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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Financials: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Atour Lifestyle Holdings, Aozora Bank Ltd, Judo Capital, Rakuten Bank, China Merchants China Direct Investments, Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited, Bitcoin Pro, Bakkt and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Finalized Short-Selling Rules Include Limiting 90-Day Short Position Extensions
  • Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well
  • Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes
  • ASX200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Judo Capital to Replace CSR; Positioning Appears Light
  • Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization
  • CMCDI (133 HK): AGM Outcome May Provide Another Leg-Up
  • AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers
  • ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs
  • Bakkt Holdings Weighing A Potential Sale But Can It Get Acquired? At What Value? – Financial Forecasts


Korea’s Finalized Short-Selling Rules Include Limiting 90-Day Short Position Extensions

By Sanghyun Park

  • The government will announce short selling improvements Thursday. A leaked detail includes limiting 90-day short position extensions.
  • Limiting the 90-day short position holding period may ease local investor concerns, but it could shrink the short selling market, potentially affecting overseas fund outflows.
  • Resuming short selling in early July may bring new flow patterns due to temporary distortions from mandatory repayment within 90 days and limitations on position extensions, increasing price impacts.

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$168m through a secondary selldown.
  • This will be the third selldown by Legend Capital in just over a year’s time. Hence, the deal is well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes

By Travis Lundy

  • In February, Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP) extended its writedowns and the shares fell sharply. By end-Feb, we found out Japanese activist Murakami-san had bought shares. 
  • I didn’t see the endgame. The pump worked, but he didn’t dump. Then Aozora got Daiwa to be a lead investor through a 3rd party share allotment, diluting Murakami-san.
  • Last week we got news the FSA had approved the Daiwa transaction. Yesterday, we got news the Murakami Group would sell its whole stake to Daiwa. 

ASX200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Judo Capital to Replace CSR; Positioning Appears Light

By Brian Freitas


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – The Bank in Current Form and the Promise of FinTech Reorganization

By Victor Galliano

  • Rakuten Bank, in its present form, is positioned to benefit from rising interest rates in Japan, with its low LDR, high cash balances, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio
  • The proposed FinTech reorganization of the group around the bank should drive further potential shareholder benefits; higher ROE, lower customer acquisition costs, increased active account penetration and lower operating costs
  • We believe that there will be effective governance checks and balances in place to ensure fair valuations of the FinTech segments pre-reorganization; we include our base valuations in this report

CMCDI (133 HK): AGM Outcome May Provide Another Leg-Up

By David Blennerhassett

  • Activist Argyle Street’s approach to closed-end investment company China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) (CMCDI) has a certain David Webb-like quality.
  • Apart from the deep value angle, the analysis of director Elizabeth Kan’s potential conflict of interest is particularly insightful. Argle will vote against Kan’s re-election at the 20th June AGM
  • Given this upcoming vote, as I’ve done with Giordano (709 HK) and L’Occitane (973 HK) previously, it’s useful to investigate the lesser-known shareholder register, a byproduct of investigative disclosure reports.

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.
  • The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.
  • Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.

ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs

By Delphi Digital

  • BTC Spot ETFs see record inflows, signaling strong market interest despite flat prices.
  • Market structure remains bullish as BTC consolidates near all-time highs, indicating potential breakout.
  • Altcoins suffer double-digit drawdowns amid BTC’s resilience, highlighting market dispersion.

Bakkt Holdings Weighing A Potential Sale But Can It Get Acquired? At What Value? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Bakkt Holdings, a crypto platform company, has recently reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, showcasing various strengths and facing some challenges as it explores potential sale opportunities.
  • The CEO emphasized the focus on growing the client network, enhancing the product portfolio, and aligning costs with strategic priorities.
  • The CFO outlined financial details, stressing cost management and asset growth.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit New Highs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit New Highs
  • Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch
  • Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development
  • #11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order
  • NVIDIA’s $3T Valuation: Absurd Or Not?
  • #15Business Buzz: Noble Acquires Diamond Offshore, Southwest Stock Jumps, Europe Attracts Chinese EV
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – June 10, 2024
  • The Highlights – Cannabis News for the Week Ending June 7, 2024


Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit New Highs

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nvidia’s 0.8% rise, following its 10-for-1 stock split, and Meta Platforms’ nearly 2% jump propelled the S&P 500’s tech sector up by 0.3%
  • At WWDC24, Apple unveiled major updates, including “Apple Intelligence” AI features across its devices, and integration of OpenAI’s ChatGPT with Siri.
  • Hitachi Energy plans an additional $4.5 billion investment by 2027 to enhance its global manufacturing, R&D, and digital capabilities, doubling its recent three-year investments

Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch

By William Keating

  • Intel, AMD & Qualcomm all lined up in support of Microsoft’s CoPilot+ PC program during the Computex 2024 keynotes last week.  
  • While Qualcomm is all in and AMD mostly too, Intel’s support is more passive agressive in nature. We outline how & why this is the case
  • On Friday June 7, reacting to customer feedback, Microsoft announced that their CoPilot+ Recall feature will now become disabled out of the box by default. Ouch!

Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Overall, the surge in CAPEX in India reflects a positive outlook for the economy, with investments in infrastructure and emerging sectors driving growth and innovation.  come.
  • The strong balance sheet of companies and healthy tax collections further support this trend, indicating a sustainable path towards economic development. 
  • As CAPEX continues to rise and investments in key sectors increase, India is poised for continued growth and prosperity in the years to

#11 India Insight: GAIL 60000Cr Project, Paytm Layoff, Suzlon CG Issues, Axiscades Drone Order

By Sudarshan Bhandari


NVIDIA’s $3T Valuation: Absurd Or Not?

By Value Investing

  • Much ado has been made about Nvidia’s valuation recently surpassing Apple’s, standing at a gobsmacking $3 trillion.
  • For context, it would take you nearly 100,000 years to count to 1 trillion.
  • But where there’s sky there’s limit, and NVDA is no exception. So the question begs: has NVDA’s valuation flown too close to the sun?

#15Business Buzz: Noble Acquires Diamond Offshore, Southwest Stock Jumps, Europe Attracts Chinese EV

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Noble expands fleet and operations, acquiring Diamond Offshore in major merger
  • Southwest shares soar as Elliott Investment plans $2 billion recovery strategy
  • Europe attracts Chinese EV makers with incentives despite looming EU tariffs

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – June 10, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • A rough week for smaller-cap stocks without AI exposure.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.9%), Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-1.4%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-1.3%) underperformed the Dow (+1.2%), S&P 500 (+1.2%), and Mass Retailers Index (+1.9%), all of which benefited from the growing AI hype this week.
  • This performance seems to be partly due to the overall weakness of small caps, with the Russell 2000 clocking in (-1.7%).

The Highlights – Cannabis News for the Week Ending June 7, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • It was a lackluster week for cannabis stocks, with the US cannabis MSOS ETF sliding 3.87%, while the global YOLO dropped 4.27%.
  • Green Thumb Industries (CSE: GTII, OTCQX: GTBIF) was the only major MSO in the black, as investors were modestly encouraged by the Boston Beer Company (NASDAQ: SAM) conversation.
  • Last Tuesday, we learned Green Thumb Founder, Chairman, and CEO Ben Kovler sent a letter to Boston Beer’s Founder and Chairman James Koch proposing a merger between the two companies. 

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings


Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable
  • Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Guzman Y Gomez (GYG) now plans to raise US$221m, an increase from its earlier target of US$160m, in its Australian IPO.
  • GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
  • Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
  • An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?

Minieye Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Minieye Technology (1426169D CH) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citic Securities and CICC.
  • Minieye Technology (Minieye) is an intelligent driving and cabin solutions provider in China, offering solutions for critical aspects of the driving experience, including piloting, parking and in-cabin functions.
  • Providing Level 0-Level 2++ intelligent driving solutions that are full-stack in-house developed and proven by mass production, the firm has also been developing advanced Level 4 autonomous driving technologies.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor
  • Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn
  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer
  • Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group
  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank
  • Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys
  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy


Unsolicited Partial Offer for 19% of Sun Corp (6736 JP) – Play on Cellebrite from SPAC Sponsor

By Travis Lundy

  • Sun Corp (6736 JP) for years has been a play on its investment holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US), brought to market in a $2.4bn SPAC deal announced 30Aug2021.  
  • The SPAC entity was an entity called TWC Tech Holdings II Corp (TWC = “True Wind Capital”). The next day, Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) was born, trading up to US$11.00+.
  • Sun Corp (6736 JP)‘s value realisation path had begun. Today, a True Winds entity announced a Partial Tender Offer – unsolicited, unannounced previously – on Sun Corp, for 19.0%.

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
  • The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
  • The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.

Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer

By Arun George

  • True Wind has launched a hostile partial tender offer for Sun Corp (6736 JP) for a minimum (3.8m) and maximum (4.2m) shares at JPY4,400, 19.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer was prompted by frustration with the Board’s lack of urgency in closing the disparity between Sun Corp’s market cap and the value of its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) stake.
  • The Board has three options: do nothing (low probability), find a white knight bidder (high probability), or commit to selling/distributing its Cellebrite stake (medium probability).

Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 June, it was announced that France’s Archimed Group is conducting a tender offer of 55.72 million shares of Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) (72% of outstanding shares). 
  • The tender offer period will run from 10 June to 22 July. The tender offer price is 13,000 won.
  • Archimed also signed a contract to purchase the entire stake (23.2%) held by Kang Don-Hwan (Chairman of Jeisys Medical) and (3.2%) held by a Director Myung-Hoon Lee.

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
  • The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
  • There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)’s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Asia Vital Components to Replace Chang Hwa Commercial Bank

By Brian Freitas


Jun24 S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal – Both More and Less Interesting Than You Think, But 3 Big Buys

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, the S&P index committee announced the June 2024 changes to the three major indices in the S&P1500 universe. 
  • KKR, Crowdstrike (CRWD), and GoDaddy (GDDY) replace Robert Half (RHI), Comerica (CMA), and Illumina (ILMN) in the S&P500. There are 6 ADDs to S&PMidCap400, 13 DELETEs from Sm600. 
  • There are some BIG and impactful flows here. Some are very big. Netted 2-way flow on 21 June is ~US$66-80bn. But as always, details matter. 

CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

Interglobe Aviation : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock.
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price.
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading? and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?


Crypto Crisp: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Inflow Comes from Basis Trading?

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Here is to another week in crypto, following an exceptionally strong performance for U.S.-based Bitcoin spot ETFs last week.
  • Over the five trading sessions, these Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net inflows of $1.829 billion.
  • Last Tuesday was particularly notable, with the ETFs experiencing their second-best day since their launch on January 11, bringing in a net inflow of $887 million.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market
  • Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?
  • The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?
  • Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?
  • Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues
  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation
  • Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024
  • avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up
  • Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Miniso: Leveraging China’s Manufacturing Capacity for the Global Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome Miniso Group Holding Limited’s Investor Relation Specialist, Ms. Allis-Yueling Chen. 

In the upcoming webinar, Allis will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Eric Wen. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, 20 June 2024, 16:00 SGT.

About Miniso Group Holding Limited

Miniso Group Holding Limited is a global value retailer offering a variety of trendy lifestyle products featuring IP design. Since Miniso Group opened its first store in China in 2013, they have successfully incubated two brands, “MINISO” and “TOP TOY”. The flagship brand “MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand and have established a store network worldwide of 6,630 stores in more than 200 countries. The flagship brand “MINISO” offers a frequently-refreshed assortment of lifestyle products covering diverse consumer needs, and consumers are attracted to their products’ trendiness, creativeness, high quality and affordability.


Splits Amplify Stock Prices & Stoke Volatility; What Next for NVIDIA After Upsetting the Apple Cart?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Firms that split their shares show an avg. return of +25.4% one year after split. That’s more than 2x the average return of the S&P 500 during those periods. 
  • Critically, returns post stock splits are mainly seen from announcement to actual split date. Mega caps have shown 9.3% absolute returns 12 months post split. Be cautious of misleading averages.
  • On relative terms (v/s S&P500) price returns were down 6.3% 12-months after stock splits. All splits generated negative returns except for Tesla in 2020.

The Beat Ideas- Patel Engineering: Turnaround Play?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Patel Engineering (PEC IN) ‘s large order book, strategic sectors focus, and successful debt reduction through QIP and restructuring.
  • Strong financial resilience, projected revenue growth, and robust order pipeline signal promising future prospects.
  • Poised for growth strong order pipeline and increased government focus on Infrastructure, Hydro Power segment and Irrigation segment.

Marui: A Data Mining Dream Coming True

By Michael Causton

  • While Marui’s credit card business now has in excess of ¥4 trillion in GTVs, its shopping buildings are also doing outperforming the mall sector.
  • Sales for all 22 buildings rose 14.5% last year but as much as 24% at some buildings.
  • This is the result of new tenants, more services and better marketing based on vast in-house data sources. This data-mining capability will get better and is unique to Marui.

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Will Baowu Raise the Offer Price After ORG?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With ORG offering a 4.9% higher price and securing Zhang Wei’s acceptance, the ball is now back in Baowu’s hands. Good reasons exist for Baowu to raise its offer price. 
  • Baowu’s subsidiary Shanghai Baosteel Packaging-A (601968 CH) needs CPMC Holdings (906 HK) more than ORG, given its smaller market share and weaker profitability.
  • At ORG’s offer price, CPMC’s PERs for FY24 and FY25 of 15.4x and 14.2x are cheaper than Baosteel Packaging’s 22x and 18.7x. This gives additional justifications for a higher offer. 

Suzlon Independent Director Resignation Raises Concerns and Reiterates Past CG Issues

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Independent Director’s resignation highlights the lack of strong corporate governance practices within Suzlon. 
  • Suzlon Energy’s response to the outgoing director’s concerns demonstrates a willingness to address issues and make necessary changes to enhance corporate governance.
  • Though it does not raise concerns on any financial irregularities and legal violation but resolution of issues remains a key event to watch for.

Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN): Accelerated Growth Ahead; Recent Pullback Comforted Valuation

By Tina Banerjee

  • Concord Biotech Ltd (CONCORDB IN) reported 19% revenue growth in FY24. EBITDA and PAT grew at a faster pace of 26% and 28%, YoY, respectively.  
  • With focus on deeper market penetration, acquiring new customers, and introducing new products in niche categories, Concord is well-positioned for 25% revenue CAGR in 3–5 years.
  • Despite a huge run-up from the IPO price, Concord shares are trading at forward P/E of 38.9x, which is lower than peers.

Abbvie Inc – Regenerative Healthcare – Stem Cells & ALS Thematic 10062024

By ACF Equity Research

  • Regenerative medicine remains an extremely exciting area of healthcare with vast investment potential.
  • In spite of the usual setbacks in valuation and strategy, the sub-sector has pivoted and the market remains innovative and attracts investment capital.
  • Rather than replace entire tissues, which is a complex activity, we believe the immediate future for stem cells is more likely to be in the successful stimulation of the bodies on repair mechanisms.

avic (9554 Jp) – 2Q Follow Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • AViC upwardly revised its full-year FY24/9 earnings forecast at the time of its 1H earnings announcement, demonstrating renewed and accelerated growth after recovering from the temporary slowdown in growth caused by business conditions and funding difficulties among startups and other emerging companies in FY23/9.
  • While many of its competitors are showing sluggish business performance, the Company has been able to pursue growth on its own by committing to improving both client advertising efficiency and in-house productivity through meticulous and data-driven business operations as well as executing its fast-paced Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) cycle.
  • Meanwhile, its share price has not risen in line with the boost in EPS, with the latest P/E ratio hovering around 20x based on the revised earnings forecast.

Pulsar Helium Inc. (TSX-V: PLSR)

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Jetstream # 1 appraisal well has been tested at a rate of up to 0.8 mmcf/d with helium concentration of 8.7%-14.5%.
  • The flow rate initially reached 0.15 mmcf/d with flowing tubing head pressure of 34 psi. The bottom hole pressure was 162 psi.
  • A compressor was then installed at the well head to reduce the flowing tubing head pressure to 20 psi, thereby increasing the difference between the flowing pressure and the reservoir pressure.

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Daily Brief Macro: Malaysia Economics: Is “Digital Tiger” Malaysia About to Roar Again? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Malaysia Economics: Is “Digital Tiger” Malaysia About to Roar Again?
  • The Week at A Glance: Everything you need to know ahead of the FOMC and CPI
  • Indonesia Economics: New Capital Faces More Than Just Personnel Woes
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook
  • Yield Curve Inverts Further on Rising Recession Risk
  • Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin
  • The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Alfamart Uncut, CP Axtra Revealed, and Jardine Matheson
  • UK Politics: Labour’s Energy Policies


Malaysia Economics: Is “Digital Tiger” Malaysia About to Roar Again?

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • After a period of economic and political turbulence, Malaysia is now re-entering the spotlight, performing admirably in attracting technology-focused investments.
  • The success in luring semiconductor and data centre investments is not down to pure luck; policymakers have worked hard to ensure that the country friendly to global tech business.
  • If momentum on business investments and policy reform can be maintained, the country may be on the verge of a virtuous cycle that helps it escape the middle-income trap.

The Week at A Glance: Everything you need to know ahead of the FOMC and CPI

By Andreas Steno

  • Welcome to our concise weekly overview of key events, expectations, and positioning strategies.
  • This week, we focus on the Federal Reserve meeting, US inflation data, and the crucial Bank of Japan meeting.
  • As usual, the most crucial forward-looking inflation evidence is found in the NFIB report released ahead of the CPI report.

Indonesia Economics: New Capital Faces More Than Just Personnel Woes

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • Reading between the lines, the resignations of two senior officials of the New Capital Authority strikes us as a de facto sacking. 
  • While there may be gripes with the pace of delivery in developing Nusantara, the fundamental problem remains that the economics of the new capital are unfavourable. 
  • Incoming president Prabowo should also not be assumed to continue placing the same priority on Nusantara as his predecessor Widodo currently does. 

Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook

By Sameer Taneja

  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
  • The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
  • The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.

Yield Curve Inverts Further on Rising Recession Risk

By Pranay Yadav

  • Discrepancies between establishment and household job surveys highlight economic stress; full-time employment declines, indicating households remain stressed even as non-farm payrolls rise.
  • Subsequent bond yield movements, particularly the persistent inversion of the 30Y-2Y spread, reflect investor skepticism about long-term economic stability and delayed rate cuts.
  • Upcoming U.S. elections and this week’s economic reports, including the May CPI and revised Federal Reserve projections, may push rate cut expectations even further ahead.

Why China loves Gold & a Beautiful Setup in Bitcoin

By The Commodity Report

  • Unpredictable Corn Supply from South America The grain supply from South America, especially corn, is among the most unpredictable globally.
  • During the 2022-23 season, Argentina’s corn production dropped by nearly 29% due to drought, but then surged by 26% in the 2023-24 season, influenced by the El Niño phenomenon.
  • Similarly, favorable weather conditions boosted Brazil’s corn production by approximately 17% in 2022-23. However, in 2023-24, it declined by 16% due to varying weather patterns.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma – Alfamart Uncut, CP Axtra Revealed, and Jardine Matheson

By Angus Mackintosh


UK Politics: Labour’s Energy Policies

By Alastair Newton

  • Labour’s flagship energy proposals have received a considerable amount of criticism, some of which is purely political.
  • There are numerous legitimate and significant doubts about whether the party can fulfill its proposed agenda.
  • This agenda is crucial for the decarbonisation process and the overall economic prospects of the UK.

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Daily Brief South Korea: LG Energy Solution, Jeisys Medical and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group


Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

Tender Offer of Jeisys Medical by Archimed Group

By Douglas Kim

  • On 10 June, it was announced that France’s Archimed Group is conducting a tender offer of 55.72 million shares of Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) (72% of outstanding shares). 
  • The tender offer period will run from 10 June to 22 July. The tender offer price is 13,000 won.
  • Archimed also signed a contract to purchase the entire stake (23.2%) held by Kang Don-Hwan (Chairman of Jeisys Medical) and (3.2%) held by a Director Myung-Hoon Lee.

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Daily Brief Australia: Wisetech Global, Guzman Y Gomez, Iron Ore and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning
  • Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index, and no regular changes for the S&P/ASX200 INDEX in June.
  • The surprise inclusion of Wisetech Global (WTC AU) means that positioning is likely to be lower than the passive buying and there could be a move higher in the stock.
  • There will be one adhoc inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 19 June following Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)’s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU). 

Guzman Y Gomez IPO – Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Guzman Y Gomez (GYG) now plans to raise US$221m, an increase from its earlier target of US$160m, in its Australian IPO.
  • GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook

By Sameer Taneja

  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
  • The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
  • The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.

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