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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ECM: Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name
  • K Bank IPO Valuation Analysis
  • BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential
  • K Bank IPO – The Positives – Fast Growth
  • Pre-IPO LinkChem Technology – The Business and the Concerns Behind


Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name

By Clarence Chu

  • Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN) is looking to raise up to US$780m in its QIP. Together with the offering is a US$270m compulsory convertible debenture (CCD) offering.
  • The deal is very well flagged, having gone through rounds of board/shareholder approvals. The QIP has also been covered by domestic media reports.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

K Bank IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of K Bank is target price of 9,151 won per share, which is 4% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. 
  • Given the lack of upside in our target price relative to the IPO price range, we would avoid in subscribing to the IPO.
  • Our base case valuation is based on 1.6x P/B multiple using the company’s equity post IPO (2.35 trillion won). 

BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential

By Andrei Zakharov

  • BioAge Labs, a clinical-stage biopharma company backed by a leading syndicate of biotech investors, filed to go public in the United States.
  • Anti aging and obesity biopharma startup is purely focused on chronic metabolic diseases and established partner agreements with Amgen and Eli Lilly.
  • I have a positive view of upcoming BioAge Labs IPO and expect a strong first-day return above the IPO offer price.

K Bank IPO – The Positives – Fast Growth

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Pre-IPO LinkChem Technology – The Business and the Concerns Behind

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The sudden high growth in 2023 was benefited from the cooperation with related party Shandong LinkChem. Is the performance growth driven by LinkChem’s reliance on related party transactions sustainable?
  • LinkChem relies heavily on limited number of customers to contribute performance but the customer stability is not strong.Due to “low voice” in front of customers, cash flow is under pressure.
  • The barrier of terbium chloride product is not high and LinkChem will face fierce competition in the future, leading to decreasing YoY growth revenue. Valuation should be lower than peers.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Vedanta Resources


Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Trancom (9058) – Another Bain MBO Done Too Cheaply Where “Activist” Dalton Rolls In To The Bid and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Trancom (9058) – Another Bain MBO Done Too Cheaply Where “Activist” Dalton Rolls In To The Bid
  • Platinum (PTM AU): Regal’s Indicative Offer
  • ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)
  • TCM (570 HK): Inching Towards Regulatory Sign-Off
  • Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index
  • Trancom (9058 JP): Bain-Sponsored MBO at JPY10,300
  • NAV Valuation of Young Poong Precision and A Case Study for Future Tender Offers in Korea
  • Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer
  • European Governments’ Bank Sell-Off: Boosting Confidence and Occasionally Free Float
  • Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: September‘24 Report


Trancom (9058) – Another Bain MBO Done Too Cheaply Where “Activist” Dalton Rolls In To The Bid

By Travis Lundy

  • Logistics takeovers are hot this year. Any cutting-edge-of-efficiencies business in the space is likely to get a look. Trancom Co Ltd (9058 JP) is one. 
  • But while logistics assets put into bidding competition like Alps Logistics and Chilled & Frozen get high EV/EBITDA multiples, MBO transactions without competition get done too cheaply.
  • Here again, an “Value Activist” “selling into the bid” to reinvest in the levered back end (at the takeover price). That tells you this deal is being done too cheaply.

Platinum (PTM AU): Regal’s Indicative Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) has confirmed, and is “considering the merits” of an  unsolicited confidential, non-binding, indicative proposal from Regal Partners (RPL AU).
  • Regal has offered, by way of a Scheme, 0.274 Regal shares for every Platinum share. A $0.24/share special dividend is permitted, and added. Regal holds an estimated 5.1% stake.
  • With funds under management down 27% yoy, a merger with Regal is just the tonic for Platinum’s long-suffering investors. Founder Kerr Neilson, holding 21.7%, will have the final say.

ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)

By Brian Freitas


TCM (570 HK): Inching Towards Regulatory Sign-Off

By David Blennerhassett

  • In its latest monthly update, China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) fleshes out the latest on the various PRC regulatory applications. 
  • Comparing the two most recent monthly updates side-by-side, apart from modifying the documentation for the MOC and NDRC process; the SAMR filing has been formally accepted, as previously flagged. 
  • The upshot? These regulatory approvals will be secured. The key question is whether this can take place before the 18th October pre-condition long stop date. Or an extension is required.

Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index

By Sanghyun Park

  • KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.
  • KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.
  • In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.

Trancom (9058 JP): Bain-Sponsored MBO at JPY10,300

By Arun George

  • Trancom Co Ltd (9058 JP) recommended a Bain-sponsored MBO at JPY10,300, a 40.5% and 42.9% premium to the last close and undisturbed price, respectively. 
  • The offer represents an all-time high but is lower than the midpoint of the IFA’s DCF valuation range and implies multiples below precedent transaction multiples. 
  • While the Dalton irrevocable has a counteroffer clause, Mr Takebe (the largest shareholder) does not. Therefore, there is a low probability of a competing bidder emerging.   

NAV Valuation of Young Poong Precision and A Case Study for Future Tender Offers in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • Our NAV valuation of Young Poong Precision suggests NAV of 325 billion won or NAV per share of 20,657 won which is 70% higher than current price.
  • Young Poong Precision tender offer could become one of the most important case studies for future tender offers in Korea. 
  • The biggest component of the NAV is Young Poong Precision’s 1.85% stake in Korea Zinc which is worth 255 billion won (133% of its current market cap). 

Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer

By Arun George

  • Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) confirmed it received a non-binding indicative proposal from Regal Partners (RPL AU) at 0.274 RPL shares per PTM share + special dividend of A$0.24.
  • The implied offer price of A$1.14 per share based on Regal’s undisturbed price of A$3.30 per share is a 15.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.99 (16 September).
  • Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an improved binding proposal.

European Governments’ Bank Sell-Off: Boosting Confidence and Occasionally Free Float

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • AIB Group (AIBG IE) is expected to experience an increase in free float from 75% to 80% in November 2024 due to the Irish Government reducing its stake this month.
  • Commerzbank AG (CBK GR) is forecasted to have a ~2% points free float decrease in Global and European Indices as UniCredit bought more than what the German Government sold.
  • The UK Government continues slashing its stake in NatWest Group (NWG LN) with potential further free float increases coming in November and December 2024.

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: September‘24 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Since mid-August, share-price spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (13 have tightened, 4 widened, 2 remained at same level).
  • Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, Grifols SA, Media-for-Europe, Sixt.
  • Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Carlsberg, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray
  • Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand
  • Oracle’s Cloud Wars: The Story Of Its Expansion and the Challenges That Could Threaten Its Growth! (9/24)
  • Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)– Is the Sell-Side’s Bullishness Justified?
  • Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) – The Sustainable Leap
  • Triple Point Social Housing REIT – Improving rent collection and fully covered DPS
  • Amaero International Ltd – Oversubscribed and upsized capital raise to fund growth
  • EDG: First 2024 Drill Results: All Holes Intercept High-Grade
  • Samsung Electronics (005930-KR): Quality Generative AI Play, Trading at a Discount
  • Jet2 Plc (Jet2) – Monday, Jun 17, 2024


Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) is focused on clean mobility solutions through its subsidiary, TI Clean Mobility Private Limited. 
  • The subsidiary’s Montra Electric 3-wheelers have quickly gained market share in southern India, targeting the last-mile mobility segment. 
  • TI’s management is keenly focused on the EV segment, with upcoming launches of e-rickshaws and a new Cargo Version poised to drive substantial growth in the near future.

Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

By William Keating

  • US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event
  • Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won’t make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off
  • The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That’s a problem. 

Oracle’s Cloud Wars: The Story Of Its Expansion and the Challenges That Could Threaten Its Growth! (9/24)

By Baptista Research

  • Oracle Corporation’s Q1 FY 2025 results demonstrated a robust performance, underscored by significant revenue growth and strategic expansions in their cloud offerings.
  • The total revenue for the quarter was $13.3 billion, marking an 8% year-over-year increase.
  • Cloud revenue was a standout with SaaS and IaaS generating $5.6 billion, reflecting a 22% increase.

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)– Is the Sell-Side’s Bullishness Justified?

By Avien Pillay

  • The biosimilar market is forecast to grow three to four times faster than the generic drug market over the next five years.
  • However, we believe that this high growth will not necessarily imply good profitability, given the early stage of the biosimilar market, complications and competition.
  • We also believe that the company’s guidance is too optimistic resulting in an expensive multiple. We prefer some room for error.  

Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) – The Sustainable Leap

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) has announced that it intends to spin off its thermal coal related assets under Adaro Andalan Indonesia, allowing it to focus purely on its sustainable businesses. 
  • The move will potentially allow it to realise a higher valuation for its pure coal assets while paving the way for access to sustainable financing for its renewable businesses. 
  • This will help the group accelerate the progress towards having more than 50% of its revenues from non-coal businesses by 2023. Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) can trade at higher multiples.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT – Improving rent collection and fully covered DPS

By Edison Investment Research

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) returned to full dividend cover in H124, with EPRA earnings benefiting from inflation-linked, mostly uncapped rental growth and improving rent collection. Property valuations and NAV per share were lower, but progress with the two problem tenants and falling interest rates suggest this could reverse. Meanwhile, the shares yield more than 8% with the board targeting asset sales and share repurchases to address the discount to NAV.


Amaero International Ltd – Oversubscribed and upsized capital raise to fund growth

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published a flash comment on advanced materials manufacturing group Amaero International (ASX:3DA) following the completion of an upsized institutional placement to raise $25m at $0.35/share to fund capital equipment purchases and further fit out its Tennessee facility.
  • The raise was not unexpected; we had factored in a $22.5m raise at $0.34/share in our modelling before 30 September.
  • We have incorporated the raise into our forecasts with no impact on current numbers.Post raise, the company will have pro-forma cash of approximately $37.5m to fund the capex programme ahead of ramping up production and transitioning to commercial sales.

EDG: First 2024 Drill Results: All Holes Intercept High-Grade

By Atrium Research

  • EDG announced assay results for its first six drill holes as part of its 10,000m 2024 drill program, it has completed 11 holes (3,500m) to date.
  • Today’s results confirm high-grade at-depth (~175m vertical) and extends the Imperial Zone ~100m to the northwest along strike (still open).
  • Assays for the next five drill holes are expected to be released in mid-October.

Samsung Electronics (005930-KR): Quality Generative AI Play, Trading at a Discount

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) is a leading beneficiary of the recovery in global Smartphone demand, and strength in Memory prices, driven by the proliferation of Gen AI demand.
  • Global Memory prices have recovered by up to +80%y/y driven by demand from hyperscaler customers for leading-technology DDR5, HBM, and other high-value-added memory products.
  • Samsung Electronics trades more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average trading range, a historically proved to be an excellent buying point.

Jet2 Plc (Jet2) – Monday, Jun 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Jet2 stock has been accumulating over the last 6 months, trading at a lower valuation compared to competitor BKNG
  • Company has shifted focus to asset-light package holiday earnings, with majority of flight passengers now going on package holidays
  • Despite being range-bound since COVID-19, Jet2 has continued to grow and execute its plans, offering an attractive investment opportunity with low earnings multiple and smart fleet choices by founder

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Macro: China: August Activity Data and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • China: August Activity Data
  • Rate Cut Speculation Fuels WTI Crude Oil, But China Clouds Outlook
  • Forecast Stability Doesn’t Ensure Success
  • U.S. August Retail Sales Show Resilience


China: August Activity Data

By Alex Ng

  • China August data was worse than expected and confirms the weak trend in H2, with retail sales a real worry.
  • The government risks missing the 5% growth target for 2024 and targeted fiscal policy moves are likely, but need to be implemented quickly. 
  • 10bps cut in the 7 day reverse repo rate is also likely in the coming months, with two 25bps RRR cuts. 

Rate Cut Speculation Fuels WTI Crude Oil, But China Clouds Outlook

By Suhas Reddy

  • The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 65% probability of a 50 bps rate cut and a 35% chance of a 25 bps cut.
  • Given the strong rate cut expectations since mid-August, the focus now shifts to the scale and depth of the cuts for the rest of the year.
  • WTI options Put/Call volume ratio fell to 0.75 on 16/Sep from 1.09 on 10/Sep and its OI PCR slid to 0.76 from 0.77 during the same period.

Forecast Stability Doesn’t Ensure Success

By Phil Rush

  • Inflation’s relative stability and predictability have reassured policymakers of their dovish forecasts, encouraging rate cuts despite some inconveniently resilient data.
  • Historically, outcomes two years after slight surprises have still skewed higher. Below-target 2yr forecasts have been three times as likely to surprise higher than lower.
  • Realising persistently above-target inflation would match our forecast and ultimately truncate easing cycles. Recent forecast stability only matters in the dovish short term.

U.S. August Retail Sales Show Resilience

By Alex Ng

  • August retail sales have held up a little better than expected with a 0.1% increase though this is largely because autos were more resilient than industry data had suggested.
  • Gains of 0.1% ex autos and 0.2% ex autos and gasoline were marginally softer than expected.
  • Revisions were minimal with June revised down to -0.3% from -0.2% and July revised up to a 1.1% increase from 1.0%.  Core rates were not revised at all.

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Daily Brief Australia: Platinum Asset Management, Ventia, Amaero International Ltd, ADX Energy Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Platinum (PTM AU): Regal’s Indicative Offer
  • ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)
  • Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer
  • Amaero International Ltd – Oversubscribed and upsized capital raise to fund growth
  • ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Production Boost at Anshof in October


Platinum (PTM AU): Regal’s Indicative Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) has confirmed, and is “considering the merits” of an  unsolicited confidential, non-binding, indicative proposal from Regal Partners (RPL AU).
  • Regal has offered, by way of a Scheme, 0.274 Regal shares for every Platinum share. A $0.24/share special dividend is permitted, and added. Regal holds an estimated 5.1% stake.
  • With funds under management down 27% yoy, a merger with Regal is just the tonic for Platinum’s long-suffering investors. Founder Kerr Neilson, holding 21.7%, will have the final say.

ASX100/ASX200 Index: Replacement Candidates for Virgin Money (VUK AU)

By Brian Freitas


Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer

By Arun George

  • Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) confirmed it received a non-binding indicative proposal from Regal Partners (RPL AU) at 0.274 RPL shares per PTM share + special dividend of A$0.24.
  • The implied offer price of A$1.14 per share based on Regal’s undisturbed price of A$3.30 per share is a 15.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.99 (16 September).
  • Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an improved binding proposal.

Amaero International Ltd – Oversubscribed and upsized capital raise to fund growth

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published a flash comment on advanced materials manufacturing group Amaero International (ASX:3DA) following the completion of an upsized institutional placement to raise $25m at $0.35/share to fund capital equipment purchases and further fit out its Tennessee facility.
  • The raise was not unexpected; we had factored in a $22.5m raise at $0.34/share in our modelling before 30 September.
  • We have incorporated the raise into our forecasts with no impact on current numbers.Post raise, the company will have pro-forma cash of approximately $37.5m to fund the capex programme ahead of ramping up production and transitioning to commercial sales.

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Production Boost at Anshof in October

By Auctus Advisors

  • The ANS-2A sidetrack well has encountered a 6.5 m net vertical oil column in high quality Eocene-aged sandstone reservoir.
  • The reservoir quality encountered at ANS-2A is consistent with ANS-2 (porosity and permeability ~20% higher than at ANS-3).
  • The oil-water contact was encountered very close to the top of the water wet reservoir encountered at ANS-2.

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Daily Brief South Korea: HK inno.N, Young Poong Precision, K Bank, Celltrion Inc, Samsung Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index
  • NAV Valuation of Young Poong Precision and A Case Study for Future Tender Offers in Korea
  • K Bank IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)– Is the Sell-Side’s Bullishness Justified?
  • K Bank IPO – The Positives – Fast Growth
  • Samsung Electronics (005930-KR): Quality Generative AI Play, Trading at a Discount


Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index

By Sanghyun Park

  • KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.
  • KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.
  • In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.

NAV Valuation of Young Poong Precision and A Case Study for Future Tender Offers in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • Our NAV valuation of Young Poong Precision suggests NAV of 325 billion won or NAV per share of 20,657 won which is 70% higher than current price.
  • Young Poong Precision tender offer could become one of the most important case studies for future tender offers in Korea. 
  • The biggest component of the NAV is Young Poong Precision’s 1.85% stake in Korea Zinc which is worth 255 billion won (133% of its current market cap). 

K Bank IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of K Bank is target price of 9,151 won per share, which is 4% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. 
  • Given the lack of upside in our target price relative to the IPO price range, we would avoid in subscribing to the IPO.
  • Our base case valuation is based on 1.6x P/B multiple using the company’s equity post IPO (2.35 trillion won). 

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)– Is the Sell-Side’s Bullishness Justified?

By Avien Pillay

  • The biosimilar market is forecast to grow three to four times faster than the generic drug market over the next five years.
  • However, we believe that this high growth will not necessarily imply good profitability, given the early stage of the biosimilar market, complications and competition.
  • We also believe that the company’s guidance is too optimistic resulting in an expensive multiple. We prefer some room for error.  

K Bank IPO – The Positives – Fast Growth

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Samsung Electronics (005930-KR): Quality Generative AI Play, Trading at a Discount

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) is a leading beneficiary of the recovery in global Smartphone demand, and strength in Memory prices, driven by the proliferation of Gen AI demand.
  • Global Memory prices have recovered by up to +80%y/y driven by demand from hyperscaler customers for leading-technology DDR5, HBM, and other high-value-added memory products.
  • Samsung Electronics trades more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average trading range, a historically proved to be an excellent buying point.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Adaro Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) – The Sustainable Leap


Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) – The Sustainable Leap

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) has announced that it intends to spin off its thermal coal related assets under Adaro Andalan Indonesia, allowing it to focus purely on its sustainable businesses. 
  • The move will potentially allow it to realise a higher valuation for its pure coal assets while paving the way for access to sustainable financing for its renewable businesses. 
  • This will help the group accelerate the progress towards having more than 50% of its revenues from non-coal businesses by 2023. Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) can trade at higher multiples.

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Daily Brief India: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Tube Investments of India , Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name
  • Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray
  • Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Vedanta Resources


Samvardhana Motherson QIP – Well Flagged US$780m QIP in a Decent Name

By Clarence Chu

  • Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN) is looking to raise up to US$780m in its QIP. Together with the offering is a US$270m compulsory convertible debenture (CCD) offering.
  • The deal is very well flagged, having gone through rounds of board/shareholder approvals. The QIP has also been covered by domestic media reports.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) | On-Ground Update on EV Foray

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN) is focused on clean mobility solutions through its subsidiary, TI Clean Mobility Private Limited. 
  • The subsidiary’s Montra Electric 3-wheelers have quickly gained market share in southern India, targeting the last-mile mobility segment. 
  • TI’s management is keenly focused on the EV segment, with upcoming launches of e-rickshaws and a new Cargo Version poised to drive substantial growth in the near future.

Morning Views Asia: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Intel Corp, Oracle Corp, BioAge Labs, Signet Jewelers, Kroger Co, CLS Holdings USA, Adobe Systems, Build A Bear Workshop, Pvh Corp, RH and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand
  • Oracle’s Cloud Wars: The Story Of Its Expansion and the Challenges That Could Threaten Its Growth! (9/24)
  • BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential
  • Signet Jewelers: Striking A Balance Between Merchandise and Pricing! – Major Drivers
  • The Kroger Co.: An Insight Into Its Competitive Positioning
  • CLS Holdings USA, Inc. – CLSH: Strong Cost Controls Help Offset Revenue Decline in FY24
  • Adobe’s Winning Formula for Double-Digit Growth: Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and AI! (9/24)
  • BBW: Snapping the Store: Halloween Rules (Already!); Reiterate Buy, $41 PT
  • Pvh Corp – VNCE: 2Q Review: Driving Upside, Remaining Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT
  • RH (Restoration Hardware): Brand Image Transcendence & Other Major Drivers


Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

By William Keating

  • US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event
  • Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won’t make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off
  • The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That’s a problem. 

Oracle’s Cloud Wars: The Story Of Its Expansion and the Challenges That Could Threaten Its Growth! (9/24)

By Baptista Research

  • Oracle Corporation’s Q1 FY 2025 results demonstrated a robust performance, underscored by significant revenue growth and strategic expansions in their cloud offerings.
  • The total revenue for the quarter was $13.3 billion, marking an 8% year-over-year increase.
  • Cloud revenue was a standout with SaaS and IaaS generating $5.6 billion, reflecting a 22% increase.

BioAge Labs IPO Preview: Investor Focus Has Turned To Azelaprag, A Huge Market Potential

By Andrei Zakharov

  • BioAge Labs, a clinical-stage biopharma company backed by a leading syndicate of biotech investors, filed to go public in the United States.
  • Anti aging and obesity biopharma startup is purely focused on chronic metabolic diseases and established partner agreements with Amgen and Eli Lilly.
  • I have a positive view of upcoming BioAge Labs IPO and expect a strong first-day return above the IPO offer price.

Signet Jewelers: Striking A Balance Between Merchandise and Pricing! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Signet Jewelers has reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting several critical strategic successes and challenges.
  • The company’s CEO, Gina Drosos, emphasized the continued momentum in same-store sales, which improved over 5 points from the first quarter, driven notably by robust Fashion sales.
  • The merchandise margin and the average transaction value (ATV) also saw growth, reflecting the positive reception of Signet’s merchandise strategies even amidst an intensely dynamic industry landscape.

The Kroger Co.: An Insight Into Its Competitive Positioning

By Baptista Research

  • The Kroger Co. showcased a mixed performance in the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company continues its progression towards a strategic operating model which balances customer-centricity with internal efficiencies, maintaining a competitive edge, particularly with its own brands offerings.
  • Revenue enhancements through enhanced digital sales channels and personalized promotions were notable.

CLS Holdings USA, Inc. – CLSH: Strong Cost Controls Help Offset Revenue Decline in FY24

By Water Tower Research

  • CLS Holdings is a vertically integrated cannabis company with core operations in Nevada.
  • The company owns and operates Oasis cannabis dispensary, one of the leading stores in Las Vegas.
  • CLS also has a state-of-the art extraction and manufacturing facility in Nevada and a suite of top-performing brands.

Adobe’s Winning Formula for Double-Digit Growth: Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and AI! (9/24)

By Baptista Research

  • Adobe’s third-quarter fiscal year 2024 performance highlighted a strong trajectory, with substantial year-over-year revenue growth and positive developments across its major product lines.
  • Revenue stood at $5.41 billion, marking an 11% increase from the previous year.
  • This growth was fueled by the consistent strength in Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud.

BBW: Snapping the Store: Halloween Rules (Already!); Reiterate Buy, $41 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop after visiting stores in Long Island and Connecticut.
  • We believe the company’s decision to materially move up the Halloween offerings (from August 29th last year to August 6th in 2024) has driven customer excitement and material incremental revenue, as the company has added new characters, multiple drops and the ability to leverage the first Halloween for both Mini Beans and Skoosherz, with more exciting items (including the return of Nightmare before Xmas “furry friends”) on their way.
  • As such, we expect momentum to remain strong throughout the season and then almost immediately pivot into the Xmas holiday items.

Pvh Corp – VNCE: 2Q Review: Driving Upside, Remaining Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE, slightly reducing our FY24 top line, but increasing our bottom line projections after the company reported solid 2Q results, driven by stronger than expected wholesale revenue.
  • With the company now fully anniversarying the ABG Vince relationship, and the drive to materially reduce clearance and discount levels at their own stores completed, we believe 2HFY24 will begin to visibly demonstrate the power of the Vince brand to drive returns and position the company for further material top and bottom line expansion in FY25 from new store openings, further expansion in men’s, international growth and continued wholesale door and segment expansion which, when further fueled by ABG Vince category expansion, debt reduction and share repurchases, positions the company for material upside.
  • As such, we reiterate our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE.

RH (Restoration Hardware): Brand Image Transcendence & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • RH, previously Restoration Hardware, exhibited positive stride in its financial and operational endeavors during the second quarter of fiscal 2024, as outlined in its latest earnings call.
  • The results were mostly favorable with noteworthy highlights such as a 7% increase in demand and 3.6% growth in revenues amounting to $830 million compared to the previous year.
  • This growth was propelled by strategic expansions and product transformations, notable investments during an economically challenging phase, and detailed preparation for projected housing market rebound.

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