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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Crypto: Transaction Ordering Policies & Value Accrual in L2s: Timeboost and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Transaction Ordering Policies & Value Accrual in L2s: Timeboost, OP PGA, Fastlane, and OEV Network
  • ZetaChain: The Path Forward for Universal Apps


Transaction Ordering Policies & Value Accrual in L2s: Timeboost, OP PGA, Fastlane, and OEV Network

By Delphi Digital

  • This report discusses the recent focus on transaction ordering policies and value accrual mechanisms in Layer 2 (L2) networks like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Polygon. 
  • MEV extraction across L2 networks has become significant, with over $3.9 billion in atomic arbitrage and $400 million in sandwich attacks occurring on major L2 platforms.
  • The focus on value accrual highlights how different networks design transaction ordering mechanisms to balance user experience, efficiency, and the fair capture of MEV.

ZetaChain: The Path Forward for Universal Apps

By Delphi Digital

  • ZetaChain simplifies Web3 by making blockchain interactions as easy as Web2, lowering barriers for non-technical users.
  • It enables omnichain smart contracts, expanding developer capabilities and use cases across multiple blockchains.
  • ZetaChain enhances DeFi with advanced cross-chain operations and supports non-smart contract chains like Bitcoin, broadening participation in decentralized finance.

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Daily Brief Australia: Auswide Bank, Iron Ore, Structural Monitoring Cdi and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted
  • [IO Fundamentals Weekly 2024/37] China’s Housing Crisis Intensifies, Clouding IO Recovery Outlook
  • [IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​37] Volatility Eases as IO Trades At Support Level
  • Structural Monitoring Systems – Earnings at inflection point


MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 19th August, MyState Ltd (MYS AU), Tasmania’s biggest bank, entered into a merger agreement by way of a Scheme with Queensland-based Auswide Bank (ABA AU).
  • Under the terms, MyState will issue 1.112 new shares for every share held by Auswide shareholders, with MyState/Auswide investors holding 65.9%/34.1% ownership in the combined group.
  • This is done and is expected to be wrapped up in December. Today is the last day of trading for Auswide cum-FY24 final dividend. 

[IO Fundamentals Weekly 2024/37] China’s Housing Crisis Intensifies, Clouding IO Recovery Outlook

By Pranay Yadav

  • China’s industrial production grew 4.5% YoY in August, missing the 4.7% forecast and marking the slowest growth since March.
  • Property investment fell 10.2% YoY YTD, with house prices declining 5.3% YoY, the steepest since 2015.
  • Iron ore imports dropped 1.38% MoM as port inventories rose continued rising into September. Typhoon Bebinca disruptions may drive inventory drawdown in coming weeks.

[IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​37] Volatility Eases as IO Trades At Support Level

By Pranay Yadav

  • SGX Iron Ore futures closed 55 cents higher at $92.80/ton, after fluctuating between a $95.55/ton high and $89.60/ton low.
  • Short-Term technicals reveal bearishness as the 9-day moving average fell below the 21-day, triggering a death cross signal.
  • Iron ore prices failed to sustain a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating weak market support amid poor fundamentals.

Structural Monitoring Systems – Earnings at inflection point

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research is initiating coverage of vertically-integrated aviation designer and manufacturer Structural Monitoring Systems (ASX:SMN) with a DCF derived valuation of $0.82/share, representing potential capital upside of 44% from the current share price.
  • SMN delivered its maiden EBITDA profit in FY24 and we expect the company to maintain profitability into FY25 while bringing key new products to market.
  • A likely decline in contract manufacturing revenues to make way for higher margin own brand products should have a positive impact on group gross margins going forward, adding to the earnings leverage from expected revenue growth (management have forecast 25% revenue growth in FY25).

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Daily Brief Thailand: Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) (2472516D TB) (MRDIYT) is looking to raise as much as US$300m in its upcoming Thai IPO. The deal will be run by CIMB Thai Bank.
  • MRDIYT is the largest and fastest growing home improvement and general lifestyle retailer in Thailand, holding approximately 7.4% market share in 2023.
  • MRDIYT’s proposition is to offer competitive value for over 15,000 products across a variety of departments – hardware/tools, household appliances, electrical appliances, stationery, sporting goods, toys etc.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Zinc, Dongwon Industries, K Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event
  • Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible
  • K Bank IPO: The Bull Case
  • K Bank IPO – The Negatives – Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup


Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • As of today, it’s clear Choi is struggling to secure white knights, pushing him to double down on political lobbying to stay in the game.
  • Choi’s aiming for the National Pension Service’s 7.57% voting rights, but with its legal neutrality, the chances of it caving to political pressure are slim.
  • MBK’s statement today shows confidence that Choi won’t get Fair Trade Commission approval, and that, like Hanwha and LG, Hyundai Motor won’t back him either.

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in December 2024.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and five DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data. And we have a trade.

K Bank IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • K Bank (279570 KS) is a Korean internet bank. It has launched an IPO to raise up to US$734 million. 
  • K Bank began operations in April 2017 as the first internet-only bank in Korea. KT Corp (030200 KS) and Woori Bank (000030 KS) are the two largest shareholders.
  • The bull case rests on rising market share, solid deposit growth, robust loan book growth, stable NIM, rising margins and a low NPL ratio.

K Bank IPO – The Negatives – Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Guoco Group Ltd, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’
  • Significant Spike In Malaysia NR Production In July; Exports Too Up


kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’

By Geoff Howie

  • kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’ Real estate company GuocoLand’s Group Chief Executive Officer Cheng Hsing Yao shares how focusing on development and investment has driven its growth and prepared it for the future.
  • GuocoLand Limited (“GuocoLand”) and its subsidiaries (“the Group”) is a leading real estate group that is focused on its twin engines of growth in Property Investment and Property Development.

Significant Spike In Malaysia NR Production In July; Exports Too Up

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Malaysian glove industry to rake in RM12.4 billion in exports in 2024  
  • Ivory Coast lags in imports to Malaysia after 9-month lead  
  • Home Ministry lets 10,000 foreign workers in to meet labor shortage

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Daily Brief Indonesia: GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT, Gajah Tunggal and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds
  • Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia together with Alibaba Group Holding announced a strategic partnership that locks the latter in for the next 5-years, with GOTO committing to utilising Alibaba Cloud.
  • This move lifts a significant share price overhang and should provide GOTO with both cost benefits and AI capabilities cementing and aligning the interests of the two companies. 
  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) continues to move the needle on its progress towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 4Q2024 led by product-led initiatives. 

Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: OpenAI, S&P 500 INDEX, Edwards Lifesciences, Arbitrum, Bausch + Lomb, ZetaChain, Reddit , Mira Pharmaceuticals , UL Solutions Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Episode 85: OpenAI leaves AI Silicon in the Dust
  • SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track
  • Edwards Lifesciences is in the Spotlight as a Takeover Target: What Value Can It Attract?
  • Transaction Ordering Policies & Value Accrual in L2s: Timeboost, OP PGA, Fastlane, and OEV Network
  • Eyeing a Sale? Could Bausch + Lomb’s Innovations and Revenue Surge Spark a Takeover Battle?
  • ZetaChain: The Path Forward for Universal Apps
  • Reddit, Inc. – Objective Of The Report
  • MIRA: Quick Phase I Design Completion Bodes Well
  • UL Solutions’ Post-IPO Playbook: Industrial Growth


Episode 85: OpenAI leaves AI Silicon in the Dust

By The Circuit

  • The new transformer model requires significant amount of inference and multilevel reasoning
  • The demand for inference compute is skyrocketing, surpassing current silicon architecture capabilities
  • OpenAI’s new model showcases the future potential of AI, but also highlights the gap in semiconductor architectures and computing infrastructure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track

By Joe Jasper

  • The S&P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for weeks.
  • Using the 2007 SPX topping analog suggests a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which gives the 5783 number.
  • As long as SPX does not have a weekly close above 5783 we continue to recommend reducing risk and shifting to defensives,and this is the ideal time to do so.

Edwards Lifesciences is in the Spotlight as a Takeover Target: What Value Can It Attract?

By Baptista Research

  • In reviewing the latest results from Edwards Lifesciences, notable elements of growth and development paired with challenges shed light on the company’s financial and operational trajectory during the second quarter of 2024.
  • With total company sales reaching $1.6 billion, this marked an 8% increase on a constant currency basis compared to the same period last year.
  • While Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) growth was not as robust as expected, increasing by 6% globally, the Transcatheter Mitral and Tricuspid Therapies (TMTT) segment demonstrated impressive growth, with a 75% increase in sales.

Transaction Ordering Policies & Value Accrual in L2s: Timeboost, OP PGA, Fastlane, and OEV Network

By Delphi Digital

  • This report discusses the recent focus on transaction ordering policies and value accrual mechanisms in Layer 2 (L2) networks like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Polygon. 
  • MEV extraction across L2 networks has become significant, with over $3.9 billion in atomic arbitrage and $400 million in sandwich attacks occurring on major L2 platforms.
  • The focus on value accrual highlights how different networks design transaction ordering mechanisms to balance user experience, efficiency, and the fair capture of MEV.

Eyeing a Sale? Could Bausch + Lomb’s Innovations and Revenue Surge Spark a Takeover Battle?

By Baptista Research

  • Bausch + Lomb Corporation has long established itself as a global leader in eye health, offering a wide range of products across pharmaceuticals, surgical devices, and vision care.
  • The company’s second-quarter 2024 earnings showcased a remarkable 20% year-over-year constant currency revenue growth, driven by strong performances across all key business segments, particularly in the pharmaceuticals segment, which grew by 61%.
  • Bausch + Lomb’s strategic focus on innovation and expansion is exemplified by product launches like BLINK NutriTears and Bausch + Lomb INFUSE, coupled with the rollout of its AI-based digital platform, Glimpse.

ZetaChain: The Path Forward for Universal Apps

By Delphi Digital

  • ZetaChain simplifies Web3 by making blockchain interactions as easy as Web2, lowering barriers for non-technical users.
  • It enables omnichain smart contracts, expanding developer capabilities and use cases across multiple blockchains.
  • ZetaChain enhances DeFi with advanced cross-chain operations and supports non-smart contract chains like Bitcoin, broadening participation in decentralized finance.

Reddit, Inc. – Objective Of The Report

By Baptista Research

  • Reddit’s second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a company in the midst of scaling its user base and revenue streams, with notable strides in technological advancements and international expansion.
  • The discourse during the call highlighted that Reddit, under the leadership of CEO Steve Huffman and COO Jen Wong, continues to push aggressively on growth, particularly through enhancements in user experience and advertising efficacy.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

MIRA: Quick Phase I Design Completion Bodes Well

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

UL Solutions’ Post-IPO Playbook: Industrial Growth

By Baptista Research

  • UL Solutions reported a strong performance in the second quarter of 2024, marking a continuation of growth across all segments and geographies.
  • This performance included an 8.4% increase in organic growth, resulting in $730 million in revenue.
  • The company benefited significantly from high demand in its Industrial segment and saw positive trends in its Consumer and Software & Advisory segments.

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Daily Brief Japan: Japan Eyewear Holdings , Timee Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP): Amid China Fear There Are Reasons to Still Stay Bullish
  • Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins


Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP): Amid China Fear There Are Reasons to Still Stay Bullish

By Tina Banerjee

  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP) reported 30% YoY revenue growth in H1FY25. Profit margins also remained high, with operating profit margin exceeding 33% and operating profit reaching ¥2.7B, 1.5x YoY.
  • The company has left FY25 guidance unchanged. The company’s cautious stance, yen appreciation, and darkening outlook of China amid weak economic data are the major downside risks.
  • We think reactions are overdone. Limited downside is expected from here. Encouraging SSS growth through continuous increases in unit price and accelerated store expansion will remain the key growth drivers.

Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has declined 26% over the last five days with the company reporting 3QFY10/2024 earnings on 12th September 2024.
  • As we expected, top line growth has further slowed down while OPM for the quarter has dropped both QoQ and YoY concerning investors over Timee’s ability to generate sustainable margins.
  • Timee’s proven business model has attracted Mercari and Sharefull to offer similar services, nevertheless, we would not be too concerned as Timee has the first mover advantage.

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Daily Brief China: Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology, Carote Ltd, Hive Box Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Needs Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity
  • Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable
  • Hive Box – Pre-IPO: To Understand Who Pays and Why They Pay


Beijing Fourth Paradigm US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Needs Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology (6682 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 28th Sept 2023 after raising US$130m. Its one-year lockup will expire on 27th Sept 2024.
  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm is a platform-centric AI enterprise solutions provider. It was the largest player by revenue in the platform-centric decision-making AI market in China in 2022, as per CIC.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Relying mainly on online channels and successful internationalization strategy, CAROTE’s performance growth showed strong momentum in recent years. However, after the short-term demand outbreak, future performance growth could slow down.
  • CAROTE adopts a product strategy similar to ZARA, launching a massive product matrix, constantly attracting consumers’ interest, but the innovation capability and core competitiveness of products are not high.
  • Valuation of CAROTE could be higher than Vesync (2148 HK).If Trump is elected, the friction/trade war between China and US may escalate, which is detrimental to CAROTE’s future valuation performance.

Hive Box – Pre-IPO: To Understand Who Pays and Why They Pay

By Ming Lu

  • Delivery workers would like to pay to save their time.
  • Retailers would also like to pay for return delivery to raise their service quality.
  • However, product buyers have to pay, but would not like to pay the delay fee.

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Daily Brief India: Natco Pharma, Belstar Microfinance Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • The “What’s Left In India” Screen: 80 Stocks with High ROEs and Relatively Lower PEs
  • Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network


The “What’s Left In India” Screen: 80 Stocks with High ROEs and Relatively Lower PEs

By Sameer Taneja

  • India has become one of the most expensive markets globally, trading at a PE of close to 28. Quality stocks now trade consistently around 50-90x PEs. 
  • We have screened 80 names (market cap agnostic) that trade at PEs between 5 and 45, with an average PE of 20 and an average ROEs of 26%. 
  • We treat this only as a filter and aim to do due diligence on all these stocks over the next few months. 

Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network

By Akshat Shah

  • Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Belstar Microfinance is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans. 
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

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