All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Iochpe Maxion Sa and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Iochpe-Maxion – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Iochpe-Maxion – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Iochpe-Maxion’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: Hygeia Healthcare Group, Immix Biopharma Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK): Double-Digit Revenue Growth in 1H23; Business Expansion Continues
  • Immix Biopharma – A quarter of progress for both lead assets
  • Another Catalyst for Expected Reduction in Policy Shareholdings


Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK): Double-Digit Revenue Growth in 1H23; Business Expansion Continues

By Tina Banerjee

  • In 1H23, Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK) reported revenue growth of 15% YoY to RMB1,760 million, mainly driven by a 16% YoY growth in hospital business.
  • Hygeia’s gross profit margin contracted 20bps YoY to 32.4%. Riding on 5.6x increase in government grant, operating profit jumped 33% YoY to RMB420M, leading to 320bps margin expansion to 23.9%.
  • In July, Hygeia acquired Chang’an Hospital for RMB1,660 million. The acquisition will provide Hygeia with greater room to expand its business in the northwest region of the PRC.  

Immix Biopharma – A quarter of progress for both lead assets

By Edison Investment Research

Throughout Q323, Immix shared encouraging updates for the clinical development of lead CAR-T asset NXC-201, including the announcement of orphan drug designation (ODD) in both multiple myeloma (MM) and amyloid light chain amyloidosis (ALA). In October 2023, the company shared positive efficacy and safety updates and we believe the data so far could support NXC-201 as the first outpatient CAR-T therapy, subject to regulatory approval, addressing the myriad of challenges associated with current CAR-Ts. In the quarter, Immix also shared positive interim data for its lead TSTx asset, IMX-110, and we anticipate further updates across Q423 to FY24. Net cash at the end of the period stood at $19.6m, which we estimate should provide an operating cash runway into Q424. As we adjust for our expense estimates based on year-to-date results, update net cash and roll our model forward, our valuation for Immix adjusts to $86.6m or $4.0 per share (from $90.7m or $4.2/share previously).


Another Catalyst for Expected Reduction in Policy Shareholdings

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since Corporate Governance Code limits disclosures on climate change to prime market companies, it’ll encourage the transition from Prime to Standard market and discourage the transition from Sandard to Prime.
  • While it’ll be interesting to see how many years “Scope 3” disclosures will be mandatory, more attention will be paid to how companies uses the cash from reducing policy shareholdings.
  • Although the situation is different than it was in 2000 because few companies are underfunded, attention should be paid to whether retirement benefit trusts will become a refuge for policy-shareholdings.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: Rakuten Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Remains a Positive Pick in the Japanese Neobanks


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Remains a Positive Pick in the Japanese Neobanks

By Victor Galliano

  • Rakuten Bank shares have experienced something of a re-rating, but we believe it has further to go, with attractive fundamentals and relatively undemanding valuations compared to its digital peers
  • Rakuten Bank is well positioned to benefit from the tailwind of the steepening yield curve in Japan, with its low LDR, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio
  • It is leveraging off the Rakuten Group eco-system; not only is it growing its client base, but also nearly a third of clients use Rakuten Bank as their primary bank

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Alibaba Group Holding , Shakey’s Pizza, Dream International, Wynn Macau Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba: Our Take on 2QFY24
  • Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) Concall Q3 2023: Soft, But Guidance Intact/Brace For Q4 High Season
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Dream International
  • Weekly Wrap – 17 Nov 2023


Alibaba: Our Take on 2QFY24

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • While Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)‘s 2Q24 revenue and OP closely matched consensus expectations, the company experienced a significant sell-off, resulting in shares plummeting by over 9% yesterday.
  • Yesterday’s weak performance may be linked to a 10% pre-earnings price surge, anticipating robust results. The postponement of the Cloud Spin-off could also have contributed to the decline.
  • We maintain a bearish stance on Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) as we identify other fundamental and structural downside catalysts might become increasingly important and price-sensitive as time progresses.

Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) Concall Q3 2023: Soft, But Guidance Intact/Brace For Q4 High Season

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) reported a 28% YoY/26% YoY sales/net profit increase for Q3 FY23 due to a sales softening in September. 
  • Sales are expected to strengthen into Q4 as there is a seasonal uplift, although the QoQ increase is not expected to be in line with previous years.
  • The stock trades at 12.9x/9.9x PE FY23e/24e and will continue to see double-digit CAGR sales momentum.  The management retained its >30% YoY growth target for FY23e. 

Asian Dividend Gems: Dream International

By Douglas Kim

  • Based in Hong Kong, Dream International is one of the largest toy manufacturers in the world. It specializes on plush stuffed toys and plastic figures. 
  • Despite the global toys markets going into destocking cycle, the company has generated significant growth in operating profit in the past year driven by strong demand for plush stuffed toys.
  • If we assume a moderate 20% YoY increase in dividends in 2023, this would imply DPS of HKD 0.48 and this would suggest a dividend yield of 12.7% current prices. 

Weekly Wrap – 17 Nov 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. SJM Holdings
  2. Melco Resorts & Entertainment
  3. Lenovo
  4. Longfor Properties
  5. Tata Motors Ltd

and more…


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Australia: Steadfast, Karoon Energy Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Steadfast Group Placement – While Accretion Here Is Limited, Past Deals Have Done Well
  • Karoon Energy Placement – Not Well Flagged but Will Be an Accretive One


Steadfast Group Placement – While Accretion Here Is Limited, Past Deals Have Done Well

By Clarence Chu

  • Steadfast (SDF AU) is looking to raise around A$280m (US$180m) to fund the acquisition of Sure Insurance, and provide headroom for potentially additional acquisitions over the year.
  • SDF has undertaken a number of capital raises in the past to similarly fund its active acquisition strategy. Overall, the firm’s past deal record has been strong.
  • In this note, we will talk about the acquisition and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Karoon Energy Placement – Not Well Flagged but Will Be an Accretive One

By Ethan Aw

  • Karoon Energy Ltd (KAR AU) seeks to raise approximately A$170m (US$110m) through its primary placement.
  • The deal is a large one to digest at 28.5 days of three month ADV and 14.1% of current mcap. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: Sea and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Sea Ltd (SE US) – Paying the Price for Market Leadership


Sea Ltd (SE US) – Paying the Price for Market Leadership

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sea Ltd (SE US) saw its 3Q2023 result swing back to a loss after turning on investment at Shopee during 3Q2023 in the face of competition.
  • The company was open about its renewed investment in growth during the previous quarter in the face of threats from TikTok Shop, which may have lessened post its Indonesia expulsion. 
  • Sea Ltd may not have engendered itself with investors impressed with its ability to pivot like no other to actual profitability, now introducing an element of uncertainty. Valuations reflect this.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Eoflow and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • New Phase in Korean Short Selling: Immediate Impact of MM and LP Short Selling Ban
  • EOFlow Craters. Medtronic Stays Mum
  • Key Points We Should Know Regarding the Current Status of EOFlow


New Phase in Korean Short Selling: Immediate Impact of MM and LP Short Selling Ban

By Sanghyun Park

  • There is a prevailing sentiment in the local market that short selling by market makers (MM) and liquidity providers (LP) will effectively be prohibited very shortly.
  • The widening of the futures basis extends the influence of futures on the spot market prices. This is precisely where trading opportunities that we should be keenly observing may arise.
  • It also leads to a significant widening of ETF tracking errors due to the direct sell-off of underlying shares. We must capitalize on extreme spreads in ETFs.

EOFlow Craters. Medtronic Stays Mum

By David Blennerhassett

  • Five weeks after shares were suspended, EOFlow (294090 KS) shares resumed trading this morning, the 16 November. Wording is sparse on the resumption.
  • One small consolation was that EOFlow may benefit from the temporary ban on short selling. Irrespective, shares have declined ~27% at the open, as I type.  
  • Elsewhere, Medtronic Plc (MDT US) provides no guidance. The only other news of note are the various court filings in the District Court of Massachusetts.

Key Points We Should Know Regarding the Current Status of EOFlow

By Sanghyun Park

  • It can be considered that the suspension of EOFlow’s trading and, furthermore, the risk of delisting have been completely eliminated at this point.
  • EOFlow emphasizes the possibility of circumventing sales of EOPatch by supplying EOPump to a JV in China. The key factors that initially sparked Medtronic’s interest in EOFlow are still valid.
  • If CEO Kim fails to repay a stock collateral loan of ₩20B or secure additional loans, approximately 4% of the total issued shares could be sold in the market.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Tata Technologies, Max Healthcare Institute, Jana Small Finance Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Tata Technologies Pre-IPO – RHP Updates – Headline Growth Picking Up
  • Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track
  • Jana Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO – Has Grown Decently Fast but Keep an Eye on Its CRAR


Tata Technologies Pre-IPO – RHP Updates – Headline Growth Picking Up

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) (TT) is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison and provided our initial thoughts on valutions. In this note we talk about the RHP updates.

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

By Tina Banerjee

  • In Q2FY24, Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.
  • EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.
  • MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.

Jana Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO – Has Grown Decently Fast but Keep an Eye on Its CRAR

By Ethan Aw

  • Jana Small Finance Bank (3667144Z IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Jana Small Finance Bank (JSFB) is the fourth largest small finance bank in India in terms of AUM and deposit size as of FY23 (Year ended 31st Mar 2023).
  • JSFB has grown its number of banking outlets and amount of deposits fast, which allowed the firm to grow its gross advances by 1.5x over the track record period. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: ZEEKR, Crude Oil, iPower and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case
  • EIA Watch: September Weakness Was Fake News. Time to Buy Oil?
  • IPower, Inc. – Solid Start to FY24; Demonstrates Several Avenues for Further Growth


ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of Geely Auto (175 HK), has filed for a US$500 million IPO to list on the NYSE.
  • In ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on growth slowdown in the second-largest business, high related-parties dependence, Virdi/CEVT gross margin pressure, ongoing operating losses and FCF burn.

EIA Watch: September Weakness Was Fake News. Time to Buy Oil?

By Andreas Steno

  • Welcome back to our weekly EIA report, where we run through demand and supply data and give our cents on where we are heading next – and what the implications are for energy markets.
  • As always we present the main conclusions up-front: 1) Oil demand will likely come in hot in November on the back of strong gasoline demand in October due to the lags in energy markets (Gasoline leads oil – not the other way around).
  • 2) Gasoline numbers in September were likely just a data-glimpse, as no high-frequent data series seem to agree with the narrative that demand for fuel is dropping.

IPower, Inc. – Solid Start to FY24; Demonstrates Several Avenues for Further Growth

By Water Tower Research

  • iPower reported $26.5 million in revenue in 1QFY24, its highest quarterly revenue ever, compared with $26.0 million in 1QFY23.
  • The company’s performance was helped by business generated by its SuperSuite supply chain partnerships, currently on a $7 million annual run rate.
  • The company’s TikTok Shop sales also contributed to the solid sales results.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: Alibaba Group Holding , WuXi XDC Cayman , ENN Energy and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (9988 HK): 2Q24, Higher Margin Means Smooth Reorganization, Buy
  • Wuxi XDC: Thoughts on First Day Trading
  • WuXi XDC IPO: Trading Debut
  • Hong Kong CEO/Director Dealings (17 Nov): ENN’s Controlling Shareholder Buying; Li Buys More PCCW


Alibaba (9988 HK): 2Q24, Higher Margin Means Smooth Reorganization, Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba’s operating margin rose to 15% in 2Q24 versus 12% in 2Q23.
  • Every expense as percentage of total revenue decreased and EBITDA of every business line increased.
  • We believe the reorganization is going smoothly and the stock has an upside of 82%. Buy.

Wuxi XDC: Thoughts on First Day Trading

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Wuxi XDC priced its IPO at HK$20.60 per share (upper-end of range), and raised HK$3.5bn (US$417m) at a market capitalisation of HK$24.3bn and post-money EV of HK$20.4bn.
  • Both HK offering and the international offering of the company were significantly oversubscribed by 49.96x and 19.6x respectively.
  • Our DCF value per share is still at a significant premium to the final IPO price, and we expect Wuxi XDC’s IPO to have a strong debut.

WuXi XDC IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Hong Kong CEO/Director Dealings (17 Nov): ENN’s Controlling Shareholder Buying; Li Buys More PCCW

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • The key stocks mentioned in this regular insight are ENN Energy (2688 HK), PCCW Ltd (8 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars