Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: HD Hyundai Marine Solution , T’Way Air, Kaynes Technology India, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Srg Takamiya, Fluence Corp, bpost SA, Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc, Applied Industrial Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That
  • Daemyung Sono Group May Wage a Public Opinion War for T’Way Air
  • Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans
  • C.H. Robinson: Innovative Pricing & Procurement Strategies Enabling Margin Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…
  • Fluence Corp Ltd – Set up for a strong recovery
  • What’s New( s)in Amsterdam – 3 February 2025 (Unilever | Basic-Fit | InPost | PostNL / bpostgroup | Retail sales | Dutch CPI)
  • Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Will The Hydradyne Acquisition & Synergies Strengthen Its Competitive Position? – Major Drivers


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

By Brian Freitas

  • Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
  • The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
  • The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.

Daemyung Sono Group May Wage a Public Opinion War for T’Way Air

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past two trading days, share prices of T’Way Air (091810 KS) and T’Way Holdings (004870 KS) are down 16.4% and 14.1%, respectively.
  • According to Hankyung daily, Daemyung Sono Group Chairman Seo may choose to wage a public opinion war, instead of purchasing additional shares.  
  • If Daemyung Sono Group is unable to take over the management control of T’Way Air using this method, then a potential tender offer of T’Way Air is possible later on. 

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

By Akshat Shah

  • Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
  • In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
  • The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.

C.H. Robinson: Innovative Pricing & Procurement Strategies Enabling Margin Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s latest quarterly financial disclosure provides insight into both the challenges and operational successes the company faced.
  • A key feature of the discussion was the significant improvement in financial metrics year-over-year, despite operating within a continued freight recession.
  • The company’s execution stands out, particularly through the adoption of the new Robinson operating model, which provided a framework for disciplined operations, embracing both human expertise and advanced technological tools.

Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…

By Sessa Investment Research

  • H1 FY2025/3 Earnings results summary: Takamiya (hereafter, the Company) reported sales of JPY 21,236 mn (+2.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY 802 mn (-33.5% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 640 mn (-56.9% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 498 mn (-50.5% YoY), falling short of initial forecasts.
  • Sales fell 6.0% short of the initial forecast due to delays in the delivery of certain projects which have been pushed back to Q3 and beyond.
  • FY2025/3 Company earnings forecast: The full-year forecasts for FY2025/3: net sales of JPY 49,500 mn (+12.2% YoY), operating profit of JPY 3,600 mn (+5.7% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 3,220 mn (-10.1% YoY), net profit of JPY 2,000 mn (+5.9%). 

Fluence Corp Ltd – Set up for a strong recovery

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on environmental services company Fluence Corporation (ASX:FLC) following its Q4 quarterly and financial and operating update and guidance for the FY25 year.
  • The company met its previous guidance for revenue of US$51.5m and an EBITDA loss of US$4.0m, which was 9% better than RaaS’ forecast for a US$4.4m loss.
  • FLC has provided a strong outlook for FY25 guiding to revenue of US$80-95m and EBITDA of US$3.0-5.0m.

What’s New( s)in Amsterdam – 3 February 2025 (Unilever | Basic-Fit | InPost | PostNL / bpostgroup | Retail sales | Dutch CPI)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • Unilever | may opt for multiple listing venues for its ice cream unit • Basic-Fit | starts share management program to support stock liquidity • InPost | eying a takeover of struggling Yodel?
  • • InPost / PostNL / bpost | online marketplaces to be liable for unsafe and illegal goods • Dutch retail sales | up 1.5% YoY in value terms in December and up 2.1% for FY24 • Dutch CPI | up 3.3% YoY in January based on the fast estimate

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • CVGI is a tier 1 supplier to OEMs, specializing in seats, wiring harnesses, plastic casings, and mirrors for MD/HD Class 5-8 trucks and construction/agricultural equipment
  • Despite customer concentration and cyclical demand, CVGI has strong relationships with major customers like Volvo, Daimler, Paccar, Navistar, Caterpillar, and John Deere
  • CVGI faces limited price competition due to OEMs working with pre-approved suppliers and investing in product development, making them a successful and stable business in the competitive commercial vehicle industry.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Will The Hydradyne Acquisition & Synergies Strengthen Its Competitive Position? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Applied Industrial Technologies reported their fiscal 2025 first-quarter results, indicating a mixed performance amid ongoing economic uncertainties and strategic investments.
  • The company experienced a moderate decline in organic daily sales of 3% compared to the previous year, though this was somewhat offset by a robust September performance, surpassing initial expectations.
  • On the positive side, the company achieved a record first quarter for free cash flow generation, nearly doubling compared to the prior year, and maintained steady EBITDA performance, consistent with internal targets.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Sumitomo Pharma, AS ONE Corporation, Daiichi Sankyo, Protalix BioTherapeutics , Select Medical Holdings, Sionna Therapeutics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Robust 9MFY25 Revenues; Back in Black; Guidance Revised
  • AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Mixed Q3FY25 Result; FY25 Net Profit Guidance Raised; New CEO Appointed
  • PLX: Revisiting the Thesis
  • Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. (SION): Phase I Cystic Fibrosis Biotech Sets Terms for IPO


Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Robust 9MFY25 Revenues; Back in Black; Guidance Revised

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) reported 25% YoY revenue growth during 9MFY25, driven by North America.
  • Restructuring and streamlining efforts help curb expenses and post a core operating profit of ¥21B during 9MFY25 compared to an operating loss of ¥96B in same period last year.
  • Sumitomo is now expecting FY25 revenue to be ¥381B, up by ¥43B from the previous forecast and a core net profit of ¥16B.

AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Cumulative Q3 FY03/25 sales were JPY75.4bn (+9.8% YoY), operating profit JPY8.4bn (+11.5% YoY), net income JPY6.0bn (+10.2% YoY).
  • Research and Industrial Instruments sales reached JPY62.4bn (+11.0% YoY), with Scientific and Industrial sales at JPY46.1bn and JPY16.3bn respectively.
  • E-commerce sales rose to JPY24.7bn (+23.8% YoY), overseas business sales were JPY4.1bn (+8.9% YoY), driven by online expansion.

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Mixed Q3FY25 Result; FY25 Net Profit Guidance Raised; New CEO Appointed

By Tina Banerjee

  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) reported mixed Q3FY25 result, with revenue increasing 8% YoY to ¥484.8M and net profit decreasing 7% YoY to ¥61.9M. Enhertu revenue increased 39% YoY to ¥143B.
  • The company has raised FY25 net profit guidance by 7% to ¥240B (up 20% YoY), to reflect an increase in financial income due to an improvement in foreign exchange gains.
  • As Daiichi Sankyo enters the final year of its current five-year business plan, the company has appointed Hiroyuki Okuzawa as Chief Executive Officer effective April 1, 2025.

PLX: Revisiting the Thesis

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Protalix is a clinical and commercial pharmaceutical company using its proprietary ProCellEx plant-based expression system to pro duce thera peutic proteins for global markets.
  • The company has two commer cialized products, Elelyso that is marketed by Fiocruz in Brazil & Pfizer in the rest of the world for Gaucher Disease and Elfabrio which was approved in May 2023.
  • Chiesi Rare Disease will commercialize Elfabrio globally.

Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SEM stub trading at a discount to fair value with a catalyst expected to narrow gap in near future
  • Predicted to be valued closer to 9.5x EV/EBITDA in 12 months, offering potential 49% upside
  • Select Medical is a prominent operator of critical illness recovery hospitals, rehab hospitals, physical therapy clinics, and occupational health centers in the U.S., recently IPOed occupational health business Concentra and plans to spin off remaining stake in CON to shareholders

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. (SION): Phase I Cystic Fibrosis Biotech Sets Terms for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Biopharmaceutical company on a mission to revolutionize the current treatment paradigm for cystic fibrosis filed for IPO.
  • The terms value the company between $652m-$734m with the $16-$18 price range.
  • The company’s existing shareholders include some of the best pre-IPO names in the biotech sphere.

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Daily Brief Financials: Samsung Life Insurance, SelfWealth Ltd, NIFTY Index, Nikkei 225, USD, Moon River Capital , Sun Life Financial and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Lee Jae-Yong’s Appeal Verdict: Unpacking the Drivers Behind Samsung Life’s Big Price Action
  • SelfWealth (SWF AU): Peter Thiel-Backed Svava Crashes Bell’s Offer
  • EQD | Nifty Index Options Weekly (Jan 24 – 31): Second Longest Decline Since 2007
  • EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly (January 27 – 31): USD/JPY and Nikkei at a Stalemate
  • U.S. Rates – DeepFreeze
  • MOO: OTC Listing + Thesis Rehash
  • Sun Life Financial Inc (SLF) – Monday, Nov 4, 2024


Lee Jae-Yong’s Appeal Verdict: Unpacking the Drivers Behind Samsung Life’s Big Price Action

By Sanghyun Park

  • Once Samsung F&M burns treasury shares, Samsung Life’s stake hits 16.93%. If they avoid a subsidiary, they’ll need to dump ~817K shares. Today’s ruling makes that move much less likely.
  • Samsung Life’s value-up announcement could be major, likely dropping around their earnings call on February 20, with solid intel backing this move.
  • The balance of dividends vs. buybacks, plus Samsung Life’s 10% stake ceiling, will drive volatility for Samsung Electronics. Samsung Life’s value-up release, before Samsung Electronics’, will boost market clarity.

SelfWealth (SWF AU): Peter Thiel-Backed Svava Crashes Bell’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 25th November, online trading player SelfWealth Ltd (SWF AU) entered into a SID with Bell Financial (BFG AU) at A$0.25/share after outbidding AxiCorp Financial Services.
  • Now Singaporean-based wealth manager Svava has tabled a non-binding A$0.28/share Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme. Svava also holds an effective blocking stake – 18.8% of shares out. 
  • SelfWealth said Svava’s proposal “while indicative and non-binding, could be reasonably considered to become a superior proposal.” BFG needs to step up. 

EQD | Nifty Index Options Weekly (Jan 24 – 31): Second Longest Decline Since 2007

By John Ley

  • Nifty has been in a prolonged downtrend, currently 4 months in duration and clipping 10.3% off the index. This is the second longest decline since 2007.
  • When looked at vs the extent of this decline, implied vol is at the bottom of its historical range and historic vol also quietest in a down-move since 2007.
  • Implied vol is trading at or above peak levels seen on historic vol since the decline started and implied remains negatively correlated to movements in spot.

EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly (January 27 – 31): USD/JPY and Nikkei at a Stalemate

By John Ley

  • This week we add in some additional graphs and commentary highlighting USD/JPY vs Nikkei 225.
  • Implied vols were very reactive to spot to open the week with Nikkei dropping almost 1% on Monday.
  • Heavier volume on the down days with Puts making up 57.8% of the total weekly volume.

U.S. Rates – DeepFreeze

By At Any Rate

  • The Fed kept policy rates unchanged as expected, but Chair Powell’s press conference provided key insights on the Fed’s stance
  • The Fed’s focus on inflation and asymmetric reaction function suggests a possible delay in further rate cuts
  • Range-bound rate environment post-Fed meeting favors short gamma strategies for volatility sellers, while yield curve trading strategies may lack carry opportunities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


MOO: OTC Listing + Thesis Rehash

By Atrium Research

  • Moon River announced it will now be trading on the OTCQB in the US under the symbol MRIVF.
  • It also announced that its shares have received DTC Eligibility.
  • We provide a rehash of our investment thesis on Moon River.

Sun Life Financial Inc (SLF) – Monday, Nov 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sun Life Financial may face challenges in its U.S. Group Benefits business, particularly in dental and stop-loss margins, as suggested by new information for the upcoming earnings report
  • Negative readthroughs from other insurers in the industry and potential changes in Medicaid spend under a Republican administration could impact SLF’s stock
  • Despite trading at a high multiple, SLF’s stock may face downside risk based on the current outlook, with a potential mid-teens % downside in a bear case scenario

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Vesync, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, JNBY Design Ltd, Aptiv PLC, Pulmuone Co Ltd, Benson Hill , Whirlpool Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Fu Shou Yuan and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Vesync (2148 HK): Antitrust Condition Satisfied, and the Scheme Vote Remains Low-Risk
  • Vesync (2148 HK): Trading Wide Ahead Of The Scheme Vote
  • La Nina-triggered Floods Make Serious Dent In Thai Rubber Production
  • HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert
  • Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #32: Pulmuone
  • SSI Weekly Newsletter: Portfolio Exits, Strategic Updates and Key Developments
  • Whirlpool Corporation: An Insight Into Its Tariff & Market Dynamics! – Major Drivers
  • Seeing Disappointing Disclosures Raises Question of What Was the Skill Matrix of Board Directors?
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448 HK) – The Special Dividend Beat Expectations, but Concerns Remain


Vesync (2148 HK): Antitrust Condition Satisfied, and the Scheme Vote Remains Low-Risk

By Arun George

  • On 27 December 2024, Vesync (2148 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from the Yang family at HK$5.60. On 28 January, the antitrust condition was satisfied.   
  • Despite a light offer, the scheme vote is low-risk. No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, there is a scrip option with no cap, and there is no retail opposition. 
  • The scheme document will be despatched by 11 April. At the last close and for an end-of-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 6.9% and 22.7%, respectively.  

Vesync (2148 HK): Trading Wide Ahead Of The Scheme Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 27th December, Vesync (2148 HK), a manufacturer of small home appliances, announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme, from the Yang family controlling ~69.04% of Vesync. 
  • The Cancellation Price of $5.60/share, declared final, was a 33.3% premium to undisturbed, and above the 2020 IPO price of HK$5.52/share.
  • The US anti-trust condition has now been fulfilled. The Scheme Doc dispatch has been extended to the 11 April. I estimate payment under the Offer late May. 

La Nina-triggered Floods Make Serious Dent In Thai Rubber Production

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber production in December suffers a loss of 30%  
  • Yokohama Rubber plays Good Samaritan in hour of crisis  
  • CMO enabling FSC Certification for Thai rubber for EUDR

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert

By Sameer Taneja


Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)

By Richard Howe

  • There were no new spin-off announcements this week, but I’ve done some more work on the Aptiv (APTV) spin-off announcement.

  • Aptiv PLC (APTV), an automotive technology supplier, announced on January 22, 2025, that it plans to split into two distinct companies.

  • Aptiv will spin-off its electrical systems business. The RemainCo will concentrate on technological components, including sensor-to-cloud solutions and autonomous driving software.


Korea Small Cap Gem #32: Pulmuone

By Douglas Kim

  • Pulmuone has benefited from improved sales and profitability of its US subsidiary, driven by higher demand for Korean foods and plant based/non-meat based foods such as tofu.
  • The company has nearly 70% market share in the tofu segment in the US. It has gained meaningful economies of scale of its tofu product in the United States. 
  • Pulmuone currently has a market cap of 390 billion won. Using the consensus net profit estimate of 37.6 billion won, this would suggest a P/E of 10.3x.

SSI Weekly Newsletter: Portfolio Exits, Strategic Updates and Key Developments

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Benson Hill exited after a +100% share price spike, despite a 38% loss; concerns over cash and buyout proposal persist.
  • Marlowe position closed with a 23% return; buybacks had no impact on share price, concerns over future decline.
  • DMC Global faces conflict with Steel Connect over valuation and acquisition proposals; Arcadia’s former president returns.

Whirlpool Corporation: An Insight Into Its Tariff & Market Dynamics! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Whirlpool Corporation’s fourth-quarter 2024 performance exhibited both areas of progress and challenges.
  • The company acknowledged that while their financial outcomes have not fully met expectations, they have made strides in operational efficiency and portfolio transformation.
  • Notably, the completion of the Europe transaction marked a significant transition in creating value opportunities.

Seeing Disappointing Disclosures Raises Question of What Was the Skill Matrix of Board Directors?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • With about 40% of companies having a P/B of less than 1x, the problem is that many disclosures do not understand management to create value and increase the stock price.
  • It’s difficult for investors’ voices to reach small cap companies and companies with still high defensive walls of cross-held shares, which are not easily targeted for investment by institutional investors.
  • Independent directors should be appointed with skillset to participate in developing management plans and scrutinize them for reasonableness and whether the projected corporate value is gapped from that of investors.

Fu Shou Yuan (1448 HK) – The Special Dividend Beat Expectations, but Concerns Remain

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The special dividend actually exceeded investors’ expectations. As long as the dividend yield is higher than the risk-free rate, then Fu Shou Yuan is worth holding for the long term.
  • Fu Shou Yuan’s 2024 full-year performance could fall short of expectations. As the business model is not as excellent as previously imagined, long-term growth rate would fall to single digit.
  • Since high valuation is unsustainable without the support of strong future growth momentum, investors who pursue for capital gains could consider taking profits by taking advantage of share price rally.

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Most Read: Shinko Electric Industries, iShares China Large-Cap (FXI), Indusind Bank, Osaka Steel, Kyocera Corp, Legochem Biosciences, Samsung Life Insurance, Vesync, Fosun Tourism, HD Hyundai Marine Solution and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Shinko Electric (6967) – All Approvals In, JIC Says “Mid-Feb” So Cash Is 19-21 March?
  • FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake
  • India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February
  • Osaka Steel (5449) Large Buyback At a Discount Ruins Fun For Activists
  • Kyocera (6971) – Changes Policies – Will Sell KDDI Faster and Buy Back Shares
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual
  • Lee Jae-Yong’s Appeal Verdict: Unpacking the Drivers Behind Samsung Life’s Big Price Action
  • Vesync (2148 HK): Antitrust Condition Satisfied, and the Scheme Vote Remains Low-Risk
  • Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That


Shinko Electric (6967) – All Approvals In, JIC Says “Mid-Feb” So Cash Is 19-21 March?

By Travis Lundy

  • JIC gave an official statement yesteday about the expected start of its Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) Tender Offer. A later-than-expected start has people asking questions.
  • It has traded tighter since the SAMR approval news (I warned on 16 Dec it was coming and the next day it closed 6.6% gross).
  • Below I discuss the language of the Conditions Precedent which would allow a MAC. 

FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake

By Brian Freitas


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

By Brian Freitas

  • Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
  • The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
  • Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 13 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in February.

Osaka Steel (5449) Large Buyback At a Discount Ruins Fun For Activists

By Travis Lundy

  • Osaka Steel (5449 JP) is 65% owned by Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP). They make a relatively simple set of steel products used by shipbuilders, construction companies, and warehouse builders. 
  • Activist Effissimo Capital went over 5% in October 2016 and is still a top holder. Activist Strategic Capital went over 5% in December 2023 and now owns 10+% of votes. 
  • The “hope” had been that Nippon Steel buy out minorities and Osaka Steel would be rescued from mediocre capital returns. That was not to be. Activists are disappointed. 

Kyocera (6971) – Changes Policies – Will Sell KDDI Faster and Buy Back Shares

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, in conjunction with the release of Q3 earnings, Kyocera Corp (6971 JP) announced a change in its Corporate Governance Code doc, a change in Cross-holding Policy, and Buyback Policy.
  • Full-Year earnings guidance revision was non-salutary. Revs -1%, OP -69%, Net Profit -72% vs previous predictions from 30 October (those were -1.5%, -38.2%, -36.6% vs April guidance at the time). 
  • Based on this disappointment, they announced they would speed up the sale of crossholdings and buy back shares this year and over the following three years.

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

By Brian Freitas


Lee Jae-Yong’s Appeal Verdict: Unpacking the Drivers Behind Samsung Life’s Big Price Action

By Sanghyun Park

  • Once Samsung F&M burns treasury shares, Samsung Life’s stake hits 16.93%. If they avoid a subsidiary, they’ll need to dump ~817K shares. Today’s ruling makes that move much less likely.
  • Samsung Life’s value-up announcement could be major, likely dropping around their earnings call on February 20, with solid intel backing this move.
  • The balance of dividends vs. buybacks, plus Samsung Life’s 10% stake ceiling, will drive volatility for Samsung Electronics. Samsung Life’s value-up release, before Samsung Electronics’, will boost market clarity.

Vesync (2148 HK): Antitrust Condition Satisfied, and the Scheme Vote Remains Low-Risk

By Arun George

  • On 27 December 2024, Vesync (2148 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from the Yang family at HK$5.60. On 28 January, the antitrust condition was satisfied.   
  • Despite a light offer, the scheme vote is low-risk. No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, there is a scrip option with no cap, and there is no retail opposition. 
  • The scheme document will be despatched by 11 April. At the last close and for an end-of-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 6.9% and 22.7%, respectively.  

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 10th December 2024, Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) announced a rare Scheme buyback, with a Cancellation Price of $7.80/share (not declared final), a punchy 95% premium to undisturbed. 
  • A successful Scheme would result in Fosun International (656 HK) and concert parties holding 100% in Fosun Tourism – without having to outlay a cent. 
  • A scrip alternative was afforded IF expressions of interests from 1% of shares out occurred. That didn’t happen. Still a clean deal. Scheme Doc dispatch is the 14th Feb.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

By Brian Freitas

  • Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
  • The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
  • The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Pullback In Sight for Weak China Mobile (0941 HK) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Pullback In Sight for Weak China Mobile (0941 HK)
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 31st): HD HYUNDAI ELECTRIC, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor
  • Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): Bangkok Bank, Cal-Comp Electronics, Srisawad Power 1979


Pullback In Sight for Weak China Mobile (0941 HK)

By Nico Rosti

  • China Mobile (941 HK) closed up for 3 weeks in a row, but it is going nowhere. Our models indicate it has not even reached the Q1 (25%) resistance level.
  • This behavior is flagged as “short-term weakness” by our models and prelude to a possible pullback, beginning this coming week.
  • The stock should end its pull back between 72.85 and 72.25, it can be bought again from these levels.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 31st): HD HYUNDAI ELECTRIC, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 31st which has an aggregated holding worth USD477.8bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD237mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in HD HYUNDAI ELECTRIC, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): Bangkok Bank, Cal-Comp Electronics, Srisawad Power 1979

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jan 31st.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Bangkok Bank, Cal-Comp Electronics, Srisawad Power 1979.

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Daily Brief ESG: Easier to Raise Listing Criteria and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Easier to Raise Listing Criteria, but More Difficult to Encourage Growth of Companies Already Listed


Easier to Raise Listing Criteria, but More Difficult to Encourage Growth of Companies Already Listed

By Aki Matsumoto

  • There is a need to change the mindset of company managers who consider IPO as a goal and not a way to grow after the listing.
  • The listing criteria for TSE Growth Market will be raised as early as April 2026. It’s clear that the current listing criteria are far from liquid enough to invest in.
  • For companies that are already listed, some rule should be established to either de-list them because they cannot bear the listing cost or to increase their market capitalization through M&As.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Falls as New Tariffs Loom and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Falls as New Tariffs Loom
  • Japan Activist Briefs | Aichi Steel, Yodogawa Steel
  • Japan Morning Connection: Trump Tariffs Set to Roil Markets to Start the Week
  • CHMP Meeting Update: Eight New Medicines Recommended For Approval


Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Falls as New Tariffs Loom

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks declined Friday as the White House announced new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China taking effect Saturday
  • Japanese markets ended mixed last week, with NEC leading gains, surging 18.4% on a stock split announcement and upward guidance revision. The broader TOPIX gained 1.4% for the week
  • Companies reporting strong results included SCREEN Holdings, TDK, Fujitsu, MOL, Sakura Internet, and ZOZO

Japan Activist Briefs | Aichi Steel, Yodogawa Steel

By Mark Chadwick

  • Investor activism and undervaluation are driving renewed interest in the steel sector, with Aichi and Yodogawa Steel facing pressure to unlock shareholder value.
  • Asset Value increased their stake in Sharing Tech. It ticks a lot of boxes: strong growth, high profitability, robust cash reserves, & shareholder-friendly policies.
  • Nippon Active Value increased its stake in ASKA Pharma due to its strong fundamentals, undervaluation, profitability, and potential for shareholder value enhancement through cross-shareholding reductions.

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Tariffs Set to Roil Markets to Start the Week

By Andrew Jackson

  • Jensen in the White House did little to help NVDA on the spectre of further restrictions.
  • NEC +18% in one of its biggest moves ever on Friday as defense takes a bigger role.
  • Screen and Lasertec both reported earnings beats but its a mixed bag for both under the hood.

CHMP Meeting Update: Eight New Medicines Recommended For Approval

By Tina Banerjee

  • In its January 2025 meeting, EMA’s human medicines committee (CHMP) recommended eight medicines for approval, including four innovative, three biosimilars, and one generic drugs.
  • The committee has also recommended extensions of indication for eight medicines that are already authorized in the EU.
  • Marketing applications for two medicines were withdrawn. Among them, withdrawal of Daiichi Sankyo’s datopotamab deruxtecan for non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer is noteworthy.

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Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (3rd Feb 2025) – Seoul Guarantee and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (3rd Feb 2025) – Seoul Guarantee, Dr Agarwal’s, Ather Energy, Hexaware, Visen Pharma
  • Bama Tea Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Pre-IPO PegBio Co., Ltd. (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


ECM Weekly (3rd Feb 2025) – Seoul Guarantee, Dr Agarwal’s, Ather Energy, Hexaware, Visen Pharma

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, we had a look at the valuations for Dr. Agarwal’s Eye Hospital and Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)
  • On the placements front, given the holiday shortened week, there were no placements this week.

Bama Tea Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Bama Tea (BAMA HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai, ABC and TF International.
  • Bama Tea, as per the firm, is the most recognized tea brand in China and the leading provider of premium tea leaves in China.
  • It sells through its nationwide offline store network and comprehensive online sales platforms, and sells every major tea leaf category

Pre-IPO PegBio Co., Ltd. (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The market’s expectations for GLP-1 have changed, and the sales growth of GLP-1 may enter a turning point, which would cast a shadow over the prospects of PegBio’s GLP-1 pipelines.
  • PB-119 would be the first commercialized product for PegBio. However, this market is highly crowded. It’s highly uncertain whether PB-119 can stand out from fierce market competition after its launch.
  • The post investment valuation has reached RMB4 billion, which is already expensive in our view. Due to poor valuation performance of peers, we are not optimistic about PegBio after IPO.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Osaka Steel (5449) Large Buyback At a Discount Ruins Fun For Activists and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Osaka Steel (5449) Large Buyback At a Discount Ruins Fun For Activists
  • India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February
  • FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual
  • Merger Arb Mondays (03 Feb) – ESR, LifeStyle China, Vesync, Giga Prize, Sanyo, Ascot, Seven & I
  • Chuoh Pack Industry (3952 JP): NIKKON (9072 JP) Offer’s 273% Premium Results from an Auction
  • Weekly Deals Digest (02 Feb) – NTT UD REIT, Sanyo, Ascot, Giga Prize, Lifestyle China, Dada, LG CNS
  • Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative


Osaka Steel (5449) Large Buyback At a Discount Ruins Fun For Activists

By Travis Lundy

  • Osaka Steel (5449 JP) is 65% owned by Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP). They make a relatively simple set of steel products used by shipbuilders, construction companies, and warehouse builders. 
  • Activist Effissimo Capital went over 5% in October 2016 and is still a top holder. Activist Strategic Capital went over 5% in December 2023 and now owns 10+% of votes. 
  • The “hope” had been that Nippon Steel buy out minorities and Osaka Steel would be rescued from mediocre capital returns. That was not to be. Activists are disappointed. 

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

By Brian Freitas

  • Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
  • The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
  • Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 13 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in February.

FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake

By Brian Freitas


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

By Brian Freitas



Chuoh Pack Industry (3952 JP): NIKKON (9072 JP) Offer’s 273% Premium Results from an Auction

By Arun George

  • Chuoh Pack Industry (3952 JP) has recommended Nikkon Holdings (9072 JP)’s tender offer at JPY5,034, a 273.2% premium to the last close.
  • The extraordinary premium resulted from a competitive auction, enabling Toyota Motor (7203 JP), the largest shareholder, to sell most of its stake. 
  • The offer is well above the target IFA’s DCF valuation range and more than double the all-time high. Stating the obvious, this is a done deal.   

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Feb) – NTT UD REIT, Sanyo, Ascot, Giga Prize, Lifestyle China, Dada, LG CNS

By Arun George


Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): No Love For The Scrip Alternative

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 10th December 2024, Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) announced a rare Scheme buyback, with a Cancellation Price of $7.80/share (not declared final), a punchy 95% premium to undisturbed. 
  • A successful Scheme would result in Fosun International (656 HK) and concert parties holding 100% in Fosun Tourism – without having to outlay a cent. 
  • A scrip alternative was afforded IF expressions of interests from 1% of shares out occurred. That didn’t happen. Still a clean deal. Scheme Doc dispatch is the 14th Feb.

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