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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: Mazda Motor, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?
  • FSA Roadmap Is Realistic, but Progress on Scope 3 Disclosures Will Follow the Revision of Guidelines


Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?

By Michael Allen

  • 2025 will start with more attractive turnaround opportunities than we have seen in a long time. 
  • An uptick in TOBs, MBOs and merger discussions makes it suddenly no longer safe to short low-PBR companies indiscriminately.
  • Investors are noticing. More than two-dozen large- and medium-cap stocks with deep discounts to the benchmark began to bounce off well-defined support levels in late December.

FSA Roadmap Is Realistic, but Progress on Scope 3 Disclosures Will Follow the Revision of Guidelines

By Aki Matsumoto

  • An assurance system will be established to ensure the quality of assurance. The assurance provider is expected to be a profession-agnostic system that is not limited to auditing firms.
  • The assurance will be limited to Scope 1 and 2, and only Scope 1 and 2, which most large companies already disclose, will be initially required to be disclosed.
  • Scope 3 disclosures have not progressed at this time, but Scope 3 disclosures are expected to progress after the safe harbor is included and the disclosure guidelines are revised.

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Daily Brief China: Viva Goods , Get Nice Financial Group Ltd, Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote
  • Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): EGM Set For Get Nice (64 HK)’s Scrip Offer
  • The Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels (45 HK)


Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 16th October, Li Ning-backed Viva Goods (933 HK)  announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 62.91%-held Bossini International Holdings (592 HK), a casual apparel play.
  • One new Viva share for five Bossini shares backed an implied scrip price of HK$0.108/share, a 12.2% discount to undisturbed. 
  • Bossini’s Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 10th February, and expected  settlement on the 24th March. The IFA says “fair and reasonable”. 

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): EGM Set For Get Nice (64 HK)’s Scrip Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
  • With an implied scrip price & divvy of HK$1.116/share, against a book value of HK1.736/share – and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share – this is probably being down too cheaply.
  • GNH’s Circular is now out, with an EGM to be held on the 22nd Jan. GNF’s Scheme Doc is expected to be dispatched one or before the 10th Feb. 

The Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels (45 HK)

By Michael Fritzell

  • Great portfolio of assets, most notably 10 hotels under the Peninsula brand name
  • Capex has been excessive over the past 10 years, especially in London, but the company is now focused on execution and paying back debt. Both London and Istanbul ramping up.
  • NAV per share of HK$24 per share, putting at the HK$6.2 price at a 74% discount to NAV. Key is whether Philip Kadoorie will unlock value once he takes over.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Singapore Market Roundup (03-Jan-2025): DBS top pick: Sea for growth in live commerce and AI. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Singapore Market Roundup (03-Jan-2025): DBS top pick: Sea for growth in live commerce and AI.
  • 2024 Was Ugly for Turnarounds, 2025 Should Be Awesome!
  • Charted Insights: India’s Growth Story; Two Major Risks Looming Ahead in 2025
  • #79 India Insights: NSE Leads Global IPOs, HUL’s 3000 Cr Acquisition, DMart’s Q3 Boost


Singapore Market Roundup (03-Jan-2025): DBS top pick: Sea for growth in live commerce and AI.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • DBS recommends Sea due to Shopee’s promising growth from live commerce and AI investments
  • Digital Core REIT may benefit from new opportunities post departure of tenant as a blank canvas, says DBS
  • UOB Kay Hian maintains ‘buy’ ratings on Seatrium and FLCT, while reducing Mapletree Logistics Trust’s target price due to high vacancy rates in China

2024 Was Ugly for Turnarounds, 2025 Should Be Awesome!

By Michael Allen

  • Buying the worst-performing stocks of the previous 12 months has outperformed Japan’s Topix index by an average of 7% annually for 9 straight years
  • For most of 2024, the strategy didn’t work, but an uptick in TOBs, MBOs, and merger talks is suddenly making it unsafe to short low-PBR companies indiscriminately.
  • Suddenly, dozens of previously complacent companies have the fear of God and are taking action to up their profitability and the market is taking notice. 

Charted Insights: India’s Growth Story; Two Major Risks Looming Ahead in 2025

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India’s growth story is facing two major risks in 2025 – Valuations and earnings growth
  • 56% of smallcaps and midcaps are trading at valuations higher than index valuations which itself is trading at all-time high valuations
  • Earnings show sharp slowdown in QFY25 owing to slowdown in capex, govt spend and inflations.

#79 India Insights: NSE Leads Global IPOs, HUL’s 3000 Cr Acquisition, DMart’s Q3 Boost

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • NSE led global IPOs with 268 listings, raising Rs. 1.67 lakh crore, highlighting India’s financial market growth in 2024.
  • Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) Rs. 3,000 crore acquisition of Minimalist boosts its D2C skincare presence, capitalizing on rapid startup growth.
  • Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN) strong Q3 performance boosted retail stocks, signaling optimism for sector growth, with notable gains in V2 Retail and V-Mart.

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Daily Brief ECM: LG CNS: Updated IPO Valuation Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • LG CNS: Updated IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Orum Therapeutics Lowers IPO Price Range


LG CNS: Updated IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • According to our updated valuation analysis of LG CNS, it suggests a base case implied market cap of 7.4 trillion won, representing target price of 76,383 won per share. 
  • Our base case valuation target price of 76,383 won is 23% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
  • We lowered our target price by 6%, mainly due to greater political risks arising from the recent cancelled martial law and ongoing impeachment of President Yoon.

Orum Therapeutics Lowers IPO Price Range

By Douglas Kim

  • Orum Therapeutics (475830 KS) has lowered its IPO price range to 24,000 won to 30,000 won.
  • The IPO offering amount will be between 60 billion won to 75 billion won. The expected market cap of the IPO is between 531 billion won to 664 billion won. 
  • Our updated valuation of Orum Therapeutics suggests implied target price of 24,939 won per share, which is 8% lower than the mid-point of the revised down IPO price range. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote
  • Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): EGM Set For Get Nice (64 HK)’s Scrip Offer
  • Samsung Group ETF Rebalancing Event to Watch for in June
  • SSI’s 2024 Review: Portfolio Underperformance, Event-Driven Strategies, and Lessons from Losses


Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 16th October, Li Ning-backed Viva Goods (933 HK)  announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 62.91%-held Bossini International Holdings (592 HK), a casual apparel play.
  • One new Viva share for five Bossini shares backed an implied scrip price of HK$0.108/share, a 12.2% discount to undisturbed. 
  • Bossini’s Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 10th February, and expected  settlement on the 24th March. The IFA says “fair and reasonable”. 

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): EGM Set For Get Nice (64 HK)’s Scrip Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
  • With an implied scrip price & divvy of HK$1.116/share, against a book value of HK1.736/share – and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share – this is probably being down too cheaply.
  • GNH’s Circular is now out, with an EGM to be held on the 22nd Jan. GNF’s Scheme Doc is expected to be dispatched one or before the 10th Feb. 

Samsung Group ETF Rebalancing Event to Watch for in June

By Sanghyun Park

  • With Samsung finalizing the call option on Rainbow Robotics in February, the FTC will add it to Samsung Group in March, ensuring its inclusion in the ETF by June.
  • With the market cap boost from the call option, Rainbow Robotics is set to easily exceed 2% weight in the ETF by June.
  • The rebalancing from June 2-9 will direct 30% of daily volume into Rainbow Robotics, likely enough to move the needle on price action, especially on the first day.

SSI’s 2024 Review: Portfolio Underperformance, Event-Driven Strategies, and Lessons from Losses

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • SSI’s Tracking Portfolio ended 2024 with a -1% return, hindered by cash holdings and significant losses in MSTR, BHIL, and BOOM.
  • SSI shared 85 investment ideas in 2024, including 14 Portfolio Ideas, 69 Quick Pitches, and 2 “Why I’m Not Involved” overviews.
  • Portfolio Ideas suffered losses over 50% due to ignored red flags, while Quick Pitches had a 60% win rate.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?
  • Steep Discount on Land Acquisition by Reliance Sparks Corporate Governance Debate
  • NewMarket Corporation’s Unstoppable Petroleum Additives Profit Surge Exposes Shocking Cost-Cutting Secrets! – Major Drivers
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jan-2025): AI agents: helper or threat?
  • Admiral Group Plc (AMIGY) – Thursday, Oct 3, 2024
  • Triumph Group’s Solid Cost-Cutting Efforts Skyrocket EBITDA Margins! – Major Drivers
  • Valvoline Inc.: Expansion of Market Share & Franchise Growth As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • The Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels (45 HK)
  • Tri Pointe Homes: A Strong Liquidity Position Can Fuel Expansion! – Major Drivers
  • Stevanato Group: Engineering Optimization For A Competitive Edge But Will It Work? – Major Drivers


Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?

By Michael Allen

  • 2025 will start with more attractive turnaround opportunities than we have seen in a long time. 
  • An uptick in TOBs, MBOs and merger discussions makes it suddenly no longer safe to short low-PBR companies indiscriminately.
  • Investors are noticing. More than two-dozen large- and medium-cap stocks with deep discounts to the benchmark began to bounce off well-defined support levels in late December.

Steep Discount on Land Acquisition by Reliance Sparks Corporate Governance Debate

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Reliance bought 5,286 acres of prime industrial land in Navi Mumbai, which was sold for a surprisingly low INR 2,200 cr whose economic value is around INR 1 Lakh cr.
  • This complex transaction done at a steep discount raises corporate governance issues for other shareholders like Jai Corp owing to valuations, disclosure lapses and minority shareholder rights.
  • We delve into details of the deal structure and what it means for respective companies’s shareholders.

NewMarket Corporation’s Unstoppable Petroleum Additives Profit Surge Exposes Shocking Cost-Cutting Secrets! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • NewMarket Corporation reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, presenting a mixed performance with noteworthy insights into its operations and strategic initiatives.
  • In terms of financial performance, the company achieved a net income of $132 million, translating to $13.79 per share, compared to $111 million or $11.60 per share in the same period last year.
  • This indicates an improvement in profitability on a year-over-year basis.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jan-2025): AI agents: helper or threat?

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AI agents are becoming more powerful assistants but need careful management to avoid potential risks.
  • Honor is preparing for an IPO with corporate restructuring and rebranding efforts.
  • Taiwan tightens restrictions on tech exports to China while the US considers banning Chinese drones like DJI.

Admiral Group Plc (AMIGY) – Thursday, Oct 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Admiral shares have shown strong performance with a 13% CAGR since May 2018 and reaching all-time-highs after 1H24 results
  • Despite recent pullbacks, Admiral’s market cap of £8.6bn is considered very cheap
  • The market underestimates Admiral’s potential, with the business transitioning from a “sell” to a “buy” consensus in recent years and earnings upgrades through 2024

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Triumph Group’s Solid Cost-Cutting Efforts Skyrocket EBITDA Margins! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Triumph Group presented a mix of performance outcomes in its second quarter fiscal 2025 results.
  • The company demonstrated a commendable increase in its aftermarket growth, which surged 13% year-over-year and contributed over 60% to its profit.
  • This was achieved through robust spares and repairs activities within both commercial and military sectors, setting a positive trend amid some broader market challenges.

Valvoline Inc.: Expansion of Market Share & Franchise Growth As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Valvoline Inc. announced its fourth-quarter and full fiscal year 2024 earnings, underlining its solid market position in the retail services sector, yet facing specific growth challenges.
  • For fiscal 2024, Valvoline reported a significant 12% increase in system-wide store sales reaching $3.1 billion, along with adjusted EBITDA growth of 17% to $443 million.
  • However, there were concerns as net revenue and same-store sales growth landed just below expectations.

The Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels (45 HK)

By Michael Fritzell

  • Great portfolio of assets, most notably 10 hotels under the Peninsula brand name
  • Capex has been excessive over the past 10 years, especially in London, but the company is now focused on execution and paying back debt. Both London and Istanbul ramping up.
  • NAV per share of HK$24 per share, putting at the HK$6.2 price at a 74% discount to NAV. Key is whether Philip Kadoorie will unlock value once he takes over.

Tri Pointe Homes: A Strong Liquidity Position Can Fuel Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Tri Pointe Homes’ (TPH) latest financial results for the third quarter of 2024 present a combination of robust performance metrics and strategic market positioning, alongside noted challenges in certain geographies and market segments.
  • As a residential home builder operating across diverse U.S. markets, Tri Pointe achieved notable gains in home deliveries, revenue growth, and profitability, yet remains vigilant of macroeconomic and regional headwinds impacting future outlook.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Stevanato Group: Engineering Optimization For A Competitive Edge But Will It Work? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Stevanato Group’s third-quarter 2024 financial results present a complex picture that warrants a balanced examination of both its organizational strategies and market dynamics.
  • The company reported a modest 2% revenue growth year-over-year, slightly tempered by persistent challenges in its Engineering segment and vial destocking effects.
  • These factors influenced management’s decision to lower the full-year 2024 guidance for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted EPS.

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Daily Brief Macro: Steno Signals #178 – Brace yourselves and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Steno Signals #178 – Brace yourselves, liquidity is coming!
  • [ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend
  • CX Daily: Venture Capital in China Flounders as State Takes Over (Part 1)


Steno Signals #178 – Brace yourselves, liquidity is coming!

By Andreas Steno

  • Happy New Year, friends, and welcome back to the Steno Signals editorials! My apologies for the silence over the past few days—I celebrated New Year’s Eve (and my 35th birthday) battling a nasty pneumonia, which has taken some time to recover from.
  • Thankfully, I am finally better and wanted to share my 2025 thoughts on liquidity with you, as I find myself disagreeing quite a bit with the current semi-bearish consensus.
  • We experienced an almost equally “tight” year-end as the tight quarter-end back in September.

[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 27/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.2m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.4m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
  • U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 116 Bcf for the week ending 27/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 127 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • JP Morgan lowered its 12-month PT for Halliburton and Schlumberger but maintained its “Overweight” ratings. Saudi Aramco revised fuel and natural gas prices for cement production starting from 01/Jan.

CX Daily: Venture Capital in China Flounders as State Takes Over (Part 1)

By Caixin Global

  • Funds / In Depth: Venture Capital in China flounders as state takes over
  • Flights /Chinese airlines skirt southern Russia after Azerbaijan plane crash
  • PMI /China manufacturing slows as exports decline, Caixin PMI shows

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Most Read: ZTO Express Cayman , Sun Art Retail, Contact Energy, Bloks Group, ESR Group , Mazda Motor, Viva Goods , Get Nice Financial Group Ltd, Rainbow Robotics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March
  • Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38
  • NZ: Contact Energy (CEN NZ) Hotter Than Mercury (MCY NZ) As Catalyst Looms
  • Bloks Group IPO (0325.HK): Global Offering, The Initial Price Range Is Seen As Attractively Valued
  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2024: De Grey, Insignia, ESR Group, Fosun Tourism, HKBN, Pentamaster, Beenos
  • Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?
  • Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote
  • Bloks Group IPO – PHIP Updates – Momentum Remains Strong, Although Some Lingering Doubts Persist
  • Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): EGM Set For Get Nice (64 HK)’s Scrip Offer
  • Samsung Group ETF Rebalancing Event to Watch for in June


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

By Brian Freitas


Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38

By David Blennerhassett

  • HK$1.38/Share. That’s the takeaway as Alibaba Group (9988 HK) enters an SPA to offload its 78.7% stake in Sun Art (6808 HK) at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.
  • The buyer, Paragon Shine, an entity under Chinese PE outfit DCP Capital, is paying ~HK$12.3bn compared to BABA’s HK$28.1bn purchase of a 51% stake in October 2020.
  • Should the SPA complete, an unconditional MGO is triggered. Minorities tendering can receive up to HK$1.58/share. But the question is: why would BABA be cashing out at this price?

NZ: Contact Energy (CEN NZ) Hotter Than Mercury (MCY NZ) As Catalyst Looms

By Brian Freitas


Bloks Group IPO (0325.HK): Global Offering, The Initial Price Range Is Seen As Attractively Valued

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Shanghai-Based Bloks Group, a leader of assembly character toys in China, has announced the initial price range for its IPO in Hong Kong.
  • The offering is expected to be between HK$55.65 and HK$60.35, implying a market cap of ~HK$14B or ~$1.8B at the midpoint of the price range. 
  • Assuming IPO offer price of HK$58.00, UBS AM Singapore, Greenwoods AM and Fullgoal Investors have agreed to invest ~HK$388M or ~$50M in the offering.

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2024: De Grey, Insignia, ESR Group, Fosun Tourism, HKBN, Pentamaster, Beenos

By David Blennerhassett

  • For the month of December 2024, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.
  • The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in December was ~46%. The average premium in 2024 was ~43%.
  • This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.

Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?

By Michael Allen

  • 2025 will start with more attractive turnaround opportunities than we have seen in a long time. 
  • An uptick in TOBs, MBOs and merger discussions makes it suddenly no longer safe to short low-PBR companies indiscriminately.
  • Investors are noticing. More than two-dozen large- and medium-cap stocks with deep discounts to the benchmark began to bounce off well-defined support levels in late December.

Bossini (592 HK): 10th Feb Scheme Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 16th October, Li Ning-backed Viva Goods (933 HK)  announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 62.91%-held Bossini International Holdings (592 HK), a casual apparel play.
  • One new Viva share for five Bossini shares backed an implied scrip price of HK$0.108/share, a 12.2% discount to undisturbed. 
  • Bossini’s Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 10th February, and expected  settlement on the 24th March. The IFA says “fair and reasonable”. 

Bloks Group IPO – PHIP Updates – Momentum Remains Strong, Although Some Lingering Doubts Persist

By Clarence Chu

  • Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$188m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss the latest PHIP updates.

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): EGM Set For Get Nice (64 HK)’s Scrip Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
  • With an implied scrip price & divvy of HK$1.116/share, against a book value of HK1.736/share – and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share – this is probably being down too cheaply.
  • GNH’s Circular is now out, with an EGM to be held on the 22nd Jan. GNF’s Scheme Doc is expected to be dispatched one or before the 10th Feb. 

Samsung Group ETF Rebalancing Event to Watch for in June

By Sanghyun Park

  • With Samsung finalizing the call option on Rainbow Robotics in February, the FTC will add it to Samsung Group in March, ensuring its inclusion in the ETF by June.
  • With the market cap boost from the call option, Rainbow Robotics is set to easily exceed 2% weight in the ETF by June.
  • The rebalancing from June 2-9 will direct 30% of daily volume into Rainbow Robotics, likely enough to move the needle on price action, especially on the first day.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Mazda Motor, Rainbow Robotics, Triumph Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?
  • Samsung Group ETF Rebalancing Event to Watch for in June
  • Triumph Group’s Solid Cost-Cutting Efforts Skyrocket EBITDA Margins! – Major Drivers


Unloved Japan Round Up Jan. 3: Set Up for A Banner Year?

By Michael Allen

  • 2025 will start with more attractive turnaround opportunities than we have seen in a long time. 
  • An uptick in TOBs, MBOs and merger discussions makes it suddenly no longer safe to short low-PBR companies indiscriminately.
  • Investors are noticing. More than two-dozen large- and medium-cap stocks with deep discounts to the benchmark began to bounce off well-defined support levels in late December.

Samsung Group ETF Rebalancing Event to Watch for in June

By Sanghyun Park

  • With Samsung finalizing the call option on Rainbow Robotics in February, the FTC will add it to Samsung Group in March, ensuring its inclusion in the ETF by June.
  • With the market cap boost from the call option, Rainbow Robotics is set to easily exceed 2% weight in the ETF by June.
  • The rebalancing from June 2-9 will direct 30% of daily volume into Rainbow Robotics, likely enough to move the needle on price action, especially on the first day.

Triumph Group’s Solid Cost-Cutting Efforts Skyrocket EBITDA Margins! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Triumph Group presented a mix of performance outcomes in its second quarter fiscal 2025 results.
  • The company demonstrated a commendable increase in its aftermarket growth, which surged 13% year-over-year and contributed over 60% to its profit.
  • This was achieved through robust spares and repairs activities within both commercial and military sectors, setting a positive trend amid some broader market challenges.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: LG CNS, Lockheed Martin, Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Ipg Photonics and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • LG CNS: Updated IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jan-2025): AI agents: helper or threat?
  • SSI’s 2024 Review: Portfolio Underperformance, Event-Driven Strategies, and Lessons from Losses
  • IPG Photonics: Can Its Welding Solutions Expansion Bring A Shift In The Competitive Dynamics? – Major Drivers


LG CNS: Updated IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • According to our updated valuation analysis of LG CNS, it suggests a base case implied market cap of 7.4 trillion won, representing target price of 76,383 won per share. 
  • Our base case valuation target price of 76,383 won is 23% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
  • We lowered our target price by 6%, mainly due to greater political risks arising from the recent cancelled martial law and ongoing impeachment of President Yoon.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jan-2025): AI agents: helper or threat?

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AI agents are becoming more powerful assistants but need careful management to avoid potential risks.
  • Honor is preparing for an IPO with corporate restructuring and rebranding efforts.
  • Taiwan tightens restrictions on tech exports to China while the US considers banning Chinese drones like DJI.

SSI’s 2024 Review: Portfolio Underperformance, Event-Driven Strategies, and Lessons from Losses

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • SSI’s Tracking Portfolio ended 2024 with a -1% return, hindered by cash holdings and significant losses in MSTR, BHIL, and BOOM.
  • SSI shared 85 investment ideas in 2024, including 14 Portfolio Ideas, 69 Quick Pitches, and 2 “Why I’m Not Involved” overviews.
  • Portfolio Ideas suffered losses over 50% due to ignored red flags, while Quick Pitches had a 60% win rate.

IPG Photonics: Can Its Welding Solutions Expansion Bring A Shift In The Competitive Dynamics? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • IPG Photonics’ recent earnings for the third quarter of 2024 highlighted several key developments, financial metrics, and strategic initiatives that offer insights into the company’s current position and future prospects.
  • The revenue for the quarter was $233 million, marking a significant year-over-year decline of 23% and an 8% decrease sequentially when adjusted for the sale of its Russian operations.
  • Despite this, adjusted earnings per share were at the top end of the guidance, reflecting some operational resilience amid a challenging demand environment.

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