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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Narrative and Numbers | Affordable Housing Finance | FY24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Narrative and Numbers | Affordable Housing Finance | FY24
  • BYD (1211 HK): Revenue Up by 26% in 2Q24 Versus 4% in 1Q24, Buy
  • NVIDIA Delivers Stunning Q2 Results & Declares $50B Buyback; Yet Shares Plunge 8% Post Results
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (30-Aug-2024): AI boosts MLCC demand, industry set to grow.
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Topping Positive Profit Alert Range
  • Huawei’s Smart Car Unit Valued $16 Billion After Investment From Avatr
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Volume Growth Eased | Price Declines Moderating (August 2024)
  • 3i Group: Capital in Action – [Business Breakdowns, EP.180]
  • Chubb Limited: What Is Driving The Strong International Performance and Expansion! – Major Drivers
  • Cedar Grove’s Paul Cerro on what makes $RCAT drones unique + odds for winning SRR contract



BYD (1211 HK): Revenue Up by 26% in 2Q24 Versus 4% in 1Q24, Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue increased by 26% in 2Q24, as sales volume grew strongly after March.
  • We believe the operating margin will be stable due to the ability of battery production.
  • We also believe the tariff penalty from Europe is not a concern in the long run, as BYD’s products have expanded to 77 countries.

NVIDIA Delivers Stunning Q2 Results & Declares $50B Buyback; Yet Shares Plunge 8% Post Results

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • NVIDIA’s Q2 revenue soared 122% to $30.04 billion, exceeding estimates, driven by unprecedented demand for AI-driven data center chips. 
  • The data center segment grew 154% YoY, generating $26.3 billion, reflecting NVIDIA’s strong position in AI hardware with major contributions from cloud providers. 
  • Despite approving a $50 billion stock buyback, NVIDIA’s shares fell 8% after-hours due to concerns over future chip supply and broader market trends, though the stock is up 150% YTD.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (30-Aug-2024): AI boosts MLCC demand, industry set to grow.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AI advancements driving demand for MLCCs, leading to growth in passive component industry and shaping future technology trends.
  • Super Micro Computer faces delay in annual report filing amid allegations of accounting manipulation, raising concerns in the tech market.
  • Industry predictions for Semicon India 2024 and updates from Intel and Sony on upgrades in car cockpits and price increase on PS5 due to rising component costs. Taiwan drone market facing potential delay due to China’s dominance in crucial modules.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Topping Positive Profit Alert Range

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Shenzhen International (152 HK) reported 1H24 net profit of HK$653m. While toll road and other segments are under pressure, the logistics segment has benefited from REIT issuance.
  • In 2H24, it may book profit from the initial land appreciation gain from the South China Logistics Park transformation and profit from the 50%-owned Yicheng Zhenwanyue.
  • SZI seeks to realise the value of its assets. At 0.4x P/B or 1SD below the 5-year average, the stock, with a 7.5% yield, is deeply undervalued. 

Huawei’s Smart Car Unit Valued $16 Billion After Investment From Avatr

By Caixin Global

  • The valuation of Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd’s smart car unit has surged to 115 billion yuan ($16 billion) only seven months after its launch, following a recent investment.

  • Yinwang Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Huawei founded in January, has agreed to sell a 10% stake to Avatr Technology Inc., an electric vehicle (EV) startup backed by China’s state-owned automaker Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd. (000625.SZ -1.54%) and battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL). 

  • Avatr agreed to pay 11.5 billion yuan for the stake, with the payment to be made in three installments, contingent on conditions such as the introduction of Huawei’s smart car technologies and talent to Yinwang.

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Volume Growth Eased | Price Declines Moderating (August 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Chinese parcel volume growth slowed in July (+22%) vs firmer pace in Q2 (+32%)
  • At company level, there are signs the steep price declines from H1 are moderating
  • If worst of price declines is in rearview mirror, beat down names are worth a look

3i Group: Capital in Action – [Business Breakdowns, EP.180]

By Business Breakdowns

  • 3i is a unique publicly traded investment company with a major stake in the European retailer Action
  • 3i operates differently from traditional private equity firms by investing its own balance sheet funds
  • 3i has a complex history dating back to pre-World War II and is difficult to categorize in traditional investment vehicle terms

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Chubb Limited: What Is Driving The Strong International Performance and Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chubb Limited’s second-quarter earnings for the period ending June 30, 2024, revealed a robust financial performance, characterized by significant growth in premium revenue and substantial increases in both core operating and investment income.
  • The insurer reported a core operating EPS of $5.38, marking a 9.3% increase from the previous year.
  • This was supported by a growth in net premiums of 11.8% (or 12.3% on a constant dollar basis) facilitated by a diversified portfolio across geographical regions and business segments.

Cedar Grove’s Paul Cerro on what makes $RCAT drones unique + odds for winning SRR contract

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Paul Cerro, founder of the Cedar Grove Empire, discusses his investment in Redcat Holdings
  • Redcat is a US-based drone manufacturer specializing in unmanned drones for military purposes
  • Redcat is poised to potentially win a lucrative US Army contract, driving significant upside potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Macro: China Unlikely to Escape Middle-Income Trap Without Social or Political Reform and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • China Unlikely to Escape Middle-Income Trap Without Social or Political Reform
  • China Consumption Disappoints
  • [ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply
  • EM Watch: 5 Charts on the Nosediving Chinese Indicators!
  • Vietnam:  2024 Rotation Drives Record Fund Ownership
  • UK Banks:  Key Stocks Fuel Sector Comeback
  • US: Presidential Race Narrows After a United DNC; Debates to Be Decisive
  • CX Daily: Beijingers Spurn Eating Out Amid Sluggish Economy


China Unlikely to Escape Middle-Income Trap Without Social or Political Reform

By Alex Ng

  • As economic growth of China move to sub-5% level (a figure which may have been manipulated upward), the living standard of its lower-middle and lower class are hopeless to improve.
  • Standing at USD12970 in 2023, the capita real GDP grows much slower than previous decade.
  • This is the middle income trap which is experienced by other middle-income Asian countries as well, like Philippines, Thailand, and Malaysia.

China Consumption Disappoints

By Alex Ng

  • China consumption patterns are slowing and becoming more volatile at a sub sector level. There is also less certainty over new employment and wage growth.
  • China’s consumption is vital to growth when production is transitioning from old economy dependency on residential investment, steel, cement and other industries. 
  • We forecast GDP to slow in H2 and be 4.0% in 2025

[ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 23/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 846k barrels, while analysts expected a 2.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped more than expected, while distillate inventories unexpectedly rose.
  • US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 23/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 33 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.1% above the 5-year seasonal average
  • Exxon expects global crude oil demand to remain around 100m bpd through 2050. Brokerages lowered target prices on Occidental and Halliburton.

EM Watch: 5 Charts on the Nosediving Chinese Indicators!

By Andreas Steno

  • China’s exports fired on all cylinders during the spring, but we are now starting to see signs of fading inventories in the US (and to some extent, Europe) again.
  • We believe the front-loading of imports, with rising freight rates being a symptom of this, propelled the Chinese economy ahead of the feared tariffs implemented by the Biden administration and potentially increased under a Trump presidency.
  • We know that Chinese exporters have front-loaded exports of cars and other goods ahead of the tariff deadlines in both the US and Europe, and we are now seeing freight rates moderating alongside some concerning nowcasts out of China.

Vietnam:  2024 Rotation Drives Record Fund Ownership

By Steven Holden

  • Vietnam has achieved a significant milestone, with over one-third of Asia Ex-Japan funds now invested in the country for the first time in our holdings history.
  • Average fund weights hit a new high of 1.01% last month, as an additional 5.1% of funds opened exposure in 2024.
  • Notable fund-level activity in 2024 includes new positions from JP Morgan and Fidelity, with the most optimistic investors assigning over a 10% weight to Vietnam.

UK Banks:  Key Stocks Fuel Sector Comeback

By Steven Holden

  • Exposure to the UK Banking sector is nearing all-time highs as funds rotate back into the sector following the 2020 sell-off
  • Broad rotation into various stocks within the sector. HSBC is experiencing a robust recovery in ownership, and Natwest has reached record levels of UK fund ownership.
  • Value managers are the most exposed to UK Banks, while Agg’ Growth funds lag behind their style peers.

US: Presidential Race Narrows After a United DNC; Debates to Be Decisive

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • Energized Democrats have narrowed the polling gap, with The Economist average showing Harris likely to win 277 Electoral College votes, although RCP’s average shows Trump narrowly ahead in swing states.
  • This is no longer 1968 Redux, despite many similarities. RFK Jr’s withdrawal means there’s no George Wallace to erode Democratic votes. Centrist Harris is positioning well to capture swing voters. 
  • Both candidates would further increase public debt, but Harris has more credible funding plans. The debates will still be crucial, but a Harris win would be marginally better for markets. 

CX Daily: Beijingers Spurn Eating Out Amid Sluggish Economy

By Caixin Global

  • F&B / Charts of the Day: Beijingers spurn eating out amid sluggish economy
  • Corruption /: Death penalty upheld for former official in China’s largest corruption case
  • Debt /: Inner Mongolia region is struggling to fund basic services as debt crisis looms

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Daily Brief South Korea: LG Chem Ltd, Hyundai Rotem Company, Doosan Robotics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • LG Corp Plans to Purchase 200 Billlion Won of LG Electronics and 300 Billion Won of LG Chem
  • Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard
  • Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward
  • Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat
  • First Case of New Pre-Disclosure Rule: LG Corp Buys ₩300B LG Chem Shares


LG Corp Plans to Purchase 200 Billlion Won of LG Electronics and 300 Billion Won of LG Chem

By Douglas Kim

  • On 29 August, LG Corp announced that it plans to purchase about 200 billion won worth of LG Electronics and about 300 billion won worth of LG Chem.
  • After these share purchases, LG Corp’s stake in LG Electronics will increase from 30.47% to 31.59%, and its stake in LG Chem will increase from 30.06% to 31.29%.
  • LG Corp plans to purchases these shares starting 1 November 2024. The share purchases will be conducted in two stages and will be completed by 31 March 2025. 

Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hyundai Rotem is right on the edge for Small Cap→Standard, so it is the only one having a real chance of being included in the November review.
  • Doosan Robotics’ float rate will rise to 40% after issuing 20,219,376 new shares, making it a top candidate for inclusion among Outside IMI and comfortably surpassing the cutoff.
  • With high trading volume volatility, it’s early to predict passive impact. Watch for momentum buildup like LS Electric and monitor the trading volume of Hyundai Rotem and Robotics closely.

Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward

By Sanghyun Park

  • Maekyung reported that Doosan Robotics and Bobcat will cancel their merger, but the merger between Robotics and Enerbility’s spun-off company will proceed.
  • The merger’s risks have been overblown in Robotics’ stock, which might rebound. Bobcat’s stock outlook is uncertain, with fading merger hopes potentially hurting short-term sentiment.
  • The Robotics-Enerbility merger might also be canceled under regulatory pressure, but this could hurt Enerbility’s stock due to debt concerns; forcing the merger may increase costs.

Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat

By Douglas Kim

  • On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
  • However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.
  • Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.  

First Case of New Pre-Disclosure Rule: LG Corp Buys ₩300B LG Chem Shares

By Sanghyun Park

  • LG Corp has announced it will buy ₩300B of LG Chem shares during trading hours, marking the first use of the new 30-day advance notice rule.
  • LG Corp will buy LG Chem shares in two stages with 30-day advance notices. So, today’s announcement is a preliminary notice ahead of these 30-day advance notices.
  • This transaction’s flow impact on LG Chem doesn’t seem substantial. But this first two-stage advance notice could provide key insights into price impact patterns.

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Daily Brief China: CPMC Holdings, BYD, Shenzhen International, Health And Happiness (H&H), Huawei Technology, Anton Oilfield, S.F. Holding, Tata Steel Ltd, BrainAurora Medical Technology and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): The Battle Is Heating up as ORG Clears a Key Regulatory Hurdle
  • BYD (1211 HK): Revenue Up by 26% in 2Q24 Versus 4% in 1Q24, Buy
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Topping Positive Profit Alert Range
  • CPMC (906 HK): SAMR Green Lights ORG’s Offer
  • Health And Happiness (H&H) – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Huawei’s Smart Car Unit Valued $16 Billion After Investment From Avatr
  • Anton Oilfield – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Volume Growth Eased | Price Declines Moderating (August 2024)
  • Morning Views Asia: MGM China Holdings, New World Development, Nickel Industries , Tata Steel Thailand
  • Pre-IPO BrainAurora Medical Technology (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): The Battle Is Heating up as ORG Clears a Key Regulatory Hurdle

By Arun George

  • ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) has received SAMR clearance, the key regulatory hurdle, for its HK$7.21 voluntary offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK).
  • SAMR approval paves the way for the ORG precondition to be satisfied in September. Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer first close is on 3 September.
  • Changping Industrial has little choice but to revise its terms. It has a short window to seize the initiative by bumping its offer before ORG’s competing and higher offer opens. 

BYD (1211 HK): Revenue Up by 26% in 2Q24 Versus 4% in 1Q24, Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue increased by 26% in 2Q24, as sales volume grew strongly after March.
  • We believe the operating margin will be stable due to the ability of battery production.
  • We also believe the tariff penalty from Europe is not a concern in the long run, as BYD’s products have expanded to 77 countries.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Topping Positive Profit Alert Range

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Shenzhen International (152 HK) reported 1H24 net profit of HK$653m. While toll road and other segments are under pressure, the logistics segment has benefited from REIT issuance.
  • In 2H24, it may book profit from the initial land appreciation gain from the South China Logistics Park transformation and profit from the 50%-owned Yicheng Zhenwanyue.
  • SZI seeks to realise the value of its assets. At 0.4x P/B or 1SD below the 5-year average, the stock, with a 7.5% yield, is deeply undervalued. 

CPMC (906 HK): SAMR Green Lights ORG’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • ORG Technology (002701 CH), via the Offeror Huarui Fengquan Development Limited, has announced SAMR has given its approval. ORG still requires MOFCOM, NDRC, and SAFE to sign off. 
  • Interestingly, SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion Holdings, the competing/initial bidder for CPMC (906 HK), secured MOFCOM, NDRC, and SAFE before SAMR clearance. Champion’s regulatory pre-conditions took a little over seven months to secure.
  • What now? SAMR is China’s primary antitrust regulator (overlapping with NDRC). So this is positive for ORG. However, I’d still stick to ORG’s pre-condition long stop in terms of timing. 

Health And Happiness (H&H) – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Health and Happiness International’s (H&H) H1/24 results were in line with expectations. The company reported weaker earnings and margins from its main Baby Nutrition & Care (BNC) business in Mainland China, amid structural industry challenges stemming from low birth rates in the country. That said, the weakness in BNC was partly offset by growth in the Adult Nutrition & Care (ANC) and Pet Nutrition & Care (PNC) segments. We note that ANC is now H&H’s largest revenue contributor, eclipsing BNC’s numbers. Going forward, we expect the company to continue expanding the ANC and PNC segments in Mainland China and beyond, while seeking to contain the revenue decline at BNC and maintain stable margins for the segment.

H&H has reduced inventory days and generated a small working-capital inflow, which led to positive FCF generation and net debt reduction. The company has adequate liquidity, following its successful refinancing activities in July.


Huawei’s Smart Car Unit Valued $16 Billion After Investment From Avatr

By Caixin Global

  • The valuation of Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd’s smart car unit has surged to 115 billion yuan ($16 billion) only seven months after its launch, following a recent investment.

  • Yinwang Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Huawei founded in January, has agreed to sell a 10% stake to Avatr Technology Inc., an electric vehicle (EV) startup backed by China’s state-owned automaker Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd. (000625.SZ -1.54%) and battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL). 

  • Avatr agreed to pay 11.5 billion yuan for the stake, with the payment to be made in three installments, contingent on conditions such as the introduction of Huawei’s smart car technologies and talent to Yinwang.

Anton Oilfield – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Anton Oilfield’s H1/24 numbers were softer than expected in our view, with profitability growth lagging revenue improvement. Positively, there was a surge in new orders. This is the third consecutive quarter showing a significant rise in new orders. We expect the business’ positive momentum to continue in FY 2024. The large (3x revenue) and growing backlog support revenue visibility. The financial risk profile remains stable.


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Volume Growth Eased | Price Declines Moderating (August 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Chinese parcel volume growth slowed in July (+22%) vs firmer pace in Q2 (+32%)
  • At company level, there are signs the steep price declines from H1 are moderating
  • If worst of price declines is in rearview mirror, beat down names are worth a look

Morning Views Asia: MGM China Holdings, New World Development, Nickel Industries , Tata Steel Thailand

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Pre-IPO BrainAurora Medical Technology (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • If the System or this treatment method is really effective and accepted by hospitals/doctors, under the coverage of medical insurance catalog already, why BrainAurora’s revenue scale is still so small?
  • CSRC questioned BrainAurora’s high selling expenses. Since either SG&A or R&D expenses already exceed revenue, BrainAurora would continue to suffer from losses. The Company hasn’t established a solid profit model.
  • BrainAurora completed a total of 7 rounds of financing, with a post investment valuation of RMB2.7 billion. However, it is difficult for BrainAurora to match this high valuation after IPO.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Willas Array Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Manufacturing and Trade Show Signs of Improvement in August


Manufacturing and Trade Show Signs of Improvement in August

By Geoff Howie

  • In August, multiple signs of an improving outlook for manufacturing and trade, have included a four-month high in ASEAN Manufacturing PMI expectations, a projected recovery in Singapore’s manufacturing sector driven by strong electronics demand, and a significant month-to-month rebound in Singapore’s Industrial Production in July.
  • Since 6 August, the iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index has rebounded 5%, recovering most of the declines in the first week of the month.
  • For the month through to 28 August, the top-performing actively traded stocks in the iEdge SG Adv Manufacturing Index included SATS, UG Healthcare Corporation, Medtecs International Corporation, Thai Beverage, and Willas-Array Electronics (Holdings).

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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Crude Oil, Red Cat Holdings , Chubb , Dollar General, Public Service Enterprise Group Inc, Lands’ End Inc, Build A Bear Workshop, Ormat Technologies, Ugi Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • NVIDIA Delivers Stunning Q2 Results & Declares $50B Buyback; Yet Shares Plunge 8% Post Results
  • [ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply
  • Cedar Grove’s Paul Cerro on what makes $RCAT drones unique + odds for winning SRR contract
  • Chubb Limited: What Is Driving The Strong International Performance and Expansion! – Major Drivers
  • Dollar General 2Q’24 Update
  • Public Service Enterprise Group: A Tale Of Infrastructure Investments For Evolving Demands! – Major Drivers
  • LE: 2Q Preview; Momentum Continues to Build; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT
  • BBW: 2Q Review; Proving the Power of “Furry Friends;” Reiterate Buy, $41 PT
  • Ormat Technologies Inc.: Enhanced Focus on U.S. Market and Diversified Expansion Strategy! – Major Drivers
  • UGI Corporation: Focus on AmeriGas Stabilization & Other Major Drivers


NVIDIA Delivers Stunning Q2 Results & Declares $50B Buyback; Yet Shares Plunge 8% Post Results

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • NVIDIA’s Q2 revenue soared 122% to $30.04 billion, exceeding estimates, driven by unprecedented demand for AI-driven data center chips. 
  • The data center segment grew 154% YoY, generating $26.3 billion, reflecting NVIDIA’s strong position in AI hardware with major contributions from cloud providers. 
  • Despite approving a $50 billion stock buyback, NVIDIA’s shares fell 8% after-hours due to concerns over future chip supply and broader market trends, though the stock is up 150% YTD.

[ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 23/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 846k barrels, while analysts expected a 2.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped more than expected, while distillate inventories unexpectedly rose.
  • US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 23/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 33 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.1% above the 5-year seasonal average
  • Exxon expects global crude oil demand to remain around 100m bpd through 2050. Brokerages lowered target prices on Occidental and Halliburton.

Cedar Grove’s Paul Cerro on what makes $RCAT drones unique + odds for winning SRR contract

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Paul Cerro, founder of the Cedar Grove Empire, discusses his investment in Redcat Holdings
  • Redcat is a US-based drone manufacturer specializing in unmanned drones for military purposes
  • Redcat is poised to potentially win a lucrative US Army contract, driving significant upside potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Chubb Limited: What Is Driving The Strong International Performance and Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chubb Limited’s second-quarter earnings for the period ending June 30, 2024, revealed a robust financial performance, characterized by significant growth in premium revenue and substantial increases in both core operating and investment income.
  • The insurer reported a core operating EPS of $5.38, marking a 9.3% increase from the previous year.
  • This was supported by a growth in net premiums of 11.8% (or 12.3% on a constant dollar basis) facilitated by a diversified portfolio across geographical regions and business segments.

Dollar General 2Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • I first wrote my Deep Dive on Dollar General back in August 2023.
  • While I wasn’t initially excited about owning a piece of the company despite the stock being down 40% from peak then, I changed my mind when the stock went down another ~25% following 2Q’23 earnings.
  • After today’s dismal earnings, the stock went down almost another 30% since 2Q’23 earnings. 

Public Service Enterprise Group: A Tale Of Infrastructure Investments For Evolving Demands! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) recently disclosed its second-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing a nuanced performance marked by both challenges and sustained strategic growth.
  • The company reported a net income of $0.87 per share for this quarter, which marks a decrease from last year’s figures of $1.18 per share.
  • The non-GAAP operating earnings stood at $0.63 per share, slightly below the previous year’s $0.70 per share.

LE: 2Q Preview; Momentum Continues to Build; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $20 price target and projections with Lands’ End announcing 2QFY24 (July) results before the open on Thursday.
  • We believe Lands’ End management, under CEO Andrew McLean has continued to refocus the company on driving higher returns via lower discounting, fashion and product newness and innovation, reduced overall inventories and licensing non-core categories and relationships.
  • When combined with an increased emphasis on core winning categories such as swimwear and women’s bottoms in 2Q and shifting to outerwear in 2H, we believe Lands’ End is well positioned to drive near and longer term upside, and register returns we believe investors will find compelling.

BBW: 2Q Review; Proving the Power of “Furry Friends;” Reiterate Buy, $41 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $41 price target for BBW and materially raising our projections after the company reported record 2Q results which beat Street expectations on both the top and bottom line, as Build-A-Bear stores registered solid results, while the high margin Commercial and International Franchising segment began their expected material ramp a little earlier (and with greater impact) than we projected.
  • Further, management continued to aggressively return capital to shareholders, purchasing 5% of BBW shares outstanding in FY24.
  • With an early Halloween driving strong initial 3Q results, we believe management reiterating FY24 guidance for top line growth in low to mid single digits and low singled digit pre-tax income could prove conservative, and we reiterate our Buy rating and $41 price target for BBW.

Ormat Technologies Inc.: Enhanced Focus on U.S. Market and Diversified Expansion Strategy! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Ormat Technologies’ second-quarter earnings for 2024 demonstrated significant financial growth and solid operational performance across all its segments.
  • The company reported a 9.3% increase in total revenues, which amounted to $213 million.
  • This revenue growth was driven primarily by the Electricity segment, attributed to asset acquisitions and improvements at specific facilities.

UGI Corporation: Focus on AmeriGas Stabilization & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • UGI Corporation reported improved financial results for the fiscal third quarter of 2024, reflecting progress in executing strategic priorities such as enhancing cost efficiencies, strengthening the balance sheet, and optimizing its portfolio.
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter rose to $0.06 from $0.00 in the previous year.
  • The company’s focus on sustainable cost savings and critical financing transactions bolstered their financial standing, with available liquidity by quarter-end reported at $1.9 billion.

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Daily Brief India: Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd, Smartworks Coworking Spaces Ltd, Zomato, Tata Steel Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Narrative and Numbers | Affordable Housing Finance | FY24
  • Smartworks Coworking Spaces Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion
  • Morning Views Asia: MGM China Holdings, New World Development, Nickel Industries , Tata Steel Thailand



Smartworks Coworking Spaces Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Smartworks Coworking Spaces Ltd (1742134D IN) is looking to raise about US$120m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Kotak, JM Fin, IIFL and Bob Caps.
  • Smartworks Coworking Spaces Limited (SCSL) is an office experience and managed campus platform. 
  • It focuses on leasing entire/ large, bare shell properties in prime locations from landlords and transforms them into fully serviced, aesthetically pleasing and tech-enabled campuses with daily-life and aspirational amenities.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We see four expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
  • The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could fall into such a trap.

Morning Views Asia: MGM China Holdings, New World Development, Nickel Industries , Tata Steel Thailand

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Terumo Corp, Timee Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Terumo (4543 JP) Secondary Offering – Smaller Than It Looks
  • Terumo Placement – US$1.4bn Secondary Selldown, Buyback Should Aid Deal Dynamics
  • Terumo (4543 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering
  • Timee IPO: Trading Update
  • After the TSE “Engagement,” It Is the Company Itself to Devise and Execute a Management Strategy


Terumo (4543 JP) Secondary Offering – Smaller Than It Looks

By Travis Lundy

  • On Thursday 29 August, Terumo Corp (4543 JP) announced a secondary offering where 7 major cross-holders would sell just under 5% of the shares outstanding to international investors. 
  • In recent quarters, Terumo has seen better consensus EPS growth than Peers in recent quarters, and Peers have underperformed. Right now, Terumo isn’t ‘cheap’ but consensus growth is strong.
  • This back-end demand in this case has enough moving parts that it bears a closer look. 

Terumo Placement – US$1.4bn Secondary Selldown, Buyback Should Aid Deal Dynamics

By Clarence Chu

  • A group of shareholders are looking to raise around US$1.36bn from selling ~5% stake in Terumo Corp (4543 JP).
  • While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind narrative in Japan, the timing of such a selldown isn’t always certain.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Terumo (4543 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Terumo Corp (4543 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 73.2 million shares, worth JPY203 billion (US$1.4 billion) at the last close. 
  • The secondary offering facilitates the exit of large shareholders. Terumo also announced a buyback worth a maximum of JPY30 billion or 15 million shares.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 12 September (likely 10 September).

Timee IPO: Trading Update

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee began trading on 26th July and share price has surged 47% since its debut where the company priced the IPO at top of the indicative price range.
  • Though Timee Inc (215A JP) is in early stages, the company has proven that its business model is successful and continue to dominate a market that is underpenetrated.
  • Though we think there is further upside, if you have already bought shares at the IPO, we would suggest taking profits and wait for a dip to make a re-entry.

After the TSE “Engagement,” It Is the Company Itself to Devise and Execute a Management Strategy

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since there was no difference in IR Disclosures between companies that increased valuations over past year and those that didn’t, it’s clear that improvement IR Disclosures alone won’t raise valuations.
  • Since many companies with large market capitalizations have high foreign ownership, overseas investor engagement has had a positive impact on their high return on capital.
  • TSE’s support for companies with small market capitalizations is a type of engagement that encourages companies whose engagement doesn’t reach them to think about their management strategies.

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Most Read: Toyota Motor, Terumo Corp, Pro Medicus Ltd, LG Chem Ltd, Sino American Silicon Products, Hyundai Rotem Company, Doosan Robotics , Arvida and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyota Partial Offer Results – What Next?
  • Terumo (4543 JP) Secondary Offering – Smaller Than It Looks
  • MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: One Add & A Few Deletes
  • Terumo Placement – US$1.4bn Secondary Selldown, Buyback Should Aid Deal Dynamics
  • Terumo (4543 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering
  • LG Corp Plans to Purchase 200 Billlion Won of LG Electronics and 300 Billion Won of LG Chem
  • Sino-American Silicon Early Look – Another Well Flagged GDR Offering in the Works
  • Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard
  • Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward
  • Arvida (ARV NZ): 25th Sept Vote On Stonepeak’s Offer


Toyota Partial Offer Results – What Next?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) reported the results of their ¥800bn Tender Offer Buyback, originally intended to repurchase 290.12mm shares from cross-holders. 
  • In the end, 343.83mm shares were tendered (53.71mm shares more than originally expected, worth about ¥150bn at Tender Price). That creates back-end “issues” which must be considered.
  • The resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, I expect sees positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.

Terumo (4543 JP) Secondary Offering – Smaller Than It Looks

By Travis Lundy

  • On Thursday 29 August, Terumo Corp (4543 JP) announced a secondary offering where 7 major cross-holders would sell just under 5% of the shares outstanding to international investors. 
  • In recent quarters, Terumo has seen better consensus EPS growth than Peers in recent quarters, and Peers have underperformed. Right now, Terumo isn’t ‘cheap’ but consensus growth is strong.
  • This back-end demand in this case has enough moving parts that it bears a closer look. 

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: One Add & A Few Deletes

By Brian Freitas

  • With 2 days left to review cutoff, there could be 1 inclusion and 3 deletions for the index at the September rebalance.
  • Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.4% and a round-trip trade of A$212m.
  • The final list of inclusions/exclusions will depend on price movements till Friday and whether the index provider makes any significant changes to the free float of stocks in the universe.

Terumo Placement – US$1.4bn Secondary Selldown, Buyback Should Aid Deal Dynamics

By Clarence Chu

  • A group of shareholders are looking to raise around US$1.36bn from selling ~5% stake in Terumo Corp (4543 JP).
  • While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind narrative in Japan, the timing of such a selldown isn’t always certain.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Terumo (4543 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Terumo Corp (4543 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 73.2 million shares, worth JPY203 billion (US$1.4 billion) at the last close. 
  • The secondary offering facilitates the exit of large shareholders. Terumo also announced a buyback worth a maximum of JPY30 billion or 15 million shares.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 12 September (likely 10 September).

LG Corp Plans to Purchase 200 Billlion Won of LG Electronics and 300 Billion Won of LG Chem

By Douglas Kim

  • On 29 August, LG Corp announced that it plans to purchase about 200 billion won worth of LG Electronics and about 300 billion won worth of LG Chem.
  • After these share purchases, LG Corp’s stake in LG Electronics will increase from 30.47% to 31.59%, and its stake in LG Chem will increase from 30.06% to 31.29%.
  • LG Corp plans to purchases these shares starting 1 November 2024. The share purchases will be conducted in two stages and will be completed by 31 March 2025. 

Sino-American Silicon Early Look – Another Well Flagged GDR Offering in the Works

By Clarence Chu

  • Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT) is looking to raise at least US$338m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
  • In late Feb 2024, Sino-American Silicon (SAS) announced its board’s resolution to issue up to 55m common shares via a GDR offering.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.

Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hyundai Rotem is right on the edge for Small Cap→Standard, so it is the only one having a real chance of being included in the November review.
  • Doosan Robotics’ float rate will rise to 40% after issuing 20,219,376 new shares, making it a top candidate for inclusion among Outside IMI and comfortably surpassing the cutoff.
  • With high trading volume volatility, it’s early to predict passive impact. Watch for momentum buildup like LS Electric and monitor the trading volume of Hyundai Rotem and Robotics closely.

Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward

By Sanghyun Park

  • Maekyung reported that Doosan Robotics and Bobcat will cancel their merger, but the merger between Robotics and Enerbility’s spun-off company will proceed.
  • The merger’s risks have been overblown in Robotics’ stock, which might rebound. Bobcat’s stock outlook is uncertain, with fading merger hopes potentially hurting short-term sentiment.
  • The Robotics-Enerbility merger might also be canceled under regulatory pressure, but this could hurt Enerbility’s stock due to debt concerns; forcing the merger may increase costs.

Arvida (ARV NZ): 25th Sept Vote On Stonepeak’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 22 July, Arvida (ARV NZ), a leading retirement living and aged care provider, announced a Scheme from Stonepeak at NZ$1.70/share, in cash, a 65% premium to undisturbed.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting to be held on the 25th September. Expected implementation on the 13th November.
  • The Scheme Consideration of NZ$1.70/share is within the Independent Adviser’s valuation range at NZ$1.63 to NZ$1.94/share. Arvida’s directors unanimously recommend shareholders to vote in favour of the Scheme.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Hyundai Rotem Company, Doosan Robotics , Timee Inc, Shenzhen International, S.F. Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard
  • Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward
  • Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat
  • Timee IPO: Trading Update
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Topping Positive Profit Alert Range
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Volume Growth Eased | Price Declines Moderating (August 2024)


Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hyundai Rotem is right on the edge for Small Cap→Standard, so it is the only one having a real chance of being included in the November review.
  • Doosan Robotics’ float rate will rise to 40% after issuing 20,219,376 new shares, making it a top candidate for inclusion among Outside IMI and comfortably surpassing the cutoff.
  • With high trading volume volatility, it’s early to predict passive impact. Watch for momentum buildup like LS Electric and monitor the trading volume of Hyundai Rotem and Robotics closely.

Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward

By Sanghyun Park

  • Maekyung reported that Doosan Robotics and Bobcat will cancel their merger, but the merger between Robotics and Enerbility’s spun-off company will proceed.
  • The merger’s risks have been overblown in Robotics’ stock, which might rebound. Bobcat’s stock outlook is uncertain, with fading merger hopes potentially hurting short-term sentiment.
  • The Robotics-Enerbility merger might also be canceled under regulatory pressure, but this could hurt Enerbility’s stock due to debt concerns; forcing the merger may increase costs.

Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat

By Douglas Kim

  • On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
  • However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.
  • Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.  

Timee IPO: Trading Update

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee began trading on 26th July and share price has surged 47% since its debut where the company priced the IPO at top of the indicative price range.
  • Though Timee Inc (215A JP) is in early stages, the company has proven that its business model is successful and continue to dominate a market that is underpenetrated.
  • Though we think there is further upside, if you have already bought shares at the IPO, we would suggest taking profits and wait for a dip to make a re-entry.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Topping Positive Profit Alert Range

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Shenzhen International (152 HK) reported 1H24 net profit of HK$653m. While toll road and other segments are under pressure, the logistics segment has benefited from REIT issuance.
  • In 2H24, it may book profit from the initial land appreciation gain from the South China Logistics Park transformation and profit from the 50%-owned Yicheng Zhenwanyue.
  • SZI seeks to realise the value of its assets. At 0.4x P/B or 1SD below the 5-year average, the stock, with a 7.5% yield, is deeply undervalued. 

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | July Volume Growth Eased | Price Declines Moderating (August 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Chinese parcel volume growth slowed in July (+22%) vs firmer pace in Q2 (+32%)
  • At company level, there are signs the steep price declines from H1 are moderating
  • If worst of price declines is in rearview mirror, beat down names are worth a look

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