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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group , Hang Seng Index, Pop Mart, Aux Electric Co Ltd, SICC, Smart Share Global, CRB Commodity Index, Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd, Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic
  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Outlook Ahead of Sep25 Rebalance
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK): Revenue Up by 204%, Margin Up by 17 PPT, 64% Upside
  • Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche
  • SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand
  • Smart Share Global: An Interesting Merger Arb Play
  • Commodities & Metals – August 2025
  • Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade
  • Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
  • The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Outlook Ahead of Sep25 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • Brian Freitas has highlighted in his August 18th’s insight the details of what to expect in the upcoming, September 5, index rebalance for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) .
  • The HSI started a modest pullback this week, outlook for the index remains bullish, this insight will try to determine both buy-the-dip and profit targets areas for the coming weeks.
  • We have attached at the end of the insight an Excel file with all our price and time model’s data for the HSI INDEX. Check it out.

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Revenue Up by 204%, Margin Up by 17 PPT, 64% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • In 1H25, Pop Mart’s revenue surged by 204% YoY with all major business lines growing significantly.
  • We believe the operating margin will improve strongly in 2025 and rise slightly in 2026.
  • The P/E band suggests an upside of 64%  for the end of 1H265. Buy.

Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche

By Nicholas Tan

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK)  is looking to raise up to US$600m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing.
  • In terms of market share, as per Frost & Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Smart Share Global: An Interesting Merger Arb Play

By Nicholas Tan

  • Smart Share Global (EM US) , previously known as “Energy Monster”, is a rather interesting merger arbitrage situation.
  • It provides a unique risk/reward balance analogous to the famous adage, “heads I win, tails I don’t lose too much”.
  • In this note, we examine the company and the merger dynamics.

Commodities & Metals – August 2025

By Rahul Jain

  • Key Trends: Precious metals, cobalt, and rare earths sustain leadership, while uranium equities face a short-term correction despite strong structural drivers.
  • Key Idea: Markets reward miners with policy support, scale, and cost efficiency, while penalizing those exposed to cyclical weakness or geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Key News: China tightened rare earth quotas, India moved forward on steel safeguard duties, and uranium equities corrected even as nuclear fundamentals remain robust

Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade

By Nicholas Tan

  • Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd (JISHUZ CH) is looking to raise around US$109m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It’s a global leader in energy storage business for big-data and telecommunication industries with a diverse customer base comprising telecom base station operations, data centers, power stations and power grids.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It is seeking to raise US$600 million.     
  • Aux is known for its aggressive low pricing, which has helped it establish itself as an affordable option to larger peers.
  • The investment case is bullish due to strong growth, increasing contract liabilities, encouraging margin profile despite the low-price strategy/higher ODM mix and cash generation.  

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yuexiu REIT
  • UST yields rose 1-2 bps yesterday, with limited major catalysts ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole appearance later this week. The yield on the 2Y UST inched up 1 bp to 3.77%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.33%.
  • Equities were flat, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stable at 6,449 and 21,630, respectively.

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Daily Brief India: Hero Motocorp, Vikram Solar, Gem Aromatics, Vishnu Chemicals , JSW Steel Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: 2 Changes as Review Cutoff Nears
  • Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Gem Aromatics IPO Analysis: A Niche Aroma Player
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength
  • JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India


NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: 2 Changes as Review Cutoff Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 Index ends on 29 August. The changes will be announced mid-September and implemented at the close on 29 September.
  • Two potential constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 10.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 12.6bn (US$145m).
  • The forecast deletions will also have sell flows from the NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and/or the Nifty 100 Index, so the impact will add up.

Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Akshat Shah

  • Vikram Solar (0490158D IN) is looking to raise about US$238m in its India IPO.
  • Vikram Solar is an integrated solar photo-voltaic modules producer and an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction services, and operations and maintenance services to its customers.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Gem Aromatics IPO Analysis: A Niche Aroma Player

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Gem Aromatics, a specialty ingredients manufacturer, opened its INR 450 crore IPO (Aug 19–21) at a INR 309–INR 325 price band. 
  • The company supplies sticky, specification-heavy ingredients (mint derivatives, aroma chemicals) to marquee FMCG and F&F players—segments benefiting from “China+1” and premiumisation in India.
  • Quality of customers and process capabilities are positives, but concentration, raw-material cycles and a pending land litigation temper enthusiasm, execution on citral scale-up is key.

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Vishnu Chemicals is expanding beyond its core chromium and barium verticals with a first-mover entry into strontium carbonate, positioning itself as the only producer in India and Asia.
  • Strategic backward integration in chrome ore and barites mining reduces raw material volatility, safeguarding margins while strengthening long-term supply security.
  • Near-Term growth guidance has been moderated to 10–15% due to U.S. tariff headwinds, but diversification and capacity expansion support a structurally stronger growth trajectory.

JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

By Rahul Jain

  • On 18 Aug 2025, JSW and POSCO agreed to explore a 6mt steel JV in Odisha under a 50:50 structure.
  • JSW to reach 51.5mt by FY31 via Indian expansions; POSCO to hit 52mt by 2030 through green steel upgrades in Korea and overseas growth.
  • Strategic Positive: The JV blends JSW’s domestic scale with POSCO’s technology and global network, accelerating India’s steel hub ambitions.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
  • SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Duke Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Duke Energy: Optimizing Resource Allocation to Maximize Operational Efficiency & Financial Performance Through Targeted Capital Investments!


Duke Energy: Optimizing Resource Allocation to Maximize Operational Efficiency & Financial Performance Through Targeted Capital Investments!

By Baptista Research

  • Duke Energy’s second-quarter 2025 earnings report demonstrates a blend of strategic growth initiatives and financial recalibrations.
  • The company announced significant transactions including Brookfield Infrastructure’s $6 billion minority investment in its Florida business and the $2.5 billion sale of its Tennessee LDC business to Spire.
  • These moves are designed to enhance Duke Energy’s credit profile, aiming to increase its FFO to debt target to 15%, a 100 basis point increase.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Intel Corp, CoreWeave, KLA-Tencor Corp, Arista Networks, Advanced Micro Devices, Soluna Holdings , Ai Holdings, Global Fashion Group SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now?
  • Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.
  • CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk
  • SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem
  • Arista Networks Leverages Velo Power—Could SD-WAN Dominate Its Next Growth Wave?
  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Is Its Game-Changing MI300 Series & AI Ecosystem Push Enough To Come Even Close To NVIDIA?
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc: 2Q25 Earnings Show Steady Gross Margin and EBITDA Improvement
  • Ai Holdings (3076 JP): Full-year FY06/25 flash update
  • Global Fashion Group — Delivered best Q2 profit since FY21
  • Global Fashion Group — Delivered best Q2 profit since FY21


Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now?

By William Keating

  • Intel just announced that SoftBank has agreed to buy $2 billion worth of Intel stock, details here. 
  • The shares are likely newly issued, meaning dilution of existing shareholders. Markets didn’t care and shares rose >5% in after hours trading. 
  • $2 billion is a far cry from the $40 billion former CEO Craig Barrett thinks Intel needs. Could this be the first of similar deals with US semiconductor/technology companies?

Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.

By Patrick Liao

  • Monetary support may temporarily ease Intel’s current financial difficulties, but the ultimate solution lies in securing technical support from manufacturing.  
  • We remain curious how the U.S. government will devise a solution for Intel if the company ultimately cannot provide the necessary support for U.S. Fabless players.
  • We are bearish on Intel Corp (INTC US)’s current position and do not believe financial support alone can help the company overcome its challenges.

CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Despite a 307% surge in revenue, CoreWeave’s extended six-year GPU depreciation schedule flatters its profitability while masking faster asset wear-down.
  • Despite ballooning into a $30 bn market cap, CoreWeave is weighed down by debt and lease obligations; Q2 interest expense exceeded operating profit, with CRWV netting $290 m in losses. 
  • The Aug 15 IPO lock-up expiry triggered insider selling via $1 bn+ block trades, driving a 35% stock plunge and spiking short interest.

SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Guided down: ASML, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron. Revised up: LAM. A number of reasons are mentioned for a slower outlook. China slowdown. TSMC lumpy. Export licenses. Geo-Globo uncertainty. 
  • Yes, But: 1) Chinese firms bought too much equipment in 2022-24  2) Logic Capex of Intel Samsung will decline further  3) Chinese SPE vendors are gaining share 
  • AI is real, HBM is real, SOCAMM is real, but TSMC and SK Hynix are not revising up Capex in 2025. Expect higher Capex in 2026 and 2027. 

Arista Networks Leverages Velo Power—Could SD-WAN Dominate Its Next Growth Wave?

By Baptista Research

  • Arista Networks presented a robust financial performance in its second quarter of fiscal year 2025, reflecting substantial growth and strong market positioning, albeit with some areas of challenge and scrutiny.
  • The company reported a record revenue of $2.2 billion for the quarter, surpassing expectations by $100 million and marking a 30.4% increase year-over-year.
  • This impressive performance was driven by robust demand across its product sectors, particularly within the AI, cloud, and enterprise domains.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Is Its Game-Changing MI300 Series & AI Ecosystem Push Enough To Come Even Close To NVIDIA?

By Baptista Research

  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. recently reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025.
  • The company’s performance was marked by significant achievements as well as notable challenges.
  • Overall, AMD’s revenue reached a record $7.7 billion, which exceeded its forecasted midpoint, representing a 32% increase compared to the previous year.

Soluna Holdings, Inc: 2Q25 Earnings Show Steady Gross Margin and EBITDA Improvement

By Water Tower Research

  • Soluna recently announced its 2Q25 earnings and business update, with revenue of $6.2 million, 295 MW of new project development (773 MW total), and a solid cash position.
  • The YoY decline was driven by four factors that drove the decrease.
  • Bitcoin halving and subsequent Hashprice volatility ($2.0 million), the change in commercial model mix to more Profit Sharing (fully offset by decline in cost of revenue by ($0.8 million) for no Gross Profit impact), lower Prop Mining volume related to site availability and miner efficiency ($0.6 million), and lower Demand Response Services driven by increased participation rate within ERCOT ($0.1 million).

Ai Holdings (3076 JP): Full-year FY06/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY16.4bn due to Iwatsu Electric’s acquisition, while operating profit declined by JPY964mn.
  • Achievement toward full-year forecast reached 97.3% for sales, 84.7% for operating profit, and 79.6% for recurring profit.
  • Sales and profit in the Security Equipment segment increased YoY, driven by large orders and strong replacement contracts.

Global Fashion Group — Delivered best Q2 profit since FY21

By Edison Investment Research

Global Fashion Group’s (GFG’s) H125 results confirm continued growth in its two largest regions, Australia New Zealand (ANZ) and Latin America (LatAm) as they benefit from their prior repositioning, with improving trends in the number of active customers who are spending more with GFG. The third region, South-East Asia (SEA) remains a work in progress ahead of the arrival of a new CEO in September 2025. The underlying improvements in revenue, the higher gross margins across all regions, despite variable revenue trends, and the focus on generating cost savings and efficiencies are delivering consistent improvements in profitability.


Global Fashion Group — Delivered best Q2 profit since FY21

By Edison Investment Research

Global Fashion Group’s (GFG’s) H125 results confirm continued growth in its two largest regions, Australia New Zealand (ANZ) and Latin America (LatAm) as they benefit from their prior repositioning, with improving trends in the number of active customers who are spending more with GFG. The third region, South-East Asia (SEA) remains a work in progress ahead of the arrival of a new CEO in September 2025. The underlying improvements in revenue, the higher gross margins across all regions, despite variable revenue trends, and the focus on generating cost savings and efficiencies are delivering consistent improvements in profitability.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Singapore Market Roundup (19-Aug-2025): Chew rates HRnetGroup ‘accumulate’ and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Singapore Market Roundup (19-Aug-2025): Chew rates HRnetGroup ‘accumulate’, target 78 cents.
  • EP 131: NVIDIA/AMD Export Tax Unconstitutional? AMAT Earnings, Another Week for Intel!
  • Ohayo Japan | Tech Pullback Drags Wall Street
  • Japan Morning Connection: Buffets Steps in to Take Stakes in US Homebuilder Majors
  • Monday Delight: 18/08/25
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on NHHHF – August 18, 2025


Singapore Market Roundup (19-Aug-2025): Chew rates HRnetGroup ‘accumulate’, target 78 cents.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • PhillipCapital’s Chew maintains ‘accumulate’ rating for HRnetGroup, target 78 cents.
  • RHB maintains DBS as its top banking choice in challenging 2QFY2025.
  • DBS raises Yanlord’s target price, noting improved debt repayment progress.

EP 131: NVIDIA/AMD Export Tax Unconstitutional? AMAT Earnings, Another Week for Intel!

By The Circuit

  • Discussion about the licenses and revenue share/tax imposed on AMD and Nvidia for selling to China
  • Concerns raised about the constitutionality of the measure and potential precedent it sets
  • Previous experiences in China contrasted with current moves towards a planned economy in America

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Ohayo Japan | Tech Pullback Drags Wall Street

By Mark Chadwick

  • Tech weakness dragged U.S. equities lower Tuesday, with the S&P 500 down 0.6%
  • Nvidia fell 3.5%, AMD 5.4% and Palantir 9%, as investors paused after the Nasdaq’s 40% rally since April.
  • Attention now turns to Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Powell may hint at September rate cuts, with futures pricing an 85% probability.

Japan Morning Connection: Buffets Steps in to Take Stakes in US Homebuilder Majors

By Andrew Jackson

  • A pullback in tech with momentum factor significantly underperforming value. 
  • Intel rallies as high as 12% as it prices in Son’s $2bn investment and Lutnick confirms Chips funds for Equity.
  • Japan’s MoD budget may not meet investors lofty expectations given the backdrop of 5% targets in EU.

Monday Delight: 18/08/25

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.
  • Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.
  • If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on NHHHF – August 18, 2025

By Water Tower Research

  • Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.4% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 0.4%).
  • Energy Technology (41% of the index) was up 3.1%, while Transportation Solutions (33% of the index) was up 3.9%, Climate Tech and Clean Tech (19% of the index) was up 2.7%, and Climate Tech Mining and Processing (7% of the index) was up 3.3%.
  • Top 10 Performers: AMYZF, XPON, GRNWF, GEVO, RIDE, SUUN, BNRG, ARRY, FSI, PPSI

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 15th): Sanrio and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 15th): Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 15th): Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 15th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD14,276m.
  • We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Disco, Zensho, Sanrio, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Lasertec.

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Daily Brief ECM: Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic
  • Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche
  • SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand
  • Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade
  • Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case
  • Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) – Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook
  • Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD) Six Month Summary: A Cold Debut That Froze the Biotech Market


Hansoh Pharma Placement – Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
  • The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Aux Electric Pre-IPO: Competitive Niche

By Nicholas Tan

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK)  is looking to raise up to US$600m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

SICC A/H Trading – Strong Retail, Lukewarm Insti Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, raised around US$260m in its H-share listing.
  • In terms of market share, as per Frost & Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Shuangdeng Group IPO: Weak Earnings This Year but Potentially Hot Data Centre Trade

By Nicholas Tan

  • Shuangdeng Group Co Ltd (JISHUZ CH) is looking to raise around US$109m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It’s a global leader in energy storage business for big-data and telecommunication industries with a diverse customer base comprising telecom base station operations, data centers, power stations and power grids.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Vikram Solar IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Akshat Shah

  • Vikram Solar (0490158D IN) is looking to raise about US$238m in its India IPO.
  • Vikram Solar is an integrated solar photo-voltaic modules producer and an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction services, and operations and maintenance services to its customers.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It is seeking to raise US$600 million.     
  • Aux is known for its aggressive low pricing, which has helped it establish itself as an affordable option to larger peers.
  • The investment case is bullish due to strong growth, increasing contract liabilities, encouraging margin profile despite the low-price strategy/higher ODM mix and cash generation.  

Pre-IPO Aux Electric Co (PHIP Updates) – Concerns About Business Model and Valuation Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • AUX mainly relies on low-price strategy to compete in the industry and has maintained robust growth in revenue/net profit.However, there’s already a significant gap in scale compared with leading peers
  • Due to higher growth, AUX’s valuation could be higher than that of Midea and Gree. However, due to risks such as high debt and weak R&D, valuation premium is limited.
  • A high valuation (e.g. P/E >15x) can be justified only if the transition to a technology-driven value model can be completed before the cash flow of low-price model dries up.

Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD) Six Month Summary: A Cold Debut That Froze the Biotech Market

By IPO Boutique

  • The company priced 5.88 million shares at $16.00—the low end of its $16.00–$18.00 range—and opened immediately underwater at $15.18, a 5.1% decline.
  • In our pre-pricing notes, we flagged the lack of sector-dedicated crossover funds in earlier rounds and a muted “buzz factor” ahead of launch.
  • Aardvark closed out the 2025 biotech IPO calendar—and in many ways, its performance “froze” the market.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now?
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK): Revenue Up by 204%, Margin Up by 17 PPT, 64% Upside
  • Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) – Q1 Weak, Forecasts Cut, Stock Fully Priced
  • Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.
  • Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP): FY FY06/25 flash update
  • Gem Aromatics IPO Analysis: A Niche Aroma Player
  • CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk
  • Marriott International: A New Game-Changing Media Network to Tap Billions in Ad Revenue & Other Key Developments!
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength
  • JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India


Intel Snags $2 Billion From SoftBank. What Now?

By William Keating

  • Intel just announced that SoftBank has agreed to buy $2 billion worth of Intel stock, details here. 
  • The shares are likely newly issued, meaning dilution of existing shareholders. Markets didn’t care and shares rose >5% in after hours trading. 
  • $2 billion is a far cry from the $40 billion former CEO Craig Barrett thinks Intel needs. Could this be the first of similar deals with US semiconductor/technology companies?

Pop Mart (9992 HK): Revenue Up by 204%, Margin Up by 17 PPT, 64% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • In 1H25, Pop Mart’s revenue surged by 204% YoY with all major business lines growing significantly.
  • We believe the operating margin will improve strongly in 2025 and rise slightly in 2026.
  • The P/E band suggests an upside of 64%  for the end of 1H265. Buy.

Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) – Q1 Weak, Forecasts Cut, Stock Fully Priced

By Rahul Jain

  • Q1/H1 2025 results: Revenue collapsed (–88% YoY) and EBITDA turned negative due to concentrate export expiry and slow smelter ramp-up.
  • Earnings revisions: FY25–26 cut sharply (–60–70% vs earlier estimates), with normalization only from FY27.
  • Valuation: At ~USD 38bn (IDR 8,400/share), AMMN already prices in Elang optionality; conservative SOTP points to 20–25% downside, leaving the stock fully valued.

Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.

By Patrick Liao

  • Monetary support may temporarily ease Intel’s current financial difficulties, but the ultimate solution lies in securing technical support from manufacturing.  
  • We remain curious how the U.S. government will devise a solution for Intel if the company ultimately cannot provide the necessary support for U.S. Fabless players.
  • We are bearish on Intel Corp (INTC US)’s current position and do not believe financial support alone can help the company overcome its challenges.

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP): FY FY06/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In FY06/25, sales increased 7.2% YoY, operating profit grew 15.8% YoY, driven by effective business initiatives.
  • Discount Store business achieved non-consolidated operating profit over JPY100.0bn, OPM improved to 7.2%, strong duty-free sales.
  • Company plans to open 25 new stores in Japan, seven overseas, targeting JPY190.0bn duty-free sales annually.

Gem Aromatics IPO Analysis: A Niche Aroma Player

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Gem Aromatics, a specialty ingredients manufacturer, opened its INR 450 crore IPO (Aug 19–21) at a INR 309–INR 325 price band. 
  • The company supplies sticky, specification-heavy ingredients (mint derivatives, aroma chemicals) to marquee FMCG and F&F players—segments benefiting from “China+1” and premiumisation in India.
  • Quality of customers and process capabilities are positives, but concentration, raw-material cycles and a pending land litigation temper enthusiasm, execution on citral scale-up is key.

CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Despite a 307% surge in revenue, CoreWeave’s extended six-year GPU depreciation schedule flatters its profitability while masking faster asset wear-down.
  • Despite ballooning into a $30 bn market cap, CoreWeave is weighed down by debt and lease obligations; Q2 interest expense exceeded operating profit, with CRWV netting $290 m in losses. 
  • The Aug 15 IPO lock-up expiry triggered insider selling via $1 bn+ block trades, driving a 35% stock plunge and spiking short interest.

Marriott International: A New Game-Changing Media Network to Tap Billions in Ad Revenue & Other Key Developments!

By Baptista Research

  • Marriott International, Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing both positives and areas of concern.
  • The company showed resilience amid global macroeconomic uncertainty by delivering strong performance metrics that surpassed previous earnings guidance.
  • The company’s global RevPAR (revenue per available room) increased by 1.5%, with particular strength observed in regions like APAC (Asia-Pacific) and EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa), demonstrating a 9% and 7% rise, respectively.

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals – Expanding Beyond Chromium, Building Specialty Strength

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Vishnu Chemicals is expanding beyond its core chromium and barium verticals with a first-mover entry into strontium carbonate, positioning itself as the only producer in India and Asia.
  • Strategic backward integration in chrome ore and barites mining reduces raw material volatility, safeguarding margins while strengthening long-term supply security.
  • Near-Term growth guidance has been moderated to 10–15% due to U.S. tariff headwinds, but diversification and capacity expansion support a structurally stronger growth trajectory.

JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

By Rahul Jain

  • On 18 Aug 2025, JSW and POSCO agreed to explore a 6mt steel JV in Odisha under a 50:50 structure.
  • JSW to reach 51.5mt by FY31 via Indian expansions; POSCO to hit 52mt by 2030 through green steel upgrades in Korea and overseas growth.
  • Strategic Positive: The JV blends JSW’s domestic scale with POSCO’s technology and global network, accelerating India’s steel hub ambitions.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yuexiu REIT
  • UST yields rose 1-2 bps yesterday, with limited major catalysts ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole appearance later this week. The yield on the 2Y UST inched up 1 bp to 3.77%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.33%.
  • Equities were flat, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stable at 6,449 and 21,630, respectively.

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