Category

Daily Briefs

Most Read: Midea Group Co Ltd A, Ventia, Trancom Co Ltd, Korea Zinc, China Traditional Chinese Medicine, HK inno.N, Shin Kong Financial Holding, K Bank, Auswide Bank, Dongwon Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry
  • ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)
  • Trancom (9058) – Another Bain MBO Done Too Cheaply Where “Activist” Dalton Rolls In To The Bid
  • Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event
  • TCM (570 HK): Inching Towards Regulatory Sign-Off
  • Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index
  • Competition to Take Over Shin Kong (2888 TT) – CTBC in a Bit of a A Sticky Wicket, Wot?
  • K Bank IPO – The Positives – Fast Growth
  • MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted
  • Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible


Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry

By Brian Freitas

  • Media reports indicate that Midea Group (000333 CH) has priced its H-shares IPO at HK$54.8/share, the top of the range. That is a 19.85% discount to the A-shares.
  • Reports also indicate that the IPO was oversubscribed multiple times with Hillhouse and GIC putting in large orders. That could result in the Offer Size Adjustment Option being exercised.
  • The exercise of the Offer Size Adjustment Option will take the IPO raise to HK$31bn (US$3.98bn) and index inclusion in some of the larger indices will become a lot easier.

ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)

By Brian Freitas


Trancom (9058) – Another Bain MBO Done Too Cheaply Where “Activist” Dalton Rolls In To The Bid

By Travis Lundy

  • Logistics takeovers are hot this year. Any cutting-edge-of-efficiencies business in the space is likely to get a look. Trancom Co Ltd (9058 JP) is one. 
  • But while logistics assets put into bidding competition like Alps Logistics and Chilled & Frozen get high EV/EBITDA multiples, MBO transactions without competition get done too cheaply.
  • Here again, an “Value Activist” “selling into the bid” to reinvest in the levered back end (at the takeover price). That tells you this deal is being done too cheaply.

Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • As of today, it’s clear Choi is struggling to secure white knights, pushing him to double down on political lobbying to stay in the game.
  • Choi’s aiming for the National Pension Service’s 7.57% voting rights, but with its legal neutrality, the chances of it caving to political pressure are slim.
  • MBK’s statement today shows confidence that Choi won’t get Fair Trade Commission approval, and that, like Hanwha and LG, Hyundai Motor won’t back him either.

TCM (570 HK): Inching Towards Regulatory Sign-Off

By David Blennerhassett

  • In its latest monthly update, China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) fleshes out the latest on the various PRC regulatory applications. 
  • Comparing the two most recent monthly updates side-by-side, apart from modifying the documentation for the MOC and NDRC process; the SAMR filing has been formally accepted, as previously flagged. 
  • The upshot? These regulatory approvals will be secured. The key question is whether this can take place before the 18th October pre-condition long stop date. Or an extension is required.

Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index

By Sanghyun Park

  • KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.
  • KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.
  • In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.

Competition to Take Over Shin Kong (2888 TT) – CTBC in a Bit of a A Sticky Wicket, Wot?

By Travis Lundy


K Bank IPO – The Positives – Fast Growth

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 19th August, MyState Ltd (MYS AU), Tasmania’s biggest bank, entered into a merger agreement by way of a Scheme with Queensland-based Auswide Bank (ABA AU).
  • Under the terms, MyState will issue 1.112 new shares for every share held by Auswide shareholders, with MyState/Auswide investors holding 65.9%/34.1% ownership in the combined group.
  • This is done and is expected to be wrapped up in December. Today is the last day of trading for Auswide cum-FY24 final dividend. 

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in December 2024.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and five DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data. And we have a trade.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Timee Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins


Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has declined 26% over the last five days with the company reporting 3QFY10/2024 earnings on 12th September 2024.
  • As we expected, top line growth has further slowed down while OPM for the quarter has dropped both QoQ and YoY concerning investors over Timee’s ability to generate sustainable margins.
  • Timee’s proven business model has attracted Mercari and Sharefull to offer similar services, nevertheless, we would not be too concerned as Timee has the first mover advantage.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Timee Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins


Timee: Market Overreacts to Potential Competition and Drop in Margins

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has declined 26% over the last five days with the company reporting 3QFY10/2024 earnings on 12th September 2024.
  • As we expected, top line growth has further slowed down while OPM for the quarter has dropped both QoQ and YoY concerning investors over Timee’s ability to generate sustainable margins.
  • Timee’s proven business model has attracted Mercari and Sharefull to offer similar services, nevertheless, we would not be too concerned as Timee has the first mover advantage.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Korea Zinc, Anglo American, Iron Ore, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Pan American Silver, Pharos Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event
  • JSE Sep24 Rebal: Foreign Inward Listings Amongst Top Sells, PPH to Enter Top 40, AMS to Be Deleted
  • [IO Fundamentals Weekly 2024/37] China’s Housing Crisis Intensifies, Clouding IO Recovery Outlook
  • Significant Spike In Malaysia NR Production In July; Exports Too Up
  • [IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​37] Volatility Eases as IO Trades At Support Level
  • Pan American Silver – Strong reserves replacement rates for key assets
  • Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Very Strong Financials.


Trading Insights from Today’s Dramatic Developments in the Korea Zinc Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • As of today, it’s clear Choi is struggling to secure white knights, pushing him to double down on political lobbying to stay in the game.
  • Choi’s aiming for the National Pension Service’s 7.57% voting rights, but with its legal neutrality, the chances of it caving to political pressure are slim.
  • MBK’s statement today shows confidence that Choi won’t get Fair Trade Commission approval, and that, like Hanwha and LG, Hyundai Motor won’t back him either.

JSE Sep24 Rebal: Foreign Inward Listings Amongst Top Sells, PPH to Enter Top 40, AMS to Be Deleted

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • On Friday in the closing auction, JSE indices will be rebalanced. PPH will enter the Top 40, with AMS falling out.
  • There are also a number of changes to the ALSI index – PHP & PMR will be added, with THA & TCP falling out.
  • Hedgers and passives tracking uncapped indices will be sellers of Naspers and Prosus whereas those tracking the capped variants will be buyers.

[IO Fundamentals Weekly 2024/37] China’s Housing Crisis Intensifies, Clouding IO Recovery Outlook

By Pranay Yadav

  • China’s industrial production grew 4.5% YoY in August, missing the 4.7% forecast and marking the slowest growth since March.
  • Property investment fell 10.2% YoY YTD, with house prices declining 5.3% YoY, the steepest since 2015.
  • Iron ore imports dropped 1.38% MoM as port inventories rose continued rising into September. Typhoon Bebinca disruptions may drive inventory drawdown in coming weeks.

Significant Spike In Malaysia NR Production In July; Exports Too Up

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Malaysian glove industry to rake in RM12.4 billion in exports in 2024  
  • Ivory Coast lags in imports to Malaysia after 9-month lead  
  • Home Ministry lets 10,000 foreign workers in to meet labor shortage

[IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​37] Volatility Eases as IO Trades At Support Level

By Pranay Yadav

  • SGX Iron Ore futures closed 55 cents higher at $92.80/ton, after fluctuating between a $95.55/ton high and $89.60/ton low.
  • Short-Term technicals reveal bearishness as the 9-day moving average fell below the 21-day, triggering a death cross signal.
  • Iron ore prices failed to sustain a 50% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating weak market support amid poor fundamentals.

Pan American Silver – Strong reserves replacement rates for key assets

By Edison Investment Research

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has released its annual mineral reserves and resources statement. While the overall reserves and resources have fallen compared to 2023 due to the asset divestments, on an adjusted basis the company has fully replaced its proven and probable (P&P) reserves and reported a significant increase in measured and indicated (M&I) resources in the silver segment. The gold segment has seen a visible boost to its inferred resource due to exploration work at Jacobina, which has also seen a healthy increase in its P&P reserves despite maintaining flat M&I resources over the year. Overall, six out of 11 producing operations, including flagship Jacobina and La Colorada, have seen their mineral reserves either fully or almost fully replaced in tonnage terms during the year to June 2024.


Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Very Strong Financials.

By Auctus Advisors

  • 1H24 production of 5,851 boe/d had been reported previously.
  • Pharos has re-iterated its FY24 production guidance of 5.2-6.5 mboe/d.
  • The company expects to spend US$26 mm (net) capex in 2024 (US$27 mm previously).

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, OpenAI, Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology, Hive Box Holdings, Richwave Technology, UL Solutions Inc, Reddit , Structural Monitoring Cdi, Acal PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC
  • Hezbollah’s Pager Explosions and South Korea’s Security Breach – Implications for Tech Supply Chains
  • Episode 85: OpenAI leaves AI Silicon in the Dust
  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Needs Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity
  • Hive Box – Pre-IPO: To Understand Who Pays and Why They Pay
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Sep-2024): Gold Apollo denies Lebanon pager explosions; MOEA confirms Taiwan assembly.
  • UL Solutions’ Post-IPO Playbook: Industrial Growth
  • Reddit, Inc. – Objective Of The Report
  • Structural Monitoring Systems – Earnings at inflection point
  • discoverIE Group – Moving into the next growth phase


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s U.S. Production Strategy Achieves Major Milestone – Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips in Arizona
  • Reports of Apple’s Disappointing Initial iPhone 16 Sales Data; Key Taiwan Suppliers Top Losers Recently
  • Samsung Falling Behind TSMC – New Report of Low Yields Continuing to Plague Samsung’s 3nm AI Processors

Hezbollah’s Pager Explosions and South Korea’s Security Breach – Implications for Tech Supply Chains

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Explosive pagers linked to Hezbollah attacks spark controversy for a Taiwanese brand.
  • Not just Lebanon – today it was reported that the South Korean military removed Chinese-made CCTV cameras after secret backdoors were detected.
  • A counter-intuitive conclusion: Despite recent news, is the trend ultimately positive for Taiwanese tech hardware makers?

Episode 85: OpenAI leaves AI Silicon in the Dust

By The Circuit

  • The new transformer model requires significant amount of inference and multilevel reasoning
  • The demand for inference compute is skyrocketing, surpassing current silicon architecture capabilities
  • OpenAI’s new model showcases the future potential of AI, but also highlights the gap in semiconductor architectures and computing infrastructure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Beijing Fourth Paradigm US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Needs Some Selling to Improve Its Liquidity

By Clarence Chu

  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology (6682 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 28th Sept 2023 after raising US$130m. Its one-year lockup will expire on 27th Sept 2024.
  • Beijing Fourth Paradigm is a platform-centric AI enterprise solutions provider. It was the largest player by revenue in the platform-centric decision-making AI market in China in 2022, as per CIC.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Hive Box – Pre-IPO: To Understand Who Pays and Why They Pay

By Ming Lu

  • Delivery workers would like to pay to save their time.
  • Retailers would also like to pay for return delivery to raise their service quality.
  • However, product buyers have to pay, but would not like to pay the delay fee.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Sep-2024): Gold Apollo denies Lebanon pager explosions; MOEA confirms Taiwan assembly.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Gold Apollo denies involvement in Lebanon pager explosions, while Taiwan’s MOEA confirms pager assembly happening in Taiwan.
  • Taiwan’s wafer foundry industry set to grow in 3Q 2024; can new orders and cost reductions drive Intel’s recovery?
  • E Ink Prism technology revolutionizing automotive and consumer electronics;CATL looking to expand in solar-storage market.

UL Solutions’ Post-IPO Playbook: Industrial Growth

By Baptista Research

  • UL Solutions reported a strong performance in the second quarter of 2024, marking a continuation of growth across all segments and geographies.
  • This performance included an 8.4% increase in organic growth, resulting in $730 million in revenue.
  • The company benefited significantly from high demand in its Industrial segment and saw positive trends in its Consumer and Software & Advisory segments.

Reddit, Inc. – Objective Of The Report

By Baptista Research

  • Reddit’s second quarter 2024 earnings reflect a company in the midst of scaling its user base and revenue streams, with notable strides in technological advancements and international expansion.
  • The discourse during the call highlighted that Reddit, under the leadership of CEO Steve Huffman and COO Jen Wong, continues to push aggressively on growth, particularly through enhancements in user experience and advertising efficacy.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Structural Monitoring Systems – Earnings at inflection point

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research is initiating coverage of vertically-integrated aviation designer and manufacturer Structural Monitoring Systems (ASX:SMN) with a DCF derived valuation of $0.82/share, representing potential capital upside of 44% from the current share price.
  • SMN delivered its maiden EBITDA profit in FY24 and we expect the company to maintain profitability into FY25 while bringing key new products to market.
  • A likely decline in contract manufacturing revenues to make way for higher margin own brand products should have a positive impact on group gross margins going forward, adding to the earnings leverage from expected revenue growth (management have forecast 25% revenue growth in FY25).

discoverIE Group – Moving into the next growth phase

By Edison Investment Research

discoverIE’s first capital markets day (CMD) in six years was an opportunity for the group to recap how via its buy-and-build strategy it has successfully grown the company from a market cap of £25m in 2009 to £592m today, while transforming the business from an electronics distributor to a pure-play specialist electronics design and manufacture company. Management also outlined how it expects to drive future growth and profitability. New at the CMD was the announcement of an additional target market, security. As the group has matured, it has put in place structures and processes to maximise revenue opportunities and optimise profitability and cash flow, while retaining the group’s essential DNA.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Japan Eyewear Holdings , Natco Pharma, S&P 500 INDEX, Edwards Lifesciences, Mira Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP): Amid China Fear There Are Reasons to Still Stay Bullish
  • The “What’s Left In India” Screen: 80 Stocks with High ROEs and Relatively Lower PEs
  • SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track
  • Edwards Lifesciences is in the Spotlight as a Takeover Target: What Value Can It Attract?
  • MIRA: Quick Phase I Design Completion Bodes Well


Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP): Amid China Fear There Are Reasons to Still Stay Bullish

By Tina Banerjee

  • Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP) reported 30% YoY revenue growth in H1FY25. Profit margins also remained high, with operating profit margin exceeding 33% and operating profit reaching ¥2.7B, 1.5x YoY.
  • The company has left FY25 guidance unchanged. The company’s cautious stance, yen appreciation, and darkening outlook of China amid weak economic data are the major downside risks.
  • We think reactions are overdone. Limited downside is expected from here. Encouraging SSS growth through continuous increases in unit price and accelerated store expansion will remain the key growth drivers.

The “What’s Left In India” Screen: 80 Stocks with High ROEs and Relatively Lower PEs

By Sameer Taneja

  • India has become one of the most expensive markets globally, trading at a PE of close to 28. Quality stocks now trade consistently around 50-90x PEs. 
  • We have screened 80 names (market cap agnostic) that trade at PEs between 5 and 45, with an average PE of 20 and an average ROEs of 26%. 
  • We treat this only as a filter and aim to do due diligence on all these stocks over the next few months. 

SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track

By Joe Jasper

  • The S&P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for weeks.
  • Using the 2007 SPX topping analog suggests a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which gives the 5783 number.
  • As long as SPX does not have a weekly close above 5783 we continue to recommend reducing risk and shifting to defensives,and this is the ideal time to do so.

Edwards Lifesciences is in the Spotlight as a Takeover Target: What Value Can It Attract?

By Baptista Research

  • In reviewing the latest results from Edwards Lifesciences, notable elements of growth and development paired with challenges shed light on the company’s financial and operational trajectory during the second quarter of 2024.
  • With total company sales reaching $1.6 billion, this marked an 8% increase on a constant currency basis compared to the same period last year.
  • While Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) growth was not as robust as expected, increasing by 6% globally, the Transcatheter Mitral and Tricuspid Therapies (TMTT) segment demonstrated impressive growth, with a 75% increase in sales.

MIRA: Quick Phase I Design Completion Bodes Well

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

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Daily Brief Financials: Shin Kong Financial Holding, Auswide Bank, K Bank, Belstar Microfinance Ltd, Guoco Group Ltd, ZetaChain, Utilico Emerging Markets Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Competition to Take Over Shin Kong (2888 TT) – CTBC in a Bit of a A Sticky Wicket, Wot?
  • MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted
  • K Bank IPO: The Bull Case
  • Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network
  • kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’
  • ZetaChain: The Path Forward for Universal Apps
  • Utilico Emerging Markets Trust – Market not reflecting very strong fundamentals
  • K Bank IPO – The Negatives – Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup


Competition to Take Over Shin Kong (2888 TT) – CTBC in a Bit of a A Sticky Wicket, Wot?

By Travis Lundy


MyState (MYS AU)/Auswide (ABA AU): Consolidation Warranted

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 19th August, MyState Ltd (MYS AU), Tasmania’s biggest bank, entered into a merger agreement by way of a Scheme with Queensland-based Auswide Bank (ABA AU).
  • Under the terms, MyState will issue 1.112 new shares for every share held by Auswide shareholders, with MyState/Auswide investors holding 65.9%/34.1% ownership in the combined group.
  • This is done and is expected to be wrapped up in December. Today is the last day of trading for Auswide cum-FY24 final dividend. 

K Bank IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • K Bank (279570 KS) is a Korean internet bank. It has launched an IPO to raise up to US$734 million. 
  • K Bank began operations in April 2017 as the first internet-only bank in Korea. KT Corp (030200 KS) and Woori Bank (000030 KS) are the two largest shareholders.
  • The bull case rests on rising market share, solid deposit growth, robust loan book growth, stable NIM, rising margins and a low NPL ratio.

Belstar Microfinance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth With A Diversified Network

By Akshat Shah

  • Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise around US$156m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Belstar Microfinance is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans. 
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’

By Geoff Howie

  • kopi-C with GuocoLand’s Group CEO: ‘We have twin engines for growth’ Real estate company GuocoLand’s Group Chief Executive Officer Cheng Hsing Yao shares how focusing on development and investment has driven its growth and prepared it for the future.
  • GuocoLand Limited (“GuocoLand”) and its subsidiaries (“the Group”) is a leading real estate group that is focused on its twin engines of growth in Property Investment and Property Development.

ZetaChain: The Path Forward for Universal Apps

By Delphi Digital

  • ZetaChain simplifies Web3 by making blockchain interactions as easy as Web2, lowering barriers for non-technical users.
  • It enables omnichain smart contracts, expanding developer capabilities and use cases across multiple blockchains.
  • ZetaChain enhances DeFi with advanced cross-chain operations and supports non-smart contract chains like Bitcoin, broadening participation in decentralized finance.

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust – Market not reflecting very strong fundamentals

By Edison Investment Research

Utilico Emerging Markets Trust (UEM) is managed by Charles Jillings, at specialist value-based investor ICM. He reports that, operationally, the trust’s investee companies are performing extraordinarily well, although this is not being reflected in the market. The manager suggests that investors have multiple distractions including concerns about a US recession, the US presidential election and wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. UEM’s investments in infrastructure and utility assets ensure the fund has a consistently low beta. The use of gearing has resumed following the arrangement of a new £50m debt facility, reflecting Jillings’ bullish outlook. UEM has solidly outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) Index over the last three years. Since inception in 2005, the trust’s NAV total return has compounded at 9.2% per year.


K Bank IPO – The Negatives – Ample Issues Along with Crypto Exposure & Lockup

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Dongwon Industries, GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT, Carote Ltd, Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand), Bausch + Lomb, Gajah Tunggal and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible
  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds
  • Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable
  • Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Eyeing a Sale? Could Bausch + Lomb’s Innovations and Revenue Surge Spark a Takeover Battle?
  • Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal


Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24: Up to 4 ADDs & 5 DELs Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in December 2024.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and five DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data. And we have a trade.

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia(GOTO IJ) – Lifting Clouds

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia together with Alibaba Group Holding announced a strategic partnership that locks the latter in for the next 5-years, with GOTO committing to utilising Alibaba Cloud.
  • This move lifts a significant share price overhang and should provide GOTO with both cost benefits and AI capabilities cementing and aligning the interests of the two companies. 
  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) continues to move the needle on its progress towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 4Q2024 led by product-led initiatives. 

Pre-IPO Carote Ltd (PHIP Updates) – High Performance Growth May Not Be Sustainable

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Relying mainly on online channels and successful internationalization strategy, CAROTE’s performance growth showed strong momentum in recent years. However, after the short-term demand outbreak, future performance growth could slow down.
  • CAROTE adopts a product strategy similar to ZARA, launching a massive product matrix, constantly attracting consumers’ interest, but the innovation capability and core competitiveness of products are not high.
  • Valuation of CAROTE could be higher than Vesync (2148 HK).If Trump is elected, the friction/trade war between China and US may escalate, which is detrimental to CAROTE’s future valuation performance.

Mr. D.I.Y Holding (Thailand) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) (2472516D TB) (MRDIYT) is looking to raise as much as US$300m in its upcoming Thai IPO. The deal will be run by CIMB Thai Bank.
  • MRDIYT is the largest and fastest growing home improvement and general lifestyle retailer in Thailand, holding approximately 7.4% market share in 2023.
  • MRDIYT’s proposition is to offer competitive value for over 15,000 products across a variety of departments – hardware/tools, household appliances, electrical appliances, stationery, sporting goods, toys etc.

Eyeing a Sale? Could Bausch + Lomb’s Innovations and Revenue Surge Spark a Takeover Battle?

By Baptista Research

  • Bausch + Lomb Corporation has long established itself as a global leader in eye health, offering a wide range of products across pharmaceuticals, surgical devices, and vision care.
  • The company’s second-quarter 2024 earnings showcased a remarkable 20% year-over-year constant currency revenue growth, driven by strong performances across all key business segments, particularly in the pharmaceuticals segment, which grew by 61%.
  • Bausch + Lomb’s strategic focus on innovation and expansion is exemplified by product launches like BLINK NutriTears and Bausch + Lomb INFUSE, coupled with the rollout of its AI-based digital platform, Glimpse.

Morning Views Asia: Gajah Tunggal

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ESG: Can Investors Tolerate the Current Pace of Capital Profitability Improvement? and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Can Investors Tolerate the Current Pace of Capital Profitability Improvement?


Can Investors Tolerate the Current Pace of Capital Profitability Improvement?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Few Japanese stocks that have advantages in profitability has led to the fact that investors who invest long-term in quality stocks have few Japanese stocks to choose from globally.
  • It’s the profit margin on sales that has had the greatest impact on changes in ROE. Companies must now get their core competencies once again to regain competitiveness and profitability.
  • Even if business selection and investment in promising businesses were to be implemented, it would be several years before they bear fruit. For many investors, this pace seems unacceptable.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Markets Await and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Markets Await
  • ChatGPT o1 (Strawberry) and Memory
  • Japan Morning Connection: Kose Aims for Global Growth


Ohayo Japan | Markets Await

By Mark Chadwick

  • The S&P 500 closed slightly higher on Tuesday, gaining 0.03% to finish at 5,635 after hitting a record intraday high of 5,670
  • Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cut decision on Wednesday, with a 63% chance of a 50 basis point reduction
  • Japan’s average land prices rose 1.4% in July 2023, marking the third consecutive annual increase

ChatGPT o1 (Strawberry) and Memory

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Strawberry was a breakthrough. Some people ask, “What’s the big deal?” but feasibly, there is a new scaling law working in tandem with training, and that’s the Chain of Thought / Inference.
  • The chart below is a bit confusing, but the conclusion is the longer the model “thinks,” the better the answer.
  • The new model has another log-linear scaling law. It pretty much computes, and the Bitter Lesson wins again.

Japan Morning Connection: Kose Aims for Global Growth

By Andrew Jackson

  • Global renewable continue to outperform, although this is yet to be seen in Japan related names.
  • Very little read from the US with the market firmly in wait-and-see mode ahead of the Fed.
  • Kose sell-side meeting yesterday points to plans for global growth despite few specifics released for its new MTP set to be released in October.

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