. Smith: An Insight Into The Water Heater Market Dynamics & Its Emerging Market Expansion Efforts
  • [Earnings Review] Arm’s AI Royalty Engine Powers Through Cloud and Edge Tailwinds
  • Baker Hughes Eyes Chart Industries: A $13.6 Billion Bet On LNG & Digital Power


Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Institutional investors are turning to AI to analyze SEC filings and earnings call transcripts, with Fintool offering a quicker and more efficient solution.
  • The biography of Larry Ellison, focusing on Oracle during the dot com crisis, provides insight into Ellison’s leadership style and business strategies.
  • Despite some mixed feelings about Oracle and Ellison’s personality, his vision for the future of computing, such as using commodity hardware and smartphones, has proven to be accurate in hindsight.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?

By William Keating

  • Q425 revenues of $76.4 billion, up 5.5% QoQ, 18% YoY and handily beating guidance of $73.8 billion.
  • Azure surpassed $75 billion in revenue in FY25, up 34% YoY, driven by growth across all workloads.
  • Contracted backlog grew by $53 billion QoQ to reach $368 billion. Wow!

Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 3Q25 saw an acceleration in revenues (+10% YoY) and EPS (+12%), after a long period of stagnation (2022-23-24 at ~3% growth). 4Q guidance is 5% above Consensus. 
  • Impact of US import tariffs is negligible. Services is the major growth driver and Apple has few answers on critical questions (Epic ruling, DoJ rulings against Google, AI roll out). 
  • The stock is expensive, as always  (27x FY26 EPS, 25x FY27 EPS) for sub-10% growth. Some people love the buybacks, the brand and dominant market position.

Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations

By Richard Howe

  • Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) reported solid Q2 2025 results and is delivering on every aspect of the original thesis I laid out in June.
  • The company has now begun executing on the largest capital return in its history: a $3.00 per share tax-free special dividend (paid July 29) and a $250MM accelerated share repurchase (ASR) — the first half of a $500MM buyback authorization.
  • Brightstar also reiterated that it will maintain its $160MM annual dividend, so with fewer shares outstanding, the per-share dividend will increase, potentially rising to ~$0.22–$0.24 per quarter.

Lear Corporation: An Insight Into Its Recent Adaptation to Volume & Trade Dynamics & Its Strategy Shielding Its Global Supply Chain!

By Baptista Research

  • Lear Corporation’s second-quarter 2025 financial results reflect a balanced mix of positive developments and areas of concern.
  • Revenue remained stable at $6 billion, indicating resilience against macroeconomic and industry-specific challenges.
  • The core operating earnings came in at $292 million with an operating margin of 4.8%.

Booz Allen Hamilton: Initiation of Coverage- Why Are They Rewiring Their Contracts & Can Outcome-Based Models Improve Profits?

By Baptista Research

  • Booz Allen Hamilton’s first quarter fiscal year 2026 results reflect a dynamic environment influenced by shifting government priorities and procurement processes.
  • Overall, the company’s financial performance aligned with expectations, showing resilience amidst a challenging backdrop with a 2% year-over-year growth in revenue, excluding billable expenses, despite an overall revenue decline of roughly 1%.
  • Positively, Booz Allen Hamilton recorded a high quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.42x, contributing to a record backlog of $38 billion, suggesting future revenue streams are solid.

Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Figma Inc., a product design leader with strong financial profile, priced its IPO at $33.00/share and raised ~$1.2B.
  • The company raised the price range to $30.00-$32.00. The stock opened at $85.00 and closed on Thursday at $115.50, up ~250% vs. IPO offer price.
  • The offering was priced above the marketed range. Figma had a ~$67B market cap at the close, implying a ~62x EV/2025E sky-high multiple on my 2025 revenue estimate of $1056M.

A. O. Smith: An Insight Into The Water Heater Market Dynamics & Its Emerging Market Expansion Efforts

By Baptista Research

  • A.
  • O.
  • Smith’s second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings results reflect a mixed performance, highlighting both strengths and challenges in the company’s global operations and strategic initiatives.

[Earnings Review] Arm’s AI Royalty Engine Powers Through Cloud and Edge Tailwinds

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Record royalties now make up over half of Arm’s revenue, with Compute Subsystems (CSS) earning nearly 2x more than conventional designs.
  • Hyperscaler CPU share jumps to ~50%, as Neoverse powers AI infrastructure at NVIDIA, AWS, Google, and Microsoft.
  • Custom silicon stickiness deepens, with multigenerational GPU deals and CSS design wins spanning cloud, PC, and automotive verticals.

Baker Hughes Eyes Chart Industries: A $13.6 Billion Bet On LNG & Digital Power

By Baptista Research

  • Baker Hughes is reportedly nearing a $13.6 billion all-cash acquisition of Chart Industries, potentially derailing Chart’s previously announced all-stock merger with Flowserve.
  • The proposed deal, which values Chart at $210 per share—a 22% premium to its latest closing price—marks a significant strategic pivot by Baker Hughes toward enhancing its footprint in liquefied natural gas (LNG), nuclear energy, and digital infrastructure, particularly data centers.
  • By superseding the $19 billion Flowserve-Chart merger agreement from June, Baker Hughes aims to consolidate its position in high-growth, energy-adjacent sectors through vertical integration and technology enhancement.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth
  • Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)
  • Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?
  • Buy Hamee Corp
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)
  • Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.
  • Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources
  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations


Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 9.9%/13.4% YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from customers in the EMEA and Asia (with the US being a drag).
  • Earnings were more or less in line with our preview, Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025, but revenues were slightly weaker, and margins were stronger.
  • The stock trades at 21.5x PE FY25e (assuming 15% growth), with a 4.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), but we acknowledge there could be upside to our earnings. 

Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Institutional investors are turning to AI to analyze SEC filings and earnings call transcripts, with Fintool offering a quicker and more efficient solution.
  • The biography of Larry Ellison, focusing on Oracle during the dot com crisis, provides insight into Ellison’s leadership style and business strategies.
  • Despite some mixed feelings about Oracle and Ellison’s personality, his vision for the future of computing, such as using commodity hardware and smartphones, has proven to be accurate in hindsight.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?

By William Keating

  • Q425 revenues of $76.4 billion, up 5.5% QoQ, 18% YoY and handily beating guidance of $73.8 billion.
  • Azure surpassed $75 billion in revenue in FY25, up 34% YoY, driven by growth across all workloads.
  • Contracted backlog grew by $53 billion QoQ to reach $368 billion. Wow!

Buy Hamee Corp

By Richard Howe

  • Some of my favorite situations are international spin-offs because they fly under the radar. Hamee has not been written up on VIC, Seeking Alpha or Twitter (I found one writeup on Substack).
  • The company is 3 months away from breaking up into two separate companies which both look attractive. It is currently classified as a Specialty Retail company but will spin off a high growth, high margin, SaaS company in November that I estimate is worth more than the entire company’s market cap today.
  • The stock looks compelling on an absolute basis (5.1x NTM EBITDA) and SOTP basis. I see 31% to 117% upside over the next 6 months as the break up is completed.

Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)

By Douglas Kim

  • Soft World International has an integrated value chain/sizeable moat for its game development, distribution, payments, content, and events in Taiwan. 
  • The company is trading at attractive valuations. It is trading at EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, P/E of 13.4x, and P/B of 1.5x based on recent prices and LTM financials.
  • Net cash as a percentage of market cap is 79%. The company’s dividend yield remained steady at 6% in FY23 and FY24.

Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 3Q25 saw an acceleration in revenues (+10% YoY) and EPS (+12%), after a long period of stagnation (2022-23-24 at ~3% growth). 4Q guidance is 5% above Consensus. 
  • Impact of US import tariffs is negligible. Services is the major growth driver and Apple has few answers on critical questions (Epic ruling, DoJ rulings against Google, AI roll out). 
  • The stock is expensive, as always  (27x FY26 EPS, 25x FY27 EPS) for sub-10% growth. Some people love the buybacks, the brand and dominant market position.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Hyundai chief partners with Samsung and Hanwha in US tariff push, showing collaboration between major companies to address trade issues.
  • Arm CEO considers in-house chip production, signaling a strategic shift for the company towards more control over its manufacturing process.
  • BOE secures half of Apple’s MacBook screen orders, displacing LG Display, showcasing the competitiveness in the display market.

Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources

By FNArena

  • While Mineral Resources performed strongly operationally in the fourth quarter, not everyone is comfortable with its debt and the outlook for commodity prices.
  • -Mineral Resources’ strong fourth quarter across all segments -Production outperformance, strong cashflows at Wodgina and Onslow -Onslow progressing toward nameplate capacity -Improving balance sheet, but sensitivity to commodity prices remains

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In Q1 FY03/26, the company reported revenue of JPY549.6bn, operating profit of JPY144.7bn, and net income of JPY117.8bn.
  • The revised FY03/26 forecast projects revenue of JPY2.35tn, operating profit of JPY570.0bn, and net income of JPY444.0bn.
  • The company plans aggressive R&D investments, increasing from JPY250.0bn in FY03/25 to JPY295.0bn in FY03/26.

Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations

By Richard Howe

  • Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) reported solid Q2 2025 results and is delivering on every aspect of the original thesis I laid out in June.
  • The company has now begun executing on the largest capital return in its history: a $3.00 per share tax-free special dividend (paid July 29) and a $250MM accelerated share repurchase (ASR) — the first half of a $500MM buyback authorization.
  • Brightstar also reiterated that it will maintain its $160MM annual dividend, so with fewer shares outstanding, the per-share dividend will increase, potentially rising to ~$0.22–$0.24 per quarter.

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Daily Brief India: Nesco Ltd, WeWork India Management Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Nesco: Strong Q1FY26 Led by the Exhibitions and the Foods Segments
  • WeWork India Pre-IPO – Lease Mismatch and Structural Strains


Nesco: Strong Q1FY26 Led by the Exhibitions and the Foods Segments

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Q1 tends to be a seasonally weak quarter. However, Nesco posted 60%+ YoY growth in the Exhibition business. The Foods business grew 147% YoY led by restaurants and catering division.
  • The IT Parks segment saw its revenue grow by 3.6% QoQ and 12% YoY in Q1FY26. Overall, Nesco’s revenue grew 37% YoY and PBT grew 23% YoY in Q1FY26.
  • Given that Nesco due to its leasing based revenue is a bond proxy investment, we are increasing our fair valuation target to take into account the low interest rate environment.

WeWork India Pre-IPO – Lease Mismatch and Structural Strains

By Akshat Shah

  • WeWork India Management Ltd (1690124D IN) is looking to raise about US$407m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • WeWork India (WWI) offers a wide range of workspace solutions, including custom-designed buildings, floors, and offices; enterprise office suites; private offices; co-working spaces; customized managed offices; and hybrid digital solutions.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief China: Plover Bay Technologies, Joy City Property, Luckin Coffee, MGM China Holdings, BeiGene , Hang Seng Index and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth
  • Joy City (207 HK): Minorities Should Take The Cash
  • Luckin Coffee’s U.S. Invasion: A Brewing Storm for Starbucks!
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback
  • Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 28–Aug 01): Reversal Hits, Breadth Collapses, Vol Steady


Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 9.9%/13.4% YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from customers in the EMEA and Asia (with the US being a drag).
  • Earnings were more or less in line with our preview, Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025, but revenues were slightly weaker, and margins were stronger.
  • The stock trades at 21.5x PE FY25e (assuming 15% growth), with a 4.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), but we acknowledge there could be upside to our earnings. 

Joy City (207 HK): Minorities Should Take The Cash

By David Blennerhassett

  • Chinese property play Joy City (207 HK) has announced a Scheme buyback, with a price of $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but more like a 158% premium to undisturbed. 
  • Yes, this is a 70% discount to NAV. Yet Joy City has traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe. 
  • The IFA will likely cite liquidity and Joy City’s historical discount to NAV, and opine “reasonable”, and probably even “fair”. It is what it is for long-suffering shareholders.

Luckin Coffee’s U.S. Invasion: A Brewing Storm for Starbucks!

By Baptista Research

  • Luckin Coffee reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, underlining significant year-over-year growth in both revenue and profitability.
  • The company revealed a 41% increase in total net revenues, reaching approximately RMB 8.9 billion, mainly driven by a 42% rise in gross merchandise value (GMV) amounting to RMB 10.4 billion.
  • The growth in revenue was primarily fueled by expanded product sales through increased customer transactions, supported by an extensive store network.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, SK Hynix, Tata Steel, Vedanta Resources
  • Short-end UST yields rose slightly yesterday, extending Wednesday’s post-Fed curve flattening trend. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.96%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was stable at 4.38%. Equities ended the day mixed.
  • The S&P 500 erased a rally earlier in the day on renewed tariff concerns, declining 0.4% to 6,339. The Nasdaq closed flat at 21,122, after Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported solid results.

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
  • We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
  • $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 28–Aug 01): Reversal Hits, Breadth Collapses, Vol Steady

By John Ley

  • HSI reversed course with four straight down days to close the week sharply lower.
  • Breadth collapsed, with only a small fraction of names finishing higher; option volumes rose into the decline with Puts taking more than their usual share of activity.
  • Implied vols fell on the week, erasing last week’s gains and not showing signs of stress at this point.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, SK Hynix, Tata Steel, Vedanta Resources
  • Short-end UST yields rose slightly yesterday, extending Wednesday’s post-Fed curve flattening trend. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.96%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was stable at 4.38%. Equities ended the day mixed.
  • The S&P 500 erased a rally earlier in the day on renewed tariff concerns, declining 0.4% to 6,339. The Nasdaq closed flat at 21,122, after Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported solid results.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samyang Comtech, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics, HK inno.N and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Tax Pivot in Play: Ruling Party Rethink Could Flip Market Narrative
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.
  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook After Disappointing Earnings
  • HK Inno.N (195940 KS): Mixed 2Q Result; Pipeline Progress to Maintain Positive Momentum


Samyang Comtech IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Samyang Comtech completed solid book building results. The IPO price has been finalized at 7,700 won per share, which was at the high end of the IPO price range.
  • A 48.4% of the total IPO shares are under various lock-up periods lasting from 15 days to 6 months. This is a bullish signal. 
  • Our valuation analysis suggests target price of 13,187 won, which represents a 71% upside from IPO price. Given the excellent upside, we have a Positive view of this IPO.

Tax Pivot in Play: Ruling Party Rethink Could Flip Market Narrative

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today’s selloff spooked the ruling party, prompting top lawmakers to signal tax tweak talks less than 24hrs after rollout — and they’re clearly watching the tape.
  • Cap gains threshold likely gets bumped to ₩3–5bn. STT hike stays. Div tax top rate may drop from 35% to 25% amid internal party push.
  • President Lee’s focused on pragmatism—cutting household debt and boosting corporate liquidity. Expect the tax narrative to pivot next week, sending local market sentiment in a new direction from Friday’s tape.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Hyundai chief partners with Samsung and Hanwha in US tariff push, showing collaboration between major companies to address trade issues.
  • Arm CEO considers in-house chip production, signaling a strategic shift for the company towards more control over its manufacturing process.
  • BOE secures half of Apple’s MacBook screen orders, displacing LG Display, showcasing the competitiveness in the display market.

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook After Disappointing Earnings

By Nico Rosti

  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 2Q earnings have been somehow disappointing for investors.
  • We don’t dissect the earnings details, as market reactions—regardless of headlines—almost always fall within the behavioral range defined by our model.
  • What we see right now is FEAR: Samsung Electronics was rallying hard, reached the tails area in our model, then retreated back sharply after the earnings.

HK Inno.N (195940 KS): Mixed 2Q Result; Pipeline Progress to Maintain Positive Momentum

By Tina Banerjee

  • HK inno.N (195940 KS) reported 2Q25 result, with double-digit revenue growth and decline in operating and net profit. Continued strong sales of prescription drug business remained the key driver.
  • During 2Q25, domestic outpatient prescription sales of K-CAB increased 14% YoY to KRW53B. Next major trigger for K-CAB will be the U.S. filing for both EE and NERD in 4Q25.
  • Recently, the company’s investigational new drug IN-115314 advances to Phase 3 trial for the treatment of atopic dermatitis in dogs. If approved, IN-115314 has blockbuster revenue potential.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Joy City (207 HK): Minorities Should Take The Cash and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Joy City (207 HK): Minorities Should Take The Cash
  • Tax Pivot in Play: Ruling Party Rethink Could Flip Market Narrative
  • Current Active Merger, Acquisition, and Liquidation Opportunities: An Overview
  • Exploring Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Mergers, Asset Sales, Litigation, High-Growth Opportunities


Joy City (207 HK): Minorities Should Take The Cash

By David Blennerhassett

  • Chinese property play Joy City (207 HK) has announced a Scheme buyback, with a price of $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but more like a 158% premium to undisturbed. 
  • Yes, this is a 70% discount to NAV. Yet Joy City has traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe. 
  • The IFA will likely cite liquidity and Joy City’s historical discount to NAV, and opine “reasonable”, and probably even “fair”. It is what it is for long-suffering shareholders.

Tax Pivot in Play: Ruling Party Rethink Could Flip Market Narrative

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today’s selloff spooked the ruling party, prompting top lawmakers to signal tax tweak talks less than 24hrs after rollout — and they’re clearly watching the tape.
  • Cap gains threshold likely gets bumped to ₩3–5bn. STT hike stays. Div tax top rate may drop from 35% to 25% amid internal party push.
  • President Lee’s focused on pragmatism—cutting household debt and boosting corporate liquidity. Expect the tax narrative to pivot next week, sending local market sentiment in a new direction from Friday’s tape.

Current Active Merger, Acquisition, and Liquidation Opportunities: An Overview

By Special Situation Investments

  • ProAssurance merger with TDC faces potential regulatory hurdles, creating a short opportunity with limited downside and significant upside.
  • PMV Pharmaceuticals trades at a discount to net cash with imminent trial results and strategic review as catalysts.
  • Next Science plans to distribute US$30m from asset sale, offering a 13% spread to expected distribution price.

Exploring Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Mergers, Asset Sales, Litigation, High-Growth Opportunities

By Special Situation Investments

  • Yorkville Acquisition, Lutnick’s SPACs, and Renatus Tactical Acquisition are SPACs with political connections, targeting crypto and blockchain opportunities.
  • Mayne Pharma’s acquisition by Cosette faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a court hearing in September.
  • Currency Exchange International’s growth driven by FX Payments, potential uplisting, and closure of unprofitable Canadian business.

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Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars