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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: Shift Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Shift: Is It a Good Time to Buy?
  • Patience Is Often Needed for Small- And Mid-Cap Company Engagements


Shift: Is It a Good Time to Buy?

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Shift Inc (3697 JP) s share price has been down 65% YTD as the company’s aggressive investment on HR and system reinforcement led to fall in margins which concerned the market.
  • However, the company has adopted several measures to improve its margins, and we expect the investment in HR and others to generate results going forward.
  • Though share price has moved up slightly, valuation multiples are at a steep discount, and we would look for building a position.

Patience Is Often Needed for Small- And Mid-Cap Company Engagements

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The speed of management reform in Japanese companies is usually slower than investors and shareholders expect. In case of small- to mid-cap stocks, the speed is much slower.
  • In small-to-mid-cap stocks, foreign ownerships are often lower than the average for listed companies, and older companies are often protected by cross-shareholdings. Therefore, engagement should be prepared for sluggish response.
  • The way to resolve this situation is for the company to break the silent shareholder structure or increase shareholders who can exercise their voting rights based on rational decisions.

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Daily Brief China: Xiaomi Corp, AAC Technologies Holdings, Hang Seng Index, Kuaishou Technology and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • [Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive
  • Morning Views Asia: AAC Technologies Holdings, GMR Hyderabad International Airport
  • EQD | HSI May Pull Back, Levels to BUY For Rally Continuation In September
  • [Kuaishou (1024 HK ,BUY, TP HK$75) TP Change]: Temporary Setback from Weak Macro…Reiterate BUY


[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive

By Eric Wen

  • Xiaomi reported CY2Q24 revenue, non-IFRS EBIT and non-IFRS net income 5.6%, 32.2%, and 40.0% vs. consensus. 
  • Despite the limited scale and numerous incentives offered at launch, Xiaomi reported an EV gross margin of 15.4%. Greater scale and reduced incentives provide further margin upside in C2H24;
  • Xiaomi’s smartphone and IoT market share gain have accelerated amid the halo-effect stemming from the SU7. We reiterate our BUY rating, and raise  TP to HK$27.0, implying 28.3x CY25 P/E.

Morning Views Asia: AAC Technologies Holdings, GMR Hyderabad International Airport

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


EQD | HSI May Pull Back, Levels to BUY For Rally Continuation In September

By Nico Rosti

  • We have correctly forecasted a August rally for the Hang Seng Index in previous insights, here and then here – the rally is on, but a pullback is coming.
  • The pullback may come in this week or the next, but it’s probably behind the corner, the index can continue higher after the pullback.
  • In this insight we want to expose what are the levels to buy LONG to benefit from a highly probable continuation of the rally in September.

[Kuaishou (1024 HK ,BUY, TP HK$75) TP Change]: Temporary Setback from Weak Macro…Reiterate BUY

By Ying Pan

  • Kuaishou reported C2Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit, and IFRS net income in-line, in-line, and 5.7% vs.  our estimates; and in-line, 9.0% and 14% vs. the consensus. 
  • The bright spot was strong growth in its advertising and stabilization in the regulation-affected live streaming. Our BUY case of AI empowering mid-sized traffic platforms is intact;
  • We cut TP to HK$75 to reflect the sustained damage of weak consumption. The stock is trading at only 8.5x PE for 2025.

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Most Read: Alibaba Group Holding , Seven & I Holdings, China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hanwha Galleria , Hanwha Corporation, Innovent Biologics Inc, Hanwha Aerospace, Grifols SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (9988 HK/BABA) Dual Primary Listing: Are We There Yet?
  • Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing & Potential Southbound Flows
  • Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I (3382) – FEFTA and Economic Security
  • TCM (570 HK): Profit Warning Is No Biggie
  • A Tender Offer to Purchase a 17.5% Stake in Hanwha Galleria by Kim Dong-Sun
  • StubWorld: More Partial Offers In The Hanwha Group Complex
  • Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) Adds to Its Oncology Portfolio
  • Both Hanwha Aerospace Spinoffs Remain in KOSPI 200: Trading Value Gap Between Trading Suspension
  • Examining the Severity of Proration Risk in the Hanwha Galleria Tender Offer
  • Brookfield/Grifols: Update & Recap, Spread, Discount


Alibaba (9988 HK/BABA) Dual Primary Listing: Are We There Yet?

By Brian Freitas

  • In its last update, Alibaba Group announced that the company was preparing for its primary listing in Hong Kong and the process was expected to complete by the end August.
  • The Board meets on 14 August to approve results for the three months ending June. Could there be an announcement on the dual primary listing too?
  • Mainland Chinese own between 3.5%-15.5% of companies that converted from Secondary to Dual-Primary in the last few years. Similar buying in Alibaba could take the stock higher from here. 

Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing & Potential Southbound Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • Along with its fiscal 2024 results, Alibaba (9988 HK) announced that they were preparing for their primary listing in Hong Kong and the conversion was expected to complete by August.
  • If the conversion is completed by the end of August, Alibaba (9988 HK) could be added to Southbound Stock Connect in September and that could bring in significant flows.
  • We do not forecast any passive inflows due to the change with Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) capped at 8% of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices.

Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I (3382) – FEFTA and Economic Security

By Travis Lundy

  • The largest potential inbound cross-border M&A in years – for a national champion no less – gets a lot of press coverage. 
  • This morning, a Nikkei article noted Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) was likely to need “prior approval” from Japanese regulatory authorities for its takeover “the Nikkei has learned.”
  • It wasn’t difficult for the Nikkei to learn that. METI publishes a FEFTA List. 7&i has been on it for years as Type II Designated Business, requiring prior approval.

TCM (570 HK): Profit Warning Is No Biggie

By David Blennerhassett

  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) flagged a 60-70% drop in its 1H24E net profit versus 1H23, due to reduced sales/profit of TCM concentrate, bad debt provisions, and remedial taxes. 
  • MAC triggers? No – Sinopharm won’t exercise such right, even if one was ostensibly triggered. I’d be surprised if Sinopharm wasn’t fully aware of TCM’s underlying operations. 
  • Get involved on any dips today. Trading wide at a 11.7%/38.7% gross/annualised spread, assuming Dec-end payment.

A Tender Offer to Purchase a 17.5% Stake in Hanwha Galleria by Kim Dong-Sun

By Douglas Kim

  • It was announced that a tender offer to purchase a 17.54% stake in Hanwha Galleria has been launched by Kim Dong-Sun (Vice President at Hanwha Galleria).
  • Tender offer price is 1,600 won per share, which is 22.8% higher than the closing price on 22 August. Tender offer amount is 54.4 billion won. 
  • On 23 August, Hanwha Galleria’s share price is likely to rise close to the tender offer price as many investors believe the tender offer is likely to be successful. 

StubWorld: More Partial Offers In The Hanwha Group Complex

By David Blennerhassett

  • After the Kim family-backed Hanwha Energy completed Hanwha Corporation‘s Partial Offer last month, Hanwha Galleria (452260 KS)‘s VP Kim Dong-seon has now launched a Partial Offer for 17.5% in Galleria. 
  • Preceding my comments on Hanwha are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) Adds to Its Oncology Portfolio

By Avien Pillay

  • Dupert, a drug for the special treatment of non-small cell cancer has been approved by the NMPA.
  • In 2022, China recorded the highest number of new cancer cases, and their exceptional high incidence of smoking is of particular concern.
  • Innovent’s portfolio of nine oncology drugs is very attractive in the biggest cancer market.

Both Hanwha Aerospace Spinoffs Remain in KOSPI 200: Trading Value Gap Between Trading Suspension

By Sanghyun Park

  • KRX announced that both Hanwha Aerospace and the new Hanwha Industrial Solutions will be added to the KOSPI 200.
  • Since 2020, two K200 spinoffs had both companies remain: DL Holdings and DL E&C in January 2021, and SK Telecom and SK Square in November 2021, with notable value increases.
  • This trade isn’t risk-free and requires a sophisticated hedge setup, but the trading opportunities from this flow situation are worth close attention.

Examining the Severity of Proration Risk in the Hanwha Galleria Tender Offer

By Sanghyun Park

  • The Hanwha Galleria tender offer has no cancellation risk but carries proration risk, keeping the spread at around 7%.
  • For Hanwha Galleria, most floating shares are held by retail investors, and the smaller float size compared to Hansol Logistics further reduces proration risk.
  • Even though the actual trading volume might be a concern, it’s still worth thinking about going for an aggressive strategy to take advantage of the spread, which is around 7%.

Brookfield/Grifols: Update & Recap, Spread, Discount

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Bloomberg reported that Brookfield (BN CN) is seeking bank backing for up to €9.5 billion in debt to facilitate a potential take-private acquisition of Grifols SA (GRF SM).
  • Considering a €10.18/share possible offer price (institutionals are seeking €12), the A shares are trading at a 7.3% gross spread and are pricing a 62.5% possibility of deal completion.
  • The preferreds trading at 17.5% discount vs ordinary shares should be favored in case of takeover, with Long B shares/short A shares my preferred way to get involved.

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Daily Brief Industrials: INOX India Limited, Forward Air, Intuitive Machines , Old Dominion Freight Line and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Inox India Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Forward Air Corporation Under Activist Investor Pressure To Explore A Sale! Can It Get Acquired & At What Price?
  • Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Is Buzzing On Reddit Again After Recent Earnings! What Lies Ahead For The Company? – Major Drivers
  • Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: A Story Of Expanding Capacity and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers


Inox India Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • INOX India Limited (INOX IN) or IIL is into design, engineering and manufacturing of cryogenic tanks and equipment. These are used in industrial gases, LNG, green hydrogen, metallurgy industries, etc
  • The company came up with its IPO in December 2023 and has posted a decent growth in the last few years.
  • One should however remain cautious about WC trend, receivables provisioning, RPT with promoters, etc.

Forward Air Corporation Under Activist Investor Pressure To Explore A Sale! Can It Get Acquired & At What Price?

By Baptista Research

  • Forward Air, a prominent player in the freight forwarding industry, finds itself at a critical juncture, facing increasing pressure from activist investors to explore strategic alternatives, including a potential sale.
  • The company has been navigating turbulent waters following its controversial $3.2 billion acquisition of Omni Logistics, which has drawn criticism from shareholders and led to significant financial strain.
  • With key investors like Ancora Holdings, which owns a 4% stake, pushing for a strategic review, Forward Air’s future seems uncertain.

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Is Buzzing On Reddit Again After Recent Earnings! What Lies Ahead For The Company? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Machines has recently become one of the hottest stocks on Reddit, driven by its impressive earnings report and ambitious plans in the space industry.
  • The company, known for its pioneering work in space commercialization, has seen a surge in interest as it continues to make significant strides in lunar exploration and data transmission services.
  • With a strong balance sheet, no debt, and a growing backlog of contracts, Intuitive Machines presents a compelling investment case.

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: A Story Of Expanding Capacity and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Old Dominion Freight Line reported resilient financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, marked by consistent revenue growth and operational enhancements despite a stagnant domestic economy.
  • The quarter’s results exemplify the company’s ability to navigate economic headwinds while focusing on long-term strategic goals, which have been anchored by a steadfast commitment to superior service quality and prudent management practices.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief Industrials: INOX India Limited, Forward Air, Intuitive Machines , Old Dominion Freight Line and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Inox India Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • Forward Air Corporation Under Activist Investor Pressure To Explore A Sale! Can It Get Acquired & At What Price?
  • Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Is Buzzing On Reddit Again After Recent Earnings! What Lies Ahead For The Company? – Major Drivers
  • Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: A Story Of Expanding Capacity and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers


Inox India Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • INOX India Limited (INOX IN) or IIL is into design, engineering and manufacturing of cryogenic tanks and equipment. These are used in industrial gases, LNG, green hydrogen, metallurgy industries, etc
  • The company came up with its IPO in December 2023 and has posted a decent growth in the last few years.
  • One should however remain cautious about WC trend, receivables provisioning, RPT with promoters, etc.

Forward Air Corporation Under Activist Investor Pressure To Explore A Sale! Can It Get Acquired & At What Price?

By Baptista Research

  • Forward Air, a prominent player in the freight forwarding industry, finds itself at a critical juncture, facing increasing pressure from activist investors to explore strategic alternatives, including a potential sale.
  • The company has been navigating turbulent waters following its controversial $3.2 billion acquisition of Omni Logistics, which has drawn criticism from shareholders and led to significant financial strain.
  • With key investors like Ancora Holdings, which owns a 4% stake, pushing for a strategic review, Forward Air’s future seems uncertain.

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Is Buzzing On Reddit Again After Recent Earnings! What Lies Ahead For The Company? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Machines has recently become one of the hottest stocks on Reddit, driven by its impressive earnings report and ambitious plans in the space industry.
  • The company, known for its pioneering work in space commercialization, has seen a surge in interest as it continues to make significant strides in lunar exploration and data transmission services.
  • With a strong balance sheet, no debt, and a growing backlog of contracts, Intuitive Machines presents a compelling investment case.

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: A Story Of Expanding Capacity and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Old Dominion Freight Line reported resilient financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, marked by consistent revenue growth and operational enhancements despite a stagnant domestic economy.
  • The quarter’s results exemplify the company’s ability to navigate economic headwinds while focusing on long-term strategic goals, which have been anchored by a steadfast commitment to superior service quality and prudent management practices.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Hanwha Corporation, Whitehaven Coal, Packaging Corporation of America, Schlumberger Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: More Partial Offers In The Hanwha Group Complex
  • Whitehaven Nail the Landing, Patriot look to the Future
  • Packaging Corporation of America: These Are The 5 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts
  • Schlumberger Limited: Shift Toward Natural Gas & Offshore Performance Driving Growth! – Major Drivers


StubWorld: More Partial Offers In The Hanwha Group Complex

By David Blennerhassett

  • After the Kim family-backed Hanwha Energy completed Hanwha Corporation‘s Partial Offer last month, Hanwha Galleria (452260 KS)‘s VP Kim Dong-seon has now launched a Partial Offer for 17.5% in Galleria. 
  • Preceding my comments on Hanwha are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Whitehaven Nail the Landing, Patriot look to the Future

By Money of Mine

  • Blackwater sell down to Nippon and Jfezenhe Steel for US 1.08 billion upfront
  • Deal includes selling 30% of Blackwater, reducing net debt by 150 million and potential future contingent payments
  • Transaction costs and transition costs higher than expected, but deal significantly impacts balance sheet and future cash flow

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Packaging Corporation of America: These Are The 5 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Packaging Corporation of America (PCA) reported second-quarter 2024 financial results with both strengths and challenges.
  • The company announced a net income of $199 million, resulting in $2.21 earnings per share (EPS).
  • Excluding special items, the EPS stood at $2.20, showing a slight decrease compared to the same quarter of the previous year at $2.31.

Schlumberger Limited: Shift Toward Natural Gas & Offshore Performance Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the second quarter of 2024, Schlumberger showcased a strong ability to capitalize on the ongoing growth cycle while driving efficiency throughout its operations.
  • The company reported a 5% increase in revenue compared to the first quarter.
  • Schlumberger’s adjusted EBITDA grew 11%, and its adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 142 basis points.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Boston Scientific, Edwards Lifesciences, Align Technology, SIGA Technologies, Azitra, American Shared Hospital Servi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Boston Scientific Corporation’s Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Expansion: A Double-Edged Sword?
  • Edwards Lifesciences Corporation: Strategic Acquisitions & Expansion into Heart Failure Management As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • AMS: Benefits of Rhode Island, New International JV, Expected ‘Asset-Light’ Model
  • Align Technology Inc.: A Tale Of Expanding Global Market Penetration! – Major Drivers
  • SIGA Technologies – TPOXX chalks up another DoD contract win
  • AZTR: First ATR-12 Patient Screened
  • AMS: Benefits of Rhode Island, New International JV, Expected ‘Asset-Light’ Model


Boston Scientific Corporation’s Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Expansion: A Double-Edged Sword?

By Baptista Research

  • Boston Scientific Corporation recently reported its second-quarter results, surpassing expectations with a strong performance driven by its cardiovascular portfolio and robust execution across multiple regions.
  • The company saw a remarkable 16% growth in operational sales, with organic sales climbing 15%, well above its projected range.
  • This growth was bolstered by innovation, clinical evidence, and strategic leadership in various categories.

Edwards Lifesciences Corporation: Strategic Acquisitions & Expansion into Heart Failure Management As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In reviewing the latest results from Edwards Lifesciences, notable elements of growth and development paired with challenges shed light on the company’s financial and operational trajectory during the second quarter of 2024.
  • With total company sales reaching $1.6 billion, this marked an 8% increase on a constant currency basis compared to the same period last year.
  • While Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) growth was not as robust as expected, increasing by 6% globally, the Transcatheter Mitral and Tricuspid Therapies (TMTT) segment demonstrated impressive growth, with a 75% increase in sales.

AMS: Benefits of Rhode Island, New International JV, Expected ‘Asset-Light’ Model

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • AMS’s Versa HD Linac in Mexico began patient treatments this month, representing a new revenue stream set to begin in 2H24.
  • AMS also recently signed a JV for a Gamma Knife facility in Guadalajara, Mexico, marking its 4th international O&O location.
  • AMS will upgrade an existing Gamma Knife Perfexion system there to an Esprit & also extended another lease agreement with a planned Esprit upgrade.

Align Technology Inc.: A Tale Of Expanding Global Market Penetration! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Align Technology, renowned for its Invisalign clear aligners and iTero intraoral scanners, produced mixed outcomes in the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company reported revenues of $1,028.5 million, marking a 3.1% increase sequentially and a 2.6% increase year-over-year.
  • While revenue growth substantiates the company’s ability to expand amidst economic fluctuations, the impact of unfavorable foreign exchange shaved off significant potential gains, particularly with a $18.1 million or 1.7% year-over-year reduction.

SIGA Technologies – TPOXX chalks up another DoD contract win

By Edison Investment Research

SIGA Technologies announced another contract win with the US Department of Defense (DoD), which is for the procurement of c $9m in TPOXX. This is the third DoD contract win in roughly three years for a total of approximately $28m and adds to the already robust H224 orderbook of c $154m of outstanding TPOXX orders, following the July 2024 $112.5m option exercise from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) for oral TPOXX. While delivery timeline details are yet to be disclosed, we expect this new DoD order to at least start being partially serviced in FY25. The DoD has also provided $27m in R&D support to the post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) development effort, for which the regulatory filing is planned within the next 12 months.


AZTR: First ATR-12 Patient Screened

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Azitra is developing genetically engineered bacteria for therapeutic use in dermatology.
  • The company possesses a microbial library of 1,500 unique bacterial strains that are candidates for a variety of indications.
  • Azitra’s lead candidate is ATR-12 for the rare disease Netherton Syndrome (NS).

AMS: Benefits of Rhode Island, New International JV, Expected ‘Asset-Light’ Model

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • AMS’s Versa HD Linac in Mexico began patient treatments this month, representing a new revenue stream set to begin in 2H24.
  • AMS also recently signed a JV for a Gamma Knife facility in Guadalajara, Mexico, marking its 4th international O&O location.
  • AMS will upgrade an existing Gamma Knife Perfexion system there to an Esprit & also extended another lease agreement with a planned Esprit upgrade.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shift Inc, Microsoft Corp, Singtex Industrial, Xiaomi Corp, AAC Technologies Holdings, Xperi, CyberArk Software Ltd, KLA-Tencor Corp, Kuaishou Technology, CMES AI Robotics and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shift: Is It a Good Time to Buy?
  • Microsoft’s Billion Dollar Bets on OpenAI & G42; Azure to Benefit from Industry Growth
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Aug-2024): Singtex’s new plant boosts revenue with eco-dye.
  • [Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive
  • Morning Views Asia: AAC Technologies Holdings, GMR Hyderabad International Airport
  • XPER: Cash and Cost Savings
  • CyberArk Software Ltd.: Expanding Identity Security Market Presence & Other Major Drivers
  • KLA Corporation: Will The Management’s Continued Focus on High-NA Lithography Yield Results? – Major Drivers
  • [Kuaishou (1024 HK ,BUY, TP HK$75) TP Change]: Temporary Setback from Weak Macro…Reiterate BUY
  • CMES AI Robotics IPO Preview


Shift: Is It a Good Time to Buy?

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Shift Inc (3697 JP) s share price has been down 65% YTD as the company’s aggressive investment on HR and system reinforcement led to fall in margins which concerned the market.
  • However, the company has adopted several measures to improve its margins, and we expect the investment in HR and others to generate results going forward.
  • Though share price has moved up slightly, valuation multiples are at a steep discount, and we would look for building a position.

Microsoft’s Billion Dollar Bets on OpenAI & G42; Azure to Benefit from Industry Growth

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Diverse AI Portfolio: Microsoft’s diversified AI investments, including partnerships with G42 and Mistral AI, reduce reliance on OpenAI and ensure continued innovation across multiple AI ventures.
  • Azure’s Competitive Edge: The partnership with OpenAI strengthens Azure’s position by offering exclusive AI-driven cloud services, boosting demand from enterprises seeking advanced automation and productivity tools.
  • Industry Leadership: As AI investment intensifies across the tech sector, Microsoft’s significant spending outpaces peers, positioning the company as a frontrunner while highlighting competitive pressures in the growing AI landscape.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Aug-2024): Singtex’s new plant boosts revenue with eco-dye.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Singtex’s sustainable dyeing plant aims to boost profits by enhancing eco-friendly practices in textile industry
  • Tata Motors partners with Delta Electronics and Thunderplus Solutions to set up fast charging stations in India
  • Epson dominates robotic arm market with three key strategies, solidifying their leadership position in the industry

[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive

By Eric Wen

  • Xiaomi reported CY2Q24 revenue, non-IFRS EBIT and non-IFRS net income 5.6%, 32.2%, and 40.0% vs. consensus. 
  • Despite the limited scale and numerous incentives offered at launch, Xiaomi reported an EV gross margin of 15.4%. Greater scale and reduced incentives provide further margin upside in C2H24;
  • Xiaomi’s smartphone and IoT market share gain have accelerated amid the halo-effect stemming from the SU7. We reiterate our BUY rating, and raise  TP to HK$27.0, implying 28.3x CY25 P/E.

Morning Views Asia: AAC Technologies Holdings, GMR Hyderabad International Airport

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


XPER: Cash and Cost Savings

By Hamed Khorsand

  • XPER selling Perceive is of greater benefit than the proceeds XPER would immediately receive. 
  • The sale of Perceive to AMZN gives clarity as to the value of the technology XPER has been incubating for many years. 
  • We estimate XPER recognizes approximately $3.5 million to $4 million in quarterly operating losses from Perceive. The cost savings would be material to XPER’s non-GAAP net income.

CyberArk Software Ltd.: Expanding Identity Security Market Presence & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CyberArk Software demonstrated strong financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, exceeding expectations with significant growth in revenue, operating income, and earnings per share.
  • This performance solidifies CyberArk Software’s leadership in the identity security space.
  • The company’s planned acquisition of Venafi, a leading provider of machine identity management solutions, is expected to further strengthen its capabilities and competitive position.

KLA Corporation: Will The Management’s Continued Focus on High-NA Lithography Yield Results? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • KLA Corporation reported its financial results for the June quarter of 2024, reflecting growth and improvement across several key metrics.
  • Key highlights from the report include revenue, gross margin, and EPS exceeding their respective guidance midpoints.
  • Revenue growth was witnessed both sequentially and year-over-year, indicating a robust market environment that benefits from advanced technology adoption and escalating complexity in semiconductor processes.

[Kuaishou (1024 HK ,BUY, TP HK$75) TP Change]: Temporary Setback from Weak Macro…Reiterate BUY

By Ying Pan

  • Kuaishou reported C2Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit, and IFRS net income in-line, in-line, and 5.7% vs.  our estimates; and in-line, 9.0% and 14% vs. the consensus. 
  • The bright spot was strong growth in its advertising and stabilization in the regulation-affected live streaming. Our BUY case of AI empowering mid-sized traffic platforms is intact;
  • We cut TP to HK$75 to reflect the sustained damage of weak consumption. The stock is trading at only 8.5x PE for 2025.

CMES AI Robotics IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • CMES AI Robotics is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in October. The expected IPO price is 20,000 won to 24,000 won. 
  • CMES provides intelligent robot solutions that combine artificial intelligence (AI) and three-dimensional (3D) vision technology. CMES’s core technologies include 3D vision sensors and image processing algorithms. 
  • Robotics related IPOs have generated enormous interest in Korea. Although CMES is a small cap name, this robotics related IPO is also likely to garner high interest as well. 

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Daily Brief Consumer: Hanwha Galleria , TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Clorox Company, Philip Morris International, Sadot Group , Vera Bradley and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Examining the Severity of Proration Risk in the Hanwha Galleria Tender Offer
  • Patience Is Often Needed for Small- And Mid-Cap Company Engagements
  • The Clorox Company: A Dive Into Its Market Positioning
  • Philip Morris International’s Smoke-Free Product Growth: IQOS and ZYN Leading the Charge! – Major Drivers
  • SDOT: Sadot Group reports 2nd quarter 2024 financial and operating results and updates investor community on the sale of its restaurant concepts.
  • VRA: Snapping the Store: New Day for the Outlets, Reiterate Buy, $10 PT


Examining the Severity of Proration Risk in the Hanwha Galleria Tender Offer

By Sanghyun Park

  • The Hanwha Galleria tender offer has no cancellation risk but carries proration risk, keeping the spread at around 7%.
  • For Hanwha Galleria, most floating shares are held by retail investors, and the smaller float size compared to Hansol Logistics further reduces proration risk.
  • Even though the actual trading volume might be a concern, it’s still worth thinking about going for an aggressive strategy to take advantage of the spread, which is around 7%.

Patience Is Often Needed for Small- And Mid-Cap Company Engagements

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The speed of management reform in Japanese companies is usually slower than investors and shareholders expect. In case of small- to mid-cap stocks, the speed is much slower.
  • In small-to-mid-cap stocks, foreign ownerships are often lower than the average for listed companies, and older companies are often protected by cross-shareholdings. Therefore, engagement should be prepared for sluggish response.
  • The way to resolve this situation is for the company to break the silent shareholder structure or increase shareholders who can exercise their voting rights based on rational decisions.

The Clorox Company: A Dive Into Its Market Positioning

By Baptista Research

  • The Clorox Company presented its fiscal year 2024 fourth-quarter earnings with a moderate sense of optimism and caution, reflecting a period of recovery and strategic realignment.
  • In a context of considerable operational challenges, including a notable cyberattack which the company has recovered from, Clorox has managed to end the fiscal year on a stable note, achieving flat organic sales year-over-year, marked by a robust recovery in subsequent quarters following an 18% decline in the first quarter due to the cyber incident.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Philip Morris International’s Smoke-Free Product Growth: IQOS and ZYN Leading the Charge! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Philip Morris International (PMI) continues to demonstrate strong performance, driven by its ongoing transformation towards a smoke-free future.
  • The company’s recent earnings report highlights its impressive growth, particularly in its smoke-free product segments like IQOS and ZYN, which are gaining significant traction globally.
  • However, PMI faces challenges such as regulatory headwinds, particularly in Europe, and supply chain constraints that could impact its growth trajectory.

SDOT: Sadot Group reports 2nd quarter 2024 financial and operating results and updates investor community on the sale of its restaurant concepts.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • In late 2022, the company began its evolution from a consumer-focused, U.S. restaurant business into a global, food-focused organization with two distinct business units.
  • The company’s largest operating unit is Sadot Agri-Foods, which is a vertically integrated international food supply chain company engaged in trading and shipping sustainable food and commodities such as soybeans, wheat and corn.
  • Sadot’s legacy restaurant business is currently in the process of being divested.

VRA: Snapping the Store: New Day for the Outlets, Reiterate Buy, $10 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after the company completed their New Day relaunch with changes to the outlet store channel yesterday.
  • With outlet locations representing approximately 65% of the company’s stores, the channel is a crucial piece of the company’s business model.
  • Unlike the complete makeover experienced by the company’s main line stores, we view the shifts at the Vera Bradley outlets, which include new signage, launch of faux leather lines, a collection of Disney offerings specifically made for the outlet channel and lesser dependence on apparel, as more evolutionary and, frankly, able to drive stronger results for the outlet channel almost immediately.

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Daily Brief Financials: Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Hang Seng Index, Ethereum, Coinshares International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ) -Stabilizing Before a Rebound
  • EQD | HSI May Pull Back, Levels to BUY For Rally Continuation In September
  • Crypto Moves #40 – Another ‘DeFi Summer’ Is On the Horizon
  • CoinShares International – Q224 results shaped by two one-time events


Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ) -Stabilizing Before a Rebound

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Rakyat Indonesia booked flat earnings in 1H2024 despite healthy loan and fee income growth, with a shift towards corporate loans, as it sought to address its problem microloans.
  • The bank front-loaded provisions in 1H2024 but recoveries have seen a steep improvement, with 2H2024 to see lower credit costs. Strong loan corporate loan growth is offsetting slower micro.
  • Bank Rakyat Indonesia remains a unique proxy for micro-lending in Indonesia, with a depositor base of 176m and the skillset to manage risk in this space. Valuations remain attractive. 

EQD | HSI May Pull Back, Levels to BUY For Rally Continuation In September

By Nico Rosti

  • We have correctly forecasted a August rally for the Hang Seng Index in previous insights, here and then here – the rally is on, but a pullback is coming.
  • The pullback may come in this week or the next, but it’s probably behind the corner, the index can continue higher after the pullback.
  • In this insight we want to expose what are the levels to buy LONG to benefit from a highly probable continuation of the rally in September.

Crypto Moves #40 – Another ‘DeFi Summer’ Is On the Horizon

By Mads Eberhardt

  • The summer of 2020 marked a pivotal moment for decentralized finance (DeFi), as it gained significant momentum, reflected by the surge in Total Value Locked (TVL) across DeFi protocols.
  • Chart 1: Total Value Locked (TVL) in 2019 and 2020While DeFi continued to grow through 2021, it was the rapid expansion during the summer of 2020 that left a lasting impression on the community, earning the period the moniker ‘DeFi Summer.’Chart 2: Total Value Locked (TVL), All TimeAlthough the actual season may be shifting towards winter, ‘DeFi Summer’ is making a comeback, but the Total Value Locked is still quite far from its 2021 peak.
  • However, it is likely only a matter of time before we surpass that all-time high – potentially as soon as the first half of 2025.

CoinShares International – Q224 results shaped by two one-time events

By Edison Investment Research

CoinShares International (CS) posted a strong adjusted EBITDA in Q224 of £26.6m (vs £11.4m in Q223), which included two one-off factors: the £21.8m full write-down of its holdings in FlowBank and a £28.8m impairment reversal, following the successful sale of CS’s FTX claim. Management highlighted that CS’s operations have not been disrupted in any way by the recent turmoil across financial markets (including the digital assets market). CS recently paid the first two instalments of its £9.3m dividend (£0.13 per share) from FY23 earnings, with the full-year payment now implying a c 2.6% dividend yield. Furthermore, it declared a special dividend of US$31.4m (c £24.3m), representing 86% of the consideration it received for the FTX claim, to be paid in October 2024.


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